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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Predictive modeling of a subcritical pulverized-coal power plant for optimization: Parameter estimation, validation, and application

As renewable power generation deployment increases, fossil fuel plants are increasingly required to operate more flexibly. Many coal-fired power plants were originally designed to operate at base load and do not operate optimally at partial load. Predictive first-principles plant-wide models can be employed to identify opportunities for flexibility improvements and diagnose low-load operating issues. This paper describes the application of the Institute for the Design of Advanced Energy Systems Integrated Platform (IDAES) to model and optimize flexible power plant operations. The key benefits of using IDAES are that it provides an open-source, fully equation-oriented modeling framework for efficient modular model construction, reuse, and customization, together with a mathematical optimization framework leveraging powerful, state-of-the-art solvers. The process systems engineering workflow from predictive process simulation to parameter estimation, model validation, and plant optimization is applicable to a variety of existing and next-generation energy systems as well as other chemical and environmental processes. Here, to demonstrate this capability, a physics-based, steady-state model was developed to improve full- and part-load performance of the Escalante Generating Station, a 245 MWe (net) subcritical pulverized coal-fired power plant owned and operated by Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association. Specifically, sixty-nine model parameters were simultaneously estimated from several months of operating data enabling prediction of flow rates, temperatures, pressures, and steam quality throughout the plant. The validated model was leveraged by Escalante to reduce the minimum operating load from 90 MW to 50 MW by diagnosing a low-load water-hammer issue, enabling coal usage and emissions reductions during periods of low power demand. Additionally, opportunities for heat rate reduction (i.e., efficiency improvement) through a steeper sliding-pressure approach to load-following and optimization of other boiler operating variables were also identified and quantified. For example, a potential efficiency improvement of 0.7 percentage points was observed at half-load operation.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

A survey study on arsenic speciation in coal fly ash and insights into the role of coal combustion conditions

Coal fly ashes (CFAs) are the low-density byproducts of the coal combustion process. Improper or uncontrolled CFA disposal poses significant environmental and health concerns due to the potential leaching of toxic heavy metals such as arsenic (As). Previous studies have investigated the content and speciation of As in different CFA samples, yet systematic information on As speciation in CFA with representative coal source and combustion conditions is still missing. Based on a recent survey study on the typical coal sources and combustion conditions across the U.S., this study selected 19 representative CFA samples to systematically investigate As speciation and potential correlations with these parameters. The composition, morphology, mineralogy, and As speciation of these CFA samples were characterized by complementary analytical, microscopic, and spectroscopic techniques. Synchrotron X-ray spectroscopy and microscopy analyses revealed the dominant As oxidation state to be As(V) and with strong associations to Ca, with the exception of 3 samples that had 19–51% As(III), likely due to the use of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) process. Principal component analysis was conducted to identify potential correlations of As concentration and oxidation state with parameters such as major element content, loss on ignition (LOI), average particle size, coal source, and combustion condition. Al 2 O 3 and FeO content were found to capture a majority of the variability. Further, results from this study provide fundamental basis for understanding the correlations between coal source, combustion conditions, CFA characteristics, and As speciation, and providing insights for downstream beneficial utilization or disposal management.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessment of model parameters in MFiX particle-in-cell approach

The limitations in numerical treatment of solids-phase in conventional methods like Discrete Element Model and Two-Fluid Model have facilitated the development of alternative techniques such as Particle-In-Cell (PIC). However, a number of parameters are involved in PIC due to its empiricism. In this work, global sensitivity analysis of PIC model parameters is performed under three distinct operating regimes common in chemical engineering applications, viz. settling bed, bubbling fluidized bed and circulating fluidized bed. Simulations were performed using the PIC method in Multiphase Flow with Interphase eXchanges (MFiX) developed by National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). A non-intrusive uncertainty quantification (UQ) based approach is applied using Nodeworks to first construct an adequate surrogate model and then identify the most influential parameters in each case. This knowledge will aid in developing an effective design of experiments and determine optimal parameters through techniques such as deterministic or statistical calibration.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2021

Carbon fiber synthesis from pitch: Insights from ReaxFF based molecular dynamics simulations

