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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

Parameter Study of the Running-In Process for the Generic Pebble Bed Reactor (GPBR200)

The run-in period of a pebble bed reactor is complex and difficult to model given significant heterogeneity in core composition, power, and temperature. While it is understood that the initial composition of the core should eventually result in the same equilibrium core composition, the approach to equilibrium can vary significantly depending on factors such as start-up fuel enrichment and power ramp rate. To explore this, a high-fidelity model of the General Pebble Bed Reactor was used to vary power ramp schemes and start-up core compositions. It was found that both the initial core composition and power ramp rate had a significant impact on the flow rate of pebbles during early time steps, with higher ramp rates and low enrichment resulting in non-physical flow rates. Power ramp rate alone was found to dictated maximum pebble power peaking observed during the run-in process, with higher ramp rates resulting in greater peak pebble powers. Start-up fuel enrichment and power ramp were found to both impact total fuel consumption, although the impact of start-up fuel enrichment was generally secondary to ramp rate.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Application of time-variable process noise in terrestrial reference frames determined from VLBI data

In recent years, Kalman filtering has emerged as a suitable technique to determine terrestrial reference frames (TRFs), a prime example being JTRF2014. The time series approach allows variations of station coordinates that are neither reduced by observational corrections nor considered in the functional model to be taken into account. These variations are primarily due to non-tidal geophysical loading effects that are not reduced according to the current IERS Conventions (2010). It is standard practice that the process noise models applied in Kalman filter TRF solutions are derived from time series of loading displacements and account for station dependent differences. So far, it has been assumed that the parameters of these process noise models are constant over time. However, due to the presence of seasonal and irregular variations, this assumption does not truly reflect reality. In this study, we derive a station coordinate process noise model allowing for such temporal variations. This process noise model and one that is a parameterized version of the former are applied in the computation of TRF solutions based on very long baseline interferometry data. In comparison with a solution based on a constant process noise model, we find that the station coordinates are affected at the millimeter level.

Schuh, Harald↗

A Bayesian Approach for Statistical–Physical Bulk Parameterization of Rain Microphysics. Part I: Scheme Description

A novel framework is proposed for the bulk parameterization of rain microphysics: the Bayesian Observationally Constrained Statistical–Physical Scheme (BOSS). It is designed to facilitate direct constraint by observations using Bayesian inference. BOSS combines existing process-level microphysical knowledge with flexible process rate formulations and parameters constrained by observations within a Bayesian framework. Furthermore, using a raindrop size distribution (DSD) normalization method that relates DSD moments to one another via generalized power series, generalized multivariate power expressions are derived for the microphysical process rates as functions of a set of prognostic DSD moments. The scheme is flexible and can utilize any number and combination of prognostic moments and any number of terms in the process rate formulations. This means that both uncertainty in parameter values and structural uncertainty associated with the process rate formulations can be investigated systematically, which is not possible using traditional schemes. In this paper, BOSS is compared to two- and three-moment versions of a traditional bulk rain microphysics scheme (denoted as MORR). It is demonstrated that some process formulations in MORR are analytically equivalent to the generalized power expressions in BOSS using one or two terms, while others are not. BOSS is able to replicate the behavior of MORR in idealized one-dimensional rainshaft tests, but with a much more flexible and systematic design. Part II of this study describes the application of BOSS to derive rain microphysical process rates and posterior parameter distributions in Bayesian experiments using Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling constrained by synthetic observations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

