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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,549 records · Page 86

A digital twin solution for floating offshore wind turbines validated using a full-scale prototype

Abstract. In this work, we implement, verify, and validate a physics-based digital twin solution applied to a floating offshore wind turbine. The digital twin is validated using measurement data from the full-scale TetraSpar prototype. We focus on the estimation of the aerodynamic loads, wind speed, and section loads along the tower, with the aim of estimating the fatigue lifetime of the tower. Our digital twin solution integrates (1) a Kalman filter to estimate the structural states based on a linear model of the structure and measurements from the turbine, (2) an aerodynamic estimator, and (3) a physics-based virtual sensing procedure to obtain the loads along the tower. The digital twin relies on a set of measurements that are expected to be available on any existing wind turbine (power, pitch, rotor speed, and tower acceleration) and motion sensors that are likely to be standard measurements for a floating platform (inclinometers and GPS sensors). We explore two different pathways to obtain physics-based models: a suite of dedicated Python tools implemented as part of this work and the OpenFAST linearization feature. In our final version of the digital twin, we use components from both approaches. We perform different numerical experiments to verify the individual models of the digital twin. In this simulation realm, we obtain estimated damage equivalent loads of the tower fore–aft bending moment with an accuracy of approximately 5 % to 10 %. When comparing the digital twin estimations with the measurements from the TetraSpar prototype, the errors increased to 10 %–15 % on average. Overall, the accuracy of the results is promising and demonstrates the possibility of using digital twin solutions to estimate fatigue loads on floating offshore wind turbines. A natural continuation of this work would be to implement the monitoring and diagnostics aspect of the digital twin to inform operation and maintenance decisions. The digital twin solution is provided with examples as part of an open-source repository.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A novel multistage estimation of the signal parameters of a possibly data-modulated sinusoid under very high dynamics

A novel multistage estimation scheme is presented for estimating the parameters of a received carrier signal possibly phase-modulated by unknown data, and experiencing very high Doppler, Doppler rate, etc. Such a situation arises, for example, in the case of Global Positioning Systems (GPS) where the signal parameters are directly related to the position, velocity, acceleration and jerk of the GPS receiver. In the proposed multistage scheme, the first stage estimator operates as a coarse estimator resulting in higher rms estimation errors but with a relatively small probability of the frequency estimation error exceeding one-half of the sampling frequency (an event termed cycle slip). The second state of the estimator operates on the error signal available from the first stage, refining the overall estimates, and in the process also reduces the number of cycle slips. The first stage algorithm is selected to be a modified least squares algorithm operating upon the differential signal model and referred to as differential least squares. This estimation stage provides relatively coarse estimates of the frequency and its derivatives. The second algorithm is simply an extended Kalman filter which also yields the estimate of the phase along with a more refined estimate of frequency as well. A major advantage of the proposed algorithm is a reduction in the threshold on received carrier power-to-noise power spectral density ratio as compared to the threshold achievable by either of these algorithms alone. In fact, it appears from the simulations that for the case of an unmodulated carrier, the proposed scheme achieves the same threshold as for an almost exact and computationally intensive implementation of the maximum likelihood estimator.

Kumar, Rajendra↗

Global Assimilation of Multi-Sensor Snow Observations for Improved Characterization of Snow Processes

Snow conditions on the land surface are recognized to be key components of the global hydrological cycle as they play a critical role in the determination of local and regional climate. In many mid-latitude and high-latitude regions, the seasonal water storage and associated spring snowmelt dominate the local hydrology. The contribution to the runoff and moisture conditions from snow is vital in supporting agriculture and in determining water resources management practices. Consequently, accurate characterization of snow properties becomes important for both end-use applications and weather and climate research. Recently a joint effort between the u.S. Air Force and NASA has enabled a blended, multi-sensor snow product known as the AFWA NASA Snow Algorithm (ANSA). This global snow dataset has been generated by utilizing the Earth Observation System (EOS) Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) datasets. ANSA product includes estimates of snow cover extent, snow water equivalent (SWE) and SWE-derived snow depth fields. The MODIS-based products enable snow cover mappings under cloud-free conditions whereas the passive microwave data from AMSR-E provides measurements under cloudy conditions. These remotely-sensed snow observations are further augmented with the information from ground-based snow measurements through data fusion techniques. The resulting ANSA products are employed in the NASA Land Information System (LIS) data assimilation framework, which provides a comprehensive environment for integrating community land surface models, ground and satellite-based observations, and ensemble-based data assimilation tools. LIS incorporates the multisensor ANSA snow retrievals with the land surface model estimates to generate spatially and temporally continuous estimates of snow states, through data assimilation. A suite of experiments to assimilate ANSA snow cover, SWE and snow depth estimates with different land surface models in LIS are conducted and the resulting estimates of snow conditions are evaluated against a number of in-situ observational datasets, over several regions of the world. These evaluations are used to compare and contrast the advantages and disadvantages of these multi-sensor snow observations.

