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Automated Generation and Assessment of Autonomous Systems Test Cases

This slide presentation reviews some of the issues concerning verification and validation testing of autonomous spacecraft routinely culminates in the exploration of anomalous or faulted mission-like scenarios using the work involved during the Dawn mission's tests as examples. Prioritizing which scenarios to develop usually comes down to focusing on the most vulnerable areas and ensuring the best return on investment of test time. Rules-of-thumb strategies often come into play, such as injecting applicable anomalies prior to, during, and after system state changes; or, creating cases that ensure good safety-net algorithm coverage. Although experience and judgment in test selection can lead to high levels of confidence about the majority of a system's autonomy, it's likely that important test cases are overlooked. One method to fill in potential test coverage gaps is to automatically generate and execute test cases using algorithms that ensure desirable properties about the coverage. For example, generate cases for all possible fault monitors, and across all state change boundaries. Of course, the scope of coverage is determined by the test environment capabilities, where a faster-than-real-time, high-fidelity, software-only simulation would allow the broadest coverage. Even real-time systems that can be replicated and run in parallel, and that have reliable set-up and operations features provide an excellent resource for automated testing. Making detailed predictions for the outcome of such tests can be difficult, and when algorithmic means are employed to produce hundreds or even thousands of cases, generating predicts individually is impractical, and generating predicts with tools requires executable models of the design and environment that themselves require a complete test program. Therefore, evaluating the results of large number of mission scenario tests poses special challenges. A good approach to address this problem is to automatically score the results based on a range of metrics. Although the specific means of scoring depends highly on the application, the use of formal scoring - metrics has high value in identifying and prioritizing anomalies, and in presenting an overall picture of the state of the test program. In this paper we present a case study based on automatic generation and assessment of faulted test runs for the Dawn mission, and discuss its role in optimizing the allocation of resources for completing the test program.

Testing challenges↗

Theoretical Analysis of the Entrainment–Mixing Process at Cloud Boundaries. Part I: Droplet Size Distributions and Humidity within the Interface Zone

Abstract The problem of a complex entrainment–mixing process is analyzed by solving a diffusion–evaporation equation for an open region in the vicinity of the cloud–dry air interface. Upon normalization the problem is reduced to a one-parametric one, the governing parameter being the potential evaporation parameter R proportional to the ratio of saturation deficit in the dry air to the available liquid water content in the cloud air. As distinct from previous multiple studies analyzing mixing within closed adiabatic volumes, we consider a principally nonstationary problem that never leads to a homogeneous equilibrium state. It is shown that at R < −1 the cloud edge shifts toward the cloud; that is, the cloud dissipates due to mixing with dry air, and the cloud volume decreases. If R > −1, the cloud edge shifts outside; that is, the mixing leads to an increase in the cloud volume. The time evolution of droplet size distribution and its moments, as well as the relative humidity within the expanding cloud–dry air interface, are calculated and analyzed. It is shown that the values of the mean volume radii rapidly decrease within the interface zone in the direction away from the cloud, indicating significant changes in the cloud edge microstructure. Scattering diagrams plotted for the cloud edge agree well with high-frequency in situ measurements, corroborating the reliability of the proposed approach. It is shown that the humidity front moves toward dry air faster than the front of liquid water content. As a result, the mixing leads to formation of a humid air shell around the cloud. The widths of the interface zone and humid shell are evaluated.

