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Recent Updates to the Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) Version 7.1

The Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) code is maintained and used by the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) and has been under continuous development and improvement since the mid-1990s. ORSAT is an object-oriented reentry simulation tool; it models a satellite as a collection of discrete components that follow independent trajectories upon the breakup of the parent object. Version 7.1 of the tool incorporates five years of new thermal and aerodynamic model development, multi-processor parametric study capability, codebase upgrades, and numerous bug-fixes. The thermal demise model was completely rewritten using a forward-time/central-space numerical stencil and incorporating a new pyrolysis model for fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP) materials. New aerodynamic and aeroheating models for hollow cylinders and hollow square prisms were developed using a combination of flow simulations in the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) Analysis Code (DAC) and Data Parallel Line Relaxation (DPLR) code and free-flight tests in the University of Texas at San Antonio’s Hypersonic Wind Tunnel. The latest version also incorporates a mechanical, strength-based demise model for FRP materials. Minor improvements include an update to the Fortran 2018 codebase; improved integration and speed with the Python-based, multi-core, parametric study tool, AutoORSAT; and fixes for many minor bugs. This new version of ORSAT will enable more accurate reentry risk assessments for modern satellites. This paper presents an overview of these changes and a summary of the verification and validation performed on the final code.

Benton R. Greene↗

Atmospheric Correction Inter-comparison eXercise, ACIX-II Land: An Assessment of Amospheric Correction Processors for Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2 Over Land

The correction of the atmospheric effects on optical satellite images is essential for quantitative and multi-temporal remote sensing applications. In order to study the performance of the state-of-the-art methods in an integrated way, a voluntary and open-access benchmark Atmospheric Correction Inter-comparison eXercise (ACIX) was initiated in 2016 in the frame of Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) Working Group on Calibration & Validation (WGCV). The first exercise was extended in a second edition wherein twelve atmospheric correction (AC) processors, a substantially larger testing dataset and additional validation metrics were involved. The sites for the inter-comparison analysis were defined by investigating the full catalogue of the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) sites for coincident measurements with satellites' overpass. Although there were more than one hundred sites for Copernicus Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 acquisitions, the analysis presented in this paper concerns only the common matchups amongst all processors, reducing the number to 79 and 62 sites respectively. Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) and Water Vapour (WV) retrievals were consequently validated based on the available AERONET observations. The processors mostly succeeded in retrieving AOD for relatively light to medium aerosol loading (AOD < 0.2) with uncertainties <0.08, while the overall uncertainty values were typically 0.23 ± 0.15. Better performances were observed for WV retrievals with >90% of the results falling within the suggested empirical specifications and with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) being mostly <0.25 g/cm2. Regarding Surface Reflectance (SR) validation two main approaches were followed. For the first one, a simulated SR reference dataset was computed over all of the test sites by using the 6SV (Second Simulation of the Satellite Signal in the Solar Spectrum vector code) full radiative transfer modelling (RTM) and AERONET measurements for the required aerosol variables and water vapour content. The performance assessment demonstrated that the retrievals were not biased for most of the bands. The uncertainties ranged from approximately 0.003 to 0.01 (excluding B01) for the best performing processors in both sensors' analyses. For the second one, measurements from the radiometric calibration network RadCalNet over La Crau (France) and Gobabeb (Namibia) were involved in the validation. The performance of the processors was in general consistent across all bands for both sensors and with low standard deviations (<0.04) between on-site and estimated surface reflectance. Overall, our study provides a good insight of AC algorithms' performance to developers and users, pointing out similarities and differences for AOD, WV and SR retrievals. Such validation though still lacks of ground-based measurements of known uncertainty to better assess and characterize the uncertainties in SR retrievals.

Atmospheric correction↗

Evaluation of Low Power ARM Processors for Monte Carlo Particle Transport: MCNP6 on the ARM Cortex-A8 - Paper 83

