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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,513 records · Page 84

Machine learning-based surrogate modeling for data-driven optimization: a comparison of subset selection for regression techniques

Optimization of simulation-based or data-driven systems is a challenging task, which has attracted significant attention in the recent literature. A very efficient approach for optimizing systems without analytical expressions is through fitting surrogate models. Due to their increased flexibility, nonlinear interpolating functions, such as radial basis functions and Kriging, have been predominantly used as surrogates for data-driven optimization; however, these methods lead to complex nonconvex formulations. Alternatively, commonly used regression-based surrogates lead to simpler formulations, but they are less flexible and inaccurate if the form is not known a priori. In this work, we investigate the efficiency of subset selection regression techniques for developing surrogate functions that balance both accuracy and complexity. Subset selection creates sparse regression models by selecting only a subset of original features, which are linearly combined to generate a diverse set of surrogate models. Five different subset selection techniques are compared with commonly used nonlinear interpolating surrogate functions with respect to optimization solution accuracy, computation time, sampling requirements, and model sparsity. Furthermore, our results indicate that subset selection-based regression functions exhibit promising performance when the dimensionality is low, while interpolation performs better for higher dimensional problems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cryogenic energy storage: Standalone design, rigorous optimization and techno-economic analysis

Energy storage allows flexible use and management of excess electricity and intermittently available renewable energy. Cryogenic energy storage (CES) is a promising storage alternative with a high technology readiness level and maturity, but the round-trip efficiency is often moderate and the Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) remains high. The complex flowsheets with intricate thermodynamics at cryogenic temperatures as well as the presence of multiple loops and refrigeration cycles pose considerable challenges for rigorous model-based design and optimization of CES systems. We present an optimization strategy that couples rigorous process simulation and Bayesian optimization with flowsheet decomposition and identification of hidden coupling constraints to optimally design standalone CES systems. Further refinement is done via a local search using the limited-memory Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno algorithm. Here our results indicate that it is possible to achieve more than 52% round-trip efficiency and an LCOS of $153/MWh for a standalone 100 MW/400 MWh CES system limited to short-term storage with daily charging–discharging. However, a detailed techno-economic assessment reveals that the LCOS considering total capital investment may exceed $267/MWh when all direct and indirect costs of installation and operation are considered.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Technoeconomic optimization of superalloy supercritical CO 2 microtube shell-and-tube-heat exchangers

Heat exchangers are critical components of aerospace systems and improve efficiency of operation by providing waste heat recovery. Supercritical CO has emerged as a promising candidate working fluid due to its potential in increasing the power density of heat exchangers. In this paper, a generalized costing model is developed to estimate the capital costs incurred to manufacture microtube shell-and-tube heat exchangers. This model is utilized in conjunction with an accurate and efficient 2D numerical shell-and-tube heat exchanger performance prediction model to conduct optimization studies with two key objectives – minimization of cost and maximization of heat exchanger power density – on supercritical CO microtube heat exchangers utilizing superalloy Haynes 282 as the solid material. A methodology is then demonstrated to optimize these heat exchangers using Particle Swarm Optimization for aerospace applications and highly compact and cost-effective optimal designs with power density around 20 and cost per conductance less than 5 $ ∙ K/W are obtained.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Refractory-based thermal energy storage for industrial process heat: one-dimensional modeling, control, and optimization

The variable and weather-dependent output of wind and solar power plants present a substantial challenge for planning and operating electricity-systems, particularly in the absence of cost-effective and dispatchable energy storage technologies. This study investigates a high-temperature, electrically heated, refractory-based thermal energy storage (RTES) system that stores electrical energy as sensible heat in dense ceramic bricks over the 950–1800 °C range. The stored heat can be discharged as a controlled hot-gas stream for industrial heating, fuel substitution in high-temperature processes, or electricity generation. The main novelty is a comprehensive modelling, control, mapping, and optimization framework that integrates one-dimensional transient gas–solid heat transfer, fan-assisted discharge, bypass-flow regulation, reheating logic, fan-power evaluation, insulation-loss assessment, and genetic-algorithm-based design optimization. The model uses feedback from outlet temperature and delivered power to regulate discharge, while a two-stage genetic algorithm optimizes brick-channel geometry, gas-flow operation, and multilayer insulation thicknesses. Storage capacities below 50 MWh and discharge powers of 5–30 MW are analyzed to evaluate hold time, thermal delivery, fan-power penalty, heat loss, state-of-charge evolution, and indicative capital cost. Results demonstrate that optimized and well-insulated refractory-based thermal energy storage units can provide stable, efficient, and repeatable heat delivery over multiple discharge cycles. The generated performance and cost maps support modular refractory thermal energy storage as a practical option for large-scale integration of wind and solar generation and for high-temperature industrial process heat.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian method for stochastic optimization with deterministic constraints

