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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing the Multifunctional Photocatalytic Activity of Sustainable Magnetic Nanoparticles

The development of efficient photocatalytic materials has intensified in response to increasing emphasis on sustainable energy conversion and environmental restoration. However, the excessive use and indiscriminate release of heavy metals from photocatalytic nanoparticles pose potential environmental risks. This study provides insights into optimizing visible-light-active photocatalysts to enhance their photocatalytic properties and stability. Specifically, cobalt doping and controlled pH modulation are employed on the modified Fe 3 O 4 , forming two distinct samples: Co@Fe 3 O 4 -B (base-treated) and Co@Fe 3 O 4 -A (acid-treated) nanoparticles. Microscopic characterization reveals that Co@Fe 3 O 4 -A undergoes a phase transition to hematite, whereas Co@Fe 3 O 4 -B retains its mixed-phase configuration. Spectroscopic analyses confirm that the cobalt dopants decorate the outskirts of each nanoparticle, forming a core–shell structure. However, Co@Fe 3 O 4 -B exhibit Co 2+ states with a high oxygen vacancy content, whereas Co@Fe 3 O 4 -A contain mixed Co 2+/3+ states. The high density of defect states in the Co@Fe 3 O 4 -B results in superior photocatalytic efficiency, achieving near-complete oxidation of furfuraldehyde (97% conversion) and 5-hydroxymethylfurfural (94% conversion), as well as effective degradation of toluene (78% conversion). This study demonstrates that the combined approach of doping and pH treatment is promising for the surface-defect engineering of photocatalysts, enhancing their multifunctional performance and reusability for sustainable energy conversion.

Fe3 O4 nanoparticles↗
DOE OSTI2020

Comprehensive characterization of hepatocyte-derived extracellular vesicles identifies direct miRNA-based regulation of hepatic stellate cells and DAMP-based hepatic macrophage IL-1ß and IL-17 upregulation in alcoholic hepatitis mice.

Extracellular vesicles (EVs) have been growingly recognized as biomarkers and mediators of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) in human and mice. Here we characterized hepatocyte-derived EVs (HC-EVs) and their cargo for their biological functions in a novel murine model that closely resembles liver pathology observed in patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH), the most severe spectrum of ALD. The number of circulating EVs and HC-EVs were significantly increased by 10-fold in AH mice compared to control mice. The miRNA(miR)-seq analysis detected 20 up-regulated and 4 down-regulated miRNAs (P < 0.001-0.05) in AH-HC-EVs. Treatment of murine primary hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) with AH-HC-EVs induced ?-SMA (P < 0.05) and Col1a1 (P < 0.001). Smad7, Nr1d2, and Rora genes which regulate HSC activation were predicted targets of 17 miRs up-regulated in AH-HC-EVs. Among them were miR-27a and miR-181 which upon transfection in HSCs, repressed Nr1d2, the HSC quiescence marker. AH-HC-EVs were also enriched in organelle proteins and mitochondrial DNA (10-fold, P < 0.05) and upregulated IL-1??and IL-17 production by hepatic macrophages (HMs) from AH mice in a TLR9-dependent manner. These results demonstrate HC-EV release is intensified in AH and suggest that AH-HC-EVs orchestrate liver fibrogenesis by directly targeting HSC quiescence transcripts via a unique set of miRNAs and by amplifying HSC activation via DAMP-based induction of profibrogenic IL-1? and IL-17 by HMs.

