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DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying Impacts of Renewable Electricity Deployment on Air Quality and Human Health in Southeast Asia Based on AIMS III Scenarios

This study augments the ASEAN Interconnection Masterplan Study III (AIMS III) by quantifying changes to air quality and human health that result from its renewable integration and transmission interconnection scenarios. Performing this analysis requires translation of the changes in projected generation from different power sector fuel sources in the AIMS III scenarios to changes in air pollutant emissions, developing what is known as an emissions inventory for each scenario and year evaluated. An emissions inventory represents who emits air pollutants, from where the pollutants are emitted, when, and how much of which air pollutants are emitted. With the assistance of the ASEAN Centre for Energy and leveraging the best available in-region public data sources, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) team compiled a detailed inventory of power plants in the ASEAN region, mapping their PM 2.5 , sulfur oxides (SOx), and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions. A new, first-of-its-kind, and user-friendly global air quality model, Global InMAP (Thakrar et al. 2022), is then used to transform the inventory of changes in emissions to changes in concentration of fine particulate matter. Global InMAP then maps the location of human populations in ASEAN countries to calculate humans' exposure to PM 2.5 and estimate excess PM 2.5 -caused mortality attributable to thermal generation sources, as modeled in the AIMS III scenarios.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

NASA NTRS1991

Regolith-structure modeling

Early lunar missions have provided a basic understanding of the physical and strength properties of lunar regolith, which have been shown to differ from those of dry terrestrial granular soils. Lunar regolith is predominantly a fine sand of which nearly 40 percent can be characterized as silt with a particle size smaller than 100 micrometers. The top 10 to 20 cm of the regolith can be characterized as being in a loose to medium-loose state. The density of the regolith, however, rapidly increases below a depth of 20 cm. The highly irregular and angular shapes of the regolith particles tend to interlock and create relatively strong mechanical bonds that give the particulate mass substantial cohesive properties and smaller amounts of tensile strength properties. In addition, the friction angle of lunar regolith at medium to high densities is quite high and often exceeds 55 degrees. These known properties of lunar regolith have been matched in a terrestrially-manufactured analog known as Minnesota Lunar Simulant. A variety of experiments were conducted using this simulant to both verify existing information and generate new information on the physical and constitutive properties of lunar regolith. These experiments include maximum and minimum density determinations, specific mass of solids, grain-size distribution, conventional triaxial compression and extension, isotropic compression, one-dimensional compression, direct shear, and direct tension. Direct shear experiments were conducted under atmospheric and vacuum conditions. Results of the physical and strength experiments compare closely to results obtained from lunar missions. Results of simulant strength experiments performed in vacuum indicated no observable difference from results obtained in air. A test bed currently under study is one involving a regolith shield covering a first-generation human habitat module. It is understood that regolith in depths ranging from 3 to 5 meters is required for radiation shielding for habitation and workspace. The habitat module is treated as a rigid cylindrical tube with a smooth exterior. By making the cylinder rigid, a complex interaction problem is reduced to a situation where we can consider the support regolith and the shielding regolith as behaving independently of the structural properties of the cylindrical structure. Medium-dense lunar simulant was placed around a scaled model of the habitat module to provide a radiation shield. This embankment-type shield was constructed in relatively thin but fine layers by compacting, by mechanical vibratory means, layer upon layer of simulant placed adjacent to the horizontally-aligned cylinder. The slope angles were constructed at 55 degrees. The model described above was studied in a geotechnical centrifuge, which allows for the scaling of model dimensions to prototype dimensions by increasing the acceleration of gravity on the model. The deformation response can be scaled up to prototype dimensions to provide an assessment of the deformation patterns of the lunar structure. The actual process of local and/or global growth of instabilities or skip planes can also be observed.

