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At least 163 records · Page 9

Data from Genotype-Environment-Management Interactions in Biomass Yield and Feedstock Composition of Photoperiod-Sensitive Energy Sorghum

Recently introduced photoperiod-sensitive (PS) biomass sorghum ( Sorghum bicolor L. Moench) needs to be investigated for yield potential under different cultivation environments with reasonable nitrogen (N) inputs. The objectives of this study were to (1) evaluate the biomass yield and feedstock quality of four sorghum hybrids with different levels of PS ranging from very PS (VPS) hybrids and to moderate PS (MPS) hybrids, and (2) determine the optimal N inputs (0~168 kg N ha−1) under four environments: combinations of both temperate (Urbana, IL) and subtropical (College Station, TX) regions during 2018 and 2019. Compared to TX, the PS sorghums in central IL showed higher yield potential and steady feedstock production with an extended day length and with less precipitation variability, especially for the VPS hybrids. The mean dry matter (DM) yields of VPS hybrids were 20.5 Mg DM ha−1 and 17.7 Mg DM ha−1 in IL and TX, respectively. The highest N use efficiency occurred at a low N rate of 56 kg N ha−1 by improving approximately 33 kg DM ha−1 per 1.0 kg N ha−1 input. Approximately 70% of the PS sorghum biomass can be utilized for biofuel production, consisting of 58-65% of the cell-wall components and 4-11% of the soluble sugar. This study demonstrated that the rainfed temperate area (e.g., IL) has a great potential for the sustainable cultivation of PS energy sorghum due to their observed high yield potential, stable production, and low N requirements.

Biomass Analytics↗

Effect of biomass liquefaction on glucose and xylose prices predicted by National Renewable Energy Laboratory biochemical sugar model

Abstract The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) published a model in 2017 that enables the minimum selling price of lignocellulosic sugar to be calculated. The model can be modified to suit any biomass feedstock and operational design. In the present case, the model is used to understand the economics of a process configuration that incorporates liquefaction as a preprocessing step in corn‐stover‐fed biorefinery. This study demonstrates a quantitative approach utilizing an existing biorefinery setup to simulate the biomass liquefaction technique while estimating the price of the resulting sugar product. The objective is to understand whether the addition of liquefaction methodology – and the substitution of acid pretreatment – can reduce the cost of lignocellulosic sugars. The reason for setting up a liquefaction unit at the start is to reduce the yield stress of biomass slurry so that the flow remains unrestricted downstream. The liquefaction process is also unique because it uses no chemicals and saves the cost of pretreatment. The pretreatment step is bypassed because the output of liquefaction can be fed into enzyme hydrolysis just after simple cooking. The liquefaction process can be performed in three modes: enzyme, enzyme mimetic, and a combination of enzyme and enzyme mimetic. The results from the BC1707 model indicate the minimum cost for the enzyme liquefaction route. © 2022 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Industrial Chemistry and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Recovery of p -Hydroxybenzoic Acid from Cu-Catalyzed Alkaline Hydrogen Peroxide Pretreatment of Hybrid Poplar

p-Hydroxybenzoic acid (pHBA) is present in some hardwood biomass feedstocks as an ester attached to the polymeric lignin subunits. Here, we report the isolation and recovery of pHBA from alkaline liquor waste streams obtained from fractionation of hybrid poplar using the “Cu-AHP process”. This process features two stages: alkaline pre-extraction (AP) of the biomass and copper-catalyzed alkaline hydrogen peroxide pretreatment. On a biomass scale of 100 g, 0.5 g of pHBA with a purity of 96% was obtained after decolorization and crystallization. The scalability of the purification process was demonstrated by using liquor obtained from the first-stage AP with 900 g of poplar biomass to afford 3.5 g of crystalline pHBA with 97% purity. Altogether, these results show that pHBA may be isolated and purified from waste streams generated in the two-stage Cu-AHP process without any alteration of the process conditions or impact on carbohydrate and lignin fractionation.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Techno-Economic Case Study: Low-Temperature Conversion Performance Based on Isolated Anatomical Fractions of Corn Stover

