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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8

Bayesian High-Rank Hankel Matrix Completion for Nonlinear Synchrophasor Data Recovery

Phasor measurement units (PMUs) provide high temporal-resolution synchrophasor measurements for power system monitoring and control. The frequent data quality issues, such as missing and bad data, prevent the incorporation of synchrophasor data in real-time operations. Most existing data-driven data recovery methods assume the power system dynamics can be approximated by a linear dynamical system, and the recovery performance degrades significantly when the power system is experiencing nonlinear dynamics during significant events. Here, this paper proposes a data-driven Bayesian nonlinear synchrophasor data recovery method (Ba-NSDR) that can recover a consecutive time period of simultaneous data losses or errors across all channels, even when the underlying system is highly nonlinear. The idea is to lift the Hankel matrix of the spatial-temporal synchrophasor data to a higher dimension such that the lifted Hankel matrix is low-rank in that space and can be processed with the kernel trick. Our proposed Bayesian method then infers the probabilistic distributions of synchrophasor from the partial observations. Some distinctive features of Ba-NSDR include an uncertainty index to measure the accuracy of the recovery result and the robustness to parameter selections. Our method is verified on both synthetic and recorded event datasets.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Expanding Access to Science Participation: A FAIR Framework for Petascale Data Visualization and Analytics

The massive data generated by scientists daily serve as both a major catalyst for new discoveries and innovations, as well as a significant roadblock that restricts access to the data. Here, our paper introduces a new approach to removing Big Data barriers and democratizing access to petascale data for the broader scientific community. Our novel data fabric abstraction layer allows user-friendly querying of scientific information while hiding the complexities of dealing with file systems or cloud services. We enable FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reusable) access to datasets such as NASA’s petascale climate datasets. Our paper presents an approach to managing, visualizing, and analyzing petabytes of data within a browser on equipment ranging from the top NASA supercomputer to commodity hardware like a laptop. Our novel data fabric abstraction utilizes state-of-the art progressive compression algorithms and machine-learning insights to power scalable visualization dashboards for petascale data. The result provides users with the ability to identify extreme events or trends dynamically, expanding access to scientific data and further enabling discoveries. We validate our approach by improving the ability of climate scientists to visually explore their data via three fully interactive dashboards. We further validate our approach by deploying the dashboards and simplified training materials in the classroom at a minority-serving institution. These dashboards, released in simplified form to the general public, contribute significantly to a broader push to democratize the access and use of climate data.

Computer science↗

AL-ASMR: Active Learning of Atomistic Surrogate Models for Rare Events

Atomistic simulation with artificial intelligence (AI) is an emerging tool for understanding materials' properties and behaviors and predicting novel materials with optimized/targeted properties. Neural network potentials (NNPs) are outstanding in this field as they have shown a comparable accuracy to ab initio electronic structure calculations for reproducing potential energy surfaces while being several orders of magnitude faster. However, such NNPs can perform poorly outside of their training domain and typically fail catastrophically in the prediction of rare events in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. For effective AL loops to distinguish the informative data from enhanced sampled configurations, we developed a decision engine by configurational similarity and uncertainty quantification (UQ) with data augmentation.

Jung, Gang Seob↗

Flashback Measurements in Hydrogen Enriched Low Swirl Flames Using High Speed OH-PLIF

The fundamentals of stabilized flame dynamics and flashback events in a premixed low swirl burner (LSB) configuration are visualized experimentally using nanosecond (ns)-based high-speed hydroxyl radical planar laser-induced fluorescence (OH-PLIF). Swirlers with two different turning angles, 〖26〗^o and 〖33〗^o and three different center-body hole diameters, 1.08, 1.12 and 1.16 mm with measured swirl numbers varying from 0.43 to 0.49 are tested in this study at atmospheric temperature and pressure inlet conditions. An increase in flashback propensity is observed with increasing ϕ, X_(H_2 ) and decreasing V via detailed investigation of flame lift-off length (L) above the burner rim. Flashback ϕ (ϕ_FB) investigations show an expected linearly increasing trend with decreasing X_(H_2 ) and increasing V for each swirler studied and the results agree well with detailed L investigations in a stable flame configuration. ϕ_FB studies for different swirlers show an increase in flashback resistance with the increase in center-body hole diameter and swirl angle. Spatiotemporally resolved kHz-rate OH-PLIF is a promising technique to observe rapidly occurring flashback events and it can be applied for turbulence-chemistry interaction model validation.

