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Abstract Machine Models and Proxy Architectures for Exascale Computing

To achieve exascale computing, fundamental hardware architectures must change. The most significant consequence of this assertion is the impact on the scientific and engineering applications that run on current high performance computing (HPC) systems, many of which codify years of scientific domain knowledge and refinements for contemporary computer systems. In order to adapt to exascale architectures, developers must be able to reason about new hardware and determine what programming models and algorithms will provide the best blend of performance and energy efficiency into the future. While many details of the exascale architectures are undefined, an abstract machine model is designed to allow application developers to focus on the aspects of the machine that are important or relevant to performance and code structure. These models are intended as communication aids between application developers and hardware architects during the co-design process. We use the term proxy architecture to describe a parameterized version of an abstract machine model, with the parameters added to elucidate potential speeds and capacities of key hardware components. These more detailed architectural models are formulated to enable discussion between the developers of analytic models and simulators and computer hardware architects. They allow for application performance analysis and hardware optimization opportunities. In this report our goal is to provide the application development community with a set of models that can help software developers prepare for exascale. In addition, through the use of proxy architectures, we can enable a more concrete exploration of how well new and evolving application codes map onto future architectures. This second version of the document addresses system scale considerations and provides a system-level abstract machine model with proxy architecture information.

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Variable Precision Computing

This report summarizes the activities and major accomplishments of the Variable Precision Computing Strategic Initiative project. The overarching goal of this project was to initiate and promote a new paradigm in High Performance Computing (HPC) that would fundamentally change how we represent and make use of representations of real numbers in finite precision and that would establish Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) as a leader in precision-related research for HPC. We pursued three integrated and concurrent research thrusts: new, more dynamic data representations to address data motion and capacity limitations; improved mixed precision algorithms to accelerate computation and to leverage new hardware; and new tools to help developers reason about precision and to automate code transformations. Within these thrust areas, we made significant advances in the use of compressed array data types in numerical calculations, in the theoretical justification, in improved performance, and in the prospects of hardware implementation; in the development of metrics to significantly reduce the storage needs of molecular dynamics simulations; in the development and analysis of efficient mixed-precision algorithms for time-dependent partial differential equations and for orthogonal factorization; and in the capability of tools that can analyze sensitivity of computed results to choices in precision and that can make automated code transformations based on such analysis. We established that there are definite opportunities to realize significant improvements in HPC above and beyond the 2x limits of traditional mixed precision using the technologies we have developed. The project produced numerous papers, presentations, and posters in important venues as well as open-source software contributions to the community, and many of the new capabilities have initiated or are being leveraged in ongoing projects.

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DOE National Laboratories' Computational Facilities - Research Workshop Report

DOE-ASCR researchers and computational facilities staff convened at Argonne National Laboratory for a two-day workshop on April 17–18, 2019. The intent of the workshop was to understand the requirements and challenges of the DOE computational facilities and to discuss and brainstorm research directions that can have an impact on DOE computational facilities. This report documents the background information on the workshop, its purpose and structure, the challenges the computational facilities are facing, and the key research directions of interest.

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Two new SciDAC institutes promote mathematical tools and software technology for high-performance computing

Bigger is often said to be better, and the newest extreme-scale computers certainly are bigger, with millions of processing units. Moreover, the breadth of science performed on the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) computing facilities is expanding, with new technology such as artificial intelligence emerging. These advances are exciting, creating new opportunities for scientific discovery; however, they also raise new questions for scientists who want to exploit these advances for tackling more complex problems. Will my simulation code be able to utilize the accelerators in extreme-scale computing systems? Can I take advantage of the deepening memory hierarchy in heterogeneous processors? Is there a way around bottlenecks caused by the widening ratio of peak floating-point operations per second to I/0 bandwidth? How can I manage my huge amounts of data effectively? Can I analyze data in situ, or must I transfer it to offline storage for later analysis? To address such questions, DOE announced that it is providing $57.5 million over the next five years for two multidisciplinary teams — FASTMath and RAPIDS2 — to develop new tools and techniques to harness supercomputers for scientific discovery. The teams, called SciDAC Institutes, are part of the Scientific Discovery through Advanced Computing program.

