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DOE OSTI2024

Data‐driven variational method for discrepancy modeling: Dynamics with small‐strain nonlinear elasticity and viscoelasticity

Abstract The effective inclusion of a priori knowledge when embedding known data in physics‐based models of dynamical systems can ensure that the reconstructed model respects physical principles, while simultaneously improving the accuracy of the solution in the previously unseen regions of state space. This paper presents a physics‐constrained data‐driven discrepancy modeling method that variationally embeds known data in the modeling framework. The hierarchical structure of the method yields fine scale variational equations that facilitate the derivation of residuals which are comprised of the first‐principles theory and sensor‐based data from the dynamical system. The embedding of the sensor data via residual terms leads to discrepancy‐informed closure models that yield a method which is driven not only by boundary and initial conditions, but also by measurements that are taken at only a few observation points in the target system. Specifically, the data‐embedding term serves as residual‐based least‐squares loss function, thus retaining variational consistency. Another important relation arises from the interpretation of the stabilization tensor as a kernel function, thereby incorporating a priori knowledge of the problem and adding computational intelligence to the modeling framework. Numerical test cases show that when known data is taken into account, the data driven variational (DDV) method can correctly predict the system response in the presence of several types of discrepancies. Specifically, the damped solution and correct energy time histories are recovered by including known data in the undamped situation. Morlet wavelet analyses reveal that the surrogate problem with embedded data recovers the fundamental frequency band of the target system. The enhanced stability and accuracy of the DDV method is manifested via reconstructed displacement and velocity fields that yield time histories of strain and kinetic energies which match the target systems. The proposed DDV method also serves as a procedure for restoring eigenvalues and eigenvectors of a deficient dynamical system when known data is taken into account, as shown in the numerical test cases presented here.

Masud, Arif↗

DOE OSTI2026

Scaling dynamics in low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis for high-salinity produced water desalination: Mechanistic modeling and membrane autopsy

Membrane scaling remains a critical barrier to the reliable operation of desalination systems, particularly for hypersaline produced water (PW) treatment. This study fills the knowledge gap of autopsy-based model validation for PW desalination by elucidating scaling mechanisms in a Low-Salt-Rejection Reverse Osmosis (LSRRO) system through the integration of pilot-scale experimentation and complementary modeling approaches. A semi-empirical modeling framework was developed and applied to a multistage pilot LSRRO system equipped with nanofiltration and RO membranes treating high-salinity PW from the Permian Basin. Water quality analysis showed that total dissolved solids decreased from ~130,000 mg/L to ~1900 mg/L in the permeate, then further reduced to ~300 mg/L by a second-pass RO. Two different thermodynamic modeling approaches were evaluated: the first extends the LSRRO framework by incorporating system complexity and scaling phenomena, whereas the second method explicitly captures concentration polarization in localized supersaturation. Both methods illustrate the tendency for carbonate and sulfate scaling throughout the stages. Membrane autopsies revealed a silica-dominated deposit matrix, localized CaSO 4 at Stage 2, and minor barite/celestite despite their prominence in model predictions. Quantum-chemical calculations indicated silica scaling can be rationalized by favorable adsorption of H 4 SiO 4 on Fe-oxide surfaces (ΔG ≈ −44 kJ/mol), providing a kinetic pathway for interfacial inorganic polymerization even when bulk equilibrium predictions are conservative. Overall, the thermodynamic scaling modeling and membrane autopsy revealed heterogeneous, localized deposits with limited impact on LSRRO performance, while quantum analysis rationalized the thermodynamically unfavorable precipitation formation under bulk equilibrium, reconciling model–autopsy discrepancies. These insights support targeted pretreatment and silica-specific antiscalants to extend membrane lifetime and increase recovery, providing a transferable framework for hypersaline water desalination systems. The combined experimental–computational approach provides new mechanistic insight into scaling in hypersaline membrane systems and establishes a transferable framework for predicting and mitigating scaling in next-generation desalination technologies.