The primary goal of this paper is to provide an efficient solution algorithm based on the augmented Lagrangian framework for optimization problems with a stochastic objective function and deterministic constraints. Our main contribution is combining the augmented Lagrangian framework with adaptive sampling, resulting in an efficient optimization methodology validated with practical examples. To achieve the presented efficiency, here we consider inexact solutions for the augmented Lagrangian subproblems, and through an adaptive sampling mechanism, we control the variance in the gradient estimates. Furthermore, we analyze the theoretical performance of the proposed scheme by showing equivalence to a gradient descent algorithm on a Moreau envelope function, and we prove sublinear convergence for convex objectives and linear convergence for strongly convex objectives with affine equality constraints. The worst-case sample complexity of the resulting algorithm, for an arbitrary choice of penalty parameter in the augmented Lagrangian function, is $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -3-δ ) , where ϵ > 0 is the expected error of the solution and δ > 0 is a user-defined parameter. If the penalty parameter is chosen to be $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 ), we demonstrate that the result can be improved to $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -2 ) , which is competitive with the other methods employed in the literature. Moreover, if the objective function is strongly convex with affine equality constraints, we obtain $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 log(1/ϵ)) complexity. Finally, we empirically verify the performance of our adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian framework in machine learning optimization and engineering design problems, including topology optimization of a heat sink with environmental uncertainty.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Relaxations of the steady optimal gas flow problem for a non-Ideal gas

Natural gas ranks second in U.S. primary energy consumption. Because most production sites are remote, gas must be transported through pipeline networks equipped with compressors, valves, and other components. For both economic efficiency and system reliability, it is desirable to operate these networks optimally. The governing physics across pipeline components entails nonlinear, non-convex equality and inequality constraints, and the most general steady-flow operations problem is a Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Program (MINLP).This work focuses on one such steady-flow problem-the Optimal Gas Flow (OGF) for a natural gas pipeline network-which minimizes production cost subject to the steady-flow physics. For day-to-day operations, the ability to quickly compute a globally optimal solution and a strong lower bound for varying demand profiles is crucial. A promising strategy is to build tight relaxations of the OGF’s nonlinear constraints. However, many nonlinearities arising from non-ideal equations of state either lack relaxations or have relaxations that do not scale to realistic network sizes. We address this gap by combining recent advances in polyhedral relaxations for univariate functions to construct tight, computationally efficient relaxations of the OGF with a non-ideal equation of state. These relaxations solve within seconds on a standard laptop. In conclusion, we demonstrate their quality through extensive numerical experiments on very large-scale test networks from the literature and find that the proposed approach proves optimality in 92% of tested instances.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Machine learning-based surrogate models and transfer learning for derivative free optimization of HT-PEM fuel cells

Widespread adoption of high-temperature polymer electrolyte membrane electrochemical systems, such as fuel cells (HT-PEMFCs), requires models and computational tools for accurate optimization and guiding new materials for enhancing performance and durability. In this contribution, knowledge-based modelling and data-driven modelling are combined using Few-Shot Learning and implementing an Automated Machine Learning framework for the generation of Machine Learning-based surrogate models. Applicability of the resulting model for derivative-free optimization is demonstrated. Additionally, a way of considering extrapolation in the optimization task is presented. Results show that although extrapolation is needed to achieve better solutions during optimization, it can be monitored and managed. As a result, tuning the electrode ionomer binder's properties, such as ionic conductivity, in the fuel cell represents a promising pathway for improving HT-PEMFC performance.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Measure this, not that: Optimizing the cost and model-based information content of measurements