Kumar, Sujay↗

Estimated Hourly Electricity Demand Profiles for Each County in the Contiguous United States

In this data descriptor, we present hourly electricity demand estimates for each county in the contiguous United States from 2016 to 2023. The demand profiles represent the sum of two components for each county. The first is the weighted average of reported hourly demand profiles for North American Electric Reliability Corporation balancing authority (BA) regions and subregions, scaled to match annual estimates of county-level retail sales and direct use of electricity and weighted by the estimated percentage of county load served by each BA region or subregion. The second is the weighted average of modeled hourly, county- and sector-level distributed photovoltaic (DPV) capacity factor profiles, scaled to match annual estimates of on-site consumption of DPV-generated electricity for each county and weighted by the percentage of consumption attributable to each sector.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Studies of discharge mechanisms in high pressure gases-applications to high efficiency high power lasers

By measuring the absorption and emission cantinua of various states in the cesium/xenon molecule, the collisional rates critical in populating the alkali/rare gas excimer levels have been estimated. Cs atomic states that are weakly optically connected to ground have been shown to form excimer levels that are attractive as potential dissociation lasers. In particular, the (Cs/7 2S/Xe) excited molecule appears promising as a source of high energy laser radiation due to its large dissociation energy, stimulated emission cross section, and small population inversion densities. Monitoring of the optically pumped Cs2 molecular absorption profile in the presence of xenon shows a drastic change with increasing xenon pressure for the Cs2C band. Dominant absorption at large xenon densities is centered around approximately 6380 A as opposed to 6300 A for lower perturber pressure.

Cherrington, B. E.↗

Interiors of Enceladus and Rhea

Measurement method and data set: Gravity field parameters determined by means of range rate measurements over multiple arcs across flyby. Optical imaging not required when reliable a priori estimates of spacecraft state vector are available. Interior of Enceladus: Density of 1605 +/-14 kg/cu m, higher than pre-Cassini estimates, requires a substantial amount of rock to warmer interior to enhance likelihood of differentiation of water from rock-metal. Assume no porosity. Assuming Io s mean density for the rock-metal component, one finds its fractional mass to be 0.52+/-0.06. There is evidence that Enceladus may be differentiated: a) Areas devoid of craters must be geologically young. b) Systems of ridges, fractures, and groove indicate that the surface has been tectonically altered. c) Viscous relaxation of craters has occurred, and d) The plumes near the South pole indicate venting of subsurface volatiles.

gravity fields↗

Femtosecond X-ray Spectroscopy Directly Quantifies Transient Excited-State Mixed Valency

Quantifying charge delocalization associated with short-lived photoexcited states of molecular complexes in solution remains experimentally challenging, requiring local element specific femtosecond experimental probes of time-evolving electron transfer. In this study, we quantify the evolving valence hole charge distribution in the photoexcited charge transfer state of a prototypical mixed valence bimetallic iron–ruthenium complex, [(CN) 5 Fe II CNRu III (NH 3 ) 5 ]-, in water by combining femtosecond X-ray spectroscopy measurements with time-dependent density functional theory calculations of the excited-state dynamics. We estimate the valence hole charge that accumulated at the Fe atom to be 0.6 ± 0.2, resulting from excited-state metal-to-metal charge transfer, on an ~ 60 fs time scale. Our combined experimental and computational approach provides a spectroscopic ruler for quantifying excited-state valency in solvated complexes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Degree Of Development Of Waves And Bias In Radar Altimetry

Report discusses relationship between degree of development of waves and sea-state bias in radar altimetry. Purpose of study to increase accuracy of estimates of sea-state bias and thereby increase accuracy of estimates of sea level obtained if waves at measurement spot suppressed. Study shows sea-state bias related to parameter called "pseudo wave age."