Pinsky, Mark↗

Simplified predictive models for CO 2 sequestration performance assessment

CO2 sequestration in deep saline formations is increasingly being considered as a viable strategy for the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions from anthropogenic sources. In this context, detailed numerical simulation based models are routinely used to understand key processes and parameters affecting pressure propagation and buoyant plume migration following CO2 injection into the subsurface. As these models are data and computation intensive, the development of computationally-efficient alternatives to conventional numerical simulators has become an active area of research. Such simplified models can be valuable assets during preliminary CO2 injection project screening, serve as a key element of probabilistic system assessment modeling tools, and assist regulators in quickly evaluating geological storage projects. We present three strategies for the development and validation of simplified modeling approaches for CO2 sequestration in deep saline formations: (1) simplified physics-based modeling, (2) statisticallearning based modeling, and (3) reduced-order method based modeling. In the first category, a set of full-physics compositional simulations is used to develop correlations for dimensionless injectivity as a function of the slope of the CO2 fractional-flow curve, variance of layer permeability values, and the nature of vertical permeability arrangement. The same variables, along with a modified gravity number, can be used to develop a correlation for the total storage efficiency within the CO2 plume footprint. Furthermore, the dimensionless average pressure buildup after the onset of boundary effects can be correlated to dimensionless time, CO2 plume footprint, and storativity contrast between the reservoir and caprock. In the second category, statistical “proxy models” are developed using the simulation domain described previously with two approaches: (a) classical Box-Behnken experimental design with a quadratic response surface, and (b) maximin Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS) based design with a multidimensional kriging metamodel fit. For roughly the same number of simulations, the LHS-based metamodel yields a more robust predictive model, as verified by a k-fold cross-validation approach (with data split into training and test sets) as well by validation with an independent dataset. In the third category, a reduced-order modeling procedure is utilized that combines proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) for reducing problem dimensionality with trajectory-piecewise linearization (TPWL) in order to represent system response at new control settings from a limited number of training runs. Significant savings in computational time are observed with reasonable accuracy from the PODTPWL reduced-order model for both vertical and horizontal well problems – which could be important in the context of history matching, uncertainty quantification and optimization problems. The simplified physics and statistical learning based models are also validated using an uncertainty analysis framework. Reference cumulative distribution functions of key model outcomes (i.e., plume radius and reservoir pressure buildup) generated using a 97-run full-physics simulation are successfully validated against the CDF from 10,000 sample probabilistic simulations using the simplified models. The main contribution of this research project is the development and validation of a portfolio of simplified modeling approaches that will enable rapid feasibility and risk assessment for CO2 sequestration in deep saline formations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of nonzero surface admittance on receptivity and stability of compressible boundary layer

The effect of small-amplitude short-scale variations in surface admittance on the acoustic receptivity and stability of two-dimensional compressible boundary layers is examined. In the linearized limit, the two problems are shown to be related both physically and mathematically. This connection between the two problems is used, in conjunction with some previously reported receptivity results, to infer the modification of stability properties due to surface permeability. Numerical calculations are carried out for a self-similar flat-plate boundary layer at subsonic and low supersonic speeds. Variations in mean suction velocity at the perforated admittance surface can also induce receptivity to an acoustic wave. For a subsonic boundary layer, the dependence of admittance-induced receptivity on the acoustic-wave orientation is significantly different from that of the receptivity produced via mean suction variation. The admittance-induced receptivity is generally independent of the angle of acoustic incidence, except in a relatively narrow range of upstream-traveling waves for which the receptivity becomes weaker. However, this range of angles is precisely that for which the suction-induced receptivity tends to be large. At supersonic Mach numbers, the admittance-induced receptivity to slow acoustic models is relatively weaker than that in the case of the fast acoustic modes. We also find that purely real values for the surface admittance tend to have a destabilizing effect on the evolution of an instability wave over a slightly permeable surface. The limits on the validity of the linearized approximation are also assessed in one specific case.

