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At least 145 records · Page 8

Long Short-Term Memory Networks for Pattern Recognition of Synthetical Complete Earthquake Catalog

Exploring the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquake activity, especially earthquake migration of fault systems, can greatly to understand the basic mechanics of earthquakes and the assessment of earthquake risk. By establishing a three-dimensional strike-slip fault model, to derive the stress response and fault slip along the fault under regional stress conditions. Our study helps to create a long-term, complete earthquake catalog. We modelled Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks for pattern recognition of the synthetical earthquake catalog. The performance of the models was compared using the mean-square error (MSE). Our results showed clearly the application of LSTM showed a meaningful result of 0.08% in the MSE values. Our best model can predict the time and magnitude of the earthquakes with a magnitude greater than Mw = 6.5 with a similar clustering period. These results showed conclusively that applying LSTM in a spatiotemporal series prediction provides a potential application in the study of earthquake mechanics and forecasting of major earthquake events.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Singlet Fission in Thin Solid Films of Bis(thienyl)diketopyrrolopyrroles

The singlet fission (SF) process discovered in bis(thienyl)diketopyrrolopyrroles (TDPPs) can boost their potential for photovoltaics (PV). The crystal structures of TDPP analogs carrying n-hexyl, n-butyl, or 2-(adamant-1-yl)ethyl substituents are similar, but contain increasingly slipped stacked neighbor molecules. The observed SF rate constants, k SF , (7±4), (9±3) and (5.6±1.9) ns –1 for thin films of the three compounds, respectively, are roughly equal, but the triplet quantum yields vary strongly: (120±40), (160±40) and (70±16), respectively. The recent molecular pair model reproduces the near equality of all three k SF at the crystal geometries and identifies all possible pair arrangements in which SF is predicted to be faster, by up to two orders of magnitude. Furthermore, it is also clear that the presently non-existent ability to predict the rates of processes competing with SF is pivotal for providing a guide for efforts to optimize the materials for PV.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Constraining maximum event magnitude during injection-triggered seismicity

Abstract Understanding mechanisms controlling fluid injection-triggered seismicity is key in defining strategies to ameliorate it. Recent triggered events (e.g. Pohang, Mw 5.5) have exceeded predictions of average energy release by a factor of >1000x, necessitating robust methodologies to both define critical antecedent conditions and to thereby constrain anticipated event size. We define maximum event magnitudes resulting from triggering as a function of pre-existing critical stresses and fluid injection volume. Fluid injection experiments on prestressed laboratory faults confirm these estimates of triggered moment magnitudes for varied boundary conditions and injection rates. In addition, observed ratios of shear slip to dilation rates on individual faults signal triggering and may serve as a measurable proxy for impending rupture. This new framework provides a robust method of constraining maximum event size for preloaded faults and unifies prior laboratory and field observations that span sixteen decades in injection volume and four decades in length scale.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Simultaneous Optimization of Crystal Plasticity Hardening Parameters

Crystal plasticity models relate macroscopic deformation behavior to the evolution of slip systems strength, but their parameterization is often non-unique, with multiple parameter sets being able to describe the same macroscopic behavior. To address this issue, the present work adopts a Bayesian optimization framework for the parameterization of face-centered cubic plasticity models while simultaneously considering multiple experimental datasets from the literature. For single crystal Cu, parameter optimization was guided by the tensile stress–strain curves along several crystallographic orientations, with an adequate fit being found for five orientations at once. While additional parameters allowed for the consideration of more physical mechanisms, like different slip system interaction strengths or misorientations inherent to the experimental data, the extra dimensionality was found to limit the efficiency of the global minimization procedure. For polycrystalline Ni, multiple grain sizes were considered together in a representative polycrystalline model, with the optimization able to reconcile the model with the data for three grain sizes at once. As meaningful interpretation of parameters relies on the uniqueness of their values, incorporating multiple datasets into this discerning parameterization procedure enables more robust prediction and application of crystal plasticity models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A sensitivity analysis of twinning crystal plasticity finite element model using single crystal and poly crystal Zircaloy