Model-based design of experiments (MBDoE) is a powerful framework for selecting and calibrating science-based mathematical models from data. Here, this work extends popular MBDoE workflows by proposing a convex mixed integer (non)linear programming (MINLP) to optimize the selection of measurements. The solver MindtPy is modified to support calculating the D-optimality objective and its gradient via an external package, scipy, using the grey-box module in Pyomo. The new approach is demonstrated in two case studies: estimating highly correlated kinetics from a batch reactor and estimating transport parameters in a large-scale rotary packed bed for CO 2 capture. Both case studies show how examining the Pareto optimal trade-offs between information content measured by A- and D-optimality versus measurement budget offers practical guidance for selecting measurements for scientific experiments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Optimal Design and Operation of Intensified Absorbers with 3D-Printed Packing for Solvent-Based CO 2 Capture

Many potential solvent-based carbon capture processes suffer from a high heat of absorption of CO 2 that adversely affects the thermodynamic driving force. While interstage coolers are often used for removing a portion of the generated heat by removing the solvent or a portion of the solvent from a stage and cooling and returning it back to the absorber, they can be placed only at discrete locations in the tower. This work investigates intensified absorbers with 3D-printed packing that includes an internal cooler and therefore can be potentially used for maximizing the operational efficiency of the absorbers for CO 2 capture. The intensified absorber is modeled by using a generic, first-principles, equation-oriented absorber column model. Since the placement of these intensified packings would cause a loss of area/volume used for mass transfer, optimization of the proposed intensified absorber is performed by optimally selecting the locations at which to place these devices and designing them such that the trade-off due to the addition of the heat removal area and the resulting loss in the mass transfer area is accounted for. Results show that optimally placed and designed intensified packings can lead to a significant increase in the capture efficiency of the process in comparison to a similar column with no internal cooling. It is also observed that by optimally placing and designing intensified packings, the lean solvent flow rate to the absorber can be decreased, and the CO 2 lean loading can be increased while still maintaining the same capture efficiency. These process changes can lead to a substantial reduction in the cost of capture.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Optimizing the HSX stellarator for microinstability by coil-current adjustments

Abstract The optimization of helically symmetric experiment (HSX) for reduced microinstability has been achieved by examining a large set of configurations within a neighborhood of the standard operating configuration. This entailed generating a database of more than 10 6 magnetic-field configurations for HSX by varying the currents in external coils. Using a set of volume-averaged metrics and gyrokinetic simulations, this database has helped to identify a set of configurations that can be used to regulate trapped-electron-mode stability in HSX. This set of configurations is also found to correlate flux-surface elongation and triangularity with an increase in magnetic-well depth, an increase in rotational transform, and low neoclassical heat-flux relative to the standard quasi-helically-symmetric configuration. These results demonstrate sensitivity of plasma behavior in response to changes in a 3D magnetic field to both neoclassical and gyrokinetic models, and the experimental potential in HSX to explore turbulence optimization. This perturbative optimization approach is not unique to HSX, and can readily be deployed on existing fusion devices to identify novel magnetic-fields to be used in turbulence-optimization experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Comparing three generations of D-Wave quantum annealers for minor embedded combinatorial optimization problems

Abstract Quantum annealing (QA) is a novel type of analog computation that aims to use quantum mechanical fluctuations to search for optimal solutions of Ising problems. QA in the transverse Ising model, implemented on D-Wave quantum processing units, are available as cloud computing resources. In this study we report concise benchmarks across three generations of D-Wave quantum annealers, consisting of four different devices, for the NP-hard discrete combinatorial optimization problems unweighted maximum clique and unweighted maximum cut on random graphs. The Ising, or equivalently quadratic unconstrained binary optimization, formulation of these problems do not require auxiliary variables for order reduction, and their overall structure and weights are not highly variable, which makes these problems simple test cases to understand the sampling capability of current D-Wave quantum annealers. All-to-all minor embeddings of size 52, with relatively uniform chain lengths, are used for a direct comparison across the Chimera, Pegasus, and Zephyr device topologies. A grid-search over annealing times and the minor embedding chain strengths is performed in order to determine the level of reasonable performance for each device and problem type. Experiment metrics that are reported are approximation ratios for non-broken chain samples, chain break proportions, and time-to-solution for the maximum clique problem instances. How fairly the quantum annealers sample optimal maximum cliques, for instances which contain multiple maximum cliques, is quantified using entropy of the measured ground state distributions. The newest generation of quantum annealing hardware, which has a Zephyr hardware connectivity, performed the best overall with respect to approximation ratios and chain break frequencies.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Optimal Variable Switching Frequency Scheme to Reduce Loss of Single-Phase Grid-Connected Inverter With Unipolar and Bipolar PWM

