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At least 1,567 records · Page 87

Model Formulations: Market clearing models, market design specifications, and dispatch simulation

This document provides various model formulations that will be implemented for the Energy Storage Participation Algorithm pilot competition (ESPA-Comp). This competition will assess the performance of different storage offer algorithms in terms of their ability to maximize the value of storage resources participating under various market designs that vary in the range of complexity of possible storage offers. The model formulations include a general market clearing optimization model and specification to implement it in various market designs. We provide specifications for three market designs to be tested in ESPA-Comp, which we call the two-settlement, multi-settlement, and rolling horizon forward markets. The market designs include different trading frequencies and offer formats. Storage resources participating in the market are provided with primitive values for the resource’s physical capabilities, and they are provided with a storage offer format that their algorithms will be tasked with populating. A detailed physical model is used to assess each storage resource’s ability to maintain its scheduled dispatch according to its state-of-charge, operating temperature, and power conversion efficiency.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

On the application of nonlinear load elements to thermal analyses using the NASTRAN thermal analyzer

The nonlinear load elements in thermal analysis are used to simulate an undocumented nonlinear thermal boundary condition. The treatment of the nonlinearity arising from the temperature-dependent convective film coefficients is shown in detail. As an illustration, emphasis is placed on the modeling techniques and their interrelationships with the solution accuracy as affected by a specific integration algorithm of the transient thermal analysis used in the NASTRAN Thermal Analyzer. Briefly shown is the underlying theory on which the maneuvering of terms pertinent to the modeling depends. This demonstration provides some insight into the intricacies of the method that would be general to all applications. A recommendation is also made to modify a nonlinear load element that will enhance the solution capability and broaden the scope of application.

Lee, H. P.↗

Defining the Polar Vortex Edge Using an N2O: Potential Temperature Correlation Versus the Nash Criterion: A Comparison

A prerequisite to study phenomena in the winter stratospheric polar vortex is the separation of measurements inside and outside the dynamical barrier of the vortex edge. We describe a technique to accurately determine the inner edge of the vortex boundary region from measurements of potential temperature and a trace gas, such as N2O, and apply it to in situ aircraft and balloon measurements from the SOLVE/THESE02000 Arctic campaign. The method may be used to refine the Nash algorithm, which, due to the inherently coarser resolution of potential vorticity on which it is dependent, may misidentify the inner edge by up to 466 km, and omit the identification of small, extra-vortex filaments within the vortex.

Greenblatt, Jeffery B.↗

Development and Testing of Data Mining Algorithms for Earth Observation

The new algorithms developed under this project included a principled procedure for classification of objects, events or circumstances according to a target variable when a very large number of potential predictor variables is available but the number of cases that can be used for training a classifier is relatively small. These "high dimensional" problems require finding a minimal set of variables -called the Markov Blanket-- sufficient for predicting the value of the target variable. An algorithm, the Markov Blanket Fan Search, was developed, implemented and tested on both simulated and real data in conjunction with a graphical model classifier, which was also implemented. Another algorithm developed and implemented in TETRAD IV for time series elaborated on work by C. Granger and N. Swanson, which in turn exploited some of our earlier work. The algorithms in question learn a linear time series model from data. Given such a time series, the simultaneous residual covariances, after factoring out time dependencies, may provide information about causal processes that occur more rapidly than the time series representation allow, so called simultaneous or contemporaneous causal processes. Working with A. Monetta, a graduate student from Italy, we produced the correct statistics for estimating the contemporaneous causal structure from time series data using the TETRAD IV suite of algorithms. Two economists, David Bessler and Kevin Hoover, have independently published applications using TETRAD style algorithms to the same purpose. These implementations and algorithmic developments were separately used in two kinds of studies of climate data: Short time series of geographically proximate climate variables predicting agricultural effects in California, and longer duration climate measurements of temperature teleconnections.

