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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,441 records · Page 80

Uncertainty in Soil Moisture Retrievals: an Ensemble Approach Using SMOS L-Band Microwave Data

The uncertainty of soil moisture (SM) retrievals from satellite brightness temperature (TB) observations depends primarily on the choice of radiative transfer model (RTM) parameters, prior SM information and TB inputs. This paper studies the sensitivity of several (quasi-)operational and experimental SM retrieval products from the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission to these choices at 11 reference sites, located in 7 watersheds across the United States (US). Different literature-based RTM parameter sets cause large biases between retrievals. Whereas typical RTM parameter sets are calibrated for SM retrievals, it is shown that a parameter set carefully optimized for TB forward modeling can also be used for retrieving SM. It is also shown that the inclusion of dynamic prior SM estimates in a Bayesian retrieval scheme can strongly improve SM retrievals, regardless of the choice of RTM parameters, and that the use of multi-angular and multi-polarization TB does not necessarily lead to superior retrievals compared to retrievals based on TB data at a single incidence angle and polarization. The second part of this paper evaluates ensemble uncertainty metrics for SM retrievals obtained by propagating a wide range of RTM parameters through the RTM. As expected for bounded variables, the spread in the ensemble SM retrievals is smallest for wet and dry SM values and highest for intermediate SM values. After removal of the strong long-term mean bias associated with the RTM parameter values for individual ensemble members, the remaining anomaly ensemble SM spread of 0.037 cu m/cu m approximates the actual time series unbiased root-mean-square-difference of 0.042 cu m/cu m between ensemble mean retrievals and in situ reference data across the reference sites. However, the temporal variability in the anomaly ensemble spread reveals higher-order biases in the retrieval error, which should be accounted for when characterizing retrieval error.

Jan Quets↗

Diffusion, atomic transport, and ordering in Al-Zr alloys: FCC and liquid phases

Additive manufacturing of materials with controlled microstructure demands knowledge of atomic scale properties near the solid-liquid transition state. Many of these properties are not affordable by experimental techniques and computer modeling is the possible solution to the problem. In this paper, we present the results of an extended atomistic study of intrinsic atomic transport due to vacancy diffusion in FCC and L12 solid phases and diffusion in the liquid phase of Al-Zr alloys. A deceleration of the overall self-diffusion was observed when Zr was added to Al. The effect was stronger in the solid and weaker in the liquid. Additionally, the effect was strongly temperature dependent in the solid phases, but not in the liquid. Atomic transport was chemically biased: transport of Zr atoms was significantly slower than that of Al atoms, and this bias effect was stronger in the solid phases. The overall diffusion and chemical ordering processes in the liquid state were five to six orders in magnitude faster than in the solid. Chemical short-range order parameters in the liquid saturated at values close to those in the ordered L12 structure of Al3Zr. Chemical and structural ordering in the solid phases was negligible over the modeled microsecond time scale. Here, the results are discussed in view of optimizing additive manufacturing parameters for the controlled formation of metastable L1 2 precipitates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dilute Source CO 2 Capture: Management of Atmospheric Coal-Produced Legacy Emissions (Final Technical Report)