Reducing the power loss of a converter without increasing its volume or cost in hardware has always been a much sought-after but challenging goal. This article proposes a comprehensive variable switching frequency (VSF) scheme to improve the overall system efficiency while still meeting a given total harmonic distortion (THD) requirement without any hardware changes, achieved only by changes to the controller. In this article, it is analyzed that for the H-bridge inverter, the inductor copper loss and the switch conduction loss are independent of the switching frequency (SF), while the device switching loss and the inductor core loss are functions of the SF. This article aims at weighting the combined switching loss and inductor core loss for both the unipolar and bipolar modulation techniques, with the constraint on the output THD, which, for fixed passive components, is a function of inductor ripple current that in turn depends on the SF. An optimal VSF scheme is devised through rigorous mathematical analysis of the output ripple component and the SF-dependent losses. In each switching cycle, the inductor ripple current is predicted with the circuit parameters, such as duty cycle, switching period, inductance, and dc voltage, and by implementing the VSF scheme, the current ripple is optimally varied such as to satisfy the THD requirement while reducing the SF-dependent losses. A generalized method to design VSF schemes for any topology and specifications is also presented, which would help future users in designing the VSF controller. A 1-kW H-bridge inverter using SiC MOSFETs and powdered iron/ferrite core has been built to validate the theoretical analysis. Both constant SF (CSF) scheme (200 kHz) and optimal VSF scheme with simple controller modification have been implemented in the experimental prototype using DSP TMS320f28335. Compared with the CSF scheme, the optimal VSF scheme shows a significant improvement in the system efficiency at rated power from 94.7%...

conduction loss↗

Robust Optimization for the Day-Ahead Scheduling of Cascaded Hydroelectric Systems

Uncertain electricity prices resulting from the re-structuring of electricity market have brought new opportu-nities and challenges for hydroelectric producers. This paper presents a data-driven robust optimization approach for the day-ahead scheduling of cascaded hydroelectric systems (CHS) with electricity price uncertainty. In this paper, a minimum volume enclosing ellipsoid (MVEE) is adopted to construct an ellipsoidal uncertainty set that fully identifies and exploits the historical characteristics data. Here, a second-order conic optimization formulation of the robust counterpart is derived for efficient computation. A real-world case study is conducted to demonstrate the capability of the proposed optimization approach compared with the traditional robust optimization approach.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Advising Big Data Transfer Over Dedicated Connections Based on Profiling Optimization

Big data transfer in next-generation scientific applications is currently commonly carried out over dedicated channels in high-performance networks (HPNs), where transport protocols play a critical role in maximizing application-level throughput. Optimizing the performance of these protocols is challenging: i) transport protocols perform differently in various network environments, and the protocol choice is not straightforward; ii) even for a given protocol in a given environment, different parameter settings of the protocol may lead to significantly different performance and oftentimes the default setting does not yield the best performance. However, it is prohibitively time-consuming to conduct exhaustive transport profiling due to the large parameter space. In this paper, we propose a PRofiling Optimization Based DAta Transfer Advisor (ProbData) to help end users determine the most effective transport method with the most appropriate parameter settings to achieve satisfactory performance for big data transfer over dedicated connections in HPNs. ProbData employs a fast profiling scheme based on the Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation algorithm, namely, FastProf, to accelerate the exploration of the optimal operational zones of various transport methods to improve profiling efficiency. We first present a theoretical background of the optimized profiling approach in ProbData and then detail its design and implementation. The advising procedure and performance benefits of FastProf and ProbData are illustrated and evaluated by both extensive emulations based on real-life performance measurements and experiments over various physical connections in existing production HPNs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Network-Level Optimization for Unbalanced Power Distribution System: Approximation and Relaxation