Parajuli, Pradeep↗

Editorial: Advances in observations and modeling of snow, forest-snow processes and snow hydrology

Seasonal snowpack plays a pivotal role in the regional water cycle. In Western mountainous regions, where precipitation predominantly occurs as snow during winter and is limited in the summer months when water demand peaks, snowpack serves as a critical water source essential for sustaining water supply, ecosystems, agriculture, and industries. Additionally, snowpack dynamically influences extreme events, such as floods, droughts, and wildfires, through intricate land-atmosphere feedback. Nevertheless, significant knowledge gaps persist within this field due to data limitations and the complexity of the physics involved in modeling snow and snow hydrology (i.e., snow acts as a critical upstream hydrological process). Here, this research topic presents a collection of manuscripts that address some of these important research gaps.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Flame Flashback Investigations in Hydrogen-Enriched Low Swirl Burner using High-Speed Hydroxyl Planar Laser-Induced Fluorescence

Hydrogen/ Hydrogen-rich flame is a potential strategy to reduce carbon emissions for the development of next-generation lean premixed combustors. However, the higher flashback propensity with hydrogen-enrichment owing to faster chemical kinetics is one of the key challenges in existing natural gas turbine combustors. In this study, the fundamentals of stabilized flame dynamics and flashback events in a premixed low swirl burner (LSB) configuration are visualized experimentally using nanosecond (ns)-based high-speed hydroxyl radical planar laser-induced fluorescence (OH-PLIF). The LSB has an optically accessible pre-mixing tube allowing laser diagnostic investigation of flashback events. The inlet conditions are varied systematically with respect to pre-mixer velocities, flame equivalence ratio (ϕ), and hydrogen content and OH-PLIF characterization is performed in stable flame at 20 kHz repetition rate. An increase in flashback propensity is observed with increasing ϕ, hydrogen content, and decreasing V via detailed investigation of flame lift-off length (L) above the burner rim. Flashback ϕ investigations show an expected linearly increasing trend with decreasing hydrogen content and increasing V for each swirler studied and the results agree well with detailed L investigations in stable flame configuration. The propagating flame anchored likely on the back side of the perforated plate within 30-40 ms of the entrance forming the distorted conical flame front.

Parajuli, Pradeep↗

High-Speed OH-PLIF Diagnostics of Flame Flashback in Low Swirl Hydrogen-Enriched Flames

Hydrogen-enrichment is a potential strategy to reduce carbon emissions for the development of next-generation lean premixed combustors. However, the higher flashback propensity with hydrogen enrichment owing to the faster chemical kinetics is one of the key challenges in existing natural gas turbine combustors. The fundamentals of stabilized flame dynamics and flashback events in a premixed low swirl burner (LSB) configuration are visualized experimentally using nanosecond (ns)-based high-speed hydroxyl radical planar laser-induced fluorescence (OH-PLIF). Swirlers with two different turning angles, 26 and 33 and three different center-body hole diameters, 1.08, 1.12 and 1.16 mm with measured swirl numbers varying from 0.43 to 0.49 are tested in this study at atmospheric temperature and pressure inlet conditions. The inlet conditions are varied systematically with respect to pre-mixer velocities (V), flame equivalence ratio (ϕ) and hydrogen content (X_(H_2 )) for 50%-90% (H2, by mole) H2/ CH4 reactant mixtures and OH-PLIF characterization is performed in a stable flame at 20 kHz repetition rate. An increase in flashback propensity is observed with increasing ϕ, X_(H_2 ) and decreasing V via detailed investigation of flame lift-off length (L) above the burner rim.

