Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “goodness of fit”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Zavitsas’ hydration model for electrolytes only stable in the presence of another: NaAl(OH) 4 in aqueous NaOH solution

Many aqueous electrolytes are only stable in the presence of another electrolyte, such as electrolytes that are only soluble in strong acid or base. An example is sodium aluminate [NaAl(OH) 4 ], which is only stable in aqueous NaOH. This complicates developing thermodynamic parameters because it is difficult to separate the contributions of individual electrolytes in multicomponent solutions to measured bulk thermodynamic properties. The present study develops a method to determine the liquid phase parameters from solubility data for Zavitsas’ Hydration model, a model that incorporates hydration parameters into the activities of dissolved species. Furthermore, this study uses gibbsite [Al(OH) 3 ] solubility data in aqueous NaOH solution to develop Zavitsas' model parameters for NaAl(OH) 4 simultaneously with the equilibrium constants. A good fit of the solubility data was found, showing that Zavitsas’ model is effective for this system.

Bayer process↗
DOE OSTI2023

Isotherm modeling and techno-economic analysis of a TSA moving bed process using a tetraamine-appended MOF for NGCC applications

Tetraamine-appended metal-organic frameworks (MOF) are a new family of amine-functionalized MOF materials that show potential for CO 2 capture from flue gas conditions relevant to natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) power plants. This work presents isotherm modeling of the tetraamine-appended MOF Mg 2 (dobpdc)(3-4-3)(dobpdc 4- =4,4'-dioxidobiphenyl-3,3'dicarboxylate;3-4-3=N,N'bis(3-aminopropyl)-1,4-diaminobutane), process modeling, scale up, and a techno-economic optimization of a moving bed Temperature Swing Adsorption (TSA) process for carbon capture using this sorbent. This MOF exhibits a unique two-step CO 2 adsorption profile in three different pressure ranges. Thus, arctangent-based logistic functions and, quadratic and Langmuir models were employed to represent such isotherm behavior. The results of the isotherm model show good fitting vs the experimental data with an RMSE of 0.41. Here, to model the carbon capture process, the isotherm model was embedded into a moving bed contactor model, and this was used to simulate a TSA CO 2 capture cycle and evaluate cost-optimal designs considering flue gas from a -650 MWe NGCC power plant. The capital cost model consists of CAPEX correlations for reactors, compressors, ducting, etc., while the operating costs include steam, water, chemicals, and electricity (following NETL's quality guidelines for energy systems studies). A techno-economic optimization of the capture system was performed by using NETL's Framework for the Optimization and Quantification of Uncertainty and Surrogates tool (FOQUS). Results suggest that a moving bed carbon capture system with tetraamine-appended MOF can be competitive compared to conventional MEA solvent-based capture processes for NGCC plants, when a heat recovery efficiency of at least 40% is achieved, and MOF materials can be produced at a cost below -$9/kg.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Radon kinetics in a natural indoor radon chamber

An unusual 180 m 3 storage room in the basement of a two-story laboratory building is unventilated, and separated from occupiable rooms by double steel doors. The space completely borders on soil through the concrete floor and two of its concrete walls. The room also contains a separate inner chamber with 1 m thick concrete walls designed to damp vibrations in the room above it. The space boasts a relatively high radon level, 1083 Bq m –3 , which varies with local outdoor environmental conditions. Measurements were made of radon concentrations at various locations and heights within the facility. More than a year of continuous radon concentration data corresponding to a single location are also available, along with measurements of indoor and outdoor pressure, temperature, and humidity. Data were also collected with as many as five fans placed in different locations and cycled on for variable time periods. First order linear kinetic models were created to explain the observed approaches to steady state due to changing conditions and wash-out resulting from intentional ventilation. Results demonstrate a good fit between changes in the radon concentration level and the developed compartmental models. Furthermore, no significant differences were observed between radon concentration at different locations or heights in the chamber.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2022

Plutonium reactive transport in fractured granite: Multi-species experiments and simulations

