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At least 145 records · Page 8

Clear-Sky Detection Using Time-Averaged, Tilted-Plane Data

A method is presented to detect clear-sky periods for plane-of-array, time-averaged irradiance data that is based on the algorithm originally described by Reno and Hansen. We show this new method improves the state-of-the-art by providing accurate detection at longer data intervals, and by detecting clear periods in plane-of-array data, which is novel. We illustrate how accurate determination of clear-sky conditions helps to eliminate data noise and bias in the assessment of long-term performance of PV plants.

clear-sky conditions↗

Spatial Study 2022: Surface Water Samples, Cotton Strip Degradation, and Hydrologic Sensor Data across the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA (v3)

This dataset supports a broader study examining the drivers of spatial variability in sediment respiration rates in the Yakima River Basin. The dataset provides data and photos generated from sample collection during the same one-week period at 48 sites within multiple rivers throughout the Yakima River Basin in Washington, USA. The contents include surface water geochemistry data; river substrate grain size photos; stream depth data; manual chamber open channel respiration data; and field metadata (including qualitative information on instream and river corridor characteristics). Grain size photos can be used to improve estimates of channel substrate D50 data. The dataset also includes tensile strength and photos from cotton strip field degradation experiments; five-week sensor time series temperature, dissolved oxygen, pressure, pH, specific conductance, chlorophyll A, and turbidity data; plots of the sensor data; and R scripts used to generate the plots. Samples collected during this study were labeled as “Second Spatial Study” or “SSS.” A subset of data from the SSS samples were published in the contiguous United States (CONUS)-Scale Model-Sample (CM) study data package available at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/view/doi:10.15485/1923689 that presents data from across the CONUS. SSS data published in the CM data package were not included in this data package. They include dissolved organic carbon (DOC, measured as non-purgeable organic carbon, NPOC), total nitrogen (TN), grain size, aerobic sediment respiration, dissolved oxygen (DO), and temperature. Parent IDs and Site IDs are consistent between the SSS and CM data packages, and they can be mapped directly so data across packages can be used together. Additionally, sensor data from a similar 2021 spatial study can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/view/doi:10.15485/1892052 and 2021 sample data can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/view/doi:10.15485/1898914. The 2021 spatial study had some sites in common with this 2022 spatial study. This dataset is comprised of three photo folders and one main data folder with six subfolders. The photo folders contain photographs and videos of cotton strip retrieval and sediment quadrats. The main data folder consists of (1) file-level metadata; (2) data dictionary; (3) field metadata; (4) total suspended solids (TSS) data and cotton strip tensile strength data and averages; (5) field protocol; (6) readme; (7) methods codes; (8) international generic sample number (IGSN) mapping file; (9) sensor installation methods summary; (10) stream depth and averages; and (11) Ultrameter data and averages. The Sonar subfolder consists of Sonar time-series depth data and a processing script. The BarotrollAtm, DepthHOBO, MantaRiver, miniDOT, and miniDOTManualChamber subfolders contain time-series data, plots, and summary files. All files are .csv, .pdf, .txt, .R, .Rmd, .jpg, .jpeg, .AVI, .mp4, or .mov. The data package was originally published in April 2023. It was updated in August 2023 (v2; modified files) and September 2024 (v3; modified files). See the change history section in the readme for details. We acknowledge the Yakama Nation as owners and caretakers of the lands where we collected these data. We thank the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate sample collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Continuous dithered waveform averaging for high-fidelity digitization of repetitive signals

Methods and devices for digitizing an analog repetitive signal using waveform averaging are described. An example method includes generating a time-varying dither signal, receiving the analog repetitive signal comprising multiple instances of a waveform, wherein each waveform has a waveform duration, wherein an average of the time-varying dither signal over multiple waveform durations is substantially zero, and wherein the time-varying dither signal varies over each waveform duration, generating a timing alignment, combining each waveform with the corresponding portion of the time-varying dither signal over each waveform duration to produce an analog output signal, converting the analog output signal to a digital output signal, and producing, based on the timing alignment, a digital averaged signal based on averaging the multiple instances of the waveform in the analog output signal, wherein the timing alignment is used to align the multiple instances of the waveform in the analog output signal.