In the push towards exascale computing, the limiting factors are power requirements and heat dissipation. Using current technology, the power required to drive an exascale supercomputer would near 400-MW. Clearly, future computing hardware will have to be more energy efficient in order to achieve exascale performance. Most of the current research in advanced computing architectures is in the use of standard CPUs with accelerators. However, these accelerators are not generally supported by the traditional scientific programming languages (C, C++, and Fortran) and the scientific software must be tailored specifically to take advantage of the accelerators. Large scale scientific software (hundreds-of-thousand to millions of lines of code) can not be easily ported to the computing platform du jour. The widespread use of low power ARM based processors in the mobile computing market offer a low power alternative to accelerators that are also supported by the traditional scientific programming languages and programming paradigms such as MPI and OpenMP. Computing architectures for scientific computing are often assessed using standard benchmarks such as LINPACK benchmark or using suites of mini-applications that are greatly simplified stand-ins for scientific software. Often the real applications that will deployed on the scientific supercomputers are not ported or tested until delivery of the machines. In order to evaluate the use of ARM processors for scientific computing the Monte Carlo particle transport code, MCNP version 6 was compiled on the ARM Cortex-A8 and a set of benchmark problems were used to assess performance in comparison to an Intel Xeon E5-2670 and the low power Intel Atom N270. MCNP is a continuous energy Monte Carlo particle transport code in development at Los Alamos National Laboratory since 1977. MCNP is used to transport neutrons, photon, electrons, and charged particles using continuous energy interaction data. It is commonly used in fields of nuclear power, nuclear medicine, radiation protection, and high-energy physics through-out the world. MCNP version 6 is approximately 450 thousand lines of code, written primary in Fortran90, with some C and C++. MCNP supports distributed multiprocessing using MPI and threading with OpenMP. The ARM Cortex-A8 executes MCNP6 using about twice as much power as the Intel Xeon E5-2670 and about the same amount of power as the Intel Atom N270. However, these results are encouraging for the use of low-power ARM chips in future supercomputers. The ARM Cortex-A8 is a 32-bit CPU and it's NEON general-purpose SIMD (single-instruction multiple data) engine does not support double-precision floating-point arithmetic. More recent ARM processors (ARM Cortex-A53 and Cortex-A57) support 64-bit addressing and have NEON co-processors that support double-precision floating-point arithmetic. ARM claims that the A50 series delivers a performance increase of 15 times the Cortex-A8 performance for similar power usage. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Simple Coupling of Reactor Physics Effects and Uncertain Nuances

The "Simple Coupling of Reactor Physics Effects and Uncertain Nuances" (SCORPEUN) code is a simple r-z 1-group neutron diffusion code where each r-mesh is coupled to a single-flow-channel model that represents all flow-channels in that r-mesh. This 1-D model assesses q=m*Cp*deltaT for each z-mesh in that channel. This flow channel model is then coupled to a simple 1-D heat conduction model for ascertaining the peak center-line fuel temperature in a hypothetical pin assigned to that flow channel. The code has property lookup capability for water, Na, Zirc, HT9, metallic fuel, oxide fuel, etc. It has linear interpolation features for microscopic cross-sections with respect to coolant density and fuel temperature. ***This last feature has not been fully tested and may need development***. The interpolated microscopic cross-sections are then combined (using the water density from the T/H calculation) to generate macroscopic diffusion coefficient, removal cross-section and nu-sigmaF for each r-z mesh of the neutron diffusion code.

Bays, Samuel↗

Extravehicular Mobility Unit Penetration Probability from Micrometeoroids and Orbital Debris: Revised Analytical Model and Potential Space Suit Improvements

The NASA Extravehicular Mobility Unit (EMU) micrometeoroid and orbital debris protection ability has recently been assessed against an updated, higher threat space environment model. The new environment was analyzed in conjunction with a revised EMU solid model using a NASA computer code. Results showed that the EMU exceeds the required mathematical Probability of having No Penetrations (PNP) of any suit pressure bladder over the remaining life of the program (2,700 projected hours of 2 person spacewalks). The success probability was calculated to be 0.94, versus a requirement of >0.91, for the current spacesuit s outer protective garment. In parallel to the probability assessment, potential improvements to the current spacesuit s outer protective garment were built and impact tested. A NASA light gas gun was used to launch projectiles at test items, at speeds of approximately 7 km per second. Test results showed that substantial garment improvements could be made, with mild material enhancements and moderate assembly development. The spacesuit s PNP would improve marginally with the tested enhancements, if they were available for immediate incorporation. This paper discusses the results of the model assessment process and test program. These findings add confidence to the continued use of the existing NASA EMU during International Space Station (ISS) assembly and Shuttle Operations. They provide a viable avenue for improved hypervelocity impact protection for the EMU, or for future space suits.