This report summarizes analysis conducted to support a case study under the Feedstock Conversion Interface Consortium (FCIC) focused on techno-economic analysis (TEA) modeling to quantify the process yield and resulting process cost impacts for processing isolated anatomical fractions of corn stover through a low-temperature conversion (biochemical) pathway. It is hypothesized that different individual anatomical fractions of corn stover vary in both composition and recalcitrance, giving biorefineries options in whether and how to deal with fractionated or whole biomass feedstock. By quantifying the techno-economic impacts of this variability, we provide actionable information for end users to understand tradeoffs in conversion system yields and economics in considering feedstock processing decisions at the biorefinery gate. For this study, we worked with FCIC researchers to obtain data on the compositional analysis and conversion performance of whole corn stover alongside three individual anatomical fractions (cobs, husks, and stalks) across key steps of the biorefinery conversion process within FCIC’s research scope—pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis. This TEA screening assessment highlighted biorefinery economic trade-offs observed through this approach. Namely, relative to processing whole stover biomass, two of the three anatomical fractions for which composition/conversion data were available (cobs and husks) demonstrated the ability to achieve higher fuel yields and lower minimum fuel selling prices (MFSPs), while the third fraction (stalks) led to the opposite result, as a composite reflection of compositional differences and process convertibility.

cost impacts↗

Conceptual Basis and Techno-Economic Modeling for Integrated Algal Biorefinery Conversion of Microalgae to Fuels and Products (2019 NREL TEA Update: Highlighting Paths to Future Cost Goals via a New Pathway for Combined Algal Processing)

The report documents the conceptual basis for a new potential Combined Algal Processing design strategy which may allow more flexibility in accommodating different algal biomass feedstock compositions, by enabling upgrading of both protein and carbohydrates in a single step, without a strict requirement for either component to be in soluble or monomeric form, while maintaining effective wet lipid extraction techniques to enable high lipid recoveries. In light of previously-established constraints around algal biomass costs (which are significantly higher than lignocellulosic terrestrial biomass), the present CAP processing strategy reflects an integrated biorefinery concept producing both fuels and value-added chemical coproducts as a means to improve profitability and generate coproduct revenues to help drive down the minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) towards economically viable levels. Namely, this report highlights an integrated CAP biorefinery process and associated technical targets that would be required to achieve U.S. Department of Energy target MFSP goals of $2.5/gallon gasoline equivalent by 2030. This is accomplished by a process involving low-cost seasonal storage of algal biomass during high-growth seasons, rapid flash hydrolysis pretreatment of the biomass, solvent extraction of pretreated biomass, cleanup and fractionation of lipids into triglyceride and free fatty acid fractions, and a series of thermochemical conversion steps to upgrade carbohydrates and protein to hydrocarbon fuels. These steps include mild oxidative treatment (MOT), a process originally investigated at NREL for upgrading lignin, followed by catalytic ketonization and hydrotreating of MOT products to fuels. Isolated triglycerides are sent to a coproduct train, with the base case focused on upgrading to polyurethane foams as a high-value, high-market-volume coproduct.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Recent Advances in the Use of Ionic Liquids and Deep Eutectic Solvents for Lignocellulosic Biorefineries and Biobased Chemical and Material Production

Biorefineries, which process biomass feedstocks into valuable (bio)products, aim to replace fossil fuel-based refineries to produce energy and chemicals, reducing environmental and health hazards, including climate change, and supporting a sustainable economy. In particular, lignocellulose-based biorefineries, utilizing the most abundant renewable feedstock on Earth, have significant potential to supply sustainable energy, chemicals and materials. Ionic liquids (ILs, organic salts with low melting temperatures) and deep eutectic solvents (DESs, mixtures with eutectic points lower than the ideal mixture) are capable of dissolving some of the key lignocellulose polymers, and even the whole biomass. Furthermore, they have intrinsic advantages over molecular solvents, including safer usage profiles and high tunability, which allow tailored physicochemical properties. Such properties provide unique opportunities for the development of new processes that could unlock the full potential of future biorefineries. Here, we review the current state of lignocellulosic biomass processing with ILs and DESs, with a specific focus on the pretreatment chemistry, process flow and products from each component; followed by discussions on sustainability assessments and technological challenges. We aim to inform the research community about the opportunities, challenges and perspectives in developing truly sustainable lignocellulose-based biorefineries.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Conversion, Stability, and Selectivity Improvements Through Catalyst Development for the Reductive Etherification Reaction