Buckley, Brandon Walter↗

Impact of specimen preparation method on photovoltaic backsheet degradation during accelerated aging test

In this study, we highlight some important factors in the specimen preparation methods for evaluating photovoltaic backsheet properties after accelerated aging. Two different sequences are considered: Method (I) cut-then-age: cut into 1-cm wide strips and then expose to stress, and Method (II) age-then-cut: expose a larger sheet to stress and then cut into 1-cm widths for mechanical property measurements. We also compare the effect of three cutting methods, (a) tensile specimen punch, (b) paper cutter, and (c) fresh razor blade. Several commercial backsheets were evaluated, with stress exposures including (a) pressure cooker test (PCT), (b) dry ultraviolet (UV) radiation exposure, and (c) UV combined damp heat tests. Fourier transform infrared spectrometer (FTIR) and intrinsic viscosity (IV) were used to analyze the materials on unstressed materials and samples exposed to PCT. The results show that both the cutting method and the time of cutting have an impact on the backsheet mechanical properties. Additionally, under UV exposure, Method II, age-then-cut, generally resulted in a higher average value, with more variation than Method I; however, if the side strips from Method II were excluded, the variation dropped to the same level. This is because the specimens at the sides of the sheet get additional damage from UV light from the exposed sides of the sample. In contrast to UV exposure, PCT specimens prepared by Method II result in lower average values and higher variability. This is attributed to embrittlement through the bulk of the sample where the cutting of embrittled specimens appears to result in more edge defects which can then initiate a break at smaller strains. The data suggest that for UV exposures, the specimens should be cut after aging and the exposed side specimens discarded, and that for PCT exposures, the specimens should be cut before the exposure.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MAPredict: Static Analysis Driven Memory Access Prediction Framework for Modern CPUs

Application memory access patterns are crucial in deciding how much traffic is served by the cache and forwarded to the dynamic random-access memory (DRAM). However, predicting such memory traffic is difficult because of the interplay of prefetchers, compilers, parallel execution, and innovations in manufacturer-specific micro-architectures. This research introduced MAPredict, a static analysis-driven framework that addresses these challenges to predict last-level cache (LLC)-DRAM traffic. By exploring and analyzing the behavior of modern Intel processors, MAPredict formulates cache-aware analytical models. MAPredict invokes these models to predict LLC-DRAM traffic by combining the application model, machine model, and user-provided hints to capture dynamic information. MAPredict successfully predicts LLC-DRAM traffic for different regular access patterns and provides the means to combine static and empirical observations for irregular access patterns. Evaluating 130 workloads from six applications on recent Intel micro-architectures, MAPredict yielded an average accuracy of 99% for streaming, 91% for strided, and 92% for stencil patterns. By coupling static and empirical methods, up to 97% average accuracy was obtained for random access patterns on different micro-architectures.

Monil, M. A. H.↗

Discrete offset dithered waveform averaging for high-fidelity digitization of repetitive signals

Methods and devices for digitizing an analog repetitive signal using waveform averaging are described. An example method includes generating a discrete set of analog dither offset voltages, wherein at least two of the discrete set of analog dither offset voltages are different from each other, receiving the analog repetitive signal comprising multiple instances of a waveform, wherein the waveform has a waveform duration, generate a timing alignment to align each waveform of the analog repetitive signal and the corresponding analog dither offset voltage over the waveform duration, combining, based on the timing alignment, each waveform and the corresponding analog dither offset voltage over the waveform duration to produce an analog output signal, converting the analog output signal to a digital output signal, and producing, based on the timing alignment, a digital averaged signal based on averaging the multiple instances of the waveform in the analog output signal.

Buckley, Brandon Walter↗

An update to the Sandia method for creating Typical Meteorological Years from a limited pool of calendar years

Typical Meteorological Years (TMYs) are essential for the efficient evaluation of energy system performance. Ideally, 30 years of weather data are required to generate TMYs, but significantly fewer years are typically available due to practical limitations. To address this issue, an update to the Sandia method was developed, referred to as the Argonne method, to create TMYs from a limited number of years. Furthermore, this method enhances candidate diversity by systematically shifting original candidate months forward or backward by specific days, creating an expanded pool of candidates. The effectiveness of the Argonne method was validated through statistical testing, comparison of monthly average weather parameters, and numerical simulations. The results demonstrate a high probability of identifying at least one shifted month whose cumulative distribution functions of weather parameters closely align with long-term distributions. In 67 % of all comparisons, the monthly average weather parameters in TMYs generated using the Argonne method exhibit better agreement with long-term averages than TMY3. Moreover, in 74 % of the 318 building simulation cases, the Argonne method outperforms TMY3 in estimating long-term average building heating and cooling demands. Therefore, the Argonne method effectively diversifies the candidate pool and produces typical years that provide more accurate estimations of long-term averages compared to TMY3 when only a limited pool of calendar years (10 years or fewer) is available.

