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At least 163 records · Page 9

The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Large-scale Climate Features and Climate Sensitivity

The Pliocene epoch has great potential to improve our understanding of the long-term climatic and environmental consequences of an atmospheric CO2 concentration near ∼400 parts per million by volume. Here we present the large-scale features of Pliocene climate as simulated by a new ensemble of climate models of varying complexity and spatial resolution based on new reconstructions of boundary conditions (the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2; PlioMIP2). As a global annual average, modelled surface air temperatures increase by between 1.7 and 5.2 ∘C relative to the pre-industrial era with a multi-model mean value of 3.2 ∘C. Annual mean total precipitation rates increase by 7 % (range: 2 %–13 %). On average, surface air temperature (SAT) increases by 4.3 ∘C over land and 2.8 ∘C over the oceans. There is a clear pattern of polar amplification with warming polewards of 60∘ N and 60∘ S exceeding the global mean warming by a factor of 2.3. In the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, meridional temperature gradients are reduced, while tropical zonal gradients remain largely unchanged. There is a statistically significant relationship between a model's climate response associated with a doubling in CO2 (equilibrium climate sensitivity; ECS) and its simulated Pliocene surface temperature response. The mean ensemble Earth system response to a doubling of CO2 (including ice sheet feedbacks) is 67 % greater than ECS; this is larger than the increase of 47 % obtained from the PlioMIP1 ensemble. Proxy-derived estimates of Pliocene sea surface temperatures are used to assess model estimates of ECS and give an ECS range of 2.6–4.8 ∘C. This result is in general accord with the ECS range presented by previous Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports.

Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project

Arctic Warming in Response to Regional Aerosol Emissions Reductions

This study examines the Arctic surface air temperature response to regional aerosol emissions reductions using three fully coupled chemistry–climate models: National Center for Atmospheric Research-Community Earth System Model version 1, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory-Coupled Climate Model version 3 (GFDL-CM3) and Goddard Institute for Space Studies-ModelE version 2. Each of these models was used to perform a series of aerosol perturbation experiments, in which emissions of different aerosol types (sulfate, black carbon (BC), and organic carbon) in different northern mid-latitude source regions, and of biomass burning aerosol over South America and Africa, were substantially reduced or eliminated. We find that the Arctic warms in nearly every experiment, the only exceptions being the U.S. and Europe BC experiments in GFDL-CM3 in which there is a weak and insignificant cooling. The Arctic warming is generally larger than the global mean warming (i.e. Arctic amplification occurs), particularly during non-summer months. The models agree that changes in the poleward atmospheric moisture transport are the most important factor explaining the spread in Arctic warming across experiments: the largest warming tends to coincide with the largest increases in moisture transport into the Arctic. In contrast, there is an inconsistent relationship (correlation) across experiments between the local radiative forcing over the Arctic and the simulated Arctic warming, with this relationship being positive in one model (GFDL-CM3) and negative in the other two. Our results thus highlight the prominent role of poleward energy transport in driving Arctic warming and amplification, and suggest that the relative importance of poleward energy transport and local forcing/feedbacks is likely to be model dependent.

Arctic

Progress in optical parametric oscillators

It is pointed out that tunable coherent sources are very useful for many applications, including spectroscopy, chemistry, combustion diagnostics, and remote sensing. Compared with other tunable sources, optical parametric oscillators (OPO) offer the potential advantage of a wide wavelength operating range, which extends from 0.2 micron to 25 microns. The current status of OPO is examined, taking into account mainly advances made during the last decade. Attention is given to early LiNbO3 parametric oscillators, problems which have prevented wide use of parametric oscillators, the demonstration of OPO's using urea and AgGaS2, progress related to picosecond OPO's, a breakthrough in nanosecond parametric oscillators, the first demonstration of a waveguide and fiber parametric amplification and generation, the importance of chalcopyrite crystals, and theoretical work performed with the aim to understand the factors affecting the parametric oscillator performance.

Fan, Y. X.