Plutonium (Pu) in the subsurface environment can transport in different oxidation states as an aqueous solute or as colloidal particles. The transport behavior of Pu is affected by the relative abundances of these species and can be difficult to predict when they simultaneously exist. This study investigates the concurrent transport of Pu intrinsic colloids, Pu(IV) (aq) and Pu(V-VI) (aq) through a combination of controlled experiments and semi-analytical dual-porosity transport modeling. Pu transport experiments were conducted in a fractured granite at high and low flow rates to elucidate sorption processes and their scaling behavior. In the experiments, Pu(IV) (aq) was the least mobile of the Pu species, Pu(V-VI) (aq) had intermediate mobility, and the colloidal Pu, which consisted mainly of precipitated and/or hydrolyzed Pu(IV), was the most mobile. The semi-analytical modeling revealed that the sorption of each Pu species was rate-limited, as the sorption could not be described by assuming local equilibrium in the experiments. The model was able to describe the sorption of the different Pu species that occurring either on fracture surfaces, in the pores of the rock matrix, or simultaneously in both locations. While equally good fits to the data could be achieved using any of these assumptions, a fracture-dominated process was considered to be the most plausible because it provided the most reasonable estimates of sorption rate constants. Importantly, a key result of this work is that the sorption rate constant of all Pu species tends to decrease with increasing time scales, which implies that Pu will tend to be more mobile at longer time scales than observations at shorter time scales suggest. This result has important implications for predicting the environmental impacts of Pu in the safety assessments of geologic repositories for radioactive waste disposal, and we explore potential mechanistic bases for upscaling the sorption rate constants to time and distance scales that cannot be practically evaluated in experiments.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Forced Crowding of Colloids by Thermophoresis and Convection in a Custom Liquid Clusius–Dickel Microdevice

Here, we report a study demonstrating that simultaneous induction of a steady-state convection current and temperature gradient in a confined geometry can be an effective way to force crowding of dissolved particulates. To investigate this thermogravitationally driven concentration of particles in-situ, we developed a micro-device capable of sustaining controlled transverse temperature gradients within a 5 cm long, 0.1 mm inner diameter capillary that allowed visualization of particle movement with standard optical microscopy. Experiments were conducted on two material systems representative of nano-scale small molecules and micro-scale particles. With the small molecules (aromatic dyes, 530-790 g/mol, 1-1.5 nm) thermophoretic and gravitational effects in the micro-device resulted in an asymmetrical 2x concentration change along the capillary height over 3 days. In contrast, the concentration change under similar conditions for 40-micron diameter latex colloids is 50-fold in 30 minutes. This dramatic difference in separation times is consistent with simulations and models of thermophoresis where the thermophoretic effect scales with particle size. Induced crowding of particulates leads to formation of accumulation and depletion zones in at the bottom and top of the capillary respectively. Both the concentration of dye molecules over time in the depletion zone and spatial distribution of colloids over the entire capillary length were found to be good fits to simple first-order exponential decay functions. Furthermore, these results suggest potential applications of thermogravitational separation in developing new functional materials via thermophoretic and convective effects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Grazing Incidence Wide-Angle X-ray Scattering of Water Adsorption in Polyamide Barrier Layers of Reverse Osmosis Membranes

To understand the relationship between the intermolecular structure of aromatic polyamide (PA) scaffold and the water molecules in the barrier layers of reverse osmosis (RO) membranes, a grazing incidence wide-angle X-ray scattering (GIWAXS) study was carried out on freestanding PA thin films at varying relative humidity (RH) conditions. The scattering results were analyzed by an interference scattering model, containing a phase factor between a PA chain and an adsorbed water molecule. This model yielded good fits to the GIWAXS profiles where the water adsorption was found to vary linearly with RH. Atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations were also performed to complement the experimental study. Furthermore, the simulations revealed that a rapid condensation layer initially formed on the PA film surface, followed by the slow water molecule diffusion inside the PA membrane. Sparse adsorbed water, isolated in subnanopores of the PA film adjacent to the polar atoms, even in very low quantities, modifies the X-ray scattering. Atomistic simulations at the microscopic scale provide partial support for several X-ray scattering findings.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Diatom Physiology Controls Silicic Acid Leakage in Response to Iron Fertilization

We explore how the iron dependence of the Si:P uptake ratio R Si:P of diatoms controls the response of the global silicon cycle and phytoplankton community structure to Southern Ocean iron fertilization. We use a data‐constrained model of the coupled Si‐P‐Fe cycles that features a mechanistic representation of nutrient colimitations for three phytoplankton classes and that is embedded in a data‐assimilated global ocean circulation model. We consider three parameterizations of the iron dependence of R Si:P , all of which are consistent with the available field data and allow equally good fits to the observed nutrient climatology but result in very different responses to iron fertilization: Depending on how sharply R Si:P decreases with increasing iron concentration, iron fertilization can either cause enhanced silicic acid leakage from the Southern Ocean or strengthened Southern Ocean silicon trapping. Enhanced silicic acid leakage occurs if decreases in R Si:P win over increases in diatom growth, while the converse causes strengthened Southern Ocean silicon trapping. Silicic acid leakage drives a floristic shift in favor of diatoms in the subtropical gyres and stimulates increased low‐latitude opal export. The diatom contribution to global phosphorus export increases, but the lower diatom silicon requirement under iron‐replete conditions reduces the global opal export. Regardless of R Si:P parameterization, the global response of the biological phosphorus and silicon pumps is dominated by the Southern Ocean. The Si isotope signature of opal flux becomes systematically lighter with increasing iron‐induced silicic acid leakage, consistent with sediment records from iron‐rich glacial periods.