Parajuli, Pradeep↗

Dynamic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies for Advanced Reactor Using RAVEN

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is used extensively to evaluate the risks associated with complex engineering systems like Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Current PSA models are based on the Event-Tree/Fault-Tree (ET/FT) methodology. ET and FT models are static and are based on Boolean logic approaches. In the past, concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of the traditional static modelling approaches to adequately account for the impact of process, hardware, software, firmware and human interactions on the stochastic system behaviour. To overcome the limitations of the traditional approach to PSA, several dynamic PSA methodologies have been proposed. One of the dynamic PSA methodologies used for dynamic evaluations is Dynamic Event Tree (DET) framework which can be used to assess the impact of the parameter variability and scenario dynamics on the PSA model for the initiating event. The DET framework couples the stochastic model (number of component/trains that start on demand, operator action timing, etc.) with a Thermal-Hydraulic (TH) model of the plant. This paper explores the use of DET along with a case study on advanced reactor. The initiating event selected for the study was Class IV power supply failure event. The TH analysis considering uncertainty in various parameters was performed using RELAP5 and Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment (RAVEN) tool. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is concluded that the peak clad temperatures (PCT) are within the limits in all the code runs implying a high-degree of safety margin. However, variation in time to reach the PCT was observed among the code runs and the mean time to reach the PCT was found to be around 8590sec (approximately 2.4 hours). Hence, sufficient time margin is available for human intervention and the operator might have a relatively stress-free state during such an accident scenario. Due to the static nature of the traditional PSA models, the safety margin available was lesser, whereas, with the help of dynamic PSA models, one can demonstrate that the actual available safety margin is more in the present case study and is valuable input from the design point of view.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Reagent-Triggered Isomerization of Fluxional Cluster Catalyst via Dynamic Coupling

Metallic cluster catalysts have many thermodynamically accessible isomers with diverse active sites and low reaction barriers, and lately a strong hypothesis emerged that the many catalyst states collectively drive the catalysis. Furthermore, it remained a hypothesis that catalyst isomerization is actually kinetically feasible under the current reaction conditions. Using high-temperature dynamics simulations and sampling, a range of orientations, and vibrational energy distributions, we probe how thermal effects and molecular events affect cluster catalyst dynamics. We show that even such a delicate affair as the dissociation or scattering of a methane molecule on the heavy and thus slow Pt 13 cluster triggers substantial isomerization of the catalyst, far beyond thermal at 700 K. A kinetic coupling between the methane activity and cluster catalyst dynamics is observed. In return, the thermal dynamics of the cluster affects the methane reaction and scattering probabilities. Hence, molecular events at the surfaces of fluxional cluster catalysts should facilitate the population of an ensemble of catalyst states under the current reaction conditions, with implications for available active sites, reaction mechanisms, and apparent rates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiple Sources of Riparian Wetland Suspended Solids during Episodic Rain Events: Influence on Uranium Transport

Suspended solids can be the primary vector for transporting contaminants in streams. The objective of this study was to determine whether changes in the properties of suspended solids during rain events impacted contaminant transport. Stream water was collected during five episodic events downstream from a U-contaminated wetland located in South Carolina, USA. The suspended particles were initially composed of Fe-flocs (particles formed in situ prior to the rain event) that had significantly greater Fe, Mn, organic-C, and U content than particles collected later during a sampling rain event. XANES and EXAFS revealed that U in the Fe-flocs was U(VI) and that it was not incorporated in a mineral structure but existed as inner- or outer-sphere adsorbed uranyl species associated with organic matter and Fe-oxides. The uranyl had an extraordinarily high affinity for the suspended solids, with solid to liquid U ratios of >72,000 (μg/kg)/(μg/L). After the initial flush of Fe-flocs, a greater fraction of the suspended solids had lower organic-C, Fe, Mn, and amorphous phases and were composed of more quartz, kaolinite, and gibbsite, resulting in lower U concentrations than those in the solids collected earlier in the rain event. This study highlights the importance of understanding suspended solids as transport vectors and their potential dynamic nature during rain events.