The mixing mechanism by organised turbulence structures in a plane jet excited by a novel method

The effect on a plane subsonic turbulent jet of controlled high-amplitude periodic oscillations applied to the nozzle is investigated experimentally. A variable-speed motor and a gear-cam mechanism are used to make the lips of the nozzle reciprocate in opposite directions at the desired frequency. Velocity profiles, flow visualizations, and pressure-signal traces are presented and analyzed in detail. The complex vortex processes involved in the oscillation-induced spreading and entrainment of the jet are explored, and a critical Strouhal number for vortex formation and amplification is determined. The oscillation technique is found to augment the thrust of a jet/duct-diffuser configuration by a factor of 1.20; the thrust increases with oscillation frequency up to 20 Hz and remains constant if the frequency is further increased.

Badri Narayanan, M. A.

Effects of crystal-melt interfacial energy anisotropy on dendritic morphology and growth kinetics

Morphological and kinetic studies of succinonitrile, a BCC crystal with a low (0.5 percent) anisotropy and pivalic acid, and FCC crystal with relatively large (5 percent) anisotropy in solid-liquid interfacial energy, show clearly that anisotropy in the solid-liquid interfacial energy does not affect the tip radius-velocity relationship, but has a profound influence on the tip region and the rate of amplification of branching waves. Anisotropy of the solid-liquid interfacial energy may be one of the key factors by which the microstructural characteristics of cast structures reflect individual material behavior, especially crystal symmetry.

Glicksman, M. E.

Transition Analysis for Isolated Trips on BOLT-II Wind-Tunnel and Flight Configuration

The BOLT-II configuration designed for an upcoming flight experiment exemplifies the complexities of hypersonic boundary layer transition in the presence of multiple and potentially interacting instability mechanisms. The present paper is related to the NASA-led roughness experiment on the secondary side of the BOLT-II configuration. First, computations are performed to aid mean-flow based correlations for the transition measurements acquired during an experimental campaign in the Ludwieg Tube facility at the United States Air Force Academy. To that end, both laminar and turbulent flow computations are performed for selected conditions of the experiment with a 1:3 scale model of the slightly shorter BOLT configuration. The variation in well-known correlation parameters for transition due to isolated roughness elements with respect to element position, height, and flow Reynolds number is delineated. Furthermore, the wake instability theory is used to examine the amplification of unstable disturbances behind the centerline trip at the design conditions of the BOLT-II flight experiment and for its dynamically scaled version on the 1:3 scale model of the wind tunnel experiment. To our knowledge, this study represents the first analysis of the wake instabilities in the presence of a prominent entropy layer outside the boundary layer. At the nominal flight design condition of Re ∞ ) = 5.44 and Re ∞ = 2.5 x 10 6 /m, a diamond planform (“pizza-box”) trip with k/δ = 0.70 and planform-halfwidth-to-height ratio of b/k = 3.0 at X/L = 0.254 induces a strong distortion of the boundary-layer flow in the vicinity of the symmetry plane, such that the wake structure includes a centerline streak produced by the flow retardation behind the trip along with multiple additional, prominent vorticity structures representing the necklace vortex system. Stability results reveal that each of these streaks can support a strong amplification of wake instabilities within a frequency band of 95 kHz–255 kHz, with a peak N-factor of greater than 15 beyond X/L ≈ 0.42. The dynamically scaled wind tunnel configuration with Re ∞ = 20.25 x 10 6 /m is also found to support N > 15 at similar axial stations.