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Reimagining Codesign for Advanced Scientific Computing: Report for the ASCR Workshop on Reimagining Codesign

In March 2021, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Advanced Scientific Computing Research program convened the Workshop on Reimagining Codesign. The workshop, also known as ReCoDe, was organized around discussions on eight topic areas: (1) codesign for traditional high-performance computing workloads; (2) codesign of memory/storage systems; (3) codesign of machine learning, neuromorphic, quantum, and other non-von Neumann accelerators; (4) codesign for edge computing and processing at experimental instruments; (5) codesign for security and privacy; (6) hardware design tools and open-source hardware for high-productivity codesign; (7) tools, software stack, and programming languages for high-productivity codesign; and (8) quantitative tools and data collection for modeling and simulation for codesign. The panels identified four Priority Research Directions from these deliberations: (1) breakthrough computing capabilities with targeted heterogeneity and rapid design; (2) software and applications that embrace radical architecture diversity; (3) engineered security and integrity, from transistors to applications; and (4) design with data-rich processes.

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Computational Offload with BlueField Smart NICs

The recent introduction of a new generation of "smart NICs" have provided new accelerator platforms that include CPU cores or reconfigurable fabric in addition to traditional networking hardware and packet offloading capabilities. While there are currently several proposals for using these smartNICs for low-latency, in-line packet processing operations, there remains a gap in knowledge as to how they might be used as computational accelerators for traditional high-performance applications. This work aims to look at benchmarks and mini-applications to evaluate possible benefits of using a smartNIC as a compute accelerator for HPC applications. We investigate NVIDIA's current-generation BlueField-2 card, which includes eight Arm CPUs along with a small amount of storage, and we test the networking and data movement performance of these cards compared to a standard Intel server host. We then detail how two different applications, YASK and miniMD can be modified to make more efficient use of the BlueField-2 device with a focus on overlapping computation and communication for operations like neighbor building and halo exchanges. Our results show that while the overall compute performance of these devices is limited, using them with a modified miniMD algorithm allows for potential speedups of 5 to 20% over the host CPU baseline with no loss in simulation accuracy.

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Workflows Community Summit: Tightening the Integration between Computing Facilities and Scientific Workflows

Scientific workflows are used almost universally across science domains for solving complex and largescale computing and data analysis problems. The importance of workflows is highlighted by the fact that they have underpinned some of the most significant discoveries of the past decades. Many of these workflows have significant computational, storage, and communication demands, and thus must execute on a range of large-scale computer systems, from local clusters to public clouds and upcoming exascale HPC platforms. Managing these executions is often a significant undertaking, requiring a sophisticated and versatile software infrastructure. Historically, infrastructures for workflow execution consisted of complex, integrated systems, developed in-house by workflow practitioners with strong dependencies on a range of legacy technologies—even including sets of ad hoc scripts. Due to the increasing need to support workflows, dedicated workflow systems were developed to provide abstractions for creating, executing, and adapting workflows conveniently and efficiently while ensuring portability. While these efforts are all worthwhile individually, there are now hundreds of independent workflow systems. These workflow systems are created and used by thousands of researchers and developers, leading to a rapidly growing corpus of workflows research publications. The resulting workflow system technology landscape is fragmented, which may present significant barriers for future workflow users due to many seemingly comparable, yet usually mutually incompatible, systems that exist. In order to tackle some of the challenges described above, the DOE-funded ExaWorks and NSF-funded WorkflowsRI projects have organized in 2021 a series of events entitled the “Workflows Community Summit”. The third edition of the “Workflows Community Summit” explored workflows challenges and opportunities from the perspective of computing centers and facilities. This third summit builds on two prior summits (https://workflowsri.org/summits) that (i) established a high level vision for workflows research; and (ii) explored technical approaches for realizing that vision. The third summit brought together a small group of facilities representatives with the aim to understand how workflows are currently being used at each facility, how facilities would like to interact with workflow developers and users, how workflows fit with facility roadmaps, and what opportunities there are for tighter integration between facilities and workflows. This report documents and organizes the wealth of information provided by the participants before, during, and after the summit.

