Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “learning curve”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 145 records · Page 8

The ZTF Source Classification Project. I. Methods and Infrastructure

The Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) has been observing the entire northern sky since the start of 2018 down to a magnitude of 20.5 (5σ for 30 s exposure) in the g, r, and i filters. Over the course of two years, ZTF has obtained light curves of more than a billion sources, each with 50–1000 epochs per light curve in g and r, and fewer in i. To be able to use the information contained in the light curves of variable sources for new scientific discoveries, an efficient and flexible framework is needed to classify them. In this paper, we introduce the methods and infrastructure that will be used to classify all ZTF light curves. Our approach aims to be flexible and modular and allows the use of a dynamical classification scheme and labels, continuously evolving training sets, and the use of different machine-learning classifier types and architectures. Finally with this setup, we are able to continuously update and improve the classification of ZTF light curves as new data become available, training samples are updated, and new classes need to be incorporated.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improving Bond Dissociations of Reactive Machine Learning Potentials through Physics-Constrained Data Augmentation

In the field of computational chemistry, predicting bond dissociation energies (BDEs) presents well-known challenges, particularly due to the multireference character of reactive systems. Many chemical reactions involve configurations where single-reference methods fall short, as the electronic structure can significantly change during bond breaking. As generating training data for partially broken bonds is a challenging task, even state-of-the-art reactive machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) often fail to predict reliable BDEs and smooth dissociation curves. By contrast, simple and inexpensive physics-based models, such as the well-established Morse potential, do not suffer from any such limitations. This work leverages the Morse potential to improve reactive MLIPs by augmenting the training data set with inexpensive Morse data along the dissociation pathways. Further, this physics-constrained data augmentation (PCDA) approach results in MLIPs with smooth bond dissociation curves as well as near coupled-cluster level BDEs, all without requiring any expensive multireference quantum mechanical calculations. A case study for methane combustion demonstrates how the PCDA approach can improve an existing reactive MLIP, namely, ANI-1xnr. In conclusion, not only are the BDEs and bond dissociation curves for all radicals and molecules significantly improved compared to ANI-1xnr but the PCDA-trained MLIP retains the reliability of ANI-1xnr when performing reactive molecular dynamics simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantifying wildfire drivers and predictability in boreal peatlands using a two-step error-correcting machine learning framework in TeFire v1.0

Abstract. Wildfires are becoming an increasing challenge to the sustainability of boreal peatland (BP) ecosystems and can alter the stability of boreal carbon storage. However, predicting the occurrence of rare and extreme BP fires proves to be challenging, and gaining a quantitative understanding of the factors, both natural and anthropogenic, inducing BP fires remains elusive. Here, we quantified the predictability of BP fires and their primary controlling factors from 1997 to 2015 using a two-step correcting machine learning (ML) framework that combines multiple ML classifiers, regression models, and an error-correcting technique. We found that (1) the adopted oversampling algorithm effectively addressed the unbalanced data and improved the recall rate by 26.88 %–48.62 % when using multiple datasets, and the error-correcting technique tackled the overestimation of fire sizes during fire seasons; (2) nonparametric models outperformed parametric models in predicting fire occurrences, and the random forest machine learning model performed the best, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 0.83 to 0.93 across multiple fire datasets; and (3) four sets of factor-control simulations consistently indicated the dominant role of temperature, air dryness, and climate extreme (i.e., frost) for boreal peatland fires, overriding the effects of precipitation, wind speed, and human activities. Our findings demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of ML techniques in predicting rare and extreme fire events and disentangle the primary factors determining BP fires, which are critical for predicting future fire risks under climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Identifications of RR Lyrae Stars and Quasars from the Simulated Data of Mephisto-W Survey

