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Reactive transport benchmarks for subsurface environmental simulation

Over the last 20 years, we have seen firsthand the evolution of multicomponent reactive transport modeling and the expanding range and increasing complexity of subsurface applications it is being used to address. There is a growing reliance on reactive transport modeling (RTM) to address some of the most compelling issues facing our planet: climate change, nuclear waste management, contaminant remediation, and pollution prevention. While these issues are motivating the development of new and improved capabilities for subsurface environmental modeling using RTM (e.g., biogeochemistry from cell-scale physiology to continental-scale terrestrial ecosystems, nonisothermal multiphase conditions, coupled geomechanics), there remain longstanding challenges in characterizing the natural variability of hydrological, biological, and geochemical properties in subsurface environments and limited success in transferring models between sites and across scales. An equally important trend over the last 20 years is the evolution of modeling from a service sought out after data has been collected to a multifaceted research approach that provides (1) an organizing principle for characterization and monitoring activities; (2) a systematic framework for identifying knowledge gaps, developing and integrating new knowledge; and (3) a mechanistic understanding that represents the collective wisdom of the participating scientists and engineers. There are now large multidisciplinary projects where the research approach is model-driven, and the principal product is a holistic predictive simulation capability that can be used as a test bed for alternative conceptualizations of processes, properties, and conditions. Much of the future growth and expanded role for RTM will depend on its continued ability to exploit technological advancements in the earth and environmental sciences. Advances in measurement technology, particularly in molecular biology (genomics), isotope fractionation, and high-resolution X-ray spectroscopy, have created new lines of research that can be used to inform the conceptualization of reactions and rate laws and validate mechanistic models. For example, spectroscopy has identified the oxidation states of key components and elemental distributions at increasingly smaller scales and lower concentrations; molecular biology has progressed from identifying the presence of microbes to characterization of which microbial communities are active and what they are doing (i.e., microbial function), which has led in turn to the identification of active processes under conditions beyond what analytical chemistry can discern; isotope ratios in pore water and solid phases that can be used to distinguish between biotic from abiotic processes, sorption from precipitation, and origin and age of groundwater. The other noteworthy development that is expanding the role of RTM in subsurface environmental modeling is he advance in computational technology that is enabling the simulation of more coupled processes with increasing mechanistic detail. In some cases, this involves the inclusion of more reactive species and/or microbial populations in the simulations; in other cases, the impact is through the ability to achieve high resolution of property distributions over longer simulated times. To achieve these ambitious objectives for subsurface reactive transport simulation, the subsurface science and engineering community is being driven to provide accurate assessments of engineering performance and risk for important issues with far-reaching consequences. As a result, the complexity and detail of subsurface processes, properties, and conditions that can be simulated have significantly expanded. This expansion was enabled, in part, by advances in measurement technology, computing technology, and numerical techniques.

benchmarking↗

Fiber-optic sensor packaging assessment and benchmarking for embedded sensing applications

Fiber optic-based sensing for non-destructive evaluation (NDE) and structural health monitoring of various infrastructure and energy assets is an increasingly important sensing scheme. Because of their immunity to electromagnetic interferences, versatility in sensing mechanisms and designs as well as capability for distributed sensing, the fiber optic sensing is of great interest for embedding within infrastructures using advanced manufacturing methods. However, the protection of fiber optic sensors during advanced manufacturing-based embedding is an important aspect for infrastructure monitoring in practice. While successful installation of fiber optic sensors has been accomplished through application of epoxy or adhesives on infrastructure surfaces, there has been only limited investigation of fiber protection packaging schemes which are compatible with in-situ repair techniques such as the metallic cold-spray. With increasing interest and importance of cold spray-based repair processes, the integration of fiber optic sensors simultaneously during the repair is equally important. In this work, we focus our efforts on investigating various types of packaging schemes for their compatibility and integrability on the surfaces of metallic structures such as oil and gas pipelines during an in-situ repair coating. First, we consider sandblasting using silica sand particles of various size for optical fibers on the surface of a metallic coupon as a useful proxy test of sensor packaging stability. Structural damage of packaging is characterized by means of optical microscopy and the optical integrity of embedded fiber optic cables is examined using optical backscatter reflectometry (OBR). In addition, initial investigation of metallic cold-spray embedded fiber optic cables under various packaging on metallic substrates is also considered with early conclusions and future directions.