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Calibration of the Diffusivity Predictions of Centipede Using Approximate Bayesian Computation and Applications in Nyx (Engineering Scale) and Xolotl-MARMOT (Meso-Scale) Simulations

Fission gas evolution and release in UO 2 nuclear fuel are important fuel performance metrics and occur in several distinct stages: 1) nucleation, growth and resolution of intra-granular bubbles, 2) diffusion to grain boundaries and 3) nucleation and growth of bubbles at grain boundaries, which eventually form a connected network (percolation) enabling release of gas from grain boundaries through connections to triple junctions, grain edges or free surfaces. The NE-SciDAC project is developing several computational tools to model this problem, which are connected in a hierarchical multi-scale framework. The information transfer in the multi-scale framework is a critical step that, in addition to best-estimates, should include uncertainty quantification. Despite taking a first-principles multi-scale approach, there is a need to perform parameter calibration to ensure consistency with available experimental data. In the present study, uncertainty quantification (UQ) and parameter calibration is demonstrated for one of the lower length scale codes in the multi-scale framework (Centipede) and then the results, including instances of the propagated uncertainties, are used in other codes within the framework, specifically Nyx and Xolotl-MARMOT. We calibrated the model parameters in Centipede, a computer code used to predict diffusivities of uranium (U) and xenon (Xe) in the context of the simulation of fission gas in uranium oxide (UO 2 ) nuclear fuel. The Centipede code depends on 183 parameters, all of which are subject to uncertainty. The three data sets used in our calibration effort are taken from the literature. This data is available as a set of measurements, including measurement errors. Our goal is to calibrate a statistical model that predicts both the value of the measurement and the uncertainty associated with the measurement. We perform a Bayesian calibration of the model parameters using a dedicated approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) likelihood function. To avoid excessive computational costs, we replace the expensive Centipede simulation code by a higher-order surrogate model, constructed using only the 9 most important parameters. These important parameters are identified by a preliminary global sensitivity analysis (GSA) study. Among the important parameters are T0 (the temperature at which UO 2 is perfectly stoichiometric) and Hf_pO2 (the temperature dependence of the oxygen (O) partial pressure) that should be considered as operating conditions to be estimated along with the other parameters. We consider two different cases: one where we define one set of these operating conditions for all data sets, and one where we define distinct operating condition parameters for each data set. The Xe diffusivities predicted by the latter case show distinct features that could not be observed in the former. Next, we use the diffusivity predictions by Centipede as input to Nyx, a reduced order fuel performance code focused on gas behavior alone, in order to estimate quantities associated with inter-granular bubble formation at conditions specified by the experiments. Finally, the diffusivities obtained from the calibrated Centipede runs were used in coupled Xolotl-MARMOT simulations of intra- and inter-granular gas evolution. The results are compared to simulations using the baseline diffusivities from Turnbull et al.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Oppenheimer Science and Energy Leadership Program (OSELP) Simulation and Computation at LANL [Slides]

Simulation and Computation plays a pivotal role in maintaining confidence in the stockpile as the approach to underwrite that confidence has changed. The need for resolution and fidelity at scale drives our need for increased computing capability. DOE/NNSA Advanced Simulation and Computing (ASC) program provides the computational surrogate for testing. ASC provides simulation-based confidence in the U.S. stockpile.

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Computational Response Theory for Dynamics

Quantifying the sensitivity - how a quantity of interest (QoI) varies with respect to a parameter – and response – the representation of a QoI as a function of a parameter - of a computer model of a parametric dynamical system is an important and challenging problem. Traditional methods fail in this context since sensitive dependence on initial conditions implies that the sensitivity and response of a QoI may be ill-conditioned or not well-defined. If a chaotic model has an ergodic attractor, then ergodic averages of QoIs are well-defined quantities and their sensitivity can be used to characterize model sensitivity. The response theorem gives sufficient conditions such that the local forward sensitivity – the derivative with respect to a given parameter - of an ergodic average of a QoI is well-defined. We describe a method based on ergodic and response theory for computing the sensitivity and response of a given QoI with respect to a given parameter in a chaotic model with an ergodic and hyperbolic attractor. This method does not require computation of ensembles of the model with perturbed parameter values. The method is demonstrated and some of the computations are validated on the Lorenz 63 and Lorenz 96 models.

