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Alloy 625 Qualification Pathway for ASME Section III Division 5 Class A construction

The American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Section III Division 5 provides construction and inspection rules to ensure the safety of nuclear components operating at elevated temperatures, defined as those operating above 700°F (370°C) or 800°F (425°C), depending on the material type. At present, there are six materials approved for Class A (high safety significance) component construction under ASME BPVC Section III Division 5. Out of these six materials, five materials are steels or iron-based alloys and one material, Alloy 617, is a nickel alloy. Nickel alloys are stronger than steels; however, Alloy 617 consists of 10-15% cobalt, and activation is a concern under irradiation. Therefore, there is a need to qualify new nickel alloy with lower cobalt content. Alloy 625 is one candidate which has similar mechanical properties at elevated temperature compared to Alloy 617 and has a maximum of 1% cobalt. Although Alloy 625 material properties have been developed in the past to support allowable stress development under ASME Section II, new test results would be needed to qualify this material for elevated temperature component construction under ASME Section III Division 5. The purpose of this report is to describe a path towards developing a Nuclear Code Case to qualify Alloy 625 (UNS N06625; Grade 1 and Grade 2) for elevated temperature nuclear use in accordance with the ASME BPVC rules. This report reviews the existing database on Alloy 625, presents proposed test campaign, and discusses potential paths for accelerating the accelerated material qualification process.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Creating Accurate Methane Emission Inventories through Data-Driven Airborne Survey Strategies

Because natural gas emits less carbon than other fossil fuels, it holds promise as a green energy transition fuel. However, the overall carbon footprint of natural gas is significantly elevated by methane emissions that occur during its production and transmission (Cusworth et al. 2022). Methane “super-emitters,” while comprising only about 1% of sites, are responsible for the majority of oil- and gas-sourced methane emissions, making their detection and mitigation critical in reducing the climate impact of natural gas and in meeting national and global sustainability goals (Sherwin et al. 2024). Yet, despite advancements in detection, significant uncertainties remain regarding the size, frequency, and duration distributions of methane emissions (e.g., Frankenberg et al. 2016, Cusworth et al. 2022, Chen, Sherwin et al. 2022, Conrad et al. 2023, Johnson et al. 2023, Sherwin et al. 2024) underscoring the need for comprehensive emissions inventories segmented by basin across the US. Airborne surveys are well-suited for collecting data to build these comprehensive, basin-level inventories because they allow for extensive spatial coverage, and have the spatial resolution, and the sensitivity to pinpoint individual methane sources. As remote sensing technologies enable rapid basin-scale surveys, it is imperative to establish scientifically and statistically robust standards to generate reliable and actionable emissions inventories. Recent work has shown that differences in airborne sampling strategies, detection technologies, and analysis can lead to large differences between survey conclusions if not correctly accounted for (Chen et al. 2024). This elevates the importance of incorporating proper sampling and analysis techniques when designing a methane emissions monitoring campaign to produce accurate results and facilitate cross-study comparisons. In this paper, we describe a survey strategy designed using the latest conclusions from the literature to align results from different aerial surveys. We identify several sampling and analysis principles, including large sample sizes, balanced sampling across oil and gas production, careful survey area definition, and a unified protocol for analysis, to be vital to producing an unbiased estimate of basin-scale emissions. We present results from a Department of Energy-funded project that deployed this survey strategy in two understudied oil and gas- producing regions in the United States: the Haynesville Basin in Texas and Louisiana, and the Woodford Shale in the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Exploring inflammation‐related protein expression and its relationship with TSPO PET in Alzheimer's disease

