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Oral presentation intended for Multi-Informatics for Nuclear Operations Scenarios (MINOS) venture teams describing programmed notification algorithm and ground truth collected at the Advanced Test Reactor.
To date, terahertz quantum-cascade vertical-external-cavity surface-emitting lasers (QC-VECSELs) have tended to oscillate in only one or two lasing modes at a time. This is due to the fact that the interaction between all of the longitudinal external cavity modes and the QC gain material is mediated through a single metasurface resonance, whose spatial overlap changes little with frequency; this suppresses spatial-hole-burning induced multi-mode operation. In this Letter, a VECSEL external cavity is demonstrated using an output coupler based upon a high-resistivity silicon etalon, which presents a periodic reflectance spectrum that is nearly matched with the external cavity mode spectrum. As the cavity length is varied, a systematic transition between a single/double-mode lasing regime and a multi-mode lasing regime is realized due to the Vernier effect. Up to nine modes lasing simultaneously with a free-spectral-range of approximately 21 GHz is demonstrated. Furthermore, this result provides a path toward the multi-mode operation necessary for eventual frequency comb operation.
The integration of hybrid photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage system (ESS) based plants has become a promising way of solving the intermittency of PV plants and providing frequency support to the power grid. The multi-port autonomous reconfigurable solar power plant (MARS) can integrate the PV systems and ESSs to an ac grid and dc lines. The proposed isolated MARS incorporates an isolated converter that connects to the PV arrays and is based on the dual active bridge (DAB) converter. The high frequency switching in the DAB and the means to control the DAB converter using delays between switching signals lead to the need for a small timestep in simulations. Moreover, several hundreds of modules that include a DAB converter are present in the MARS. The small timestep and the presence of several hundreds of modules lead to a significant rise in the overall simulation time. To address this issue, simulation algorithms like numerical stiffness-based hybrid discretization and the hysteresis relaxation technique are applied to the switched system model of isolated MARS. Additionally, an event-driven interpolating method is introduced to help increase the minimum timestep to simulate the conventional DAB converter model while maintaining high accuracy in the simulation results. The developed model is validated by comparison with its reference model built in the PSCAD/EMTDC and MATLAB software environments using library components.
Time series forecasting plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications, such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and scientific computing. In recent years, deep learning has become a powerful tool for modeling complex temporal patterns and improving forecasting accuracy. This survey provides an overview of recent deep learning approaches for time series forecasting, involving various architectures including RNNs, CNNs, GNNs, transformers, large language models, MLP-based models, and diffusion models. We first identify key challenges in the field, such as temporal dependency, efficiency, and cross-variable dependency, which drive the development of forecasting techniques. Then, the general advantages and limitations of each architecture are discussed to contextualize their adaptation in time series forecasting. Furthermore, we highlight promising design trends like multi-scale modeling, decomposition, and frequency-domain techniques, which are shaping the future of the field. This paper serves as a compact reference for researchers and practitioners seeking to understand the current landscape and future trajectory of deep learning in time series forecasting.
This paper investigates the modal dynamics of self-excited high frequency transverse instabilities in a multi-nozzle, swirl-stabilized can combustor. It utilizes results from multiple pressure sensors to decompose the disturbance into clockwise (CW) and counter-clockwise (CCW) waves, enabling a reconstruction of the pressure amplitude, phase, anti-nodal line location, and spin ratio. While these types of decompositions have been demonstrated on small scale combustors, particularly annular combustors, this is the first study to analyze these results for a high power, multi-nozzle can combustor. Its particular focus is in characterizing the system evolution in phase space and the nature of the system attractors under linearly unstable conditions; results are presented in spin ratio-phase difference space, so that limit cycle oscillations appear as fixed points. Results are shown for conditions where three different attractors dominate (standing, CW, and CCW) but are taken for very long time periods (~50,000 cycles) so that the system's interaction with these attractors can be observed. For the standing mode-dominated case, the phase portrait shows spiral trajectories converging to a single fixed point. For the spinning mode dominated cases, however, multiple fixed points and saddle points were observed, and the trajectories showed a more complicated structure. It was also shown that even though the CW mode is dominant, this mode intermittently switches to standing or CCW modes for short period. These results suggest that the strength of each attractor depends on test conditions and that random noise stochastically perturbs the system so that large regions of the phase space are explored. Lastly, one interesting observation is that the angular velocity of the anti-nodal line linearly varies with the spin ratio under standing-mode dominant conditions.
