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Chapter 14 - Reliability of Wind Turbines

The global wind energy industry has grown at a fast pace during the past half-decade. Advancements from design and manufacturing to operation and maintenance have led to reduced capital and maintenance costs, which make wind power an indispensable source for a comprehensive solution to global electricity needs. Once wind turbines are installed, the opportunity to lower wind power costs is mainly through improved operation and maintenance practices. Modern wind turbines are equipped with tens or hundreds of measurement channels and are generating an abundance of data, with lot of efforts being put into data analysis by both the research community and the industry. One type of analysis is through the exploration of reliability engineering methods based on readily available data or maintenance records collected at typical wind power plants. If adopted and conducted appropriately, these analyses can quickly save operation and maintenance costs in a potentially impactful manner. The wind industry has adopted this discipline more broadly in recent years. This chapter discusses wind turbine reliability by highlighting the methodology of reliability engineering life data analysis. It first briefly discusses the fundamentals of wind turbine reliability and the current industry status. Then, the reliability engineering method for life analysis, including data collection, model development, and forecasting, is presented in detail and illustrated through two case studies. The chapter concludes with some remarks on potential opportunities to improve wind turbine reliability. An owner and operator's perspective is taken and mechanical components are used to exemplify the potential benefits of reliability engineering analysis to improve wind turbine reliability and availability.

database↗

Clarifying the 𝑁,𝑍 = 14 Shells near the Drip Lines from the Spectroscopy of 22 Si and 21 Al

Evidence for a (sub)-shell closure at 𝑍 = 14 has been observed from the spectroscopy of 22 Si and 21 Al . Using a fast 23 Si beam on a 9 Be target, several proton-decaying resonances have been populated in 21 Al and 22 Si , including the first measurement of the 2$^{+}_{1}$ state in 22 Si with an excitation energy of 2.352(55) MeV. Relative to the known 𝑁 = 14 subshell closure in 22 O , the 22 Si 2$^{+}_{1}$ excitation energy indicates the existence of a weakened 𝑍 = 14 subshell closure. To reproduce the new spectroscopic information and known 22 Al levels, the energy of the 1⁢𝑠 1/2 orbit must be substantially decreased, which imparts Thomas-Ehrman shifts to all excited states observed in the present Letter and explains the structure of nuclei in the 𝑠⁢𝑑 shell for this region of the proton drip line.

20 ≤ A ≤ 38↗

Simulation experiments for gamma-ray mapping of planetary surfaces: Scattering of high-energy neutrons

The concentration and distribution of certain elements in surface layers of planetary objects specify constraints on models of their origin and evolution. This information can be obtained by means of remote sensing gamma-ray spectroscopy, as planned for a number of future space missions, i.e., Mars, Moon, asteroids, and comets. To investigate the gamma-rays made by interactions of neutrons with matter, thin targets of different composition were placed between a neutron-source and a high-resolution germanium spectrometer. Gamma-rays in the range of 0.1 to 8 MeV were accumulated. In one set of experiments a 14-MeV neutron generator using the T(d,n) reaction as neutron-source was placed in a small room. Scattering in surrounding walls produced a spectrum of neutron energies from 14 MeV down to thermal. This complex neutron-source induced mainly neutron-capture lines and only a few scattering lines. As a result of the set-up, there was a considerable background of discrete lines from surrounding materials. A similar situation exists under planetary exploration conditions: gamma-rays are induced in the planetary surface as well as in the spacecraft. To investigate the contribution of neutrons with higher energies, an experiment for the measurement of prompt gamma radiation was set up at the end of a beam-line of an isochronous cyclotron.

Brueckner, J.↗

Quenching of Single-Particle Strength in A=15 Nuclei

Here, absolute cross sections for the addition of s- and d-wave neutrons to 14 C and 14 N have been determined simultaneously via the (d,p) reaction at 10 MeV/u. The difference between the neutron and proton separation energies, ΔS, is around -20 MeV for the 14 C+n system and +8 MeV for 14 N+n. The population of the 1s 1/2 and 0d 5/2 orbitals for both systems is reduced by a factor of approximately 0.5 compared with the independent single-particle model, or about 0.6 when compared with the shell model. This finding strongly contrasts with results deduced from intermediate-energy knockout reactions between similar nuclei on targets of 9 Be and 12 C. The simultaneous technique used removes many systematic uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Diving below the Spin-down Limit: Constraints on Gravitational Waves from the Energetic Young Pulsar PSR J0537-6910

