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County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 5 Appendix D—Forecast Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature.

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

HTS Transformer Windings Design Using Distributive Ratios for Minimization of Short Circuit Forces

High-temperature superconducting (HTS) transformers have a promising feature in reduction of total weight, total size, and the losses of large-scale distribution transformers. However, the lower leakage reactance of HTS transformers results in a higher short-circuit fault currents and electromagnetic forces. Therefore, optimization of short-circuit electromagnetic forces is one of the crucial aspects in the design of HTS transformers. In this paper, a novel analytical method is proposed for determination of optimum distributive ratios resulting in minimization of these forces for asymmetrical multi-segment windings of an HTS transformer. Employing these distributive ratios, radial and axial components of short-circuit electromagnetic forces in an HTS transformer are significantly reduced. Two- and three-dimensional (2D and 3D) finite element method (FEM) simulations are employed to verify the analytical method results.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Low-rank Sachdev-Ye-Kitaev models

Motivated by recent proposals of experimental realization of fast scramblers, we study a family of solvable variants of the ($\textit{q}$ = 4) Sachdev-Ye-Kitaev model in which the rank and eigenvalue distribution of the coupling matrix $J_{ ij,kl}$ are tuneable. When the rank is proportional to the number of fermions, the low temperature behavior is sensitive to the eigenvalue distribution. We obtain a complete classification of the possible non-Fermi liquid quantum phases. These include two previously studied phases whose fermion scaling dimension depends continuously on the rank; we show that they are maximally chaotic, but necessitate an extensively degenerate or negative semidefinite coupling matrix. In this work, more generic distributions give rise to “almost Fermi liquids” with a scaling dimension Δ = 1/2, but which differ from a genuine Fermi liquid in quasiparticle decay rate, quantum Lyapunov exponent, and/or specific heat.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Production of heavy sterile neutrinos from vector boson decay at electroweak temperatures

Here, in the standard model extended with a seesaw mass matrix, we study the production of sterile neutrinos from the decay of vector bosons at temperatures near the masses of the electroweak bosons. We derive a general quantum kinetic equation for the production of sterile neutrinos and their effective mixing angles, which is applicable over a wide range of temperature, to all orders in interactions of the standard model and to leading order in a small mixing angle for the neutrinos. We emphasize the relation between the production rate and Landau damping at one-loop order and show that production rates and effective mixing angles depend sensitively upon the neutrino’s helicity. Sterile neutrinos with positive helicity interact more weakly with the medium than those with negative helicity, and their effective mixing angle is not modified significantly. Negative helicity states couple more strongly to the vector bosons, but their mixing angle is strongly suppressed by the medium. Consequently, if the mass of the sterile neutrino is ≲ 8.35 MeV , there are fewer states with negative helicity produced than those with positive helicity. There is an Mikheyev-Smirnov-Wolfenstein-type resonance in the absence of lepton asymmetry, but due to screening by the damping rate, the production rate is not enhanced. Sterile neutrinos with negative helicity freeze out at T$-\atop{f}$ ≃ 5 GeV , whereas positive helicity neutrinos freeze out at T$+\atop{f}$≃ 8 GeV , with both distributions far from thermal. As the temperature decreases, due to competition between a decreasing production rate and an increasing mixing angle, the distribution function for states with negative helicity is broader in momentum and hotter than that for those with positive helicity. Sterile neutrinos produced via vector boson decay do not satisfy the abundance, lifetime, and cosmological constraints to be the sole dark matter component in the Universe. Massive sterile neutrinos produced via vector boson decay might solve the 7 Li problem, albeit at the very edge of the possible parameter space. A heavy sterile neutrino with a mass of a few MeV could decay into light sterile neutrinos, of a few keV in mass, that contribute to warm dark matter. In conclusion, we argue that heavy sterile neutrinos with lifetime ≤1/H 0 reach local thermodynamic equilibrium.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Formation of the Conducting Filament in TaO x -Resistive Switching Devices by Thermal-Gradient-Induced Cation Accumulation

Here, the distribution of tantalum and oxygen ions in electroformed and/or switched TaO x -based resistive switching devices has been assessed by high-angle annular dark-field microscopy, X-ray energy-dispersive spectroscopy, and electron energy-loss spectroscopy. The experiments have been performed in the plan-view geometry on the cross-bar devices producing elemental distribution maps in the direction perpendicular to the electric field. The maps revealed an accumulation of +20% Ta in the inner part of the filament with a 3.5% Ta-depleted ring around it. The diameter of the entire structure was approximately 100 nm. The distribution of oxygen was uniform with changes, if any, below the detection limit of 5%. We interpret the elemental segregation as due to diffusion driven by the temperature gradient, which in turn is induced by the spontaneous current constriction associated with the negative differential resistance-type I–V characteristics of the as-fabricated metal/oxide/metal structures. A finite-element model was used to evaluate the distribution of temperature in the devices and correlated with the elemental maps. In addition, a fine-scale (~5 nm) intensity contrast was observed within the filament and interpreted as due phase separation of the functional oxide in the two-phase composition region. Understanding the temperature-gradient-induced phenomena is central to the engineering of oxide memory cells.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