This report presents the scientific and technical findings by Carbon Engineering Ltd (CE) resulting from the DOE sponsored research and development project on Direct Air Capture (DAC) process. The work was performed by CE under the Award DE-FE0026861 from the US Department of Energy’s (DOE) National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). The work plan was centered on advancing the Recipient’s DAC technology, developing a better understanding of its performance and cost. The report outlines the results from two key activities that were performed under this award: Studying the performance characteristics of the DAC plant at both pilot and lab scale Techno-economic analysis (TEA) to study two implementations of CE’s proprietary DAC process: i) An early commercial DAC process that captures ~1 MT CO 2 /year of atmospheric CO 2 (Baseline case), and ii) A modified early commercial DAC process that captures 1 MT CO 2 /year of flue gas CO 2 downstream of a subcritical PC post-CCS power plant (Case 1 Option C). Within the first key activity of the project, significant operational improvements and learnings were realized, including for key equipment in the DAC process in addition to the overall system. Learnings included impact of equipment design on the capture, calcination and slaking processes, and operational parameter modifications for optimizing the pelletization process, along with the complex interactions and associated considerations of these on overall system performance. In parallel, benchtop scale equipment was successfully utilized to validate pilot scale data, such as, retention in the pellet reactor, and capture performance parameters of the air contactor. CE continues to conduct core research and development activities; the learnings from this DOE project will contribute to the design, testing and operation activities of CE’s fully integrated DAC validation plant, as well as the first commercial DAC plant. The second key activity incorporated the above learnings, as well as input from vendors and EPC experts, to produce the TEA report. More specifically, the TEA results were based on measured pilot plant performance data for all major unit operations, and on an energy and material balance for the process at commercial scale computed using an Aspen One® process simulation. The cost estimation methodology follows AACE International recommended practices; with an uncertainty range of -15%/+30%. Depending on financial assumptions, energy costs, and the specific choice of inputs and outputs, the levelized cost per ton CO 2 captured from the atmosphere for an early commercial plant for the baseline case ranges from 227 to 304 $/t-CO 2 . And, the levelized cost to capture 98% of the flue gas CO 2 emissions in a subcritical PC power plant (Case 1 Option C) through a combination of Cansolv carbon capture system and a modified DAC system was estimated to range from 109 to 160 $/MWh of net power generated. Process improvement opportunities identified during this work, in addition to cost reduction opportunities identified during the Value Engineering exercise associated with the Baseline case indicate that significant reductions in capital costs are available as CE scales up and proceeds through deployment of initial facilities.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Entanglement estimation in non-optimal qubit states

Highlights: • Quantum Fisher Information. • Entanglement Estimation. • Squeezed States. • Husimi Function. - Abstract: In the last years, a relationship has been established between the quantum Fisher information (QFI) and quantum entanglement. In the case of two-qubit systems, all pure entangled states can be made useful for sub-shot-noise interferometry while their QFI meets a necessary and sufficient condition (Hyllus et al., 2010). In M-qubit systems, the QFI provides just a sufficient condition in the task of detecting the degree of entanglement of a generic state (Pezzé and Smerzi, 2009). In our work, we show analytically that, for a large class of one-parameter non-optimal two-qubit states, the maximally entangled states are associated with stationary points of the QFI, as a function of such parameter. We show, via numerical simulations, that this scenario is maintained for the generalisation of this class of states to a generic M-qubit system. Furthermore, we suggest a scheme for an interferometer able to detect the entanglement in a large class of two-spin states.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Generation-based Evolutionary Tool for the Optimization of Constellations (GenETOC)

With the rapid growth in the capabilities of smaller satellites, satellite architectures that replace a single, extremely capable spacecraft with multiple, cheaper ones are gaining in popularity. Unfortunately, the orbit design process for constellations can be significantly more involved, especiallywhen the relative placement of the individual spacecraft within the constellation is not constrained by mission and/or science objectives. Optimizing a satellite constellation in the presence of multiple, competing objectives is a highly complex problem to which many traditional mathematical optimization methods cannot be applied and few tools exist to help mission designers search for promising candidate mission designs. The Generation-based Evolutionary Tool for the Optimization of Constellations (GenETOC) has been created to search for near-optimal constellation design options. GenETOC combines a modified version of the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA II) with STK Components libraries (a 3rdparty .NET package created by Analytical Graphics Inc.) to create a framework that enables a mission designer to generate a simulation that models the design problem and obtain a family of potential, near-optimal solutions that can be investigated more in detail. GenETOC was developed in C# using the .NET framework with Windows Presentation Foundation (WPF) serving as the framework from which to create the graphical user interface (GUI). GenETOC user inputs can be categorized into three major data components: definition of the problem (areas of interest, satellite decision parameters, and sensor configurations), definition of performance objectives, and specification of the genetic algorithm (GA) parameters. In the problem definition component, the user is prompted to define the areas of interest against which the performance metrics will be computed, define the sensor parameters and attach them to specific spacecraft, select which satellite orbital parameters will be added to the decision space of the GA, and specify the range of desired values for each optimization parameter. For performance objectives, the user is presented with a list of available coverage and revisit performance based calculation options from which two metrics are chosen to serve as the objective functions that the GA will use to evaluate solutions during the optimization process. Finally, the definition of the GA parameters provides user control over the number of generations (number of optimization iterations), the population size (number of candidate constellations created in each generation), and the adaptive mutation and crossover threshold values (control parameters for how frequently each process occurs during the optimization). GenETOC has been extensively tested to verify the individual components of the optimization process. The GA has been tested against a suite of GA test problems to confirm convergence to the known two and three-dimensional Pareto fronts. The coverage and revisit performance metrics obtained in GenETOC are compared with STK desktop scenarios, confirming the constellations are being appropriately modeled within GenETOC simulations. A walkthrough of a simple, example problem is provided to illustrate the workings of GenETOC and to demonstrate the output available to the mission designer.