Fiber-optic sensors, Sensors packaging, Metallic C↗

Water dissociative adsorption on NiO(111): Energetics and structure of the hydroxylated surface

The energetics of the reactions of water with metal oxide surfaces are of tremendous interest for catalysis, electrocatalysis, and geochemistry, yet the energy for the dissociative adsorption of water was only previously measured on one well-defined oxide surface, iron oxide. In the present paper, the enthalpy of the dissociative adsorption of water is measured on NiO(111)-2 × 2 at 300 K using single-crystal adsorption calorimetry. The differential heat of dissociative adsorption decreases with coverage from 170 to 117 kJ/mol in the first 0.25 ML of coverage. Water adsorbs molecularly on top of that, with a heat of ~92 kJ/mol. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations reproduce the measured energies well (all within 17 kJ/mol) and provide insight into the atomic-level structure of the surfaces studied experimentally. They show that the oxygen-terminated O-octo(2 × 2) structure is the most stable NiO(111)-2 × 2 termination and gives reaction energies with water that are more consistent with the calorimetry results than the metal-terminated surface. They show that water adsorbs dissociatively on this (2 × 2)-O-octo surface to produce a hydroxyl-covered surface with a heat of adsorption of 171 ± 5 kJ/mol in the low-coverage limit (very close to 170 kJ/mol experimentally) and an integral heat that decreases by 14 kJ/mol up to saturation (compared to ~30 kJ/mol experimentally). As a result, sensitivity of this reaction’s energy to choice of DFT method is tested using a variety of different exchange correlation functionals, including HSE06, and found to be quite weak.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Novel Hybrid Current Limiter for Grid-Forming Inverter Control During Unbalanced Faults: Preprint

Grid-forming (GFM) inverter controls have illustrated many desirable features to enable bulk integration of renewable sources into the future power grid. However, the performance of GFM inverters during unbalanced faults remains under-explored. In this paper, a novel current-limiting method is proposed for GFM inverters to handle unbalanced fault conditions while providing voltage support to the main grid. The proposed current limiter combines concepts of dynamic virtual-impedance and current-reference saturation limiting, all built-up in the stationary reference frame to achieve improved current-limiting performance under unbalanced load/fault conditions. System-wide full-order transient simulations with multiple GFM inverters demonstrate the potential of the method and benchmark the performance against state-of-the-art current limiters. Simulation results portray improved voltage balancing performance of the proposed method compared to both current-reference saturation and virtual-impedance limiting.

controller anti windup↗

Robust Implicit Adaptive Low Rank Time-Stepping Methods for Matrix Differential Equations

In this work, we develop implicit rank-adaptive schemes for time-dependent matrix differential equations. The dynamic low rank approximation (DLRA) is a well-known technique to capture the dynamic low rank structure based on Dirac–Frenkel time-dependent variational principle. In recent years, it has attracted a lot of attention due to its wide applicability. Our schemes are inspired by the three-step procedure used in the rank adaptive version of the unconventional robust integrator (the so called BUG integrator) (Ceruti et al. in BIT Numer Math 62(4):1149–1174, 2022) for DLRA. First, a prediction (basis update) step is made computing the approximate column and row spaces at the next time level. Second, a Galerkin evolution step is invoked using an implicit solves for the small core matrix. Finally, a truncation is made according to a prescribed error threshold. Since the DLRA is evolving the differential equation projected on to the tangent space of the low rank manifold, the error estimate of the BUG integrator contains the tangent projection (modeling) error which cannot be easily controlled by mesh refinement. This can cause convergence issue for equations with cross terms. To address this issue, we propose a simple modification, consisting of merging the row and column spaces from the explicit step truncation method together with the BUG spaces in the prediction step. In addition, we propose an adaptive strategy where the BUG spaces are only computed if the residual for the solution obtained from the prediction space by explicit step truncation method, is too large. Here, we prove stability and estimate the local truncation error of the schemes under assumptions. We benchmark the schemes in several tests, such as anisotropic diffusion, solid body rotation and the combination of the two, to show robust convergence properties.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Sparse chronology strategy for integrating seasonal energy storage in capacity expansion models