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Can the United States Maintain Its Leadership in High-Performance Computing? - A report from the ASCAC Subcommittee on American Competitiveness and Innovation to the ASCR Office

The United States (U.S.) is no longer the unambiguous leader in the vitally important field of high performance computing (HPC). Japan, the European Union (EU), and China have fielded systems that are on par with our fastest supercomputers. The supply chain for everything from semiconductors to scientific software is globally distributed. Yet our economic future and security depend critically on our ability to innovate faster than our competitors, and the speed of innovation depends increasingly on large-scale computational science and engineering and thus HPC. How should the United States respond to this challenge? This report seeks to initiate a new and potentially transformative national discussion on this vital question. The Department of Energy’s (DOE) Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) program is well-positioned to make informed, targeted decisions about where the United States should cooperate and where it should compete in the global market for scientific exploration and discovery. By setting its sights on problems critical to our nation and the world, by establishing productive new collaborations, and by making strategic investments, ASCR can restore and maintain U.S. scientific leadership in the critical areas described in this report while strengthening our research infrastructure and training a large, diverse cohort of scientists. In doing so, ASCR and its scientists will pave the way for a secure and prosperous future for America. For more than 30 years, the ASCR program has provided the HPC and networking capabilities and expertise needed to support DOE’s mission to advance the national, economic, and energy security of the United States. The program now faces the challenge of developing and deploying the next generation of HPC systems and technologies, as well as supporting the application of HPC and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to a wide range of scientific and engineering research problems. Through its research and development efforts, the ASCR program must also advance the state of the art in HPC and accelerate the pace of scientific discovery and technological innovation. Fulfilling this promise will require significantly increased investments, as well as innovative policies and programs. This subcommittee is aware that we are making recommendations and calls for action at a time when federal resources are limited. We understand that a wide range of competing priorities must be balanced by the nation’s leaders and that there is a need to leverage resources in new ways and seek efficiencies in facilities and operations. However, we must not let these realities limit our imagination or silence our advocacy. The ASCR program is a key part of the U.S. research infrastructure and an important component of economic growth and U.S. competitiveness. ASCR has a responsibility to pursue its mission, including advanced scientific computing, applications of AI technologies, and the required advanced research facilities, with determination and enthusiasm. To fulfill the scientific enterprise’s responsibility to the nation, the ASCR program must not only develop and publish a clear vision with an associated list of goals, priorities, and recommendations but also demonstrate scientific leadership by consistently securing long-term funding. This will allow the program to build on its achievements to date, to realize its ambitious vision, and to make lasting contributions to the field.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Report for the ASCR Workshop on Basic Research Needs in Quantum Computing and Networking - 2023

Employing quantum mechanical resources in computing and networking opens the door to new computation and communication models and potential disruptive advantages over classical counterparts. However, quantifying and realizing such advantages face extensive scientific and engineering challenges. Investments by the Department of Energy (DOE) have driven progress toward addressing such challenges. Quantum algorithms have been recently developed, in some cases offering asymptotic exponential advantages in speed or accuracy, for fundamental scientific problems such as simulating physical systems, solving systems of linear equations, or solving differential equations. Empirical demonstrations on nascent quantum hardware suggest better performance than classical analogs on specialized computational tasks favorable to the quantum computing systems. However, demonstration of an end-to-end, substantial and rigorously quantifiable quantum performance advantage over classical analogs remains a grand challenge, especially for problems of practical value. The definition of requirements for quantum technologies to exhibit scalable, rigorous, and transformative performance advantages for practical applications also remains an outstanding open question, namely, what will be required to ultimately demonstrate practical quantum advantage?

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Sequential Bayesian Methods for Analyzing Computer Models

Efficient analysis of computer models is essential for the validation and uncertainty quantification of those models. Surrogate models, and Gaussian processes in particular, are a common and powerful approach to analyzing computer models that treat computer models as a black-box function. Gaussian processes form a Bayesian model over a space of functions that gives a measure of uncertainty about the computer model output at unobserved locations and a framework for sequential sampling. This tutorial will show how to fit Gaussian processes on a series of test functions and apply sequential design techniques to estimate extrema, level sets, and reliabilities of those test functions.