BOLT

Transition Analysis for Isolated Trips on BOLT-II Wind-Tunnel and Flight Configuration

The BOLT-II configuration designed for an upcoming flight experiment exemplifies the complexities of hypersonic boundary layer transition in the presence of multiple and potentially interacting instability mechanisms. The present paper is related to the NASA-led roughness experiment on the secondary side of the BOLT-II configuration. First, computations are performed to aid mean-flow based correlations for the transition measurements acquired during an experimental campaign in the Ludwieg Tube facility at the United States Air Force Academy. To that end, both laminar and turbulent flow computations are performed for selected conditions of the experiment with a 1:3 scale model of the slightly shorter BOLT configuration. The variation in well-known correlation parameters for transition due to isolated roughness elements with respect to element position, height, and flow Reynolds number is delineated. Furthermore, the wake instability theory is used to examine the amplification of unstable disturbances behind the centerline trip at the design conditions of the BOLT-II flight experiment and for its dynamically scaled version on the 1:3 scale model of the wind tunnel experiment. To our knowledge, this study represents the first analysis of the wake instabilities in the presence of a prominent entropy layer outside the boundary layer. At the nominal flight design condition of Re ∞ ) = 5.44 and Re ∞ = 2.5 x 10 6 /m, a diamond planform (“pizza-box”) trip with k/δ = 0.70 and planform-halfwidth-to-height ratio of b/k = 3.0 at X/L = 0.254 induces a strong distortion of the boundary-layer flow in the vicinity of the symmetry plane, such that the wake structure includes a centerline streak produced by the flow retardation behind the trip along with multiple additional, prominent vorticity structures representing the necklace vortex system. Stability results reveal that each of these streaks can support a strong amplification of wake instabilities within a frequency band of 95 kHz–255 kHz, with a peak N-factor of greater than 15 beyond X/L ≈ 0.42. The dynamically scaled wind tunnel configuration with Re ∞ = 20.25 x 10 6 /m is also found to support N > 15 at similar axial stations.

BOLT

Performance and Achievable Rates of the Gottesman-Kitaev-Preskill Code for Pure-Loss and Amplification Channels

Quantum error-correction codes protect information from realistic noisy channels and lie at the heart of quantum computation and communication tasks. Understanding the optimal performance and other information-theoretic properties, such as the achievable rates, of a given code is crucial, as these factors determine the fundamental limits imposed by the encoding in conjunction with the noise channel. Here, we use the transpose channel to analytically obtain the near-optimal performance of any Gottesman-Kitaev-Preskill (GKP) code under pure loss and pure amplification. We present rigorous connections between GKP code’s near-optimal performance and its dual lattice geometry and average input energy. With no energy constraint, we show that when |𝜏/(1−𝜏)| is an integer, specific families of GKP codes simultaneously achieve the loss and amplification capacity. 𝜏 is the transmissivity (gain) for loss (amplification). Our results establish GKP code as the first structured bosonic code family that achieves the capacity of loss and amplification.

Zheng, Guo [Univ. of Chicago, IL (United States)]

Curvature effects on the stability of laminar boundary layers on swept wings

The stability of the laminar boundary layer on a swept wing is examined. An improved linear stability theory which includes the effects of body and streamline curvature and compressibility is utilized for the calculations. The computed N-factor is correlated with the onset of transition. For this study, only test conditions where transition is due to the growth of highly amplified crossflow instabilities on convex surfaces are examined. The calculations show that the effect of the curvature terms is to dramatically reduce local amplification rates in regions where body and streamline curvature are large. For the cases where transition occurred ahead of the pressure minimum on the upper surface of the wing, the N-factor at transition onset is near 9 when the effects of body and streamline curvature are included in the computations. When the curvature terms are neglected, the average N-factor is about 17. The calculations show that traveling crossflow waves are most amplified.

Collier, F. S., Jr.

Seasonal stabilization effects slowed the greening of the Northern Hemisphere over the last two decades