Here, this study develops the sparse chronology method to enhance the representative period framework in capacity expansion models, enabling the effective integration of long-duration energy storage modeling. Traditional representative period methods cannot capture the state of charge of seasonal energy storage systems because they do not establish effective inter-day linkages to connect the state of charge between periods. The sparse chronology approach addresses this limitation by establishing inter-day linkages that allow state of charge to shift inter-seasonally. At the same time, it groups identical representative days into partitions, applying constraints sparsely and implicitly to reduce computational load further. Validation results demonstrate that this method successfully simulates long-duration energy storage patterns, achieving close alignment with a continuous yearly benchmark model, with seasonal trends and state of charge cycles clearly represented. The computational load analysis reveals that the sparse chronology method efficiently applies constraints on maximum and minimum state of charge limits within the representative day framework, eliminating the need for detailed constraints on each individual day. By partitioning representative days and constraining only the start and end of each partition, the method significantly decreases computational requirements. Simulation results show that sparse chronology closely approximates the continuous yearly method's accuracy, even with as few as 20 representative days, achieving correlation values with the benchmark of nearly 0.9 in state of charge plots. Furthermore, it maintains computational efficiency, requiring only 4 % of the solver time compared to the continuous yearly method with 20 representative days. This approach allows capacity expansion models to incorporate long-duration energy storage with high temporal, spatial, and technological resolution, enabling more detailed modeling for large-scale power systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Liquid-phase turbulence measurements in air-water two-phase flows using particle image velocimetry

Liquid-phase turbulence plays a vital role in determining various gas-liquid two-phase flow parameters, such as void fraction distribution, bubble morphology, bubble-bubble interactions, and interfacial area concentration. In this study, a two-phase flow database including both the gas- and liquid-phases measurements was developed focusing on three bubbly flow conditions in an air-water two-phase flow loop with a vertical one-inch diameter circular pipe test section. A particle image velocimetry (PIV) system integrating an optical phase separation method, i.e., the planar laser-induced fluorescence (PLIF) technique using fluorescent particles and optical filtration, was applied to measure the liquid-phase turbulence information, including the time-averaged velocity, Reynolds stress, and turbulent kinetic energy for the liquid phase. The PIV measurements were taken at three ports along the test section at 14.5, 51.5, and 88.5 pipe inner diameters downstream of a bubble injector. In addition, a double-sensor conductivity probe was used to measure radial distributions of the local time-averaged void fraction and gas velocity. The measured liquid-phase turbulence was used to benchmark Sato's turbulence model considering the bubble-induced shear stress for the three tested bubbly flows. The benchmark results showed good agreement between the PIV measurements and model predictions. Lastly, in the two bubbly flows tested that have low void fractions being less than 3%, the effect of the bubble-induced turbulence was found not significant. However, the bubble-induced shear stress becomes important with the increase of the void fraction.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Search for doubly charged scalar bosons decaying into same-sign W boson pairs with the ATLAS detector

A search for doubly charged scalar bosons decaying into W boson pairs is presented. It uses a data sample from proton–proton collisions corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 36.1 fb -1 collected by the ATLAS detector at the LHC at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV in 2015 and 2016. This search is guided by a model that includes an extension of the Higgs sector through a scalar triplet, leading to a rich phenomenology that includes doubly charged scalar bosons H &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> . Those bosons are produced in pairs in proton–proton collisions and decay predominantly into electroweak gauge bosons H &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> &#x2192;<!-- → --> W &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> W &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> . Experimental signatures with several leptons, missing transverse energy and jets are explored. No significant deviations from the Standard Model predictions are found. The parameter space of the benchmark model is excluded at 95% confidence level for H &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> &#x00B1;<!-- ± --> bosons with masses between 200 and 220 GeV.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Assessing the ability of $\mathrm{MODIS}$ $\mathrm{EVI}$ to estimate terrestrial ecosystem gross primary production of multiple land cover types