SymbolFit: Automatic Parametric Modeling with Symbolic Regression

We introduce SymbolFit (API: https://github.com/hftsoi/symbolfit), a framework that automates parametric modeling by using symbolic regression to perform a machine-search for functions that fit the data while simultaneously providing uncertainty estimates in a single run. Traditionally, constructing a parametric model to accurately describe binned data has been a manual and iterative process, requiring an adequate functional form to be determined before the fit can be performed. The main challenge arises when the appropriate functional forms cannot be derived from first principles, especially when there is no underlying true closed-form function for the distribution. In this work, we develop a framework that automates and streamlines the process by utilizing symbolic regression, a machine learning technique that explores a vast space of candidate functions without requiring a predefined functional form because the functional form itself is treated as a trainable parameter, making the process far more efficient and effortless than traditional regression methods. We demonstrate the framework in high-energy physics experiments at the CERN Large Hadron Collider (LHC) using five real proton-proton collision datasets from new physics searches, including background modeling in resonance searches for high-mass dijet, trijet, paired-dijet, diphoton, and dimuon events. We show that our framework can flexibly and efficiently generate a wide range of candidate functions that fit a nontrivial distribution well using a simple fit configuration that varies only by random seed, and that the same fit configuration, which defines a vast function space, can also be applied to distributions of different shapes, whereas achieving a comparable result with traditional methods would have required extensive manual effort.

Tsoi, Ho Fung [Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia↗

Single-Receiver GPS Phase Bias Resolution

Existing software has been modified to yield the benefits of integer fixed double-differenced GPS-phased ambiguities when processing data from a single GPS receiver with no access to any other GPS receiver data. When the double-differenced combination of phase biases can be fixed reliably, a significant improvement in solution accuracy is obtained. This innovation uses a large global set of GPS receivers (40 to 80 receivers) to solve for the GPS satellite orbits and clocks (along with any other parameters). In this process, integer ambiguities are fixed and information on the ambiguity constraints is saved. For each GPS transmitter/receiver pair, the process saves the arc start and stop times, the wide-lane average value for the arc, the standard deviation of the wide lane, and the dual-frequency phase bias after bias fixing for the arc. The second step of the process uses the orbit and clock information, the bias information from the global solution, and only data from the single receiver to resolve double-differenced phase combinations. It is called "resolved" instead of "fixed" because constraints are introduced into the problem with a finite data weight to better account for possible errors. A receiver in orbit has much shorter continuous passes of data than a receiver fixed to the Earth. The method has parameters to account for this. In particular, differences in drifting wide-lane values must be handled differently. The first step of the process is automated, using two JPL software sets, Longarc and Gipsy-Oasis. The resulting orbit/clock and bias information files are posted on anonymous ftp for use by any licensed Gipsy-Oasis user. The second step is implemented in the Gipsy-Oasis executable, gd2p.pl, which automates the entire process, including fetching the information from anonymous ftp

Bertiger, William I.↗

Remote sensing of tidal wetlands - Mapping and beyond

Remote sensing, by means of aerial photography, is an accepted method for the mapping and inventory of tidal wetlands, enjoying considerable advantages in speed, flexibility and cost per area mapped over conventional techniques. Initially employed for the identification of wetlands and their boundaries, new applications concern the effective sensing of functional processes within the wetlands environment, such as plant biomass and the production of biogenic gases. The availability of accurate hand-held radiometers has produced increased efforts to quantitatively relate remote measurements to environmental parameters for these processes, expanding the information derivable from aerial and orbital multispectral scanners.

Bartlett, D. S.↗

Tuning Organic Semiconductor Packing and Morphology through Non-equilibrium Solution Processing (Final Report)

