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At least 1,603 records · Page 89

Projected increase in compound dry and hot events over global land areas

Abstract Under global warming, dry and hot events have been increasing in recent decades and are projected to increase in the future across global land areas. The impacts of compound dry and hot events may lead to increased stress to the natural and human systems than separate dry or hot events. Thus, quantitative assessments of global land areas affected by these compound events are needed to understand their risks. This study focuses on the variation in global land and cropland areas affected by compound dry and hot events for both historical and future periods using observations from Climatic Research Unit (CRU) and simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models. Based on historical observations and simulations, a substantial increase in the spatial extent of these compound events was detected, especially since the 1980s. Climate model projections under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario reveal that both global land and cropland areas affected by compound dry and hot events will increase to approximately 1.7–1.8 times by the end of the 21st century. Based on different thresholds of compound events, the spatial extent of global land areas during the June–July–August (December–January–February) season will increase by 12.38–17.20% (7.83–11.19%) in 2050–2099 relative to that in 1950–1999, and the spatial extent of global cropland areas will increase by 14.69–19.63% (9.60–14.48%). The increase in areas affected by compound dry and hot events may lead to more losses in different sectors in the future and more efforts are needed to cope with their potential impacts.

Wu, Xinying↗

Heavy neutral leptons at the Electron-Ion Collider

The future Electron-Ion Collider (EIC) at Brookhaven National Laboratory, along with its primary capacity to elucidate the nuclear structure, will offer new opportunities to probe physics beyond the Standard Model coupled to the electroweak sector. Among the best motivated examples of such new physics are new heavy neutral leptons (HNLs), which are likely to play a key role in neutrino mass generation and lepton number violation. We study the capability of the EIC to search for HNLs, which can be produced in electron- proton collisions through charged current interactions as a consequence of their mixing with light neutrinos. We find that, with the EIC design energy and integrated luminosity, one is able to probe HNLs in the mass range of 1 – 100 GeV with mixing angles down to the order of 10 -4 - 10 -3 through the prompt decay signatures, and in the mass range of 1 10 GeV with |U e | 2 ~ 10 -6 - 10 -4 via the displaced decay signatures. We also consider the invisible mode where an HNL is undetected or decaying to dark sector particles. One could potentially probe heavy HNLs for mixing angles in the window 10 -3 - 10 -2 , provided SM background systematics can be brought under control. These searches are complementary to other probes of HNLs, such as neutrino-less double-β decay, meson decay, fixed-target, and high-energy collider experiments.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

LSZ in action: extracting form factors from correlators nonperturbatively in 2d ϕ4 theory

Abstract In this paper, we compute multiparticle form factors of local operators in 2dϕ 4 theory using a recently proposed method [1] for efficiently implementing the LSZ prescription with Hamiltonian Truncation methods, and we adopt Lightcone Conformal Truncation (LCT) in particular for our calculations. We perform various checks of our results at weak and strong coupling, and elucidate the parametric behavior of truncation errors. This opens up the possibility to compute S-matrix in various strongly coupled models using the LSZ method in LCT.

Physics↗

Search for new particles in final states with a boosted top quark and missing transverse momentum in proton-proton collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV with the ATLAS detector

A search for events with one top quark and missing transverse momentum in the final state is presented. The fully hadronic decay of the top quark is explored by selecting events with a reconstructed boosted top-quark topology produced in association with large missing transverse momentum. The analysis uses 139 fb -1 of proton-proton collision data at a centre-of-mass energy of $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV recorded during 2015-2018 by the ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider. The results are interpreted in the context of simplified models for Dark Matter particle production and the single production of a vector-like T quark. Without significant excess relative to the Standard Model expectations, 95% confidence-level upper limits on the corresponding cross-sections are obtained. The production of Dark Matter particles in association with a single top quark is excluded for masses of a scalar (vector) mediator up to 4.3 (2.3) TeV, assuming m χ = 1 GeV and the model couplings λ q = 0.6 and λ χ = 0.4 (a = 0.5 and g χ = 1). The production of a single vector-like T quark is excluded for masses below 1.8 TeV assuming a coupling to the top quark κ T = 0.5 and a branching ratio for T → Zt of 25%.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Searching for neutrino polarizability at DUNE

We perform an initial study of DUNE’s sensitivity to enhanced neutrino polarizability within models of light scalar mediators. We identify two possible signatures of polarizability due to neutrino scattering on electrons and due to coherent scattering on argon nuclei. These result in either one or two separated electromagnetic showers, respectively, with no associated hadronic activity. For each signature we compute the signal rates and the relevant backgrounds, obtaining the projected reach of the DUNE near detector. We then compare this with the current astrophysical and terrestrial bounds on light scalar models coupling to neutrinos and/or photons.

