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At least 163 records · Page 9

Generating synthetic signaling networks for in silico modeling studies

Predictive models of signaling pathways have proven to be difficult to develop. Reasons include the uncertainty in the number of species, the complexity in species’ interactions, and the sparseness and uncertainty in experimental data. Traditional approaches to developing mechanistic models rely on collecting experimental data and fitting a single model to that data. This approach works for simple systems but has proven unreliable for complex systems such as biological signaling networks. For example, uncertainty and sparseness of the data often result in overfitted models that have little predictive value beyond recapitulating the experimental data itself. Thus, there is a need to develop new approaches to create predictive mechanistic models of complex systems. However, to determine the effectiveness of any new algorithm, a baseline model is needed to test its performance. To meet this need, we developed a method for generating artificial synthetic networks that are reasonably realistic and thus can be treated as ground truth models. These synthetic models can then be used to generate synthetic data for developing and testing algorithms designed to recover the underlying network topology and associated parameters. Here, we describe a simple approach for generating synthetic signaling networks that can be used for this purpose.

42 ENGINEERING

Model Evaluation and Intercomparison Using Data Collected by the Langley Mobile Ozone Lidar in Hampton, Virginia

Throughout the year 2022, the Langley Mobile Ozone Lidar (LMOL) has been frequently collecting ozone and aerosol measurements in the lower troposphere. The lidar is located in the parking lot behind the Atmospheric Sciences building at NASA Langley in Hampton, Virginia, approximately 37.095 N, -76.389 W. The data was collected during a range of several distinct atmospheric conditions, including stratospheric intrusions, surface frontal passages, and long-range transported wildfire smoke plumes. We use this data to evaluate and intercompare the forecast accuracy of two atmospheric chemistry models: the GEOS Composition Forecasting model (GEOS-CF) and the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). Both models make daily three-dimensional forecasts of many trace gases and species for the contiguous United States. Over a range of ten distinct collection events, each spanning 36 hours to nearly seven days, the forecast models predict tropospheric ozone at NASA Langley with reasonable accuracy. The models best predict the timing and shape of the observed stratospheric intrusions in the middle troposphere but often vary in the magnitude of the ozone mixing ratios. For other atmospheric conditions, there is more variability in the model accuracy. Here, we summarize the accuracy of the models for all events and investigate reasons for differences between the models and the lidar.

Daniel B. Phoenix

An Overview of the Patch Integral Method (PIM), a New Heat Transfer Analysis Tool for Hypersonic Wind Tunnel Facilities at NASA Langley

NASA Langley’s hypersonic wind tunnels are heavily leveraged for planetary missions. The data collection method in these tunnels is thermography, and surface temperature measurements of the model surface are collected and reduced to produce surface heating data, as seen in Fig 1. However, during model injection, no temperature data are collected, and thus conventional, integral heat transfer methods cannot be used to solve for surface heating. A method was developed in the 1990’s to reduce this data despite the data gap, known as the step approximation method. The method assumes that the film coefficient behaves as a step function, the model is semi-infinite, and thermal properties are constant. With these simplifying assumptions, a Laplace transform can be performed to result in an equation that takes the initial temperature of the model and a temperature at some point in time to back out the film coefficient at that time. This is the method that is used in the current thermographic data reduction software, IHEAT. While computationally light-weight, the step approximation has several issues associated with it. The time-history of temperature is not accounted for, which is vital as heat transfer is an integral process. Additionally, the required semi-infinite assumption is unnecessary and might be violated during runtime. Thermal variation of material properties can have a sizeable impact on heating results and are not modeled by the method. This method also takes multiple seconds to “collapse” to a steady state, which is undesirable from both a facility and data reduction standpoint. The method is also very sensitive to the “effective time” approximation, an approximation of when heating instantaneously starts (which is a nonphysical simplification), and a small variation in this value can result in an error in heating results.

