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An Analysis of the Automated Meteorological Profiling System Low Resolution Flight Element

A study was conducted to determine the quality of thermodynamic and wind data measured by or derived from the Low Resolution Flight Element (LRFE) of the Automated Meteorological Profiling System (AMPS). The AMPS LRFE replaced the Meteorological Sounding System (MSS), which was used to provide vertical profiles of thermodynamic and low-resolution wind data in support of spacecraft launch operations at the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) and NASA Kennedy Space Center (KSC), Florida. Air temperature, relative humidity, and height, which are directly measured by the LRFE, are used to derive air pressure and density. Test flights were conducted where an LRFE sonde and an MSS sonde were attached to the same balloon and the two profiles were compared. MSS data was used as the standard reference data. The objective of the thermodynamic testing was to determine a) if the LRFE met Space Shuttle Program (SSP) accuracy requirements outlined in the Space Shuttle Launch and Landing Program Requirements Document (PRD) and/or, b) if the LRFE met or exceeded MSS data quality. AMPS uses the Global Positioning System (GPS) to determine wind speed and direction. In order to provide a basis for comparison, either an AMPS High Resolution Flight Element (HRFE) or a radar tracked Jimsphere was released simultaneously with each AMPS LRFE at CCAFS. The goal of these tests was to determine if the LRFE wind data met the requirement for low-resolution wind data defined in the Shuttle PRD. Based on the available data, the LRFE is shown to produce more consistent thermodynamic measurements than the MSS. The LRFE is also shown to meet the Shuttle PRD requirements for low resolution wind data.

Leahy, Frank B.↗

Complete positive ion, electron, and ram negative ion measurements near Comet Halley (COPERNIC) plasma experiment for the European Giotto Mission

Participation of U.S. scientists on the COPERNIC (COmplete Positive ions, Electrons and Ram Negative Ion measurements near Comet Halley) plasma experiment on the Giotto mission is described. The experiment consisted of two detectors: the EESA (electron electrostatic analyzer) which provided three-dimensional measurements of the distribution of electrons from 10 eV to 30 keV, and the PICCA (positive ion cluster composition analyzer) which provided mass analysis of positively charged cold cometary ions from mass 10 to 210 amu. In addition, a small 3 deg wide sector of the EESA looking in the ram direction was devoted to the detection of negatively charged cold cometary ions. Both detectors operated perfectly up to near closest approach (approx. 600 km) to Halley, but impacts of dust particles and neutral gas on the spacecraft contaminated parts of the data during the last few minutes. Although no flight hardware was fabricated in the U.S., The U.S. made very significant contributions to the hardware design, ground support equipment (GSE) design and fabrication, and flight and data reduction software required for the experiment, and also participated fully in the data reduction and analysis, and theoretical modeling and interpretation. Cometary data analysis is presented.

Lin, Robert P.↗

Thermal design and performance of the Viking balloon-launched decelerator test vehicles

The thermal design and performance of the test vehicles used for the flight-qualification of the Viking parachute system are described. The desired range of test conditions was provided by a subsonic drop from a balloon altitude of 90,000 feet, and rocket-powered transonic and supersonic flights initiated at balloon altitudes of 120,000 feet. Unusual aspects of the thermal design approach included the application of techniques developed in support of planetary programs to the thermal analysis of balloon payloads and the use of ground firing data to establish realistic upper bounds for radiant plume heating during flight. The adequacy of thermal design is verified by flight data.

Buna, T.↗

Using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to Enhance Mission Design and Operations of the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO)