Choudhari, Meelan↗

Hydrodynamic Stability of Liquid-Propellant Combustion: Landau's Problem Revisited

Hydrodynamic, or Landau, instability in combustion is typically associated with the onset of wrinkling of a flame surface, corresponding to the formation of steady cellular structures as the stability threshold is crossed. As its name suggests, it stems from hydrodynamic effects connected with thermal expansion across the reaction region. In the context of liquid-propellant combustion, the classical models that originally predicted this phenomenon have been extended to include the important effects that arise from a dynamic dependence of the burning rate on the local pressure and temperature fields. Thus, the onset of Landau instability has now been shown to occur for sufficiently small negative values of the pressure sensitivity of the burning rate, significantly generalizing previous classical results for this problem that assumed a constant normal burning rate. It has also been shown that the onset of instability occurs for decreasing values of the disturbance wave number as the gravitational-acceleration parameter decreases. Consequently, in an appropriate weak-gravity limit, Landau instability becomes a long-wave phenomena associated with the formation of large cells on the liquid-propellant surface. Additionally, a pulsating form of hydrodynamic instability has been shown to occur as well, corresponding to the onset of temporal oscillations in the location of the liquid/gas interface. This instability occurs for sufficiently large negative values of the pressure sensitivity, and is enhanced by increasing values of the burning-rate temperature sensitivity. It is further shown that for sufficiently small values of this parameter, there exists a stable range of pressure sensitivities for steady, planar burning such that the classical cellular form of hydrodynamic instability and the more recent pulsating form of hydrodynamic instability can each occur as the corresponding stability threshold is crossed. For larger thermal sensitivities, however, the pulsating stability boundary evolves into a C-shaped curve in the (disturbance-wave number, pressure-sensitivity) plane, indicating loss of stability to pulsating perturbations for all sufficiently large disturbance wavelengths. It is thus concluded, based on characteristic parameter values that an equally likely form of hydrodynamic instability in liquid-propellant combustion is of a nonsteady, long-wave nature, distinct from the steady, cellular form originally predicted by Landau.

Margolis, S. B.↗

An Approach for Practical Grid-Resolved Roughness Aerothermodynamic Simulations for Woven Heatshield Surfaces

An approach for simulating the aerothermal environment over a patterned roughness surface within an otherwise axisymmetric flow is developed. The patterned roughness is simplified into a sinusoidal shape that captures the basic features of a charred 3MDCP ablator. Two orientations of this pattern, which are equally flight relevant due to the forming process, enable periodic boundary conditions along the edges of a grid spanning a single roughness element. This simplified three-dimensional grid represents the minimum problem size for a patterned roughness simulation, which enables computationally efficient grid-resolved roughness simulations. This approach is validated by simulating the Langley Mach 6 measurements made on a similar sinusoidal surface, which results in convective heating within 5% of the experimental data. Applying this approach to Mars Sample Return (MSR) Earth Entry System (EES) flight cases, considering simulations with both 11 species air and 30 species air with ablation products, results in heating augmentation that is slightly lower than the widely-used Dahm correlation approach, with the difference being dependent on pattern orientation. This result provides the only insight into the behavior of the roughness augmentation at the high temperature reacting flow conditions present for EES flight cases, which are not captured by available ground test measurements. For shear augmentation, the simulations revealed that the surface-parallel pressure component is dominant. For arc-jet tests targeted to flight values for shear, the higher arc-jet pressures required to match flight values for shear result in up to a 400% increase in the rough wall shear value, which is not captured by the Dahm correlation. This indicates that, to avoid significant over-testing, grid-resolved roughness simulations are required to determine arc-jet conditions that produce flight shear levels in rough-wall scenarios.