AH, hepatocyte-derived EVs, miRNAs, DAMPs, HSC act↗
DOE OSTI2020

Projected changes in the terrestrial and oceanic regulators of climate variability across sub-Saharan Africa

Future changes in the sign and intensity of ocean–land–atmosphere interactions have been insufficiently studied, despite implications for regional climate change projections, extreme event statistics, and seasonal climate predictability. In response to this deficiency, the present study focuses on projected responses to the enhanced greenhouse effect in: (1) the mean state of the atmosphere and land surface; (2) oceanic and terrestrial drivers of sub-Saharan climate variability; and (3) total seasonal climate predictability of sub-Saharan Africa, a region known for its pronounced land–atmosphere coupling. Analysis focuses on output from 23 Earth System Models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Five for the late twentieth and twenty-first centuries. It is projected that the greatest warming across sub-Saharan Africa will occur over the Sahel, the monsoon season will become more persistent into late summer and autumn, short rains in the Horn of Africa (HOA) will intensify, and leaf area index will increase across the HOA. Stepwise Generalized Equilibrium Feedback Assessment, i.e. a multivariate statistical approach, is applied to the model output over sub-Saharan Africa in order to explore the oceanic and terrestrial drivers of regional climate. The models indicate that the study region’s climate variability is dominated by oceanic drivers, with secondary contributions from soil moisture and very modest impacts from vegetation. Overall, the general model consensus of future projections indicates a concerning diminished seasonal predictability of sub-Saharan African regional climate based on key oceanic and terrestrial predictors and an elevated role of the land surface (associated with soil moisture anomalies) compared to oceanic drivers in regulating regional climate variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Understanding the diversity of the West African monsoon system change projected by CORDEX-CORE regional climate models

Understanding real uncertainties in projections is needed to support actions of decision and policy makers. In this study, two state-of-the-art regional climate models with ~ 25 km horizontal resolution forced with three different global climate models are employed to investigate the response of the West African Monsoon (WAM) system under the low (RCP2.6) and high (RCP8.5) emission scenarios. We make a step towards assessing the plausibility of rainfall change (ΔPr) patterns based on the models’ ability to realistically represent the WAM system under the historical period, and by analyzing changes in mechanisms associated with ΔPr patterns. Under global warming, experiments exhibit diverse ΔPr patterns underpinned by different combinations of mechanisms operating simultaneously. A dipole-like surface pressure change between the Sahara Desert and the Guinea Coast appears to be a differentiating factor between experiments featuring homogeneous or increased rainfall over all or a part of the Sahel from those simulating heterogeneous or reduced rainfall over the same domain. This dipole acts by modulating the amount and the extent of deepening of the monsoon flux inland, and hence the latitudinal positioning of the monsoon convective system. This process contributes to moistening the whole or central and eastern Sahel in some experiments while drying the Guinea Coast. The West African Westerly Jet (WAWJ) is responsible for strengthening and moistening the western Sahel under RCP2.6. However, the WAMJ becomes much stronger under RCP8.5 and may have contributed to the drying of the western Sahel by shifting moisture eastwards in addition to the mid-tropospheric moisture divergence through enhanced African Easterly Jet. Furthermore, for experiments expecting wetting (drying) of the Sahel, the strengthening (weakening) of the tropical easterly jet may have contributed to the projected intensification (reduction) of WAM rainfall by favoring uplift (downlift) above 600 hPa. It also emerges that the ΔPr patterns from REMO2015 experiments are likely more plausible than those from RegCM4-v7. The impacts of strong warming on the regional hydrological cycle are further investigated and we found that changes gradually intensify with the level of radiative forcing, highlighting the importance of mitigating warming as recommended by the Paris agreement.

CORDEX-CORE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Anticipating how rain-on-snow events will change through the 21st century: lessons from the 1997 new year’s flood event