Economical pathways from lignocellulosic non-food biomass feedstocks to biofuels with appropriate fuel properties are necessary for displacing fossil-fuel derived diesel use in medium-/heavy duty vehicles. Oxygenated compounds have recently shown promise due to low sooting tendencies and autoignition properties and molecules with sufficiently high carbon numbers can meet the requisite standards for water solubility and flash point. Coupling waste biomass derived small molecules into bioblendstock targets through the reductive etherification reaction shows potential for increasing molecular weight without losing the advantages of oxygenates. However, the transition to industrial viability for this process is limited by strong catalyst deactivation in typical flow reactor systems. Strong acid resins such as Amberlyst-15 (A-15) show excellent activity in batch reactions but are limited to low temperatures and are poisoned by the side-product, water. In this talk, I will describe our recent work in catalyst synthesis and testing to select superior options with improved aqueous and thermal stability in reductive etherification flow reactions. Water-tolerant solid acid catalysts have potential to improve the conversion and selectivity to the ether target at temperatures above the degradation point of A-15. Analysis techniques such as physisorption, chemisorption, x-ray diffraction and transmission electron microscopy are being used to characterize the active sites. These techniques are also being used to evaluate degradation of the catalyst after extensive flow reactions in addition to comparative efficiency testing with standardized cyclohexene hydrogenation reactions. Finally, I will discuss a demonstration of the full pathway from bio-derived butyric acid to the performance-advantaged ether product and the additional obstacles from side-products and purification limitations in the preliminary upgrading reactions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Factors that influence the activity of biomass-degrading enzymes in the presence of ionic liquids—a review

Ionic liquids (ILs) are seen as a more sustainable alternative to volatile organic solvents that are accelerating innovations in many industries such as energy storage, separations, and bioprocessing. The ability to effectively deconstruct lignocellulosic biomass is a significant hurdle in the biorefining/bioprocessing industry and presents limitations towards the commercial production of bioproducts (such as biofuels, biomaterials, etc. ). Certain ILs have been shown to promote effective lignin removal, cellulose recovery, and sugar yields from various biomass feedstocks such as corn stover, wheat straw, sugarcane bagasse, sorghum, switchgrass, miscanthus, poplar, pine, eucalyptus, and certain mixtures of municipal solid waste. However, these improvements are often counteracted by the limited biocompatibility of ILs, which results in an IL-induced reduction in enzyme activity and stability—an important downstream step in the conversion of biomass to biofuels/bioproducts. As a result, significant efforts have been made to discover and engineer compatible enzyme-IL systems and to improve our understanding on the effect that these ILs have on these systems. This review seeks to examine the impact of ionic liquids on enzymes involved in lignocellulosic biomass deconstruction, with a specific focus on their relevance in the context of pretreatment. Beyond presenting an overview of the ionic liquid pretreatment landscape, we outline the main factors that influence enzyme activity and stability in the presence of ILs This data is consolidated and analyzed to apply this body of knowledge towards new innovations that could lead to improvements in the processing of biomass to biofuels and bioproducts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Brief Update on Advancements by Commercial Vendors/Options for Feeding and Pumping Biomass Slurries for Hydrothermal Liquefaction

In 2011, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), working as a partner in the National Advanced Biofuels Consortium, issued a report assessing the viable industrial feed system and pump options for a 2000 dry metric tons per day production-scale hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) plant (Berglin et al. 2012). This report was issued as PNNL-21981, Review and Assessment of Commercial Vendors/Options for Feeding and Pumping Biomass Slurries for Hydrothermal Liquefaction, and will be referred to as “Pump Survey” for reference. It had the following scope: • Identify relevant applications and industries operating at comparable scales • Interact with commercial vendors and pursue integration between vendors • Take advantage of commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) technology • Supply and support vendor needs for biomass feedstock rheology characterization • Provide vendors with process requirements to support selection of conceptual design for feedstock handing and pump system • Obtain cost data to the extent possible from equipment vendors to support the technical economic analysis (TEA) • Identify issues associated scale-up. The current document represents an update to the prior report in order to: 1. Identify advancements in vendor-reported technologies 2. List reports of new experience or trials with biomass pumping applications 3. Determine if technology/application gaps identified in the prior report have been filled 4. Capture ideas on future research.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Mapping and Synthesis of International Biomass Supply Assessments

