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DOE OSTI2021

A causal data fusion method for the general exposure and outcome

Abstract With the advent of the big data era, the need to combine multiple individual data sets to draw causal effects arises naturally in many medical and biological applications. Especially each data set cannot measure enough confounders to infer the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. In this article, we extend the method proposed by a previous study to causal data fusion of more than two data sets without external validation and to a more general (continuous or discrete) exposure and outcome. Theoretically, we obtain the condition for identifiability of exposure effects using multiple individual data sources for the continuous or discrete exposure and outcome. The simulation results show that our proposed causal data fusion method has unbiased causal effect estimate and higher precision than traditional regression, meta‐analysis and statistical matching methods. We further apply our method to study the causal effect of BMI on glucose level in individuals with diabetes by combining two data sets. Our method is essential for causal data fusion and provides important insights into the ongoing discourse on the empirical analysis of merging multiple individual data sources.

Li, Hongkai↗

DOE OSTI2012

Improved Potential Energy Surface of Ozone Constructed Using the Fitting by Permutationally Invariant Polynomial Function

New global potential energy surface for the ground electronic state of ozone is constructed at the complete basis set level of the multireference configuration interaction theory. A method of fitting the data points by analytical permutationally invariant polynomial function is adopted. A small set of 500 points is preoptimized using the old surface of ozone. In this procedure the positions of points in the configuration space are chosen such that the RMS deviation of the fit is minimized. New ab initio calculations are carried out at these points and are used to build new surface. Additional points are added to the vicinity of the minimum energy path in order to improve accuracy of the fit, particularly in the region where the surface of ozone exhibits a shallow van der Waals well. New surface can be used to study formation of ozone at thermal energies and its spectroscopy near the dissociation threshold.

Ayouz, Mehdi↗

DOE OSTI2017

Sulfate radical oxidation of aromatic contaminants: a detailed assessment of density functional theory and high-level quantum chemical methods

We present that advanced oxidation processes that utilize highly oxidative radicals are widely used in water reuse treatment. In recent years, the application of sulfate radical (SO 4 ˙ - ) as a promising oxidant for water treatment has gained increasing attention. To understand the efficiency of SO 4 ˙ - in the degradation of organic contaminants in wastewater effluent, it is important to be able to predict the reaction kinetics of various SO 4 ˙ - -driven oxidation reactions. In this study, we utilize density functional theory (DFT) and high-level wavefunction-based methods (including computationally-intensive coupled cluster methods), to explore the activation energies of SO 4 ˙ - -driven oxidation reactions on a series of benzene-derived contaminants. Additionally, these high-level calculations encompass a wide set of reactions including 110 forward/reverse reactions and 5 different computational methods in total. Based on the high-level coupled-cluster quantum calculations, we find that the popular M06-2X DFT functional is significantly more accurate for OH - additions than for SO 4 ˙ - reactions. Most importantly, we highlight some of the limitations and deficiencies of other computational methods, and we recommend the use of high-level quantum calculations to spot-check environmental chemistry reactions that may lie outside the training set of the M06-2X functional, particularly for water oxidation reactions that involve SO 4 ˙ - and other inorganic species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Selection of Training Sets for 235U Source Detection Classifiers Using Gamma Signatures

The machine learning methods for classifiers to detect low level radiation sources are of interest when suitable training data sets are available. Their application and performance assessment, however, involves the aspects of over-fitting and training data selection that are somewhat uncommon in other existing methods for this task.We study U-235 gamma signatures using data sets collected by 21 NaI detectors under controlled conditions. The gamma spectra are collected by the detectors located at different distances from the source, and we study their choice as training sets for classifiers to detect a source. The detectors form the near, middle and outer groups based on the distance to source. The classifiers based on the outer group are susceptible to over-fitting, that is, they achieve low training error but incur much higher testing error in independent tests. The other two groups achieve lower training error and comparable testing error, and the near group achieves the overall lowest error. In detecting a source at an unknown distance, the farther detectors in the middle group achieve the overall lowest testing error with limited over-fitting, thereby indicating the complex dependencies between the training and classifier performance.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2015

Application configuration selection for energy-efficient execution on multicore systems