Rising atmospheric CO₂ and warming spring temperatures increase vegetation growth and the terrestrial carbon sink. However, drought, heat stress, phenology, and resource limitations may stabilize or limit theses projected increases. We investigate the balance between these amplifying and stabilizing ecological factors by asking whether enhanced early-season growth leads to continued late-season growth. Using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) leaf area index (LAI) dataset, we identify three seasonal growth patterns based on early- and peak-season positive LAI anomalies: (1) amplification, where late-season LAI anomalies exceed earlier ones; (2) weak stabilization, where late-season anomalies remain similar or slightly lower; and (3) strong stabilization, where late-season anomalies become negative. Weak and strong stabilization events dominate across 67% and 26% of Northern Hemisphere ecosystems above 30°N, respectively. The absence of any trend in amplifying or stabilizing events suggests stabilizing factors seasonally offset CO₂ and temperature-induced spring greening. Terrestrial biosphere models underestimate strong stabilization and overestimate amplification events. This inconsistency arises from the models’ underestimation late-season LAI sensitivity to precipitation in water-limited regions; overlook negative legacy effects of early enhanced LAI on late-season soil moisture via evapotranspiration losses in energy-limited regions. Our findings suggest water/heat stress and resource limitations limit greening and the land carbon sink.

Zhang, Wen

Predicting seismic amplitudes with machine learning

The accurate estimation of seismic wave amplitude is vital to precisely determine the yield, magnitude, and event discrimination possible for a given network – a critical element in nuclear explosion monitoring. This task is complicated by several factors, including but not limited to radiation pattern, scattering effects, and crustal variations, which can lead to the attenuation or amplification of amplitude along a given raypath. In this report, we explore the novel application of machine learning to the task of seismic amplitude estimation by training a simple Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on an S-wave amplitude dataset from Lai et al. (2019). Attributes from this dataset used as input to the ANN included event-station distances, station locations (latitude, longitude), event locations (latitude, longitude), event depths, event magnitudes, radiation patterns, signal-to noise ratio (SNR) measurements (average-amplitude, peak-to-trough, maximum peak), and signal periods. We find that the trained ANN predicts S-wave amplitudes with a modest tendency toward underestimating the actual values, as indicated by a linear regression between predicted and actual data (slope: 0.892, intercept: -0.651). These results suggest that an ANN can perform this task, with potential for significant improvements through improved datasets, architectures, and parameter tuning.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF

Enhancements to Linear Stability-Based, CFD-integrated Transition Prediction for High-Speed Flows

Combining linear stability calculations with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations has great potential for the automated modeling of high-speed flows, especially when adequate information about the configuration and the disturbance environment is available. However, a significant impediment to the applicability of this technique is the lack of an efficient method to calculate the crucial amplification ratio corresponding to the onset of transition in hypersonic flows. This ratio, also known as the "transition N-factor," is dependent upon the freestream disturbance environment as well as the surface properties of the test article. In response to the need for an engineering solution to predict the transition N-factor within conventional hypersonic wind tunnels, this paper presents a data-driven correlation that expands the existing correlations from straight circular cones with a narrow range of half angles to a broader array of axisymmetric configurations. Furthermore, when tested against a chosen dataset that was not used in its calibration, the suggested correlation shows good predictive accuracy with an RMS error of only 6.9%. Although similar accuracy may also be achieved via existing correlations based on similar datasets, predictions based on the proposed correlation have the advantage of not requiring an extensive amount of configuration-specific data. Practical applications often have access to the input parameters needed for this correlation, such as the freestream disturbance intensity, Mach number, and body-based slenderness Reynolds number. Additionally, this correlation outperforms the traditional assumption of a constant N-factor, particularly for configurations with blunted nose geometries. The development of this correlation is grounded in an extensive dataset encompassing conical models with body half-angles varying between 5 degrees and 16 degrees, Mach numbers ranging from 5 to 14, and nosetip-based Reynolds numbers approaching the transition reversal limit for blunt-nosed cones.

CFD

Enhancements to Linear Stability-Based, CFD-integrated Transition Prediction for High-Speed Flows