Christopher O Johnston↗

SYNTHESIS OF NOVEL ALL-DIELECTRIC GRATING FILTERS USING GENETIC ALGORITHMS

We are concerned with the design of inhomogeneous, all dielectric (lossless) periodic structures which act as filters. Dielectric filters made as stacks of inhomogeneous gratings and layers of materials are being used in optical technology, but are not common at microwave frequencies. The problem is then finding the periodic cell's geometric configuration and permittivity values which correspond to a specified reflectivity/transmittivity response as a function of frequency/illumination angle. This type of design can be thought of as an inverse-source problem, since it entails finding a distribution of sources which produce fields (or quantities derived from them) of given characteristics. Electromagnetic sources (electric and magnetic current densities) in a volume are related to the outside fields by a well known linear integral equation. Additionally, the sources are related to the fields inside the volume by a constitutive equation, involving the material properties. Then, the relationship linking the fields outside the source region to those inside is non-linear, in terms of material properties such as permittivity, permeability and conductivity. The solution of the non-linear inverse problem is cast here as a combination of two linear steps, by explicitly introducing the electromagnetic sources in the computational volume as a set of unknowns in addition to the material unknowns. This allows to solve for material parameters and related electric fields in the source volume which are consistent with Maxwell's equations. Solutions are obtained iteratively by decoupling the two steps. First, we invert for the permittivity only in the minimization of a cost function and second, given the materials, we find the corresponding electric fields through direct solution of the integral equation in the source volume. The sources thus computed are used to generate the far fields and the synthesized triter response. The cost function is obtained by calculating the deviation between the synthesized value of reflectivity/transmittivity and the desired one. Solution geometries for the periodic cell are sought as gratings (ensembles of columns of different heights and widths), or combinations of homogeneous layers of different dielectric materials and gratings. Hence the explicit unknowns of the inversion step are the material permittivities and the relative boundaries separating homogeneous parcels of the periodic cell.

Zuffada, Cinzia↗

Quantum Chemical Calculation of p K a s of Environmentally Relevant Functional Groups: Carboxylic Acids, Amines, and Thiols in Aqueous Solution

Developing accurate quantum chemical approaches for calculating p K a s is of broad interest. Useful accuracy can be obtained by using density functional theory (DFT) in combination with a polarizable continuum solvent model. However, some classes of molecules present problems for this approach, yielding errors greater than 5 p K units. Various methods have been developed to improve the accuracy of the combined strategy. These methods perform well but either do not generalize or introduce additional degrees of freedom, increasing the computational cost. The Solvation Model based on Density (SMD) has emerged as one of the most commonly used continuum solvent models. Nevertheless, for some classes of organic compounds, e.g., thiols, the p K a s calculated with the original SMD model show errors of 6–10 p K units, and we traced these errors to inaccuracies in the solvation free energies of the anions. To improve the accuracy of p K a s calculated with DFT and the SMD model, we developed a scaled solvent-accessible surface approach for constructing the solute–solvent boundary. By using a “direct” approach, in which all quantities are computed in the presence of the continuum solvent, the use of thermodynamic cycles is avoided. Furthermore, no explicit water molecules are required. Three benchmark data sets of experimentally measured p K a values, including 28 carboxylic acids, 10 aliphatic amines, and 45 thiols, were used to assess the optimized SMD model, which we call SMD with a scaled solvent-accessible surface (SMD sSAS ). Of the methods tested, the M06-2X density functional approximation, 6-31+G(d,p) basis set, and SMD sSAS solvent model provided the most accurate p K a s for each set, yielding mean unsigned errors of 0.9, 0.4, and 0.5 p K units, respectively, for carboxylic acids, aliphatic amines, and thiols. As a result, this approach is therefore useful for efficiently calculating the p K a s of environmentally relevant functional groups.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Convergence of the Critical Cooling Rate for Protoplanetary Disk Fragmentation Achieved: The Key Role of Numerical Dissipation of Angular Momentum

We carry out simulations of gravitationally unstable disks using smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) and the novel Lagrangian meshless finite mass (MFM) scheme in the GIZMO code. Our aim is to understand the cause of the nonconvergence of the cooling boundary for fragmentation reported in the literature. We run SPH simulations with two different artificial viscosity implementations and compare them with MFM, which does not employ any artificial viscosity. With MFM we demonstrate convergence of the critical cooling timescale for fragmentation at β{sub crit}≈3. Nonconvergence persists in SPH codes. We show how the nonconvergence problem is caused by artificial fragmentation triggered by excessive dissipation of angular momentum in domains with large velocity derivatives. With increased resolution, such domains become more prominent. Vorticity lags behind density, due to numerical viscous dissipation in these regions, promoting collapse with longer cooling times. Such effect is shown to be dominant over the competing tendency of artificial viscosity to diminish with increasing resolution. When the initial conditions are first relaxed for several orbits, the flow is more regular, with lower shear and vorticity in nonaxisymmetric regions, aiding convergence. Yet MFM is the only method that converges exactly. Our findings are of general interest, as numerical dissipation via artificial viscosity or advection errors can also occur in grid-based codes. Indeed, for the FARGO code values of β{sub crit} significantly higher than our converged estimate have been reported in the literature. Finally, we discuss implications for giant planet formation via disk instability.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Absolute Instability of FCC Lattice of Rare-Gas Crystals under Pressure

