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Integrated policy assessment and optimisation over multiple sustainable development goals in Eastern Africa

Heavy reliance on traditional biomass for household energy in eastern Africa has significant negative health and environmental impacts. The African context for energy access is rather different from historical experiences elsewhere as challenges in achieving energy access have coincided with major climate ambitions. Policies focusing on household energy needs in eastern Africa contribute to at least three Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): Climate Action, Good Health, and Improved Energy Access. This study uses an integrated assessment model to simulate the impact of land policies and technology subsidies, as well as the interaction of both, on Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, exposure to air pollution and energy access in eastern Africa under a range of socioeconomic pathways. We find that land policies focusing on increasing the sustainable output of biomass resources can reduce GHG emissions in the region by about 10%, but also slightly delay progress in health and energy access goals. An optimised portfolio of energy technology subsidies of 11 to 14 dollars per capita up to 2030 can yield another 10% savings in GHG emissions, as well as 20% lower mortality related to air pollution, while improving energy access by up to 15%. After 2030, both land and technology subsidy policies become less cost-effective, and more dependent on the overall development path of the region. The analysis shows that subsidies for biogas technology should be prioritised in both the short and long term, while the distribution of a potential subsidy budget over LPG (health and energy access), PV (energy access), ethanol (climate and health) and charcoal (climate; if linked to land policies) pathways would depend on the most relevant sustainable development goal from the perspective of local policymakers or international organisations such as the Green Climate Fund. We suggest that integrated policy analysis is needed in the African context for simultaneously reaching progress in multiple SDGs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Implications of climate change impacts for emission and land use scenario development

Scenarios of future emissions and land use produced by integrated assessment models have traditionally been developed without accounting for how climate change impacts could affect the emissions and land use trajectories themselves. This omission risks skewing our assessments of the plausible range of future emission pathways and associated Earth system changes. Beyond the salience for emission scenario development, a better integrated representation of human and Earth system changes and feedbacks would enable better anticipation of the implications of alternative socio-economic development pathways. We use the Global Change Analysis Model to investigate whether endogenizing several impacts when generating its baseline emission scenario is warranted. We do so by comparing the emissions and land use change that result from the baseline scenario with and without impacts, where impacts are implemented as exogenous changes to water availability, crop and labor productivity, and energy demand and supply. Our results indicate that the effect on global emissions leads to less than 0.1 °C increase in warming by 2100 and therefore do not support endogenizing impacts. This conclusion is conditional on our modeling framework and the specific impact channels represented but is consistent with other studies that have addressed the magnitude of feedbacks by implementing a two-way coupling. However, we do find regional impacts indicating that local economies and well-being measures may be affected significantly.

climate impacts↗

Development of wind turbine blade recycling baselines in the United States

Over the past several years, the wind energy industry has received scrutiny regarding wind turbine blade (WTB) recycling due to the landfilling of WTBs caused by a lack of industrially viable recycling solutions. The amount of WTBs that will need to be recycled is set to increase in the United States as the deployment of wind energy is expected to rapidly grow to meet the nation's energy goals by 2035. While significant progress has been made worldwide, it is still unclear which WTB recycling solutions would be the most cost and energy effective within the United States for the existing fleet of wind turbines. To guide researchers and industry with a clear path forward, a range of options for WTB recycling in the United States are modeled through development of baseline scenarios and the use of formal life cycle assessment (LCA). Model data have been collected through literature review, industry engagement, and expert opinion regarding current end of life practices and considerations surrounding equipment, labor, and logistics. A detailed baseline for WTB decommissioning processes has been developed and used to assess alternative approaches, such as on-site shredding to compare the impacts on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The developed LCA model and baseline scenarios for WTB recycling is used to assess the current WTB decommissioning practices in the United States along with emerging recycling pathways, including cement kiln co-processing and pyrolysis. Initial findings indicate that there are different approaches to decommissioning WTBs in the United States, each of which has unique implications for recycling. In light of this finding, additional results from the modeling will be used to better understand decommissioning practices and assist in making educated decisions on recycling pathways for the future. Throughout the analysis, focus was given to where international efforts might differ from the United States. WTB recycling is occurring worldwide, and different countries have different drivers for creating markets for recycled WTB materials. The contrasts and similarities between the United States and other countries offer insight to areas of opportunity that the United States could investigate and areas that can be readily transferred from existing solutions. By modeling and characterizing the current decommissioning practices and potential recycling solutions for the United States, a clearer vision will be created for pathways forward as to how to handle end of life WTBs to enable more efficient and cost-effective opportunities for material recovery from end-of-life WTBs.