The popularity of crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) models is increasing due to their ability to predict the mechanical response of crystalline materials such as metals and metal alloys more accurately than traditional continuum mechanics models. This is since the crystal plasticity models consider the effect of atomic structure, microstructural morphology, and properties of individual grains. These CPFEM models use a large number of material parameters in order to capture the mesoscale physics which comes with the downside of the tedious calibration process. In this paper, a CPFEM code was developed to include the twinning induced grain reorientation and subsequent crystallographic slip for HPC material. The developed code is incorporated in a large-scale, parallelized nonlinear solver WARP3D. Further, a sensitivity analysis with respect to 22 material parameters was then conducted using single crystal and polycrystal representative volume element (RVE) of Zircaloy material. Loading was applied along five different crystallographic orientations for single crystal RVE and along three directions namely, rolling (RD), transverse (TD), and normal (ND) direction for polycrystal RVE. Results obtained from the sensitivity analysis were used for the calibration of material parameters for Zircaloy. Finally, developed code along with calibrated material parameters was used to investigate the effect of the hydride phase formation in Zircaloy which is a typical case observed for nuclear applications. It was found that the volume fraction of the hydride phase has a significant impact on the mechanical properties of Zircaloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microstructure-Based Estimation of Strength and Ductility Distributions for \(\alpha +\beta \) Titanium Alloys

Titanium alloys are processed to develop a wide range of microstructure configurations and therefore material properties. While these properties are typically measured experimentally, a framework for property prediction could greatly enhance alloy design and manufacturing. In this work, a microstructure-sensitive framework is presented for the prediction of strength and ductility as well as estimates of the bounds in variability for these properties. The framework explicitly considers distributions of microstructure via new approaches for instantiation of structure in synthetic samples. The parametric evaluation strategy, including the finite element simulation package FEpX, is used to create and test virtual polycrystalline samples to evaluate the variability bounds of mechanical properties in Ti-6Al-4V. Critical parameters for the property evaluation framework are provided by measurements of single crystal properties and advanced characterization of microstructure and slip system strengths in 2D and 3D. Property distributions for yield strength and ductility are presented, along with the validation and verification steps undertaken. Comparisons between strain localization and slip activity in virtual samples and in experimental grain-scale strain measurements are also discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Role of interfaces on the mechanical response of accumulative roll bonded nanometallic laminates investigated via dislocation dynamics simulations

Unraveling the effects of continuous dislocation interactions with interfaces, particularly at the nanometer length scales, is key to a broader understanding of plasticity, to material design and to material certification. To this end, this work proposes a novel discrete dislocation dynamics-based model for dislocation interface interactions tracking the fate of residual dislocation on interfaces. This new approach is used to predict the impact of dislocation/interface reactions on the overall mechanical behavior of accumulative roll bonded nanometallic laminates. The framework considers the dynamic evolution of the interface concurrent with a large network of dislocations, thus, accounting for the local short and long range effects of the dislocations under the external boundary conditions. Specifically, this study focuses on two-phase Fe/Cu nanometallic laminates, and investigates the role of the underlying elastic and plastic contrast of the Fe and the Cu layers on the composite response of the material. Moreover, the role of initial microstructures, resulting from processing is also investigated. Subsequently, the model is used to examine the effect of layer thickness and interface orientation relationship on the residual stresses of the relaxed microstructure. The associated mechanical response of these laminates are compared when loaded under normal direction compression, as well as shear compression. Finally, this work predicts a dominant effect of the layer thickness, as compared to the interface orientation relationship, on the macroscopic response and on the residual stresses of these nanolaminates, while the local dislocation transmission propensity through the interface is significantly influenced by the corresponding orientation relationship.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling injection-induced fault slip using long short-term memory networks