KINETIC ALFVÉN WAVE GENERATION BY LARGE-SCALE PHASE MIXING

One view of the solar wind turbulence is that the observed highly anisotropic fluctuations at spatial scales near the proton inertial length d{sub p} may be considered as kinetic Alfvén waves (KAWs). In the present paper, we show how phase mixing of large-scale parallel-propagating Alfvén waves is an efficient mechanism for the production of KAWs at wavelengths close to d{sub p} and at a large propagation angle with respect to the magnetic field. Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD), Hall magnetohydrodynamic (HMHD), and hybrid Vlasov–Maxwell (HVM) simulations modeling the propagation of Alfvén waves in inhomogeneous plasmas are performed. In the linear regime, the role of dispersive effects is singled out by comparing MHD and HMHD results. Fluctuations produced by phase mixing are identified as KAWs through a comparison of polarization of magnetic fluctuations and wave-group velocity with analytical linear predictions. In the nonlinear regime, a comparison of HMHD and HVM simulations allows us to point out the role of kinetic effects in shaping the proton-distribution function. We observe the generation of temperature anisotropy with respect to the local magnetic field and the production of field-aligned beams. The regions where the proton-distribution function highly departs from thermal equilibrium are located inside the shear layers, where the KAWs are excited, this suggesting that the distortions of the proton distribution are driven by a resonant interaction of protons with KAW fluctuations. Our results are relevant in configurations where magnetic-field inhomogeneities are present, as, for example, in the solar corona, where the presence of Alfvén waves has been ascertained.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Implementation of an Orificing Optimization Algorithm in the DASSH Subchannel Analysis Code

The Ducted Assembly Steady-State Heat transfer code (DASSH) performs full-core subchannel thermal hydraulics calculations in liquid metal fast reactors. One of the applications of subchannel codes is to optimize coolant flow orificing. As a design activity, the primary task is to determine the best way to divide assemblies into groups and distribute coolant flow rates among them. This report documents an algorithm implemented in DASSH to automatically optimize coolant orificing. Over the course of multiple iterations, DASSH determines the orifice grouping and flow distribution that minimizes peak coolant, clad, or fuel temperatures across all timesteps for a user-specified number of assembly groups. The total coolant flow rate in the reactor is constrained to achieve the specified core-average outlet temperature. The flow rate to each orifice group may also be constrained by the allowable pressure drop. The distribution of coolant flow among groups is accelerated using a predictor-corrector algorithm based on interpolated results from single-assembly parametric calculations. The assembly orificing grouping is initially predicted based on assembly power but can be refined if results demonstrate that an assembly would fit better in another group. The algorithm is demonstrated with two case studies. The first is a simple model for a reactor core consisting of just fuel assemblies; the pin power distributions are specified to create a situation where the initial assembly grouping prediction is suboptimal. This example is used to describe the initial grouping, demonstrate convergence over multiple iterations, and highlight the impact of regrouping. Then, the algorithm is applied to minimize peak clad and fuel temperatures in an example sodium-cooled fast reactor, the Versatile Test Reactor. The multicycle optimization confirms prior calculations for the reference core design. The example highlights how optimizing for different peak temperatures affects the results and demonstrates the use of the pressure drop constraint to limit the maximum flow rate.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Ab initio molecular dynamics simulation of liquid water by quantum Monte Carlo

Although liquid water is ubiquitous in chemical reactions at roots of life and climate on the earth, the prediction of its properties by high-level ab initio molecular dynamics simulations still represents a formidable task for quantum chemistry. In this article, we present a room temperature simulation of liquid water based on the potential energy surface obtained by a many-body wave function through quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods. The simulated properties are in good agreement with recent neutron scattering and X-ray experiments, particularly concerning the position of the oxygen-oxygen peak in the radial distribution function, at variance of previous density functional theory attempts. Given the excellent performances of QMC on large scale supercomputers, this work opens new perspectives for predictive and reliable ab initio simulations of complex chemical systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Renormalized theory of ion temperature gradient instability of the magnetic-field-aligned plasma shear flow with hot ions