Low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamics of disordered intermediates during the two-electron alkaline MnO 2 conversion reaction for grid-scale batteries

Battery technologies beyond Li-ion are likely needed for extensive integration of grid-scale storage. The rechargeable Zn-MnO 2 chemistry has the potential for high sustainability, high safety, and low cost, using Earth-abundant basis materials. In an alkaline electrolyte, the MnO 2 cathode can cycle reversibly if modified by including a Bi-containing additive, although the cycling mechanism remains mostly unknown. This work presents an account of the intermediate species involved in the electrochemical transformation from layered δ-MnO 2 to Mn(OH) 2 and back. During charge, a disordered intermediate with a structure resembling layered β-MnOOH exists stably for an extended period, corresponding to a regime known to have unexpected electrochemical activity of Bi. During discharge, β-MnOOH exists only briefly and is never the majority material, revealing that the cycling mechanism is asymmetric. In conclusion, these findings represent a significant advance in mechanistic knowledge and can enable engineering to develop the system for commercial use.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Online Bayesian State Estimation for Real-Time Monitoring of Growth Kinetics in Thin Film Synthesis

Rapid validation of newly predicted materials through autonomous synthesis requires real-time adaptive control methods that exploit physics knowledge, a capability that is lacking in most systems. Here, in this study, we demonstrate an approach to enable real-time control of thin film synthesis by combining in situ optical diagnostics with a Bayesian state estimation method. We developed a physical model for film growth and applied the direct filter (DF) method for real-time estimation of nucleation and growth rates during pulsed laser deposition (PLD). We validated the approach using simulated and experimental reflectivity data for WSe 2 growth and ultimately deployed the algorithm on an autonomous PLD system during the growth of 1T'-MoTe 2 . The DF robustly estimates growth parameters in real time at early stages of growth, down to 15% monolayer area coverage. This fusion of in situ diagnostics, data assimilation, and physical modeling opens new opportunities in adaptive control of synthesis trajectories toward desired material states.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing EV Motor Design Through Knowledge-Based AI and Hierarchical Fuzzy Logic Model

This work presents a novel approach to optimizing electric vehicle motor design through the integration of Knowledge-Based Artificial Intelligence (KB-AI) and Hierarchical Fuzzy Logic. Traditional motor design processes are time-intensive, relying heavily on iterative simulations and domain-specific expertise. These processes are further complicated by the nonlinear relationships between key design parameters. The proposed framework addresses these challenges by systematically encoding expert knowledge from scientific literature into a fuzzy logic system, allowing for the efficient handling of complex design variables. The hierarchical fuzzy logic model reduces computational complexity by decomposing the nonlinear relationships into manageable rule sets while maintaining design accuracy. The proposed methodology was applied to the design of a 100 kW motor, yielding optimal values for key parameters. This resulted in a compact motor design with a volume of 2.2 liters, showcasing the framework’s ability to deliver high-performance, application-specific motor configurations.

Kumar, Praveen [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000291877857)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Cryogen Safety Live #8876

Cryogenics (from the Greek word κρυος, meaning frost or icy cold) is the study of the effects and behavior of materials at very low temperature. This course is designed to provide trainees with an introduction to cryogen use, hazards associated with cryogen systems, cryogen safety components, and the requirements that govern the design and use of cryogen systems at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The knowledge you gain is intended to help you keep your workplace safe for you and your coworkers.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterizing and communicating uncertainty: lessons from NASA’s Carbon Monitoring System

Navigating uncertainty is a critical challenge in all fields of science, especially when translating knowledge into real-world policies or management decisions. However, the wide variance in concepts and definitions of uncertainty across scientific fields hinders effective communication. As a microcosm of diverse fields within Earth Science, NASA’s Carbon Monitoring System (CMS) provides a useful crucible in which to identify cross-cutting concepts of uncertainty. The CMS convened the Uncertainty Working Group (UWG), a group of specialists across disciplines, to evaluate and synthesize efforts to characterize uncertainty in CMS projects. This paper represents efforts by the UWG to build a heuristic framework designed to evaluate data products and communicate uncertainty to both scientific and non-scientific end users. We consider four pillars of uncertainty: origins, severity, stochasticity versus incomplete knowledge, and spatial and temporal autocorrelation. Using a common vocabulary and a generalized workflow, the framework introduces a graphical heuristic accompanied by a narrative, exemplified through contrasting case studies. Envisioned as a versatile tool, this framework provides clarity in reporting uncertainty, guiding users and tempering expectations. Beyond CMS, it stands as a simple yet powerful means to communicate uncertainty across diverse scientific communities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Integrating science for water security governance