Ko, Hon-Yim↗

NASA NTRS2013

Investigation of Control Inceptor Dynamics and Effect on Human Subject Performance

The control inceptor used in a vehicle simulation is an important part of adequately representing the dynamics of the vehicle. The inceptor characteristics are typically based on a second order spring mass damper system with damping, force gradient, breakout force, and natural frequency parameters. Changing these parameters can have a great effect on pilot control of the vehicle. A quasi transfer of training experiment was performed employing a high fidelity and a low fidelity control inceptor. A disturbance compensatory task was employed which involved a simple horizon line disturbed in roll by a sum of sinusoids presented in an out-the-window display. Vehicle dynamics were modeled as 1/s and 1/s2. The task was to maintain level flight. Twenty subjects were divided between the high and the low fidelity training groups. Each group was trained to a performance asymptote, and then transferred to the high fidelity simulation. RMS tracking error, a PSD analysis, and a workload analysis were performed to quantify the transfer of training effect. Quantitative results of the experiments show that there is no significant difference between the high and low fidelity training groups for 1/s plant dynamics. For 1/s2 plant dynamics there is a greater difference in tracking performance and PSD; and the subjects are less correlated with the input disturbance function

Stanco, Anthony A.↗

NASA NTRS2003

Differences in the hemodynamic response to event-related motor and visual paradigms as measured by near-infrared spectroscopy

Several current brain imaging techniques rest on the assumption of a tight coupling between neural activity and hemodynamic response. The nature of this neurovascular coupling, however, is not completely understood. There is some evidence for a decoupling of these processes at the onset of neural activity, which manifests itself as a momentary increase in the relative concentration of deoxyhemoglobin (HbR). The existence of this early component of the hemodynamic response function, however, is controversial, as it is inconsistently found. Near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) allows quantification of levels of oxyhemoglobin (HbO(2)) and HbR during task performance in humans. We acquired NIRS data during performance of simple motor and visual tasks, using rapid-presentation event-related paradigms. Our results demonstrate that rapid, event-related NIRS can provide robust estimates of the hemodynamic response without artifacts due to low-frequency signal components, unlike data from blocked designs. In both the motor and visual data the onset of the increase in HbO(2) occurs before HbR decreases, and there is a poststimulus undershoot. Our results also show that total blood volume (HbT) drops before HbO(2) and undershoots baseline, raising a new issue for neurovascular models. We did not find early deoxygenation in the motor data using physiologically plausible values for the differential pathlength factor, but did find one in the visual data. We suggest that this difference, which is consistent with functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data, may be attributable to different capillary transit times in these cortices.

NASA Program Biomedical Research and Countermeasur↗

DOE OSTI2023

Younger facial looks are associate with a lower likelihood of several age-related morbidities in the middle-aged to elderly

Abstract Background Looking older for one’s chronological age is associated with a higher mortality rate. Yet it remains unclear how perceived facial age relates to morbidity and the degree to which facial ageing reflects systemic ageing of the human body. Objectives To investigate the association between ΔPA and age-related morbidities of different organ systems, where ΔPA represents the difference between perceived age (PA) and chronological age. Methods We performed a cross-sectional analysis on data from the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study in the Netherlands. High-resolution facial photographs of 2679 men and women aged 51.5–87.8 years of European descent were used to assess PA. PA was estimated and scored in 5-year categories using these photographs by a panel of men and women who were blinded for chronological age and medical history. A linear mixed model was used to generate the mean PAs. The difference between the mean PA and chronological age was calculated (ΔPA), where a higher (positive) ΔPA means that the person looks younger for their age and a lower (negative) ΔPA that the person looks older. ΔPA was tested as a continuous variable for association with ageing-related morbidities including cardiovascular, pulmonary, ophthalmological, neurocognitive, renal, skeletal and auditory morbidities in separate regression analyses, adjusted for age and sex (model 1) and additionally for body mass index, smoking and sun exposure (model 2). Results We observed 5-year higher ΔPA (i.e. looking younger by 5 years for one’s age) to be associated with less osteoporosis [odds ratio (OR) 0.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62–0.93], less chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.77–0.95), less age-related hearing loss (model 2; B = −0.76, 95% CI −1.35 to −0.17) and fewer cataracts (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73–0.97), but with better global cognitive functioning (g-factor; model 2; B = 0.07, 95% CI 0.04–0.10). Conclusions PA is associated with multiple morbidities and better cognitive function, suggesting that systemic ageing and cognitive ageing are, to an extent, externally visible in the human face.