mission design↗

An assessment of separable fluid connector system parameters to perform a connector system design optimization study

The key to optimization of design where there are a large number of variables, all of which may not be known precisely, lies in the mathematical tool of dynamic programming developed by Bellman. This methodology can lead to optimized solutions to the design of critical systems in a minimum amount of time, even when there are a great number of acceptable configurations to be considered. To demonstrate the usefulness of dynamic programming, an analytical method is developed for evaluating the relationship among existing numerous connector designs to find the optimum configuration. The data utilized in the study were generated from 900 flanges designed for six subsystems of the S-1B stage of the Saturn 1B space carrier vehicle.

Prasthofer, W. P.↗

Analysis of filter tuning techniques for sequential orbit determination

This paper examines filter tuning techniques for a sequential orbit determination (OD) covariance analysis. Recently, there has been a renewed interest in sequential OD, primarily due to the successful flight qualification of the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS) Onboard Navigation System (TONS) using Doppler data extracted onboard the Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer (EUVE) spacecraft. TONS computes highly accurate orbit solutions onboard the spacecraft in realtime using a sequential filter. As the result of the successful TONS-EUVE flight qualification experiment, the Earth Observing System (EOS) AM-1 Project has selected TONS as the prime navigation system. In addition, sequential OD methods can be used successfully for ground OD. Whether data are processed onboard or on the ground, a sequential OD procedure is generally favored over a batch technique when a realtime automated OD system is desired. Recently, OD covariance analyses were performed for the TONS-EUVE and TONS-EOS missions using the sequential processing options of the Orbit Determination Error Analysis System (ODEAS). ODEAS is the primary covariance analysis system used by the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Division (FDD). The results of these analyses revealed a high sensitivity of the OD solutions to the state process noise filter tuning parameters. The covariance analysis results show that the state estimate error contributions from measurement-related error sources, especially those due to the random noise and satellite-to-satellite ionospheric refraction correction errors, increase rapidly as the state process noise increases. These results prompted an in-depth investigation of the role of the filter tuning parameters in sequential OD covariance analysis. This paper analyzes how the spacecraft state estimate errors due to dynamic and measurement-related error sources are affected by the process noise level used. This information is then used to establish guidelines for determining optimal filter tuning parameters in a given sequential OD scenario for both covariance analysis and actual OD. Comparisons are also made with corresponding definitive OD results available from the TONS-EUVE analysis.

Lee, T.↗

Improved Speech Coding Based on Open-Loop Parameter Estimation

A nonlinear optimization algorithm for linear predictive speech coding was developed early that not only optimizes the linear model coefficients for the open loop predictor, but does the optimization including the effects of quantization of the transmitted residual. It also simultaneously optimizes the quantization levels used for each speech segment. In this paper, we present an improved method for initialization of this nonlinear algorithm, and demonstrate substantial improvements in performance. In addition, the new procedure produces monotonically improving speech quality with increasing numbers of bits used in the transmitted error residual. Examples of speech encoding and decoding are given for 8 speech segments and signal to noise levels as high as 47 dB are produced. As in typical linear predictive coding, the optimization is done on the open loop speech analysis model. Here we demonstrate that minimizing the error of the closed loop speech reconstruction, instead of the simpler open loop optimization, is likely to produce negligible improvement in speech quality. The examples suggest that the algorithm here is close to giving the best performance obtainable from a linear model, for the chosen order with the chosen number of bits for the codebook.

Juang, Jer-Nan↗

Bayesian calibration of strength parameters using hydrocode simulations of symmetric impact shock experiments of Al-5083