This manuscript discusses the challenges in detecting and attributing recently observed trends in the Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) and the epistemic uncertainty we face in assessing future risk. We use synthetic storms downscaled from five CMIP5 models by the Columbia HAZard model (CHAZ), and directly simulated storms from high-resolution climate models. We examine three aspects of recent TC activity: the upward trend and multi-decadal oscillation of the annual frequency, the increase in storm wind intensity, and the decrease in forward speed. Some data sets suggest that these trends and oscillation are forced while others suggest that they can be explained by natural variability. Projections under warming climate scenarios also show a wide range of possibilities, especially for the annual frequencies, which increase or decrease depending on the choice of moisture variable used in the CHAZ model and on the choice of climate model. The uncertainties in the annual frequency lead to epistemic uncertainties in TC risk assessment. Here, we investigate the potential for reduction of these epistemic uncertainties through a statistical practice, namely likelihood analysis. We find that historical observations are more consistent with the simulations with increasing frequency than those with decreasing frequency, but we are not able to rule out the latter. We argue that the most rational way to treat epistemic uncertainty is to consider all outcomes contained in the results. In the context of risk assessment, since the results contain possible outcomes in which TC risk is increasing, this view implies that the risk is increasing.
The entropy coefficient of a battery cell is the property that governs the amount of reversible heat that is generated during operation. In this work, we propose an extension of the Multi-Species, Multi-Reaction (MSMR) model to capture the entropy coefficient of a large format lithium-ion battery cell. We utilize the hybridized time-frequency domain analysis (HTFDA) method using a multi-functional calorimeter to probe the entropy coefficient of a large format pouch type lithium-ion battery with a NMC 811 cathode and a graphite anode. The measured entropy coefficient profile of the battery cell is deconvoluted into an entropy coefficient for each active material, which is then estimated using an extension of the MSMR model. Finally, we extend the entropy of a material to individual entropy for each gallery as treated by the model.
SAND2025-00555O WEC as a multiport is a software tool that simplifies the modeling and design of ocean wave energy converters (WECs) using a multi-port network framework in the frequency domain. Users can simulate the dynamic interactions between WECs and ocean waves, optimizing energy extraction and system performance. This tool supports the analysis of complex wave energy systems, aiding in the development of efficient and effective WEC designs. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.
Many applications produce multiway data of exceedingly high dimension. Modeling such multi-way data is important in multichannel signal and video processing where sensors produce multi-indexed data, e.g. over spatial, frequency, and temporal dimensions. We will address the challenges of covariance representation of multiway data and review some of the progress in statistical modeling of multiway covariance over the past two decades, focusing on tensor-valued covariance models and their inference. We will illustrate through a space weather application: predicting the evolution of solar active regions over time.
This dataset presents a large-ensemble of CONUS-wide projected flood frequency and uncertainty estimates across ~2.7 million NHDPlusV2 river reaches over the CONUS. The framework producing this dataset leverages a multi-model, uncertainty-aware modeling framework that allows evaluating shifts in flood frequences at the stream reach level across the CONUS. CONUS-wide ensemble streamflow projections generated from hydrologic simulations driven by downscaled and bias-corrected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) outputs are used to derive these flood frequency and uncertainty estimates over the period 1980 - 2099. A spatially consistent regional L-moment algorithm is applied across clusters defined by the US Hydrologic Unit Code Subregions (HUC4s and HUC8s) and NHDPlusV2 stream orders to estimate flood frequencies. The dataset also includes at-site based flood estimates that allow for the comparison between local and regional approach-based estimates, assess projected changes, and characterize their uncertainties. For more reliable estimation of rare flood frequencies such as 500 and 1000-year return periods, super-ensemble based estimates are also included in the dataset. This dataset is derived to support the "Impact-Informed Dam Safety Risk Assessment for Securing Hydropower Assests" project for the US Department of Energy (DOE) Hydropower and Hydrokinetic Office (H2O). For further details, refer to Kao et al. (2022), Ghimire et al. (2023), Ghimire et al. (2025), and Hosking and Wallis (1997).
Superconducting radio-frequency (SRF) cavities coupled to transmon circuits have proven to be a promising platform for building high-coherence quantum information processors. An essential aspect of this realization involves designing high quality factor three-dimensional superconducting cavities to extend the lifetime of quantum systems. To increase the computational capability of this architecture, we are exploring a multimode approach. This paper presents the design optimization process of a multi-cell SRF cavity to perform quantum computation based on an existing design developed in the scope of particle accelerator technology. We perform parametric electromagnetic simulations to evaluate and optimize the design. In particular, we focus on the analysis of the interaction between a nonlinear superconducting circuit known as the transmon and the cavity. This parametric design optimization is structured to serve as a blueprint for future studies on similar systems.