One key aspect in the development of HWO is the early deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to enhance mission science and operations. Our subtask group is part of the HWO AI/ML working group and focuses on AI and ML for mission operations. Our task group seeks to educate other HWO working groups about AI and ML capabilities for mission operations, investigate how to bridge technology gaps, and enable new capabilities particularly in the areas of observational scheduling, instrument health monitoring, and downlink operations. We focus on mission tasking / scheduling both for mission analysis in development and operations. AI and ML for mission scheduling includes: tools to support proposal calls and review, ensuring fairness in calls for proposals, community peer reviews and ease workloads, as well as in-flight and ground software development (e.g., using natural language processing (NLP) to support process automation from requirements). AI and ML for the mission’s development and operations include 1) anomaly detection and prediction (from onboard and ground based tools) to monitor the spacecraft’s health, 2) ground-based automated scheduling for mission operations including long-term and short-term planning and maintenance, and 3) flight system flexible execution (as flight proven for Spitzer and JWST) to enable robust execution despite execution variations, and 4) data analysis for prioritization (e.g., real-time data evaluation leading to autonomous actions and adjustments, high-priority identification, onboard data compression, etc.). Incorporation of ML and AI will enable HWO to address the major science questions related to exoplanet characterization, general astrophysics, and solar system exploration and also extend the boundaries of space mission technologies.

Mark Moussa↗

Thermal design, testing, and analysis of the Cosmic Background Explorer's external calibrator

The thermal design of a calibrator used to correlate the collected data with an absolute reference onboard of the Cosmic Background Explorer is considered. Since flight conditions could not be simulated in ground testing, the design was qualified by analysis and testing. The requirements imposed on the calibrator are outlined, along with spacecraft hardware modifications aimed at reducing the thermal load on the calibrator. A geometric mathematical model created in order to obtain view factors from the cryogenic instruments to the spacecraft and dewar is discussed. It is shown that the calibrator met or exceeded all of its performance requirements, and that the modifications to such energy sources as the thermal shield and differential microwave radiometers proved effective in reducing the radiative energy the calibrator received from the spacecraft to acceptable levels.

Mosier, Carol L.↗

Vertical Aerosol Profiling during SAIL (VAPS) Field Campaign Report

To more fully address the science goals of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) campaign, particularly the key science question of “How strongly do aerosols affect the surface energy and water balance by altering clouds, precipitation, and surface albedo, and how do these impacts vary seasonally?”, our campaign added instrumentation to planned tethered balloon system (TBS) flights in May and July of 2022. A key aspect of aerosol-cloud interactions is understanding cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice nucleating particle (INP) populations, and how they vary seasonally and spatially. Because the interactions between aerosols and clouds is the target of this work, vertical distributions are particularly important to evaluate. Measurements of aerosol at ground level, below-cloud, and in-cloud will allow a better understanding of the airmasses that are feeding cloud-active particles into low- and mid-level clouds. Measurements of INP and aerosol populations often differ between the ground and aloft, with relationships that likely depend on regional and seasonal. Because of this, collocated measurements of aerosol, CCN, and INP, across different seasons, are crucial to reducing uncertainties in relationships between ground-level and cloud-base aerosol populations. Our campaign added online measurements of CCN using a compact CCN counter and offline filter collections for measurement of INP populations to the SAIL campaign TBS flights in May and July of 2022. The CCN instrument, the CloudPuck, flew and successfully collected data for a total of eight flights across both campaign periods. The IcePuck flew for most flights during the same period. Both instruments have continued to be used for other campaign requests in the SAIL domain. Analysis of this data was proposed through a concurrent DOE Atmospheric System Research (ASR) project submission, which was not funded in 2022. A similar proposal, which would involve analysis of the samples and data collected from this campaign, has been resubmitted in 2023 but a funding decision has not yet been made. If the proposal is again declined, we will seek other resources to ensure that this data can be analyzed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Integrated Tool for System Analysis of Sample Return Vehicles

The next important step in space exploration is the return of sample materials from extraterrestrial locations to Earth for analysis. Most mission concepts that return sample material to Earth share one common element: an Earth entry vehicle. The analysis and design of entry vehicles is multidisciplinary in nature, requiring the application of mass sizing, flight mechanics, aerodynamics, aerothermodynamics, thermal analysis, structural analysis, and impact analysis tools. Integration of a multidisciplinary problem is a challenging task; the execution process and data transfer among disciplines should be automated and consistent. This paper describes an integrated analysis tool for the design and sizing of an Earth entry vehicle. The current tool includes the following disciplines: mass sizing, flight mechanics, aerodynamics, aerothermodynamics, and impact analysis tools. Python and Java languages are used for integration. Results are presented and compared with the results from previous studies.