Holzer, Mark↗
DOE OSTI2020

Distributing User Code with the CernVM FileSystem

The CernVM FileSystem (CVMFS) is widely used in High Throughput Computing to efficiently distributed experiment code. However, the standard CVMFS publishing tools are designed for a small group of people from each experiment to maintain common software, and the tools are not a good fit for publishing software from numerous users in each experiment. As a result, most user code, such as code to do specific physics analyses, is still sent with every job to the place the job is run. That process is relatively inefficient, especially when the user code is large. To overcome these limitations, we have built a CVMFS user code publication system. This publication system enables users to still submit their code with their jobs but the code is distributed and accessed through the standard CVMFS infrastructure. The user code is automatically deleted from CVMFS after a period of no use. Most of the software for the system is available as a single self-contained open source rpm called cvmfs-user-pub and is available for other deployments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

High-field Q-slope mitigation due to impurity profile in superconducting radio-frequency cavities

In this study, we present new insights on the origin of the high-field Q-slope in superconducting radio-frequency cavities. Consequent hydrofluoric acid rinses are used to probe the radio-frequency performance as a function of the material removal of two superconducting bulk niobium cavities prepared with low temperature nitrogen infusion. The study reveals that nitrogen infusion affects only the first few tens of nanometers below the native oxide layer. The typical high-field Q-slope behavior of electropolished cavities is indeed completely recovered after a dozen hydrofluoric acid rinses. The reappearance of the high-field Q-slope as a function of material removal was modeled by means of London's local description of screening currents in the superconductor, returning good fitting of the experimental data and suggesting that interstitial impurities layers with diffusion length of the order to tens of nanometers can mitigate high-field Q-slope.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Thermal shock resistance of multilayer silicon carbide receiver tubes for 800°C molten salt concentrating solar power application

CSP power tower receiver systems during rapid transient weather periods can be vulnerable to thermal shock conditions from rain that which can facilitate the onset of leaks and failures that can have catastrophic consequences. Silicon carbide (SiC) materials have attractive receiver application characteristics for being light weight, having high-strength and excellent thermal shock resistance performance which make them a particularly good fit for receiver absorber materials in CSP. In this investigation, the performance characteristics of Ceramic Tubular Products (CTP) SiC ceramic matrix composite (CMC), multilayered tubes were explored with respect to thermal shock performance for solar receiver applications in next generation CSP plants. Here, thermal shock testing was performed at the Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) Solar Furnace facility using a dynamic stage and thermal shock tube test setup. The tubes tested under incident solar heat flux of 100 W/cm2 were heated with inner tube temperatures reaching approximately 800 °C, with outer temperatures exceeding or just reaching 1000 El for the multilayer and monolithic SiC tubes respectively. The tubes were then quenched with simulated rain. The tubes were then cooled and subjected to hoop stress analysis using an Instron device to assess their subsequent mechanical strength. Furthermore, the on-sun study experimental results indicate an average of 24.2% and 97% higher hoop strength for the CMC tubes than those composed of monolithic SiC and aluminum oxide (A1203) respectively.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

First application of a digital mirror Langmuir probe for real-time plasma diagnosis

We report for the first time, a digital Mirror Langmuir Probe (MLP) has successfully sampled plasma temperature, ion saturation current, and floating potential together on a single probe tip in real time in a radio-frequency driven helicon linear plasma device. This is accomplished by feedback control of the bias sweep to ensure a good fit to I–V characteristics with a high frequency, high power digital amplifier, and field-programmable gate array controller. Measurements taken by the MLP were validated by a low speed I–V characteristic manually collected during static plasma conditions. Plasma fluctuations, induced by varying the axial magnetic field($\widetilde{f}$ = 10 Hz), were also successfully monitored with the MLP. Further refinement of the digital MLP pushes it toward a turn-key system that minimizes the time to deployment and lessens the learning curve, positioning the digital MLP as a capable diagnostic for the study of low radio-frequency plasma physics. These demonstrations bolster confidence in fielding such digital MLP diagnostics in magnetic confinement experiments with high spatial and adequate temporal resolution, such as edge plasma, scrape-off layer, and divertor probes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reactive burn model calibration using high-throughput initiation experiments at sub-millimeter length scales