Chase, Thomas D.↗

Impact of Dutch nuclear fuel cycle scenarios on radionuclide inventory intended for disposal - 15201

One of the main subjects of Dutch five-year research program into geological disposal of radioactive waste, OPERA, is the post-closure radiological safety assessment. Reliable estimates of the radionuclide inventory and matrix composition are an important input for the safety assessment. The amounts and categories of waste foreseen to be disposed in 2130 the Netherlands have been compiled by the Dutch waste management organisation COVRA. Additionally, NRG has made a characterisation of the waste (radionuclides and matrix). This reference inventory is based on the Dutch base nuclear energy scenario of operating the Dutch single reactor, the Borssele NPP, until its presently scheduled shut-down in 2033. However, changes in the presently adopted nuclear fuel cycle strategy in the Netherlands may impact both the quantities of generated radioactive waste and its composition, and therefore the source term of the radiological safety assessment. To get a grip on this uncertainty a set of alternative future fuel cycle scenarios in the Netherlands, which are in compliance with scenarios formulated in the Dutch vision documents, has been considered and evaluated. The scenarios have been analysed with the computer code DANESS, 'Dynamic Analysis of Nuclear Energy System Strategies'. The result of the DANESS analyses concerns the amount and type of the radioactive waste to be finally disposed in a deep geological repository. This also includes the inventories of the individual radionuclides that are relevant for the post-closure safety assessment to be performed in a subsequent stage of the OPERA program. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Evaluation of the VIIRS Land Algorithms at Land PEATE

The Land Product Evaluation and Algorithm Testing Element (Land PEATE), a component of the Science Data Segment of the National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite System (NPOESS) Preparatory Project (NPP), is being developed at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). The primary task of the Land PEATE is to assess the quality of the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Land data products made by the Interface Data Processing System (IDPS) using the Operational (OPS) Code during the NPP era and to recommend improvements to the algorithms in the IDPS OPS code. The Land PEATE uses a version of the MODIS Adaptive Processing System (MODAPS), NPPDAPS, that has been modified to produce products from the IDPS OPS code and software provided by the VIIRS Science Team, and uses the MODIS Land Data Operational Product Evaluation (LDOPE) team for evaluation of the data records generated by the NPPDAPS. Land PEATE evaluates the algorithms by comparing data products generated using different versions of the algorithm and also by comparing to heritage products generated from different instrument such as MODIS using various quality assessment tools developed at LDOPE. This paper describes the Land PEATE system and some of the approaches used by the Land PEATE for evaluating the VIIRS Land algorithms during the pre-launch period of the NPP mission and the proposed plan for long term monitoring of the quality of the VIIRS Land products post-launch.

Wolfe, Robert E.↗

Assessing the Impact of Effective Thermal Conductivity on Gas-cooled Reactor Transients in RELAP5-3D

High-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs) are a relatively mature advanced reactor concept that are of interest to industry and government for near-term deployment. These systems feature passive safety through low power density, coated particle fuels, and large graphite volumes that lead to slow heatup. In loss of flow transients, cooldown is achieved through conduction and radiation heat transfer. In prismatic block-type reactors, such as the mHTGR-350, the presence of coolant holes and fuel compacts alters the flow of heat through the blocks. To capture this effect in systems codes like RELAP5-3D, relationships for effective thermal conductivity (ETC) must be used to appropriately degrade the thermal conductivity. This work presents an assessment of the impact of ETC on performance of block-type gas-cooled reactors in a pressurized conduction cooldown (PCC) and depressurized conduction cooldown (DCC) transients. Models for PCC and DCC with bulk material thermal conductivity and ETC were run for both the mHTGR-350 and the High-Temperature Test Facility (HTTF) to determine the impact of ETC on transient performance.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

RAVEN User Manual

RAVEN is a generic software framework to perform parametric and probabilistic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed to provide dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the Thermo-Hydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose probabilistic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable to agnostically communicate with any system code. This agnosticism includes providing Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). These APIs are used to allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by inputs files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating the system response, and investigating the input space using Monte Carlo, Grid, or Latin Hyper Cube sampling schemes, but its strength is focused to- ward system feature discovery, such as limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN has started in 2012, when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework became stronger. RAVEN principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concept developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just the individuation of the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the closeness (or not) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. for an important process such as peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. The initial development of RAVEN has been focused on providing dynamic risk assessment capability to RELAP-7, currently under development at the INL and, likely, future replacement of the RELAP5-3D code. Most the capabilities that have been implemented having RELAP-7 as principal focus are easily deployable for other system codes. For this reason, several side activates are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with soft- ware such as RELAP5-3D, etc. The aim of this document is the explanation of the input requirements, focalizing on the input structure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Final Technical Report