Mekić, Selma↗

DOE OSTI2020

GIS-Based Modeling of Contaminated Soil Volumes at Multiple Sites in the Formerly Utilized Sites Remedial Action Program - 20149

The remediation of hazardous, toxic, and radioactive waste (HTRW) sites produces cost-related risks associated with the estimation of contaminated soil or debris volumes. Historical risk-management techniques include cost contingencies to cover volume uncertainties that affect project budgeting and decision-making. The Buffalo District teamed with project partners to lessen volume uncertainty and reduce project risks at multiple HTRW sites managed under the Formerly Utilized Sites Remedial Action Program (FUSRAP). Historical remedial investigations under FUSRAP commonly identified the presence of radiological material in site media, the associated human health risk, and then areas of remediation. To manage remedial execution and reduce risk, pre-design or remediation-phase sampling essentially 'chased' contamination, which was not conducive to efficient predictive budgeting derived from Feasibility Study (FS) cost analyses. The Buffalo District first optimized their approach to better understand volume uncertainty by utilizing the Argonne National Laboratory's Bayesian Approaches for Adaptive Spatial Sampling (BAASS) software [1]. BAASS processed soft data (e.g., gamma walk-over data) and spatial sampling data to estimate the lateral extent of contaminated soil irrespective of depth (i.e., gross contamination extent) and define areas of contaminant uncertainty. The software performed a binary transformation of contaminant concentrations at all sampling points based upon remedial action goals or a sum of ratios approach (i.e., clean, impacted, or range of impacts in soil). The model produced two-dimensional (horizontal) contaminant probability contours and statistical uncertainty in the sampling coverage and resulting contaminant extents. This method was translated vertically by partitioning the sampling data into depth brackets that produced a stacked representation of contaminant extents and uncertainty in the subsurface (i.e., similar to construction lifts). The results commonly led to a better understanding of project uncertainty and the need for sampling strategies that produce high-confidence soil volumes, which control costs. The BAASS-based delineations were eventually replaced by Empirical Bayesian Kriging (EBK) methods available in ArcGIS Spatial or 3D Analysts [2]. The EBK method calculates contaminant probability zones derived from user-controlled semivariograms of the spatial datasets. The resulting probability zones (e.g., 50% or 80% of contaminant probability) represent the two-dimensional surface delineation of the overall horizontal remedial area, similarly to BAASS. However, unlike BAASS, the vertical sampling data within these probability zones became vertical control points to contour a subterranean surface that connects subsurface points to the land-surface delineations of contamination. The resulting representation of horizontal and vertical impacts within an enclosed envelop (volume) of soil included uncertainty distributions that are used to plan uncertainty-reduction sampling. These data-driven and math-based models of three-dimensional sampling results produced well-bounded remedial volumes for project planning and better uncertainty predictions during project budgeting. The EBK method was applied to several FUSRAP sites managed by the Buffalo District and compared to less rigorously modeled sites previously remediated by the District. The comparison of modeled to actual remediated volumes provide a basis for validating the volume-estimation method. This comparison is important to ensure modeled volumes match physical boundaries of site remediation. FUSRAP sites with denser investigative sampling and lesser volume uncertainty proved useful in remedial planning and contracting. The Buffalo District noted that historical sites with sparser sampling arrays had greater disparity between estimated volumes and final remedial volumes. The benefit achieved over the cost of detailed soil sampling appears positive for FUSRAP projects, especially where impacts vary widely and appear unbounded by investigation-phase sampling. The subsequent Empirical Bayesian Kriging of contamination coupled with vertical contouring for soil estimations reduces uncertainty in soil volumes or indicates where sampling is required to reduce uncertainty, which together optimize remedial planning and budgeting. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2017