Despite the potential to lowering fabrication costs of pitch-based carbon fiber (CF) compared to polyacrylonitrile-based CF, large scale utilization is currently limited by the complexity in manufacturing. This is mainly due to the lack of consistency between the pitch structure/chemistry and CF properties under different processing conditions. Here, we employed full atomistic simulations based on reactive force fields to investigate the conversion of pitch precursors to CFs. Additionally, it was found that at the carbonization stage, the consumption rates of precursors, gas formations, and solid yields (carbonized CFs) are all dependent on the composition and arrangement of molecular moieties in the precursor. Specifically, precursors with sp 3 carbons in the cata-condensed core area have limited decomposition pathways (i.e., limited reaction sites), which leads to the formation of carbonized CFs with similar compositions. Furthermore, carbonized CFs possess distinct structural characteristics, and finally lead to the formation of CFs with different moduli. By analyzing CF crystallinity and elemental composition, general rationales are proposed for the selection of optimal precursors and processing conditions, and thus shed lights on parameter screening during industrial CF synthesis. For instance, inclusion of sp 3 carbons in cata- condensed rings can be preferred over the presence of sp 3 carbons on side chains.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

A reactive separation process for pre-combustion CO 2 capture employing oxygen-blown coal gasifier off-gas

In this paper, we present an experimental study of a reactive separation system, consisting of a membrane reactor (MR) and an adsorptive reactor (AR) operating in tandem, with the MR’s reject stream serving as the AR’s feed. We investigates the feasibility of applying this MR-AR system for high-purity H 2 production and simultaneous CO 2 capture via the water gas shift (WGS) reaction in the context of Integrated Gas Combined Cycle (IGCC) power generation employing oxygen-blown gasifier syngas from biomass and coal. We previously studied this MR-AR system for the IGCC process employing air-blown gasifier syngas, for which it demonstrated good performance, attaining high conversion exceeding equilibrium, producing ultra-pure H 2 for power generation, and a CO 2 stream ready for sequestration. In this study, we focus on oxygen-blown gasifier off-gas that contains no N 2 , with composition distinctly different from the air-blown gasifier syngas which has a large N 2 content. We employ a carbon molecular sieve membrane (CMSM), a commercial sour-shift WGS catalyst, and a hydrotalcite (HTC) adsorbent. We carried out experiments to determine membrane performance and to identify promising operating conditions in an IGCC-relevant environment. The CMSM proved robust during a long-term (~344 hr run) experimental run under high temperature and pressure maintaining a high He/N 2 selectivity (~170). Multi-cycle runs were carried out during which the MR-AR system displayed superior performance to that of a PBR, by producing a high purity H 2 product directly usable in power generation. Therefore, the findings from this study demonstrate the ability of the MR-AR system to operate stably for a broad range of gasifier off-gas compositions, and indicate its potential for integration into IGCC plants for power generation with CO 2 capture.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

Performance and economic viability assessment of a novel CO 2 adsorbent for manufacturing and integration with coal power plants

Here, this study assesses the performance and economic feasibility of a novel CO 2 adsorbent for post-combustion capture in DOE/NETL’s 650 MWnet SubC PC power plant (case B11B). Bench-scale tests showed an initial adsorption capacity of 16.3 wt%, which decreased to 12.1 wt% after 41 adsorption–desorption cycles due to induced particle aggregation by over-humidification. With a conservative adsorption capacity of 8.8 wt% and 695 adsorption–desorption cycles, an adsorbent replenishment rate of 10 tonnes/h is necessary to capture 90% of CO 2 . The breakeven sale price of the adsorbent produced at this rate is $\$$1,293/tonne, which is 40 to 80 times lower than prices for K 2 CO 3 adsorbents reported in the literature (e.g., K 2 CO 3 /TiO 2 , K 2 CO 3 /ZrO 2 ) while providing better capture performances. Sensitivity analysis reveals that increasing the plant production rate from 10 to 40 tonnes/h reduces the sale price by 8%. The study also compares the CO 2 capture cost to Cansolv, an integrated solvent-based technology. The novel adsorbent requires 2.4 GJ/tonne of CO 2 for regeneration, lower than Cansolv’s 2.7 GJ/tonne. With conservative performance estimates, the capture cost is $\$$54/tonne of CO 2 , slightly higher than Cansolv’s $\$$45/tonne. To achieve lower or comparable capture costs to Cansolv, the adsorbent should meet one of the following conditions at a commercial scale: minimum 950 cycles, 16 wt% capture capacity, 50% of the adsorbent recovery, or a reduced cost to $\$$646/tonne by upscaling the manufactury to 75 tonnes/h.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Determine the coordination of Al and Si of Fe-rich fly ash: The challenge in NMR and how we probe its heterogeneity using X-ray spectromicroscopy