Statement of the problem or situation that is being addressed in your application. The DOE and its national laboratories developed the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and to share energy information through the MLS listing, appraisal, and financing channels. While the HES is an instrumental tool, it is currently underutilized and consists of technical, structural and sector barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale and many energy efficiency contractors are understandably overwhelmed by the added time and effort and lack of incentive to sell and deliver deep retrofit projects while simultaneously meeting the DOE HES program requirements; consequently, contractors may decide to forgo participation. Home Energy Rating System (HERS) Raters have the opportunity to play the critical Assessor role in producing a Home Energy Score (HES); this role has immense potential but currently is unfulfilled. Lastly, while utilities are interested in their customer base achieving greater energy efficiency, especially to help offset growing residential loads in states like California that are accelerating electrification, utilities do not have access to the market actors who are on the front line of influence to homeowners or review and approve their permits: HERS Raters, assessors, contractors and building departments. General statement of how this problem is being addressed: ConSol will integrate the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California (CHEERS+HES). The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES and develop measures to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. How is this problem being addressed? What is the overall project approach? In effort to expand the Home Energy Score™ (HES) by increasing the use of aggregable home energy asset data, ConSol proposes to integrate the DOE HES via Application Programming Interface (API) to its State of California approved home energy rating services platform (CHEERS). Once the CHEERS platform and HES are integrated (CHEERS+HES), this enhanced platform will be instantly available and actively deployed via Phase 1 pilot to HERS Raters, assessors and contractors in California to market-test the solution, understand the rate of adoption and identify opportunities for improvement prior to scaling nationally. The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the building industry and homeowners with an easy-to-use assessment if energy and carbon impacts of existing homes, and assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. What is to be done in Phase I? During Phase I of this proposed project, ConSol will (1) design software architecture that links CHEERS to the Home Energy ScoreTM via API, (2) solicit partnership from one or more California utilities for a regional pilot, (3) test the new software with its HERS Raters and contractor network in the partnership utility jurisdiction, (4) launch a pilot version of the newly developed software with HERS Raters and contractors in the utility territory, and (5) explore California’s GoGreen energy efficiency homeowner lending program in parallel with the pilot. Commercial Applications and Other Benefits. Summarize the future applications or public benefits if the project is carried over into Phase II or Phase III and beyond. The CHEERS+HES commercialized product will be ready for national market scale following a successful Phase 1 performance. The CHEERS+HES adoption is estimated to reach a 5% adoption growth rate versus the 110,000 baseline, starting in Year 1 after Phase I completion, and continuing each year. As a direct benefit to the DOE, CHEERS will set a goal of 100,000 Home Energy Score assessments for existing home alterations within the first 10 years following Phase 1 performance. The technical benefits of this proposed project include the harmonized, automated, and seamless integration of the DOE HES into the widely used and market leading California energy registry, CHEERS. The social benefits include the aggregate energy, cost and GHG savings by allowing the broader public streamlined access to the CHEERS+HES measurement and the energy efficiency recommended measures that may result. Key Words: Home Energy ScoreTM (HES); Application Programming Interface (API); Home Energy Rating Services (HERS); HERS Raters; contractors; assessors; existing homes, energy asset data; cost, energy, and emissions saving measures; energy code (Title 24) compliance; document repository; utilities; pilot; newly developed software; energy efficiency; homeowner. Summary for Members of Congress: The DOE Home Energy Score™ (HES) is a tool to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and share energy information but is underutilized and consists of barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale. In effort to expand the HES, CHEERS, Inc. will integrate the HES to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California.