The developed kinetic theory for the stability of a magnetic-field-aligned (parallel) shear flow with inhomogeneous ion temperature [Mikhailenko et al., Phys. Plasmas 21, 072117 (2014)] predicted that a kinetic instability arises from the coupled reinforcing action of the flow velocity shear and ion temperature gradient in the cases where comparable ion and electron temperatures exist. In the present paper, the nonlinear theory was developed for the instability caused by the combined effects of ion-temperature-gradient and shear-flow (ITG–SF). The level of the electrostatic turbulence is determined for the saturation state of the instability on the basis of the nonlinear dispersion equation, which accounts for a nonlinear scattering of ions by the developed turbulence in a sheared flow. The renormalized quasilinear equation for the ion distribution function, which accounts for the turbulent scattering of ions by ITG–SF driven turbulence, was derived and employed for the estimation of the turbulent ion viscosity, the anomalous ion thermal conductivity, and anomalous ion heating rate at the saturation state of the instability.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Thermomechanical Stress and Creep-Fatigue Analysis of a High-Temperature Prototype Receiver for Heating Particles

This work presents a three-dimensional (3D) thermomechanical model of a prototype-scale enclosed light trapping solar receiver for heating particles. Results of the thermoelastic model are used to estimate receiver lifetime under maximum flux conditions. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model is first developed to predict the temperature fields in a multi-panel assembly under steady operating conditions. Solar flux distributions on the receiver are obtained from the software package SolTrace and applied to the 3D thermal model. The subsequent particle heating is captured through a simplified 1D energy balance. Panel reradiation is considered through a surface-to-surface radiation model and natural convection loss to the surrounding air is captured in a representative fluid domain surrounding the receiver. The resulting temperature fields from the CFD analysis are used as inputs for a thermoelastic mechanical model with representative boundary conditions. With the resultant temperature and stress fields, a creep-fatigue damage and lifetime analysis is performed using the linear damage accumulation (LDA) theory. The Manson-Coffin formula and Larson Miller correlation are used to calculate the fatigue and creep, respectively. A maximum damage (corresponding to a 30-year service life) is defined for design assessment. The model was first developed and verified in detail by comparing with published results in the literature (temperature and stress profiles and distributions, and creep/fatigue damage fractions) for tubular solar receivers with supercritical carbon dioxide as the working fluid. It was then implemented to model a planar-cavity receiver with various design parameters. Specifically, three different design geometries are considered, and the results show that a maximum temperature of approximately 1200 K could be reached for each design with the given incident solar flux, with the main difference being the distribution of these temperatures. Preliminary resulting stresses for the small-scale prototype without design optimization vary from 20 MPa to 250 MPa for each design, with the maximum stresses occurring on the front face and concave geometry on the side of the panel. In future work, the developed methodology shown here will be applied to analyze a full-scale (50-150 MWth) receiver.

concentrated solar power↗

Local Heat Transfer Measurements in Cooler for sCO2 Power Cycles with Dilute Nitrogen and Argon Impurities

An experimental investigation of heat transfer in CO2 and CO2/N2 and CO2/argon mixtures undergoing cooling near the pseudocritical temperature has been conducted. The conditions are representative of direct sCO2 cycle coolers. Three tubing test articles were tested: conventional drawn tubing, an additively manufactured tube with a square cross section, and an additively manufactured tube with a square cross section and ribs angled 60° relative to the flow direction. The axial heat transfer coefficient distribution was determined with local wall temperature measurements. This work concludes that dilute concentrations (< 2%) of nitrogen and argon have a negligible impact on heat transfer coefficient and on friction factor.

Searle, Matthew↗

On uniform plasma generation for the large area plasma processing in intermediate pressures

Radial plasma discharge characteristics in the range of 450 mm were studied in a dual inductively coupled plasma (ICP) source, which consisted of a helical ICP and the side type ferrite ICPs. Since the energy relaxation length is shorter than the distance between each of the ferrite ICPs in an intermediate pressure (600 mTorr), local difference in the plasma ignition along the antenna position were observed. In addition, large voltage drop in the discharge of the ferrite ICPs causes an increase in the displacement current to the plasma, and separate discharge mode (E and H mode) according to the antenna position was observed. This results in non-uniform plasma distribution. For the improvement in the discharge of the ferrite ICPs, a capacitor which is placed between the ends of antenna and the ground is adjusted to minimize the displacement current to the plasma. As a result, coincident transitions from E to H mode were observed along the antenna position, and radially concave density profile (edge focused) was measured. For the uniform density distribution, a helical ICP, which located at the center of the discharge chamber, was simultaneously discharged with the ferrite ICPs. Due to the plasma potential variation through the simultaneous discharge of helical ICP and ferrite ICPs, uniform radial distribution in both plasma density and electron temperature are achieved.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Temperature dependence of the photodissociation of CO 2 from high vibrational levels: 205-230 nm imaging studies of CO(X 1 Σ + ) and O( 3 P, 1 D) products