The California-Nevada 1997 New Year’s flood was an atmospheric river (AR)-driven rain-on-snow (RoS) event and remains the costliest in their history. The joint occurrence of saturated soils, rainfall, and snowmelt generated inundation throughout northern California-Nevada. Although AR RoS events are projected to occur more frequently with climate change, the warming sensitivity of their flood drivers across scales remains understudied. We leverage the regionally refined mesh capabilities of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (RRM-E3SM) to recreate the 1997 New Year’s flood with horizontal grid spacings of 3.5 km across California, with forecast lead times of up to 4 days, and across six warming levels ranging from pre-industrial conditions to +3.5° C. We describe the sensitivity of the flood drivers to warming including AR duration and intensity, precipitation phase, intensity and efficiency, snowpack mass and energy changes, and runoff efficiency. Our findings indicate current levels of climate change negligibly influence the flood drivers. At warming levels ≥ 1.7° C, AR hazard potential increases, snowpack nonlinearly decreases, antecedent soil moisture decreases (except where the snowline retreats), and runoff decreases (except in the southern Sierra Nevada where antecedent snowpack persists). Storm total precipitation increases, but at rates below warming-induced increases in saturation-specific humidity. Warming intensifies short-duration, high-intensity rainfall, particularly where snowfall-to-rainfall transitions occur. This study highlights the nonlinear tradeoffs in 21st-century RoS flood hazards with warming and provides water management and infrastructure investment adaptation considerations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Atmospheric and oceanic energy transport during North Atlantic freshening events: influences of moisture transport and hydrologic cycle feedbacks

Analogs of present-day rapid ice melt can be found in episodic discharges of icebergs that occurred during glacial periods called Heinrich events. This introduces excess meltwater into the North Atlantic and weakens the Atlantic thermohaline circulation (AMOC), triggering a hydrologic cycle–AMOC collapse feedback as the atmospheric energy transport compensates for reduced northward heat transport. Here we employ a novel series of 100-year North Atlantic “hosing” simulations to investigate atmospheric and oceanic energy transport response from freshwater forcing, focusing in particular on the role of atmospheric rivers (ARs) within atmospheric energy transport. Importantly, we use an “overwriting” methodology that allow us to attribute AMOC weakening to added North Atlantic meltwater and subsequent hydrologic cycle responses, respectively. In contrast to far-reaching response of transient eddies, our results show a substantial increase in moisture convergence from ARs that is geographically constrained to the North Atlantic midlatitudes. Such AR changes nevertheless comprise an important component of net precipitation changes over the Euro-Atlantic sector, with the amount being comparable to that from transient eddies over the subpolar Atlantic. Over the course of the century-long simulations, we demonstrate that hydrologic cycle responses to North Atlantic freshening and subsequent feedbacks, including those from ARs, account for approximately half of the simulated AMOC collapse. Furthermore, our work highlights the dynamics of atmospheric moisture transport response to North Atlantic freshening events and elucidates how intensifying moisture transport may accelerate AMOC collapse in the future.

Atmospheric Science↗
DOE OSTI2026

Drought shifts dissolved organic matter sources from above- to belowground and stress-induced processes in Amazon white-sand forests

White-sand forests contribute significantly to dissolved organic matter (DOM) production in the central Amazon, forming blackwater rivers that dominate organic matter export from the Amazon basin to the ocean. Despite their importance in controlling DOM export, white-sand forests are understudied, and it remains unclear whether systematic changes in the formation of blackwater DOM occur and how seasonal variations and extremes like El Niño-associated droughts impact them. We collected soil porewater from two central Amazon white-sand forests for two years, spanning a wet La Niña year followed by an El Niño drought year. The molecular composition of DOM was analyzed using high-resolution mass spectrometry, and correlation network analysis was employed to identify ecologically meaningful DOM subsets. Using additional chemical characterization, database annotations, correlation with 14C-age of DOM and climatic variables, and ecological null modeling, we propose five distinct DOM sources: plant litter and throughfall, soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition, root exudation, and two drought response subsets of likely microbial and plant origin. During drought conditions, aboveground plant-derived compounds decreased, while SOM products, root exudates, and drought response compounds increased. These drought responses were qualitatively similar in both years but notably amplified in the drier El Niño year. Drought amplified deterministic control over DOM composition, indicating that DOM reflected directed biological responses and that future droughts are likely to generate similar shifts. Overall, drought substantially altered belowground carbon cycling by shifting DOM sources and inducing stress responses, effects expected to recur and potentially intensify under future climate scenarios.