Abstract INTRODUCTION To understand the role of neuroinflammation in Alzheimer's disease (AD), we characterized immune‐related proteins in central and peripheral biofluids. METHODS Selection of participants from the Translational Biomarker of Aging and Dementia (TRIAD) cohort with available translocator protein (TSPO) positron emission tomography (PET), cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) (n = 97), and plasma (n = 165). Biofluid samples analyzed with Olink technology (368 inflammation proteins). RESULTS Elevated proteins levels in CSF of TSPO‐positive individuals were identified. Functional enrichment analysis of CSF proteins revealed processes implicated in AD (MAPK, ERK cascades, cytokine, and leukocyte signaling). Selected candidates (CXCL1 and TNFRSF11B) showed high correlation with each other in CSF and with TSPO PET signal, but weaker associations with amyloid and tau PET. No significantly changed proteins in plasma between TSPO groups were found. DISCUSSION This explorative study identified two potential targets in CSF showing correlations with TSPO, amyloid and tau PET, suggesting a direct link between neuroinflammation, expression of these proteins and their potential implication in AD. Highlights Several proteins are elevated in CSF of TSPO PET‐positive individuals, linking them to neuroinflammation. Elevated CSF proteins were enriched in pathways such as MAPK, ERK, and cytokine signaling, linking them to the AD pathophysiology. Candidate proteins (CXCL1 and TNFRSF11B) correlated strongly with TSPO PET, particularly in brain regions known to be affected in AD. Although none of the plasma proteins remained significant after multiple comparisons correction when comparing their expression between TSPO groups, as done for CSF, candidate CSF proteins were found to correlate with plasmatic proteins, highlighting the complexity of the immune system.

Neurosciences & Neurology↗

From subsidies to stressors: Positively skewed ecological gradients alter biological responses to nutrients in streams

Abstract Subsidy–stress gradients offer a useful framework for understanding ecological responses to perturbation and may help inform ecological metrics in highly modified systems. Historic, region‐wide shifts from bottomland hardwood forest to row crop agriculture can cause positively skewed impact gradients in alluvial plain ecoregions, resulting in tolerant organisms that typically exhibit a subsidy response (increased abundance in response to environmental stressors) shifting to a stress response (declining abundance at higher concentrations). As a result, observed biological tolerance in modified ecosystems may differ from less modified regions, creating significant challenges for detecting biological responses to restoration efforts. Using the agriculturally dominated Mississippi Alluvial Plain (MAP) ecoregion in Mississippi, USA, as a case study, we tested the hypothesis that macroinvertebrate taxa that typically display a subsidy response to nutrient enrichment in less modified ecoregions (i.e., nutrient‐tolerance) shift to a stress response to increasing nutrients in highly modified watersheds with elevated baseline nutrient conditions (i.e., nutrient intolerance). The abundance and diversity of MAP‐specific intolerant taxa identified with threshold indicator taxa analysis were either unresponsive or exhibited a subsidy response to increasing nutrients in less modified ecoregions in Mississippi with less land alteration and lower nutrient concentrations, but declined at higher concentrations, providing evidence for a stress response to elevated nutrients in the MAP. Additionally, MAP‐specific tolerant and intolerant taxa richness responded to increased nutrients predictably and consistently across space and time within the MAP. However, in MAP streams, elevated specific conductance was predicted to dampen the response of tolerant and intolerant taxa richness to increasing nutrient concentrations, highlighting the importance of considering multistressor interactions when interpreting biological data. Lastly, we demonstrate the efficacy of this approach with sediment bacterial communities characterized with amplicon sequencing, which lack sufficient life history characteristics necessary for the development of multimetric indices. Both macroinvertebrate and bacterial communities responded similarly to increasing nutrient concentrations, suggesting DNA‐based approaches may provide an efficient biological assessment tool for monitoring water quality improvements in highly modified watersheds.