Carey, Sam [Wayne State U.] (ORCID:000900029607531↗

Search for new particles in events with one lepton and missing transverse momentum in pp collisions at $ \sqrt{s} $ = 8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

This paper presents a search for new particles in events with one lepton (electron or muon) and missing transverse momentum using 20.3 fb -1 of proton-proton collision data at $ \sqrt{s} $ = 8 TeV recorded by the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider. No significant excess beyond Standard Model expectations is observed. A W' with Sequential Standard Model couplings is excluded at the 95% confidence level for masses up to 3.24 TeV. Excited chiral bosons (W*) with equivalent coupling strengths are excluded for masses up to 3.21 TeV. In the framework of an effective field theory limits are also set on the dark matter-nucleon scattering cross-section as well as the mass scale M* of the unknown mediating interaction for dark matter pair production in association with a leptonically decaying W.[Figure not available: see fulltext.]

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

The role of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation in the global mean temperature variability

We simulated the global mean 1900–2015 warming by 42 Coupled Models Inter-comparison Project, phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models varies between 0.58 and 1.70 °C. The observed warming according to the NASA GISS temperature analysis is 0.95 °C with a 1200 km smoothing radius, or 0.86 °C with a 250 km smoothing radius. The projection of the future 2015–2100 global warming under a moderate increase of anthropogenic radiative forcing (RCP4.5 scenario) by individual models is between 0.7 and 2.3 °C. The CMIP5 climate models agree that the future climate will be warmer; however, there is little consensus as to how large the warming will be (reflected by an uncertainty of over a factor of three). Moreover, a parsimonious statistical regression model with just three explanatory variables [anthropogenic radiative forcing due to greenhouse gases and aerosols (GHGA), solar variability, and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) index] accounts for over 95 % of the observed 1900–2015 temperature variance. This statistical regression model reproduces very accurately the past warming (0.96 °C compared to the observed 0.95 °C) and projects the future 2015–2100 warming to be around 0.95 °C (with the IPCC 2013 suggested RCP4.5 radiative forcing and an assumed cyclic AMO behavior). The AMO contribution to the 1970–2005 warming was between 0.13 and 0.20 °C (depending on which AMO index is used) compared to the GHGA contribution of 0.49–0.58 °C. During the twenty-first century AMO cycle the AMO contribution is projected to remain the same (0.13–0.20 °C), while the GHGA contribution is expected to decrease to 0.21–0.25 °C due to the levelling off of the GHGA radiative forcing that is assumed according to the RCP4.5 scenario. Therefore, the anthropogenic contribution and natural variability are expected to contribute about equally to the anticipated global warming during the second half of the twenty-first century for the RCP4.5 trajectory.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterizing Reactive Transport Behavior in a Three-Dimensional Discrete Fracture Network

While several studies have linked network and in-fracture scale properties to conservative transport behavior in subsurface fractured media, studies on reactive transport cases remain relatively underdeveloped. In this study, we explore the behavior of an irreversible kinetic reaction during the interaction of two solute plumes, one consisting of species A and the other species B. When the plumes converge, these species react kinetically to form a new species C via A+B→kC. This reactive system is studied using a three-dimensional discrete fracture network (DFN) model coupled with reactive Lagrangian particle tracking. We find that the interplay of network topology and chemical properties of the reactive solutes controls reactive transport processes. The network topology drives species A and B together, and the chemical properties dictate whether and how quickly a reaction occurs. Results demonstrate that reactions are most likely to occur in high-velocity fractures that make up the network backbone. The interplay between species’ chemical properties and transport is characterized by a non-dimensional Damköhler (Da) number. We show that the spatial distribution of reactions is sensitive to Da, which subsequently influences late-time tailing behavior in outlet breakthrough time distributions. The results of this study provide initial insights into how an irreversible reaction occurs during transport in a fracture network, using a methodology that can be applied to study reactive transport in a wide range of fractured media environments and contexts.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Study of the Mechanism of Liquid Slag Infiltration for Lubrication in Slab Continuous Casting