Lange, Dan F.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Role of E × B Drift in Divertor Detachment Control via Boron Powder Injection on EAST

Here, the effects of B powder injection on plasma detachment about EAST discharge were studied by using SOLPS-ITER code package with the effects of E × B drifts considered. The simulation results show that plasma detachment occurs at the inner target in favourable toroidal magnetic field (B t ) direction at a relatively low B powder flow rate, one order of magnitude lower than that at the outer target. In a similar scenario with unfavourable B t , it is found that the detachment thresholds of B flow rate for both the inner and outer targets are close and of the same order as that for the outer target with favourable Bt. In favourable B t direction at B powder flow rate of 1.2 × 10 21 atoms/s, a localized, broadened high-density region is formed near the inner target benefitted by the injection location and the E × B drift, and a radiation-intensified zone, mostly contributed by B 1+ and B 2+ , occurs there. The E × B drift facilitates plasma detachment at the inner target and simultaneously amplifies the in–out divertor asymmetry. In addition, the simulation results with three different injection locations show that the injection from outer strike point leads to the lowest Z eff inside the separatrix and has an intermediate flow rate for detachment at the outer target, comparing with the X-point and upstream locations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Plasma Bubble Column Reactor: A High Throughput Reactor Design for Water Treatment

Plasma-based water treatment (PWT) is a promising technology that can degrade various emerging contaminants. However, PWT application on an industrially viable scale is hindered by the lack of an efficient reactor design that combines enhanced plasma-liquid contact with high liquid throughput. This work investigates the applicability of a bubble column gas-liquid contactor to PWT. A pulsed plasma bubble column reactor (PBCR) with a concentric rod-cylinder electrode configuration was used to correlate contaminant removal performance with the gas-liquid contact parameters of the bubble column. A surfactant, rhodamine B dye, and a nonsurfactant, caffeine, were used as model contaminants at µM concentration levels. The bubble column characteristics, i.e., gas holdup, bubble size distribution, and gas-liquid area, were measured as a function of superficial gas velocity using image-based methods. Degradation rates of both contaminants increased with gas flowrate. For caffeine, the increase was attributed to intensified bulk liquid mixing, while dye degradation increased due to the increased gas-liquid area. Ultimately, we show that bubble column contactors significantly improve the utilization of plasma-generated reactive species toward contaminant degradation by distributing them over a large contact area. As a result, a better match between the plasma species interfacial flux and the interfacial contaminant concentration leads to improved treatment energy efficiency. Furthermore, typical degradation energy efficiencies were ~10 g/kWh for caffeine and ~60 g/kWh for rhodamine B.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

The SuperCam Instrument Suite on the NASA Mars 2020 Rover: Body Unit and Combined System Tests

The SuperCam instrument suite provides the Mars 2020 rover, Perseverance, with a number of versatile remote-sensing techniques that can be used at long distance as well as within the robotic-arm workspace. These include laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS), remote time-resolved Raman and luminescence spectroscopies, and visible and infrared (VISIR; separately referred to as VIS and IR) reflectance spectroscopy. A remote micro-imager (RMI) provides high-resolution color context imaging, and a microphone can be used as a stand-alone tool for environmental studies or to determine physical properties of rocks and soils from shock waves of laser-produced plasmas. SuperCam is built in three parts: The mast unit (MU), consisting of the laser, telescope, RMI, IR spectrometer, and associated electronics, is described in a companion paper. The on-board calibration targets are described in another companion paper. Here we describe SuperCam’s body unit (BU) and testing of the integrated instrument. The BU, mounted inside the rover body, receives light from the MU via a 5.8 m optical fiber. The light is split into three wavelength bands by a demultiplexer, and is routed via fiber bundles to three optical spectrometers, two of which (UV and violet; 245–340 and 385–465 nm) are crossed Czerny-Turner reflection spectrometers, nearly identical to their counterparts on ChemCam. The third is a high-efficiency transmission spectrometer containing an optical intensifier capable of gating exposures to 100 ns or longer, with variable delay times relative to the laser pulse. This spectrometer covers 535–853 nm ( $105\text{--}7070~\text{cm}^{-1}$ Raman shift relative to the 532 nm green laser beam) with $12~\text{cm}^{-1}$ full-width at half-maximum peak resolution in the Raman fingerprint region. The BU electronics boards interface with the rover and control the instrument, returning data to the rover. Thermal systems maintain a warm temperature during cruise to Mars to avoid contamination on the optics, and cool the detectors during operations on Mars.Results obtained with the integrated instrument demonstrate its capabilities for LIBS, for which a library of 332 standards was developed. Examples of Raman and VISIR spectroscopy are shown, demonstrating clear mineral identification with both techniques. Luminescence spectra demonstrate the utility of having both spectral and temporal dimensions. Finally, RMI and microphone tests on the rover demonstrate the capabilities of these subsystems as well.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Enhancement of Nanostructured Ferritic Alloy 14YWT Properties via Heat Treatment for Post-Consolidation Processing