DeVilbiss, Stephen E. [U.S. Geological Survey Lowe↗

Impact of mixed grain size sediment input on braided river Morphodynamics: Insights from experimental and numerical modeling

The rate of sediment supply has significant impacts on river morphology, making it crucial to understand the geomorphic changes and grain size distribution dynamics in rivers. However, the effects of varying grain size sediment input on morphological changes in braided channels remain poorly understood. This study is the first to investigate the bar development and sediment sorting processes in braided channels with non-uniform sediment inputs using both numerical and experimental approaches. We applied a two-dimensional numerical model, Nays2DH to confirm and generalize experimental results. The model reproduced key experiment results, including 1) stream elevation changes, and 2) grain size distribution. Using this validated model, we explored the morphological changes and sorting process in a braided river with sediment inputs. The numerical experiments demonstrate that sediment input controls the elevation of the stream bed and the grain size distribution. Notably, both the elevation and grain-size distribution become relatively stable in downstream of the channel. Additionally, the simulation results suggest that an increased sediment supply leads to greater channel complexity, with bed surface armoring decreasing.

Nays2DH↗

Cerebellar dysfunction in a mouse model of childhood-onset manganese-induced dystonia parkinsonism

Humans with pathogenic variants of the manganese (Mn) transporter gene SLC39A14 exhibit highly elevated brain Mn concentrations and childhood-onset dystonia-parkinsonism. Here we show that Slc39a14-knockout (KO) mice, a preclinical model of the disease with elevated Mn concentrations in the CB, express deficits in physiological tremor implicating cerebellar (CB) dysfunction. Imaging of intracellular Mn in Purkinje cells (PCs) using synchrotron-based X-ray fluorescence microscopy confirmed highly elevated Mn concentrations in the PCs of Slc39a14-KO mice. To determine biological pathways altered in the CB of Slc39a14-KO mice relative to wildtype (WT), we performed RNA sequencing and discovered significant upregulation of pathways and genes regulating immune response and cell death. To substantiate these findings, we performed quantitative autoradiography of the neuroinflammation biomarker Translocator Protein 18 kDa (TSPO) which was significantly increased in the CB of Slc39a14-KO mice relative to WT. The latter findings were confirmed via immunostaining with the microglial marker Iba-1, revealing widespread microglia activation and clustering in the CB cortex. Immunostaining for cleaved caspase-3 (cCASP3), a marker of apoptosis, showed increased number of PCs with positive immunolabeling for cCASP3 in Slc39a14-KO mice relative to WT. Degeneration of PCs was confirmed by Hematoxylin and Eosin (H&E) staining. Lastly, functional electrophysiological assessment of CB neurocircuitry revealed a marked decrease in firing rates of cerebellar nuclei (CN) neurons and increased variability of PC simple spikes firing. Collectively, these findings show, for the first time, Mn-induced PC degeneration and dysfunctional CB circuitry in Slc39a14-KO mice providing additional evidence for the pathological underpinnings of the dystonia-like movements, balance, and gait abnormalities in SLC39A14 mutation carriers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methanogenesis and Acetogenesis in Hydrogenotrophy with Carbonate Minerals: Dependence on Mineral Surface Area, Biofilm Growth, and Microbial Community

The production, storage, and use of hydrogen are anticipated to grow substantially to achieve energy and climate goals. Consequently, microbial communities in many terrestrial and subsurface Earth environments could be exposed to elevated hydrogen concentrations. Hydrogen stimulates metabolic processes that reduce aqueous chemical species, such as bicarbonate or sulfate, that can exchange with solid mineral phases, but the controls on microbial hydrogenotrophy with mineral sources of electron acceptors are not fully understood. Herein, we applied laboratory experiments and biogeochemical modeling to study the response of a natural microbial community to an elevated partial pressure of hydrogen in the presence of carbonate minerals of varying composition, solubility, and size. Experimental incubations and simulation results showed that hydrogen consumption by microbial communities was initially dominated by sulfate reduction and, subsequently, transitioned to acetogenesis and methanogenesis. The rates of acetogenesis and methanogenesis were not correlated with the solubility of carbonate minerals. Instead, we observed strong linear correlations between the rates and surface area of carbonate minerals. Methane and acetate production slowed down in all incubations after about 2 weeks of incubation, although biogeochemical modeling predicted that the metabolic processes were not thermodynamically limited. Electron microscopy and infrared spectroscopy showed that biofilms with diverse microorganisms grew on the carbonates during this period. The methane δ13C value significantly increased, consistent with slower growth at elevated pH. This work highlights that microbial communities form biofilm on carbonate mineral surfaces as a response to hydrogen and that biofilm formation could pose a strong kinetic limitation to hydrogenotrophic metabolism utilizing carbonate minerals.