Stress changes due to changes in fluid pressure and temperature in a faulted formation may lead to the opening/shearing of the fault. This can be due to subsurface (geo)engineering activities such as fluid injections and geologic disposal of nuclear waste. Such activities are expected to rise in the future making it necessary to assess their short- and long-term safety. Here, a new machine learning (ML) approach to model pore pressure and fault displacements in response to high-pressure fluid injection cycles is developed. The focus is on fault behavior near the injection borehole. To capture the temporal dependencies in the data, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks are utilized. To prevent error accumulation within the forecast window, four critical measures to train a robust LSTM model for predicting fault response are highlighted: (i) setting an appropriate value of LSTM lag, (ii) calibrating the LSTM cell dimension, (iii) learning rate reduction during weight optimization, and (iv) not adopting an independent injection cycle as a validation set. Several numerical experiments were conducted, which demonstrated that the ML model can capture peaks in pressure and associated fault displacement that accompany an increase in fluid injection. The model also captured the decay in pressure and displacement during the injection shut-in period. Further, the ability of an ML model to highlight key changes in fault hydromechanical activation processes was investigated, which shows that ML can be used to monitor risk of fault activation and leakage during high pressure fluid injections.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Dissolution of Fluoride Salts in Hanford Tank Waste

The Direct Feed High-Level Waste (DFHLW) strategy seeks to bypass the Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant Pretreatment Facility while retaining some processing functions to maximize waste feed loading and minimize high-level waste (HLW) waste volume. The DFHLW flowsheet needs leaching, washing, and solids concentration operations either in new or existing tanks. The effectiveness and efficiency of sludge washing has a substantial impact on DST space, mission duration, and the evaporation and low-activity waste (LAW) treatment operations required by these large wash-water additions. One target species requiring washing is fluoride. The HLW glass composition limits for fluorine drive operations to dissolve fluoride-bearing salts into the LAW fraction and thereby maximize waste loading in HLW glass. The fluoride in many high-level wastes at Hanford is predominantly in the form of fluoride-salt precipitates: villiaumite (NaF), kogarkoite (Na 3 FSO 4 ), and natrophosphate (Na 7 F(PO 4 ) 2 ·19H 2 O). Fluoride produces melter off-gas that creates corrosion risk in the off-gas system piping, while the sulfate and phosphate in the fluoride double salts kogarkoite and natrophosphate can be detrimental to glass waste loading. Fluoride salts are sparingly soluble, with solubilities ranging from approximately 40 to 130 kg per kL of pure water, and the dissolution kinetics of the three fluoride salts are not well known. Unexpected delays in a tank dissolution process could be encountered as a result of the lack of information about dissolution rates. In addition, if the double salts show transient non-stoichiometric dissolution of fluoride versus phosphate or sulfate, unexpectedly high concentrations of one of these other constituents could be produced. Washington River Protection Solutions authorized Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to collect the available data for fluoride salt dissolution rate, provide a scoping estimate of dissolution time if possible, and identify gaps in the understanding and predictive capability for estimating dissolution time. Open literature and Hanford reports were reviewed to document, understand, and (where possible) evaluate limitations on fluoride salt equilibria and dissolution kinetics, including both mass transport and surface reaction rate. Scoping estimates of dissolution time were made for mass-transfer-controlled dissolution of spherical particles of fluoride salts suspended in liquid. This is not the only potential governing mechanism; dissolution could be substantially slower if the surface reaction rate (the rate of release of ions from the surface) is the controlling mechanism. When the minimum amount of water for complete dissolution is used and the slip velocity between the liquid and suspended particles is less than or equal to the terminal settling velocity, the estimated mass-transfer rates allow 0.1 mm particles of fluoride salt to dissolve in minutes at 25 °C in water containing no other dissolved salts. Much larger solids, such as the 6-mm chunks that have been seen in heels, could take a few hours to more than a week to dissolve. The actual dissolution times will depend strongly on the actual slip velocity, the extent of particle suspension, constraint by surface reaction rates, the ratio of solvent to solid, and the presence of common ions that shift the solubility equilibria to restrict dissolution of fluoride salts.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Reinforcement learning for online adaptation of model predictive controllers: Application to a selective catalytic reduction unit