We have investigated the feasibilities and accuracies of the identifications of RR Lyrae stars and quasars from the simulated data of the Multi-channel Photometric Survey Telescope (Mephisto) W Survey. Based on the variable sources light curve libraries from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Stripe 82 data and the observation history simulation from the Mephisto-W Survey Scheduler, we have simulated the uvgriz multi-band light curves of RR Lyrae stars, quasars and other variable sources for the first-year observation of Mephisto W Survey. We have applied the ensemble machine learning algorithm Random Forest Classifier (RFC) to identify RR Lyrae stars and quasars, respectively. We build training and test samples and extract ~150 features from the simulated light curves and train two RFCs respectively for the RR Lyrae star and quasar classification. We find that, our RFCs are able to select the RR Lyrae stars and quasars with remarkably high precision and completeness, with purity = 95.4% and completeness = 96.9% for the RR Lyrae RFC and purity = 91.4% and completeness = 90.2% for the quasar RFC. In conclusion, we have also derived relative importances of the extracted features utilized to classify RR Lyrae stars and quasars.

(galaxies:) quasars: general↗

Technological evolution of large-scale blue hydrogen production toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot

Hydrogen potentially has a crucial role in the U.S. transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Learning from large-scale hydrogen projects will boost technological evolution and innovation toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot. We apply experience curves to estimate the evolving costs of blue hydrogen production and to further examine the economic effect on technological evolution of the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for carbon sequestration and clean hydrogen. Learning-by-doing alone can decrease the production cost of blue hydrogen. Without tax incentives, however, it is hard for blue hydrogen production to reach the cost target of $\$1$/kg H 2 . Here we show that the breakeven cumulative production capacity required for gas-based blue hydrogen to reach the $\$1$/kg H 2 target highly depends on tax credit, natural gas price, inflation rate, and learning rates. We make recommendations for hydrogen hub development and for accelerating technological progress toward the Hydrogen Energy Earthshot.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Ion complexation waves emerge at the curved interfaces of layered minerals

Abstract Visualizing hydrated interfaces is of widespread interest across the physical sciences and is a particularly acute need for layered minerals, whose properties are governed by the structure of the electric double layer (EDL) where mineral and solution meet. Here, we show that cryo electron microscopy and tomography enable direct imaging of the EDL at montmorillonite interfaces in monovalent electrolytes with ångstrom resolution over micron length scales. A learning-based multiple-scattering reconstruction method for cryo electron tomography reveals ions bound asymmetrically on opposite sides of curved, exfoliated layers. We observe conserved ion-density asymmetry across stacks of interacting layers in cryo electron microscopy that is associated with configurations of inner- and outer-sphere ion-water-mineral complexes that we term complexation waves. Coherent X-ray scattering confirms that complexation waves propagate at room-temperature via a competition between ion dehydration and charge interactions that are coupled across opposing sides of a layer, driving dynamic transitions between stacked and aggregated states via layer exfoliation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Anomaly detection in the Zwicky Transient Facility DR3

We present results from applying the SNAD anomaly detection pipeline to the third public data release of the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF DR3). The pipeline is composed of three stages: feature extraction, search of outliers with machine learning algorithms, and anomaly identification with followup by human experts. Our analysis concentrates in three ZTF fields, comprising more than 2.25 million objects. A set of four automatic learning algorithms was used to identify 277 outliers, which were subsequently scrutinized by an expert. From these, 188 (68 per cent) were found to be bogus light curves – including effects from the image subtraction pipeline as well as overlapping between a star and a known asteroid, 66 (24 per cent) were previously reported sources whereas 23 (8 per cent) correspond to non-catalogued objects, with the two latter cases of potential scientific interest (e.g. one spectroscopically confirmed RS Canum Venaticorum star, four supernovae candidates, one red dwarf flare). Moreover, using results from the expert analysis, we were able to identify a simple bi-dimensional relation that can be used to aid filtering potentially bogus light curves in future studies. We provide a complete list of objects with potential scientific application so they can be further scrutinised by the community. These results confirm the importance of combining automatic machine learning algorithms with domain knowledge in the construction of recommendation systems for astronomy. Our code is publicly available.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Recurrent neural network-based multiaxial plasticity model with regularization for physics-informed constraints