Korey, Matt↗

TEQUILA: a platform for rapid development of quantum algorithms

Variational quantum algorithms are currently the most promising class of algorithms for deployment on near-term quantum computers. In contrast to classical algorithms, there are almost no standardized methods in quantum algorithmic development yet, and the field continues to evolve rapidly. As in classical computing, heuristics play a crucial role in the development of new quantum algorithms, resulting in a high demand for flexible and reliable ways to implement, test, and share new ideas. In this paper, inspired by this demand, we introduce TEQUILA, a development package for quantum algorithms in PYTHON, designed for fast and flexible implementation, prototyping and deployment of novel quantum algorithms in electronic structure and other fields. TEQUILA operates with abstract expectation values which can be combined, transformed, differentiated, and optimized. On evaluation, the abstract data structures are compiled to run on state of the art quantum simulators or interfaces.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Source apportionment of airborne volatile organic compounds near unconventional oil and gas development

Oil and natural gas (ONG) extraction emits volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Certain VOCs are identified as hazardous air pollutants (HAPS) while others contribute to ozone formation. This study examines the impact of ONG operations on VOC levels during the development of multi-well ONG pads in suburban Broomfield, Colorado. From October 2018 to December 2020, weekly VOC measurements were taken at 18 sites across the area. These included spots near well pads, in adjacent neighborhoods, and at a background site, covering various stages of well pad development including drilling, hydraulic fracturing, flowback, and production. Analysis using Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) identified six factors, including combustion, background/biogenic sources, light and complex alkanes, drilling activities, and ONG acetylene. Factors linked to local ONG activities exhibited clear temporal and spatial correlations with Broomfield well development. Benzene source analysis revealed distinct contribution gradients, with ONG-related sources notably influencing areas near the well pads, particularly in pre-production. ONG-related weekly benzene contributions varied from 9% to 63% at a community background site and 18% to 89% in a neighborhood close to a well pad.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Community-Based Approach to Developing a Mobile Device for Measuring Ambient Air Exposure, Location, and Respiratory Health

In west Eugene (Oregon), community research indicates residents are disproportionately exposed to industrial air pollution and exhibit increased asthma incidence. In Carroll County (Ohio), recent increases in unconventional natural gas drilling sparked air quality concerns. These community concerns led to the development of a prototype mobile device to measure personal chemical exposure, location, and respiratory function. Working directly with the environmental justice (EJ) communities, the prototype was developed to (1) meet the needs of the community and; (2) evaluate the use in EJ communities. The prototype was evaluated in 3 community focus groups (n=25) to obtain feedback on the prototype and feasibility study design to evaluate the efficacy of the device to address community concerns. Focus groups were recorded and qualitatively analyzed with discrete feedback tabulated for further refinement. The prototype was improved by community feedback resulting in 8 alterations/additions to software and instructional materials. Overall, focus group participants were supportive of the device and believed it would be a useful environmental health tool. The use of focus groups ensured that community members were engaged in the research design and development of a novel environmental health tool. We found that community-based research strategies resulted in a refined device as well as relevant research questions, specific to the EJ community needs and concerns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Development of Martini 2.2 parameters for N -glycans: a case study of the HIV-1 Env glycoprotein dynamics