We present a search for quasi-monochromatic gravitational-wave signals from the young, energetic X-ray pulsar PSR J0537−6910 using data from the second and third observing runs of LIGO and Virgo. The search is enabled by a contemporaneous timing ephemeris obtained using Neutron star Interior Composition Explorer (NICER) data. The NICER ephemeris has also been extended through 2020 October and includes three new glitches. PSR J0537−6910 has the largest spin-down luminosity of any pulsar and exhibits fRequent and strong glitches. Analyses of its long-term and interglitch braking indices provide intriguing evidence that its spin-down energy budget may include gravitational-wave emission from a time-varying mass quadrupole moment. Its 62 Hz rotation frequency also puts its possible gravitational-wave emission in the most sensitive band of the LIGO/Virgo detectors. Motivated by these considerations, we search for gravitational-wave emission at both once and twice the rotation frequency from PSR J0537−6910. We find no signal, however, and report upper limits. Assuming a rigidly rotating triaxial star, our constraints reach below the gravitational-wave spin-down limit for this star for the first time by more than a factor of 2 and limit gravitational waves from the l = m = 2 mode to account for less than 14% of the spin-down energy budget. The fiducial equatorial ellipticity is constrained to less than about 3 ×10^(−5), which is the third best constraint for any young pulsar.

R. Abbott↗

Development, Integration and Utilization of Surface Nuclear Energy Sources for Exploration Missions

Throughout the past five decades numerous studies have identified nuclear energy as an enhancing or enabling technology for human surface exploration missions. Nuclear energy sources were used to provide electricity on Apollo missions 12, 14, 15, 16, and 17, and on the Mars Viking landers. Nuclear energy sources were used to provide heat on the Pathfinder; Spirit, and Discovery rovers. Scenarios have been proposed that utilize -1 kWe radioisotope systems for early missions, followed by fission systems in the 10 - 30 kWe range when energy requirements increase. A fission energy source unit size of approximately 150 kWt has been proposed based on previous lunar and Mars base architecture studies. Such a unit could support both early and advanced bases through a building block approach.

Houts, Michael G.↗

Machine Learning-Guided Exploration of Ternary Metal Borohydrides

We employ deep machine learning (ML) combined with first-principles calculations to explore energetically favorable ternary metal borohydrides. Using La–B–H as a prototype system, we demonstrate that iteratively trained ML models can efficiently screen hundreds of thousands of hypothetical structures and accurately select a small fraction of promising structures and compositions for further studies by first-principles calculations. Such an ML-guided approach dramatically accelerates the pace of materials discovery. A number of new La–B–H ternary compounds with formation energies within 100 meV/atom above the known ternary convex hull are discovered, including a known stable La(BH 4 ) 3 phase. Moreover, by replacing La with Group 1, 2, 3, 13, and 14 elements in the four lowest-energy La–B–H structures from our ML-guided predictions, several low-energy X–B-H (X = Mg, Ca, Sr, Ba, Sc, Y, Ac, Al, Ga, In, Si, Ge, Sn, Pb) compounds are predicted.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Effect of recycled fibers and shredded intermediates variation on the mechanical properties and energy absorption of fiber‐reinforced composite panels

Abstract The global composite industry generates large quantities of waste which mostly ends up in landfills due to a lack of established end‐use applications for multiple waste streams. The scrap from end‐of‐life (EoL) includes manufacturing waste such as dry chopped fiber tows, loose fibers, shredded fibers from fabric textile operations, cured/semi‐cured prepregs, and fully cured composite structure waste from aircraft, automobiles, wind blades, boats, and pressure vessels. In this work, different composite waste streams were reduced to shredded intermediates, followed by simple blending, and subjected to wet compression molding to produce composite panels. The panels/plaques were tested for mechanical properties (flexure and impact), fiber‐matrix wet‐out, and property bounds. It was found that wet‐compression molding was a viable and scale‐able approach to produce recycled panels from EoL composites shredded scrap. Furthermore, full‐scale size panels for use in truck bodies and intermodal shipping container flooring were manufactured and their impact resistance was tested using a drop weight impact test. They were tested both for high‐ and low‐velocity load. In the case of high‐velocity load, the average impact load was 14,673 N; the average absorbed energy was 101.6 J; the average elastic energy was 11.7 J and the impact resistance was 1065 J/m. In the case of the low‐velocity drop weight impact test, it was found that the average impact load was 7877.358 N; the average absorbed energy was 9.718 J; the average elastic energy was 9.14 J, and the impact resistance was 184.1 J/m. The shredded composite was shown to be a candidate material for the manufacture of truck bodies and intermodal containers’ flooring panels. Highlights By using shredded intermediates from different composite waste streams, it is possible to manufacture composite panels. Wet–compression process is an appropriate technique for manufacturing recycled fiber composite panels. Regardless of the source of scrap, the mechanical properties of the produced composite panels were improved. The recycling process technology can be transformed to commercial scale to produce full‐size transportation flooring panels. A product pathway is established in consideration of lower cost and improved recyclability.