We report a recurrent neural network (RNN) based model is developed as a surrogate to predict nonlinear plastic response under multiaxial loading. The RNN-based model is trained and tested on stress versus strain curves generated using a numerical solution based on the classical radial return method. Besides simply learning the basic constitutive relationship, a novel approach is taken to enforce certain physical conditions. Specifically, regularization is employed to maintain non-negative plastic power density throughout the loading history thereby ensuring monotonically increasing plastic work and thermodynamic consistency. Enforcing physics in this manner permits coupling of the data-driven RNN approach with physics-based knowledge and laws. This has the effect of reducing the necessary amount of data and ensuring known physical laws are not violated. Since, once trained, the model need not perform the expensive task of solving nonlinear equations, its efficiency is orders of magnitude greater than its numerical counterpart. The RNN-based model has been trained on varied sets of data and the accuracy on test datasets validated. The developed model is general and robust and has widespread application such as in the simulation of metal forming, large scale plasticity, and part life prediction.

42 ENGINEERING↗

PRODeepSyn: predicting anticancer synergistic drug combinations by embedding cell lines with protein–protein interaction network

Abstract Although drug combinations in cancer treatment appear to be a promising therapeutic strategy with respect to monotherapy, it is arduous to discover new synergistic drug combinations due to the combinatorial explosion. Deep learning technology holds immense promise for better prediction of in vitro synergistic drug combinations for certain cell lines. In methods applying such technology, omics data are widely adopted to construct cell line features. However, biological network data are rarely considered yet, which is worthy of in-depth study. In this study, we propose a novel deep learning method, termed PRODeepSyn, for predicting anticancer synergistic drug combinations. By leveraging the Graph Convolutional Network, PRODeepSyn integrates the protein–protein interaction (PPI) network with omics data to construct low-dimensional dense embeddings for cell lines. PRODeepSyn then builds a deep neural network with the Batch Normalization mechanism to predict synergy scores using the cell line embeddings and drug features. PRODeepSyn achieves the lowest root mean square error of 15.08 and the highest Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.75, outperforming two deep learning methods and four machine learning methods. On the classification task, PRODeepSyn achieves an area under the receiver operator characteristics curve of 0.90, an area under the precision–recall curve of 0.63 and a Cohen’s Kappa of 0.53. In the ablation study, we find that using the multi-omics data and the integrated PPI network’s information both can improve the prediction results. Additionally, the case study demonstrates the consistency between PRODeepSyn and previous studies.

Wang, Xiaowen↗

Using Real-Time Electricity Prices to Leverage Electrical Energy Storage and Flexible Loads in a Smart Grid Environment Utilizing Machine Learning Techniques

With exposure to real-time market pricing structures, consumers would be incentivized to invest in electrical energy storage systems and smart predictive automation of their home energy systems. Smart home automation through optimizing HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) temperature set points, along with distributed energy storage, could be utilized in the process of optimizing the operation of the electric grid. Using electricity prices as decision variables to leverage electrical energy storage and flexible loads can be a valuable tool to optimize the performance of the power grid and reduce electricity costs both on the supply and demand sides. Energy demand prediction is important for proper allocation and utilization of the available resources. Manipulating energy prices to leverage storage and flexible loads through these demand prediction models is a novel idea that needs to be studied. In this paper, different models for proactive prediction of the energy demand for an entire city using different machine learning techniques are presented and compared. The results of the machine learning techniques show that the proposed nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs neural network model resulted in the most accurate predictions. These prediction models pave the way for the demand side to become an important asset for grid regulation by responding to variable price signals through battery energy storage and passive thermal energy storage using HVAC temperature set points.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Diagnosing and overcoming recombination and resistive losses in non-silicon solar cells using a silicon-inspired characterization platform