N-linked glycans are ubiquitous in nature and play key roles in biology. For example, glycosylation of pathogenic proteins is a common immune evasive mechanism, hampering the development of successful vaccines. Due to their chemical variability and complex dynamics, an accurate molecular understanding of glycans is still limited by the lack of effective resolution of current experimental approaches. Here, we have developed and implemented a reductive model based on the popular Martini 2.2 coarse-grained force field for the computational study of N-glycosylation. We used the HIV-1 Env as a direct applied example of a highly glycosylated protein. Finally, our results indicate that the model not only reproduces many observables in very good agreement with a fully atomistic force field but also can be extended to study large amount of glycosylation variants, a fundamental property that can aid in the development of drugs and vaccines.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

O-GlcNAc transferase Ogt regulates embryonic neuronal development through modulating Wnt/β-catenin signaling

Abstract Ogt-mediated O-GlcNAcylation is enriched in the nervous system and involves in neuronal development, brain function and neurological diseases. However, the roles of Ogt and O-GlcNAcylation in embryonic neurogenesis have remained largely unknown. Here, we show that Ogt is highly expressed in embryonic brain, and Ogt depletion reduces the proliferation of embryonic neural stem cells and migration of new born neurons. Ogt depletion in cultured hippocampal neurons impairs neuronal maturation, including reduced dendritic numbers and length, and immature development of spines. Mechanistically, Ogt depletion decreases the activity of Wnt/β-catenin signaling. Ectopic β-catenin rescues neuronal developmental deficits caused by Ogt depletion. Ogt also regulates human cortical neurogenesis in forebrain organoids derived from induced pluripotent stem cells. Our findings reveal the essential roles and mechanisms of Ogt-mediated O-GlcNAc modification in regulating mammalian neuronal development.

Shen, Hui↗

Appendix Q: Recommendations for Developing Molecular Assays for Microbial Pathogen Detection Using Modern In Silico Approaches

We describe the use of in silico approaches to improve the process of molecular assay development and reduce time and cost by utilizing available databases of whole genome pathogen sequences combined with modern bioinformatics and physical modeling tools. Well-characterized assays are needed for accurately detecting pathogens in environmental and patient samples and also for evaluation of the efficacy of a medical countermeasure that may be administered to patients. The polymerase chain reaction (PCR) remains the gold standard for pathogen detection due to the simplicity of its instrumentation, low cost of reagents, and outstanding limit of detection (LOD), sensitivity, and specificity. However, creation of such PCR assays often involves iterations of design, preliminary testing, and thorough validation with clinical isolates and testing in relevant matrices, which can be time consuming, costly, and result in suboptimal assays. Since formal validation (e.g., for Emergency Use Authorization [EUA] or Food and Drug Administration [FDA] licensure) of an infectious disease assay can be very expensive and can require extensive time of development, having a well-designed assay up front is a critical first step. Yet, many assays described in the literature utilized limited design capabilities and many initially promising assays fail the validation process, resulting in increased costs and timelines for successful product development. While the computational approaches outlined in this document by no means obviate the need for wet lab testing, they can reduce the amount of effort wasted on empirical optimization and iterative redesigns and also guide validation studies. The proposed computational approaches also result in higher performing assays with better sensitivity, specificity, and lower LOD and reduce the possibility of assay failure due to signature erosion. To provide clarity, an extensive glossary of defined terms is provided.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Transporters involved in pH and K + homeostasis affect pollen wall formation, male fertility, and embryo development

Flowering plant genomes encode multiple cation/H + exchangers (CHXs) whose functions are largely unknown. AtCHX17, AtCHX18, and AtCHX19 are membrane transporters that modulate K+ and pH homeostasis and are localized in the dynamic endomembrane system. Loss of function reduced seed set, but the particular phase(s) of reproduction affected was not determined. Pollen tube growth and ovule targeting of chx17chx18chx19 mutant pollen appeared normal, but reciprocal cross experiments indicate a largely male defect. Although triple mutant pollen tubes reach ovules of a wild-type pistil and a synergid cell degenerated, half of those ovules were unfertilized or showed fertilization of the egg or central cell, but not both female gametes. Fertility could be partially compromised by impaired pollen tube and/or sperm function as CHX19 and CHX18 are expressed in the pollen tube and sperm cell, respectively. When fertilization was successful in self-pollinated mutants, early embryo formation was retarded compared with embryos from wild-type ovules receiving mutant pollen. Thus CHX17 and CHX18 proteins may promote embryo development possibly through the endosperm where these genes are expressed. The reticulate pattern of the pollen wall was disorganized in triple mutants, indicating perturbation of wall formation during male gametophyte development. Lastly, as pH and cation homeostasis mediated by AtCHX17 affect membrane trafficking and cargo delivery, these results suggest that male fertility, sperm function, and embryo development are dependent on proper cargo sorting and secretion that remodel cell walls, plasma membranes, and extracellular factors.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Use of computational modeling combined with advanced visualization to develop strategies for the design of crop ideotypes to address food security