Fu, Lee-Leung↗

The Principle of Energetic Consistency

A basic result in estimation theory is that the minimum variance estimate of the dynamical state, given the observations, is the conditional mean estimate. This result holds independently of the specifics of any dynamical or observation nonlinearity or stochasticity, requiring only that the probability density function of the state, conditioned on the observations, has two moments. For nonlinear dynamics that conserve a total energy, this general result implies the principle of energetic consistency: if the dynamical variables are taken to be the natural energy variables, then the sum of the total energy of the conditional mean and the trace of the conditional covariance matrix (the total variance) is constant between observations. Ensemble Kalman filtering methods are designed to approximate the evolution of the conditional mean and covariance matrix. For them the principle of energetic consistency holds independently of ensemble size, even with covariance localization. However, full Kalman filter experiments with advection dynamics have shown that a small amount of numerical dissipation can cause a large, state-dependent loss of total variance, to the detriment of filter performance. The principle of energetic consistency offers a simple way to test whether this spurious loss of variance limits ensemble filter performance in full-blown applications. The classical second-moment closure (third-moment discard) equations also satisfy the principle of energetic consistency, independently of the rank of the conditional covariance matrix. Low-rank approximation of these equations offers an energetically consistent, computationally viable alternative to ensemble filtering. Current formulations of long-window, weak-constraint, four-dimensional variational methods are designed to approximate the conditional mode rather than the conditional mean. Thus they neglect the nonlinear bias term in the second-moment closure equation for the conditional mean. The principle of energetic consistency implies that, to precisely the extent that growing modes are important in data assimilation, this term is also important.

Cohn, Stephen E.↗

Approximate estimation for systems with quantized data.

Estimation of the state of a nonlinear discrete-time system using quantized data is considered. An exact solution for the maximum likelihood estimate is expressed as the solution of a nonlinear two-point boundary-value problem. Approximate recursive solutions for both the maximum likelihood and the conditional-mean estimates are obtained. The results of Monte-Carlo simulations are presented in which the performance of these two algorithms is compared with that of a Kalman filter in which the quantization error is approximated by white noise.-

Clements, K. A.↗

Wavelet-Based Real-Time Diagnosis of Complex Systems

A new method of robust, autonomous real-time diagnosis of a time-varying complex system (e.g., a spacecraft, an advanced aircraft, or a process-control system) is presented here. It is based upon the characterization and comparison of (1) the execution of software, as reported by discrete data, and (2) data from sensors that monitor the physical state of the system, such as performance sensors or similar quantitative time-varying measurements. By taking account of the relationship between execution of, and the responses to, software commands, this method satisfies a key requirement for robust autonomous diagnosis, namely, ensuring that control is maintained and followed. Such monitoring of control software requires that estimates of the state of the system, as represented within the control software itself, are representative of the physical behavior of the system. In this method, data from sensors and discrete command data are analyzed simultaneously and compared to determine their correlation. If the sensed physical state of the system differs from the software estimate (see figure) or if the system fails to perform a transition as commanded by software, or such a transition occurs without the associated command, the system has experienced a control fault. This method provides a means of detecting such divergent behavior and automatically generating an appropriate warning.

Gulati, Sandeep↗

Stochastic averaging and sensitivity analysis for two scale reaction networks

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate computations for obtaining estimates of expected values and sensitivities with respect to the steady state distribution. A two-time-scale formulation is used to establish bounds on the bias induced by the averaging method. Further, this formulation provides a framework to create an accelerated “averaged” version of most single-scale sensitivity estimation methods. In particular, we propose the use of a centered ergodic likelihood ratio method for steady state estimation and show how one can adapt it to accelerated simulations of multiscale systems. Lastly, we develop an adaptive “batch-means” stopping rule for determining when to terminate the micro-equilibration process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Biased estimation for dynamic systems.

Optimization and regulation of static and dynamic systems require good estimates of the states of the system model and the parameters of the model in the presence of input and measurement noise. A biased estimator is proposed as an alternative to the familiar best linear unbiased estimator. Depending on the value of a constant, this biased estimator can be made unbiased and is then identical to the best linear unbiased estimator, thus permitting additional freedom of choice in design and application. The sum of squared errors of this bs tmator can be less than the best linear unbiased case. An existence theorem is established and various properties are discussed.