Hydrological extremes are intensifying globally, increasing the complexity of decisions required to ensure water security. Advances in hydrological science, modeling, and data systems have expanded the technical frontier of water research, yet uptake of scientific insights in policy and management decisions remains limited. This persistent science–policy gap is not primarily a failure of knowledge generation or robustness, but an institutional challenge shaped by how scientific and governance systems are organized, coordinated, and connected to support the effective use of scientific knowledge. These challenges are particularly pronounced in multi-level and transboundary water governance, where decisions span jurisdictions and require coordination across institutional and political boundaries. We synthesize research at the science–policy interface and evidence from water security initiatives to show how institutional arrangements, scientific tool development, and research practices enable or constrain the sustained use of scientific knowledge in water-security governance processes. Building on these insights, we develop ‘shared decision infrastructure’ as a framing to describe how scientific knowledge is embedded within the institutional, relational, and procedural arrangements that connect science to decision-making processes over time. We translate this framing into a practical intervention roadmap centered on institutional design, tool translation, sustained co-production, and outcome-oriented evaluation to support the integration of science into ongoing governance processes. By positioning science as shared decision infrastructure, the roadmap clarifies how researchers can design scientific efforts that support more coordinated, accountable, and adaptive water security decisions amid deepening uncertainty.

M whitney, Kristen [NASA Goddard Space Flight Cent↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Model-Based Systems Engineering Approach for Effective Decision Support of Modern Energy Systems Depicted with Clean Hydrogen Production

A holistic approach to decision-making in modern energy systems is vital due to their increase in complexity and interconnectedness. However, decision makers often rely on narrowly-focused strategies, such as economic assessments, for energy system strategy selection. The approach in this paper helps considers various factors such as economic viability, technological feasibility, environmental impact, and social acceptance. By integrating these diverse elements, decision makers can identify more economically feasible, sustainable, and resilient energy strategies. While existing focused approaches are valuable since they provide clear metrics of a potential solution (e.g., an economic measure of profitability), they do not offer the much needed system-as-a-whole understanding. This lack of understanding often leads to selecting suboptimal or unfeasible solutions, which is often discovered much later in the process when a change may not be possible. This paper presents a novel evaluation framework to support holistic decision-making in energy systems. The framework is based on a systems thinking approach, applied through systems engineering principles and model-based systems engineering tools, coupled with a multicriteria decision analysis approach. The systems engineering approach guides the development of feasible solutions for novel energy systems, and the multicriteria decision analysis is used for a systematic evaluation of available strategies and objective selection of the best solution. The proposed framework enables holistic, multidisciplinary, and objective evaluations of solutions and strategies for energy systems, clearly demonstrates the pros and cons of available options, and supports knowledge collection and retention to be used for a different scenario or context. The framework is demonstrated in case study evaluation solutions for a novel energy system of clean hydrogen generation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Decision Support System to Compile Environmental Mitigations from Hydropower Licensing Documents