J. S. Cheatwood

Using Open Standards and NASA Open Source Simulation Tools to Model Artemis Base Camp Mission Timelines

The United States’ National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has announced that the Artemis Program will return humans to the Moon, establishing a persistent presence with the Artemis Base Camp (ABC), and extend human exploration to Mars. The NASA Exploration Systems Simulations (NExSyS) team at NASA’s Johnson Space Center is using internationally developed simulation interoperability standards and NASA open source simulation tools to support Artemis concept, analysis, designs, development, training, and ultimately operations. The NExSyS team has been tasked to support early ABC architecture and mission analysis using mission time lines developed by the crew operations mission planning team. The NExSyS team is developing a distributed simulation framework with initial Artemis element implementations to model the ABC mission timelines using the international simulation interoperability standard High Level Architecture (HLA), the Simulation Interoperability Standards Organization’s Space Reference Federation Object Model (SpaceFOM), the NASA open source Trick Simulation Environment, and another NASA open source interface package called TrickHLA. The ABC architecture is composed of a number of key surface elements and resources. Some examples of modeled elements (also known as entities) are landers, habitats, rovers, logistics carriers, and astronauts. Some examples of modeled transferable and consumable resources are power, water, oxygen, nitrogen, scientific samples, and food. These entities and resources are modeled in a collection of individual simulations called Federates. A coordinated collection of interoperable federates is called a Federation and when these federates are tied together in a coordinated simulation run, it is referred to as a Federation Execution. The federates communicate through HLA using data exchange formats defined by a collection of machine readable files called Federation Object Models (FOMs). These FOM files are based on extensions to the SpaceFOM. This enables the instantiation and sharing of objects and interactions between federates in the federation. These provide for entity and resource tracking, object transfer, and data collection. Federate interactions are used to trigger events and notify federates of entity or resource transfers. For the initial implementation, the constituent federates are Trick-based simulations that use TrickHLA to provide the required HLA-base interoperability. These Trick-based simulations provide the required modeling for the individual Artemis elements along with the associated element resources. These federates provide a means to explore traverses between surface elements and exploration sites as scheduled in a mission timeline and explore the affects traverse times have on the overall mission timeline. The mission time lines are modeled using a Trick input file event handling capabilities. Each timeline operation is handled as individual simulation events, and triggered based on previous event status, time of operation, and simulated task completions. In addition, the ABC Federation can be used to perform Monte Carlo analysis. The Monte Carlo tool can vary the inputs, timings, and malfunctions to show how various contingencies in the mission can affect the mission timeline.

Keaton Craig Dodd

Current-Produced Magnetic Field Effects on Current Collection

Current collection by an infinitely long, conducting cylinder in a magnetized plasma, taking into account the magnetic field of the collected current, is discussed. A region of closed magnetic surfaces disconnects the cylinder from infinity. Due to this, the collected current depends on the ratio between this region and the plasma sheath region and, under some conditions, current reduction arises. It is found that the upper-bound limit of current collection is reduced due to this change of magnetic field topology. The effect can be essential even if the orbit-limited model of current collection is valid. This model is used to find the reduction of the total current collected by a cylinder (e.g., a bare tether). Such effect strongly depends on plasma density. The results are applied to a tether system in the ionosphere. For this case, it is found that current reduction can be significant for long tethers in typical dayside ionospheric conditions.

Khazanov, G. V.

Current-Produced Magnetic Field Effects on Current Collection

Current collection by an infinitely long, conducting cylinder in a magnetized plasma, taking into account the magnetic field of the collected current, is discussed. A region of closed magnetic surfaces disconnects the cylinder from infinity. Owing to this, the collected current depends on the ratio between this region and the plasma sheath region and, under some conditions, current reduction arises. It is found that the upper bound limit of current collection is reduced due to this change of magnetic field topology. The effect can be substantial even if the orbit-limited model of current collection is valid. This model is used to find the reduction of the total current collected by a cylinder (e.g., a bare tether). It is shown that this effect strongly depends on plasma density. The results are applied to a tether system in the ionosphere, and it is found that current reduction can be significant for long tethers in typical dayside ionospheric conditions.

Khazanov, G. V.