Organic semiconductors (OSCs) are a promising candidate to produce low-cost, large area, and flexible electronics. There has previously been successful development of organic field effect transistors (OFETs), photovoltaics (OPV), and bioelectronics using OSCs. Solution processing of these materials allows for the fabrication of large-area devices in the kinetic crystallization regime. The charge transport capabilities have been shown to depend on the morphology and molecular packing of the OSC within thin films. Our hypothesis is that solution processing conditions may significantly impact OSC morphology and as a result the charge transport. Therefore, this work has focused on obtaining a fundamental understanding of the morphology and molecular packing of OSCs for optimal device performance. Through our work, we have gained a better understanding of how these structural conditions were influenced by the solution processing conditions. Our studies have led to a more systematic understanding of the various parameters that impact OSC morphology. Solution processing leads to non-equilibrium films, thus allowing for the formation of diverse morphologies that are inaccessible by other fabrication methods. Previously, our group has focused on tuning the morphology of small-molecular OSCs [53, 55-57]. However, little work had been devoted to polymer OSCs. There was a lack of detailed studies characterizing the solution-state of polymer OSCs in terms of their conformation, degree of entanglement, polymer aggregation, and chain relaxation dynamics. The solution state properties are also likely to be influenced by the rigidity and molecular weight of the polymer OSCs investigated. Thus, we have focused our attention on gaining a better insight of polymer OSC films and solution processing methods. Through this proposal, our approach is to investigate the correlation between solution-state properties and the morphology of the resulting polymer OSC films. We worked three specific aims: investigate the effects of 1) polymer OSC solution-state properties on final film morphology; 2) molecular additives on the solution-state and final film properties; 3) controlled pre-aggregation in the solution-state in the final film morphology. More rigid and planar polymer backbones should promote interchain charge transport and more efficient interchain hopping between polymer chains. Through tailoring the polymer backbone, polymer sidechains, and molecular weight, we expected the altered solution-state properties to affect the final film morphology. In addition, reducing the entanglements and promoting chain alignment will likely prevent charge carrier trapping through conformation disorders. We thus studied different mechanisms, such as molecular additives, to reduce entanglements in solution. Devices fabricated from these solutions were expected to have improved charge transport abilities. In addition to tailoring the solution-state characteristics of the polymer OSCs, we investigated the effect of solution processing methods on the molecular packing and morphology of polymer OSC films. Two main solution processing techniques, e.g., spin-coating and solution shearing, were employed to fabricate OFETs. Spin coating was employed to prepare OSC films, which produce isotropic films. This technique creates several parameters to tune such as spin coating speed, acceleration, and time. Additionally, our research group developed the solution shearing method, which consists of the solution initially sandwiched between two plates. By sliding the top plate, the solution front is exposed and drying begins. This technique allows for the creation of aligned large crystalline domains. Solution shearing consists of different processing parameters which can affect the final morphology, such as shearing speed, substrate temperature and temperature gradient, distance between both plates, and the tilt angle of the top plate. Due to the complexity of the polymer systems investigated, numerous techniques were employed to characterize the polymer OSC solution state and films. All the materials were characterized using the DOE supported synchrotron X-ray scattering facilities at the Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource (SSRL). Using grazing incidence X-ray scattering (GIXS) and Near Edge X-ray Absorption Fine Structure (NEXAFS) techniques, the crystalline structure and molecular orientations of the thin films were measured. Optical absorption (UV-Vis) spectroscopy was employed to determine the aggregation state in solution and films of the polymer systems. Polarized UV-Vis also allowed for the determination of the relative degree of polymer chain alignment for solution sheared films. Additionally, various other techniques were used to investigate other properties within the film, such as atomic force microscopy (AFM) and solution rheology. Finally, the device performance is quantified through the fabrication and characterization of OFETs, which will highlight the effects of morphology on charge transport.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling methodology for MLS range navigation system errors using flight test data

Flight test data was used to develop a methodology for modeling MLS range navigation system errors. The data used corresponded to the constant velocity and glideslope approach segment of a helicopter landing trajectory. The MLS range measurement was assumed to consist of low frequency and random high frequency components. The random high frequency component was extracted from the MLS range measurements. This was done by appropriate filtering of the range residual generated from a linearization of the range profile for the final approach segment. This range navigation system error was then modeled as an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process. Maximum likelihood techniques were used to identify the parameters of the ARMA process.

Karmali, M. S.↗

A Scalable Distributed Approach to Mobile Robot Vision

This paper documents our progress during the first year of work on our original proposal entitled 'A Scalable Distributed Approach to Mobile Robot Vision'. We are pursuing a strategy for real-time visual identification and tracking of complex objects which does not rely on specialized image-processing hardware. In this system perceptual schemas represent objects as a graph of primitive features. Distributed software agents identify and track these features, using variable-geometry image subwindows of limited size. Active control of imaging parameters and selective processing makes simultaneous real-time tracking of many primitive features tractable. Perceptual schemas operate independently from the tracking of primitive features, so that real-time tracking of a set of image features is not hurt by latency in recognition of the object that those features make up. The architecture allows semantically significant features to be tracked with limited expenditure of computational resources, and allows the visual computation to be distributed across a network of processors. Early experiments are described which demonstrate the usefulness of this formulation, followed by a brief overview of our more recent progress (after the first year).