Vaidya, Uday↗

When Do Band Gap Calculations Agree with Experiments in Monolayer-Protected Cu 14 and Au 20 Atomically Precise Nanoclusters? A (TD)-DFT Comparison of HOMO–LUMO, Fundamental, Optical, and Electrochemical Energy Gaps

In view of the tremendous progress in atomically precise metal nanoclusters where electrochemical and optical energetics are routinely supported by computations to establish structure−function correlations, we explore the relationship between different protocols for measuring and computing band gaps of two distinct organic ligand-protected nanoclusters: [Cu 14 H 10 (MBN) 3 (PPh 3 ) 8 ] + and Au 20 (TBBT) 16 . Through UV/visible spectroscopy and differential pulse voltammetry, we measure optical and electrochemical band gaps in those systems. We then compare these experimentally determined gaps to HOMO−LUMO gaps, fundamental gaps, vertical excitation energies, and E o ox − E o red potentials computed using different density functional theory (DFT) or time-dependent DFT (TDDFT) methods. Specifically, in both copper and gold nanoclusters, we test the effect of truncating inert ligands from the model and compare density functionals with varying degrees of Hartree−Fock (HF) exchange from 0 to 50%, range-separated hybrids with a varying long-range tuning parameter, different correlation functionals, basis sets, and (equilibrium and nonequilibrium) continuum solvation models. Despite having different frontier orbital characters (the copper nanocluster has a metal-to-ligand charge transfer character while the gold nanocluster has metal-centered frontier orbitals), both nanoclusters display a similar sensitivity of the HOMO−LUMO gap to the HF exchange that is partially mitigated when computing the fundamental, optical, and electrochemical gaps. Other factors, such as the nature of the correlation functional, basis set, and geometry relaxation, have a considerably smaller effect on computed band gaps in these systems. Overall, this work provides guidelines for factors of varied importance for correlating computed and experimental band gap values.

Chemical calculations↗

Final Technical Report

Statement of the problem or situation that is being addressed in your application. The DOE and its national laboratories developed the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and to share energy information through the MLS listing, appraisal, and financing channels. While the HES is an instrumental tool, it is currently underutilized and consists of technical, structural and sector barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale and many energy efficiency contractors are understandably overwhelmed by the added time and effort and lack of incentive to sell and deliver deep retrofit projects while simultaneously meeting the DOE HES program requirements; consequently, contractors may decide to forgo participation. Home Energy Rating System (HERS) Raters have the opportunity to play the critical Assessor role in producing a Home Energy Score (HES); this role has immense potential but currently is unfulfilled. Lastly, while utilities are interested in their customer base achieving greater energy efficiency, especially to help offset growing residential loads in states like California that are accelerating electrification, utilities do not have access to the market actors who are on the front line of influence to homeowners or review and approve their permits: HERS Raters, assessors, contractors and building departments. General statement of how this problem is being addressed: ConSol will integrate the Home Energy Score™ (HES) to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California (CHEERS+HES). The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES and develop measures to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. How is this problem being addressed? What is the overall project approach? In effort to expand the Home Energy Score™ (HES) by increasing the use of aggregable home energy asset data, ConSol proposes to integrate the DOE HES via Application Programming Interface (API) to its State of California approved home energy rating services platform (CHEERS). Once the CHEERS platform and HES are integrated (CHEERS+HES), this enhanced platform will be instantly available and actively deployed via Phase 1 pilot to HERS Raters, assessors and contractors in California to market-test the solution, understand the rate of adoption and identify opportunities for improvement prior to scaling nationally. The CHEERS high fidelity energy code permitting data will be integrated with HES for simple, accurate, easy-to-use home energy estimation and analysis and will directly gain access to the retrofit and renovations markets with the same upgraded platform. This innovative project will assist the building industry and homeowners with an easy-to-use assessment if energy and carbon impacts of existing homes, and assist the utilities in supporting existing homes in their jurisdictions with HES to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions. What is to be done in Phase I? During Phase I of this proposed project, ConSol will (1) design software architecture that links CHEERS to the Home Energy ScoreTM via API, (2) solicit partnership from one or more California utilities for a regional pilot, (3) test the new software with its HERS Raters and contractor network in the partnership utility jurisdiction, (4) launch a pilot version of the newly developed software with HERS Raters and contractors in the utility territory, and (5) explore California’s GoGreen energy efficiency homeowner lending program in parallel with the pilot. Commercial Applications and Other Benefits. Summarize the future applications or public benefits if the project is carried over into Phase II or Phase III and beyond. The CHEERS+HES commercialized product will be ready for national market scale following a successful Phase 1 performance. The CHEERS+HES adoption is estimated to reach a 5% adoption growth rate versus the 110,000 baseline, starting in Year 1 after Phase I completion, and continuing each year. As a direct benefit to the DOE, CHEERS will set a goal of 100,000 Home Energy Score assessments for existing home alterations within the first 10 years following Phase 1 performance. The technical benefits of this proposed project include the harmonized, automated, and seamless integration of the DOE HES into the widely used and market leading California energy registry, CHEERS. The social benefits include the aggregate energy, cost and GHG savings by allowing the broader public streamlined access to the CHEERS+HES measurement and the energy efficiency recommended measures that may result. Key Words: Home Energy ScoreTM (HES); Application Programming Interface (API); Home Energy Rating Services (HERS); HERS Raters; contractors; assessors; existing homes, energy asset data; cost, energy, and emissions saving measures; energy code (Title 24) compliance; document repository; utilities; pilot; newly developed software; energy efficiency; homeowner. Summary for Members of Congress: The DOE Home Energy Score™ (HES) is a tool to encourage homeowners to improve their energy performance, lower costs and share energy information but is underutilized and consists of barriers which need to be addressed in order to scale. In effort to expand the HES, CHEERS, Inc. will integrate the HES to its State of California, approved home energy rating services (HERS) platform (CHEERS) to develop a single tool for contractors nationwide to assess, record and install recommended cost, energy, and emissions saving measures to the 140 million single-family homes throughout the U.S. and 14 million homes in California.