Deformation of the $0^+_{1,2}$ states in 110 Cd from low-energy Coulomb excitation

Electromagnetic properties of 110 Cd were studied via low-energy Coulomb excitation with 32 S and 14 N beams. Magnitudes and relative signs of eight E2 matrix elements, including quadrupole moments of the $2^+_1$ and $2^+_2$ states, were determined using the least-squares code GOSIA. From those, quadrupole deformation parameters of the $0^+_{1,2,3}$ states were inferred, providing for the first time conclusive evidence for the non-axial character of the ground state in 110 Cd. The experimental results were compared with new calculations using the general quadrupole collective Bohr Hamiltonian model with SLy4 and UNEDF0 interactions. The non-axiality of the ground state is reproduced by the present calculations, independently of the interaction used.

Collective models

Photogrammetry using Apollo 16 orbital photography, part B

Discussion is made of the Apollo 15 and 16 metric and panoramic cameras which provided photographs for accurate topographic portrayal of the lunar surface using photogrammetric methods. Nine stereoscopic models of Apollo 16 metric photographs and three models of panoramic photographs were evaluated photogrammetrically in support of the Apollo 16 geologic investigations. Four of the models were used to collect profile data for crater morphology studies; three models were used to collect evaluation data for the frequency distributions of lunar slopes; one model was used to prepare a map of the Apollo 16 traverse area; and one model was used to determine elevations of the Cayley Formation. The remaining three models were used to test photogrammetric techniques using oblique metric and panoramic camera photographs. Two preliminary contour maps were compiled and a high-oblique metric photograph was rectified.

Wu, S. S. C.

Improving Climate Projections Using "Intelligent" Ensembles

Recent changes in the climate system have led to growing concern, especially in communities which are highly vulnerable to resource shortages and weather extremes. There is an urgent need for better climate information to develop solutions and strategies for adapting to a changing climate. Climate models provide excellent tools for studying the current state of climate and making future projections. However, these models are subject to biases created by structural uncertainties. Performance metrics-or the systematic determination of model biases-succinctly quantify aspects of climate model behavior. Efforts to standardize climate model experiments and collect simulation data-such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)-provide the means to directly compare and assess model performance. Performance metrics have been used to show that some models reproduce present-day climate better than others. Simulation data from multiple models are often used to add value to projections by creating a consensus projection from the model ensemble, in which each model is given an equal weight. It has been shown that the ensemble mean generally outperforms any single model. It is possible to use unequal weights to produce ensemble means, in which models are weighted based on performance (called "intelligent" ensembles). Can performance metrics be used to improve climate projections? Previous work introduced a framework for comparing the utility of model performance metrics, showing that the best metrics are related to the variance of top-of-atmosphere outgoing longwave radiation. These metrics improve present-day climate simulations of Earth's energy budget using the "intelligent" ensemble method. The current project identifies several approaches for testing whether performance metrics can be applied to future simulations to create "intelligent" ensemble-mean climate projections. It is shown that certain performance metrics test key climate processes in the models, and that these metrics can be used to evaluate model quality in both current and future climate states. This information will be used to produce new consensus projections and provide communities with improved climate projections for urgent decision-making.

Baker, Noel C.

Improving Climate Projections Using "Intelligent" Ensembles

Recent changes in the climate system have led to growing concern, especially in communities which are highly vulnerable to resource shortages and weather extremes. There is an urgent need for better climate information to develop solutions and strategies for adapting to a changing climate. Climate models provide excellent tools for studying the current state of climate and making future projections. However, these models are subject to biases created by structural uncertainties. Performance metrics-or the systematic determination of model biases-succinctly quantify aspects of climate model behavior. Efforts to standardize climate model experiments and collect simulation data-such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)-provide the means to directly compare and assess model performance. Performance metrics have been used to show that some models reproduce present-day climate better than others. Simulation data from multiple models are often used to add value to projections by creating a consensus projection from the model ensemble, in which each model is given an equal weight. It has been shown that the ensemble mean generally outperforms any single model. It is possible to use unequal weights to produce ensemble means, in which models are weighted based on performance (called "intelligent" ensembles). Can performance metrics be used to improve climate projections? Previous work introduced a framework for comparing the utility of model performance metrics, showing that the best metrics are related to the variance of top-of-atmosphere outgoing longwave radiation. These metrics improve present-day climate simulations of Earth's energy budget using the "intelligent" ensemble method. The current project identifies several approaches for testing whether performance metrics can be applied to future simulations to create "intelligent" ensemble-mean climate projections. It is shown that certain performance metrics test key climate processes in the models, and that these metrics can be used to evaluate model quality in both current and future climate states. This information will be used to produce new consensus projections and provide communities with improved climate projections for urgent decision-making.