Kuipers, Benjamin↗

Spacecraft Mission Design for the Mitigation of the 2017 PDC Hypothetical Asteroid Threat

This paper presents a detailed mission design analysis results for the 2017 Planetary Defense Conference (PDC) Hypothetical Asteroid Impact Scenario, documented at https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/ pd/cs/pdc17/. The mission design includes campaigns for both reconnaissance (flyby or rendezvous) of the asteroid (to characterize it and the nature of the threat it poses to Earth) and mitigation of the asteroid, via kinetic impactor deflection, nuclear explosive device (NED) deflection, or NED disruption. Relevant scenario parameters are varied to assess the sensitivity of the design outcome, such as asteroid bulk density, asteroid diameter, momentum enhancement factor, spacecraft launch vehicle, and mitigation system type. Different trajectory types are evaluated in the mission design process from purely ballistic to those involving optimal midcourse maneuvers, planetary gravity assists, and/or lowthrust solar electric propulsion. The trajectory optimization is targeted around peak deflection points that were found through a novel linear numerical technique method. The optimization process includes constrain parameters, such as Earth departure date, launch declination, spacecraft/asteroid relative velocity and solar phase angle, spacecraft dry mass, minimum/maximum spacecraft distances from Sun and Earth, and Earth/spacecraft communications line of sight. Results show that one of the best options for the 2017 PDC deflection is solar electric propelled rendezvous mission with a single spacecraft using NED for the deflection

Barbee, Brent W.↗

Spacecraft Mission Design for the Mitigation of the 2017 PDC Hypothetical Asteroid Threat

This paper presents a detailed mission design analysis results for the 2017 Planetary Defense Conference (PDC) Hypothetical Asteroid Impact Scenario, documented at https:cneos.jpl.nasa.govpdcspdc17. The mission design includes campaigns for both reconnaissance (flyby or rendezvous) of the asteroid (to characterize it and the nature of the threat it poses to Earth) and mitigation of the asteroid, via kinetic impactor deflection, nuclear explosive device (NED) deflection, or NED disruption. Relevant scenario parameters are varied to assess the sensitivity of the design outcome, such as asteroid bulk density, asteroid diameter, momentum enhancement factor, spacecraft launch vehicle, and mitigation system type. Different trajectory types are evaluated in the mission design process from purely ballistic to those involving optimal midcourse maneuvers, planetary gravity assists, and/or low-thrust solar electric propulsion. The trajectory optimization is targeted around peak deflection points that were found through a novel linear numerical technique method. The optimization process includes constrain parameters, such as Earth departure date, launch declination, spacecraft, asteroid relative velocity and solar phase angle, spacecraft dry mass, minimum/maximum spacecraft distances from Sun and Earth, and Earth-spacecraft communications line of sight. Results show that one of the best options for the 2017 PDC deflection is solar electric propelled rendezvous mission with a single spacecraft using NED for the deflection.

Barbee, Brent W.↗

Conservative force model performance for TOPEX/Poseidon precision orbit determination

The TOPEX/Poseidon spacecraft was launched on August 10, 1992 to study the Earth's oceans. To achieve maximum benefit from the altimetric data collected, mission requirements dictate that TOPEX/Poseidon's orbit must be computed at an unprecedented level of accuracy. In order to satisfy these requirements, a model which accounts for the satellite's complex geometry, attitude, and surface properties has been developed. This `box-wing' representation treats the spacecraft as the combination of flat plates arranged in the shape of a box and a connecetd solar array. The nonconservative forces acting on each of the eight surfaces are computed independently, yielding vector accelerations which are summed to compute the total aggregate effect on the satellite center-of-mass. Parameters associated with each flat plate were derived from a finite element analysis of the spacecraft. Certain parameters can be inferred from tracking data and have been adjusted to obtain a better representation of the satellite acceleration history. Changes in the nominal mission profile and the presence of an `anomalistic' force have complicated this tuning process. Model performance, parameter sensitivities, and the `anomalistic' force will be discussed.