The process of deciphering, extracting, and compiling information from texts dense with domain-specific terminology and technical jargon is a challenging endeavor. It demands considerable expertise and deep knowledge in the respective field, resulting in a labor-intensive process when executed by humans. Furthermore, the task of identifying multiple class labels in extensive texts presents a challenge due to intra- and inter-reader variability, making the process time-consuming and costly.We’re introducing a user-friendly graphical interface, fortified with a BERT model-powered decision support system. This advanced system aims to augment efficiency, curtail data collection time, and sustain high precision in data acquisition. It is instrumental in deciphering and synthesizing intricate texts teeming with a spectrum of expressions, even within similar mitigation categories. Such tasks traditionally demand substantial human effort and specialized knowledge in the domain.Our system is specifically engineered for the task of extracting environmental mitigation information to promote sustainable hydropower development from licenses issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). These license documents are comprehensive, each containing over 15,000 words and requiring the identification of 135 different class labels. We anticipate that our system will boost reading speed, improve the consistency of classification outputs among readers, and contribute to the development of a robust scientific database of environmental mitigations associated with the 2,000+ non-federal hydropower facilities licensed by FERC in the United States.

Yoon, Hong-Jun [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000254505878)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Investigation of Frozen Chemistry for Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs)

Understanding accident progression and the potential/conditions for fission product release from fuel is necessary to evaluate safety for any nuclear reactor system. Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) under development need such analysis to support safety evaluations. Fission product chemistry specific to MSR concepts is a critical area that introduces distinct considerations relative to the current state-of-knowledge in reactor safety, primarily developed for water-moderated nuclear reactor systems. In Light Water Reactor (LWR) systems, it is necessary to capture the chemical interaction of fission products with the reactor evironment, containment and confinement systems. The overall effects at this point are relatively well understood for the purposes of performing safety evaluations. A key insight from LWR studies is that fission product chemical behavior can be reasonably captured by modeling approaches where the chemistry is "frozen". These modeling approaches assume that radionuclide reaction and speciation can be represented by chemical classes, each with characteristic transport behavior that is invariant under a broad range of thermochemical conditions. However, radionuclides can exhibit a range of behavior in the liquid salt-melt phase of the coolant used in MSRs. Radionuclides, salt, and the metal containment surfaces (i.e. pipes) can co-exist in dynamic equilibrium that could evolve with small system mass changes. A detailed investigation to the degree the equilibrium state can dynamically evolve with changes in the conditions of the molten salt mixture has not been previously conducted. It is currently not well understood where frozen chemistry assumptions are valid. Expanding the state-of-knowledge in this regard is relevant to better assessing the range of chemical effects that should be incorporated as part of MSR safety assessments. This investigation used the Oak Ridge Isotope GENeration (ORIGEN) module of the Standardized Computer-Analysis for Licensing Evaluation (SCALE) code to generate simulated radionuclide inventories for the MSR Experiment (MSRE) and then modeled reactor chemical speciation using the Molten Salt Thermodynamic Database – Thermochemical (MSTDB-TC) coupled with Thermochimica. The effect of composition variation during decay of fission product inventory in a molten salt over a period of 500 days prolonged post- at multiple temperatures was studied. Mass fractions for fluorine and berilium were varied in order to probe the effects of free fluorine control. Finally, speciation of fluoride reactors were showed by comparing MSRE readionuclide inventories with a FLiBe based molten salt breeder reactor (MSBR). The results showed that fission product mass change has little effect on phase mass changes and vapor pressures for fluoride species, but differ with varying carrier and fuel salt compositions. However, iodine species were found to have a vapor pressure not only dependent on temperature, but also the free fluorine potential, releasing iodine when the free fluorine potential is equal to the iodine inventory. This observation, however, arose under free fluorine potentials that are very unlikely to be realized in typical molten salt mixtures. Despite this observation, temperature was found to be the dominant parameter that drove phase change and fission product species vapor pressure. The results indicate that the current frozen chemistry approach is adequate for MSR analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Data analytics for intermodal freight transportation applications

With the growth of intermodal freight transportation, it is important that transportation planners and decision-makers are knowledgeable about freight flow data to make informed decisions. This is particularly true with Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) offering new capabilities for intermodal freight transportation. Specifically, ITS enables access to multiple different data sources, but they have different formats, resolutions, and time scales. Thus, knowledge of data science is essential to be successful in future ITS-enabled intermodal freight transportation systems. This chapter discusses the commonly used descriptive and predictive data analytic techniques in intermodal freight transportation applications. These techniques cover the entire spectrum of univariate, bivariate, and multivariate analyses. In addition to illustrating how to apply these techniques manually, this chapter will also show how to apply them using the statistical software R. Additional exercises are provided for those who wish to apply the described techniques to more complex problems.