Scanning transmission X-ray microscopy (STXM) coupled with ptychographic imaging at Al and Si K-edge is a new probe to the microscale chemistry of heterogenous materials. Here, the combined techniques are applied to study local coordination environment of Fe-rich fly ash (FA). Ptychographic imaging at Al K- and Si K-edge highlights the fine Al- and Si-rich morphological features, respectively, at 6 nm pixel resolution. STXM visualizes the inter- and intra-particle variations in the silicate polymerization degree and two types of Al coordination environment in FA. The Si K-edge of SiO4 connected with four-fold coordinated Al is higher than SiO4 sharing oxygen with six-fold coordinated Al. The result is consistent with bulk nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy measurement of the Fe-rich sample which, however, is sensitive to paramagnetic Fe and time-consuming. Here, we demonstrate that the combined method has great potential in the studies of chemically heterogenous aluminosilicates.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Determination of transition metal ions in fossil fuel associated wastewaters using chelation ion chromatography

Here, this study outlines the development and subsequent validation of a method using chelation ion chromatography (CIC) pretreatment followed by traditional ion chromatography (IC) and post column UV/vis detection to measure transition metals in fossil fuel wastewaters, such as oil & gas (O&G) brines and coal mine drainage (CMD) waters. Measurement of transition metals is often an important characterization step in the research of environmental and energy systems. IC represents one way to measure these metals with the advantages of being versatile, simple and relatively low cost compared to other analytical methods. However, high concentrations of alkali and alkaline earth metals present in fossil fuel wastewaters will decrease IC detectability of transition metals in these waters. In this study, a CIC method was developed for the analysis of transition metal ions (Fe 3+ , Cu 2+ , Ni 2+ , Zn 2+ , Co 2+ , Mn 2+ , and Fe 2+ ) in fossil fuel associated wastewaters such as Appalachian CMD and O&G wastewaters from the Permian and Bakken shale basins in the United States. CIC system incorporated an on-line chelator column (e.g., the MetPac CC-1) with high selectivity for transition metals over alkali and alkaline earth metals for salt matrix removal prior to transition metal separation and detection. Additional method developments also included acidifying all samples to 2% v/v HCl and using gradient elution rather than isocratic. The recoverability of transition metals in simple salt solutions commonly found in CMD and brine samples (e.g. NaCl, Na 2 SO 4 , CaCl 2 ) using CIC was evaluated and compared to that using traditional IC. Our results found that the CIC system significantly improved transition metal recoveries for samples in 10,000 mg/L CaCl 2 matrix, reaching 87%-108% recovery for all analytes, as opposed to 2-323% recovery in traditional IC. The limits of detection in this study achieved 10.09 – 161.2 μg/L, comparable to reported values in similar IC studies. The developed method was also verified with certified water samples, resulting in 89% - 111% recoveries in samples with higher analyte concentrations (i.e. >4x the LoDs). The developed method achieved 87% -112% recoveries for most analytes in CMD samples and 72%-138% recoveries for Bakken shale samples, relative to ICP-MS values. Overall, the current IC method can be a very good screening tool for fast and cheap analysis for transition metals at mg/L level, to facilitate selection of samples for more detailed ICP-MS analysis.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

Major element composition controls rare earth element solubility during leaching of coal fly ash and coal by-products

Coal combustion ash and pre-combustion coal refuse are currently under consideration as potential sources of rare earth elements. One of the early steps in recovering REEs from coal by-products is often acid leaching, which can result in low pH leachates with complex aqueous chemistry. The aim of this work was to understand the connection between REE solubility, pH, and major elemental components of leachates for coal by-products. To accomplish this, we investigated the effects of solids concentration (i.e., pulp density) and pH adjustment on REE solubility in acid leachates of coal fly ashes from the Powder River Basin (PRB) and Appalachian Basin in the United States, and a coal processing refuse from the Southwestern U.S. For PRB ashes, the concentrations of soluble REEs generally increased with increasing pulp density; however, at pulp density values above 80–100 g/L, the soluble REE concentrations in the leachates were markedly lower. Similarly, the soluble concentrations of other major solutes (Fe, Al, Si) that leached from PRB fly ashes were also non-linear with pulp density. These major elements tended to reach maximum concentration values at 60–70 g/L pulp density. In contrast, for the Appalachian fly ashes and the coal by-product, soluble concentrations of REE and major elements in leachates increased linearly with pulp density. Chemical equilibria calculations of mineral saturation indices indicated that trends in soluble REE concentrations could be explained by saturation conditions for Fe and Al-(hydr)oxides and possibly sulfate minerals, but not lanthanide hydroxides. Furthermore, pH adjustment of the acid leachates showed that REEs and many major solutes were removed from solution at pH values above 4.5, also consistent with Fe- and Al-(hydr)oxide precipitation. These results highlight the importance of understanding the chemical composition of leachates when designing REE recovery processes for low-grade geologic feedstocks and that precipitation of hydr(oxide) or sulfate minerals of major elements rather than discreet formation of REE mineral phases could be used for process optimization.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