Consistent and uniform lubrication of the solidifying shell, especially in the meniscus, is crucial for the smooth continuous casting operation and production of strands free of surface defects. Thus, the current study established a coupled model to study the inflow behavior of liquid slag to the mold-strand channel, taking the solidification of steel and slag and the periodic oscillation of mold into account. The difficulties and solutions for the simulation were described in detail. The predicted profiles of the slag rim and initial shell were in good agreement with the reports. The main results indicated that liquid slag could be squeezed out and back into the slag pool in a negative strip period while a large amount of liquid slag could infiltrate into the mold-strand channel. Thus, the amount of slag consumed in the negative strip period was relatively small compared with that in the positive strip period. The predicted variation of slag consumption during mold oscillation was periodic, and the average value was 0.274 kg/m{sup 2}, which agreed well with the slag consumption in industrial practice. The current model can predict and optimize the oscillation parameters aiming at stable lubrication conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

On the Alternate Stirring Mode of F-EMS for Bloom Continuous Castings

Local solute transportation behaviors under different alternate stirring parameters of final electromagnetic stirring (F-EMS) and their influences on the internal quality of the as-cast bloom are compared and evaluated based on a developed coupled model of electromagnetism, heat, and solute transport. To this end, plant trials were conducted in Shaoguan Steel, China. Under the action of F-EMS, a negative segregation band in an ellipse shape is observed at the central area of strand cross section, where the minimum carbon segregation degree is decreased from 0.98 to 0.84 as the stirring duration increases from 15 to 35 seconds in the alternate stirring mode, while it is reduced to 0.805 in the continuous stirring mode. The white band and shrinkage cavity are simultaneously observed at strand center under the conditions of continuous stirring mode, and alternate stirring mode with a stirring period of 35 seconds because of the local over-sustaining melt rotation. In contrast, the V-shape porosity belt width and strand center segregation fluctuation range increase from 60 to 90 mm and from 0.12 to 0.30, respectively, as the stirring duration is reduced from 25 to 15 seconds in the alternate stirring mode because of the poor mixing of the local melt at the strand center.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Understanding of Void Formation in Cu/Sn-Sn/Cu System During Transient Liquid Phase Bonding Process Through Diffusion Modeling

Transient Liquid Phase (TPL) bounding of Sn foil sandwiched between two Cu foils involves, in the temperature range above the melting point of Sn (232 °C) and below 350 °C, the formation and the growth of two intermetallic compounds (IMCs) Cu{sub 6}Sn{sub 5} and Cu{sub 3}Sn and mostly unintended micro-pores. The present study aims to analyze the mechanism of void development during the soldering process through an experimental and modeling approach of diffusion-controlled IMC transformation. This modeling couples the diffusion process and the interface motion with the volume shrinkage induced by the difference of partial molar volumes of atoms between each phase. We also consider two types of inter-diffusion transports: (i) inter-diffusion based on the exchange of Cu and Sn atoms and (ii) inter-diffusion of Sn atoms with vacancies allowing Kirkendall void formation. The simulations of IMC growth performed correspond to a sequence of planar phase layers, where the distinctive scallop morphology of the Cu{sub 6}Sn{sub 5} layer is described through an analytical function allowing to quantify the grain boundary diffusion pathway. We take into account of the volume diffusion mechanism for Cu{sub 3}Sn intermetallic. For Cu{sub 6}Sn{sub 5} intermetallic two mechanisms are considered, volume diffusion and grain boundary diffusion, limited by grain growth. The simulations of IMC growth kinetics, for different transport scenarios, are compared to the experimental evolving morphologies to determine the most likely mechanism of micro-void formation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of Inclusion Precipitation, Partition Coefficient, and Phase Transition on Microsegregation for High-Sulfur Steel Solidification