Chang, J. W.↗

GEDI Launches a New Era of Biomass Inference from Space

Accurate estimation of aboveground forest biomass stocks is required to assess the impacts of land use changes such as deforestation and subsequent regrowth on concentrations of atmospheric CO 2 . The Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) is a lidar mission launched by NASA to the International Space Station in 2018. GEDI was specifically designed to retrieve vegetation structure within a novel, theoretical sampling design that explicitly quantifies biomass and its uncertainty across a variety of spatial scales. In this paper we provide the estimates of pan-tropical and temperate biomass derived from two years of GEDI observations. We present estimates of mean biomass densities at 1 km resolution, as well as estimates aggregated to the national level for every country GEDI observes, and at the sub-national level for the United States. For all estimates we provide the standard error of the mean biomass. These data serve as a baseline for current biomass stocks and their future changes, and the mission’s integrated use of formal statistical inference points the way towards the possibility of a new generation of powerful monitoring tools from space.

Ralph Dubayah↗

On the convergence and convergence order of finite volume gradient schemes for oblique derivative boundary value problems

This work is an improvement of the previous note (Bradji in: Fuhrmann et al., Finite volumes for complex applications VII–methods, theoretical aspects. Proceedings of the FVCA 7, Berlin, 2014) which dealt with the convergence analysis of a finite volume scheme for the Poisson’s equation with a linear oblique derivative boundary condition. The formulation of the finite volume scheme given in Bradji (in: Fuhrmann et al., Finite volumes for complex applications VII–methods, theoretical aspects. Proceedings of the FVCA 7, Berlin, 2014) involves the discrete gradient introduced recently in Eymard et al. (IMA J Numer Anal 30(4):1009–1043, 2010). In this paper, we consider the convergence analysis of finite volume schemes involving the discrete gradient of Eymard et al. (IMA J Numer Anal 30(4):1009–1043, 2010) for elliptic and parabolic equations with linear oblique derivative boundary conditions. Linear oblique derivative boundary conditions arise for instance in the study of the motion of water in a canal, cf. Lesnic (Commun Numer Methods Eng 23(12):1071–1080, 2007). We derive error estimates in several norms which allow us to get error estimates for the approximations of the exact solutions and its first derivatives. In particular, we provide an error estimate between the gradient of the exact solutions and the discrete gradient of the approximate solutions. Convergence of the family of finite volume approximate solutions towards the exact solution under weak regularity assumption is also investigated. In the case of parabolic equations with oblique derivative boundary conditions, we develop a new discrete a priori estimate result. The proof of this result is based on the use of a discrete mean Poincaré–Wirtinger inequality. Thanks to the stated a priori estimate and to a comparison with an appropriately chosen auxiliary finite volume scheme, we derive the convergence results. This work can be viewed as a continuation of the previous work (Bradji and Gallouët in Int J Finite Vol 3(2):1–35, 2006) where a convergence analysis for a finite volume scheme, based on the admissible mesh of Eymard et al. (In: Ciarlet and Lions, Handbook of numerical analysis, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 2000), for the Poisson’s equation with a linear oblique derivative boundary conditions is given. The obtained convergence results do not require any relation between the mesh sizes of the spatial and time discretizations. Some numerical tests are presented for both elliptic and parabolic equations. In particular, we present three methods to compute the discrete solution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Failure detection and correction for turbofan engines

In this paper, a failure detection and correction strategy for turbofan engines is discussed. This strategy allows continuing control of the engines in the event of a sensor failure. An extended Kalman filter is used to provide the best estimate of the state of the engine based on currently available sensor outputs. Should a sensor failure occur the control is based on the best estimate rather than the sensor output. The extended Kalman filter consists of essentially two parts, a nonlinear model of the engine and up-date logic which causes the model to track the actual engine. Details on the model and up-date logic are presented. To allow implementation, approximations are made to the feedback gain matrix which result in a single feedback matrix which is suitable for use over the entire flight envelope. The effect of these approximations on stability and response is discussed. Results from a detailed nonlinear simulation indicate that good control can be maintained even under multiple failures.

Corley, R. C.↗

Liquidlike state of dense hydrogen

Some difficulties associated with estimates of the ground-state energy difference between liquid and solid metallic hydrogen based on many-body perturbation theory are pointed out. Arguments based on liquid-state perturbation theory which indicate that the energy difference may be much smaller than was found in a previous calculation are presented.

Carlsson, A. E.↗