Proppant embedment in coal and shale: Impacts of stress hardening and sorption

During methane production in CBM reservoirs, the influence of proppant embedment and permeability damage cannot be neglected – especially where the wall-rock is soft. Effective stresses are elevated during methane recovery, increasing both normal loading stress and confinement and simultaneously overprinting sorption-induced volumetric strains. Experiments and analytic modeling are conducted to define key mechanisms controlling these competitive effects. We independently measure overall sample compaction (external LVDT) and local strain (strain gauge) in the matrix to deconvolve proppant embedment in a propped fracture for different conditions of confining stress. The results show symptomatic behaviors of elastic (shale) and elastoplastic (coal) responses of embedment. Different from shale, the evolution of embedment is convex upwards with increased stress where indented depth increases more rapidly as loading stress increases under constant confinement. In addition, a stress-hardening effect is found to play a pivotal role in determining the characteristics of indentation, which are examined in terms of evolution profiles, deformation regimes, embedment slopes, curvatures, yield points and irreversible indentations. Based on the experimental observations a semianalytical model predicts indentation and the evolution of propped permeability under recreated in-situ stress conditions. A simplified case study is conducted to further illustrate the evolution of aperture and permeability of a propped fracture in CBM reservoirs. The modeling results suggest that proppant embedment is significantly overestimated if the variable stress-hardening (VSH) effect is neglected, especially when effective stress is large. Moreover, a decrease in indentation depth possibly occurs during late stage methane production, resulting in a reversal/recovery in fracture closure. This is because desorption-induced shrinkage becomes the predominant effect, causing an increase in aperture and a reduction in the indented volume of proppant. The resulting recovery in permeability implies that the propped coal fracture has the potential to optimally facilitate methane production as a pathway, even at high closure stresses generated by methane drainage.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2021

Concentrating rare earth elements to phosphate in molten coal ash by a temperature gradient approach

Synthetic coal ash bearing 560 ppm europium oxide, blended with aluminum phosphate, was heat treated above its melting temperature and crystal evolutions with respect to europium concentration under controlled cooling were studied. The sample in a boat crucible was subjected to a temperature gradient of 100 °C across it to cause zone refining effects on crystallization behaviors in the melt (slag). Post analysis found six mineral phases formed from the melt while europium was only present in calcium phosphate, implying the majority of europium was segregated to the calcium phosphate. Europium concentrations in the calcium phosphate phase tended to be higher at zones with higher temperatures: as high as 7200 ppm, a 13-fold increase from the initial concentration.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Uniformity and volume-representativity of consecutive submillimetre wafers of shale for SANS and USANS investigations

(Ultra) Small Angle Neutron Scattering (SANS/USANS) is a non-destructive technique suitable for characterization of porous structures from nano- to micro-pore size (1 nm to 20 μm), which has been widely used to characterize accessible and inaccessible porosity in tight unconventional hydrocarbon reservoirs (e.g., shales). Here, in this study, SANS and USANS are used to examine the degree of nano- to micropore uniformity of the rock body on sub-millimetre to centimetre scale. This study presents a test of the hypothesis of volume representativity of pore structure information measured by SANS and USANS for shale wafers (0.22–1 mm) cut from six North American unconventional shale cores of different maturities (New Albany Shale and Marcellus Shale). Experimental reproducibility of USANS is further investigated for two wafers measured using various acquisition times. All samples show that fluctuations of the relative intensity generally decrease from the USANS Q-range (pore size from around 200 nm to 20 μm) to most of the SANS Q-range (pore size from around 5 nm to 700 nm), and peaks in the SANS large-Q region (for pores smaller than about 5 nm). There is a positive correlation between the spatial fluctuation of the relative SANS intensity and the scattering power of shales. In addition, the scattering intensity and its fluctuations is larger for the less mature shale cores. Shale is known to be highly heterogenous and the hypothesis of uniformity does not apply at sub-millimetre scale even for samples that appear homogeneous at visual inspection. This study presents an approach to minimise the variation through sample selection, data interpretation methodology and instrumental reproducibility tests. The best values of the microstructural spatial uniformity for the apparently homogeneous sections of a core (i.e., the SANS and USANS intensity variation) is less than ±10%.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2023