Acetobacterium↗

Effects of Concentration, Salinity and Temperature on the Conformations of Zwitterionic Poly(2-Vinylpyridine- N -Oxide) Chains in Semidilute Solutions Probed by Small-Angle X-Ray and Neutron Scattering

Polyzwitterions, composed of repeating units with equal numbers of anionic and cationic groups, have drawn considerable interest for applications ranging from antimicrobial coatings and antifouling membranes to low-friction interfaces, energy storage media, and actuators. A characteristic feature of many polyzwitterions is the anti-polyelectrolyte effect salt-induced chain expansion in aqueous solution a phenomenon often implicated in their functional behavior. In this study, we investigated the conformational behavior of poly(2-vinylpyridine-N-oxide) (P2VPNO) using smallangle X-ray and neutron scattering (SAXS and SANS). Small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) revealed that, in salt-free aqueous solution, P2VPNO adopts an expanded wormlike conformation stabilized by hydration. With increasing concentration, the chains contract due to screening of intrachain excluded-volume interactions, qualitatively consistent with de Gennes’ scaling predictions for neutral polymers. Small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) further demonstrated that P2VPNO exhibits the characteristic anti-polyelectrolyte response to added salt, as observed in many other polyzwitterions. At elevated temperatures, chain flexibility increases, leading to a shorter Kuhn length and reduced radius of gyration. Notably, however, salt-induced chain expansion persists, indicating that the anti-polyelectrolyte effect remains operative under elevated thermal conditions. These findings provide the first experimental evidence of scaling behavior in polyzwitterions, as well as the first observation of their altered antipolyelectrolyte response at elevated temperatures, offering new insights into the solution physics of this important class of polymers.

Conformation↗

Thermophilic Chassis-Enabled High-Throughput Selection of a Thermostable Fluorogenic Reporter

Thermostable proteins show increased shelf life and performance at elevated temperatures and under harsh conditions, resulting in lower costs for various industrial and biotechnological applications. However, due to a limited understanding of the relationship between stability and function, protein stabilization remains primarily a trial-and-error approach. Therefore, building a combinatorial library of mutations predicted to improve stability, followed by experimental testing, represents a markedly improved methodology. However, the lack of high-throughput approaches to screen even a moderately sized library presents a major bottleneck in the field. Here, in this study, we use a thermophile, Parageobacillus thermoglucosidasius (Ptherm) to rapidly screen combinatorial libraries consisting of rationally designed thermostabilizing mutations (∼10 3 –10 4 ) of a mesophilic fluorescent reporter, Y-FAST. On a Petri dish, microbial growth at an elevated temperature and exposure to fluorogen yielded several colonies of Ptherm that showed distinct fluorescence at 55 and 68 °C in our two sequentially generated libraries using Rosetta and ProteinMPNN, respectively. The Y-FAST variants isolated from fluorescent colonies were brighter than Y-FAST and showed higher resistance to thermal and chemical denaturation. AlphaFold-predicted structures and MD simulations revealed stability-enhancing salt bridges and hydrogen bond networks in the isolated FAST variants. The moderately thermostable FAST (tsFAST) and hyperstable FAST (hsFAST) were then demonstrated as translation reporters for protein expression and folding at elevated temperatures, such as 55 and 68 °C. Our approach of combinatorial library generation and high-throughput screening in a thermophilic chassis could, in principle, be extended to other proteins fused to these translation reporters. Furthermore, the hsFAST protein is small─half the size of the green fluorescent protein─and does not require oxygen for maturation, making it ideal for engineering extremophilic anaerobes for biosensing and bioconversion.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Thermal Regulation of CO 2 Activation Pathways via Interfacial Water Restructuring Enables Ampere-Level, Near-Unity CO Electrosynthesis