Marshall, J. Andrew↗

Modeling the X-Ray Process, and X-Ray Flaw Size Parameter for POD Studies

Nondestructive evaluation (NDE) method reliability can be determined by a statistical flaw detection study called probability of detection (POD) study. In many instances the NDE flaw detectability is given as a flaw size such as crack length. The flaw is either a crack or behaving like a crack in terms of affecting the structural integrity of the material. An alternate approach is to use a more complex flaw size parameter. The X-ray flaw size parameter, given here, takes into account many setup and geometric factors. The flaw size parameter relates to X-ray image contrast and is intended to have a monotonic correlation with the POD. Some factors such as set-up parameters including X-ray energy, exposure, detector sensitivity, and material type that are not accounted for in the flaw size parameter may be accounted for in the technique calibration and controlled to meet certain quality requirements. The proposed flaw size parameter and the computer application described here give an alternate approach to conduct the POD studies. Results of the POD study can be applied to reliably detect small flaws through better assessment of effect of interaction between various geometric parameters on the flaw detectability. Moreover, a contrast simulation algorithm for a simple part-source-detector geometry using calibration data is also provided for the POD estimation.

Khoshti, Ajay↗

Modeling the X-ray Process, and X-ray Flaw Size Parameter for POD Studies

Nondestructive evaluation (NDE) method reliability can be determined by a statistical flaw detection study called probability of detection (POD) study. In many instances, the NDE flaw detectability is given as a flaw size such as crack length. The flaw is either a crack or behaving like a crack in terms of affecting the structural integrity of the material. An alternate approach is to use a more complex flaw size parameter. The X-ray flaw size parameter, given here, takes into account many setup and geometric factors. The flaw size parameter relates to X-ray image contrast and is intended to have a monotonic correlation with the POD. Some factors such as set-up parameters, including X-ray energy, exposure, detector sensitivity, and material type that are not accounted for in the flaw size parameter may be accounted for in the technique calibration and controlled to meet certain quality requirements. The proposed flaw size parameter and the computer application described here give an alternate approach to conduct the POD studies. Results of the POD study can be applied to reliably detect small flaws through better assessment of effect of interaction between various geometric parameters on the flaw detectability. Moreover, a contrast simulation algorithm for a simple part-source-detector geometry using calibration data is also provided for the POD estimation.

Koshti, Ajay M.↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - FCIC Task 6: High Temperature Conversion

The impacts of feedstock variability on pyrolysis processes are significant but poorly defined. Current engineering designs are based on empirical guidelines, useful only over a narrow range of feedstock properties. The objectives of this project are to (1) Develop science-based knowledge of how feedstock attributes and operational parameters impact pyrolysis process reliability and product quality; and (2) Build an experimental and computational toolset that predicts these outcomes, enabling processes to optimize reliability and product quality. Biomass is a complex feedstock. Controlling for and testing the effects of individual attributes is very challenging. This project couples multiscale experimentation and modeling to accurately capture the fundamental physics and chemistry of biomass flow and conversion behavior in feeding and pyrolysis reactor operations. Our focus is on pine residue attributes – anatomical fraction (bark, needles, wood), particle morphology (size/shape distribution, density, porosity), and chemical composition (extractives, biopolymers, alkali metals) – that impact product quality for downstream catalytic upgrading. Because detailed pyrolysis product characterization is limited, cutting-edge analytical techniques are being developed to reveal impactful product attributes. The tools and knowledge developed here will enable integrated pyrolysis-based processes that are more robust, flexible, and market-responsive with respect to feedstock variability.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