On the basis of ab initio calculations of the phonon frequencies of compressed rare-gas crystals in the model of deformable and polarizable atoms, dynamic instability of the fcc lattice of these crystals is studied. In addition to the earlier-considered three-body interaction, which is associated with the overlapping of the electron shells of atoms, the short-range potential includes three-body forces caused by the mutual deformation of the electron shells of neighboring atoms. It is shown that the allowance for the deformation of the dipole-type electron shells of atoms in the pair and three-body approximations leads to softening of the critical vibrations and absolute instability of the fcc lattice at pressures higher than the critical values, p > p{sub c}. For light crystals of Ne and Ar under compressions of 0.76 (p{sub c} = 422 GPa) and 0.71 (p{sub c} = 405 GPa), respectively, the softening of the longitudinal mode is observed at the boundary of the Brillouin zone at the point L; for heavy crystals of Kr and Xe under compressions of 0.686 (p{sub c} = 240 GPa) and 0.605 (p{sub c} = 88 GPa), the transverse mode T{sub 1} is softened in the direction Σ. The behavior of second-order Fuchs elastic moduli of compressed rare-gas crystals is discussed.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A Module for Assimilating Hyperspectral Infrared Retrieved Profiles into the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation System for Unique Forecasting Applications

Hyperspectral infrared sounder radiance data are assimilated into operational modeling systems however the process is computationally expensive and only approximately 1% of available data are assimilated due to data thinning as well as the fact that radiances are restricted to cloud-free fields of view. In contrast, the number of hyperspectral infrared profiles assimilated is much higher since the retrieved profiles can be assimilated in some partly cloudy scenes due to profile coupling other data, such as microwave or neural networks, as first guesses to the retrieval process. As the operational data assimilation community attempts to assimilate cloud-affected radiances, it is possible that the use of retrieved profiles might offer an alternative methodology that is less complex and more computationally efficient to solve this problem. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has assimilated hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles into Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulations using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) System. Early research at SPoRT demonstrated improved initial conditions when assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) thermodynamic profiles into WRF (using WRF-Var and assigning more appropriate error weighting to the profiles) to improve regional analysis and heavy precipitation forecasts. Successful early work has led to more recent research utilizing WRF and GSI for applications including the assimilation of AIRS profiles to improve WRF forecasts of atmospheric rivers and assimilation of AIRS, Cross-track Infrared and Microwave Sounding Suite (CrIMSS), and Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) profiles to improve model representation of tropopause folds and associated non-convective wind events. Although more hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles can be assimilated into model forecasts, one disadvantage is the retrieved profiles have traditionally been assigned the same error values as the rawinsonde observations when assimilated with GSI. Typically, satellitederived profile errors are larger and more difficult to quantify than traditional rawinsonde observations (especially in the boundary layer), so it is important to appropriately assign observation errors within GSI to eliminate potential spurious innovations and analysis increments that can sometimes arise when using retrieved profiles. The goal of this study is to describe modifications to the GSI source code to more appropriately assimilate hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles and outline preliminary results that show the differences between a model simulation that assimilated the profiles as rawinsonde observations and one that assimilated the profiles in a module with the appropriate error values.