Terrestrial ecosystem gross primary production (GPP) is the largest component in the global carbon cycle. The enhanced vegetation index (EVI) has been proven to be strongly correlated with annual GPP within several biomes. However, the annual GPP-EVI relationship and associated environmental regulations have not yet been comprehensively investigated across biomes at the global scale. In this report we explored relationships between annual integrated EVI (iEVI) and annual GPP observed at 155 flux sites, where GPP was predicted with a log-log model: 1n(GPP) = a x 1n(iEVI) + b. iEVI was computed from MODIS monthly EVI products following removal of values affected by snow or cold temperature and without calculating growing season duration. Through categorisation of flux sites into 12 land cover types, the ability of iEVI to estimate GPP was considerably improved (R 2 from 0.62 to 0.74, RMSE from 454.7 to 368.2 g C m -2 yr -1 ). The biome-specific GPP-iEVI formulae generally showed a consistent performance in comparison to a global benchmarking dataset (R 2 = 0.79, RMSE = 387.8 g C m -2 yr -1 ). Specifically, iEVI performed better in cropland regions with high productivity but poorer in forests. The ability of iEVI in estimating GPP was better in deciduous biomes (except deciduous broadleaf forest) than in evergreen due to the large seasonal signal in iEVI in deciduous biomes. Likewise, GPP estimated from iEVI was in a closer agreement to global benchmarks at mid and high-latitudes, where deciduous biomes are more common and cloud cover has a smaller effect on remote sensing retrievals. Across biomes, a significant and negative correlation (R 2 = 0.37, p < 0.05) was observed between the strength (R 2 ) of GPP-iEVI relationships and mean annual maximum leaf area index (LAI max ), and the relationship between the strength and mean annual precipitation followed a similar trend. LAI max also revealed a scaling effect on GPP-iEVI relationships. Our results suggest that iEVI provides a very simple but robust approach to estimate spatial patterns of global annual GPP whereas its effect is comparable to various light-use-efficiency and data-driven models. The impact of vegetation structure on accuracy and sensitivity of EVI in estimating spatial GPP provides valuable clues to improve EVI-based models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Ion-Exchange Membrane Resin Wafer Assemblies for Aromatic Organic Acid Separations Using Electrodeionization

Aromatic acids, such as p-coumaric acid, are valuable chemical intermediates that are used in the specialty chemical industries because they are precursors to phenylpropanoid compounds. The separation of p-coumaric acid from fermentation broths is a critical step in the biochemical production process and more broadly the circular carbon economy. Electrodeionization (EDI) has been applied toward separations of low-carbon chain acids, but purifying p-coumaric acid has been challenging due to fouling and irreversible binding with ion-exchange membranes and resins. Here, we report a new membrane wafer assembly (MWA) consisting of laminated ion exchange membranes to porous ionomer-binder resin wafers for EDI. The MWAs in an EDI stack showed a 7-fold increase in p-coumaric acid capture while also using 70% less specific energy consumption when benchmarked against state-of-the-art resin wafer EDI modules. The more efficient p-coumaric acid recovery was ascribed to (i) the 38% reduction in interfacial transport resistance between the membrane and resin wafer and (ii) using imidazolium anion exchange membranes and ionomer binders in the MWA. MD simulations revealed enhanced transport rates for p-coumarate in imidazolium ionomers through π–π interactions. As a result, adopting the new MWA significantly reduced the amount of ion-exchange membranes in EDI and may lead to drastic capital cost savings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Revenue-Maximizing Shared Parking and Electric Vehicle Charging Management in Multi-Unit Dwellings

In urban areas, searching for parking and electric vehicle (EV) charging can result in cruising, congestion, and environmental externalities. Recognizing the business opportunity of offering private parking and charging infrastructure access within multi-unit dwellings (MUDs) during daytime, we model a shared parking and EV charging management system. We maximize the revenue of MUD charging hubs in mixed land use, catering to public demand. Our approach accounts for the objectives of the two stakeholders involved: a demand model is fitted on the choices of EV charging users, and the supply model optimizes the allocation of parking and charging requests in an MUD parking lot. A binary integer linear programming model for the allocation of parking and charging spaces with a rolling horizon is integrated with matching rules that handle both parking and charging requests. In our numerical experiments in a neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois, we estimate the performance of the MUD parking and charging system with metrics that include revenue, number of matchings, and utilization rates. At any given time, MUDs with lower prices attract more charging requests, particularly those of longer duration, resulting in higher revenue and greater charging utilization. Dynamic pricing facilitates a more equitable distribution of requests; as MUD parking lots reach capacity and their fees increase, other MUDs become more competitive, attracting additional requests. Comparing our method against first-come-first-served and optimal-solution benchmarks, we demonstrate our model’s effectiveness in dynamically managing mixed parking and charging demand in MUD charging hubs.

electric vehicle, multi-unit dwelling, charging in↗

Detection of Defects in Additively Manufactured Metallic Materials with Machine Learning of Pulsed Thermography Images