Glymour, Clark↗

A Generalized Logical Format for Inter-Calibrated Brightness Temperatures for the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission

An important aspect of the GPM mission is the merging of precipitation data from multiple radiometers on different satellites. This requires that each radiometer be consistently calibrated and that each be intercalibrated with a mission reference standard. For GPM the reference standard is to be the core satellite carrying a dual frequency precipitation radar and a well calibrated conically scanning radiometer. This paper describes a common format for representing these intercalibrated brightness temperatures which will be used for all radiometer products from GPM partner satellites. The use of common formats ensures that users obtain all the required information and also facilitates the rain retrieval algorithm code preparation as it can always except to have the data that it needs for the retrieval.

Stocker, Erich Franz↗

Forecasting Evaluation of WindSat in the Coastal Environment

WindSat has demonstrated that measurements from polarimetric space-based microwave radiometers can be used to retrieve global ocean surface vector winds. Since the date of launch in 2003, substantial incremental improvements have been made to WindSat data processing, calibration, and retrieval algorithms. The retrievals now have higher resolution, improved wind vector ambiguity removal, and enhanced capability to represent high winds. Utilization of WindSat retrievals (wind vectors, total precipitable water, rainrate and sea surface temperature) will be demonstrated in the context of operational weather forecasting applications, especially the monitoring of topographically-forced winds. Examples will be presented from various parts of the world, including inland seas, midlatitude oceans, the tropics, and the United States. We will illustrate retrievals in extreme high- and extreme low-wind regimes, both of which can be problematic. Rain contamination will be addressed. We will include a comparison of WindSat vector maps to corresponding maps from the QuikScat scatterometer. We will discuss how near-realtime data from WindSat is being transitioned to specific offices within the National Weather Service.

Lee, Thomas F.↗

Development and Assessment of the SMAP Enhanced Passive Soil Moisture Product

Launched in January 2015, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) observatory was designed to provide frequent global mapping of high-resolution soil moisture and freeze-thaw state every two to three days using a radar and a radiometer operating at L-band frequencies. Despite a hardware mishap that rendered the radar inoperable shortly after launch, the radiometer continues to operate nominally, returning more than two years of science data that have helped to improve existing hydrological applications and foster new ones.Beginning in late 2016 the SMAP project launched a suite of new data products with the objective of recovering some high-resolution observation capability loss resulting from the radar malfunction. Among these new data products are the SMAP Enhanced Passive Soil Moisture Product that was released in December 2016, followed by the SMAPSentinel-1 Active-Passive Soil Moisture Product in April 2017.This article covers the development and assessment of the SMAP Level 2 Enhanced Passive Soil Moisture Product (L2_SM_P_E). The product distinguishes itself from the current SMAP Level 2 Passive Soil Moisture Product (L2_SM_P) in that the soil moisture retrieval is posted on a 9 km grid instead of a 36 km grid. This is made possible by first applying the Backus-Gilbert optimal interpolation technique to the antenna temperature (TA) data in the original SMAP Level 1B Brightness Temperature Product to take advantage of the overlapped radiometer footprints on orbit. The resulting interpolated TA data then go through various correctioncalibration procedures to become the SMAP Level 1C Enhanced Brightness Temperature Product (L1C_TB_E). The L1C_TB_E product, posted on a 9 km grid, is then used as the primary input to the current operational SMAP baseline soil moisture retrieval algorithm to produce L2_SM_P_E as the final output. Images of the new product reveal enhanced visual features that are not apparent in the standard product. Based on in situ data from core validation sites and sparse networks representing different seasons and biomes all over the world, comparisons between L2_SM_P_E and in situ data were performed for the duration of April 1, 2015 October 30, 2016. It was found that the performance of the enhanced 9 km L2_SM_P_E is equivalent to that of the standard 36 km L2_SM_P, attaining a retrieval uncertainty below 0.040 m(exp 3)/m(exp 3) unbiased root-mean-square error (ubRMSE) and a correlation coefficient above 0.800. This assessment also affirmed that the Single Channel Algorithm using the V-polarized TB channel (SCA-V) delivered the best retrieval performance among the various algorithms implemented for L2_SM_P_E, a result similar to a previous assessment for L2_SM_P.