Berndt, Emily↗

Comparison of Turbulent Thermal Diffusivity and Scalar Variance Models

In this study, several variable turbulent Prandtl number formulations are examined for boundary layers, pipe flow, and axisymmetric jets. The model formulations include simple algebraic relations between the thermal diffusivity and turbulent viscosity as well as more complex models that solve transport equations for the thermal variance and its dissipation rate. Results are compared with available data for wall heat transfer and profile measurements of mean temperature, the root-mean-square (RMS) fluctuating temperature, turbulent heat flux and turbulent Prandtl number. For wall-bounded problems, the algebraic models are found to best predict the rise in turbulent Prandtl number near the wall as well as the log-layer temperature profile, while the thermal variance models provide a good representation of the RMS temperature fluctuations. In jet flows, the algebraic models provide no benefit over a constant turbulent Prandtl number approach. Application of the thermal variance models finds that some significantly overpredict the temperature variance in the plume and most underpredict the thermal growth rate of the jet. The models yield very similar fluctuating temperature intensities in jets from straight pipes and smooth contraction nozzles, in contrast to data that indicate the latter should have noticeably higher values. For the particular low subsonic heated jet cases examined, changes in the turbulent Prandtl number had no effect on the centerline velocity decay.

computational fluid dynamics↗

Risk to Ecological Resources on Burial Waste Sites on the Hanford Site, Washington - 20248

The US and other nations have a large nuclear and chemical waste remediation task remaining from World War II, the Cold War, and industrial activities. The US Department of Energy (DOE) has the largest task in the U.S., with Hanford (Washington State) being the most contaminated site, with the longest and most costly cleanup program projected to extend to the end of the century. One of the greatest remediation problems at Hanford are the burial waste facilities, some of which are inside the 200 Areas on the Central Plateau, while others are outside the 200 Areas. These areas are associated with waste sites, pipes, and contaminated trenches, posing technical cleanup challenges to meet DoE's remediation goals, including protection of human health and the environment commensurate with Tri- Party Agreement and current regulatory requirements. In this paper we select one of the legacy waste sites (the BC Cribs and Trenches) as a case study to explore how risk to ecological resources varies during and as a consequence of remediation on sites primarily considered legacy waste sites. We used the risk methodology developed by the Consortium for Risk Evaluation with Stakeholder Participation (CRESP) during the Hanford Site-wide Risk Review. The CRESP methodology included evaluating the risk to receptors, including human health, the Columbia River, groundwater, and ecological and cultural resources. The risk evaluation process for ecological receptors included defining the boundaries of each evaluation unit (EU) to be remediated, definition of a suitable buffer area that might be affected, and consideration of the known resource value based on field work. This information, coupled with known remediation options or strategies, allowed us to develop a risk rating for ecological resources. Site risks were evaluated on a scale of 'not discernible' to 'very high' risk. Consideration of the risks at the buried waste sites was complicated by uncertainties in remediation methods and the degree of restoration that would occur as part of the remediation process. We use the BC Cribs and Trenches as a case study to explore why the risks are low currently but increase during remediation. The current 'not discernible to low' risk rating is due to the lack of high quality ecological resources on the BC Cribs and Trenches EU, except for edge areas (with some state-listed species). During remediation the risks increase to 'medium', mainly due to high quality resources on adjacent buffer lands, which could be disrupted during active remediation. Medium and high quality resources on the edge of the site are continuous with higher quality native shrub-steppe habitat on the buffer. Ecological resources on some of the areas surrounding the 200 East and West Areas are some of the highest quality shrub-steppe areas on the Hanford Site, and risk to these resources could be prevented by planning before and during remediation to minimize disruption. For example, lay down areas for the BC Cribs and Trenches can be minimized by careful planning. Heavy truck and other vehicular traffic can be minimized. Spread of the noxious weeds now on some of the site can be prevented, and the spread of invasive species into the site (particularly near undisturbed shrub-steppe habitat) can be reduced. Further, the areas around and between the 200 East and West Areas have been largely undisturbed and can serve as a source of seeds and propagules for any revegetation that occurs as part of the remediation process. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