Samareh, Jamshid A.↗

Analysis of filter tuning techniques for sequential orbit determination

This paper examines filter tuning techniques for a sequential orbit determination (OD) covariance analysis. Recently, there has been a renewed interest in sequential OD, primarily due to the successful flight qualification of the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS) Onboard Navigation System (TONS) using Doppler data extracted onboard the Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer (EUVE) spacecraft. TONS computes highly accurate orbit solutions onboard the spacecraft in realtime using a sequential filter. As the result of the successful TONS-EUVE flight qualification experiment, the Earth Observing System (EOS) AM-1 Project has selected TONS as the prime navigation system. In addition, sequential OD methods can be used successfully for ground OD. Whether data are processed onboard or on the ground, a sequential OD procedure is generally favored over a batch technique when a realtime automated OD system is desired. Recently, OD covariance analyses were performed for the TONS-EUVE and TONS-EOS missions using the sequential processing options of the Orbit Determination Error Analysis System (ODEAS). ODEAS is the primary covariance analysis system used by the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Division (FDD). The results of these analyses revealed a high sensitivity of the OD solutions to the state process noise filter tuning parameters. The covariance analysis results show that the state estimate error contributions from measurement-related error sources, especially those due to the random noise and satellite-to-satellite ionospheric refraction correction errors, increase rapidly as the state process noise increases. These results prompted an in-depth investigation of the role of the filter tuning parameters in sequential OD covariance analysis. This paper analyzes how the spacecraft state estimate errors due to dynamic and measurement-related error sources are affected by the process noise level used. This information is then used to establish guidelines for determining optimal filter tuning parameters in a given sequential OD scenario for both covariance analysis and actual OD. Comparisons are also made with corresponding definitive OD results available from the TONS-EUVE analysis.

Lee, T.↗

A Statistics-Based Material Property Analysis to Support TPS Characterization

Accurate characterization of entry capsule heat shield material properties is a critical component in modeling and simulating Thermal Protection System (TPS) response in a prescribed aerothermal environment. The thermal decomposition of the TPS material during the pyrolysis and charring processes is poorly characterized and typically results in large uncertainties in material properties as inputs for ablation models. These material property uncertainties contribute to large design margins on flight systems and cloud re- construction efforts for data collected during flight and ground testing, making revision to existing models for entry systems more challenging. The analysis presented in this work quantifies how material property uncertainties propagate through an ablation model and guides an experimental test regimen aimed at reducing these uncertainties and characterizing the dependencies between properties in the virgin and charred states for a Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA) based TPS. A sensitivity analysis identifies how the high-fidelity model behaves in the expected flight environment, while a Monte Carlo based uncertainty propagation strategy is used to quantify the expected spread in the in-depth temperature response of the TPS. An examination of how perturbations to the input probability density functions affect output temperature statistics is accomplished using a Kriging response surface of the high-fidelity model. Simulations are based on capsule configuration and aerothermal environments expected during the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) entry sequence. We identify and rank primary sources of uncertainty from material properties in a flight-relevant environment, show the dependence on spatial orientation and in-depth location on those uncertainty contributors, and quantify how sensitive the expected results are.

Copeland, Sean R.↗

Lateral stability and control derivatives of a jet fighter airplane extracted from flight test data by utilizing maximum likelihood estimation

A method of parameter extraction for stability and control derivatives of aircraft from flight test data, implementing maximum likelihood estimation, has been developed and successfully applied to actual lateral flight test data from a modern sophisticated jet fighter. This application demonstrates the important role played by the analyst in combining engineering judgment and estimator statistics to yield meaningful results. During the analysis, the problems of uniqueness of the extracted set of parameters and of longitudinal coupling effects were encountered and resolved. The results for all flight runs are presented in tabular form and as time history comparisons between the estimated states and the actual flight test data.

