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At least 163 records · Page 9

Development of a LOCA Experimental Benchmark for BISON - Milestone L2:FMC.P15.08

Since 2013 CASL has been planning and working towards a PWR LOCA Challenge Problem. Since BISON is the CASL fuel rod simulation platform, it plays a central role in that activity. The goal of the FY-17 CASL milestone reported here was to develop an Experimental Benchmark for LOCA analysis using BISON. Activities encompassed both code development and validation. This report provides a current snapshot of BISON’s capability for LOCA behavior including: 1) a summary of code extensions to facilitate accident analysis, 2) a series of separate effects tests, and 3) initial code validation to complex integral rod LOCA behavior. Conclusions from each of these main activities are summarized below. The key material and behavior models required to address transient high-temperature phenomena occurring during LOCAs in a standard PWR have now been implemented in BISON. These apply specifically to UO2 fuel, Zircaloy cladding and water coolant. During FY-17 important new capability to address axial UO2 fuel relocation (for 1.5D geometry) and account for oxidation energy deposition in cladding, were included. Planned future development efforts include extending the axial fuel relocation model from 1.5D to 2D/3D and improving BISON’s fission gas release model to include transient gas release associated with the high burnup structure (HBS) in high burnup fuel. Additionally, investigation of potential anisotropic creep behavior in Zircaloy cladding is planned, assuming sufficient experimental data are available to support this effort. A substantial number of separate effects validation cases (42 tests from 3 experimental series) have been completed to compare BISON predictions to measured ballooning and burst behavior for Zircaloy cladding. Such experiments include a wide variety of pressures, temperatures and loading rates. In general, BISON predictions of burst temperature, pressure and burst time are very reasonable. For one experimental series, however, involving both very high temperatures and strain rates, BISON systematically over-predicts the cladding hoop strain. Investigation of this discrepancy is an important and planned activity. With another experiment an effort was made to investigate 3D cladding response due to an azimuthal temperature variation. Results indicated 3D effects are potentially important in fuel rod analysis during LOCAs and will be further investigated in the future. BISON validation to a series of integral fuel rod experiments has also been completed. These experiments involve all fuel and cladding phenomena relevant to LOCA conditions, and can include complexities associated with irradiated fuel relative to fresh fuel. Such experiments also generally include complex thermal-hydraulic boundary conditions. Four experiments (6 rods) have been considered to date including simulated fuel (ZrO2) and both fresh and high-burnup UO2. Test rods ranged from rodlets to full length commercial PWR fuel rods. As with the separate effects experiments, BISON predictions of burst temperature, pressure and burst time are generally very reasonable. Comparisons to cladding peak strain and rod outer diameter axial profiles are less satisfactory, and identify material models and possibly modeling approximations (e.g., 2D-RZ vs 3D geometries) requiring additional investigation. Validation of BISON for integral rod LOCA behavior is by no means complete, with additional cases planned.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Updating and Refining BISON TRISO Assessment

Several advanced reactor concepts consider tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel in their designs. To support the advanced reactor industry, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is developing modeling and simulation capabilities within the BISON fuel performance code. Assessment of these capabilities against available experi- mental data, such as the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) program, is essential in instilling confidence in the code predictions. Associated uncertainties in model inadequacy, experimental measurements, and manufacturing are also of importance. This report discusses the updating and standardization of the existing assessment suite in BISON for TRISO fuel performance analysis. The cases considered the AGR-1, AGR-2, and AGR-3/4 experimental programs. The report also includes a preliminary investigation into the sources of model inadequacy associated with silver (Ag) release fractions using the AGR-2 Compact 2-1-2 as a case study. The results indicate that uncertainties in the operating temperatures supplied to the model and the form of those temperature conditions (spatially averaged versus spatially resolved) both affect Ag release predictions. This suggests that previously observed model inadequacy can be attributed to both physical models and the operating conditions supplied to them. These findings will be leveraged to guide development of assessment cases for additional experiments and refinement of physical models for behaviors that potentially influence Ag release, such as palladium penetration.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Improved Fracture Models for Relocation Modeling