Cooling efficiency of a spot-type personalized air-conditioner

Here, this study defined Cooling Efficiency ( CE ) of a Spot-type Personalized Air-Conditioning (SPAC) device as the ratio of the additional sensible heat removal from human body induced by SPAC and the device's cooling capacity. CE enabled the investigation of SPAC performance on the occupant's sensible heat loss (Q s ) and thermal sensation by its quantitative relation with the change of PMV level ( ΔPMV ). Three round nozzles with the diameter of 0.08 m, 0.105 m, and 0.128 m, respectively, discharged air jets at airflow rates from 11.8 L s –1 to 59.0 L s –1 , toward the chest of a seated or standing human body with a clothing of 0.48 clo. This study developed a validated CFD model coupled with the Fanger's thermoregulation model, to calculate Q s in a room of 26 °C ventilated at a rate of 3 ACH. According to the results, Q s , CE and draft risk ( DR ) at face had significant positive linear correlation with the SPAC device's supply airflow rates (R2 >0.96), and a negative linear correlation for ΔPMV. With DR = 20% at face, CE was always under 0.3, and ΔPMV was around -1.0–1.1. Interestingly, both CE and ΔPMV had the least favorable values for the air jet produced by the nozzle with the diameter of 0.105 m independent of body posture. In conclusion, although SPAC could lead to additional Q s by sending air at a higher airflow rate from a smaller nozzle, the improvement in cooling efficiency and thermal sensation had a limit due to draft risk.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2017

Computational Approach for Improving Three-Dimensional Sub-Surface Earth Structure for Regional Earthquake Hazard Simulations in the San Francisco Bay Area

In our Exascale Computing Project (ECP) we seek to simulate earthquake ground motions at much higher frequency than is currently possible. Previous simulations in the SFBA were limited to 0.5-1 Hz or lower (Aagaard et al. 2008, 2010), while we have recently simulated the response to 5 Hz. In order to improve confidence in simulated ground motions, we must accurately represent the three-dimensional (3D) sub-surface material properties that govern seismic wave propagation over a broad region. We are currently focusing on the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) with a Cartesian domain of size 120 x 80 x 35 km, but this area will be expanded to cover a larger domain. Currently, the United States Geologic Survey (USGS) has a 3D model of the SFBA for seismic simulations. However, this model suffers from two serious shortcomings relative to our application: 1) it does not fit most of the available low frequency (< 1 Hz) seismic waveforms from moderate (magnitude M 3.5-5.0) earthquakes; and 2) it is represented with much lower resolution than necessary for the high frequency simulations (> 5 Hz) we seek to perform. The current model will serve as a starting model for full waveform tomography based on 3D sensitivity kernels. This report serves as the deliverable for our ECP FY2017 Quarter 4 milestone to FY 2018 “Computational approach to developing model updates”. We summarize the current state of 3D seismic simulations in the SFBA and demonstrate the performance of the USGS 3D model for a few selected paths. We show the available open-source waveform data sets for model updates, based on moderate earthquakes recorded in the region. We present a plan for improving the 3D model utilizing the available data and further development of our SW4 application. We project how the model could be improved and present options for further improvements focused on the shallow geotechnical layers using dense passive recordings of ambient and human-induced noise.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1975

A model-based analysis of a display for helicopter landing approach

A control theoretic model of the human pilot was used to analyze a baseline electronic cockpit display in a helicopter landing approach task. The head down display was created on a stroke written cathode ray tube and the vehicle was a UH-1H helicopter. The landing approach task consisted of maintaining prescribed groundspeed and glideslope in the presence of random vertical and horizontal turbulence. The pilot model was also used to generate and evaluate display quickening laws designed to improve pilot vehicle performance. A simple fixed base simulation provided comparative tracking data.

Hess, R. A.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Analyzing human errors in flight mission operations

A long-term program is in progress at JPL to reduce cost and risk of flight mission operations through a defect prevention/error management program. The main thrust of this program is to create an environment in which the performance of the total system, both the human operator and the computer system, is optimized. To this end, 1580 Incident Surprise Anomaly reports (ISA's) from 1977-1991 were analyzed from the Voyager and Magellan projects. A Pareto analysis revealed that 38 percent of the errors were classified as human errors. A preliminary cluster analysis based on the Magellan human errors (204 ISA's) is presented here. The resulting clusters described the underlying relationships among the ISA's. Initial models of human error in flight mission operations are presented. Next, the Voyager ISA's will be scored and included in the analysis. Eventually, these relationships will be used to derive a theoretically motivated and empirically validated model of human error in flight mission operations. Ultimately, this analysis will be used to make continuous process improvements continuous process improvements to end-user applications and training requirements. This Total Quality Management approach will enable the management and prevention of errors in the future.