Balanced performance and energy consumption are incorporated in the design of modern computer systems. Several runtime factors, such as concurrency levels, thread mapping strategies, and dynamic voltage and frequency scaling (DVFS) should be considered in order to achieve optimal energy efficiency fora workload. Selecting appropriate run-time factors, however, is one of the most challenging tasks because the run-time factors are architecture-specific and workload-specific. And while most existing works concentrate on either static analysis of the workload or run-time prediction results, we present a hybrid two-step method that utilizes concurrency levels and DVFS settings to achieve the energy efficiency configuration for a worldoad. The experimental results based on a Xeon E5620 server with NPB and PARSEC benchmark suites show that the model is able to predict the energy efficient configuration accurately. On average, an additional 10% EDP (Energy Delay Product) saving is obtained by using run-time DVFS for the entire system. An off-line optimal solution is used to compare with the proposed scheme. Finally, the experimental results show that the average extra EDP saved by the optimal solution is within 5% on selective parallel benchmarks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Thick Level-Set model for dynamic fragmentation

The Thick Level-Set (TLS) model is implemented to simulate brittle media undergoing dynamic fragmentation. This non-local model is discretized by the finite element method with damage represented as a continuous field over the domain. A level-set function defines the extent and severity of damage, and a length scale is introduced to limit the damage gradient. Numerical studies in one dimension demonstrate that the proposed method reproduces the rate-dependent energy dissipation and fragment length observations from analytical, numerical, and experimental approaches. In conclusion, additional studies emphasize the importance of appropriate bulk constitutive models and sufficient spatial resolution of the length scale.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2013

Approximate l-fold cross-validation with Least Squares SVM and Kernel Ridge Regression

Kernel methods have difficulties scaling to large modern data sets. The scalability issues are based on computational and memory requirements for working with a large matrix. These requirements have been addressed over the years by using low-rank kernel approximations or by improving the solvers scalability. However, Least Squares Support VectorMachines (LS-SVM), a popular SVM variant, and Kernel Ridge Regression still have several scalability issues. In particular, the O(n^3) computational complexity for solving a single model, and the overall computational complexity associated with tuning hyperparameters are still major problems. We address these problems by introducing an O(n log n) approximate l-fold cross-validation method that uses a multi-level circulant matrix to approximate the kernel. In addition, we prove our algorithm s computational complexity and present empirical runtimes on data sets with approximately 1 million data points. We also validate our approximate method s effectiveness at selecting hyperparameters on real world and standard benchmark data sets. Lastly, we provide experimental results on using a multi-level circulant kernel approximation to solve LS-SVM problems with hyperparameters selected using our method.

Edwards, Richard E↗

DOE OSTI2014

Approximate l-Fold Cross-Validation with Least Squares SVM and Kernel Ridge Regression

Kernel methods have difficulties scaling to large modern data sets. The scalability issues are based on computational and memory requirements for working with a large matrix. These requirements have been addressed over the years by using low-rank kernel approximations or by improving the solvers' scalability. However, Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM), a popular SVM variant, and Kernel Ridge Regression still have several scalability issues. In particular, the O(n^3) computational complexity for solving a single model, and the overall computational complexity associated with tuning hyper parameters are still major problems. We address these problems by introducing an O(nlog n) approximate l-fold cross-validation method that uses a multi-level circulant matrix to approximate the kernel. In addition, we prove our algorithm's computational complexity and present empirical runtimes on data sets with approximately one million data points. We also validate our approximate method's effectiveness at selecting hyper parameters on real world and standard benchmark data sets. Lastly, we provide experimental results on using a multi level circulant kernel approximation to solve LS-SVM problems with hyper parameters selected using our method.

Computer Science↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-Order Mesh Morphing for Boundary and Interface Fitting to Implicit Geometries

Here, we propose a method that morphs high-order meshes such that their boundaries and interfaces coincide/align with implicitly defined geometries. Our focus is particularly on the case when the target surface is prescribed as the zero isocontour of a smooth discrete function. Common examples of this scenario include using level set functions to represent material interfaces in multimaterial configurations, and evolving geometries in shape and topology optimization. The proposed method formulates the mesh optimization problem as a variational minimization of the sum of a chosen mesh-quality metric using the Target-Matrix Optimization Paradigm (TMOP) and a penalty term that weakly forces the selected faces of the mesh to align with the target surface. The distinct features of the method are use of a source mesh to represent the level set function with sufficient accuracy, and adaptive strategies for setting the penalization weight and selecting the faces of the mesh to be fit to the target isocontour of the level set field. We demonstrate that the proposed method is robust for generating boundary- and interface-fitted meshes for curvilinear domains using different element types in 2D and 3D.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2015

A comparative study of diffraction of shallow-water waves by high-level IGN and GN equations