Building energy modeling↗

Continuum shock mixture models for Ni+Al multilayers: Individual layers and bulk equations of state

Continuum shock mixture models are reviewed and applied to determine the equations of state for five different compositions of Ni x Al y ⁠, as well as bulk Ni+Al reactive multilayers, by combining the fundamental property data for elemental nickel and aluminum. From the literature, we down-select and evaluate two analytical models for the mixture Hugoniot, i.e., the well-known method of kinetic energy averaging (KEA) and a recent model proposed by Jordan and Baer [J. Appl. Phys. 111, 083516 (2012)]. Fundamentally, the former method assumes pressure equilibrium, whereas the latter assumes a common particle velocity and mixture sound speed from compressible two-phase cavitating flows. Additionally, we construct thermodynamically complete equations of state by fitting Einstein oscillator series models for the specific heat at constant volume. Finally, the solid solution approximation is invoked for intermetallic compositions, which are not strictly physical mixtures. Overall, the KEA model provides a better fit to the available Ni x Al y and Ni+Al multilayer shock compression data; however, there are combinations of material properties where the performance of these two models is thought to be reversed. Moreover, the results of this work include the first analytical solution of Jordan–Baer that does not require numerical root finding, as well as proposed modifications to the Einstein oscillator series to incorporate some effects of local pressure–temperature equilibrium and reaction–diffusion. Future work is planned that will use these equations of state in mesoscale simulations to study shock-induced reaction in Ni+Al multilayers, and the intended application is illustrated with a brief 2D hydrocode example.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Time-average holographic estimation of Poisson's ratio by Cornu's method from mode shapes

More than 150 years ago, Marie Alfred Cornu first demonstrated his method of using interferometry to directly measure Poisson’s ratio from a radially bent beam. It is an elegant approach to measuring Poisson’s ratio of a beam requiring only two length measurements. Cornu’s method combines the high precision of interferometry with a four-point bending apparatus. This research simulates an interferometry technique called time-average scanning digital holography to make direct estimates of Poisson’s ratio from the antin odes of a mode shape. We show it is possible to make direct estimates of Poisson’s ratio from the antinode of a mode shape although the estimates diverge from the true value of Poisson’s ratio. We find that the di vergence is proportional to the distance between the nodes of a mode shape. We then develop an expression for converting our direct estimate back to within two percent of the true value of Poisson’s ratio for a thin, homogeneous, and hinged-hinged beam, or plate. The remainder of the research seeks to extend this method to combinations of clamped, free, and hinged boundary conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Learning protein fitness models from evolutionary and assay-labeled data

Machine learning-based models of protein fitness typically learn from either unlabeled, evolutionarily related sequences or variant sequences with experimentally measured labels. For regimes where only limited experimental data are available, recent work has suggested methods for combining both sources of information. Toward that goal, we propose a simple combination approach that is competitive with, and on average outperforms more sophisticated methods. Our approach uses ridge regression on site-specific amino acid features combined with one probability density feature from modeling the evolutionary data. Within this approach, we find that a variational autoencoder-based probability density model showed the best overall performance, although any evolutionary density model can be used. Moreover, our analysis highlights the importance of systematic evaluations and sufficient baselines.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Fast methods for multisite charge transfer processes. I. Constrained, state averaged CASSCF(1,n) and CASSCF(2n − 1,n) simulations