Parrish, R. V.↗

Plasma Cytokine Levels During Long-Duration Spaceflight

Determine the in-flight status of immunity, physiological stress, viral immunity/reactivation. Specific measurements include leukocyte distribution, T cell function, cytokine production profiles (mRNA, intracellular, secreted, plasma), virus-specific T cell number/function, latent herpesvirus reactivation, stress hormone levels. Determine the clinical risk related to immune dysregulation for exploration class spaceflight, as well as an appropriate monitoring strategy for spaceflight-associated immune dysfunction, that could be used for the evaluation of countermeasures. Specific Study Objectives: Determine the nutritional status of astronauts before, during, and after spaceflight ensure adequate intake of energy, protein, and vitamins during missions. The Clinical Nutritional Status Assessment measures dietary intake, body composition, protein, bone, iron, mineral, vitamin, and antioxidant status (60 total analytes). Currently, it is a medical requirement for U.S. crewmembers on-board the ISS. The results of data analysis are used both to understand the connections between nutrition and human health during space flight, and to develop effective dietary strategies to reduce adverse health impacts (including bone loss, loss of important vitamins and minerals, and increased genetic damage from radiation).

Crucian, Brian E.↗

JRC-IRMM/ORNL Collaboration on Nuclear Data for Nuclear Criticality Safety - 14486

Concerns about using cross sections recommended in the main evaluated data libraries (i.e. ENDF/B, JEFF and JENDL) for nuclear criticality calculations have been a prime motivator for new cross section measurements. The measurements and evaluations discussed in this work are part of a collaboration between the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and the Institute for Reference Material and Measurements of the Joint Research Center (JRC-IRMM) of the European Commission (EC). They are performed in response to the US Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) data needs. In particular, the NCSP five-year plan encompasses a listing of elements that have been identified for measurements and evaluations to address issues on criticality safety applications. This listing is based on data deficiency concerns in practical applications that are conveyed by criticality safety practitioners. In general these deficiencies are obtained through the analysis of benchmark calculations. A wealth of evaluations in the main libraries were derived from results of measurements made with poor time-of-flight resolution, and also the description of some data in the neutron energy range above several tens of keV is crude. This impacts both the resolved and unresolved resonance region, and leads to bias effects when resonance structures play an important role. As a consequence only average corrections can be applied in calculations for nuclear criticality calculations where self-shielding, multiple scattering, or Doppler broadening are important. This can lead to erroneous results. Furthermore, many evaluations for nuclides having small neutron-capture cross sections show erroneously high cross sections because the influence of the neutron sensitivity of the old measurement systems was underestimated. Although their neutron capture cross sections are small, these nuclides, if occurring in large amounts, can be important absorbers in criticality calculations, so an accurate determination of these cross sections is required. Over the last seven years the JRC-IRMM/ORNL collaboration has produced many neutron induced cross section data using the Geel Electron Linear Accelerator (GELINA) neutron time-of-flight facility. This facility is ideally suited to measure total, fission and capture cross sections in the energy range from 1 eV to ∼600 keV, which is important for nuclear criticality calculations. In this paper the facility and experimental set-ups at GELINA will be described together with the data reduction and analysis procedures which result in experimental observables including their full covariance information. The importance of combining transmission and partial cross section data will be emphasized. We will give a list of the measured nuclides and discuss the impact of the resulting data and evaluations. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Final Report on HOLODEC 2 Technology Readiness Level

During the period of this project, the Holographic Detector for Clouds 2 (HOLODEC 2) instrument has advanced from a laboratory-proven instrument with some initial field testing to a fully flight-tested instrument capable of providing useful cloud microphysics measurements. This can be summarized as 'Technology Readiness Level 8: Technology is proven to work - Actual technology completed and qualified through test and demonstration.' As part of this project, improvements and upgrades have been made to the optical system, the instrument power control system, the data acquisition computer, the instrument control software, the data reconstruction and analysis software, and some of the basic algorithms for estimating basic microphysical variables like droplet diameter. Near the end of the project, the instrument flew on several research flights as part of the IDEAS 2011 project, and a small sample of data from the project is included as an example. There is one caveat in the technology readiness level stated above: the upgrades to the instrument power system were made after the flight testing, so they are not fully field proven. We anticipate that there will be an opportunity to fly the instrument as part of the IDEAS project in fall 2012.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cs-137 Body-burdens in Wild Pigs on the Department of Energy's Savannah River Site: Determination of an Appropriate Framework for Spatiotemporal Analysis of Hunter Dose Tracking System Data