Bruno, Kristin J.↗

NASA NTRS1997

Automated Assessment of Visual Quality of Digital Video

The advent of widespread distribution of digital video creates a need for automated methods for evaluating visual quality of digital video. This is particularly so since most digital video is compressed using lossy methods, which involve the controlled introduction of potentially visible artifacts. Compounding the problem is the bursty nature of digital video, which requires adaptive bit allocation based on visual quality metrics. In previous work, we have developed visual quality metrics for evaluating, controlling, and optimizing the quality of compressed still images[1-4]. These metrics incorporate simplified models of human visual sensitivity to spatial and chromatic visual signals. The challenge of video quality metrics is to extend these simplified models to temporal signals as well. In this presentation I will discuss a number of the issues that must be resolved in the design of effective video quality metrics. Among these are spatial, temporal, and chromatic sensitivity and their interactions, visual masking, and implementation complexity. I will also touch on the question of how to evaluate the performance of these metrics.

Watson, Andrew B.↗

NASA NTRS1998

Towards a Visual Quality Metric for Digital Video

The advent of widespread distribution of digital video creates a need for automated methods for evaluating visual quality of digital video. This is particularly so since most digital video is compressed using lossy methods, which involve the controlled introduction of potentially visible artifacts. Compounding the problem is the bursty nature of digital video, which requires adaptive bit allocation based on visual quality metrics. In previous work, we have developed visual quality metrics for evaluating, controlling, and optimizing the quality of compressed still images. These metrics incorporate simplified models of human visual sensitivity to spatial and chromatic visual signals. The challenge of video quality metrics is to extend these simplified models to temporal signals as well. In this presentation I will discuss a number of the issues that must be resolved in the design of effective video quality metrics. Among these are spatial, temporal, and chromatic sensitivity and their interactions, visual masking, and implementation complexity. I will also touch on the question of how to evaluate the performance of these metrics.

Watson, Andrew B.↗

NASA NTRS2017

The Generic Resolution Advisor and Conflict Evaluator (GRACE) for Unmanned Aircraft Detect-And-Avoid Systems

The paper describes the Generic Resolution Advisor and Conflict Evaluator (GRACE), a novel alerting and guidance algorithm that combines flexibility, robustness, and computational efficiency. GRACE is generic since it was designed without any assumptions regarding temporal or spatial scales, aircraft performance, or its sensor and communication systems. Therefore, GRACE was adopted as a core component of the Java Architecture for Detect-And-Avoid (DAA) Extensibility and Modeling, developed by NASA as a research and modeling tool for Unmanned Aerial Systems Integration in the National Airspace System (NAS). GRACE has been used in a number of real-time and fast-time experiments supporting evolving requirements of DAA research, including parametric studies, NAS-wide simulations, human-in-the-loop experiments, and live flight tests.

Unmanned Aircraft↗

NASA NTRS2021

Planning and Monitoring Multi-Job Type Swarm Search and Service Missions

To transition from control theory to real applications, it is important to study missions such as Swarm Search and Service (SSS) where vehicles are not only required to search an area, but also service all jobs that they find. In SSS missions, each type of job requires a group of vehicles to break off from the swarm for a given amount of time to service it. The required number of vehicles and the service rate are unique to each job type. Once a job has been completed, the vehicles are able to return to the swarm for use elsewhere. If not, enough vehicles are present in the swarm at the time that the job is identified, that job is dropped without being serviced. In SSS missions that occur in open environments, the arrival rate of jobs varies dynamically as vehicles move in and out of the swarm to service jobs. Human operators are tasked with effectively planning and managing these complex missions. This paper presents a user study that seeks to test the efficacy and ease-of-use of a prediction model known as the Hybrid Model as an aid in planning and monitoring tasks. Results show that the novel computational model aid allows operators to more effectively choose the necessary swarm size to handle expected mission workload, as well as, maintain sufficient situation awareness to evaluate the performance of the swarm during missions.

swarm search and service↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lunar Relay Onboard Navigation Performance and Effects on Lander Descent to Surface