A microsegregation model coupled with inclusion precipitation, variable partition coefficient, and diffusion coefficient of the solute was developed to investigate solute microsegregation for high-sulfur steel solidification. The effects of the solidification path and phase transition on solute microsegregation were explored. The results showed that the solute concentration predicted by the variable partition coefficient was quite different from the solute concentration predicted by the constant partition coefficient, and the percentage differences of solutes Si, P, and S were − 35.5, − 25.0, and 43.0 pct, respectively. For high-sulfur steel solidification, the concentrations of solutes Mn and S would be reduced by 88.3 and 74.9 pct, respectively, due to the precipitation of MnS. The solidification path and phase transition has a significant effect on the solute partition coefficient and microsegregation. With the increase in C content, the fraction of δ-phase decreased while the fraction of the γ-phase increased, and the microsegregation ratio of solutes C and Si decreased while the microsegregation ratio of solute P increased. To predict microsegregation more accurately, all influencing factors of the partition coefficient, inclusion precipitation, and phase transition should be comprehensively considered.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Removal of Bifilms from Al Melts by Stirring in Unbaffled and Baffled Crucibles

The free surface of aluminum melt, during stirring under different rotation speeds in unbaffled and baffled crucibles, was simulated numerically using a RANS turbulence model coupled with a particle-tracking method. The effect of mechanical stirring of Al melts containing 0.3, 0.7, and 4.5 wt pct Mg in unbaffled and baffled crucibles on the rate of elimination of bifilms from the melt was also investigated using a reduced pressure test. The results showed that the stirring increased the rate of removal of bifilms from the melt due to an increase in the rate of formation of cracks on the bifilms. Using baffles in the crucible accelerated the rate of removal of bifilms by changing the pattern of movement of bifilms in the melt. The critical stirring speeds, above which the oxide layer on the Al melt could submerge into the bulk liquid, were determined by the simulation. It was confirmed by the experimental results to be about 158 and 420 RPM for the unbaffled and baffled crucibles, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A CFD Study Assisted with Experimental Confirmation for Liquid Shape Control of Electromagnetically Levitated Bulk Materials

Two types of optimized electromagnetic levitators were designed to achieve the free surface shape control of metallic melts as the combined results of the Lorentz force, sample gravity, and surface tension. The levitation behavior of bulk melts was investigated using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling coupled with high-frequency electromagnetic field analysis and the arbitrary Lagrangian–Eulerian (ALE) method. The difference in the oscillation behavior between the solid and molten samples was explained by the damping of the electromagnetic induction and liquid viscosity. The motion of the mass center, melt shape, flow pattern, and Lorentz force in the levitated melt were determined within a wide excitation current range. With the increase in the applied current, the melt’s centroid position rose sharply in the area with low current but displayed a slow increase in the area with high current. Meanwhile, the stable shape of the bulk melt showed the typical transition from a long taper through a short taper and then into a rhombus. The internal flow pattern transformed from a simple double-loop structure to a complex configuration with three or four loops. The dependence of the deformation on the Bond number was analyzed in the two types of levitators. In addition, the stable shape and swing process of the bulk Al melt within the two types of electromagnetic levitation (EML) systems were quantitatively studied under protective inert gas conditions. The melt contour could be well described by the 10th Legendre polynomial function with a deviation of less than 0.5 pct.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Over the United States, Central America, and the Caribbean in CMIP6 GCMs

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset is used to examine projected changes in temperature and precipitation over the United States (U.S.), Central America and the Caribbean. The changes are computed using an ensemble of 31 models for three future time slices (2021–2040, 2041–2060, and 2080–2099) relative to the reference period (1995–2014) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The CMIP6 ensemble reproduces the observed annual cycle and distribution of mean annual temperature and precipitation with biases between – 0.93 and 1.27 °C and – 37.90 to 58.45%, respectively, for most of the region. However, modeled precipitation is too large over the western and Midwestern U.S. during winter and spring and over the North American monsoon region in summer, while too small over southern Central America. Temperature is projected to increase over the entire domain under all three SSPs, by as much as 6 °C under SSP5-8.5, and with more pronounced increases in the northern latitudes over the regions that receive snow in the present climate. Annual precipitation projections for the end of the twenty-first century have more uncertainty, as expected, and exhibit a meridional dipole-like pattern, with precipitation increasing by 10–30% over much of the U.S. and decreasing by 10–40% over Central America and the Caribbean, especially over the monsoon region. Seasonally, precipitation over the eastern and central subregions is projected to increase during winter and spring and decrease during summer and autumn. Over the monsoon region and Central America, precipitation is projected to decrease in all seasons except autumn. The analysis was repeated on a subset of 9 models with the best performance in the reference period; however, no significant difference was found, suggesting that model bias is not strongly influencing the projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An ontology to represent synthetic building occupant characteristics and behavior