Enhanced↗

Machine Learning Applications to Metal-Silicate Equilibria and their Insights into Core Formation

An extensive number of studies have experimentally investigated how elements distribute between metal and silicate phases, to better constrain core-mantle chemical equilibrium. Here, we present a new database compiling all (to our knowledge) experimental data on liquid metal-silicate partitioning from 118 peer-reviewed publications. We applied various machine learning techniques to gain further insights into these partitioning equilibria and their dependencies. We performed a network analysis to investigate the relationship between experiments and partition coefficients, which enables visualizing gaps in the experimental dataset and biases related to varying experimental conditions and analytical setup. In addition, semi-empirical thermodynamic models are commonly used to extrapolate these chemical reactions to the wide range of pressure, temperature and compositional conditions of planetary differentiation. These models are based on linear regressions that assume continuous relationship between partition coefficients and experimental variables. Here, we considered random forest regressions, which are algorithms based on ensembles of decision trees and does not consider continuous effects of each variable. The application of this regression significantly improves the prediction of metal-silicate partitioning for several elements including Ni, Si and Cr. We will show how this new approach improves our understanding of elemental exchange between metal and silicate and their implications for the Earth’s core formation.

siderophile element↗

Process Optimization

Process optimization is the discipline of adjusting a process to optimize a specified set of parameters without violating engineering constraints. This article reviews data-driven optimization methods based on genetic algorithms and stochastic models and demonstrates their use in powder-bed fusion and directed energy deposition processes. In the latter case, closed-loop feedback is used to control melt pool temperature and cooling rate in order to achieve desired microstructure.

Sprayberry, Michael↗

Cone-grid scheme for solving hyperbolic systems of conservation laws and one application

In this work, we introduce a new numerical method, the so-called cone-grid scheme for solving hyperbolic systems of conservation laws. The formulation and the theoretical analysis for this scheme are slightly simpler than other algorithms. Simultaneously, our technique leads to a more efficacious numerical scheme. The Riemann solution is the basic ingredient for this scheme. We also give the main application of this technique, namely the global weak solutions for the one-dimensional model prescribes heat conduction in solids at low temperature, which called phonon–Bose model. This system consists of a conservation equation for the energy density and the heat flux. The scheme also satisfies positivity. The cone-grid scheme was compared with exact solution by three numerical examples, where explicit solutions are known. These numerical results verify the accuracy of the proposed scheme qualitatively and quantitatively.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data-Enabled Predictive Control for Building HVAC Systems

Model predictive control is widely used as a control technology for the computation of optimal control inputs of building heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. However, both the benefits and widespread adoption of model predictive control (MPC) are hindered by the effort of model creation, calibration, and accuracy of the predictions. In this paper, we apply the data-enabled predictive control (DeePC) algorithm for designing controls for building HVAC systems. The algorithm solely depends on input/output data from the system to predict future state trajectories without the need for system identification. The algorithm relies on the idea that a vector space of all input–output trajectories of a discrete-time linear time-invariant (LTI) system is spanned by time-shifts of a single measured trajectory, given the input signal is persistently exciting. Closed-loop simulations using EnergyPlus are performed to demonstrate the approach. The simulated building modeled in EnergyPlus is a modified commercial large office prototype building served by an air handling unit-variable air volume HVAC system. Temperature setpoints of zones are used as control variables to minimize the HVAC energy cost of the building considering a time-of-use electricity rate structure. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis is conducted to gain insights into the effect of parameter tuning on DeePC performance. Simulation results are used to illustrate the performance of the algorithm and compare the algorithm with model-based MPC and occupancy-based setpoint controller. Overall, DeePC achieves similar performance compared to MPC for lower engineering effort.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A New Measurement of the Temperature–density Relation of the IGM from Voigt Profile Fitting