Combining linear stability calculations with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations has great potential for the automated modeling of high-speed flows, especially when adequate information about the configuration and the disturbance environment is available. However, a significant impediment to the applicability of this technique is the lack of an efficient method to calculate the crucial amplification ratio corresponding to the onset of transition in hypersonic flows. This ratio, also known as the "transition N-factor," is dependent upon the freestream disturbance environment as well as the surface properties of the test article. In response to the need for an engineering solution to predict the transition N-factor within conventional hypersonic wind tunnels, this paper presents a data-driven correlation that expands the existing correlations from straight circular cones with a narrow range of half angles to a broader array of axisymmetric configurations. Furthermore, when tested against a chosen dataset that was not used in its calibration, the suggested correlation shows good predictive accuracy with an RMS error of only 6.9%. Although similar accuracy may also be achieved via existing correlations based on similar datasets, predictions based on the proposed correlation have the advantage of not requiring an extensive amount of configuration-specific data. Practical applications often have access to the input parameters needed for this correlation, such as the freestream disturbance intensity, Mach number, and body-based slenderness Reynolds number. Additionally, this correlation outperforms the traditional assumption of a constant N-factor, particularly for configurations with blunted nose geometries. The development of this correlation is grounded in an extensive dataset encompassing conical models with body half-angles varying between 5 degrees and 16 degrees, Mach numbers ranging from 5 to 14, and nosetip-based Reynolds numbers approaching the transition reversal limit for blunt-nosed cones.

CFD

A Computational Analysis of Boundary Layer Instability over the BOLT Configuration

The complex boundary layer flow over the BOLT flight configuration is known to exhibit multiple and potentially interacting instability mechanisms. This paper represents a continuation of our numerical investigation of the flow instabilities over the main test surface of the BOLT configuration by using state-of-the-art tools in multidimensional instability analysis. Specifically, the paper extends our previous computations by considering the separate effects of a nonzero angle of attack and a nonzero yaw on the modal instability characteristics of the boundary layer streaks adjacent to the minor-axis symmetry plane, specifically near both ends of the azimuthal region of a thick boundary layer in the middle, where this region rapidly changes to a thinner boundary layer on either side. At the t = 28.8767 s condition from the ascent part of the anticipated flight trajectory with a flight Mach number of M ∞ = 5.53 and unit Reynolds number of 4.25 x 10 6 /m, either type of departure from the design condition is shown to have a considerable impact on the structure of the basic state rollup within the region of interest and, hence, also on the amplification characteristics of instability waves within the resulting streaks. Yet, for a yaw angle of β = 4 degrees, the computations indicate only a slight reduction with respect to the peak N-factor of nearly 11 at the design condition of zero degrees yaw and zero degrees angle of attack. In contrast, an angle of attack equal to α = 4 degrees, the peak N-factor decreases to nearly 6 on the leeward side and increases above 16 on the windward side, making the onset of transition highly likely on the windward side. Computations also highlight the role of streak instabilities that originate as Mack mode disturbances and also demonstrate the potential pitfalls in using surface pressure sensors alone to gauge the magnitude of instability amplification.

Boundary layer transition

A Computational Analysis of Boundary Layer Instability over the BOLT Configuration (Effect of Nonzero AoA and Yaw)

The complex boundary layer flow over the BOLT flight configuration is known to exhibit multiple and potentially interacting instability mechanisms. This paper represents a continuation of our numerical investigation of the flow instabilities over the main test surface of the BOLT configuration by using state-of-the-art tools in multidimensional instability analysis. Specifically, the paper extends our previous computations by considering the separate effects of a nonzero angle of attack and a nonzero yaw on the modal instability characteristics of the boundary layer streaks adjacent to the minor-axis symmetry plane, specifically near both ends of the azimuthal region of a thick boundary layer in the middle, where this region rapidly changes to a thinner boundary layer on either side. At the t = 28.8767 s condition from the ascent part of the anticipated flight trajectory with a flight Mach number of M ∞ = 5.53 and unit Reynolds number of 4.25 x 10 6 /m, either type of departure from the design condition is shown to have a considerable impact on the structure of the basic state rollup within the region of interest and, hence, also on the amplification characteristics of instability waves within the resulting streaks. Yet, for a yaw angle of β = 4 degrees, the computations indicate only a slight reduction with respect to the peak N-factor of nearly 11 at the design condition of zero degrees yaw and zero degrees angle of attack. In contrast, an angle of attack equal to α = 4 degrees, the peak N-factor decreases to nearly 6 on the leeward side and increases above 16 on the windward side, making the onset of transition highly likely on the windward side. Computations also highlight the role of streak instabilities that originate as Mack mode disturbances and also demonstrate the potential pitfalls in using surface pressure sensors alone to gauge the magnitude of instability amplification.