In this paper, the 205-230 nm photodissociation of vibrationally excited CO 2 at temperatures up to 1800 K was studied using Resonance Enhanced Multiphoton Ionization (REMPI) and time-sliced Velocity Map Imaging (VMI). CO 2 molecules seeded in He were heated in an SiC tube attached to a pulsed valve and supersonically expanded to create a molecular beam of rotationally cooled but vibrationally hot CO 2 . Photodissociation was observed from vibrationally excited CO 2 with internal energies up to about 20 000 cm -1 , and CO(X 1 Σ + ), O( 3 P), and O( 1 D) products were detected by REMPI. The large enhancement in the absorption cross section with increasing CO 2 vibrational excitation made this investigation feasible. The internal energies of heated CO 2 molecules that absorbed 230 nm radiation were estimated from the kinetic energy release (KER) distributions of CO(X 1 Σ + ) products in v" = 0. At 230 nm, CO 2 needs to have at least 4000 cm -1 of rovibrational energy to absorb the UV radiation and produce CO(X 1 Σ + ) + O( 3 P). CO 2 internal energies in excess of 16 000 cm -1 were confirmed by observing O( 1 D) products. It is likely that initial absorption from levels with high bending excitation accesses both the A 1 B 2 and B 1 A 2 states, explaining the nearly isotropic angular distributions of the products. CO(X 1 Σ + ) product internal energies were estimated from REMPI spectroscopy, and the KER distributions of the CO(X 1 Σ + ), O( 3 P), and O( 1 D) products were obtained by VMI. The CO product internal energy distributions change with increasing CO 2 temperature, suggesting that more than one dynamical pathway is involved when the internal energy of CO 2 (and the corresponding available energy) increases. The KER distributions of O( 1 D) and O( 3 P) show broad internal energy distributions in the CO(X 1 Σ + ) cofragment, extending up to the maximum allowed by energy but peaking at low KER values. Finally, although not all the observations can be explained at this time, with the aid of available theoretical studies of CO 2 VUV photodissociation and O + CO recombination, it is proposed that following UV absorption, the two lowest lying triplet states, a 3 B 2 and b 3 A 2 , and the ground electronic state are involved in the dynamical pathways that lead to product formation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Heterogeneous Polymer Dynamics Explored Using Static 1H NMR Spectra

NMR spectroscopy continues to provide important molecular level details of dynamics in different polymer materials, ranging from rubbers to highly crosslinked composites. It has been argued that thermoset polymers containing dynamic and chemical heterogeneities can be fully cured at temperatures well below the final glass transition temperature (Tg). In this paper, we described the use of static solid-state 1H NMR spectroscopy to measure the activation of different chain dynamics as a function of temperature. Near Tg, increasing polymer segmental chain fluctuations lead to dynamic averaging of the local homonuclear proton-proton (1H-1H) dipolar couplings, as reflected in the reduction of the NMR line shape second moment (M2) when motions are faster than the magnitude of the dipolar coupling. In general, for polymer systems, distributions in the dynamic correlation times are commonly expected. To help identify the limitations and pitfalls of M2 analyses, the impact of activation energy or, equivalently, correlation time distributions, on the analysis of 1H NMR M2 temperature variations is explored. It is shown by using normalized reference curves that the distributions in dynamic activation energies can be measured from the M2 temperature behavior. An example of the M2 analysis for a series of thermosetting polymers with systematically varied dynamic heterogeneity is presented and discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Grid Interactive Micro-Distributed Refrigerated Display Case

Open-vertical medium-temperature refrigerated display cases comprise nearly 50% of total case lineups in a typical supermarket, with more than 80% of their cooling load attributed to infiltration of warm and moist air from the surrounding space. The infiltration takes place across the air curtain system of the display case. While the air curtain acts as a thermal shield and as a cooling mechanism to maintain product temperature, it also entrains large amounts of heat and moisture from the adjacent space. Additionally, from food safety and quality standpoints, these fixtures are vulnerable to electric outages and traditionally cannot participate in load flexibility events. This paper describes key features of an innovative design of a self-contained, water-cooled, medium-temperature, open-vertical display case. The novel concept will eliminate the inefficient air curtain system and incorporate a hybrid radiant and low-airflow convective cooling design with a thermal-energy-storage-coupled heat exchanger integrated into the refrigeration circuit. The focus of this paper is on evaluating the thermal performance of the novel hybrid design in maintaining target product temperature. It presents thermal performance findings from thermo-fluid system modeling and robust state-of-the-art laboratory experiments used to validate those models. Load flexibility attributes from thermal energy storage are not discussed. A controlled-environment chamber at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory was leveraged to validate the thermal performance of the novel technology. Final results from bench-scale experiments indicate the proposed design maintained mean product temperatures within food safety guidelines.