The Savannah River Site (SRS) is a U.S. Department of Energy facility with an area of 310 square miles. Since its opening in 1951, SRS has produced and processed nuclear materials for national defense and industrial purposes. These activities have resulted in the release of radiocesium (Cs-137) which has led to contamination of associated streams, floodplains, man-made reservoirs, soil and vegetation. Contamination is spread to wild pigs as they move about SRS, consume vegetation, drink water and wallow in soil. SRS provides annual deer hunts open to the public in which wild pigs may be taken as well. The Cs-137 concentration of each animal is determined before it is released to the hunter for consumption and a cumulative dose is retained for each individual hunter. These tasks are accomplished using the Hunter Dose Tracking System (HDTS). The data collected on SRS by the HDTS for White-Tailed deer has been extensively analyzed. A repeatable method for calculating the background radiocesium body burden for the SRS deer population was established by Gaines and Novak (2009,2016). This model was framed using Cs-137 contamination obtained via gamma over-flight data, the decay rate of radiocesium and the historical behavior observed in the SRS deer population. These parameters were used in a spatiotemporal analysis to estimate background Cs-137 body burdens (from global fallout, etc.), as well as the effect SRS activities may have. The purpose of this project is to modify the framework to represent the behavior of the wild pig population on SRS such that HDTS data collected may be analyzed similarly. The 2018 data were collected via the HDTS in the field to screen wild pigs dispatched by Forest Service - Savannah River. These data will provide insight for an analysis of seasonal variance in the body burdens of the SRS wild pig population. The HDTS quickly provided Cs-137 concentrations in the field, as well as automatically updated the electronic database. Space: Historically, the average home range of wild pigs on the Savannah River Site has been reported at approximately six square miles. This range was confirmed accurate as of July 2018, with the observed minimum and maximum at one and ten square miles respectively. This range was geoprocessed using ArcMap to project buffers based on 1991 gamma over-flight data. The buffers were constructed to originate at all Cs-137 contamination point coordinates and protrude outward in all directions for 1.5, 2.45 and 6 square miles. While the 2.45 mile buffer is theoretically representative of potential hog exposure based on the average home range, it does not consider the possibility of home ranges not uniform in shape. Therefore, the 1.5 and 6 mile buffers were also constructed as visual aids for determining the appropriate hunt compartments for background level considerations. The SRS is divided into numbered hunt compartments of varying size and shape. These compartment numbers are used during sponsored hunts to record the location in which a wild pig was dispatched. Time: The Gaines report determined deer analysis should be carried out at the half-decade level for the best representation of true body burdens. This is due to the impact natural factors, such as drought or flood, can have on the bioaccumulation of Cs-137. To determine the appropriate time scale for hog analysis, all available data was totaled and averaged at 1, 2, 3 and 7 year increments. The annual averages and running average are provided. The appropriate compartments for the determination of the SRS hog population background level should be: 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 14 and 15. Hogs dispatched within other compartments are most likely exposed to Cs-137 contamination and should not be included in the background level. The current dataset is small, but was still able to demonstrate the relationship between where hogs on SRS and the Cs-137 body burdens they incur. Geoprocessing the data using the average home range of wild pigs highlighted the importance of collecting additional samples from areas surrounding SRS if an accurate background is to be determined. When the average concentration of Cs-137 in pigs from background compartments is compared against that of pigs from contaminated compartments, a significant difference can be seen. A Table provides a summary of the analyzed data from the 15 years processed thus far.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Some effects of adverse weather conditions on performance of airplane antiskid braking systems