Geocatalytically generated methane from low-maturity coal and shale source rocks at low temperatures (80–120 °C) over 52 months

Geocatalytic methanogenesis has been proposed to contribute to methane generation from low-maturity coal and shale source rocks. This study contributes further evidence for geocatalytic methanogenesis from low-maturity source rocks based on long-term experiments lasting up to 52 months. Samples from the Upper Devonian New Albany Shale (R o 0.54 %) and Springfield Coal No. 2 (Pennsylvanian; R o 0.54 %) were heated in glass tubes at 80, 100, and 120 °C for 52 months. Sample aliquots from the Upper Cretaceous Second White Specks Formation (R o 0.42 %) were heated in gold tubes at 80 and 100 °C for 42 months at elevated hydrostatic pressures of 100 to 300 MPa. The product gases — methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) — were collected and quantified, and gas yields were corrected for leakage from imperfectly closed pores in samples during heating. The results show that longer heating produced more CH 4 . The average CH 4 yields from New Albany Shale and Springfield Coal No. 2 are 0.47 and 3.0 μmol CH 4 per gram of total organic carbon (TOC) over 52 months of heating. Elevated hydrostatic pressure caused lower CH 4 yields from the Second White Specks Formation (3.82 to 1.20 μmol g –1 TOC), suggesting that pressure can retard methanogenesis. Maceral type critically controls the methanogenesis potential of low-maturity coal and shale source rocks. Finally, results of this study provide important insights to the origin of natural gas in low-maturity sedimentary basins.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Chemistry imaging and distribution analysis of rare earth elements in coal using LIBS and LA-ICP-MS instruments

Currently, demand for rare earth elements (REEs) increased significantly. Coal is actively evaluated as potential economic sources for extraction of REEs. Here, in this work, laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) was evaluated for rapid estimation of REEs content and their distribution in the natural coal samples. The results were compared with similar laser ablation–inductively coupled plasma–mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) measurements. Thirteen coal samples (nine standard samples and five natural samples) were used in this study. Powder samples were pressed into pellets while coal chunks were directly ablated for data recording. Pellets of the powder standard samples were used to optimize the data acquisition system and then data recorded with this optimized system was used to identify the proper data acquisition and analysis models. After establishing the proper data acquisition system and analysis model using the standard samples, natural coal samples in powder form and their chunks were utilized to record LIBS and LA-ICP-MS spectra. Multivariate calibration models were developed using four of the natural samples, which were evaluated by predicting the REE content in the fifth sample. Principal component analysis was performed on the LIBS data obtained from the natural samples and it classified all the samples with high accuracy. Two-dimensional (2D) elemental mapping on coal chunk samples was also performed using both LIBS and LA-ICP-MS to study the distribution of REEs in the samples. The resulting elemental images and their correlations can be used to infer mineral distributions.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

Simulations of flaming combustion and flaming-to-smoldering transition in wildland fire spread at flame scale

Our objective in the present study is to provide basic insights into the coupling between external-gas and solid biomass vegetation processes that control the dynamics of flame spread in wildland fire problems. Here we focus on a modeling approach that resolves processes occurring at vegetation and flame scales, i.e., the formation of flammable vapors due to the thermal degradation of the solid biomass, the subsequent combustion in ambient air, the thermal feedback to the biomass through radiative and convective heat transfer, and the possible transition from flaming combustion (taking place outside of the solid biomass) to smoldering combustion (taking place inside the solid biomass). The capability uses a multiphase combustion framework and treats external-gas processes through a Large Eddy Simulation solver and solid biomass processes through a discrete particle model. The discrete particle model adopts a one-dimensional porous medium formulation, includes descriptions of drying, thermal pyrolysis, oxidative pyrolysis, and char oxidation, as well as a description of the external-gas-to-solid-biomass diffusion of oxygen mass; the discrete particle model thereby provides a treatment of in-depth oxidative processes and allows the simulation of smoldering combustion. The modeling capability is applied to the simulation of fire spread across a surrogate biomass vegetation bed corresponding to a discrete array of cylindrical-shaped, vertically-oriented, pine wood sticks, characterized by a monomodal size distribution, in horizontal flat terrain and under wind-aided conditions. The numerical results demonstrate that the model can simulate successful flaming-to-smoldering transition followed by complete biomass consumption.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data-driven modeling of power generation for a coal power plant under cycling