The BISON fuel performance code is being developed to provide a modern tool that has the flexibility to analyze a wide variety of fuel forms and to model conditions and phenomena that could not be represented in legacy tools. There are a number of motivations for this, including providing support for development of advanced fuel with improved accident tolerance for existing light water (LWR) reactors, improved understanding of mechanisms in fuel designs in current use in a wider variety of conditions, and facilitating the development of fuel for advanced reactor designs. To accomplish these goals, it is clear that BISON must rely on models of fuel behavior that are based on fundamental physical behavior, rather than on empirical correlations that represent that behavior in a simplified fashion. BISON still does employ many empirical models that were originally developed for other fuel performance codes, but efforts are underway to replace these with models that are more physically based. Radial relocation in LWR fuel is an example of a phenomenon that is currently represented by an empirical model, but which is ripe for replacement by physically based models. During normal operation, ceramic LWR fuel experiences significant fracturing that is driven by spatially nonuniform volumetric expansion. This occurs due to the significant thermal gradients within the fuel that occur in fresh and irradiated fuel, as well as nonuniform swelling due to fission products that occurs over longer-term irradiation. Fracture and fragmentation of fuel allows the outer radius of the fuel pellet to expand due to the loss of mechanical constraint and outward radial migration of fragments. This radial expansion has a significant effect on the fuel system response because it decreases the size of the gap between the fuel and cladding. This decreases the thermal resistance across that gap, which leads to decreased fuel centerline temperatures. This report documents recent work to improve the ability of BISON to model radial relocation using the extended finite element method (XFEM). These enhancements include the ability to include cohesive zone models, improved code architecture for propagating cracks based on fracture integrals, and improved handling of fuel and cladding interfaces with XFEM. These capabilities are demonstrated on a simulation of radial relocation including a surface interaction model that enforces residual opening.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Multiphysics analysis of fuel Fragmentation, Relocation, and dispersal Susceptibility–Part 2: High-Burnup Steady-State operating and fuel performance conditions

The US nuclear industry is pursuing increased cycle lengths and increasing the peak rod-averaged burnup in an effort to increase the economic viability of the US nuclear fleet. Increasing burnup will afford economic viability by enabling utilities to optimize core designs to reduce the number of fresh fuel assemblies per cycle and allow nuclear power plants to operate for a longer period of time. Longer operating periods will also decrease the number of outages experienced by a nuclear power plants and, therefore, offer utilities significant operational savings. However, extending the peak rod-averaged burnup beyond 62 GWd/tU results in operating fuel rods to higher burnup under higher power conditions. This operating regime is expected to result in higher fuel temperatures, fission gas release (FGR), and rod internal pressures (RIPs) that may challenge historical safety basis and affect high-burnup (HBU) experimental testing. In particular, these conditions directly affect fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) susceptibility, so understanding the pretransient operating conditions is critical for developing test plans that evaluate the FFRD and develop strategies to mitigate it. This paper evaluates the operating conditions and fuel performance of HBU (greater than62 GWd/tU rod average) fuel. Additionally, it investigates fuel performance sensitivities and discusses the effect on fuel performance. Here, this work used two codes. Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) was used to calculate steady-state power histories, identify HBU operating conditions using 10 different realistic HBU core designs, and down-select rods to a representative subset of fuel rods for subsequent BISON evaluation. The BISON fuel performance code was used to investigate steady-state HBU operating conditions and assess uncertainties associated with FGR and its effect on fuel temperatures and RIPs. The VERA and BISON results will provide direct input for HBU experimental testing and support subsequent TRACE and BISON transient fuel performance analyses.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Metallic fuel cladding degradation model development and evaluation for BISON