This report, Mapping and Synthesis of International Biomass Supply Assessments (or Global Biomass Resource Assessment) is the first step in a long-term process to assemble data from around the globe into a virtual repository that can be updated and provide user-friendly access to the data. The Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) Biofuture Platform Initiative recommended that research be completed to “address the need for internationally accepted benchmarks quantifying sustainable biomass feedstock supplies.” To act upon the CEM Biofuture recommendation, in 2024, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) commissioned Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to prepare this report as the primary deliverable for a one-year assignment to assemble data into a citable form that could help resolve the persistent question presented related to bioenergy policy, “Is there enough sustainable biomass?” In response to that query, this report includes information received by August 2024 from national CEM representatives, collaborators, and public sources on current and future sustainable biomass supplies in 62 nations,and subsequently documents (a) the approach used by ORNL to analyze and categorize the information received in a manner that enables aggregation and comparability; and (b) recommendations for next steps and guidelines to help others update and harmonize future assessments of global sustainable biomass supplies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Uncertainty in determining carbon dioxide removal potential of biochar

A quantitative and systematic assessment of uncertainty in life-cycle assessment is critical to informing sustainable development of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. Biochar is the most commonly sold form of CDR to date and it can be used in applications ranging from concrete to agricultural soil amendments. Previous analyses of biochar rely on modeled or estimated life-cycle data and suggest a cradle-to-gate range of 0.20–1.3 kg CO 2 net removal per kg of biomass feedstock, with the range reported driven by differences in energy consumption, pyrolysis temperature, and feedstock sourcing. Herein, we quantify the distribution of CDR possible for biochar production with a compositional life-cycle inventory model paired with scenario-aware Monte Carlo simulation in a 'best practice' (incorporating lower transportation distances, high pyrolysis temperatures, high energy efficiency, recapture of energy for drying and pyrolysis energy requirements, and co-generation of heat and electricity) and 'poor practice' (higher transportation distances, lower pyrolysis temperatures, low energy efficiency, natural gas for energy requirements, and no energy recovery) scenarios. In the best-practice scenario, cradle-to-gate CDR (which is representative of the upper limit of removal across the entire life cycle) is highly certain, with a median removal of 1.4 kg of CO 2 e/kg biomass and results in net removal across the entire distribution. In contrast, the poor-practice scenario results in median net emissions of 0.090 kg CO 2 e/kg biomass. Whether this scenario emits (66% likelihood) or removes (34% likelihood) carbon dioxide is highly uncertain. The emission intensity of energy inputs to the pyrolysis process and whether the bio-oil co-product is used as a chemical feedstock or combusted are critical factors impacting the net carbon dioxide emissions of biochar production, together responsible for 98% of the difference between the best- and poor-practice scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Green pretreatment strategies for enhanced microbial lipid fermentation and synergistic high-quality lignin recovery for next-generation integrated biorefineries

Miscanthus × giganteus (Mxg) is a warm-season perennial grass being commercialized as a biomass feedstock for temperate farms. Three process strategies were compared for converting Mxg into single-cell oil and extracted lignin intermediates, as hydrothermal (HT) processing and two natural deep eutectic solvents (NADES), ChCl:LA (choline chloride:lactic acid) and ChCl:Gly (choline chloride:glycerol). Pretreatments were performed at 10% and 50% solids loading at 140 °C, 2 h; HT: 190 °C, 10 min. Enzymatic hydrolysates, generated at 10% solids using washed and unwashed biomass, were evaluated for microbial lipid production. Maximum glucose conversions from washed biomass reached 83.5% (ChCl:LA), 52.7% (ChCl:Gly), and 74.0% (HT). Remarkably, NADES-derived hydrolysates effectively replaced refined sugars for the cultivation of the oleaginous yeast Rhodotorula toruloides, achieving ∼51% higher biomass (OD 90.7) and lipid titers of 19.36 g/L within 45 h using a two-stage fermentation strategy. Lipid contents ranged from 34.5–44.5% dry weight, demonstrating reduced reliance on purified sugars. Beyond carbohydrate valorization, ChCl:LA pretreatment enabled high-purity lignin recovery (>89%) in a lignin-first strategy. Structural analyses (2D-HSQC and ³¹P NMR) showed syringyl (78.15%), guaiacyl (15.15%), and p-hydroxyphenyl (6.41%) units, with higher phenolic hydroxyl content (0.91 mmol/g) and a lower S/G ratio (0.19) than HT lignin (0.87 mmol/g, S/G 0.22). These attributes favor downstream lignin depolymerization into low-molecular-weight aromatics. Overall, NADES pretreatment simultaneously enhances microbial lipid yields and recovers high-quality lignin, advancing the economic feasibility of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production from bioenergy crops within an integrated biorefinery framework.