Additive manufacturing (AM) is an emerging method for cost-efficient fabrication of nuclear reactor parts. AM of metallic structures for nuclear energy applications is currently based on laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process, which can introduce internal material flaws, such as pores and anisotropy. Integrity of AM structures needs to be evaluated nondestructively because material flaws could lead to premature failures due to exposure to high temperature, radiation and corrosive environment in a nuclear reactor. Quality control (QC) requires nondestructive evaluation (NDE) of actual AM structures. Pulsed thermography is a potentially promising QC technique because it is scalable to arbitrary structure size. However, detection sensitivity of this method is limited by noises. We investigate separation of signal from noise in thermography images using several machine learning (ML) methods, including new spatio-temporal blind source separation (STBSS) and spatio-temporal sparse dictionary learning (STSDL) methods. Performance of the ML methods is benchmarked using thermography data obtained from imaging stainless steel 316L and Inconel 718 specimens produced LPBF method with imprinted calibrated porosity defects. The ML methods are ranked by F-score and execution runtime. The ML methods with higher accuracy require longer run time. However, this runtime is sufficiently short to perform QC within a realistic time frame.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Surrogate Model Integration with MOOSE XFEM for Creep Crack Growth

Ferritic-martensitic steels are key structural materials for advanced reactors but experience time-dependent deformation and damage under prolonged high temperature and irradiation, leading to creep-driven crack initiation and growth. High-fidelity models—crystal plasticity with irradiation mechanisms, phase-field for microstructural evolution, and continuum-damage viscoplasticity—capture the underlying physics but are too computationally intensive for broad design-space exploration and uncertainty quantification. This milestone advances a scalable alternative by integrating a microstructure-sensitive surrogate creep model into the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) finite element framework and extending it to fracture via the extended finite element method (XFEM). The surrogate model, developed with collaborators at Sandia and Los Alamos National Laboratories, maps relevant microstructural descriptors to the viscoplastic response of HT9. We embed this surrogate within a coupled deformation-damage workflow in MOOSE/XFEM to simulate creep-driven crack initiation and propagation. Implementation enhancements include updates to the material interface, a plastic correction phase involving microstructure evolution, and fracture criteria to ensure numerical robustness and compatibility with the surrogate structure. Demonstrations on canonical creep benchmarks spanning uniaxial and multiaxial states show that the surrogate reproduces key trends of high-fidelity models while substantially reducing computational cost. The resulting capability bridges physics fidelity and performance, providing a practical path to a predictive, microstructure-aware assessment of creep and fracture in reactor materials.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Intelligent Agent Architectures: Reactive Planning Testbed

An Integrated Agent Architecture (IAA) is a framework or paradigm for constructing intelligent agents. Intelligent agents are collections of sensors, computers, and effectors that interact with their environments in real time in goal-directed ways. Because of the complexity involved in designing intelligent agents, it has been found useful to approach the construction of agents with some organizing principle, theory, or paradigm that gives shape to the agent's components and structures their relationships. Given the wide variety of approaches being taken in the field, the question naturally arises: Is there a way to compare and evaluate these approaches? The purpose of the present work is to develop common benchmark tasks and evaluation metrics to which intelligent agents, including complex robotic agents, constructed using various architectural approaches can be subjected.

Rosenschein, Stanley J.↗

Piloting the Use of Energy Policy Data to Drive Market Action

Information is only useful when put to use. Across the U.S., an ever-growing number of state and local jurisdictions are implementing building performance reporting laws regarding building energy and water use in the commercial and multifamily sectors. This wealth of performance information is not yet being deployed to its full potential to drive smarter business decisions and increase energy savings. Recognizing that this information can help advance energy efficiency in cities, in 2015 the Institute for Market Transformation (IMT) partnered with New York City and the District of Columbia and local groups, NYCEEC and the District of Columbia Sustainable Energy Utility, on a three-year project to understand and document how, exactly, this data can and should be integrated to reap an array of benefits for cities, energy efficiency service providers, utilities, and building owners. This paper examines how local governments, utilities, and program implementers can replicate the success of DC and NYC. It gathers the findings from the Cities’ and their partners’ efforts to fully understand the datasets, overcome integration challenges, and apply the data to visual engagement, strategic outreach, evidence-based policymaking, and retrofit project identification and deployment. The paper goes beyond theoretical discussion by outlining practical application of data using specific examples from NYC and DC, summarizing challenges and findings, and highlighting next steps for other jurisdictions to learn from and build off the work done in those jurisdictions.