This work is on the nonlinear diffraction analysis of shallow-water waves, impinging on submerged obstacles, by two related theories, namely the classical Green–Naghdi (GN) equations and the Irrotational Green–Naghdi (IGN) equations, both sets of equations being at high levels and derived for incompressible and inviscid flows. Recently, the high-level Green–Naghdi equations have been applied to some wave transformation problems. The high-level IGN equations have also been used in the last decade to study certain wave propagation problems. However, past works on these theories used different numerical methods to solve these nonlinear and unsteady sets of differential equations and at different levels. Moreover, different physical problems have been solved in the past. Therefore, it has not been possible to understand the differences produced by these two sets of theories and their range of applicability so far. We are thus motivated to make a direct comparison of the results produced by these theories by use of the same numerical method to solve physically the same wave diffraction problems. We focus on comparing these two theories by using similar codes; only the equations used are different but other parts of the codes, such as the wave-maker, damping zone, discretion method, matrix solver, etc., are exactly the same. This way, we eliminate many potential sources of differences that could be produced by the solution of different equations. The physical problems include the presence of various submerged obstacles that can be used for example as breakwaters or to represent the continental shelf. A numerical wave tank is created by placing a wavemaker on one end and a wave absorbing beach on the other. The nonlinear and unsteady sets of differential equations are solved by the finite-difference method. The results are compared with different equations as well as with the available experimental data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2019

Distributed renewable energy resource trust metrics and secure routing

To ensure reliable and predictable service in the electrical grid between distributed renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) it is important to gauge the level of trust present within critical components and DER aggregators (DERAs). Although trust throughout a smart grid is temporal and dynamically varies according to measured states, it is possible to accurately formulate communications and service level strategies based on such trust measurements. Utilizing an effective set of machine learning and statistical methods, it is shown that establishment of trust levels between DERAs using behavioral pattern analysis is possible. Further, it is also shown that the establishment of such trust can facilitate simple secure communications routing between DERAs. Providing secure routing between DERAs enables a grid operator to maintain service level agreements to its customers, reduce the attack surface and increase operational resiliency.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2012

Dual baseline search for muon antineutrino disappearance at 0.1 eV²<Δm²<100 eV²

The MiniBooNE and SciBooNE collaborations report the results of a joint search for short baseline disappearance of ν¯ μ at Fermilab’s Booster Neutrino Beamline. The MiniBooNE Cherenkov detector and the SciBooNE tracking detector observe antineutrinos from the same beam, therefore the combined analysis of their data sets serves to partially constrain some of the flux and cross section uncertainties. Uncertainties in the ν μ background were constrained by neutrino flux and cross section measurements performed in both detectors. A likelihood ratio method was used to set a 90% confidence level upper limit on ν¯ μ disappearance that dramatically improves upon prior limits in the Δm²=0.1–100 eV² region.

Cheng, G.↗

DOE OSTI2025

A simple and highly efficient protocol for 13 C-labeling of plant cell wall for structural and quantitative analyses via solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance

Plant cell walls are made of a complex network of interacting polymers that play a critical role in plant development and responses to environmental changes. Thus, improving plant biomass and fitness requires the elucidation of the structural organization of plant cell walls in their native environment. The 13 C-based multi-dimensional solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (ssNMR) has been instrumental in revealing the structural information of plant cell walls through 2D and 3D correlation spectral analyses. However, the requirement of enriching plants with 13 C limits the applicability of this method. To our knowledge, there is only a very limited set of methods currently available that achieve high levels of 13 C-labeling of plant materials using 13 CO 2 , and most of them require large amounts of 13 CO 2 in larger growth chambers. In this study, a simplified protocol for 13C-labeling of plant materials is introduced that allows ca 60% labeling of the cell walls, as quantified by comparison with commercially labeled samples. This level of 13 C-enrichment is sufficient for all conventional 2D and 3D correlation ssNMR experiments for detailed analysis of plant cell wall structure. The protocol is based on a convenient and easy setup to supply both 13 C-labeled glucose and 13 CO 2 using a vacuum-desiccator. The protocol does not require large amounts of 13 CO 2 . This study shows that our 13 C-labeling of plant materials can make the accessibility to ssNMR technique easy and affordable. The derived high-resolution 2D and 3D correlation spectra are used to extract structural information of plant cell walls. This helps to better understand the influence of polysaccharide-polysaccharide interaction on plant performance and allows for a more precise parametrization of plant cell wall models.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2013

Precision Search for Muon Antineutrino Disappearance Oscillations Using a Dual Baseline Technique