Fuel cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) and coolant cladding chemical interaction (CCCI), both consume stainless-steel cladding in sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), and effectively degrade cladding mechanical performance through thickness reduction. Therefore, FCCI/CCCI and corresponding cladding degradation models are essential for advanced fuel performance codes, such as BISON, to reliably predict cladding behavior in SFRs. Here, we report the development and implementation efforts for BISON's FCCI/CCCI correlations and cladding degradation models based on U.S. legacy metallic fuel data. The models were evaluated using Integral Fast Reactor (IFR) program X447/A experiment data supported by the ongoing integration project enabling coordinated application of BISON and EBR-II fuel irradiation and physics database (FIPD). Furthermore, the implemented models were demonstrated to improve BISON's capabilities of predicting cladding damage and degradation behavior that is more consistent with post-irradiation examination observations. Additionally, some limitations of current BISON modules are identified, which are to be overcome through the BISON-FIPD integration efforts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Efficient high-fidelity TRISO statistical failure analysis using Bison: Applications to AGR-2 irradiation testing

The ability of tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) fuel to contain fission products is largely dictated by the quality of the manufacturing process, since most of the fission product release is expected to occur due to coating layer failure in a small number of particles containing defects. The Bison fuel performance code has capabilities to predict failure in individual particles, accounting for the presence of defects, and to apply statistical analysis methods to compute the probability of failure in a set of fuel particles. Bison has recently undergone significant development both to improve its physical representations of fuel particle behavior and to improve the efficiency of its statistical failure calculations. Physical model improvements include new capabilities to account for the pressure generated by fission gases on inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC) crack surfaces and to use local material coordinate orientation to accurately incorporate the anisotropy in the material properties in aspherical particles. To improve statistical modeling efficiency, a direct integration approach which involves directly integrating the failure probability function associated with statistically varying parameters has been developed. The direct integration approach is much more efficient than the Monte Carlo (MC) schemes commonly employed, and allows Bison to directly run high-dimensional fuel performance models, which improves the accuracy of failure probability calculations. Finally, a set of benchmark problems is considered here to compare the MC and direct integration approaches, and a statistical failure analysis of compacts in the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR)-2 experiments is performed using the direct integration approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling and design of a separate effects irradiation test targeting fission gas release from Cr-doped UO 2

Fission gas release (FGR) from nuclear fuel during operation can diminish heat transfer properties across the pellet-cladding gap and increase the fuel rod internal pressure, thereby posing a concern to fuel reliability and safety during an accident. Enlarging the fuel grain size, which has been shown to improve fission gas retention, can be achieved by doping the fuel feedstock prior to sintering. In this work, the BISON fuel performance code was used to predict FGR from undoped and chromia-doped UO 2 (referred to as Cr-doped UO 2 ) fuel specimens with different grain sizes and across various temperatures. The BISON models identified the irradiation conditions for which FGR is most significant, and a separate effects irradiation experiment in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) was then developed targeting those conditions. Further, the experiment leveraged the MiniFuel irradiation capability at Oak Ridge National Laboratory and consisted of 12 fuel specimens of varying grain size and Cr content. A coupling scheme between BISON FGR results and the ANSYS finite element thermal model used for experiment design was formulated to predict cumulative FGR from each fuel specimen based on expected irradiation temperature histories. The fuel samples were fabricated and characterized as a part of this work, and the fuel compositions modeled in BISON were representative of the specimens used in the experiment. This combined modeling and experimental effort aims to study the effect of fuel grain size and Cr content on FGR and to provide simulated BISON FGR results that can be used for future model validation activities.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Initial development of an RIA envelope for dispersed nuclear fuel