Application Programming Interface (API)↗

Quantitative Comparison of Proprietary and Open-Source Georeferencing Tools for Use with Astronaut Photography

The Crew Earth Observations (CEO) Facility within the Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit at NASA’s Johnson Space Center supports the acquisition, analysis, and curation of astronaut photography of Earth’s surface and atmosphere. Astronauts on the International Space Station (ISS) respond to requests from CEO to acquire imagery of scientific and education targets, to include high profile targets in response to activations from the International Charter for Space & Major Disasters (also known as the International Disaster Charter, or IDC) and NASA’s Disasters Program. CEO facilitates the acquisition of astronaut photography in response to IDC events and delivers georeferenced data products to the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for distribution to the disaster community. Using GeoRef, an internal web-based tool developed in collaboration with NASA’s Ames Research Center, CEO generates data packages of georeferenced imagery, uncertainty images for assessing control and tie point accuracy, and metadata documenting raw and processed data. Operational experience with the Georef software identified vulnerabilities to internal code and server errors that can significantly increase time of data production. As such, CEO developed a backup procedure in case the GeoRef software experiences front-end or back-end errors. A system using OSGEO’s open-source QGIS software combined with a semi-automated pipeline using the object-oriented Python language and the Geospatial Abstract Library for generating metadata is quantitatively compared to GeoRef’s data package for quality and productivity. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) provides a standard measurement of data quality as it relates to ground error. Assessing RMSE measurements generated from georeferenced astronaut photographs acquired with different obliquity and focal length offers a comprehensive accuracy assessment of the software’s transformation algorithms. This assessment will indicate the software's ability to produce data products with the least ground-error or highest data quality regarding ground accuracy. In addition, a comparison of the software’s efficiency in generating a data package that includes georeferenced images, metadata, and uncertainty images for measuring tie/ground point error was performed. Initial results, based on the comparison of three nadir-facing astronaut photographs acquired with a 95mm focal length, reveal the QGIS-based system's average RMSE is 2.36 (pixels) suggesting its georectification system produces data products that meet and perhaps improve upon Georef solution's average RMSE of 32.99 (pixels). However, the QGIS system was unable to reproduce two unique Georef data products, uncertainty images for measuring tie and control point errors and a translated unwrapped image. In addition, the Georef software is designed to accept handheld camera pose information from a hardware component (Geosens) scheduled for deployment on the ISS in late 2018; this information is intended to provide increased accuracy and auto-registration capability for astronaut photographs. Future work is expected to determine the QGIS-based georectification system’s potential as an open-source alternative (and operational backup) to Georef for georeferencing the full range of resolutions and viewing angles unique to handheld digital camera imagery in support of ISS disaster response activities.

Jagge, Amy M.↗

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program Interrogation of Alkali-Silica Reaction Degraded Concrete Samples using Acoustic and Thermal Techniques to Support Development of a Structural Health Monitoring Framework

Assessment and management of aging concrete structures in nuclear power plants require a more systematic approach than simple reliance on existing code margins of safety. Health monitoring of concrete structures is performed to understand the current condition of a structure based on heterogeneous measurements and then produce high-confidence actionable information regarding structural integrity. This information can then be used to support operational and maintenance decisions. The proposed diagnosis and prognosis framework consists of four elements: health monitoring, data analytics, uncertainty quantification, and prognosis. The objectives of this ongoing research project focuses on health monitoring and data analytics of concrete slab cast, which is cured using four pockets of reactive aggregates: pure silica, wells, placitas, and spratt. A controlled concrete slab with four aggregates is cast at Vanderbilt University in representative conditions to accelerate degradation due to alkali-silica reaction (ASR). Four nondestructive evaluation (NDE) techniques (thermography, mechanical deformation measurements, nonlinear impact resonance-acoustic spectroscopy, and vibro-acoustic modulation) are used to examine the degraded concrete slab. Heterogeneous data from these techniques are analyzed for assessing ASRrelated degradation in concrete samples. In addition, this report discusses thermography assessment of three cement bricks cured under different conditions to accelerate ASR-related degradation. The application of the digital image correlation technique to study ASR-related degradation on a large concrete sample at the University of Tennessee Knoxville is discussed and initial observations are presented in this report. The results from the data analysis of the NDE techniques on concrete slab cured at Vanderbilt University are discussed in detail in this report. The major outcome of the analysis suggests that the nonlinear impact resonance acoustic spectroscopy is able to detect potential degradation in a concrete slab but is unable to locate or isolate the degradation. Alternatively, the vibro-acoustic technique is able to detect degradation and locate the damage in the concrete slab cast. The outcomes supports development of a structural health monitoring framework.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

BISON Fuel Performance Analysis of IFA-796 Rod 3 & 4 and Investigation of the Impact of Fuel Creep