A system of Lunar relay satellites has been proposed to address communication and navigation needs and ensure robustness for the variety of upcoming robotic and human exploration missions to the Moon. The relays are envisioned to estimate self position and time knowledge onboard, allowing the system to provide in-situ navigation services to missions in the Lunar and cis-Lunar environment. The quality and accuracy of those services are highly dependent on the navigation performance of the relay itself. To assess the Lunar relay navigation performance, a series of orbit determination (OD) Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are run using Lunar gravity modeling up to a degree and order of 250 and a variety of onboard clocks and measurement types including weak-signal GNSS, Ground Network (GN) pseudorange (PR) and Doppler, and optical navigation (OpNav) center-finding (CF). The estimated trajectories produced by these Lunar relay MC simulations, along with the associated errors, and transmitted navigation reference signal parameters, are used to evaluate the expected navigation performance of a user on a descent trajectory to the Lunar surface. The scenario features a lander system performing onboard navigation relying on one-way range and Doppler measurements from reference signals emitted by the Lunar relay. This paper can be used as a reference in determining the onboard clock and measurement types necessary to obtain acceptable navigation performance for the Lunar relay, and as a baseline for Lunar lander navigation performance using accurate measurements from a relay reference signal.

Jeffrey L. Small↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Analytical Framework for Rodent/NHP Data Set Utilization to Inform Human CNS Risk Estimation

Objectives Review and inform on tactics to analyze & communicate data from animal research (e.g., rodents, mini-pigs, NHPs, et al) exposed to single and combinations of spaceflight hazards, using NASA’s Human System Risk Board (HSRB) process for the Behavioral Medicine Risk - To quantitatively inform Behavioral Medicine Risk posture - i.e., likelihood (L) and consequence (C) - To help inform estimation of crew health standards for operational task performance (i.e., Fitness For Duty, Space Permissible Exposure Levels, Permissible Operational Limits).

Brain↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Application of Analytical Hierarchy Process for Narrowing Down Nep Candidate Reactor Designs

Nuclear electric propulsion (NEP)-powered vehicles have been contemplated for human Mars missions. The nuclear power system contemplates using a high temperature light-weight nuclear reactor for the production of electrical power in the range of 2-5 MWe with a 3-10 year service life. A myriad of technology options exist for achieving these mission objectives. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a multi-attribute decision method, is being used to narrow down the candidate designs. The AHP is a structured decision process that fuses model-supplied quantitative data with subjective assessments to facilitate decisions that involve multiple competing criteria. Proven end-to-end nuclear design and systems analysis tools will be used to provide quantitative performance data such as end-to-end system reliability, system robustness to recover from off-normal conditions, system specific weight (α in kg/kWe), and the ability to meet the service life-time and power level requirements. Three high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) reactor concepts, namely, gas-, heat pipe- and pumped liquid-cooled nuclear cores coupled to a He/Xe gas or supercritical CO2- Brayton power conversion system are being modeled using the AHP to understand the trade-offs associated with these design combinations. In addition to the reactor and power conversion options, there are a myriad of additional components and subsystems – e.g., radiators, heat exchangers, and recuperators – that also figure into the evaluation process. The choice of the right overall system is a multidimensional problem that has to include not only quantitative data, but also the so called “external factors”, examples of which include the component and subsystem Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs), the associated Advancement Degrees of Difficulty (AD2), the cost and schedule required to achieve a technical maturity consistent with mission infusion, alignment with the priorities of NASA’s Space Nuclear Propulsion program, and alignment with other ongoing government and commercial investments in micro reactors. Focused expert elicitations form the basis for qualitative data set. As a final step, decision-makers individually express their opinions regarding the relative importance of the criteria and preferences among the alternatives through pairwise comparisons. The paper will describe the AHP approach, progress to-date applying it to the NEP human Mars mission problem, and preliminary results. Use of AHP provides sufficient flexibility for incorporating industry input at different stages as the technologies evolve through additional research and development. It is expected that the decision process will be ongoing and expanded to examine additional options and technology choices, culminating in a defensible set of candidate reactor concepts that will form the basis for developing a multi-year NEP technology maturation strategy. .