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A Plug-Loads Game Changer: Computer Gaming Energy Efficiency without Performance Compromise

Two-thirds of Americans play computer games. Although among the most complex and energy intensive plug loads, gaming has been largely overlooked in energy research and development and policy. Systems used for computer gaming in California consumed 4.1 terawatt-hours/year in 2016 or $700 million in energy bills, with emissions of 1.5 million tons carbon dioxide equivalent allocated 66 percent to consoles, 31 percent to desktop personal computers, 3 percent to laptops, and less than 1 percent to emerging media streaming devices. Key findings include: • Aggregate energy demand places gaming among the top plug loads in California, with gaming representing one-fifth of the state’s total miscellaneous residential energy use. • Market structure changes could substantially affect statewide energy use; energy demand could rise by 114 percent by 2021 under intensified desktop gaming, or fall by 24 percent given a major shift towards consoles coupled with energy efficiency gains. • Unit energy consumption is remarkably varied across gaming platform types: across 26 systems tested, client-side electricity use ranged from 5 to more than 1,200 kWh per year, reflecting equipment choice and usage patterns. • Some emerging technologies and activities are driving energy demand higher, including processor overclocking, cloud-based gaming, higher-resolution connected displays, and virtual reality gaming. • User behavior influences gaming energy use more than technology choice; duty cycle and game choice are particularly strong drivers of demand. • Energy efficiency opportunities are substantial, about 50 percent on a per-system basis for personal computers and 40 percent for consoles if past rates of improvement continue. While simultaneously quantifying efficiency and gaming performance is problematic, evidence suggests that efficiency can be improved while maintaining or improving user experience. Familiar energy policy strategies can help manage gaming energy demand, although mandatory system-level standards are not promising (component-level measures may be).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Sequential Monte Carlo for Cut-Bayesian Posterior Computation

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We prove finite sample concentration bounds for estimators derived from the proposed method along with a linear tempering extension and apply these results to a realistic setting where a computer model is misspecified. We then illustrate the SMC method for inference in a modular chemical reactor example that includes submodels for reaction kinetics, turbulence, mass transfer, and diffusion. The samples obtained are commensurate with a direct-sampling approach that consists of running multiple Markov chains, with computational efficiency gains using the SMC method. Overall, the SMC method presented yields a novel, rigorous approach to computing with cut-Bayesian posterior distributions.

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Report for the ASCR Workshop on Basic Research Needs in Quantum Computing and Networking - 2023

Employing quantum mechanical resources in computing and networking opens the door to new computation and communication models and potential disruptive advantages over classical counterparts. However, quantifying and realizing such advantages face extensive scientific and engineering challenges. Investments by the Department of Energy (DOE) have driven progress toward addressing such challenges. Quantum algorithms have been recently developed, in some cases offering asymptotic exponential advantages in speed or accuracy, for fundamental scientific problems such as simulating physical systems, solving systems of linear equations, or solving differential equations. Empirical demonstrations on nascent quantum hardware suggest better performance than classical analogs on specialized computational tasks favorable to the quantum computing systems. However, demonstration of an end-to-end, substantial and rigorously quantifiable quantum performance advantage over classical analogs remains a grand challenge, especially for problems of practical value. The definition of requirements for quantum technologies to exhibit scalable, rigorous, and transformative performance advantages for practical applications also remains an outstanding open question, namely, what will be required to ultimately demonstrate practical quantum advantage?

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

2023 Operational Assessment Report: Argonne Leadership Computing Facility

In 2004, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) program established the Leadership Computing Facility (LCF) with a mission to provide the world’s most advanced computational resources to the open science community. The LCF is a huge investment in the nation’s scientific and technological future, inspired by a growing demand for large-scale computing and its impact on science and engineering. The LCF operates two world-class centers in support of open science at Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) and at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Oak Ridge) and deploys diverse machines that are among the most powerful systems in the world today. The LCF ranks among the top U.S. scientific facilities delivering impactful science. The work performed at these centers informs policy decisions and advances innovations in far-reaching areas such as energy assurance, ecological sustainability, and global security. The leadership-class systems at Argonne and Oak Ridge operate around the clock every day of the year. The high level of services these centers provide and the exceptional science they produce justify their existence to the DOE Office of Science and the U.S. Congress

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Analog Computing for Science

Conventional digital computing faces fundamental physical limits: large scale computing systems already con sume tens of Megawatts of power, Dennard scaling has ended, and data movement costs dominate application performance. Next generation experimental facilities generate data at rates that overwhelm conventional pro cessing and demand real-time analysis at the source. Analog computing, which exploits the continuous dynamics of physical systems to perform computation, promises a transformative path toward orders-of-magnitude gains in energy efficiency and time-to-solution for scientific workloads.

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