Sustainable crop production is a contributing factor to current and future food security. Innovative technologies are needed to design strategies that will achieve higher crop yields on less land and with fewer resources. Computational modeling coupled with advanced scientific visualization enables researchers to explore and interact with complex agriculture, nutrition, and climate data to predict how crops will respond to untested environments. These virtual observations and predictions can direct the development of crop ideotypes designed to meet future yield and nutritional demands. This review surveys modeling strategies for the development of crop ideotypes and scientific visualization technologies that have led to discoveries in “big data” analysis. Combined modeling and visualization approaches have been used to realistically simulate crops and to guide selection that immediately enhances crop quantity and quality under challenging environmental conditions. Lastly, this survey of current and developing technologies indicates that integrative modeling and advanced scientific visualization may help overcome challenges in agriculture and nutrition data as large-scale and multidimensional data become available in these fields.

3D crop modeling↗

Spatiotemporal cytokinin response imaging and ISOPENTENYLTRANSFERASE 3 function in Medicago nodule development

Most legumes can establish a symbiotic association with soil rhizobia that trigger the development of root nodules. These nodules host the rhizobia and allow them to fix nitrogen efficiently. The perception of bacterial lipo-chitooligosaccharides (LCOs) in the epidermis initiates a signaling cascade that allows rhizobial intracellular infection in the root and de-differentiation and activation of cell division that gives rise to the nodule. Thus, nodule organogenesis and rhizobial infection need to be coupled in space and time for successful nodulation. The plant hormone cytokinin (CK) contributes to the coordination of this process, acting as an essential positive regulator of nodule organogenesis. However, the temporal regulation of tissue-specific CK signaling and biosynthesis in response to LCOs or Sinorhizobium meliloti inoculation in Medicago truncatula remains poorly understood. In this study, using a fluorescence-based CK sensor (pTCSn::nls:tGFP), we performed a high-resolution tissue-specific temporal characterization of the sequential activation of CK response during root infection and nodule development in M. truncatula after inoculation with S. meliloti. Loss-of-function mutants of the CK-biosynthetic gene ISOPENTENYLTRANSFERASE 3 (IPT3) showed impairment of nodulation, suggesting that IPT3 is required for nodule development in M. truncatula. Simultaneous live imaging of pIPT3::nls:tdTOMATO and the CK sensor showed that IPT3 induction in the pericycle at the base of nodule primordium contributes to CK biosynthesis, which in turn promotes expression of positive regulators of nodule organogenesis in M. truncatula.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Evolutionary Variation in MADS Box Dimerization Affects Floral Development and Protein Abundance in Maize

Interactions between MADS-box transcription factors are critical in the regulation of floral development, and shifting MADS-box protein-protein interactions are predicted to have influenced floral evolution. However, precisely how evolutionary variation in protein-protein interactions affects MADS-box protein function remains unknown. To assess the impact of changing MADS-box protein-protein interactions on transcription factor function, we turned to the grasses, where interactions between B-class MADS-box proteins vary. We tested the functional consequences of this evolutionary variability using maize as an experimental system. We found that differential B-class dimerization was associated with subtle, quantitative differences in stamen shape. In contrast, differential dimerization resulted in large-scale changes to downstream gene expression. Differential dimerization also affected B-class complex composition and abundance, independent of transcript levels. This indicates that differential B-class dimerization affects protein degradation, revealing an important consequence for evolutionary variability in MADS-box interactions. Our results highlight complexity in the evolution of developmental gene networks - changing protein-protein interactions could affect not only the composition of transcription factor complexes, but also their degradation and persistence in developing flowers. Here, our results also show how coding change in a pleiotropic master regulator could have small, quantitative effects on development.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Deciphering mineralogical changes and carbonation development during hydration and ageing of a consolidated ternary blended cement paste