We design a dynamically weighted state-averaged constrained complete active space self-consistent field (DW-SA-cCASSCF) algorithm to treat electrons or holes moving between n molecular fragments (where n can be larger than 2). Within such a so-called eDSCn/hDSCn approach, we consider configurations that are mutually single excitations of each other, and we apply a generalized set of constraints to tailor the method for studying charge transfer problems. The constrained optimization problem is efficiently solved using a DIIS-SQP algorithm, thus maintaining computational efficiency. We demonstrate the method for a finite Su–Schrieffer–Heeger chain, successfully reproducing the expected exponential decay of diabatic couplings with distance. When combined with a gradient, the current extension immediately enables efficient nonadiabatic dynamics simulations of complex multi-state charge transfer processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Deep reinforcement learning for class imbalance fault diagnosis of equipment in nuclear power plants

In equipment fault diagnosis in nuclear power plants, there may be far more samples in one class (e.g., a health state) than in another class (e.g., a fault state). The distribution of data in each class is highly skewed. Most machine learning algorithms are suitable for balanced training datasets. When faced with imbalanced samples, these algorithms tend to provide good identification for the majority classes and bias for the minority classes. However, the misclassification of minority classes can lead to high costs. To address the above problem, this paper develops a deep reinforcement learning-based diagnosis method that models fault diagnosis as a sequential decision-making process. At each time step, the agent receives the state of the environment represented by the training samples and then takes a diagnosis action guided by a policy. If the action is correct/incorrect, the agent receives a positive/negative reward. The reward for minority classes is higher than that for majority classes. The agent’s goal is to obtain as many cumulative rewards as possible in the process, i.e., to identify the sample as correctly as possible. Six demonstration scenarios are constructed, depending on the selected fault datasets and the designed model structures. Experiments show that the proposed method achieves a higher weighted-averaged F1 score than the classical supervised learning method in most cases of class imbalance. Finally, the proposed method has potential applications in the field of class imbalance fault diagnosis of equipment in nuclear power plants.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Estimation of Large-Scale Wind Field Characteristics Using Supervisory Control and Data: Preprint

As the wind energy industry continues to pushfor increased power production and lower cost of energy, thefocus of research has expanded from individual turbines toentire wind farms. Among a host of interesting problems to besolved when considering the wind farm as a whole, we considerthe challenge of scalar field estimation, based on informationalready collected at the individual turbine level. We aim toestimate the large-scale, low-frequency characteristics of thewind field, such as the mean wind direction and the overalldecrease in wind speed across the farm, and employ a Kalmanfilter that models the wind field using a polynomial function.We compare the proposed method’s performance to both asimple averaging technique and filtering of individual turbinemeasurements. The method presented is not limited to windturbines and is applicable in other situations where multipleremote agents are used to estimate a scalar field.

large scale↗

Evaluation of obstacle modelling approaches for resource assessment and small wind turbine siting: case study in the northern Netherlands

Abstract. Growth in adoption of distributed wind turbines for energy generation is significantly impacted by challenges associated with siting and accurate estimation of the wind resource. Small turbines, at hub heights of 40 m or less, are greatly impacted by terrestrial obstacles such as built structures and vegetation that can cause complex wake effects. While some progress in high-fidelity complex fluid dynamics (CFD) models has increased the potential accuracy for modelling the impacts of obstacles on turbulent wind flow, these models are too computationally expensive for practical siting and resource assessment applications. To understand the efficacy of available models in situ, this study evaluates classic and commonly used methods alongside new state-of-the-art lower-order models derived from CFD simulations and machine learning approaches. This evaluation is conducted using a subset of an extensive original dataset of measurements from more than 300 operational wind turbines in the northern Netherlands. The results show that data-driven methods (e.g. machine learning and statistical modelling) are most effective at predicting production at real sites with an average error in annual energy production of 2.5 %. When sufficient data may not be available de novo to support these data-driven approaches, models derived from high-fidelity simulations show promise and reliably outperform classic methods. On average these models have 6.3 %–11.5 % error compared with 26 % for classic methods and 27 % baseline error for reanalysis data without obstacle correction. While more performant on average, these methods are also sensitive to the quality of obstacle descriptions and reanalysis inputs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

High-Resolution Meteorology with Climate Change Impacts from Global Climate Model Data Using Generative Machine Learning