2D HSQC↗

Opportunity Assessment for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production from Woody Biomass via Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis and Refinery Hydroprocessing

Biofuels have become a promising solution to reduce emissions in hard-to-electrify transportation sectors, such as aviation. However, several biofuel conversion pathways will likely be needed to scale sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production to meet lower carbon intensity goals when biomass feedstock availability constraints are considered. This study evaluates the future potential of the catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) pathway to contribute to U.S. SAF production goals as outlined in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) SAF Grand Challenge, understanding that the CFP pathway is still under development toward maturity and scaleup. National forestland resource data from the DOE’s 2023 Billion Ton Study are integrated with recent experimental results demonstrating end-to-end woody biomass conversion to SAF via CFP and hydroprocessing in a novel bioeconomy optimization framework. U.S. refinery hydroprocessing capacity is also considered with repurposing and coprocessing strategies. Results indicate that the CFP process can contribute up to 4.6 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2040, meeting 13% of the 2050 SAF Grand Challenge target while reducing the carbon intensity (CI) of the U.S. jet fuel pool by 16%. The study further explores optimal processing strategies, suggesting that colocating CFP operations with existing petroleum refineries and repurposing some U.S. hydrocracking capacity may offer significant cost advantages and enhance the commercial viability of the CFP pathway. These results underscore the CFP pathway’s potential to support the global aviation industry’s lower carbon intensity objectives while producing other renewable fuels and products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Machine learning for surrogate process models of bioproduction pathways

Technoeconomic analysis and life-cycle assessment are critical to guiding and prioritizing bench-scale experiments and to evaluating economic and environmental performance of biofuel or biochemical production processes at scale. Traditionally, commercial process simulation tools have been used to develop detailed models for these purposes. However, developing and running such models can be costly and computationally intensive, which limits the degree to which they can be shared and reproduced in the broader research community. This study evaluates the potential of an automated machine learning approach to develop surrogate models based on conventional process simulation models. The analysis focuses on several high-value biofuels and bioproducts for which pathways of production from biomass feedstocks have been well-established. The results demonstrate that surrogate models can be an accurate and effective tool for approximating the cost, mass and energy balance outputs of more complex process simulations at a fraction of the computational expense.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Rapid screening of secondary aromatic metabolites in Populus trichocarpa leaves

Abstract Background High-throughput metabolomics analytical methodology is needed for population-scale studies of bioenergy-relevant feedstocks such as poplar ( Populus sp.). Here, the authors report the relative abundance of extractable aromatic metabolites in Populus trichocarpa leaves rapidly estimated using pyrolysis-molecular beam mass spectrometry (py-MBMS). Poplar leaves were analyzed in conjunction with and validated by GC/MS analysis of extracts to determine key spectral features used to build PLS models to predict the relative composition of extractable aromatic metabolites in whole poplar leaves. Results The Pearson correlation coefficient for the relative abundance of extractable aromatic metabolites based on ranking between GC/MS analysis and py-MBMS analysis of the Boardman leaf set was 0.86 with R 2 = 0.76 using a simplified prediction approach from select ions in MBMS spectra. Metabolites most influential to py-MBMS spectral features in the Clatskanie set included the following compounds: catechol, salicortin, salicyloyl-coumaroyl-glucoside conjugates, α-salicyloylsalicin, tremulacin, as well as other salicylates, trichocarpin, salicylic acid, and various tremuloidin conjugates. Ions in py-MBMS spectra with the highest correlation to the abundance of extractable aromatic metabolites as determined by GC/MS analysis of extracts, included m/z 68, 71, 77, 91, 94, 105, 107, 108, and 122, and were used to develop the simplified prediction approach without PLS models or a priori measurements. Conclusions The simplified py-MBMS method is capable of rapidly screening leaf tissue for relative abundance of extractable aromatic secondary metabolites to enable prioritization of samples in large populations requiring comprehensive metabolomics that will ultimately inform plant systems biology models and advance the development of optimized biomass feedstocks for renewable fuels and chemicals.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Simple and Scalable Process for Nanocellulose Production from Residues and Waste (CRADA Final Report)