A reactivity insertion accident (RIA) is a design basis accident in which reactivity is rapidly injected as a result of a control rod ejection or blade drop scenario. The resultant power increase can result in fuel rod failure and subsequent release of radioactive material into the reactor’s primary system. For light water reactors, failure under RIAs is typically a result of fuel melt, pellet-cladding interaction, or rod over-pressurization. Fuel melt occurs when the fuel system is unable to transport heat out of the fuel system. Pellet-cladding interaction occurs when an aggressive fuel pellet expansion pushes on an embrittled cladding beyond its strain limit. Rod over-pressurization occurs when a fuel rod exceeds the critical heat flux and departs from nucleate boiling, causing the rod internal pressure to rapidly increase, exceeding the systems pressure, and balloon until it bursts. To prevent failure, regulators have developed safety requirements that limit the injected enthalpy based on the state of the fuel system. However, dispersed fuel could enable the removal or relaxation of regulator-imposed safety criteria. Dispersed fuel embeds fuel particles in a highly conductive metal. Dispersed particles can have a particle radius of 1 µm to greater than 100 µm. Traditional fuel systems are plagued by poor thermal conductivity, especially at higher burnups, thus reducing the ability of the fuel system to respond to an RIA. However, dispersed fuel could improve the ability of the fuel system to transport injected energy away from the fissile material and into the coolant more efficiently. Furthermore, dispersing the fuel particles mitigates hard contact that typically occurs in the traditional zirconium-uranium dioxide fuel system, thus removing pellet-cladding mechanical interaction as a potential failure mechanism. This paper evaluates fuel particles dispersed in a metal matrix using the BISON fuel performance code to develop an initial failure threshold based on melt temperature of the fuel particle and/or cladding material as a function of fission density for beginning-of-life and end-of-life conditions. BISON results show that (1) reducing the size of the particles allows fission density to increase as a function of time, (2) particle-to-particle proximity must be considered to evaluate the limiting conditions, and (3) improving the fuel particle thermal conductivity improves thermal performance.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

BISON microstructure-based pulverization criterion in high burnup structure

To improve the economics of commercial nuclear power production, utilities are seeking to increase the allowable burnup limit of UO$_2$ fuel. One of the main factors that contributes to the current burnup limit of 62 GWd/MTU in commercial light water reactors (LWRs) is the risk of fine fragmentation or pulverization during a loss of coolant accident (LOCA). Pulverization primarily occurs at high burnups, especially when the high burnup structure (HBS) has formed. To allow the industry to pursue increased burnup and develop mitigation strategies, it is essential to have improved capability to predict the onset of pulverization. However, the mechanism of pulverization is not well understood, and the existing predictive capabilities implemented in the BISON fuel performance code are empirical in nature. In this report, mesoscale simulations are used to improve understanding of the formation mechanism of the HBS and how it responds during a LOCA transient, and inform development of a BISON pulverization criterion. A phase-field model was used to simulate the evolution of bubble pressure as a result of HBS formation. The simulations showed that gas atoms diffuse from grain interiors to the new grain boundaries created during HBS formation, and diffuse rapidly along these grain boundaries to reach existing bubbles. This causes an increase in bubble pressure in existing bubbles, leading to bubble growth during steady-state operation. To simulate the response of HBS bubbles to a LOCA transient, a newly developed phase-field model was used; in agreement with preliminary results from FY20, bubble size did not change significantly during the duration of the transient. A phase-field fracture model was used to study fragmentation patterns in the HBS, including using input from the phase-field model as initial conditions. Phase-field fracture simulations were used to determine a pulverization criterion for BISON. A function for the critical pressure for pulverization to occur was fit to data from the phase-field fracture simulations, and this function was implemented as a material property in BISON. For comparison, an analytical criterion for pulverization was developed and implemented within the same material property.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Transient fuel performance analysis for the preliminary fuel concept of general atomics fast modular reactor

This study investigates the transient fuel performance of General Atomics Fast Modular Reactor (GA-FMR) during accident scenarios, focusing on the behavior of its innovative fuel system that combines high-assay low enriched uranium dioxide (HALEUO2) fuel with SiGA® ceramic matrix composite silicon carbide cladding. The preliminary fuel design’s response was analyzed during reactivity-initiated accidents (RIA) and loss of coolant accidents (LOCA) using BISON fuel performance analysis code, which included both the diffusion enhanced and BISON-FASTGRASS coupled UO 2 models. The RIA analysis demonstrated that effective reactivity control reduced fuel temperature, though with transient fission gas release resulting in additional tensile stress state on the cladding. LOCA simulations revealed differing predictions between the two models: the BISON UO 2 model showed more transient fission gas release but minimal pellet expansion, while the BISON-FASTGRASS UO 2 model predicted less pronounced fission gas release but more fuel swelling and thermal expansion, potentially leading to pellet-cladding mechanical interaction. Here, these findings highlight critical areas for fuel design optimization and identify knowledge gaps requiring further experimental and computational investigation to advance GA-FMR fuel development.