The nonlinear programming (NLP) problem to solve distribution-level optimal power flow (D-OPF) poses convergence issues and does not scale well for unbalanced distribution systems. The existing scalable D-OPF algorithms either use approximations that are not valid for an unbalanced power distribution system, or apply relaxation techniques to the nonlinear power flow equations that do not guarantee a feasible power flow solution. In this paper, we propose scalable D-OPF algorithms that simultaneously achieve optimal and feasible solutions by solving multiple iterations of approximate, or relaxed, D-OPF subproblems of low complexity. The first algorithm is based on a successive linear approximation of the nonlinear power flow equations around the current operating point, where the D-OPF solution is obtained by solving multiple iterations of a linear programming (LP) problem. The second algorithm is based on the relaxation of the nonlinear power flow equations as conic constraints together with directional constraints, which achieves optimal and feasible solutions over multiple iterations of a second-order cone programming (SOCP) problem. Finally, it is demonstrated that the proposed algorithms are able to reach an optimal and feasible solution while significantly reducing the computation time as compared to an equivalent NLPD-OPF model for the same distribution system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Optimal Operation of a Plug-In Hybrid Vehicle

In this work, we present a convex optimization control method that has been shown in simulations to increase the fuel efficiency of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle by over 10%. Using information on energy demand and energy use profiles, the problem is defined to preferentially use battery resources sourced from the grid over petroleum resources. We pose the general nonlinear optimal resource management problem over a predetermined route as a convex optimization problem using a reduced model of the vehicle. This problem is computationally efficient enough to be optimized “on the fly” on the on-board vehicle computer and is thus able to adapt to changing vehicle conditions in real time. Lastly, using this reduced model to generate control inputs for the detailed vehicle simulator autonomie, we record efficiency gains of over 10% as compared to the industry standard charge depleting charge sustaining controller over synthetic mixed urban-suburban routes.

02 PETROLEUM↗

GOOML Big Kahuna Forecast Modeling and Genetic Optimization Files

This submission includes example files associated with the Geothermal Operational Optimization using Machine Learning (GOOML) Big Kahuna fictional power plant, which uses synthetic data to model a fictional power plant. A forecast was produced using the GOOML data model framework and fictional input data, and a genetic optimization is included which determines optimal flash plant parameters. The inputs and outputs associated with the forecast and genetic optimization are included. The input and output files consist of data, configuration files, and plots. A link to the Physics-Guided Neural Networks (phygnn) GitHub repository is also included, which augments a traditional neural network loss function with a generic loss term that can be used to guide the neural network to learn physical or theoretical constraints. phygnn is used by the GOOML framework to help integrate its machine learning models into the relevant physics and engineering applications. Note that the data included in this submission are intended to provide a demonstration of GOOML's capabilities. Additional files that have not been released to the public are needed for users to run these models and reproduce these results. Units can be found in the readme data resource.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Demand Response Optimization and Management System for Real-TIme (DROMS-RT)

To design and demonstrate DROMS-RT, a highly distributed Demand Response Optimization and Management System for Real-Time (DROMS-RT) power flow control to support large scale integration of distributed renewable generation into the grid. AutoGrid developed a novel control and communications platform to allow highly dispatchable demand response (DR) services in time frames suitable for providing ancillary services to the transmission grid. These services will be substantially less expensive and more efficient than other forms of ancillary services options currently available to manage the intermittency associated with large-scale renewable integration. DROMSRT successfully leveraged Automated Demand Response (ADR) by fundamentally re-thinking the architecture of the DR platform from the ground up and by developing innovative new technologies in a number of areas related to DR. DROMS-RT leveraged the low-cost, open, interoperable DR signaling technology, OpenADR, and low-cost, internet-protocol based telemetry solutions to reduce the cost of hardware. This allowed DROMS-RT to provide dynamic price signals to millions of OpenADR clients. Statistically rigorous signal processing techniques were developed to reliably detect even small load reductions in the presence of noisy baseline profiles. Novel forecasting engines based on modern online machine learning algorithms enabled accurate individualized forecasts for customer loads in the presence of dynamic pricing signals, and a real-time decision engines enabled continuous optimization and optimal dispatch of DR resources across a large portfolio of heterogeneous loads that respond at varying time-scales. Moreover, the real-time optimization conducted by the decision engine can utilize grid physics to maximize load reduction at the transmission system in addition to the distribution sites, for more efficient grid operation. Finally, the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) availability of the DROMS-RT platform has reduced the cost of deployment and enable participation of small commercial and residential customers in DR who otherwise would not be able to do so.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