State-selective and total cross sections for electron capture from the K-shell of multi-electron atoms by fully stripped projectiles

Capture of a K-shell electron by bare fast ions H{sup +}, He{sup 2+} and Li{sup 3+} from multi-electron atomic targets (carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, neon and argon) is theoretically studied by means of the four-body boundary-corrected first Born approximation. In a wide impact energy interval ranging from 100 to 40 000 keV/amu, extensive tables of the obtained state-selective cross sections Q{sub nlm} are presented for each individual final hydrogen-like state described by the usual quantum numbers {n,l,m}. The total cross sections Q{sub nl}, Q{sub n} and Q{sub tot} for capture summed over the quantum numbers m, {l,m} and {n,l,m}, respectively, are also reported. Theoretical cross sections Q{sub tot} are found to compare favorably with the corresponding experimental data. The maximal value of the principal quantum number n has been taken to be n=4, which satisfies the relationship n≥Z{sub P}, where Z{sub P} is the nuclear charge of the projectile. The tabulated state-selective cross sections Q{sub nlm} for single-electron capture by swift nuclei from multi-electron atoms are the first results in the literature on the theory of four-body collisions. The present data for the examined capture processes are of notable interest for many fundamental and applied problems in various interdisciplinary fields ranging from fusion research, plasma physics, astrophysics to radiotherapy.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Report on the Economic Optimization of a Demonstration Case for a Static N-R HES Configuration using RAVEN

The synthetic time history generation algorithm in RAVEN has been extensively tested and used to perform qualitative assessments of the statistical characteristics of the net demand vs. demand for different values of the penetration of wind generation. Reported results highlight the need to consider the impact of variable renewable on the electricity net demand profile, due to the increase in its volatility with increased wind penetration. This analysis provides a strong foundation for the modeling and simulation needs expressed under the "Nuclear-Renewable Hybrid Energy Systems" (NRHES) project. Following this confirmative analysis the entire stochastic optimization framework has been tested in a demo case. The case chosen is an optimization driven by profitability for a system composed by a nuclear plant and a hydrogen production industrial process. This type of economical analysis is aimed to assess the capability of a hybrid system to penetrate the current energy market. In this sense it differs from the approach suggested under NRHES, where a cost minimization approach is suggested. This analysis is instead aimed to show the flexibility of the developed framework, e.g. for the evaluation of retrofitting projects of already existing plants. The system considered is subject to variable prices of electricity, which are simulated using the algorithm for the production of synthetic time histories. The physical system is considered without inertia so that it can be replaced by dispatching rules based on the highest marginal profit. Two optimization problems have been considered, for the first the size of the nuclear power plant is fixed and the optimization variable is the capacity of the hydrogen production plant. For the second, both plant sizes are optimization parameters while the overall capital expenditure is caped. The economical figures of merits considered are the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and/or Profitability Index (PI) for the first one (since no cap is placed on the investment size) and Net Present Value (NPV) and/or IRR for the second one where the capital expenditure is constrained. Economic input data concerning capital costs, size-scaling factors, and operational costs for both plants have been collected from literature in order to achieve a simulation as realistic as possible. More work will be needed to obtain even more realistic numbers, possibly from industrial partners, and considering market elasticity for the hydrogen market. In order to perform the optimization of the cases described above, the economical external RAVEN module (CashFlow) for financial analysis has been improved in flexibility and generality. Some improvements have also been made to the optimization algorithm for a more efficient treatment of the boundary constrains. In conclusion three major results have been obtained: a) collection of the economical parameters characterizing the nuclear power plants and hydrogen production plants, b) extension of the financial analysis module (CashFlow) to drive the calculation of all needed cash flow streams and c) the testing of the full framework in a nearly final configuration.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Usage of ChatGPT for Engineering Design and Analysis Tool Development