We decompose the Lyman-α (Lyα) forest of an extensive sample of 75 high signal-to-noise ratio and high-resolution quasar spectra into a collection of Voigt profiles. Absorbers located near caustics in the peculiar velocity field have the smallest Doppler parameters, resulting in a low-b cutoff in the b- distribution set primarily by the thermal state of the intergalactic medium (IGM). We fit this cutoff as a function of redshift over the range 2.0 ≤ z ≤ 3.4, which allows us to measure the evolution of the IGM temperature-density (T = T 0 (ρ/ρ 0 ) γ-1 ) relation parameters T 0 and γ. We calibrate our measurements against mock Lyα forest data generated using 26 hydrodynamic simulations with different thermal histories from the THERMAL suite, also encompassing different values of the IGM pressure smoothing scale. We adopt a forward-modeling approach and self-consistently apply the same algorithms to both data and simulations, propagating both statistical and modeling uncertainties via Monte Carlo. The redshift evolution of T 0 (γ) shows a suggestive peak (dip) at z = 2.9 (z = 3). Our measured evolution of T 0 and γ is generally in good agreement with previous determinations in the literature. Both the peak in the evolution of T 0 at z = 2.8, as well as the high temperatures T 0 ≃ 15,000-20,000 K that we observe at 2.4 < z < 3.4, strongly suggest that a significant episode of heating occurred after the end of H I reionization, which was most likely the cosmic reionization of He II.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improved Characterization of PSC Processes Derived from a Third-Generation CALIOP and MLS Detection and Composition Classification Algorithm

The new 3-year CloudSat and CALIPSO Science Team project described in this poster will use a unique combination of data from the Cloud-Aerosol LIdar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instrument on CALIPSO and the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) on Aura, in conjunction with supporting meteorological information and detailed modeling studies, to advance our understanding of polar stratospheric cloud (PSC) processes and their role in ozone depletion. We will develop a third-generation (Gen3) PSC detection and composition algorithm that incorporates a new, more robust two-dimensional, multi-channel CALIOP feature detection scheme (2D-McDA). We will also devise and implement an improved two-dimensional PSC composition classification scheme that utilizes multiple parameters (e.g., CALIOP 532-nm parallel and perpendicular scattering ratios, CALIOP 1064-nm total scattering ratio, MLS HNO3 and H2O, ambient temperature, and temperature histories) in a Bayesian approach to determine the most likely PSC composition and help constrain solid PSC particle number density and size/shape. The combined CALIOP/MLS analyses will allow us to study in detail the full life cycle of PSCs and their resulting impact on gas-phase HNO3 and H2O, which should lead to improved parameterizations of PSC microphysics in global CCMs where detailed particle information is not available. The Gen3 CALIOP PSC algorithm will be a natural stepping-stone toward the analysis of data collected during future spaceborne lidar missions, such as NASA’s Atmosphere Observation System (AtmOS) mission currently scheduled for launch late in this decade. We will also investigate possible trends in PSC occurrence and composition over the entire CALIOP data record and through further comparisons with the Stratospheric Aerosol Measurement (SAM) II solar occultation PSC record from 1979-1989. Finally, we will validate the mountain-wave parameterization and PSC schemes used in the UM-UKCA (Unified Model coupled to the United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosol module) chemistry-climate model through detailed comparisons with earlier CALIOP PSC data products and those developed under this proposal.

CALIPSO↗

Integrating novel stellarator single-stage optimization algorithms to design the Columbia stellarator experiment

Abstract The Columbia Stellarator eXperiment (CSX), currently being designed at Columbia University, aims to test theoretical predictions related to QA plasma behavior, and to pioneer the construction of an optimized stellarator using three-dimensional, non-insulated high-temperature superconducting (NI-HTS) coils. The magnetic configuration is generated by a combination of two circular planar poloidal field (PF) coils and two 3D-shaped interlinked (IL) coils, with the possibility to add windowpane coils to enhance shaping and experimental flexibility. The PF coils and vacuum vessel are repurposed from the former Columbia Non-Neutral Torus experiment, while the IL coils will be custom-wound in-house using NI-HTS tapes. To obtain a plasma shape that meets the physics objectives with a limited number of coils, novel single-stage optimization techniques are employed, optimizing both the plasma and coils concurrently, in particular targeting a tight aspect ratio QA plasma and minimized strain on the HTS tape. Despite the increased complexity due to the expanded degrees of freedom, these methods successfully identify optimized plasma geometries that can be realized by coils meeting engineering specifications. This paper discusses the derivation of the constraints and objectives specific to CSX, and describe how two recently developed single-stage optimization methodologies are applied to the design of CSX. A set of selected configurations for CSX is then described in detail.