Dasari V Rao↗

DOE OSTI2019

A Salt Repository Concept for CSNF in 21-PWR Size Canisters

The most straightforward concept for disposal of large, heavy packages containing commercial spent nuclear fuel (CSNF) in a repository in bedded salt, would be to emplace them directly on the floor in emplacement tunnels. In-tunnel axially aligned horizontal emplacement would minimize excavated volume and avoid drilling of large-diameter emplacement boreholes. A similar concept was proposed in Germany for direct disposal of POLLUX ® canisters. The repository would be constructed at a depth of 500 to 1,000 m for isolation from the surface, and for sufficient overburden stress to ensure creep reconsolidation of repository openings. It could entail modular panels of emplacement tunnels arranged on headings oriented in cardinal directions from a central core, to accommodate the estimated 140,000 MTU total U.S. CSNF inventory. To do so, the overall area of the repository layout would be approximately 20 km 2 . Many layouts are possible, but the approach should be modular, excavation should be deferred for as long as possible to avoid maintenance, and the emplacement areas should share support facilities and shafts. Vertical shafts would be used in accordance with mining practice in sedimentary basins. Large diameter shafts would be needed for ventilation exhaust and waste transport, with smaller shafts for waste salt removal, men & materials, and ventilation intake. The spacing between disposal tunnels as estimated from thermal modeling, seeks to limit the maximum average areal thermal load in the panels to 11 W/m 2 to control long-term heat buildup in the host rock. Peak salt temperature would occur within a few years and would be dominated by each waste package locally, simplifying thermal management. There would be some flexibility to decrease the package spacing or increase the emplacement thermal power limit Backfilling emplaced waste packages immediately with mine-run crushed salt would provide shielding and expedite reconsolidation. This arrangement would isolate adjacent waste packages from one another by the intervening backfill, especially after it reconsolidates and its properties approach those of intact salt. After the repository is fully loaded and the performance confirmation program is complete, activities to permanently close the repository would be initiated. During closure operations all openings in the host salt would be backfilled, then shafts would be sealed, and boreholes plugged. Plans for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) show how sealing and plugging could be done. A monitoring program could continue for 50 years or longer after repository closure. With an emplacement thermal power limit of 10 kW per waste package, nearly all the CSNF that is projected to be produced by the current fleet of reactors in the U.S. could be emplaced over a period of approximately 50 years starting in calendar 2048. No barriers to implementation in a reasonable timeframe have been identified from this generic analysis. Engineering challenges include: 1) shaft construction; 2) a very-large capacity shaft hoist; 3) overpack design; 4) a transport-emplacement-vehicle (TEV) for transporting waste packages once they are underground and emplacing them remotely; and 5) remotely operated equipment for emplacing backfill. The method of shaft construction would depend on site-specific conditions, and could involve freezing the subsurface. A shaft hoist with payload capacity of 175 MT seems technically and economically feasible based on development work in Germany, and it would be the largest hoist of its kind. The function of disposal overpacks would be to provide reliable containment during repository operations, which could be accomplished using a corrosion allowance material such as a low-carbon steel. Development effort would be needed to determine overpack thickness (e.g., 7 to 20 cm) that can resist corrosion and loading from salt creep, to rovide containment throughout the repository operational period. The transport-emplacement vehicle (TEV) would be similar to previous concepts, particularly one option proposed for a Yucca Mountain repository. It would move over a rough salt floor on independently driven and steered wheels, and carry heavy shielding in addition to a waste package. By analogy to the safety case for the WIPP in New Mexico, human intrusion is likely to be the dominant mode of radionuclide release from the repository. Treatment of human intrusion for a CSNF repository in salt could depend on promulgation of site-specific changes in the regulations. Radionuclide release and migration would be quite limited for undisturbed conditions. There may be opportunities for improved understanding of salt performance with waste heating, based on future in situ testing in an underground salt research laboratory. This report also discusses a developing area of salt rock mechanics that involves low-stress, low strain-rate creep that might cause large, heavy waste packages to slowly sink. Site-specific sampling, testing, and modeling would be used to determine if the mechanism is important enough to merit consideration in design, or inclusion in performance assessment. Part of engineering design and postclosure safety assessment for a CSNF repository in salt would be to implement a methodology to show that the probability of a criticality event in the repository, when waste packages eventually breach and are flooded, is less than the probability screening threshold for performance assessment. In the methodology, a criticality analysis would be performed for waste packages in the repository, incorporating measures that could be introduced as needed to limit reactivity, for example using fuel selection and loading rules, and crediting the absorption of thermal neutrons by natural chlorine in the environment. A similar analysis has been underway for CSNF stored in dual-purpose canisters. Ideally the strategy would be developed prior to actually loading SNF assemblies into canisters used in waste packages for disposal.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