The performance of current antiskid braking systems operating under adverse weather conditions was analyzed in an effort to both identify the causes of locked-wheel skids which sometimes occur when the runway is slippery and to find possible solutions to this operational problem. This analysis was made possible by the quantitative test data provided by recently completed landing research programs using fully instrumented flight test airplanes and was further supported by tests performed at the Langley aircraft landing loads and traction facility. The antiskid system logic for brake control and for both touchdown and locked-wheel protection is described and its response behavior in adverse weather is discussed in detail with the aid of available data. The analysis indicates that the operational performance of the antiskid logic circuits is highly dependent upon wheel spin-up acceleration and can be adversely affected by certain pilot braking inputs when accelerations are low. Normal antiskid performance is assured if the tire-to-runway traction is sufficient to provide high wheel spin-up accelerations or if the system is provided a continuous, accurate ground speed reference. The design of antiskid systems is complicated by the necessity for tradeoffs between tire braking and cornering capabilities, both of which are necessary to provide safe operations in the presence of cross winds, particularly under slippery runway conditions.

Horne, W. B.↗

Determination of model structure and parameters of an airplane from pre- and post-stall flight data

A procedure for airplane model structure determination from flight data based on modified stepwise regression (MSR), several decision criteria and postulated aerodynamic model equations is presented. The MSR is constructed to force a linear model for the aerodynamic coefficient first, then select significant nonlinear terms and reject nonsignificant terms from the model. In addition to the statistical criteria in the stepwise regression, the prediction sum of squares (PRESS) criterion and analysis of residuals are examined for the selection of an adequate model. The procedure is used in examples with simulated and real flight data. It is shown that the MSR performs better than the ordinary stepwise regression and that the technique can be also applied to the large amplitude maneuvers.

Klein, V.↗

Space and Earth Sciences, Computer Systems, and Scientific Data Analysis Support, Volume 1

This Final Progress Report covers the specific technical activities of Hughes STX Corporation for the last contract triannual period of 1 June through 30 Sep. 1993, in support of assigned task activities at Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). It also provides a brief summary of work throughout the contract period of performance on each active task. Technical activity is presented in Volume 1, while financial and level-of-effort data is presented in Volume 2. Technical support was provided to all Division and Laboratories of Goddard's Space Sciences and Earth Sciences Directorates. Types of support include: scientific programming, systems programming, computer management, mission planning, scientific investigation, data analysis, data processing, data base creation and maintenance, instrumentation development, and management services. Mission and instruments supported include: ROSAT, Astro-D, BBXRT, XTE, AXAF, GRO, COBE, WIND, UIT, SMM, STIS, HEIDI, DE, URAP, CRRES, Voyagers, ISEE, San Marco, LAGEOS, TOPEX/Poseidon, Pioneer-Venus, Galileo, Cassini, Nimbus-7/TOMS, Meteor-3/TOMS, FIFE, BOREAS, TRMM, AVHRR, and Landsat. Accomplishments include: development of computing programs for mission science and data analysis, supercomputer applications support, computer network support, computational upgrades for data archival and analysis centers, end-to-end management for mission data flow, scientific modeling and results in the fields of space and Earth physics, planning and design of GSFC VO DAAC and VO IMS, fabrication, assembly, and testing of mission instrumentation, and design of mission operations center.

Estes, Ronald H.↗

DERIVING PLASMA DENSITIES AND ELEMENTAL ABUNDANCES FROM SERTS DIFFERENTIAL EMISSION MEASURE ANALYSIS

We use high-resolution spectral emission line data obtained by the SERTS instrument during three rocket flights to demonstrate a new approach for constraining electron densities of solar active region plasma. We apply differential emission measure (DEM) forward-fitting techniques to characterize the multithermal solar plasma producing the observed EUV spectra, with constraints on the high-temperature plasma from the Yohkoh Soft X-ray Telescope. In this iterative process, we compare line intensities predicted by an input source distribution to observed line intensities for multiple iron ion species, and search a broad range of densities to optimize {chi}{sup 2} simultaneously for the many available density-sensitive lines. This produces a density weighted by the DEM, which appears to be useful for characterizing the bulk of the emitting plasma over a significant range of temperature. This 'DEM-weighted density' technique is complementary to the use of density-sensitive line ratios and less affected by uncertainties in atomic data and ionization fraction for any specific line. Once the DEM shape and the DEM-weighted density have been established from the iron lines, the relative elemental abundances can be determined for other lines in the spectrum. We have also identified spectral lines in the SERTS wavelength range that may be problematic.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