A search for short baseline muon antineutrino disappearance with the SciBooNE and MiniBooNE experiments at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory in Batavia, Illinois is presented. Short baseline muon antineutrino disappearance measurements help constrain sterile neutrino models. The two detectors observe muon antineutrinos from the same beam, therefore the combined analysis of their data sets serves to partially constrain some of the flux and cross section uncertainties. A likelihood ratio method was used to set a 90% confidence level upper limit on muon antineutrino disappearance that dramatically improves upon prior sterile neutrino oscillation limits in the Δm 2 =0.1-100 eV 2 region.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Bayesian Static Parameter Estimation for Partially Observed Diffusions via Multilevel Monte Carlo

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for instance, using the Euler--Maruyama method. Given this assumption, we show how one can use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particularly particle MCMC [C. Andrieu, A. Doucet, and R. Holenstein, J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol., 72 (2010), 269--342] to implement a new approximation of the multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo (MC) collapsing sum identity. Our approach comprises constructing an approximate coupling of the posterior density of the joint distribution over parameter and hidden variables at two different discretization levels and then correcting by an importance sampling method. The variance of the weights are independent of the length of the observed data set. The utility of such a method is that, for a prescribed level of mean square error, the cost of this MLMC method is provably less than i.i.d. sampling from the posterior associated to the most precise discretization. However the method here comprises using only known and efficient simulation methodologies. Finally, the theoretical results are illustrated by inference of the parameters of two prototypical processes given noisy partial observations of the process: the first is an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process and the second is a more general Langevin equation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2018

Relativistic MR-MP Energy Levels for L-shell Ions of Sulfur and Argon

Calculated level energies for valence and K-vacancy states are given for the ion series S vii–S xiv and Ar ix–Ar xvi. The calculations were performed with the relativistic Multi-Reference Møller–Plesset Perturbation Theory method (MR-MP). The data set includes all the level energies with configurations $1{s}^{2}2{(s,p)}^{q}$, $1{s}^{2}2{(s,p)}^{q-1}{nl}$, $1{s}^{1}2{(s,p)}^{q+1}$, $1{s}^{1}2{(s,p)}^{q}{nl}$, $2{(s,p)}^{q+2}$, and $2{(s,p)}^{q+1}{nl}$, where 1 ≤ q ≤ 8, n ≤ 5, and l ≤ 3. We have compared our results with data from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) online database and with previous calculations. The average deviation of valence level energies ranges from 0.16 eV in Ne-like ions to 0.01 eV in Li-like ions, demonstrating that the present MR-MP valence level energies are highly accurate. In the case of K-vacancy states, the deviation is generally below 0.3 eV for Li-like S xiv and Ar xvi. The deviation for K-vacancy energies in other L-shell ions (Be-, B-, C-, N-, and O-like Ar ions) is higher but likely because the NIST-recommended values have a higher uncertainty. The data set includes many n = 4 and n = 5 valence and K-vacancy levels in L-shell ions of S and Ar that have not been previously reported. The data can be used for line identification and modeling of L-shell ions of S and Ar in astrophysical and laboratory-generated plasmas, and as energy references in the absence of more accurate laboratory calculations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Anharmonic Bloch oscillations of electrons in electrically biased superlattices

The phenomenon of anharmonic Bloch oscillations (i.e., oscillations with a frequency which is a multiple of the Bloch frequency) is considered. The energy-band structure of silicon-carbide polytypes where these oscillations are observed is calculated ab initio. A one-dimensional model potential making it possible to calculate the Stark wave functions in a biased superlattice is constructed for these polytypes. The transfer matrix method is used to find the set of energy levels (the so-called Stark ladder) and calculate the electron wave functions. It is shown that both radiative transitions between neighboring Stark levels (at the Bloch frequency) and transitions in the form of jumps via several levels, accompanied by emission at frequencies that are multiples of the Bloch frequency, may occur. The calculated probabilities of transitions between Stark-ladder levels increase with increasing applied field strength.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2014

Generalized conditional symmetries and related solutions of the Grad-Shafranov equation

The generalized conditional symmetry (GCS) method is applied to a specific case of the Grad–Shafranov (GS) equation, in cylindrical geometry assuming the existence of an axial symmetry. We investigate the conditions that yield the GS equation admitting a special class of second-order GCSs. The determining system for the unknown arbitrary functions is solved in several special cases and new exact solutions, including solitary waves, different in form and structure from the ones obtained using other nonclassical symmetry methods, are pointed out. Several plots of the level sets or flux surfaces of the new solutions as well as surfaces with vanishing flow are displayed. The obtained solutions can be useful for studying plasma equilibrium, transport phenomena, and magnetohydrodynamic stability.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