Electrochemical reduction of CO 2 to CO is a key step in carbon utilization technologies, yet maintaining high CO selectivity under elevated temperatures relevant to industrial membrane-electrode-assembly (MEA) electrolyzers remains challenging due to the competing hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). Additionally, the temperature dependence of CO selectivity on Cu-based catalysts has remained largely unexplored. Here, we demonstrate that incorporating atomic In or Sn into Cu fundamentally reshapes the selectivity of Cu catalysts at elevated temperatures. Dilute alloy catalysts, In 1 Cu and Sn 1 Cu, achieve >95% FE of CO over a broad current-density window (0.1−1.1 A cm −2 ) at 60 °C in MEA electrolyzers, far exceeding their performance at ambient temperature. In situ attenuated total reflection surface-enhanced infrared absorption spectroscopy suggests that elevating temperature depletes interfacial water activity, which favors a shift in CO 2 activation from a proton-coupled *COOH pathway toward an electron-driven *COO − -associated pathway, while also suppressing HER and CO hydrogenation. In contrast, benchmark CO-selective catalysts such as Ag exhibit minimal temperature-induced changes in CO production at 20−60 °C. These findings identify temperature as an unavoidable yet previously underutilized operating parameter in MEA electrolyzers for high-rate, selective CO production on Cubased catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Can Restoring Tidal Wetlands Reduce Estuarine Nuisance Flooding of Coasts Under Future Sea‐Level Rise?

Wetland restoration is an increasingly popular nature‐based method for flood risk mitigation in coastal communities. In this study, we present a novel method using hydrodynamic modeling and harmonic analysis to quantify wetlands' ability to reduce future nuisance flooding. The method leverages a hydrodynamic model calibrated to present day data and was run for a range of future sea‐level rise (SLR) and wetland restoration scenarios to quantify changes to tidal harmonic amplitudes and phases. The harmonic constituents are used to generate water surface elevations over a time period of interest (e.g., one year) and compared to critical exceedance thresholds such as levee elevations. Then, changes to nuisance flooding are calculated by counting the number of hours critical thresholds are exceeded under different SLR and wetland restoration scenarios. We applied the method to Coos Bay, Oregon, USA as a test case. We found restoration reduces the number of hours nuisance flooding occurs in downtown Coos Bay from 15 hr (present day conditions) to 0 hr (fully restored condition) under median SLR (82 cm by 2100). Restoration had spatially variable impacts on reducing peak flood elevations with minimal impacts near the estuary mouth and greatest impact 32 km inland. The effectiveness of restoration was heavily dependent on future SLR. Restoration was maximally effective in 2050 under all SLR scenarios, less effective in 2100 under median SLR, and not effective under high SLR. Modeling results suggest increased tidal prism and accommodation space are driving restoration‐associated reductions in tidal amplitudes.

Brand, Matthew W. [Louisiana State Univ., Baton Ro↗

Global River Topology (GRIT): A Bifurcating River Hydrography

Existing global river networks underpin a wide range of hydrological applications but do not represent channels with divergent river flows (bifurcations, multi‐threaded channels, canals), as these features defy the convergent flow assumption that elevation‐derived networks (e.g., HydroSHEDS, MERIT Hydro) are based on. Yet, bifurcations are important features of the global river drainage system, especially on large floodplains and river deltas, and are also often found in densely populated regions. Here we developed the first raster and vector‐based Global RIver Topology that not only represents the tributaries of the global drainage network but also the distributaries, including multi‐threaded rivers, canals and deltas. We achieve this by merging a 30 m Landsat‐based river mask with elevation‐generated streams to ensure a homogeneous drainage density outside of the river mask for rivers narrower than approximately 30 m. Crucially, we employ the new 30 m digital terrain model, FABDEM, based on TanDEM‐X, which shows greater accuracy over the traditionally used SRTM derivatives. After vectorization and pruning, directionality is assigned by a series of elevation, flow angle and continuity approaches. The new global network and its attributes are validated using gauging stations, comparison with existing networks, and randomized manual checks. The new network represents 19.6 million km of streams and rivers with drainage areas greater than 50 km 2 and includes 67,495 bifurcations. With the advent of hyper‐resolution modeling and artificial intelligence, GRIT is expected to greatly improve the accuracy of many river‐based applications such as flood forecasting, water availability and quality simulations, or riverine habitat mapping.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Temporal covariation of island arc Sr isotopes and seawater chemistry over the past 2 billion years