To understand the main properties of cement, a ubiquitous material, a sound description of its chemistry and mineralogy, including its reactivity in aggressive environments and its mechanical properties, is vital. In particular, the porosity distribution and associated sample carbonation, both of which affect cement's properties and durability, should be quantified accurately, and their kinetics and mechanisms of formation known both in detail and in situ . However, traditional methods of cement mineralogy analysis ( e.g. chemical mapping) involve sample preparation ( e.g. slicing) that can be destructive and/or expose cement to the atmosphere, leading to preparation artefacts ( e.g. dehydration). In addition, the kinetics of mineralogical development during hydration, and associated porosity development, cannot be examined. To circumvent these issues, X-ray diffraction computed tomography (XRD-CT) has been used. This allowed the mineralogy of ternary blended cement composed of clinker, fly ash and blast furnace slag to be deciphered. Consistent with previous results obtained for both powdered samples and dilute systems, it was possible, using a consolidated cement paste (with a water-to-solid ratio akin to that used in civil engineering), to determine that the mineralogy consists of alite (only detected in the in situ hydration experiment), calcite, calcium silicate hydrates (C-S-H), ettringite, mullite, portlandite, and an amorphous fraction of unreacted slag and fly ash. Mineralogical evolution during the first hydration steps indicated fast ferrite reactivity. Insights were also gained into how the cement porosity evolves over time and into associated spatially and time-resolved carbonation mechanisms. It was observed that macroporosity developed in less than 30 h of hydration, with pore sizes reaching about 100–150 µm in width. Carbonation was not observed for this time scale, but was found to affect the first 100 µm of cement located around macropores in a sample cured for six months. Regarding this carbonation, the only mineral detected was calcite.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Steps in the Development of Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Fuels

Due to the recent increased interest in Mars and deep-space missions it has been determined to be feasible to revisit the ability for the United States to build a Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) system. The need to make and qualify a NTP fuel that meets mission performance requirements is an essential first step. Graphite fuels and cermet fuels are of particular interest since these fuels have shown significant advantages over other fuel types. This paper will address the history of NTP fuel fabrication technology as related to the NERVA, GE 710, and Argonne National Laboratory’s Nuclear Fuel Programs as well as recent efforts in recapturing heritage fuels and develop new NTP fuels. Substantial experimental databases and supporting documentation exists for the composite fuel. Some irradiation and high temperature test data is available for cermet fuels, but cermet fuels were never tested at prototypic NTP conditions. A first step in the development effort will be a fuel fabrication recapture effort to provide samples to show that the technology works and performance of the fuel is acceptable. Advances in fuel fabrication, materials processing, and coating technology are expected to improve and/or enhance future fuel development, maturation and certification efforts. The current plan is to perform, non-nuclear separate-effects and integrated tests to provide additional test data and insight into the capabilities of each fuel and to use that data to evaluate potential performance within a NTP engine stage.