This project aimed to generate the characterization tools needed for accurate and systematic loss analysis in non-silicon photovoltaic solar cell technologies and, through the use of these tools and analysis techniques, contribute to the development of a novel class of hetero-contacts to II-VI absorbers, with the final goal of demonstrating record-breaking CdSeTe devices. CdSeTe solar cells provide a prime example of the potential impact of the techniques we proposed to develop and implement: record poly-CdSeTe cells have bandgap-voltage deficits (W oc ) of approximately 550 mV, as compared with below 400 mV for all other mature PV technologies. Similarly, these record CdSeTe devices have FFs below 80%, when other mature cells are near or above 85%. Frustratingly, a systematic identification of the origin of these sub-par performances—for example recombination or resistive losses—has been lacking, thus slowing down the development of these technologies. Similarly, it is often asserted that CdSeTe cells need a better back (hole) contact. Although most believe this is true, no one knew—at the start of this project—how high the V oc and FF could be for a given cell if it had a perfect back contact. Such characterization techniques and loss analysis methods exist and are routinely performed on c-Si solar cells (e.g. injection-dependent lifetime, Suns-V oc , transfer length method, etc). Over the years, they have been instrumental in the development of silicon devices that operate at 91% of their theoretical (Auger) limit. Lifetime testing, and the associated reconstruction of the implied-J-V curve, can moreover be performed at every cell-processing step, thus allowing a direct peek into the impact of that step on cell performance. Therefore, adapting these techniques and tools to non-Si devices would greatly improve their learning rate. In this project, we developed a Suns-ERE technique—the equipment, methodology, and know-how—to measure the implied-J-V curve, the pseudo-J-V curve, and the actual J-V curve of a thin-film solar cell, allowing an accurate assessment of the quality of the bulk material and its surface passivation, the selectivity of the contact, and its resistivity. We used this technique to show that the absorber of present CdSeTe solar cells is capable of achieving 1 V Voc,, that passivation layers exist (e.g., Al2O3) that can support such high voltages, and that the barrier is identifying contact layers that are both passivating and carrier-selective. The characterization platform created in this project and the understanding generated using it will accelerate the progress of non-silicon PV technologies. In particular, the project will contribute to CdSeTe solar cells with Voc > 1 V and cell efficiency > 24%. Such cells provide a pathway to module-level efficiencies >23%. As CdSeTe presently competes with silicon on module cost (in $\$ $/W) and yet has significantly more room for efficiency gains, the potential for LCOE reduction is particularly large. For example, CdTe modules with an efficiency of 21% would allow an LCOE below $\$ $0.04kWh -1 in average US climates.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Differentiable vertex fitting for jet flavor tagging

This work explores the use of differentiable programming to integrate domain knowledge, in the form of domain specific software, into neural networks to develop scientific machine learning systems. We propose a differentiable vertex fitting algorithm that estimates the crossing point of multiple curves. In the high energy physics setting, these curves are defined by particle equations of motion and the crossing point represents the origin of particle production. This differentiable vertex fitting algorithm can be seamlessly integrated into neural networks, and we show its utility and efficacy in the high energy physics application of the classification of jets, i.e., collimated streams of particles in particle detectors whose originating parent particle we aim to classify. We demonstrate how differentiable vertex fitting can be integrated into larger transformer-based models for jet flavor tagging and show improvements in heavy flavor jet classification when compared to baseline models. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Smith, Rachel E. C. (ORCID:0000000335851262)↗

PersGNN: Applying Topological Data Analysis and Geometric Deep Learning to Structure-Based Protein Function Prediction

Understanding protein structure-function relationships is a key challenge in computational biology, with applications across the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries. While it is known that protein structure directly impacts protein function, many functional prediction tasks use only protein sequence. In this work, we isolate protein structure to make functional annotations for proteins in the Protein Data Bank in order to study the expressiveness of different structure-based prediction schemes. We present PersGNN - an end-to-end trainable deep learning model that combines graph representation learning with topological data analysis to capture a complex set of both local and global structural features. While variations of these techniques have been successfully applied to proteins before, we demonstrate that our hybridized approach, PersGNN, outperforms either method on its own as well as a baseline neural network that learns from the same information. PersGNN achieves a 9.3% boost in area under the precision recall curve (AUPR) compared to the best individual model, as well as high F1 scores across different gene ontology categories, indicating the transferability of this approach.