The chemical compositions of island arc basalts (IAB) reflect contributions from the mantle as well as fluids and melts from the subducting slab. Addition of radiogenic seawater Sr to oceanic crust through hydrothermal alteration and subsequent subduction is often invoked to explain elevated 87 Sr/ 86 Sr signatures in modern IAB. However, changes in the 87 Sr/ 86 Sr of island arc magmatic rocks through time has not been investigated, limiting our understanding of the factors influencing the Sr budgets of arcs throughout Earth’s history. To address this, we compiled 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values from island arc magmatic rocks ranging in age from modern to Paleoproterozoic, only including data from island arc localities that best preserve initial magmatic 87 Sr/ 86 Sr. Median initial 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are consistently elevated compared to depleted mantle 87 Sr/ 86 Sr over this period, indicating persistent enrichment in radiogenic Sr in island arcs. Moreover, the elevation in island arc 87 Sr/ 86 Sr relative to the depleted mantle is variable. A notable rise in island arc 87 Sr/ 86 Sr during the late Neoproterozoic coincides with a steep increase in seawater 87 Sr/ 86 Sr and Sr concentration. To investigate this potential connectivity, we modeled the 87 Sr/ 86 Sr of island arc magmas between 0 and 830 Ma with inputs of depleted mantle 87 Sr/ 86 Sr, seawater 87 Sr/ 86 Sr, and seawater Sr concentration. The model reproduces the overall trajectory of the compiled data. We interpret the observed temporal variation in island arc 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values and its close association with fluctuations in seawater chemistry as evidence that changes in marine geochemistry have strongly influenced the Sr isotopic record of island arc magmas over time.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Oxidative stress is a shared characteristic of ME/CFS and Long COVID

Over 65 million individuals worldwide are estimated to have Long COVID (LC), a complex multisystemic condition marked by fatigue, post-exertional malaise, and other symptoms resembling myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). With no clinically approved treatments or reliable diagnostic markers, there is an urgent need to define the molecular underpinnings of these conditions. By studying bioenergetic characteristics of peripheral blood lymphocytes in 25 healthy controls, 27 ME/CFS, and 20 LC donors, we find both ME/CFS and LC donors exhibit signs of elevated oxidative stress, especially in the memory subset. Using a combination of flow cytometry, RNA-seq, mass spectrometry, and systems chemistry analysis, we observed aberrations in reactive oxygen species (ROS) clearance pathways including elevated glutathione levels, decreases in mitochondrial superoxide dismutase protein levels, and glutathione peroxidase 4–mediated lipid oxidative damage. Strikingly, these redox pathways changes show sex-specific trends. While ME/CFS females exhibit higher total ROS and mitochondrial calcium levels, males have normal ROS levels, with pronounced mitochondrial lipid oxidative damage. In females, these higher ROS levels correlate with T cell hyperproliferation, consistent with the known role of elevated ROS in initiating proliferation. This hyperproliferation can be attenuated by metformin, suggesting this Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved drug as a possible treatment, as also suggested by a recent clinical study of LC patients. Moreover, these results suggest a shared mechanistic basis for the systemic phenotypes of ME/CFS and LC, which can be detected by quantitative blood cell measurements, and that effective, patient-tailored drugs might be discovered using standard lymphocyte stimulation assays.