We report that predictive modeling of materials requires accurately parameterized constitutive models. Parameterizing models that describe dynamic strength and plasticity require experimentally probing materials in a variety of strain rate regimes. Some experimental protocols (e.g., plate impact) probe the constitutive response of a material using indirect measures such as free surface velocimetry. Manual efforts to parameterize constitutive models using indirect experimental measures often lead to non-unique optimizations without quantification of parameter uncertainty. This study uses a Bayesian statistical approach to find model parameters and to quantify the uncertainty of the resulting parameters. The technique is demonstrated by parameterizing the Johnson-Cook strength model for aluminum alloy 5083 by coupling hydrocode simulations and velocimetry measurements of a series of plate impact experiments. Simulation inputs and outputs are used to calibrate an emulator that mimics the outputs of the computationally intensive simulations. Varying the amount of experimental data available for emulator calibration showed clear differences in the degree of uncertainty and uniqueness of the resulting optimized Johnson-Cook parameters for Al-5083. The results of the optimization provided a numerical evaluation of the degree of confidence in model parameters and model performance. Lastly, given an understanding of the physical effects of certain model parameters, individual parameter uncertainty can be leveraged to quickly identify gaps in the physical domains covered by completed experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Tensile properties, strain rate sensitivity, and activation volume of additively manufactured 316L stainless steels [Tensile properties of 316L stainless steels made by laser powder-bed-fusion additive manufacturing]

The tensile properties of additively manufactured (AM) metals and alloys are among the most important variables that impact the potential applications of these materials. Here we examine and report on the tensile properties of AM 316L stainless steels fabricated by the laser powder-bed-fusion (L-PBF) technique, via twelve sets of optimized laser processing parameters that produce materials with density >98.8 ± 0.10%. A heterogeneous microstructure is observed in all L-PBF samples, including microscopic features such as dislocations, cellular walls, elemental segregations, local misorientations, impurities, precipitates, and a large fraction of low-angle grain boundaries (2-10°, ~40–60%). The derived average grain size defined by high-angle grain boundaries (>10°) is ~30–50 μm. Tensile testing reveals a yield strength ranging from 552 to 635 MPa and a tensile-elongation-to-failure (TEF) of 0.09–0.42 for directly-printed samples, whereas these values are 592–690 MPa and 0.29–0.50 for samples machined from the as-built rectangular thin plates. In all samples, we observe a variation of tensile yield strength within ~15% but not the TEF, suggesting marginal microstructural changes despite a wide range of laser processing parameters. The large scatter of TEF in directly-printed samples originates from the sensitivity of thin gauge geometry (~2 mm 2 cross-section area) to the built-in flaws. We measured a substantially higher strain rate sensitivity (m~0.02–0.03) of L-PBF 316L compared to the coarse-grained counterparts (~0.006), together with a small activation volume of ~20–30b3 (where b is the Burgers vector of 316L). In conclusion, these deformation kinetics parameters suggest that the tensile plasticity of L-PBF 316L is controlled by a much finer microstructural length scale than the measured grain size, consistent with the high strength and juxtaposed nano- to macro-structures seen in these materials. Strategies to optimize the tensile properties of AM materials are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-performance plasmas after pellet injections in Wendelstein 7-X

A significant improvement of plasma parameters in the optimized stellarator W7-X is found after injections of frozen hydrogen pellets. The ion temperature in the post-pellet phase exceeds 3 keV with 5 MW of electron heating and the global energy confinement time surpasses the empirical ISS04-scaling. The plasma parameters realized in such experiments are significantly above those in comparable gas-fuelled discharges. Here, we present details of these pellet experiments and discuss the main plasma properties during the enhanced confinement phases. Local power balance is applied to show that the heat transport in post-pellet phases is close to the neoclassical level for the ion channel and is about a factor of two above that level for the combined losses. In comparable gas-fuelled discharges, the heat transport is by about ten times larger than the neoclassical level, and thus is largely anomalous. It is further observed that the improvement in the transport is related to the peaked density profiles that lead to a stabilization of the ion-scale turbulence.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Optimal Sizing of PV and Energy Storage in an Electric Vehicle Extreme Fast Charging Station

This paper proposes an optimization model for the optimal sizing of photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage in an electric vehicle extreme fast charging station considering the coordinated charging strategy of the electric vehicles. The proposed model minimizes the annualized cost of the extreme fast charging station, including investment and maintenance cost of PV and energy storage, cost of purchasing energy from utility and demand charge. The decision variables are capacity of invested PV and the power and energy ratings of invested energy storage. To further reduce the annualized cost of the extreme fast charging station, the charging strategy of electric vehicles are integrated into the optimization model and coordinated with the power output of PV and charging/discharging of energy storage. Results of numerical simulations indicate that investment of PV and energy storage could help reduce the annualized cost of the extreme fast charging station significantly. Meanwhile, the impacts of various parameters on the optimal solution are investigated by sensitivity analysis.

Liu, Guodong↗