The nanostructured ferritic alloy 14YWT is a promising candidate for in-core use in generation IV nuclear reactors, due to a dense dispersion of insoluble, ultrafine-scale Y-Ti-O nano-oxides, which provide a high degree of irradiation tolerance and thermal stability. This work investigates the effects of heat treatment on the workability of 14YWT, along with the effect of processing history on abnormal grain structures and radial microstructural uniformity. In this study, a 14YWT rod consolidated at 850 °C was heat treated in argon at 1100 °C, 1150 °C, 1200 °C, or 1250 °C for 1 or 8 hours and changes in mechanical properties and microstructure were examined using microhardness and electron backscattered diffraction (EBSD). Two distinct types of large abnormal grains were observed, each with unique processing origins, including one with high and the other with low strain energy. Consolidation via direct extrusion resulted in radial microstructural gradients, where the center of the rod was softer with larger grain sizes and lower strain energies. These gradients persisted and intensified throughout heat treatment. Based upon this work, the recommended heat treatment for increased workability with minimal microstructural change is 1150 °C for 1 hours.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development of grain-scale slip activity and lattice rotation fields in Inconel 718

Using a combination of in-situ high-resolution digital image correlation (HR-DIC), Heaviside-DIC method (H-DIC), and crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE), we investigate the evolution of intragranular lattice rotations and slip activity during monotonic and cyclic loading in a high performance, polycrystalline face centered cubic material. The CPFE employs a quasi-3D model microstructure, which is a highly resolved mirror representation of the experimental in-situ test sample. In agreement, the measurements and calculations reveal that most grains, regardless of their size and lattice orientation, develop intragranular lattice rotation gradients that span the grain. For a small cluster of grains on the deformed material, we perform HR-DIC analysis of slip lines to demonstrate agreement in the active slip systems and changes in this local slip activity across the individual grains. The combined analysis reveals that deforming grains are divided into sub-granular regions of uniform lattice rotation and these regions are most often associated with only one or two active slip systems. The gradient lines that divide them correspond to changes in the predominant slip system. The model is used to examine the evolution of intragranular lattice rotation in a single fully reversed tension-compression cycle. The calculations indicate that intragranular gradients intensify during the reverse loading path as nearest neighboring regions appear to shed lattice rotation, increasing the lattice rotation in some regions, while shutting down rotation in neighboring regions. So these findings provide insight into the irreversible changes that develop within deforming grains at the scale of the grain, particularly the heterogeneous development of intragranular lattice rotation in early stages of deformation, which could serve as precursors to localization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Rules for the crystallite size and dislocation density evolution in phases during α-ω transformation in Zr under high-pressure and severe plastic flow