Cities↗

Panda: A Compiler Framework for Concurrent CPU $+$ GPU Execution of 3D Stencil Computations on GPU-accelerated Supercomputers

We present a new compiler framework for truly heterogeneous 3D stencil computation on GPU clusters. Our framework consists of a simple directive-based programming model and a tightly integrated source-to-source compiler. Annotated with a small number of directives, sequential stencil C codes can be automatically parallelized for large-scale GPU clusters. The most distinctive feature of the compiler is its capability to generate hybrid MPI$+$ CUDA$+$ OpenMP code that uses concurrent CPU$+$ GPU computing to unleash the full potential of powerful GPU clusters. The auto-generated hybrid codes hide the overhead of various data motion by overlapping them with computation. Test results on the Titan supercomputer and the Wilkes cluster show that auto-translated codes can achieve about 90 % of the performance of highly optimized handwritten codes, for both a simple stencil benchmark and a real-world application in cardiac modeling. The user-friendliness and performance of our domain-specific compiler framework allow harnessing the full power of GPU-accelerated supercomputing without painstaking coding effort.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Deep Learning enabled spectral energy conversion for in situ exposure measurements

A detector-specific deep learning (DL) approach is presented for spectra-to-exposure conversion using large-format sodium iodide (NaI(Tl)) detectors deployed for in situ environmental radiation measurements in emergency response scenarios. Accurate determination of exposure from NaI spectra is challenging due to poor energy resolution, partial energy absorption, and the strong sensitivity of traditionally deployed analytical conversion methods to calibrated source geometry and pre-deployment assumptions. Here, to address these limitations, a multi-layer perceptron model was trained on a hybrid in situ /Monte Carlo dataset constructed to span a broad range of photon energies, spatial extents, and realistic deployment variability, representative of general in situ emergency response conditions. The DL model was evaluated against commonly fielded analytical approaches under matched simulation conditions, including a single-factor method, a G-function method, and a modeled pressurized ion chamber (PIC) baseline. This study was intentionally computational in scope to enable controlled, like-for-like comparisons between conversion techniques while minimizing confounding real-world variability. Comparison to the modeled PIC provides contextual benchmarking and is not intended as a field inter-comparison with deployed instruments. Across the evaluated 20 keV to 3 MeV energy range, the DL approach consistently exhibited higher accuracy and reduced variance relative to the analytical methods against a deterministically calculated exposure. This may indicate improved robustness to spectral complexity without reliance on source-, geometric-, or spectral region-specific optimization. While results do not represent real-world validation, the presented work demonstrates that deep learning may effectively learn the nonlinear detector response-to-exposure relationship for asymmetric NaI(Tl) detectors and offers a promising pathway for improving in situ exposure estimation using spectroscopic systems already integrated into initial real-time emergency response operations.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Using Machine Learning to Understand Electric and Hybrid Vehicles Ownership in Burdened and Nonburdened Communities

Transitioning to electric and hybrid vehicles (EHVs) for all communities is a pivotal step toward sustainable transportation and environmental conservation. This paper aims to understand the adoption of EHVs, focusing on burdened communities (BCs) in the United States. The EHV ownership-based analysis combines two datasets—behavioral data from the Puget Sound Regional Travel Survey integrated with BCs (Justice40) data covering transportation insecurity, environmental burden, social vulnerability, health vulnerability, and climate and disaster risk burden. After creating this unique database, descriptive analysis and modeling are used to analyze the data and predict EHV ownership in the future. Specifically, we use a new method that combines particle swarm optimization (PSO) with a stacking model named PSO-Stacking, which incorporates heterogeneous base learners of machine learning and deep learning. PSO applies a customized objective function to select the optimal hyperparameters for heterogeneous learners within the stacking model, effectively addressing challenges such as multicollinearity, data imbalance, nonlinearity, and overfitting. The proposed solution covers more accurate results than standard benchmark models for EHV ownership in BCs and non-BCs. In addition, the results of the PSO-Stacking method are explained using the local interpretable model-agnostic explanations technique. Results show a negative correlation between the BCs indicators, that is, higher transportation insecurity associated with lower EHV ownership. Furthermore, BCs have higher future climate risk scores, diesel particulate matter levels, and PM2.5 in the air than non-BCs because of higher conventional vehicle ownership. These communities are at higher risk and can benefit from electrification, EV infrastructure, and EV policies to address environmental challenges.

Aslam, Zeeshan [ORNL]↗