Lee, Soon K. [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), A↗

Advancements in modeling fuel pulverization and cladding behavior during a LOCA

During a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA), it is possible for nuclear fuel rods to undergo a three-step process known as fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). The chance of FFRD occurring increases as the fuel burnup increases. To support the nuclear industry's desire to increase the discharge burnup of nuclear fuels in light-water reactors (LWRs), it is imperative to understand the mechanisms driving the evolution of FFRD. In this work, a multiscale modeling approach is used to garner insight into underlying mechanisms leading to the fine fragmentation (also known as pulverization) of nuclear fuel during a LOCA. This report includes a summary of the atomistic and phase-field studies to develop a new pulverization criterion for use in the engineering-scale Bison fuel performance code. Details are also provided on cladding model improvements related to hydrogen/hydride embrittlement and damage and anisotropic thermal creep. The new models are used on the existing integral and separate effects LOCA validation cases available in Bison.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Advancements in modeling fuel pulverization and cladding behavior during a LOCA

During a loss of coolant accident (LOCA), there is the possibility of nuclear fuel rods to undergo a three step process known as fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). The chance of FFRD occurring increases as the fuel burnup increases. To support the nuclear industry's desire to increase the discharge burnup of nuclear fuels in light water reactors (LWRs) it is imperative to understand the mechanisms driving the evolution of FFRD. In this work, a multiscale modeling modeling approach is used to garner insight into underlying mechanisms leading to the ne fragmentation (also known as pulverization) of nuclear fuel during a LOCA. This report includes a summary of the atomistic and phase-field studies to develop a new pulverization criterion for use in the engineering scale Bison fuel performance code. Details are also provided on cladding modeling improvements related to hydrogen/hydride embrittlement and damage, and anisotropic thermal creep. The new models are used on the existing integral and separate effects LOCA validation cases available in Bison.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Effects of transient fission gas release on rod balloon burst behavior during a loss-of-coolant accident

The US nuclear energy industry is investigating strategies to increase the reactor operating cycle to 24 months, which would result in rod average burnups exceeding the current limit of 62 GWd/tU. To support this goal, multiphysics simulations tools and methodologies are being developed to predict the effects of this change during transient events such as loss-of-coolant accidents (LOCAs). In this work, two cladding burst correlations were used to predict cladding failure. Here, these were coupled with three transient fission gas release (tFGR) models and were implemented in the BISON fuel performance code to quantify any changes in cladding burst behavior during a large-break LOCA. First, a simple linear model was used to perform a sensitivity analysis of a single fuel rod. Second, a tFGR model available in BISON was applied to 281 fuel rods throughout the core. The third model examined was an empirical correlation based on data from the literature.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Streamlining the Coupling of BISON and Dakota Through the NEAMS Workbench

Metallic nuclear fuels for use in advanced reactors are an active area of research and development. Robust, accurate metallic fuel performance models are necessary for the design, analysis, and licensing of such reactors. However, metallic fuel performance models require additional development; they are not as mature as uranium dioxide fuel performance models. To support further metallic fuel development, Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the University of Florida have streamlined the coupling of the BISON fuel performance code with Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications (Dakota) statistical analysis tool through the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Workbench. This work included performing three different sensitivity analyses on metallic nuclear fuel models in BISON. The analyses examined were a general model of the IFR-1 experiment, the X430 experiment T654 pin, and the X430 experiment T651 pin. The results suggest that BISON and Dakota can be integrated through NEAMS Workbench to perform sensitivity and uncertainty analyses and visualize the results.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Effect of spacer grids on high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal

Increasing the fuel burnup limit in light-water reactors to improve fuel cycle economics requires a strong technical foundation. Experimental observations from the Halden and Studsvik programs have revealed severe fuel fragmentation during loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) conditions, highlighting the need for additional technical evaluation. Consequently, further LOCA test data are needed to complement existing findings and improve the understanding of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) behavior. Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Severe Accident Test Station has played a significant role in advancing the understanding of high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal phenomena. One remaining gap in the available experimental database is the effect of fuel assembly structural features on cladding deformation behavior during a LOCA, and more specifically, their impact on the fuel’s ability to fragment, relocate, and disperse. Recent analyses using the BISON fuel performance code suggest that cladding deformation near grid spacers will remain below the 3% threshold that has been reported in the NRC Research Information Letter, indicating that the cladding could remain mechanically constrained during the LOCA event. This paper builds upon the BISON analyses to design and conduct a series of out-of-cell tests aimed at further evaluating cladding deformation in and around grid spacers. In addition, these tests were used to assess local cladding temperature conditions and compare them against analytical predictions in order to better replicate expected in-reactor behavior. Finally, an in-cell high-burnup LOCA test was designed and performed to evaluate the effects of a grid spacer, or cladding restraint, on fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal susceptibility. The high-burnup test results differed from those of historical LOCA experiments, with a recorded rupture temperature of 861°C. Two ballooned regions and corresponding rupture openings were observed, with rupture widths of approximately 0.64 mm for both ruptures and rupture lengths of 4.8 mm and 5.6 mm, respectively.

Capps, Nathan [ORNL]↗

Wrought FeCrAl alloy (C26M) cladding behavior and burst under simulated loss-of-coolant accident conditions

Cladding burst experiments for FeCrAl cladding were performed in the Severe Accident Test Station facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. These experiments were simulated using the BISON fuel performance code to better understand the cladding plastic behavior and failure under simulated loss-of-coolant accident conditions. 3D cladding surface boundary conditions were generated using composite axial and azimuthal profiles from experiment thermocouple data. To improve the simulation analysis capabilities in BISON for cladding burst behavior, new thermal creep, plasticity, and failure stress models specific to C26M, a wrought FeCrAl alloy, were developed and implemented. Initial cladding burst results indicated a general underprediction in the failure temperature of the six cladding burst simulations versus the observed failure temperatures. Close investigation of the experiment timing versus the underlying tensile test data revealed that, compared with the tensile specimens, the cladding tubes did not experience the same long holding time at high temperatures. New tensile tests were performed at high temperatures using a temperature ramp similar to the simulated loss-of-coolant accident experiments. These new tensile curves showed an approximately 80% increase in the ultimate tensile strength of the C26M alloy, indicating that a holding time of 10 min at 700 °C and 800 °C allows annealing to change the material microstructure. Using the updated tensile properties, the burst temperatures and stresses from the simulations showed remarkable agreement with the experimental results. This study was then extended by varying the initial pressure to highlight the burst temperature difference between standard Zircaloy-4 and C26M cladding under equivalent conditions. The results show that C26M has a burst temperature that is approximately 70–130 K greater than that of Zircaloy-4. In conclusion, these modeling predictions can be further improved by collecting high-temperature tensile data for C26M beyond the temperature ranges used in this work.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Demonstrate new plasticity models for doped UO 2 that capture dislocation mechanisms