The first in-situ X-ray diffraction (XRD) study of the evolution of the crystallite size and dislocation density in phases during plastic strain-induced phase transformation (PT) is performed utilizing α-ω PT in strongly pre-deformed commercially pure Zr as an important example. Rough diamond anvils (rough-DA) are introduced to intensify all occurring processes during heterogeneous compression of Zr in a diamond anvil cell (DAC). The main rule is found that during α-ω PT the crystallite size and dislocation density in ω-Zr depend solely on the volume fraction of ω-Zr and are independent of pressure, plastic strain tensor, its path, and initial nanostructure. Crystallite size in ω-Zr increases from 10 to 60 nm during the PT, while dislocation density reduces from 1.83×10 15 /m 2 to 0.6×10 15 /m 2 . Rough-DA produce a steady nanostructure in α-Zr before PT with smaller crystallite size and larger dislocation density than smooth-DA, leading to a reduction of the minimum pressure for α-ω PT to a record value 0.67 GPa, 9 times smaller than under hydrostatic loading and 5.1 times lower than the phase equilibrium pressure. In addition to strain, the kinetics of strain-induced PT unexpectedly depends on time. Also, strain-controlled part of kinetics is zero order, in contrast to the first-order kinetics with smooth-DA. The obtained results open a new window for understanding the mutual effects of nanostructure evolution and PT during severe plastic flow in various technological and natural processes. In conclusion, they may bring up economic strategies of producing nanocomposites and single-phase nanostructured materials with optimal properties.

Crystalline size↗
DOE OSTI2025

Modeling the evolution of slip localization: Realization of link to material strength

Slip localization formation is the chief mechanism underlying the deformation of almost all metals, from pure elements to high-performance superalloys. The intensity of individual slip localizations is often related to the ultimate strain level for failure but not to the strength of the metal. Here we show that across 15 distinct metals, the intensity of slip in individual slip localizations and slip localization spacings are strongly related to material yield strength. Using a three-dimensional crystal plasticity-based micromechanical model that explicitly simulates the growth of discrete slip localizations, we reveal that the stronger the metal, the faster and earlier slip localizations intensify. The relationship is attributed to the formation of a zone that surrounds the slip localization where the driving force for slip is absent. We find that the zone size is controlled by the strength of the neighboring crystal. Consequently, as strength increases, slip becomes increasingly preferred within the slip localization itself and formation of other slip localizations becomes more likely further away.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Intensification differentially affects the delivery of multiple ecosystem services in subtropical and temperate grasslands

Intensification, the process of intensifying land management to enhance agricultural goods, results in “intensive” pastures that are planted with productive grasses and fertilized. These intensive pastures provide essential ecosystem services, including forage production for livestock. Understanding the synergies and tradeoffs of pasture intensification on the delivery of services across climatic regions is crucial to shape policies and incentives for better management of natural resources. Here, we investigated how grassland intensification affects key components of provisioning (forage productivity and quality), supporting (plant diversity) and regulating services (CO 2 and CH 4 fluxes) by comparing these services between intensive versus extensive pastures in subtropical and temperate pastures in the USDA Long-term Agroecosystem Research (LTAR) Network sites in Florida and Oklahoma, USA over multiple years. Our results suggest that grassland intensification led to a decrease in measured supporting and regulating services, but increased forage productivity in temperate pastures and forage digestibility in subtropical pastures. Intensification decreased the net CO 2 sink of subtropical pastures while it did not affect the sink capacity of temperate pastures; and it also increased environmental CH 4 emissions from subtropical pastures and reduced CH 4 uptake in temperate pastures. Intensification enhanced the global warming potential associated with C fluxes of pastures in both ecoregions. Our study demonstrates that comparisons of agroecosystems in contrasting ecoregions can reveal important drivers of ecosystem services and general or region-specific opportunities and solutions to maintaining agricultural production and reducing environmental footprints. Further LTAR network-scale comparisons of multiple ecosystem services across croplands and grazinglands intensively vs extensively managed are warranted to inform the sustainable intensification of agriculture within US and beyond. Our results highlight that achieving both food security and environmental stewardship will involve the conservation of less intensively managed pastures while adopting sustainable strategies in intensively managed pastures.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Recent land cover changes in the Southwestern US lead to an increase in surface temperature