computer simulations↗

Disruption event characterization and forecasting in tokamaks

Disruption prediction and avoidance is a critical need for next-step tokamaks, such as ITER. Disruption Event Characterization and Forecasting (DECAF) research fully automates analysis of tokamak data to determine chains of events that lead to disruptions and to forecast their evolution allowing sufficient time for mitigation or complete avoidance of the disruption. Disruption event chains related to local rotating or global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modes and vertical instability are examined with warnings issued for many off-normal physics events, including density limits, plasma dynamics, confinement transitions, and profile variations. Along with Greenwald density limit evaluation, a local radiative island power balance theory is evaluated and compared to the observation of island growth. Automated decomposition and analysis of rotating tearing modes produce physical event chains leading to disruptions. A total MHD state warning model comprised of 15 separate criteria produces a disruption forecast about 180 ms before a standard locked mode detector warning. Single DECAF event analyses have begun on KSTAR, MAST, and NSTX/-U databases with thousands of shot seconds of device operation using from 0.5 to 1 × 10 6 tested sample times per device. An initial multi-device database comparison illustrates a highly important result that plasma disruptivity does not need to increase as βN increases. Global MHD instabilities, such as resistive wall modes (RWMs), can give the briefest time period of warning before disruption compared to other physics events. In an NSTX database with unstable RWMs, the mode onset, loss of boundary and current control, and disruption event warnings are found in all cases and vertical displacement events are found in 91% of cases. An initial time-dependent reduced physics model of kinetic RWM stabilization created to forecast the disruption chain predicts instability 84% of the time for experimentally unstable cases with a relatively low false positive rate. Instances of the disruption event chain analysis illustrate dynamics including H–L back transitions for rotating MHD and global RWM triggering events. Furthermore, disruption warnings are issued with sufficient time before the disruption (on transport timescales) to potentially allow active profile control for disruption avoidance, active mode control, or mitigation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Distribution System Blackstart and Restoration Using DERs and Dynamically Formed Microgrids

Extreme weather events have led to long-duration outages in the distribution system (DS), necessitating novel approaches to blackstart and restore the system. Existing blackstart solutions utilize blackstart units to establish multiple microgrids (MGs), sequentially energize non-blackstart units, and restore loads. However, these approaches often result in isolated MGs. In DERs-aided blackstart, the continuous operation of these MGs is limited by the finite energy capacity of commonly used blackstart units like battery energy storage (BES)-based gridforming inverters (GFMIs). To address this issue, this article proposes a holistic blackstart and restoration framework that incorporates synchronization between dynamic MGs and the entire DS with the transmission grid (TG). To support synchronization, we leveraged virtual synchronous generator-based control for GFMIs to estimate their frequency response to load pick-up events using only initial/final quasi-steady-state points. Subsequently, a synchronization switching condition is developed to model synchronizing switches, aligning them seamlessly with a linearized branch flow problem. Finally, we designed a bottomup blackstart and restoration framework that considers the switching structure of the DS, energizing/synchronizing switches, DERs with grid-following inverters, and BES-based GFMIs with frequency security constraints. In conclusion, the proposed framework is validated in IEEE-123-bus system, considering cases with two and four GFMIs under various TG recovery instants.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Variational control forces for enhanced sampling of nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulations

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis is made possible by explicit forms for the gradients of a cost function in terms of the susceptibility of driven trajectories to changes in variational parameters. We consider probabilities of time-integrated dynamical observables as characterized by their large deviation functions and find that in many cases, the variational estimate is quantitatively accurate. Additionally, we provide expressions to exactly correct the variational estimate that can be evaluated directly. We benchmark this algorithm against the numerically exact solution of a model of a driven particle in a periodic potential, where the control force can be represented with a complete basis. Additionally, we then demonstrate the utility of the algorithm in a model of repulsive particles on a line, which undergo a dynamical phase transition, resulting in singular changes to the form of the optimal control force. In both systems, we find fast convergence and are able to evaluate large deviation functions with significant increases in statistical efficiency over alternative Monte Carlo approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Characterization of Acoustic Emissions From Analogue Rocks Using Sparse Regression‐DMDc