Baillod, A. (ORCID:0000000303529180)↗

Classical analog of quantum models in synthetic dimensions

We introduce a classical analog of quantum matter in ultracold molecule-synthetic or Rydberg atom-synthetic dimensions, by extending the Potts model to include interactions J 1 between atoms adjacent in both real and synthetic space and studying its finite-temperature properties. For intermediate values of J 1 , the resulting phases and phase diagrams are similar to those of the clock and Villain models, in which three phases emerge. There exists a sheet phase analogous to that found in quantum synthetic dimension models between the high-temperature disordered phase and the low-temperature ferromagnetic phase. Furthermore, we also employ machine learning to uncover nontrivial features of the phase diagram using the learning by confusion approach, which is able to discern several successive phase transitions.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Experimental Investigations for Optimizing the Extrusion Parameters on FDM PLA Printed Parts

Fused deposition modeling (FDM) has become one of the most extensively used additive manufacturing technologies in recent years because of its wide adaptability, simple mechanism and low cost. It is difficult, however, to achieve an equitable trade-off among mechanical properties, surface finish quality and production time, which is an area seldom explored. This paper concentrates on the optimization of the parameters to achieve higher tensile strength and lower surface roughness with less build time during the FDM process based on central composite design for the tensile specimen forming process. The effects of five extrusion parameters (nozzle diameter, liquefier temperature, extrusion velocity, filling velocity and layer thickness) on the three outputs of tensile strength (TS), surface roughness (SR) and build time (BT) are investigated. Response surface methodology combined with nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II is developed to optimize the process parameters to achieve the maximum TS, minimum SR and BT, as verified by subsequent experiments. The predicted results are found to be very close to the experimental data, illustrating that the presented approach in this paper is effective for improving mechanical properties, surface finish and efficiency of the FDM process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Uncertain characterization of reservoir fluids due to brittleness of equation of state regression

Equations of state (EoS) play a central role in modeling the phase equilibrium of fluid mixtures. Their parameterization involves fitting a model to experimental data, i.e., solving a nonlinear, non-convex, multivariate optimization problem. The latter requires one to select design variables, domains of definition for each variable, and weights assigned to individual measurements. We demonstrate that subjective choices of an optimization algorithm and an initial guess also impact the regression process. Consequently, EoS predictions are fundamentally uncertain even after the EoS tuning to a limited set of experimental data points. We demonstrate this observation for two hydrocarbon reservoir fluids, in which five properties of the heaviest carbon fraction are treated as design variables. While all the optimization algorithms and initial guesses match experimental data for the gas and liquid properties, the resulting EoS parameterizations lead to dramatically different predictions of the fluid’s thermophysical behavior in the unsampled pressure and temperature regions. In conclusion, we propose the probabilistic treatment of design variables to quantify the predictive uncertainty of the resulting fluid models.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Haxall-based (Axon) fault auto-correction package for building HVAC system (Haxall-based Fault Correction) v1.0

Haxall-based Fault Correction is a set of fault auto-correction algorithms implemented using the Axon language. These algorithms can automatically fix equipment and control problems as they arise and improve the operation of building Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems. The coded auto-correction algorithms include mitigation of rogue zones, ASHRAE Guideline 36 static pressure and supply air reset, resolution of control hunting due to improper settings in a proportional-integral-derivative controller, correction of biased temperature sensors, etc. FDD tools with enhanced auto-correction capability can resolve control problems as they are detected, increasing energy savings and emissions reductions while freeing up operational staff expertise for the hardest facility problems.

Vitti, Raphael↗