Application Programming Interface (API)↗

A Comprehensive Study of Pulse Profile Evolution in SGR 1806-20 and SGR 1900+14 with the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer Proportional Counter Array

Soft gamma repeaters undergo pulse profile changes in connection with their burst activity. Here we present a comprehensive pulse profile history of SGR 1806-20 and SGR 1900+14 in three energy bands using Rossi X-Ray Timing Explorer/Proportiona1 Counter Array observations performed between 1996 and 2001. Using the Fourier harmonic powers of pulse profiles, we quantify the pulse shape evolution. Moreover, we determined the rms pulsed count rates (PCRs) of each profile. We show that the pulse profiles of SGR 1806-20 remain single pulsed, showing only modest changes for most of our observing span, while those of SGR 1900+14 change remarkably in all energy bands. Highly significant pulsations from SGR 1900+ 14 following the 1998 August 27 and 2001 April 18 bursts enabled us to study not only the decay of PCRs in different energy bands but also their correlations with each other.

Gogus, Ersin↗

Demonstration of a 2 ps, 5 TW peak power, long-wave infrared laser based on chirped-pulse amplification with mixed-isotope CO 2 amplifiers 2 amplifiers

We report generation of 5 TW peak power in a 2 ps pulse at 9.2 µm via chirped-pulse amplification (CPA) in mixed-isotope high-pressure CO 2 laser amplifiers. This represents the highest peak power in a single picosecond pulse format and the shortest pulse at terawatt peak power ever achieved in the long-wave infrared (LWIR) spectral range. Maximum demonstrated energy of the compressed pulse is 14 J and minimum period between shots is 20 s. The successful implementation of the chirped pulse amplification technique in a short-pulse gas laser opens a route to development of LWIR laser facilities with tens of terawatts of peak power, thus approaching the number of photons per optical cycle of current near-infrared laser systems based on solid-state active media.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Future Physics Prospects with the CMS Detector at the High-Luminosity LHC

The High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider is expected to deliver up to 3000 fb ^{-1} − 1 of proton-proton collisions at 14 TeV center-of-mass energy. We present prospects for selected heavy-ion, Standard Model and Higgs sector measurements with the CMS detector at the HL-LHC, and discuss potential sensitivity to several beyond-Standard Model new physics scenarios.

Henderson, Conor↗

Neutron capture on Gd and Sm in the Luna 16, G-2 soil.

Measurement of the Gd and Sm isotopic compositions in the Luna 16, G-2 soil, a sample which has the largest low energy neutron fluence yet observed in a lunar sample. The ratio of the number of neutrons captured per atom by Sm-149 to Gd-157 is 0.76, which is distinct from the value of 0.86 observed at the Apollo 11, 12, and 14 sites. This indicates a softer neutron energy spectrum at the Sea of Plenty.