In order to improve the accident tolerance of light water reactor (LWR) fuel, alternative cladding materials have been proposed to replace the currently used zirconium (Zr)-based alloys. Of these materials, there is a particular focus on iron-chromiumaluminum (FeCrAl) alloys because they exhibit slower oxidation kinetics in high-temperature steam than Zr-alloys. This should decrease the energy release due to oxidation and slow cladding consumption in the presence of high temperature steam. These alloys should also exhibit increased “coping time” in the event of an accident scenario by improving the mechanical performance at high temperatures, allowing greater flexibility to achieve core cooling. As a continuation of the development of these alloys, in-reactor irradiation testing of FeCrAl cladded fuel rods has started. In order to provide insight on the possible behavior of these fuel rods as they undergo irradiation in the Halden Boiling Water Reactor, engineering analysis has been performed using FeCrAl material models implemented into the BISON fuel performance code. This milestone report provides an update on the ongoing development of modeling capability to predict FeCrAl cladding fuel performance and to provide an early look at the possible behavior of planned in-reactor FeCrAl cladding experiments. In particular, this report consists of two separate analyses. The first analysis consists of fuel performance simulations of IFA-796 rod 4 and two segments of rod 3. These simulations utilize previously implemented material models for the C35M FeCrAl alloy and UO2 to provide a bounding behavior analysis corresponding to variation of the initial fuel cladding gap thickness within the fuel rod. The second analysis is an assessment of the fuel and cladding stress states after modification of the fuel creep model that is currently implemented in the BISON fuel performance code. Effects from modifying the fuel creep model were identified for the BISON simulations of the IFA-796 rod 4 experiment, but show that varying the creep model (within the range investigated here) only provide a minimal increase in the fuel radius and maximum cladding hoop stress. Continued investigation of fuel behavioral models will include benchmarking the modified fuel creep model against available experimental data, as well as an investigation of the role that fuel cracking will play in the compliance of the fuel. Correctly calculating stress evolution in the fuel is key to assessing fuel behavior up to gap closure and the subsequent deformation of the cladding due to PCMI. The inclusion of frictional contact should also be investigated to determine the axial elongation of the fuel rods for comparison with data from this experiment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Isotopic and Fuel Lattice Parameter Trends in Extended Enrichment and Higher Burnup LWR Fuel Vol I: PWR fuel

Commercial light water reactor (LWR) operators and fuel vendors in the United States are pursuing changes to nuclear fuel that include extended enrichment (EE) and accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) designs. The term EE (8% > 235 U > 5%) is used in this report to refer to a subset of high assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) that is considered usable in commercial US LWRs in the near term. ATF features are designed to improve fuel system performance under accident conditions. One goal of EE is to improve fuel cycle economy by enabling fuel to be depleted to higher burnup than the typical current maximum pin burnup limits (62 gigawatt-days per metric ton of uranium [GWd/MTU]). Adoption of EE, ATF, and high burnup (HBU) fuels in the US commercial fleet requires a clear understanding of the effects on core physics parameters and used fuel isotopic content, as well as confidence in the accuracy of computer code predictions over an expanded range of materials, enrichment, and burnup. A thorough understanding of the applicability and adequacy of benchmark data (e.g., criticality, decay heat, isotopic content) for computer code validation is necessary to ensure that appropriate safety margins are maintained. To prepare for and support these potential changes, the effects of EE, ATF, and HBU are being assessed for selected representative LWR fuel designs. The project is divided into phases: this report summarizes the findings of Phase 1, which focuses on the lattice physics parameter and used fuel isotopic changes for a conventional Westinghouse 17×17 pressurized water reactor (PWR) design. The primary investigation tool is the SCALE Polaris code using the SCALE 56-group Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF)/B-VII.1 cross sections. The goal of the current work is to (1) identify and explain important effects of EE and HBU (reactivity, lattice physics, and isotopic effects) assuming that PWR fuel design and usage remain similar to those for current enrichment fuel, (2) provide limited code-to-code comparisons with higher order cross section libraries and/or codes, and (3) identify any apparent anomalous trends in the results for further investigation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Coupled full core neutron transport/CFD simulations of pressurized water reactors