Increased penetration of renewables for power generation has negatively impacted the dynamics of conventional fossil fuel-based power plants. The power plants operating on the base load are forced to cycle, to adjust to the fluctuating power demands. This results in an inefficient operation of the coal power plants, which leads up to higher operating losses. To overcome such operational challenge associated with cycling and to develop an optimal process control, this work analyzes a set of models for predicting power generation. Moreover, the power generation is intrinsically affected by the state of the power plant components, and therefore our model development also incorporates additional power plant process variables while forecasting the power generation. We present and compare multiple state-of-the-art forecasting data-driven methods for power generation to determine the most adequate and accurate model. We also develop an interpretable attention-based transformer model to explain the importance of process variables during training and forecasting. The trained deep neural network (DNN) LSTM model has good accuracy in predicting gross power generation under various prediction horizons with/without cycling events and outperforms the other models for long-term forecasting. The DNN memory-based models show significant superiority over other state-of-the-art machine learning models for short, medium and long range predictions. The transformer-based model with attention enhances the selection of historical data for multi-horizon forecasting, and also allows to interpret the significance of internal power plant components on the power generation. This newly gained insights can be used by operation engineers to anticipate and monitor the health of power plant equipment during high cycling periods.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

A data-driven model for thermodynamic properties of a steam generator under cycling operation

The varying electricity demand from coal power plants due to the intermittent nature of renewable sources leads to load-follow and on/off operations referred to as cycling. Cycling causes transients of properties such as pressure and temperature within various components of the steam generation system.These transients cause increased damage because of fatigue and creep-fatigue interactions shortening the life of components. An algorithm is developed to identify cycling operations from the gross power data. The data-driven model based on artificial neural networks (ANN) is developed using 10 years data from Coal Creek Station power plant located in North Dakota, USA to estimate properties of the steam generator components during cycling operations. Furthermore, the uniqueness of this model is the ability to predict component properties for the cycling as well as base-load operations and is reported for the first time. The ANN model estimates the component properties, for a given gross power profile and initial conditions, as they vary during cycling operations. As a representative example, the ANN estimates are presented for the superheater outlet pressure, reheater inlet temperature, and flue gas temperature at the air heater inlet. The changes in these variables as a function of the gross power over the time duration are compared with measurements to assess the predictive capability of the model. Mean square errors of 4.49E-04 for superheater outlet pressure, 1.62E-03 for reheater inlet temperature, and 4.14E-04 for flue gas temperature at the air heater inlet were observed.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

The short-term comprehensive impact of the phase-out of global coal combustion on air pollution and climate change

With the continuous intensification of global warming, the reduction and ultimate phase-out of coal combustion is an inevitable trend in the future global energy transformation. This study comprehensively analyzed the impact of phasing out coal combustion on global emissions and concentrations of air pollutants, radiative fluxes, meteorology and climate using Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2). The results indicate that after the global phase-out of coal combustion, there is a marked decrease in the concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ), nitrogen oxides (NO x ) and fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), with some regions experiencing a reduction of exceeding 50%. There is no significant change in global ozone (O 3 ) concentration. There are decreasing AOD and positive radiative fluxes globally in the short term, though the cloud contributes minor negative radiative fluxes. The global air temperature may increase by approximately (0.02 ± 0.15) °C on average with regional and seasonal variations, and the precipitation may potentially increase by approximately (2.7 ± 40.6) mm yr −1 globally and over 20% in equatorial regions in the short term. But combined with the decreasing trend of cloud water content in the Northern Hemisphere, it indicates a potential increase in the extremity of precipitation events. In conclusion, this study provides references for global control of air pollution, mitigation strategies of climate change, and transformation of energy structures under the objective of “carbon neutrality”, such as focusing on the negative climate impacts of exacerbating regional warming and increasing extreme precipitation resulting from the rapid reduction of aerosols in the short term.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