In light water reactors, fuel vendors are investigating the use of dopants to modify the properties of UO 2 pellets, with the goal of improving pellet-cladding mechanical interactions during operation. Dopants are expected to ‘soften’ the pellets; that is, the doped pellets have higher plastic deformation than conventional UO 2 . This leads to a reduction in the severity of mechanical pellet-cladding interactions, helping to reduce the hoop strain on the cladding. By minimizing the strain exerted by the pellet on the cladding, it is anticipated that cladding performance under accident conditions can be enhanced (i.e., lowering the risk of burst during a LOCA). Dopants such as chromium (Cr) promote grain growth during pellet fabrication, leading to larger grains; therefore, understanding the link between chemistry, microstructure and mechanical deformation (enhanced creep rates) behavior of UO 2 is critical to helping operators further substantiate the benefits of doping UO 2 . Historically, the nuclear energy industry has relied on empirical models to make assessments of performance. Compared to empirical models, mechanistic physics-based models provide benefits, such as, fewer data points for validation and better extrapolation where experimental data is scarce or non-existent. In this report, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to a previously developed lower length-scale-informed diffusional creep model. The objective is to i) infer lower-length-scale parameter distributions from available experiment and then ii) determine the uncertainties in the measurable quantity (in this case creep rates) after propagating the inferred lower length scale parameter uncertainties. The approach requires many evaluations of the model, which becomes computationally insurmountable; therefore, a neural-network model is trained to data obtained by sampling the full model over the most important parameters. This neural-network is then used in the Bayesian inference approach to determine probability distributions in the parameter values that represent the uncertainty in the model given what is known from the experiments (posterior). A significant reduction compared to conservative initial (prior) uncertainties is achieved through inference against the experimental data, demonstrating the efficacy of this approach. Furthermore, by accounting for uncertainties in the experimental conditions and sample non-stoichiometry, it is possible to resolve apparent discrepancies in experimental measurements within a self-consistent grain boundary (Coble) creep model that is sensitive to chemistry. This work has been written up and submitted to Nuclear Technology for a special issue on accelerated fuel qualification (AFQ). This uncertainty quantification (UQ) work not only improves the diffusional model, while accounting for uncertainty, but also establishes a framework which can readily be applied to the mechanistic models of dislocation deformation developed in this study. The most likely values from the Bayesian analysis are incorporated into our UO 2 diffusional creep model and a lower length scale-informed irradiation UO 2 creep mechanistic model to generate a dataset. This dataset has been provided to our INL collaborators for training an artificial neural network surrogate model, which will be implemented in the BISON fuel performance code to assess how the results differ from those currently obtained using a fully empirical model and that of using the nominal (uncalibrated) atomic scale parameters in our mechanistic model. Plastic deformation (creep and glide) in UO 2 is a complex phenomenon, governed by multiple underlying processes such as local defect concentrations, applied stresses, and microstructural characteristics. Consequently, there is a need for a meso-scale model with polycrystalline resolution capable of extrapolating to large grain sizes applicable to doped UO 2 , where data is limited and the model can help bridge the knowledge gap. By integrating atomistic data into the polycrystal LApx code, it becomes possible to predict dislocation climb and glide plasticity that simple analytical models cannot accurately represent. The application of atomic-scale data within LApx demonstrated the importance of climb and glide mechanisms in reproducing high-stress UO 2 behavior. Behaviors such as this are crucial to capture and implement in BISON, as parts of the fuel pellet can reach temperatures where glide can occur before pellet cracking. This model which captures dislocation based mechanisms for UO 2 is then used to stand up the doped model accounting for larger grain sizes. It was found that larger grain sizes can lead to enhanced deformation rates in the glide regime, and therefore can help with the pellet cladding mechanical interaction. Therefore if the fuel pellet reaches conditions (stress/temperature) where glide is active, the enhanced creep rates for larger grains in the glide regime (doped UO 2 ) can help with pellet cladding mechanical interactions. Plastic deformation in UO 2 involves multiple mechanisms, including diffusional creep, dislocation climb, and glide. This milestone contains two parts: (1) UQ of a pre-existing lower length scale informed mechanistic diffusional creep model, and (2) development of a new LApx based model for dislocation-mediated creep mechanisms in UO 2 , with application to large-grain doped UO 2 .

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Accident Tolerant Fuels High Impact Problem: Engineering Scale Models and Analysis

As part of the Department of Energy's Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program, an Accident Tolerant Fuel High Impact Problem was initiated at the beginning of fiscal year 2015 to investigate the behavior of \usi\ fuel and iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) cladding under normal operating and accident reactor conditions. The High Impact Problem was created in response to the United States Department of Energy's renewed interest in accident tolerant materials after the events that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant in 2011. The High Impact Problem is a multinational laboratory and university collaborative research effort between Idaho National Laboratory, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Argonne National Laboratory, and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. This report summarizes the latest recommended material models to be used for engineering scale simulations based upon lower length scale analyses described elsewhere. Comparative analyses between traditional fuel rods (U 3 Si 2 /Zircaloy-4) and the proposed accident tolerant fuel rods (UO 2 /FeCrAl and U 3 Si 2 /Zircaloy-4) under normal operation, loss of coolant, and reactivity insertion conditions have been revisited using the latest state-of-the-art models implemented into the Bison fuel performance code. Sensitivity analyses have also been redone to take into account the latest knowledge on uncertain parameters.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