Boundary layer transition

Influence of Space Flight Factors on the Genetic Properties of Streptomyces Lividans 66 (PIJ702)

Gram-positive Streptomyces bacteria display genetic instability in response to external factors. Strain S. lividans 66 harbors the multicopy plasmid pIJ702 with selective and differential marker genes for antibiotic thiostrepton resistance and melanin production. Culture plates of modified ISP agar medium with and without thiostrepton were flown on Foton-M2. Suboptimal flight temperatures, which were simulated for asynchronous ground controls, resulted in slow growth and failure to differentiate and sporulate. Flight samples and asynchronous controls showed a high frequency of failing to express plasmid markers compared to laboratory controls. This was associated with loss of plasmid DNA and likely resulted from suboptimal temperatures for flight cultures and controls. Neither restriction fragment length polymorphism, nor polymerase chain reaction amplification coupled with denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis, revealed differences between pIJ702 DNA from flight vs. control clones. Mutations of the plasmid marker genes resulting from specific spaceflight factors, e.g., microgravity and radiation, were not detected.

Tabakov, V. Yu.

Laser–plasma amplification of an ultrabroadband laser pulse to 0.3 TW

Producing on-target laser intensities much greater than 10 23 W cm −2 with current laser technologies is a roadblock to accessing new regimes of physics such as strong-field quantum electrodynamics. Laser–plasma amplifiers show promise to realize these intensities by augmenting the final amplifier and compressor in traditional chirped-pulse-amplification architectures with a plasma-based amplification and compression stage that operates at a much higher damage threshold. Here we demonstrate amplification of an ultrabroadband (>60 nm) pulse in a laser–plasma Raman amplifier. We directly amplified seed intensities up to 3.7 × 10 15 W cm −2 and measured efficiencies up to 8.7%. Single-shot SPIDER measurements show a factor-of-2 reduction in the amplified pulse duration with final powers up to 0.3 TW, a 10× improvement over previous results. Final pulse durations of 64 fs are measured. Energy transfers greater than 220 mJ from the picosecond pump into the seed result in a 30× energy amplification of a 7.6 mJ seed. These results set the stage for a compact plasma afterburner based on Raman amplification that could extend the scientific capability of existing petawatt-class laser facilities to enable experiments at the intensity frontier.

Shaw, J. L. [Univ. of Rochester, NY (United States

Influence of the Mid-Holocene Green Sahara on South American Climate

Paleoclimatic data from pollen, speleothem and sedimentary records indicate a weakening of the South American Monsoon in the mid-Holocene (MH: 6,000 years BP), which occurred coevally with the intensification of the West African Monsoon. The reduction in precipitation over South America is also simulated by various models which account for changes in orbital forcings and greenhouse gas concentrations between the present day and the mid-Holocene. However, most model studies do not account for vegetation changes, which precludes realistic simulations, especially due to the presence and far-afield impacts of the Green Sahara. In this study, we evaluate precipitation over South America during the mid-Holocene from four models, namely – EC-Earth 3.1, iCESM 1.2, CCSM4-Toronto and GISS Model E2.1-G. Two scenarios are considered for each model – an MHPMIP scenario simulated with the mid-Holocene orbital parameters and greenhouse gas concentrations with vegetation prescribed to pre-industrial conditions, as well as an MHGS (Green Sahara) scenario which additionally considers factors such as enhanced vegetation, reduced dust, presence of lakes, and land and soil feedbacks. Incorporating the Green Sahara leads to an amplification of the drying signal over South America and brings it more in line with the proxy reconstructions. We also present a semi-quantitative assessment of the proxy-model agreement. Our work indicates that it is important to consider changes over northern Africa while studying South American climate of the mid-Holocene.

GISS-E2-1 model