Swenson, Nicolas↗

Learning continuous scattering length density profiles from neutron reflectivities using convolutional neural networks

Interpreting neutron reflectivity (NR) data using ad hoc multi-layer models and physics-based models provides information about spatially resolved neutron scattering length density (NSLD) profiles. Recent improvements in data acquisition systems have allowed acquiring thousands of NR curves in a couple of hours, which has led to a need for automated data analysis tools to interpret NR measurements in real-time. Here, we present a machine learning analysis workflow that uses a series of models, based on a convolutional neural network (CNN), to learn the relation between the NSLDs and the NRs, and subsequently produce continuous NSLD profiles directly from NRs. The usefulness of our CNN-based models is demonstrated by constructing NSLDs from NRs of several films containing homopolymer polyzwitterions and diblock copolymers mixed with different types of salts. Comparisons of the NSLDs with those constructed using ad hoc multi-layer models reveal a very good agreement, suggesting the potential of CNN-based models for real-time automated data analysis of NRs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Predicting the High-Temperature Oxidation Response of Nickel Superalloys Using CALPHAD-Enhanced Machine Learning

Structural materials such as Ni-based superalloys used in high-temperature power cycles are routinely exposed to toxic environments including high temperature and pressure, aqueous and gas corrosion, etc. Here, we present a physics-informed machine learning approach to predict the oxidation response of diverse Ni-superalloys. First, a high-fidelity experimental dataset is curated from typical oxidation mass-change experiments in air, covering 25+ elements and different physical behavior such as parabolic growth, non-parabolic growth, and oxide spallation. Second, the dataset is featurized using thermophysical, chemical, and mechanical properties obtained from high-throughput CALPHAD calculations. Third, several machine learning models are developed to identify key features related to mass-change characteristics and model the mass-change curve for various alloys. Finally, the model is deployed to rapidly screen over a new composition space and down-select candidate alloys with high oxidation resistance for experimental validation.

CALPHAD↗

Physics-informed CoKriging model of a redox flow battery

Vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs) offer the capability to store large amounts of energy cheaply and efficiently, however, there is a need for fast and accurate models of the charge–discharge curve of a VRFB to potentially improve the battery capacity and performance. Here, we develop a multifidelity model for predicting the charge–discharge curve of a VRFB. In the multifidelity model, we use the Physics-informed CoKriging (CoPhIK) machine learning method that is trained on experimental data and constrained by the so-called “zero-dimensional” physics-based model. Here we demonstrate that the model shows good agreement with experimental results and significant improvements over existing zero-dimensional models. We show that the proposed model is robust as it is not sensitive to the input parameters in the zero-dimensional model. We also show that only a small amount of high-fidelity experimental datasets are needed for accurate predictions for the range of considered input parameters, which include current density, flow rate, and initial concentrations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

On the Abuse and Detection of Polyglot Files

A polyglot is a file that is valid in two or more formats. Polyglot files pose a problem for file-upload and generative AI web interfaces that rely on format identification to determine how to securely handle incoming files. In this work we found that existing file-format and embedded-file detection tools, even those developed specifically for polyglot files, fail to reliably detect polyglot files used in the wild. To address this issue, we studied the use of polyglot files by malicious actors in the wild, finding 30 polyglot samples and 15 attack chains that leveraged polyglot files. Using knowledge from our survey of polyglot usage in the wild---the first of its kind---we created a novel data set based on adversary techniques. We then trained a machine learning detection solution, PolyConv, using this data set. PolyConv achieves a precision-recall area-under-curve score of 0.999 with an F1 score of 99.20% for polyglot detection and 99.47% for file-format identification, significantly outperforming all other tools tested. We developed a content disarmament and reconstruction tool, ImSan, that successfully sanitized 100% of the tested image-based polyglots, which were the most common type found via the survey. Our work provides concrete tools and suggestions to enable defenders to better defend themselves against polyglot files, as well as directions for future work to create more robust file specifications and methods of disarmament.

Oesch, T [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000269091022)↗