The increase in large-scale land cover change (LCC) in recent decades, particularly in response to climate-driven disturbances, has potential to impact local and regional changes in climate due to modification of carbon sources and sinks, albedo, surface roughness and energy fluxes. Using observational data, we predict the impact of two of the most extensive LCCs occurring in the Southwestern US: drought-induced tree mortality and shrub encroachment into grasslands, on surface temperature. We developed a new energy balance method that extracts the biophysical responses to environmental conditions, to predict how structural changes in albedo, surface roughness and canopy conductance following LCC will alter surface temperature. This method allows us not only to explain the observed differences in surface temperature between two non-adjacent study sites with different environmental conditions, but also to separate the contribution of biophysical and non-biophysical properties to surface temperature. Our results suggest that changes in biophysical properties due to shrub encroachment and tree mortality in the Southwestern US (independent of changes in other environmental properties) can potentially lead to an increase in midday surface temperature (11AM to 2PM) of 1 to 2 degrees Celsius, comparable to changes in surface temperature following deforestation. Although the average surface temperature increase in response to both shrub encroachment and tree mortality is similar, the biophysical properties driving the temperature change are different in each scenario. Change in aerodynamic conductance following tree mortality is the largest contributor to heating, while reduced albedo and canopy conductance drive the increase in surface temperature following shrub encroachment. Finally, we also show how this increase in daytime surface temperature could be further intensified with future climate, especially with the expected reduction in soil water availability in the Southwest.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unveiling the drivers contributing to global wheat yield shocks through quantile regression

Sudden reductions in crop yield (i.e., yield shocks) severely disrupt the food supply, intensify food insecurity, depress farmers' welfare, and worsen a country's economic conditions. Here, we study the spatiotemporal patterns of wheat yield shocks, quantified by the lower quantiles of yield fluctuations, in 86 countries over 30 years. Furthermore, we assess the relationships between shocks and their key ecological and socioeconomic drivers using quantile regression based on statistical (linear quantile mixed model) and machine learning (quantile random forest) models. Using a panel dataset that captures spatiotemporal patterns of yield shocks and possible drivers in 86 countries, we find that the severity of yield shocks has been increasing globally since 1997. Moreover, our cross-validation exercise shows that quantile random forest outperforms the linear quantile regression model. Despite this performance difference, both models consistently reveal that the severity of shocks is associated with higher weather stress, nitrogen fertilizer application rate, and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (a typical indicator for economic and technological advancement in a country). While the unexpected negative association between more severe wheat yield shocks and higher fertilizer application rate and GDP per capita does not imply a direct causal effect, they indicate that the advancement in wheat production has been primarily on achieving higher yields and less on lowering the possibility and magnitude of sharp yield reductions. Hence, in the context of growing extreme weather stress, there is a critical need to enhance the technology and management practices that mitigate yield shocks to improve the resilience of the world food systems.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Powders and pellets – Extrusion engineering for a Cu/BEA syngas-to-hydrocarbons catalyst

Converting high-performing powder catalysts from the laboratory reactor scale into effective extruded catalysts at the industrial scale remains a hurdle for advancing sustainable catalytic processes, such as the conversion of biogenic syngas into high octane gasoline. Recently, a process-intensified syngas-to-hydrocarbons (STH) reaction in a single reactor under relatively mild conditions (220–250 ºC, 0.75–2.0 MPa) was reported, enabled by the development of a dimethyl ether (DME) homologation catalyst, Cu-modified H-BEA (Cu/BEA) zeolite. In this study, we explore approaches for synthesizing engineered Cu/BEA catalysts for use in the STH reaction to retain the high performance observed with the powder catalyst. We demonstrate that changes to the order of manufacturing steps (i.e., Cu deposition, alumina binder addition, and extrusion) result in observable changes to key active sites (Brønsted acid sites and zeolitic Cu + species), and ultimately, catalyst performance. When the Cu precursor was added directly to BEA before extrusion, both types of active sites were stabilized, preserving the activity of the powder catalyst. However, when the Cu precursor was added after extrusion, the resulting Cu species were mobile, destabilizing Brønsted acid sites and leading to near-zero activity.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