Russ, G. P.↗

Deformation and annealing study of NiCrAlY

The elevated temperature properties (tensile and creep) of NiCrALY, a nickel base alloy containing nominally 16% chromium, 4% aluminum, and 2 to 3% yttria (Y2O3) were evaluated and the optimal combination of thermomechanical treatments for maximum creep resistance was determined. Stored strain energy in as-extruded bars (14:1 extrusion ratio) permitted the development of a large grain size in the material when it was annealed at the maximum safe temperature 2450 F (1343 C). With a one-hour anneal at this temperature, the relatively fine grain size of the as-extruded material was changed to one in which the average grain diameter approached 1 mm, and the aspect ratio was about 10. The material was capable of being cold worked (by rolling) in amounts greater than 30% reduction in area. When the cold worked material was given a relaxation treatment, consisting of heating one hour at 1600 F(871 C), and then a high temperature anneal at 2450 F (1343 C) for one hour, both the high temperature strength and the high temperature creep resistance of the material was further enhanced.

Ebert, L. J.↗

Progress on Experimental Impact Studies

Experimental impact studies were undertaken. Ejecta velocity distributions and related results from regolith targets were studied. The velocity distributions, energy partitioning, and related properties from 14 impacts at speeds 5 to 2321 m/s in vacuo into regolith-like fine powders were derived. Data are analyzed on: velocity and mass distributions as a function of azimuth around the crater during oblique impacts catastrophic disruption of spherical targets of variable strength, and catastrophic disruption of irregular-shaped natural rock targets and artificial granular aggregate targets.

Hartmann, W. K.↗

A Multiwavelength Search for a Counterpart of the Brightest Unidentified Gamma-Ray Source 3EG J2020+4017 (2CG 078+2)

In search of the counterpart to the brightest unidentified gamma-ray source, 3EG J2020+4017 (2CG 078+2), we report on new X-ray and radio observations of the gamma Cygni field with the Chandra X-Ray Observatory and with the Green Bank Telescope (GBT). We also report on reanalysis of archival ROSAT data. With Chandra it became possible for the first time to measure the position of the putative gamma-ray counterpart, RX J2020.2+4026, with subarcsecond accuracy and to deduce its X-ray spectral characteristics. These observations demonstrate that RX J2020.2+4026 is associated with a K field star and therefore is unlikely to be the counterpart of the bright gamma-ray source 2CG 078+2 in the SNR G78.2+2.1 as had been previously suggested. The Chandra observation detected 37 additional X-ray sources, which were correlated with catalogs of optical and infrared data. Subsequent GBT radio observations covered the complete 99% EGRET likelihood contour of 3EG J2020+4017 with a sensitivity limit of L(sub 820) approximately 0.1 mJy kpc(exp 2), which is lower than most of the recent deep radio search limits. If there is a pulsar operating in 3EG J2020+40 17, this sensitivity limit suggests that either the pulsar does not produce significant amounts of radio emission or that its geometry is such that the radio beam does not intersect with the line of sight. Finally, reanalysis of archival ROSAT data leads to a flux upper limit of fx(0.1 - 2.4 keV) less than 1.8 x 10(exp -13) ergs s(exp -1) cm(exp -2) for a putative pointlike X-ray source located within the 68% confidence contour of 3EG J2020+4017. Adopting the supernova remnant age of 5400 yr and assuming a spin-down to X-ray energy conversion factor of 10(exp 14), this upper limit constrains the parameters of a putative neutron star as a counterpart for 3EG J2020+4017 to be P is approximately greater than 160 (d 1.5 kpc)(exp -1) ms, P is approximately greater than 5 x 10(exp -13) ((d 1.5 kpc)(exp -1)) s s(exp -1), and B (perpendicular) is approximately greater than 9 x 10(exp l2) )(d 1.5 kpc)(exp -1)) G.

Becker, Werner↗

Measurements of Polyatomic Molecule Formation on an Icy Grain Analog Using Fast Atoms

Carbon dioxide has been produced from the impact of a monoenergetic O(P-3) beam upon a surface cooled to 4.8 K and covered with a CO ice. Using temperature-programmed desorption and mass spectrometer detection, we have detected increasing amounts of CO2 formation with O(P-3) energies of 2, 5, 10, and 14 eV. This is the first measurement of polyatomic molecule formation on a surface with superthermal atoms. The goal of this work is to detect other polyatomic species, such as CH3OH, which can be formed under conditions that simulate the grain temperature, surface coverage, and superthermal atoms present in shock-heated circumstellar and interstellar regions.

Chutjian, A.↗