Recently as part of the CASL project, a capability to perform 3D whole-core coupled neutron transport and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) calculations was demonstrated. This work uses the 2D/1D transport code DeCART and the commercial CFD code STAR-CCM+. It builds on previous CASL work demonstrating coupling for smaller spatial domains. The coupling methodology is described along with the problem simulated and results are presented for fresh hot full power conditions. An additional comparison is made to an equivalent model that uses lower order T/H feedback to assess the importance and cost of high fidelity feedback to the neutronics problem. A simulation of a quarter core Combustion Engineering (CE) PWR core was performed with the coupled codes using a Fixed Point Gauss-Seidel iteration technique. The total approximate calculation requirements are nearly 10,000 CPU hours and 1 TB of memory. The problem took 6 coupled iterations to converge. The CFD coupled model and low order T/H feedback model compared well for global solution parameters, with a difference in the critical boron concentration and average outlet temperature of 14 ppm B and 0.94 deg. C, respectively. Differences in the power distribution were more significant with maximum relative differences in the core-wide pin peaking factor (Fq) of 5.37% and average relative differences in flat flux region power of 11.54%. Future work will focus on analyzing problems more relevant to CASL using models with less approximations. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The RISMC Approach to Perform Advanced PRA Analyses

The existing fleet of nuclear power plants is in the process of extending its lifetime and increasing the power generated from these plants via power uprates. In order to evaluate the impact of these two factors on the safety of the plant, the RISMC Pathway aims to develop simulation-based tools and methods to assess risks for existing nuclear power plants in order to optimize safety. This pathway, by developing new methods, is extending the state-of-the-practice methods that have been traditionally based on logic structures such as Event-Trees and Fault-Trees. These static types of models mimic system response in an inductive and deductive way respectively, yet are restrictive in the ways they can represent spatial and temporal constructs. RISMC analyses are performed by using a combination of thermal-hydraulic codes and a stochastic analysis tool currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory, i.e. RAVEN. This paper presents a case study in order to show the capabilities of the RISMC methodology to assess impact of power uprate of a boiling water reactor system during a station blackout accident scenario. We employ the system simulator code, RELAP5-3D, coupled with RAVEN which perform the stochastic analysis. Our analysis is in fact performed by: 1) sampling values of a set of parameters from the uncertainty space of interest, 2) simulating the system behavior for that specific set of parameter values and 3) analyzing the set of simulation runs. Results obtained give a detailed investigation of the issues associated with a plant power uprate including the effects of station blackout accident scenarios. We are able to quantify how the timing of specific events was impacted by a higher nominal reactor core power. Such safety insights can provide useful information to the decision makers to perform risk informed margins management.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

LOW MACH NUMBER MODELING OF CONVECTION IN HELIUM SHELLS ON SUB-CHANDRASEKHAR WHITE DWARFS. I. METHODOLOGY

We assess the robustness of a low Mach number hydrodynamics algorithm for modeling helium shell convection on the surface of a white dwarf in the context of the sub-Chandrasekhar model for Type Ia supernovae. We use the low Mach number stellar hydrodynamics code, MAESTRO, to perform three-dimensional, spatially adaptive simulations of convection leading up to the point of the ignition of a burning front. We show that the low Mach number hydrodynamics model provides a robust description of the system.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Dirac's equation and its implications for density functional theory based calculations of materials containing heavy elements

Electronic structure calculations based on density functional theory (DFT) give quantitatively accurate predictions of properties of most materials containing light elements. For heavy materials, and in particular for f -electron systems, DFT based methods can fail both qualitatively and quantitatively for two distinct reasons: their failure to describe confinement effects arising from localized f -electron behavior and their incomplete or approximate treatment of relativity. In addition, different methods for incorporating relativistic effects, which give identical results in most light materials, can give different predictions in heavy elements. In order to develop a quantitative capability for calculating the properties of these materials, it is essential to separate the predictions of the underlying equations from the uncertainty introduced in approximations used in computation. Working toward that goal, here we have developed a code, called dirac-fp , which is based directly on solving the Dirac-Kohn-Sham equations and uses the full-potential linear muffin-tin orbital (FP-LMTO) approach to electronic structure. In order to assess the performance of dirac-fp , we perform calculations on three different face-centered cubic materials using different approximate treatments of relativity: the scalar relativistic (SR) approach commonly used in most solid-state DFT codes, the scalar relativistic plus spin-orbit coupling corrections (SR+SO) approach which includes spin-orbit coupling self-consistently using the SR states inside the muffin tins, and the Dirac-Kohn-Sham (Dirac) approach implemented in dirac-fp . Performing calculations on thorium, in which relativistic effects should be strong, aluminum, in which relativistic effects should be negligible, and gold, in which relativistic effects play an intermediate role, we find that the Dirac approach is able to provide theoretically consistent results in the electronic structure and ground-state properties across all three materials.

3-dimensional systems↗