As renewable energy generation increases, the impacts of weather and climate on energy generation and demand become critical to the reliability of the energy system. However, these impacts are often overlooked. Global climate models (GCMs) can be used to understand possible changes to our climate, but their coarse resolution makes them difficult to use in energy system modelling. Here we present open-source generative machine learning methods that produce meteorological data at a nominal spatial resolution of 4 km at an hourly frequency based on inputs from 100 km daily-average GCM data. These methods run 40 times faster than traditional downscaling methods and produce data that have high-resolution spatial and temporal attributes similar to historical datasets. We demonstrate that these methods can be used to downscale projected changes in wind, solar and temperature variables across multiple GCMs including projections for more frequent low-wind and high-temperature events in the Eastern United States.

climate change↗

Convex optimization of contour deformations

We discuss various formal aspects of contour deformations used to alleviate sign problems; most importantly, relating these contour deformations to a certain convex optimization problem. As a consequence of this connection we describe a general method for proving upper bounds on the average phase achievable by the contour deformation method. Using this method we show that Abelian lattice Yang-Mills in two spacetime dimensions possesses, for many values of the complex coupling, an exponential sign problem that cannot be removed via any contour deformation. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Identification of surface urban heat versus cool islands for arid cities depends on the choice of urban and rural definitions

The urban heat island (UHI) effect in arid cities can be small or even negative, the latter known as the urban cool island (UCI) effect. Differences in defining urban and rural areas can introduce uncertainties in detecting UHI or UCI, especially when the UHI signal is small. Here, we compared the surface UHI intensity (SUHII) estimated by a dozen different methods (with multiple urban and/or rural definitions) across 104 arid cities globally, providing a comprehensive evaluation of the uncertainty in SUHII estimates. Results show that the absolute difference in annual average SUHII (ΔSUHII) among methods exceeded 1°C in about half of the arid cities during both daytime and nighttime. Further, the overall annual mean ΔSUHII for all arid cities was 1.35°C during daytime and 1.03 °C at night. The uncertainty arising from simultaneous variations in urban and rural definitions was generally higher than that resulting from their individual changes. It was observed that, with varying definitions of urban and rural areas, nearly 50% of arid cities experienced a sign reversal in daytime SUHII estimates, while approximately 15% exhibited a sign reversal in nighttime SUHII. Variations in urban-rural differences in surface properties, such as vegetation index and albedo, due to differing urban and rural definitions, contributed strongly to the observed SUHII uncertainties. Overall, our results offer new insights into the ongoing debate on heat and cold islands in arid cities, emphasizing a critical need to standardize SUHII estimation frameworks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Multistage Stochastic Transmission Expansion Algorithm for Wide-Area Planning under Uncertainty

The overall objective for this project was to develop and demonstrate a set of methods for solving the transmission investment problem for a large network considering many possible scenarios of future conditions and multiple decision points when investments can be made. Project sub-objectives achieved this goal through a succession of extending the methods to apply to problems with increasing complexity or additional features, including the number of decision points, whether generation and transmission are co-optimized, and whether AC or DC power flow is used. A transmission model was developed for the Western Electric Coordinating Council (WECC) region, the high-voltage transmission system that serves the western third of the continental U.S. Using a dataset provided by WECC and by researchers from John Hopkins University, we have validated and demonstrated the model and used it to compare the new method for solving multi-stage stochastic transmission planning to several state-of-the-art techniques. The project has resulted in several key outcomes and achievements: The covariance-based method for choosing a small set of hours to represent short-term variability has superior performance in terms of accuracy to existing methods, including K-means clustering and Importance Sampling; The combined partitioning method for long-term uncertainty with the nested clustering approach for choosing representative hours for each long-term group has superior accuracy for equivalent computational effort compared with existing methods; Using the partitioning/clustering method combined with Sample Average Approximation provides both statistical bounds on the quality of the solution and at the same time, a complete investment plan for all contingencies in the full uncertainty set; no existing methods can provide both at the same time; The method is demonstrated to work well for choosing both transmission and generation investments; A variant on the method allows for both scenario selection and simultaneous correction for the error from the DC power flow approximation to provide a tractable method for AC power flow-based transmission planning under uncertainty; The method applied to the WECC case study demonstrates the additional value to the system operator and the consumer of identifying flexible investment options in the near-term decisions. In particular, the case study exhibits significant option value in postponing some transmission additions that appear useful but in some long-term system states create new congestion problems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