commercial refrigeration↗

A review of coarse mineral dust in the Earth system

Mineral dust particles suspended in the atmosphere span more than three orders of magnitude in diameter, from <0.1 µm to more than 100 µm. This wide size range makes dust a unique aerosol species with the ability to interact with many aspects of the Earth system, including radiation, clouds, hydrology, atmospheric chemistry, and biogeochemistry. This review focuses on coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols, which we respectively define as dust particles with a diameter of 2.5–10 µm and 10–62.5 µm. We review several lines of observational evidence indicating that coarse and super-coarse dust particles are transported farther than previously expected and that the abundance of these particles is substantially underestimated in current global models. We synthesize previous studies that used observations, theories, and model simulations to highlight the impacts of coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols on the Earth system, including their effects on dust-radiation interactions, dust-cloud interactions, atmospheric chemistry, and biogeochemistry. Specifically, coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols produce a net positive direct radiative effect (warming) at the top of the atmosphere and can modify temperature and water vapor profiles, influencing the distribution of clouds and precipitation. In addition, coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols contribute a substantial fraction of ice-nucleating particles, especially at temperatures above –23 °C. They also contribute a substantial fraction to the available reactive surfaces for atmospheric processing and the dust deposition flux that impacts land and ocean biogeochemistry by supplying important nutrients such as iron and phosphorus. Furthermore, we examine several limitations in the representation of coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols in current model simulations and remote-sensing retrievals. Because these limitations substantially contribute to the uncertainties in simulating the abundance and impacts of coarse and super-coarse dust aerosols, we offer some recommendations to facilitate future studies. Overall, we conclude that an accurate representation of coarse and super-coarse properties is critical in understanding the impacts of dust aerosols on the Earth system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Theory and implementation of a very high throughput true random number generator in field programmable gate array

The contribution of this paper is proposing a new entropy extraction mechanism based on sampling phase jitter in ring oscillators to make a high throughput true random number generator in a field programmable gate array (FPGA) practical. Starting from experimental observation and analysis of the entropy source in FPGA, a multi-phase sampling method is exploited to harvest the clock jitter with a maximum entropy and fast sampling speed. This parametrized design is implemented in a Xilinx Artix-7 FPGA, where the carry chains in the FPGA are explored to realize the precise phase shifting. The generator circuit is simple and resource-saving, so that multiple generation channels can run in parallel to scale the output throughput for specific applications. The prototype integrates 64 circuit units in the FPGA to provide a total output throughput of 7.68 Gbps, which meets the requirement of current high-speed quantum key distribution systems. The randomness evaluation, as well as its robustness to ambient temperature, confirms that the new method in a purely digital fashion can provide high-speed high-quality random bit sequences for a variety of embedded applications.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

High dopant activation in arsenic doped single-crystal CdTe thin films: Insights from MBE growth and rapid thermal processing

Single-crystal model systems are valuable tools to investigate fundamental material properties. In this work, we use molecular beam epitaxy to deposit in situ arsenic (As) doped single-crystal CdTe films on large area Si substrates to better understand As doping for photovoltaic applications. We found that As incorporation is highly temperature dependent: a substrate temperature difference of 50 °C can lead to several orders of magnitude difference in As concentration. Cd overpressure during in situ doping may limit out-diffusion of As but decrease As incorporation, especially at lower growth temperatures. Carrier concentrations greater than 10 16 cm −3 can be achieved with or without Cd overpressure when annealed at temperatures above 500 °C. However, unlike the low (∼1% to 5%) dopant activation commonly observed in polycrystalline CdTe, our films achieve significantly higher activation ratios—exceeding 50%, and in some cases approaching 80%. These values are consistent with or exceed prior reports in single-crystal CdTe systems. In addition to as-deposited arsenic concentrations, we also consider arsenic distribution after different rapid thermal processing temperatures. We propose a detailed definition and description of how arsenic incorporation is considered and calculated. Due to carrier concentration saturation, As incorporation also needs to be controlled to average levels of 10 17 cm −3 to achieve high activation. These findings suggest that higher annealing temperature regimes may be beneficial to polycrystalline CdTe based PV devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