Here we present a novel application of reinforcement learning (RL) for online dynamic tuning of model predictive controllers (MPC). Applying a state-action-reward-state-action (SARSA) algorithm for temporal difference learning with a control-specific reward function improves the error tracking performance of a standard MPC formulation. The proposed RL approach is also readily adaptable to other MPCs, or entirely different control approaches. Practical details for the implementation of the RL-MPC algorithm are also presented. The proposed algorithm is applied to a case study of controlling nitrogen oxide (NO x ) emissions in an industrial selective catalytic reduction (SCR) unit, a control problem characterized by significant nonlinearity and time delay. Along with an RL-MPC formulation for NOx control, another MPC is proposed to mitigate ammonia slip and decrease ammonia consumption in the SCR. Results showing the efficacy of the RL-MPC for NO x control through learning and implementation on the nonlinear SCR dynamic model are presented.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dislocation interactions in olivine control postseismic creep of the upper mantle

Changes in stress applied to mantle rocks, such as those imposed by earthquakes, commonly induce a period of transient creep, which is often modelled based on stress transfer among slip systems due to grain interactions. However, recent experiments have demonstrated that the accumulation of stresses among dislocations is the dominant cause of strain hardening in olivine at temperatures ≤600 °C, raising the question of whether the same process contributes to transient creep at higher temperatures. Here, we demonstrate that olivine samples deformed at 25 °C or 1150–1250 °C both preserve stress heterogeneities of ~1 GPa that are imparted by dislocations and have correlation lengths of ~1 μm. The similar stress distributions formed at these different temperatures indicate that accumulation of stresses among dislocations also provides a contribution to transient creep at high temperatures. The results motivate a new generation of models that capture these intragranular processes and may refine predictions of evolving mantle viscosity over the earthquake cycle.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Investigating the relationship between radial pre-stress magnitude and ballistic projectile dwell in heavy confined ceramic targets

A series of bare silicon carbide ceramic armour disks were manufactured with high-strength steel containment to induce varying magnitudes of radial pre-stress. The induced radial stresses, ranging from 0 to 900 MPa, were measured via neutron diffraction and verified by comparison with numerical calculations. Four targets of each configuration, referred to as slip-fit, moderate pre-stress, and high pre-stress, were subject to ballistic testing with hemispherical-nose, tungsten heavy alloy long rod projectiles to determine the interface defeat transition velocity. In-situ diagnostics were unsuccessful in aiding the identification of interface defeat, necessitating a reliance on post-mortem assessment. A transition velocity of approx. 1000 m/s was identified for the unstressed target, increasing to approx. 1200 m/s for the pre-stressed configurations. No performance effect was discernible between the moderate (372 MPa) and high (899 MPa) pre-stress configurations, suggesting that an optimal performance may be achieved for lower pre-stress levels (i.e., <372 MPa). Additionally, the test results were compared with four semi-analytical predictions of interface defeat performance and good agreement was found, albeit with significant range in the model predictions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Simulation-based characterization of the variability of earthquake risk to buildings in the near-field