The Muon g - 2 experiment at Fermilab (E989) aims to measure the anomalous magnetic moment, a μ , of the muon with a precision of 140 parts-per-billion. This requires a precise measurement of both the anomalous spin precession frequency, ω α , of muons stored in a magnetic field of 1.45 T, and a precise measurement of that magnetic field in terms of the shielded proton Larmor frequency, ω' ρ . The measurement of ω' ρ with a total systematic uncertainty of 70 parts-perbillion involves a combination of various nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) probes. There are 378 probes mounted in fixed locations that constantly monitor field drifts. A water-based, cylindrical calibration probe provides the calibration in terms of the shielded proton Larmor frequency. A crucial element for the multi-step measurement of ω' ρ is the regular mapping of the magnetic field over the muon storage region. The former experiment at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) employed an in-vacuum field mapping system equipped with 17 NMR probes, which was developed by the University of Heidelberg. We have refurbished and upgraded this system with new probes and electronics. The upgrades include the addition of 16-bit, 1 MSPS digitization of the NMR signals, which replaced the hardware-implemented zero-crossing counting of the system at Brookhaven. The digitized signals offer new capabilities in the NMR frequency analysis and its related systematic uncertainties. To sustain the higher data rates, a new communication scheme with time-division multiplexing was implemented to separate the important NMR reference clock from the data communication in order to reach the specifications for the accuracy and stability of the reference clock. A new barcode reader provides more precise azimuthal position determination during the measurement and calibration. While the mechanical systems that move the field mapper inside the storage ring have been mostly refurbished from BNL, the motion control system was completely replaced with a custom-built electronics centered around a commercial Galil motion controller. Both the field mapping NMR system and its motion control were successfully commissioned at Fermilab and have been in reliable operation during the first three data taking periods of the experiment at Fermilab. Finally, this article will provide the details of the upgrades of the field mapper and its performance.
As the number of inverter-interfaced distributed generators (IIDGs) increases, the decrease in the inertia of the microgrid affects the stability of microgrid voltage and current. The virtual synchronous generator (VSG) control method simulates the output characteristics of the synchronous machine to improve the inertia and damping of the microgrid. However, low-frequency oscillations can occur in systems with multi-VSGs connected in parallel, primarily when operating in island mode. Therefore, this article develops the small-signal state-space model for multi-inverters based on VSG and analyses the robust stability region (RSR) of the control parameters. Firstly, an extensible small-signal state-space model is established and simplified in the dq axis, which is a necessary preprocessing for the subsequent stability analysis. Secondly, the guardian map method based on bialternate product operation is constructed, and the RSR is established through translation mapping and rotation mapping. Therefore, the solution of RSR is transformed into the problem of identifying the Hurwitz matrix. Finally, the simulations and experiments verify that the calculated region can ensure stable operation during startup and meet the requirement to suppress low-frequency oscillations. In conclusion, the method of solving RSR proposed in this paper provides a basis for selecting controller parameters in practical engineering.
Conventional multi-cylinder drying of paper and board typically relies on both conductive drying from steam-heated cylinders and convective drying, where heated air flows over the paper web surface. Conduction primarily contributes to heat transfer, while convection is the main driver of mass transfer. However, conventional drying systems are heavily dependent on steam, usually powered by fossil fuels, and are often energy-inefficient with high levels of waste. Additionally, these surface-driven processes result in a lower percentage of energy absorption compared to the energy supplied, leading to significant energy losses. To improve this long-standing process, an experimental system was developed to investigate a process intensification approach involving the integration of Radio Frequency (RF) heating, a volumetric electromagnetic technology, alongside traditional conduction and convection drying methods. This study also emphasizes the use of sensors to continuously monitor key parameters such as moisture content, supply system temperatures, sample temperatures, air flows, and drying rates in real-time. The effect of RF as an auxiliary energy source in localized environments at varying moisture levels was explored to optimize industrial drying systems, quantify potential improvements, and provide insights for future studies. Experimental results from trials combining RF with convection and with the base case alternating conduction-convection drying processes are presented. It is shown that RF is a viable process intensification approach for paper drying improving the drying rate and energy intensity at higher moisture contents. These findings offer valuable insights for process intensification and contribute to the process development, modeling, and simulation of advanced paper drying techniques.
Oxygen inventory of the global ocean has declined in recent decades potentially due to the warming-induced reduction in solubility as well as the circulation and biogeochemical changes associated with ocean warming and increasing stratification. Earth System Models predict continued oxygen decline for this century with profound impacts on marine ecosystem and fisheries. Observational constraint on the rate of oxygen loss is crucial for assessing the ability of models to accurately simulate these changes. There are only a few observational assessments of the global oceanic oxygen inventory reporting a range of oxygen loss. This study develops a gridded data set of dissolved oxygen for the global oceans using optimal interpolation method. The resulting gridded product includes full-depth map of dissolved oxygen as 5-year moving average from 1965 to 2015 with uncertainty estimates. The uncertainty can come from unresolved small-scale and high-frequency variability and mapping errors. The multi-decadal trend of global dissolved oxygen is in the range of -281 to -373 Tmol/decade. This estimate is more conservative than previous works. In this study, the grid points far from the observations are essentially set equal to zero anomaly from the climatology. Calculating global inventory with this approach produces a relatively conservative estimate; thus, the results from this study likely provide a useful lower bound estimate of the global oxygen loss.