This project successfully developed an innovative, cost-effective, and scalable method for converting low-cost agricultural waste feedstocks into nanocellulose—a sustainable material with wide-ranging industrial applications. It addressed the critical challenges of high production costs and limited global supply, which have hindered the widespread adoption of nanocellulose in industry. Through this work, significant advancements were made in optimizing resource use, improving process efficiency, and reducing costs. Notable achievements included a 50% reduction in water usage, 30% lower chemical consumption, and 20% energy savings, all while maintaining high-quality product standards. The technical feasibility of the process was further validated at a 10L scale in collaboration with the Advanced Biofuels and Bioproducts Development Unit (ABPDU), demonstrating scalability and replicability. Key challenges in reducing nanocellulose production costs were addressed by utilizing low-cost biomass feedstocks and implementing low-temperature conversion reactions, leading to lower capital and operating expenses. The project also mitigated financial risk by generating critical data on the feasibility, adaptability, and scalability of the conversion technology, paving the way for its commercial implementation. Public benefits include advancing the circular bioeconomy, reducing environmental impact, fostering job creation, and enabling a shift toward biobased materials as sustainable alternatives to fossil-based products. These outcomes align closely with national goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote sustainable technological innovation.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Composition-Preserving Extraction and Characterization of Biomass Extrinsic and Intrinsic Inorganic Compounds

The inorganic content of biomass impairs size reduction tool life and the conversion process. Conventional ash extraction relies on furnace combustion that inevitably alters the inorganic compounds due to oxidation and decomposition. This study developed composition-preserving methods for extracting and analyzing extrinsic and intrinsic inorganic compounds. Comprehensive characterization was carried out on selected biomass feedstocks, including corn stover, pine residue, and pine anatomical fractions, to reveal their inorganic species and morphology. The extrinsic inorganic compounds were found to be dominated by quartz, along with other minor minerals, such as albite, microcline, and gehlenite, and have particle sizes ranging from tens to hundreds of micrometers. Among the pine anatomical fractions, the needles contain the highest intrinsic silicon content while the bark trapped the most extrinsic minerals. By correlation of the total ash and extrinsic inorganic contents to the wear behavior, both the extrinsic and intrinsic inorganic compounds were concluded to have made significant contributions to the wear process. Finally, the results here validated a new approach to characterize inorganic compounds in biomass and provided fundamental insights for their potential impact on preprocessing tool wear.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The contribution of bioenergy to the decarbonization of transport: a multi-model assessment

The expected growth in the demand for passenger and freight services exacerbates the challenges of reducing transport GHG emissions, especially as commercial low-carbon alternatives to petroleum fuels are limited for shipping, air and long-distance road travel. Biofuels can offer a pathway to significantly reduce emissions from these sectors, as they can easily substitute for conventional liquid fuels in internal combustion engines. In this paper, we assess the potential of bioenergy to reduce transport GHG emissions through an analysis leveraging various integrated assessment models and scenarios, as part of the 33rd Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF-33). Furthermore, we find that bioenergy can contribute a significant, albeit not dominant, proportion of energy supply to the future transport sector: in scenarios aiming to keep the temperature increase below 2 °C by the end of the twenty-first century, models project that in 2100 bioenergy can provide on average 42 EJ/yr (ranging from 5 to 85 EJ/yr) for transport (compared to 3.7 EJ in 2018), mainly through lignocellulosic fuels. This makes up 9–62% of final transport energy use. Only a small amount of bioenergy is projected to be used in transport through electricity and hydrogen pathways, with a larger role for biofuels in road passenger transport than in freight. The association of carbon capture and storage (CCS) with bioenergy technologies (BECCS) is a key determinant in the role of biofuels in transport, because of the competition for biomass feedstock to provide other final energy carriers along with carbon removal. Among models that consider CCS in the biofuel conversion process the average market share of biofuels is 21% in 2100 (ranging from 2 to 44%), compared to 10% (0–30%) for models that do not. Cumulative direct emissions from the transport sector account for half of the emission budget (from 306 to 776 out of 1,000 GtCO 2 ). However, the carbon intensity of transport decreases as much as other energy sectors in 2100 when accounting for process emissions, including carbon removal from BECCS. Lignocellulosic fuels become more attractive for transport decarbonization if BECCS is not feasible for any energy sectors. Since global transport service demand increases and biomass supply is limited, its allocation to and within the transport sector is uncertain and sensitive to assumptions about political as well as technological and socioeconomic factors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