Since the introduction of the occupant behavior Drivers-Needs-Actions-Systems (DNAS) framework in 2013, researchers have used the framework or further developed it based on their case studies, which include efforts to collect new data on occupant behaviors. The effort is often costly for the relatively few new data points added. Problems emerge when the already collected data do not meet the modelers' interoperability requirements. Previous studies addressed this issue by developing more sophisticated ontologies that enable integration with other datasets and synthetic data methodologies that would meet unique research applications. This paper presents an extension of the DNAS framework for the representation of synthetic occupant data to support various applications and use cases across the building life cycle. An agent-based modeling application is one of our motivations that requires more elaborate characteristics of an occupant-agent or a group-of-agent. The extension, built upon a review of the literature, introduces new elements to the framework that fall into five categories, including socio-economic, geographical location, activities, subjective values, and individual and collective adaptive actions. On-going research includes identifying occupant datasets and developing data fusion methods to generate synthetic occupants, as well as to demonstrate its applications in agent-based modeling coupled with building performance simulation.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

The effects of damage and self-healing on impedance spectroscopy of strain-hardening cementitious materials

This work elucidated the effects of damage and self-healing on the frequency-dependent electrical response of strain-hardening cementitious materials. Electrical impedance spectroscopy was conducted before material cracking, during single crack opening, sequential formation of multiple microcracks, and subsequent self-healing of the microcracks. The results revealed that the material complex impedance was strongly influenced by crack opening and crack number; both changed during mechanical straining as well as the self-healing process. A new equivalent circuit model was formulated for predicting the frequency-dependent electrical response of the material during damage evolution and self-healing process. Analyzing the changes of model parameters revealed the mechanisms that contribute to the frequency-dependent electromechanical response of the material. This study generated new experimental data and analytical model coupling the electrical response with damage level in cementitious materials. The new understandings are critical for the next step of realizing damage sensing in strain-hardening cementitious materials through frequency-dependent AC measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simultaneous x-ray and neutron 4D tomographic study of drying-driven hydro-mechanical behavior of cement-based materials at moderate temperatures

The drying of cement-based materials is intimately related to their durability, which has significant economic, social and environmental repercussions. The evolution of the saturation of the pore network and the associated drying shrinkage are in fact leading causes of cracking and of the ensuing penetration of aggressive chemicals. This process is highly heterogeneous, due to the thermo-hydric spatial gradients developing in the material from the exposed surfaces to its core and because of local effects, driven by the intrinsically heterogeneous micro-structure (e.g., by the distribution of pores and aggregates). It follows that macroscopic, sample-scale measurements cannot fully disclose the complexity of the underlying processes. In the last few decades, significant advances in full-field techniques have allowed an unprecedented insight into these local processes. For cement-based materials, x-ray and neutron tomography lend themselves as ideal, and highly complementary, tools for the study of their thermo-hydro-mechanical behavior. Notably, the high sensitivity to density variations of x-ray imaging gives access to the developments of fractures, in 4D (3D + time). On the other hand, neutron tomography allows the study of the evolution of the moisture field in 4D, thanks to its high hydrogen sensitivity. The combination of these two techniques provides a unique insight in thermo-hydro-mechanical couplings, e.g., the effect of cracks on the water content field. This contribution presents novel 5D datasets (3D tomographies along time, plus truly simultaneous x-ray and Neutron rapid acquisitions) in-operando of a cement paste and of a concrete sample heated at moderate temperatures (up to 140{sup ∘}C). The analysis of this 5D data-set (once aligned in time and across modalities) allows for example a quantification of the 4D moisture profiles which were found to predict an overall water loss at hydric equilibrium coherent with the corresponding analytical analysis. In the cement paste sample, the x-ray dataset captures the evolution of an extensive cracking network, opening and propagation toward the core of the sample. A novel analysis procedure is here proposed which allows the extraction of these fractures and the analysis of their interplay with local drying as captured through neutron imaging. This for example reveals the depth of penetration of drying in the vicinity of the fractures along time, which is essential for the assessment and calibration of hydro-mechanical coupled models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