ChatGPT, a generative AI large language model, has recently captured significant attention in both the computer science community and the broader public domain. It has demonstrated a wide range of capabilities, from answering simple questions to writing fully functional computer code. This study spotlights both the capabilities and limitations of ChatGPT when addressing engineering problems. The model's capacity to generate practical engineering tools is highlighted through an example of a prompt that leads to an interactive plotting tool, enabling the examination of the fluid boundary layer around a fan blade. Subsequently, the paper also uncovers potential pitfalls in ChatGPT’s application, shown through an unsuccessful attempt to use ChatGPT to automate a process in Ansys Workbench through scripting. The research further investigates ChatGPT's proficiency in addressing inquiries and providing explanations about the functionalities of OpenMDAO, an open-source, multidisciplinary design, analysis, and optimization tool developed at NASA Glenn Research Center. Finally, an optimization methodology, developed with ChatGPT’s help, is applied to the structural optimization of a fan blade. The developed optimization method utilizes T-Blade3 for geometry generation, Ansys Mechanical for meshing and finite element analysis, and sci-kit learn’s MLPRegressor method to generate a trained neural network model of the design space. OpenMDAO is then used to find the optimal point within the design space. The outcome is a significant reduction in stress in the optimized model—less than one-fifth of the stress value in the baseline model.

Design↗

Usage of ChatGPT for Engineering Design and Analysis Tool Development

ChatGPT, a generative AI large language model, has recently captured significant attention in both the computer science community and the broader public domain. It has demonstrated a wide range of capabilities, from answering simple questions to writing fully functional computer code. This study spotlights both the capabilities and limitations of ChatGPT when addressing engineering problems. The model's capacity to generate practical engineering tools is highlighted through an example of a prompt that leads to an interactive plotting tool, enabling the examination of the fluid boundary layer around a fan blade. Subsequently, the paper also uncovers potential pitfalls in ChatGPT’s application, shown through an unsuccessful attempt to use ChatGPT to automate a process in Ansys Workbench through scripting. The research further investigates ChatGPT's proficiency in addressing inquiries and providing explanations about the functionalities of OpenMDAO, an open-source, multidisciplinary design, analysis, and optimization tool developed at NASA Glenn Research Center. Finally, an optimization methodology, developed with ChatGPT’s help, is applied to the structural optimization of a fan blade. The developed optimization method utilizes T-Blade3 for geometry generation, Ansys Mechanical for meshing and finite element analysis, and sci-kit learn’s MLPRegressor method to generate a trained neural network model of the design space. OpenMDAO is then used to find the optimal point within the design space. The outcome is a significant reduction in stress in the optimized model—less than one-fifth of the stress value in the baseline model.

Design↗

Simulation of a Synthetic Jet in Quiescent Air Using TLNS3D Flow Code

Although the actuator geometry is highly three-dimensional, the outer flowfield is nominally two-dimensional because of the high aspect ratio of the rectangular slot. For the present study, this configuration is modeled as a two-dimensional problem. A multi-block structured grid available at the CFDVAL2004 website is used as a baseline grid. The periodic motion of the diaphragm is simulated by specifying a sinusoidal velocity at the diaphragm surface with a frequency of 450 Hz, corresponding to the experimental setup. The amplitude is chosen so that the maximum Mach number at the jet exit is approximately 0.1, to replicate the experimental conditions. At the solid walls zero slip, zero injection, adiabatic temperature and zero pressure gradient conditions are imposed. In the external region, symmetry conditions are imposed on the side (vertical) boundaries and far-field conditions are imposed on the top boundary. A nominal free-stream Mach number of 0.001 is imposed in the free stream to simulate incompressible flow conditions in the TLNS3D code, which solves compressible flow equations. The code was run in unsteady (URANS) mode until the periodicity was established. The time-mean quantities were obtained by running the code for at least another 15 periods and averaging the flow quantities over these periods. The phase-locked average of flow quantities were assumed to be coincident with their values during the last full time period.

Vatsa, Veer N.↗