We report a first-of-its-kind model calibration was performed using Sandia National Laboratories’ high-throughput initiation (HTI) experiment for two types of vapor-deposited explosive films consisting of hexanitrostilbene (HNS) or pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN). These films exhibit prompt initiation, and they reach steady detonation at sub-millimeter length scales. Following prior work on HNS, we test the hypothesis of approximating these explosive films as fine-grained homogeneous solids with simple Arrhenius kinetics burn models. The model calibration process is described herein using a single-step as well as a two-step Arrhenius rate law, and it consists of systematic parameter sampling leading to a reduction in the model degrees of freedom. Multiple local minima are observed; results are given for seven different optimized parameter sets. Each model set is further evaluated in a two-dimensional simulation of the critical failure thickness for a sustained detonation. Overall, the two-step Arrhenius kinetics model captures the observed behavior for HNS; however, neither model produces a good fit to the PETN data. We hypothesize that the HTI results for PETN correspond to a heterogeneous response, owing to the smaller reaction zone of PETN compared to HNS (i.e., it does not homogenize the fine-grained hot spots as well). Future work should consider using the ignition and growth model for PETN, as well as other reactive burn models such as xHVRB, AWSD, PiSURF, and CREST.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of lithium as a tritium storage medium for betavoltaics

Lithium foils were demonstrated to absorb surrogate protium for tritium-powered betavoltaics. 20μm thick lithium foils were hole-punched from a ribbon of electrodeposited lithium on copper foil. The lithium foils were loaded with hydrogen in a custom Sievert apparatus where the pressure drop showed full hydriding at a hydrogen pressure of 2 bar and at all loading temperatures above the lithium melting point at 190, 200, 225, 250, and 300. Lithium hydride formation was confirmed with Raman spectroscopy after hydrogen loading. The kinetics of experimental hydride formation was compared to the diffusion-limited Mintz–Bloch model. While the Mintz–Bloch model showed good fit with the experimental loadings, the model overpredicted the loading kinetics starting at 250 °C and at higher temperatures. In conclusion, The overprediction was either caused by lithium hydride outgassing due to some reduction with some residual lithium hydroxide created from brief air exposure when sealing the lithium in the reactor or a transition from diffusion-limited hydride growth to surface or metal–hydride interface-limited hydride growth.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Has AMS-02 observed two-component dark matter?

There is convincing observational evidence for an increasing cosmic-ray positron-to-electron ratio at energies larger than ~10 GeV, at odds with expectations from secondary positron production. The most recent AMS-02 data exhibit an interesting spectral feature consisting of a bump at an energy around 300 GeV followed by a drop around ~800 GeV. A possible explanation for the most recent data is that the excess positron flux originates from decaying dark matter. Here, we show that models consisting of two dark matter particle species contributing equally to the global cosmological dark matter density provide good fits to the data. The favored models, with a best-fit with χ 2 / d . o . f ~ 2, consist of a first species weighing 750 GeV decaying with a lifetime τ χ ~ 10 26 s to τ lepton pairs (or to a pair of vector bosons subsequently decaying to a τ pair each), and a second species with a mass around 2.3 TeV decaying to μ lepton pairs. We provide a few possible concrete realizations for this scenario.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Tomographic galaxy clustering with the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam first year public data release

We analyze the clustering of galaxies in the first public data release of the HSC Subaru Strategic Program. Despite the relatively small footprints of the observed fields, the data are an excellent proxy for the deep photometric datasets that will be acquired by LSST, and are therefore an ideal test bed for the analysis methods being implemented by the LSST DESC. We select a magnitude limited sample with i<24.5 and analyze it in four redshift bins covering 0.15≲z≲1.5. We carry out a Fourier-space analysis of the two-point clustering of this sample, including all auto- and cross-correlations. We demonstrate the use of map-level deprojection methods to account for fluctuations in the galaxy number density caused by observational systematics. Through an HOD analysis, we place constraints on the characteristic halo masses of this sample, finding a good fit up to scales k max = 1Mpc –1 , including both auto- and cross-correlations. Our results show monotonically decreasing average halo masses, which can be interpreted in terms of the drop-out of red galaxies at high redshifts for a flux-limited sample. In terms of photometric redshift systematics, we show that additional care is needed in order to marginalize over uncertainties in the redshift distribution in galaxy clustering, and that these uncertainties can be constrained by including cross-correlations. We are able to make a ~3σ detection of lensing magnification in the HSC data. Our results are stable to variations in σ 8 and Ω c and we find constraints that agree well with measurements from Planck and low-redshift probes. Lastly, we use our pipeline to study the clustering of galaxies as a function of limiting flux, and provide a simple fitting function for the linear galaxy bias for magnitude limited samples as a function of limiting magnitude and redshift.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Relic neutrino decay solution to the excess radio background