The state of Texas in the United States is highly susceptible to drought. Its major rivers are subject to extensive water management (WM) activities in order to sustain multisectoral water demands, particularly during drought conditions. However, the impact of WM on the propagation dynamics and characteristics of hydrological drought (HD) in Texas remains unclear. To fill this gap, this study quantifies the influence of WM across 32 streamflow gauges along the mainstems of seven major rivers in Texas by comparing a variety of drought metrics under natural and managed conditions. Notably, we leveraged an extensive, naturalized streamflow dataset constructed by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, paired with gauge observations of managed conditions. Results indicate that at the multi-decadal scale, WM significantly reduced HD frequency across all seven rivers and at 81% of the gauges analyzed. Additionally, it increased the response timescale of HD across Texas’ major rivers by a median of 2.5 months. Conversely, the average-event duration and severity increased in most locations. Temporal analysis reveals that the WM impact on HD varied seasonally, with attenuation effects during mid-summer and early fall and intensification effects during late winter and spring. Additionally, WM was found to greatly increase the spatial variability of HD characteristics across the region. These findings emphasize the complexity of WM effects on HD and the necessity for nuanced strategies in managing HD under WM influences.
The Discrete Fourier transform (DFT) based measurement algorithms are one of the most common measurement algorithms for grid parameter estimation such as rms, phase angle, frequency. Over the past few years, many DFT based algorithms have been developed to enhance its measurement accuracy under steady-state and/or dynamic grid conditions. For example, an adaptive band-pass filter utilizing exponential modulation filter has been proposed to reduce measurement errors at the presence of large frequency deviations. Measurement accuracy of different algorithms including FIR filter, extended Kalman filtering (EKF), and enhanced DFT method have been compared in detail under different grid conditions. Two artificial signals that have 90-degree phase difference were constructed by the Clarke transformation to address the frequency spectrum leakage of DFT. A multi-module approach was developed to enhance both steady-state and dynamic measurement accuracies, in which each module was developed to eliminate some specific errors. Besides DFT-based measurement algorithms, some signal model-based algorithms have been developed to further improve the accuracy under dynamic conditions. However, a key drawback of the state-of-the-art algorithms is that they cannot perform measurements accurately during system transient faults. In the Blue Cut Fire event, there was a phase angle jump of about 26 degrees in the voltage waveform during the transient fault. The phase angle jump fault will cause waveform discontinuity, and these algorithms will fail to provide reliable measurements during this period because they typically assume the waveform to be measured is continuous, no matter what method (DFT, PLL, EKF, FIR, or Taylor WLS) is used for estimation. In fact, the measurement errors during the system transient faults like phase-jump is not required in the IEEE Standard. As a result, although a measurement instrument can pass the strict IEEE Standard, it could still be the source of the problem in the future if we have similar system transient faults, which could happen again. Therefore, developing the fault-tolerant measurement technology is the key to solve the problem.
A major focus of the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Cable Nondestructive Examination (NDE) 2021 research is to acquire new equipment and integrate it with existing NDE instruments for a cable motor test bed which has been dubbed the Accelerated and Real Time Experimental Nodal Analysis or “ARENA”. All the primary components have been received and are being staged in the 2410 Stevens building on PNNL’s Richland campus. Building modifications to support a plug-in 480VAC receptacle have been completed and details of the system operating procedure (SOP) are in review. The approved SOP is required before the system is energized but is expected before July 2021. The ARENA system will support planned cable tests for 2021 and beyond that cannot conveniently be performed with on-site installations of cable test equipment including: (1) NDE Tests including Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR), Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR), Tan Delta (TD) Impedance measurements, Low Frequency Dielectric Spectroscopy (DS) measurements, standard multi-meter resistance checks, withstand tests and other bulk and distributed tests from the instrument panel with and without motors connected. (2) Online energized live wire tests using partial discharge instruments and LIVE-WIRE spread-spectrum TDR instruments. (3) Cable tests with partially submerged cable segments (including ability to submerge live cable segments). (4) Cable tests with partially or completely thermally aged segments (including ability to expose energized cable segments to thermal aging and use online monitoring instruments to monitor cable performance. (5) Ability to introduce low resistance simulations of connector or splice faults to off-line and on-line instrument setups.