ME/CFS↗

Future climate doubles the risk of hydraulic failure in a wet tropical forest

Summary Future climate presents conflicting implications for forest biomass. We evaluate how plant hydraulic traits, elevated CO 2 levels, warming, and changes in precipitation affect forest primary productivity, evapotranspiration, and the risk of hydraulic failure. We used a dynamic vegetation model with plant hydrodynamics (FATES‐HYDRO) to simulate the stand‐level responses to future climate changes in a wet tropical forest in Barro Colorado Island, Panama. We calibrated the model by selecting plant trait assemblages that performed well against observations. These assemblages were run with temperature and precipitation changes for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios (2086–2100: SSP2‐45, SSP5‐85) and two CO 2 levels (contemporary, anticipated). The risk of hydraulic failure is projected to increase from a contemporary rate of 5.7% to 10.1–11.3% under future climate scenarios, and, crucially, elevated CO 2 provided only slight amelioration. By contrast, elevated CO 2 mitigated GPP reductions. We attribute a greater variation in hydraulic failure risk to trait assemblages than to either CO 2 or climate. Our results project forests with both faster growth (through productivity increases) and higher mortality rates (through increasing rates of hydraulic failure) in the neo‐tropics accompanied by certain trait plant assemblages becoming nonviable.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

End-of-Century Changes in Orographic Precipitation with the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research Model over the Western United States

Abstract Downscaled precipitation projections were created using the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR) model over the western United States to increase the physical realism in orographic precipitation changes. End-of-century simulations from eight models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were downscaled with ICAR and compared to the widely utilized statistically downscaled dataset, localized constructed analogs (LOCAs), to understand where and why projections of cool-season (September–May) precipitation differed. ICAR and LOCA precipitation projections were similar, but their sign differed in hydrologically relevant regions likely due to ICAR’s simulation of microphysics and mesoscale dynamics with high-resolution topography (6 km). In the Pacific Northwest, cool-season precipitation projections from ICAR showed an increase on the windward side of the Cascades and no significant change within the lee. This difference between the windward and leeward side was attributed to reduced zonal wind speeds, allowing more time for microphysical processes within ICAR. This contrast is enhanced by rain’s faster fall speed compared to snow, limiting transport into the lee. Meanwhile, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation across the Cascades. In the Upper Colorado River basin, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation in high elevation regions (>3000 m), but ICAR projected no significant change or a decrease in precipitation. High elevation differences were most evident in the spring and fall and were also attributed to a snow-to-rain transition and dynamical processes that impacted orographic enhancement within ICAR. Idealized, controlled studies are needed to better isolate individual processes, but these results underscore the importance of including microphysics and mesoscale dynamics within regional-scale precipitation projections. Significance Statement A set of global climate model simulations was downscaled using an atmospheric model that contains key physical equations, referred to as Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR). ICAR was used to examine projected changes in end-of-century cool-season precipitation over mountains in the western United States. Precipitation projections from ICAR were similar to projections that used statistical relationships to downscale climate projections. However, projections differed between ICAR and statistically downscaled datasets in whether they increased, decreased, or stayed the same in specific, hydrologically relevant regions such as the eastern Cascades and high elevation areas of the Upper Colorado River basin. These differences were attributed to the simulation of physical processes in ICAR. The results highlight the importance of kilometer-scale atmospheric processes in regional climate projections.

Currier, William Ryan [NOAA/Physical Sciences Labo↗

Continuous snow depth and temperature measurements from dense network of above-ground distributed temperature profiling systems from 2021-09-23 to 2024-08-23, Seward Peninsula, Alaska