Abstract Moisture loss in rock is known to generate acoustic emissions (AE). Phenomena that result in AE during drying are related to the movement of fluids through the pores and induced‐cracks that arise from differential mineral shrinkage, especially in clay‐bearing rock. AE from the movement of fluids occurs from the reconfiguration of fluid interfaces during drying, while AE from mineral shrinkage involves the debonding within or between minerals. Here, analogue rock samples were used to examine the differences in the AE signatures when one or both AE source‐types are present. An unsupervised sparse regression model, Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control, that extends Dynamic Mode Decomposition is used to characterize the AE signals recorded during the drying of porous analogue rock samples fabricated with ordinary Portland cement, with and without clay. This method can effectively and accurately reconstruct acoustic signals emitted from samples that only experience moisture loss without cracking. However, the method struggles to reconstruct signals from samples with intricate crack networks that formed during drying because AE generating mechanisms can emit contemporaneously, and the resulting waves propagate through drying‐induced cracks that can lead to multiple internal reflections. Thus, the differential reconstruction accuracy of time series generated by different underlying physical processes provides a robust filter for reducing large data catalogs. In general, both dynamics and sparse initiating events are learned directly from data and this method exposes a data hierarchy based on the complexity of the intrinsic dynamics.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Learning Forecasts of Rare Stratospheric Transitions from Short Simulations

Abstract Rare events arising in nonlinear atmospheric dynamics remain hard to predict and attribute. We address the problem of forecasting rare events in a prototypical example, sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Approximately once every other winter, the boreal stratospheric polar vortex rapidly breaks down, shifting midlatitude surface weather patterns for months. We focus on two key quantities of interest: the probability of an SSW occurring, and the expected lead time if it does occur, as functions of initial condition. These optimal forecasts concretely measure the event’s progress. Direct numerical simulation can estimate them in principle but is prohibitively expensive in practice: each rare event requires a long integration to observe, and the cost of each integration grows with model complexity. We describe an alternative approach using integrations that are short compared to the time scale of the warming event. We compute the probability and lead time efficiently by solving equations involving the transition operator, which encodes all information about the dynamics. We relate these optimal forecasts to a small number of interpretable physical variables, suggesting optimal measurements for forecasting. We illustrate the methodology on a prototype SSW model developed by Holton and Mass and modified by stochastic forcing. While highly idealized, this model captures the essential nonlinear dynamics of SSWs and exhibits the key forecasting challenge: the dramatic separation in time scales between a single event and the return time between successive events. Our methodology is designed to fully exploit high-dimensional data from models and observations, and has the potential to identify detailed predictors of many complex rare events in meteorology.

Finkel, Justin↗

Experimental analysis of gas dynamics in the reactor cavity section of a High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor during an accident scenario

Here, this study investigates the behavior of a High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (HTGR) during a break of the helium pressure boundary event. Understanding the gas dynamics that occur during a break could help develop safety systems that reduce the probability of air entering the reactor core. To achieve this objective, experimental studies were conducted in a scaled-down HTGR experimental facility to provide information on the air-helium gas mixture within the confinement building and the impact of the ventilation system on the helium/air gas concentration following the depressurization event. The study evaluated different configurations, including active ventilation time scales, break sizes, and locations. The analysis of the active ventilation time revealed that a ventilation time of 22 seconds produced positive results, and smaller break sizes resulted in longer depressurization times, which improved the ventilation process. The orientation and elevation of the breaks had little effect on the oxygen concentration in the cavity but did impact the gas velocities.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Multivariate Regression of Pyrotechnic Igniter Output

Multivariate multiple regression models are applied to simplified pyrotechnic igniters for the first time to understand how changes in manufactured parameters can affect the output gas dynamic response and the timing of ignition events. The statistical modeling technique is applied to demonstrate quantification of the effects of a set of independent variables measured in the as-fabricated igniters on a set of responses experimentally measured from the functioned igniters. Two independent process variables were intentionally varied following a full factorial experimental design while several other independent variables varied within their normal manufacturing variability range. The four igniter performance responses consisted of the timing of sequential events during igniter function and visual gas dynamic output in the form of shock wave strength observed with high-speed schlieren imaging. Linear regression models built using the measurements throughout the manufacturing processes and the output variance provide insight into the critical device parameters that dominate performance

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