Qualls, A↗

Neutron Measurement Instrumentation Development at KIT for the European ITER TBM

Fusion power reactors will rely on the internal production of the fuel tritium from lithium in the tritium breeding blanket. Test Blanket Modules (TBM) will be installed in ITER with the aim to investigate the nuclear performance of different breeding blanket designs. Currently there is no fully qualified nuclear instrumentation available for the measurement of neutron fluxes and tritium production rates which would be able to withstand the harsh environment conditions in the TBM such as high temperature (>400 deg. C) and, depending on the operation scenario, intense radiation levels. As partner of the European Consortium on Nuclear Data and Measurement Techniques in the framework of several F4E specific grants and contracts, KIT and ENEA have jointly studied the possibility to develop and test detectors suitable to operate in ITER-TBMs. Here we present an overview of ongoing work on three types of neutron flux monitors under development for the TBMs with focus on the KIT activities. A neutron activation system (NAS) with pneumatic sample transport could provide absolute neutron flux measurements in selected positions. A test system for investigating activation materials with short half-lives was constructed at the DT neutron generator laboratory of Technical University of Dresden to investigate the neutronics aspects. Several irradiations have been performed with focus on the simultaneous measurement of the extracted activated probes. An engineering assessment of a TBM NAS in the conceptual design phase has been done which considered issues of design requirements and integration. Last but not least, a mechanical test bench is under construction at KIT which will address issues of driving the activation probes, solutions for loading the system etc. experimentally. Self-powered neutron detectors (SPND) are widely applied in fission reactor monitoring, and the commercially available SPNDs are sensitive to thermal neutrons. We are investigating novel materials for SPND which would be sensitive also to the fast neutron flux expected in the TBMs. To this end simulations were done with the European Activation System EASY and neutron flux spectra which were calculated with MCNP for the HCPB TBM. Preliminary tests with commercial SPND in a fast reactor were performed. As a result of these activities, several materials have been found which may be suitable for the measurement of fast neutron fluxes in the TBM. Test detectors are under preparation for testing with DT neutron generators. Within the I{sub S}MART project, funded by KIC InnoEnergy, KIT is developing an online detector based on silicon carbide electronics for the TBMs. The operation of such detectors at TBM relevant temperatures is expected to incur lower accumulated radiation damage to them than at room temperature due to annealing effects. Detectors of several designs have been already irradiated with DT neutrons. Irradiation tests at elevated temperatures have been done and further tests are currently underway. This paper summarizes the status of the work for these three neutron flux monitor systems. (authors)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Development of a Power Electronics-based Testbed for a Flexible Combined Heat and Power System

A flexible combined heat and power (F-CHP) concept, enabled by a power electronics-based power conditioning system (PCS), has been recently proposed as a cost-effective way for supporting the grid with high penetration of renewable energy sources. To verify the design, control, and performance of the overall system, a laboratory-scale testbed is essential. This paper focuses on the development of a power electronics-based testbed for such a F-CHP system. The developed testbed can test the control, grid-connected mode operation, islanded mode operation, and mode transitions, including planned/unplanned islanding and reconnection, of the F-CHP system. In the grid-connected mode, both the steady state and transients of the ac grid can be emulated, and various grid support functions can be tested with the help of the developed PCS converter. In the islanded mode, the external ac loads can also be supported by the F-CHP system. Also, the central controller, which is implemented in a NI CompactRIO, can be tested. Experimental test results for the grid-connected mode, islanded mode, and mode transitions are provided to validate the testbed design.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development of Dynamic Model of a Ternary Pumped Storage Hydropower Plant

Hydropower is the largest source of renewable energy in the United States. Pumped storage hydropower (PSH) is a hydropower plant that can generate power when it operates as a hydro turbine, and it can absorb power from the electric grid when it is pumping water from the lower reservoir to the upper reservoir. The conventional role of PSH is as an energy arbitrage: it sells power when the price of electricity is high (i.e., during peak hours of energy demand), and it is operated as a pump during times when the price of electricity is low (e.g., midnight to dawn). PSH is an important part in hydropower generation. Currently, the total installed capacity is approximately 22 GW. Recently, a new type of PSH was developed, called ternary PSH (T-PSH). T-PSH is a type of advanced PSH that is different from conventional PSH and adjusted-speed PSH. T-PSH uses a single generator rotating in one direction with two different runners connected to the same shaft (i.e., one is for pumping water, and the other is for generating power as a turbine). This paper presents the development of a dynamic model of T-PSH for power system analysis. T-PSH can be operated in three different modes: generating mode, pumping mode, and hydraulic short-circuit (HSC) mode. The three modes of operation will be presented in this paper. A new combined governor is developed to represent the HSC operation mode, which is a special mode for T-PSH. The power command is divided into two parts, and a distribution coefficient is introduced to regulate the transitions from one mode to the other. Simulation and validation results are presented to verify the performance of the governor model and the characteristics of T-PSH.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