The dataset contains temperature measurements from distributed temperature profiling (DTP) systems (Dafflon et al., 2022; Wielandt et al., 2022; Wang et al., 2024a; Fiolleau et al., 2024) deployed vertically above the ground surface at a large number of locations from 2021 to 2024. The research is designed to improve understanding of the local heterogeneity in snow depth and snow thermal insulation dynamics, as well as their interactions in a discontinuous permafrost region (Wang et al., 2025). The DTP systems were deployed at 96 locations in a watershed along the Nome-Teller road at mile marker 27 (T27) and at 54 locations on a hillslope along the Kougarok road at mile marker 64 (K64) in the Seward Peninsula, Alaska. The probe location information is stored in Probe_locations_T27.csv and Probe_locations_K64.csv. Temperature measurements were recorded at 15-minute intervals using high-precision digital sensors (accuracy: ±0.1°C, resolution: 0.0078°C). The temperature probes, either 1.4 m or 1.6 m long, contain sensors spaced every 5 cm or 10 cm along their length. The temperature data are stored in compressed files following the format: DTP_snow_air_temperature_(site)_(start)_(end).zip, where site is either T27 or K64, and start and end represent the time series period. Within each ZIP file, individual CSV files are named by probe ID and contain temperature records at different heights above the ground surface.This dataset also includes derived snow depth time series over three snow seasons, estimated from temperature measurements. Snow depth was estimated by identifying the consecutive sensor pair that exhibited the largest drop in high-frequency temperature fluctuations (detailed in the methods). These data are stored in: Snow_depths_flags_(site)_(start)_(end).csv, which includes snow depth time series and corresponding quality flags (defined in the methods) from different probes. Additionally, the dataset includes derived metrics and supporting measurements at selected locations over two snow seasons, contributing to the manuscript of Wang et al., 2025. These locations were chosen based on the availability of high-quality snow depth time series during both seasons. The additional data include: (1) Air temperature proxies measured from the top sensors on the pole when they were not buried by snow, stored in Air_temperature_proxies_(site)_(start)_(end).csv (2) Ground interface temperature, recorded at 3 cm above the ground, stored in Ground_interface_temperature_(site)_(start)_(end).csv (3) Site characteristics, including vegetation height, elevation, and the topographic position index (TPI) within a 50 m radius, stored in Selected_probe_locations_gps_vegheight_tpi_elevation_(site).csv. These metrics were derived from 1 m resolution summer LiDAR-based digital elevation models and digital surface models from Singhania et al., 2023, DOI:10.5440/1832016. Metadata files include data descriptions (_dd.csv) for tabular data. All included files are listed and described in xxxx_flmd.csv.This dataset is an updated version of a previous archive (Wang et al., 2024b, DOI: 10.15485/2475020), incorporating multiple seasons and improved snow depth estimation. Please note that due to large amount of information present in this dataset, many specificities associated with the acquisition of snow temperature, air temperature proxy and estimation of snow depth, and the future archiving of additional datasets on the soil temperature, thaw depth and soil characteristics at these locations, the author would welcome being contacted by people planning to use this dataset.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

New Tank Mapping Method Improves Waste Removal Process

Savannah River Mission Completion is the Liquid Waste (LW) contractor at the Savannah River Site (SRS). The LW mission is tasked with treating and disposing of legacy nuclear waste. There are multiple facilities involved in this work, including the Concentration, Storage, and Transfer Facilities (CSTF), the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF), the Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF), and the Saltstone Production Facility (SPF). The CSTF includes 43 underground waste tanks used to store and support processing of radioactive liquid waste. Waste removal activities, such as salt dissolution campaigns and sludge agitation, are conducted within the CSTF waste tanks to convert the waste into a form that allows for downstream processing at other LW facilities. While performing these waste removal campaigns, camera inspections are performed to assess the quantity and distribution of the remaining waste within the waste tank (i.e. saltcake or sludge). Understanding the quantity and distribution of the salt/sludge within the waste tanks allows for improved waste removal strategies (e.g. mixing pump operation) and refined safety controls. Typically, several camera inspections are performed during a waste removal transfer to verify the elevation of the visible salt/sludge mounds against the known elevation of the liquid surface. The camera inspection footage must then be interpreted by a trained engineer who will develop a 2-D map that depicts the waste distribution at various elevations within the waste tank. This tank mapping is then used in conjunction with conservative assumptions to evaluate the volume of saltcake or sludge that is present within the waste tank.

Mini, Melany↗