Abstract The excess radio background detected by ARCADE 2 represents a puzzle within the standard cosmological model. There is no clear viable astrophysical solution, and therefore, it might indicate the presence of new physics. Radiative decays of a relic neutrino ν_i (either i=1, or i=2, or i=3) into a sterile neutrino ν_ s, assumed to be quasi-degenerate, provide a solution that currently evades all constraints posed by different cosmological observations and reproduces very well the ARCADE 2 data. We find a very good fit to the ARCADE 2 data with best fit values τ_i = 1.46 × 10^21 s and Δ m_i = 4.0 × 10^-5 eV, where τ_i is the lifetime and Δ m_i is the mass difference between the decaying active neutrino and the sterile neutrino. On the other hand, if relic neutrino decays do not explain ARCADE 2 data, then these place a stringent constraint Δ m_i^3/2τ_i ≳ 2 × 10^14 eV^3/2 s in the range 1.4 × 10^-5 eV<Δ m_i < 2.5 × 10^-4 eV. The solution also predicts a stronger 21 cm absorption global signal than the predicted one from the ΛCDM model, with a contrast brightness temperature T_21 = -238^+21_-20 mK (99% C.L.) at redshift z≃ 17. This is in mild tension with the even stronger signal found by the EDGES collaboration, T_21 = - 500^+200_-500 mK, suggesting that this might have been overestimated, possibly receiving a contribution from some unidentified foreground source.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2021

An AMUSING look at the host of the periodic nuclear transient ASASSN-14ko reveals a second AGN

ABSTRACT We present Multi-Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) integral-field spectroscopy of ESO 253−G003, which hosts a known active galactic nucleus (AGN) and the periodic nuclear transient ASASSN-14ko, observed as part of the All-weather MUse Supernova Integral-field of Nearby Galaxies survey. The MUSE observations reveal that the inner region hosts two AGN separated by $1.4\pm 0.1~\rm {kpc}$ (≈1${_{.}^{\prime\prime}}$7). The brighter nucleus has asymmetric broad permitted emission-line profiles and is associated with the archival AGN designation. The fainter nucleus does not have a broad emission-line component but exhibits other AGN characteristics, including $\hbox{$v_{\rm {FWHM}}$} \approx 700~\hbox{km~s$^{-1}$}$ forbidden line emission, $\rm{\log _{10}(\rm{[O\,\small {III}]}/\rm{H\beta})} \approx 1.1$, and high-excitation potential emission lines, such as [Fe vii] λ6086 and He ii λ4686. The host galaxy exhibits a disturbed morphology with large kpc-scale tidal features, potential outflows from both nuclei, and a likely superbubble. A circular relativistic disc model cannot reproduce the asymmetric broad emission-line profiles in the brighter nucleus, but two non-axisymmetric disc models provide good fits to the broad emission-line profiles: an elliptical disc model and a circular disc + spiral arm model. Implications for the periodic nuclear transient ASASSN-14ko are discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evidence for galaxy assembly bias in BOSS CMASS redshift-space galaxy correlation function

ABSTRACT Building accurate and flexible galaxy–halo connection models is crucial in modelling galaxy clustering on non-linear scales. Recent studies have found that halo concentration by itself cannot capture the full galaxy assembly bias effect and that the local environment of the halo can be an excellent indicator of galaxy assembly bias. In this paper, we propose an extended halo occupation distribution (HOD) model that includes both a concentration-based assembly bias term and an environment-based assembly bias term. We use this model to achieve a good fit (χ2/degrees of freedom = 1.35) on the 2D redshift-space two-point correlation function (2PCF) of the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) CMASS galaxy sample. We find that the inclusion of both assembly bias terms is strongly favoured by the data and the standard five-parameter HOD model is strongly rejected. More interestingly, the redshift-space 2PCF drives the assembly bias parameters in a way that preferentially assigns galaxies to lower mass haloes. This results in galaxy–galaxy lensing predictions that are within 1σ agreement with the observation, alleviating the perceived tension between galaxy clustering and lensing. We also showcase a consistent 3σ–5σ preference for a positive environment-based assembly bias that persists over variations in the fit. We speculate that the environmental dependence might be driven by underlying processes such as mergers and feedback, but might also be indicative of a larger halo boundaries such as the splashback radius. Regardless, this work highlights the importance of building flexible galaxy–halo connection models and demonstrates the extra constraining power of the redshift-space 2PCF.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