Huynh, Nathan↗

DOE OSTI2026

Efficient data-driven regression for reduced-order modeling of spatial pattern formation

We present an efficient data-driven regression approach for constructing reduced-order models (ROMs) of reaction-diffusion systems exhibiting pattern formation. The ROMs are learned non-intrusively from available training data of physically accurate numerical simulations. The method can be applied to general nonlinear systems through the use of polynomial model form, while not requiring knowledge of the underlying physical model, governing equations, or numerical solvers. The process of learning ROMs is posed as a low-cost least-squares problem in a reduced-order subspace identified via Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD). Numerical experiments on classical pattern-forming systems–including the Schnakenberg and Mimura–Tsujikawa models–demonstrate that higher-order surrogate models significantly improve prediction accuracy while maintaining low computational cost. The proposed method provides a flexible, non-intrusive model reduction framework, well suited for the analysis of complex spatio-temporal pattern formation phenomena.

Data-driven modeling↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparative Performance Evaluation of Large Language Models for Extracting Molecular Interactions and Pathway Knowledge

Understanding the interactions and regulatory relationships among biomolecules is essential for deciphering complex biological systems and elucidating the mechanisms behind diverse biological functions. Traditionally, the collection of such molecular interaction data has relied on expert curation, a process that is both time-consuming and labor-intensive. To address these limitations, this study explores the use of large language models (LLMs) to automate the genome-scale extraction of molecular interaction knowledge. Here, we evaluate the performance of various LLMs on key biological tasks, including the identification of protein-protein interactions, detection of genes associated with pathways influenced by low-dose radiation, and inference of gene regulatory relationships. Our findings demonstrate that larger LLMs tend to perform better, particularly in extracting intricate gene and protein interactions. Despite their strengths, these models face challenges in recognizing functionally diverse gene groups and highly correlated regulatory relationships. Through a comprehensive analysis using established molecular interaction and pathway databases, we show that LLMs possess the potential to identify relevant biomolecules and predict their interactions, offering valuable insights and marking a significant step toward AI-driven biological knowledge discovery.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Real-World Cyber Security Demonstration for Networked Electric Drives

In this article, we present the design and implementation of a cyber-physical security testbed for networked electric drive systems, aimed at conducting real-world security demonstrations. To our knowledge, this is one of the first security testbeds for networked electric drives, seamlessly integrating the domains of power electronics and computer science, and cybersecurity. By doing so, the testbed offers a comprehensive platform to explore and understand the intricate and often complex interactions between cyber and physical systems. The core of our testbed consists of four electric machine drives, meticulously configured to emulate small-scale but realistic information technology (IT) and operational technology (OT) networks. This setup both provides a controlled environment for simulating a wide array of cyber-attacks, and mirrors potential real-world attack scenarios with a high degree of fidelity. The testbed serves as an invaluable resource for the study of cyber-physical security, offering a practical and dynamic platform for testing and validating cybersecurity measures in the context of networked electric drive systems. As a concrete example of the testbed's capabilities, we have developed and implemented a Python-based script designed to execute step-stone attacks over a wireless local area network (WLAN). This script leverages a sequence of target IP addresses, simulating a real-world attack vector that could be exploited by adversaries. To counteract such threats, we demonstrate the efficacy of our developed cyber-attack detection algorithms, which are integral to our testbed's security framework. Furthermore, the testbed incorporates a real-time visualization system using InfluxDB and Grafana, providing a dynamic and interactive representation of networked electric drives and their associated security monitoring mechanisms. This visualization component not only enhances the testbed's usability but also offers insightful, real-time data for researchers and practitioners, thereby facilitating a deeper understanding of cyber-physical security dynamics in networked electric drive systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Unraveling Hydrogen Induced Geochemical Reaction Mechanisms through Coupled Geochemical Modeling and Machine Learning

Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) provides a promising large-scale, long-term energy storage solution. A reasonable recovery of stored hydrogen is critical for a successful storage scheme. However, in subsurface reservoirs hydrogen is subject to active geochemical reactions that might result in hydrogen loss. In this study, we implemented a geochemical modeling approach coupled with an unsupervised machine learning technique called non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) to unravel the complex brine-rock-H 2 geochemical processes responsible for hydrogen losses, with particular focus on sulfate reduction reactions. NMF is applied to modeled mineral evolution and fluid component profiles to retrieve profiles that can be interpreted to more easily assess competing processes. NMF decouples simulated competing equilibrium reactions. This facilitates separation of overlapping reaction profiles from redox processes, dissolution fronts, and secondary precipitation while considering the effects of simulation parameters such as salinity, temperature, and total H 2 pressure. NMF successfully discriminates these competing effects in nonlinear ways, allowing robust interpretation. In addition, NMF reveals subtle coupled mineral associations and reaction fronts that are invisible to conventional model analysis. This integrated approach strengthens the conceptual understanding of complex nonlinear hydrogen-brine-rock interactions and advances geochemical research on UHS systems to resolve complexities in modeled geochemical systems without the need for direct experiments or prior knowledge. Furthermore, this study highlights the efficacy of combining geochemical modeling with machine learning techniques to enhance the interpretability of the intricate geochemical simulation output through deciphering the overlapping reaction path that cannot be achieved only using conventional analysis of geochemical models alone.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thin film combinatorial sputtering of TaTiHfZr refractory compositionally complex alloys for rapid materials discovery

Many applications from advanced nuclear reactors to aerospace and automotive industries require materials to operate in extreme environments. In search of new materials that can operate in these extremes, the present work explores this space whereby: (1) guided by atomistic and thermodynamic calculations we utilize thin film combinatorial synthesis to rapidly explore mechanical and thermal properties in a broad range of refractory compositionally complex alloys, and (2) observe transformation induced plasticity via oscillations in the thin film nanoindentation load depth curves that are attributed to, (3) a stress-induced HCP-to-BCC phase transformation in the resulting nanogranular microstructure, which to our knowledge has not been observed before in this alloy system; and finally (4) scale to bulk materials to compare the thin film results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Native Architecture of Wheat Straw Cell Walls: A Unified Model from X-ray Scattering and Solid-State NMR

Plant secondary cell walls constitute the dominant reservoir of renewable biomass, comprising tightly packed cellulose, hemicellulose, and lignin at the nanoscale. Recent advances in solid-state NMR spectroscopy and the availability of small-angle X-ray scattering for biomass characterization have led to an accumulation of experimental data on cell wall organization, yet no explicit structure model has simultaneously satisfied both Xray and NMR observations. Using wheat straw as a model system, we propose a structural framework consistent with current knowledge of cellulose biosynthesis, X-ray scattering data, and one- and two-dimensional 13 C solid-state NMR spectra. In this model, 18-chain elementary fibrils align in parallel and populate the cross-section at random. Arabinose-substituted xylan shows no conformational dependence for cellulose-binding in wheat, and only a minor fraction of 2-fold xylan appears in close proximity to cellulose, unlike in Arabidopsis, where xylan is more tightly attached to the cellulose surface. While NMR data cannot unambiguously resolve the internal arrangement of the 18 glucan chains, X-ray scattering profiles uniquely constrain the fibril size and exclude the possibility of tight bundling in the intact walls. The specific interaction between the matrix polymers and the cellulose elementary fibrils must be reconsidered in light of the small interfibril spaces, which bring the matrix components into spatial proximity with cellulose even in the absence of attractive interactions. These findings provide fundamental molecular-level insight into cellulose fibril architecture and matrix−polymer interactions, resolving longstanding discrepancies between spectroscopic and scattering data and advancing our understanding of biopolymer assembly into structurally and functionally versatile lignocellulosic biomaterials.

Carbohydrates↗