Recent advancements in high performance computing platforms and computational workflow for regional-scale simulations are enabling unprecedented modeling of fault-to-structure earthquake processes. Regional simulations resolving ground motions at frequencies relevant to engineered systems are becoming computationally viable and provide a new capability to improve understanding of the geographical distribution and intensity of risk to buildings and critical infrastructure. As computational capabilities advance, it is essential to move beyond illustrative single rupture realizations for scenario earthquake events towards the development of a full suite of rupture realizations that appropriately characterize the range of risk to building systems. The work described in this article investigates the application of a suite of fault rupture realizations with the objective of assessing near-fault, site-specific seismic demand variability for building structures. A representative high-performance regional-scale computational model is utilized to execute ground motion and building response simulations based on 18 kinematic rupture realizations of an M7 strike-slip scenario earthquake. The fault rupture models for the scenario earthquake are created by systematically perturbing the hypocenter location and stochastically generating rupture parameters (slip, rise time, rake angle) to represent a breadth of ground motion intensities resulting from the spatial and temporal variabilities of an earthquake rupture process. The resulting seismic demand variability for three-story (short period) and forty-story (long period) steel moment-resisting frame buildings is characterized in terms of the median and distribution of peak inter-story drift ratio for a range of near-fault sites. The full suite of 18 fault rupture realizations and approximately 280,000 nonlinear dynamic building simulations indicate that the three-story building undergoes higher median seismic demand and significantly greater variability of demand at a given site than the forty-story building, which has important implications for the level of certainty in predicting building performance during an earthquake. The simulations performed provide deeper insight into the relationship between fault rupture parameterization and building response, which is essential information for developing a representative suite of rupture realizations for specific earthquake scenarios.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Phase field dislocation dynamics formulation coupled with Fourier based micromechanics solver and its application to grain boundary–dislocation interactions

A new phase field dislocation dynamics (PFDD) formulation for homogeneous and heterogeneous materials is presented, which couples micromechanical solvers and the time-dependent Ginzburg–Landau equation. The strain fields are obtained from the micromechanical solver by solving the Lippmann–Schwinger equation and then used to define energy terms to model the evolution of the dislocations. Grain boundary (GB)–dislocation interactions are studied using the coupled PFDD formulation and by describing GBs as inclusions. GB energy and stiffness tensors are computed from molecular statics simulations, and a newly proposed lattice energy term that is dependent on the GB energy is considered in the calculations. Interaction of a screw dislocation with minimum energy and metastable states of low and high angle ⟨110⟩ symmetric tilt grain boundaries are studied. We show good agreement between predictions from our PFDD formulation and molecular dynamics simulations of grain boundary–dislocation interactions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Correlating Interlayer Spacing and Separation Capability of Graphene Oxide Membranes in Organic Solvents

Membranes synthesized by stacking two-dimensional graphene oxide (GO) hold great promise for applications in organic solvent nanofiltration. However, the performance of a layer-stacked GO membrane in organic solvent nanofiltration can be significantly affected by its swelling and interlayer spacing, which have not been systematically characterized. In this study, the interlayer spacing of the layer-stacked GO membrane in different organic solvents was experimentally characterized by liquid-phase ellipsometry. To understand the swelling mechanism, the solubility parameters of GO were experimentally determined and used to mathematically predict the Hansen solubility distance between GO and solvents, which is found to be a good predictor for GO swelling and interlayer spacing. Solvents with a small solubility distance (e.g., dimethylformamide, N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone) tend to cause significant GO swelling, resulting in an interlayer spacing of up to 2.7 nm. Solvents with a solubility distance larger than 9.5 (e.g., ethanol, acetone, hexane, and toluene) only cause minor swelling and are thus able to maintain an interlayer spacing of around 1 nm. Correspondingly, GO membranes in solvents with a large solubility distance exhibit good separation performance, for example, rejection of more than 90% of the small organic dye molecules (e.g., rhodamine B and methylene blue) in ethanol and acetone. Additionally, solvents with a large solubility distance result in a high slip velocity in GO channels and thus high solvent flux through the GO membrane. Finally, the GO membrane performs better in solvents that are unlike GO, i.e., solvents with large solubility distance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dynamic Rupture Modeling of the M7.1, 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake

An important part of the simulation technique implemented in the strong motion prediction recipe developed in Japan, originally proposed by Irikura and Miyake (2011) is the earthquake rupture characterization that is based on established empirical scaling relationships between source parameters and seismic moment. These scaling relationships and rupture characterization are derived from recorded data and are tested by simulations. Recent analysis of results obtained with the Recipe for the 2016 M7.1 Kumamoto earthquake performed by several researchers, indicate that in order to reproduce near-fault long-period ground motions with permanent displacements, typical for earthquakes with surface rupturing, the recipe needs modifications. In particular, improvements are required in characterizing the rupture kinematics at shallow depths, above the seismogenic zone (Irikura et al., 2019). Modeling of rupture dynamics for recorded earthquakes, and numerical simulations for different rupture scenarios, provides physical constrains on slip evolution in time and space, which can be used in adjustments of empirical source scaling relationships for large crustal earthquakes. In this study we mainly focused on rupture dynamics modeling of the 2019 M7 Ridgecrest, California earthquake. The characterization of the kinematic rupture model derived from the dynamic rupture models of this earthquake can inform further refinements of rupture modeling proposed by the Recipe. Through different rupture scenarios we investigated potential relationships between characteristics of Long Period Ground Motion Generation Area (LMGA), used in the Recipe, and asperity depth and rupture initiation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A spall and diffraction study of nanosecond pressure release across the iron ε-α phase boundary

The extreme response of polycrystalline iron at high pressures and high strain rates is revealed by means of high-power laser pulses. The compression portion of the pulse coupled with x-ray diffraction identifies the expected body-centered cubic (α) to hexagonal close packed (ε) displacive transformation. Upon release, observation shows that the complete reverse transformation takes approximately 8 ns and that the structure returns to its initial microstructural configuration, in a reversible transformation path. This is in good agreement with molecular dynamics (MD) simulations which predict an inverse dependence between transformation time and strain rate. The grain size is reduced from μm to nm range during compression and begins increasing back to the original grain size on decompression. The kinetics of the transition is dictated by heterogenous nucleation as it follows the Johnson-Mehl-Avrami-Kolmogorov equation with the appropriate time exponent of ~1. This is confirmed by MD simulations which also identify profuse twinning and dislocation generation. Here, the tensile pulse generated upon reflection at the free surface is captured by time-resolved free surface velocity measurements from which a peak tensile stress of 7 GPa is obtained, in stark contrast with its quasi-static value of ~200 MPa. At these strain rates, the strength of grain interiors, which is determined by twinning and slip exceeds the strength of the boundaries, and failure initiates preferentially in the latter.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling the role of local crystallographic correlations in microstructures of Ti-6Al-4V using a correlated structure visco-plastic self-consistent polycrystal plasticity formulation

This paper presents a multi-level crystal plasticity-based simulation framework for modeling mechanical response and microstructure evolution of Ti-6Al-4V with α-lath/lamellar microstructures. Here, the model is a correlated structure visco-plastic self-consistent (CS-VPSC) formulation linking three scales: a single crystals micro-scale, a lath/lamellar colony meso-scale, and a lath/lamellar aggregate macro-scale. A selected hardening law for the evolution of critical resolved shear stress per slip system used in CS-VPSC is phenomenological. However, it adjusts the resistances of basal and prismatic slip systems based on the geometry of slip transfer between adjacent lamellae. Consistent with experimental evidences, the resolved shear stress on the pyramidal slip planes is dependent not only on the stress in the direction of slip but also on the two orthogonal shear stress components and the three normal stress components (non-Schmid effects). Electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) data in conjunction with a procedure relying on α→β phase transformation is used to construct paired variants of α-laths/lamellae satisfying their local crystallographic correlations. The procedure fits volume fractions of individual laths/lamellae with the experimental EBSD data and selects a distribution of habit planes between adjacent variants with respect to the loading direction. The simulation framework is applied to interpret the deformation behavior in tension and compression along two sample directions of Ti-6Al-4V fabricated via laser powder bed fusion. Moreover, the model is used to simulate texture evolution during rolling of the material to large strains. It is demonstrated that the model is capable of predicting plastic anisotropy/asymmetry and the concomitant texture evolution. While the model reveals a significant effect of habit plane inclination with respect to the loading direction on yield stress, the comparison of the data and model predictions shows that a random distribution of habit planes fits the flow response. It is further inferred that the tension-compression asymmetry arises from the non-Schmid effects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