Baker, Noel C.

New Constraints on Titan's Stratospheric n-Butane Abundance

Curiously, n-butane has yet to be detected at Titan, though it is predicted to be present in a wide range of abundances that span over 2.5 orders of magnitude. We have searched infrared spectroscopic observations of Titan for signals from n-butane (n-C4H10) in Titan's stratosphere. Three sets of Cassini Composite Infrared Spectrometer Focal Plane 4 (1050–1500 cm−1) observations were selected for modeling, having been collected from different flybys and pointing latitudes. We modeled the observations with the Nonlinear Optimal Estimator for MultivariatE Spectral AnalySIS radiative transfer tool. Temperature profiles were retrieved for each of the data sets by modeling the ν4 emission from methane near 1305 cm−1. Then, incorporating the temperature profiles, we retrieved abundances of all of Titan's known trace gases that are active in this spectral region, reliably reproducing the observations. We then systematically tested a set of models with varying abundances of n-butane, investigating how the addition of this gas affected the fits. We did this for several different photochemically predicted abundance profiles from the literature, as well as for a constant-with-altitude profile. Ultimately, though we did not produce any firm detection of n-butane, we derived new upper limits on its abundance specific to the use of each profile and to multiple different ranges of stratospheric altitudes. These results will tightly constrain the C4 chemistry of future photochemical modeling of Titan's atmosphere and also motivate the continued search for n-butane and its isomer, isobutane.

Brendan L. Steffens

1994 SEMCOG Household-Based Person Trip Survey

The Southeast Michigan Council of Governments contracted with the Applied Management & Planning Group to conduct a travel behavior survey of 7,361 households from March 28, 1994, to June 10, 1994. The primary purpose of this study was to provide the council with a new database of travel behavior to assist in updating the region's transportation models. This data collection includes demographic, socioeconomic, travel, and mobile source emissions models for projecting future patterns of development, travel, congestion, and air pollution. Information about household characteristics and travel was collected using a one-day, activity-focused diary and a separate household survey. In an activity diary, respondents recorded 65,535 trips during the assigned the day.

1Hz data

FIRE - The First ISCCP Regional Experiment

The First International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project Regional Experiment (FIRE) designed to study the roles of clouds, in particular marine stratocumulus and cirrus-cloud systems, in the global climate is discussed. The objectives of FIRE are: (1) to develop a cloud-classification scheme; (2) to validate and improve satellite cloud-retrieval techniques; (3) to improve cloud radiation models; (4) to collect cloud space/time statistics; (5) to improve cloud dynamics models; and (6) to validate and improve GCM cloud parameterizations. The methods used to acquire extended time data and intensive field observations are described. The extended time and intensive field data collected during the FIRE are to be archived in the NASA Pilot Climate Data System at Goddard Space Flight Center.

Cox, Stephen K.

Simplifying Geospatial Workflows with GeoGridFusion

Growing demands to understand PV deployment and reliability across an expanding range of climates, along with increasing computational power, are driving the need for simplified computing tools that support large-scale analysis and geospatial workflows. While existing open-source libraries and PV system modeling tools offer extensive collections of empirical and physical models, they often lack the ability to scale to large geospatial datasets. The tool presented here, GeoGridFusion, enables PV modelers to store and utilize gridded geospatial data from sources such as NSRDB, PVGIS, and others. GeoGridFusion harmonizes diverse datasets, taxonomies, and nomenclatures, and includes utilities that support intuitive geospatial area selection.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Application of a Momentum Source Model to the RAH-66 Comanche FANTAIL

A Momentum Source Model has been revised and implemented in the flow solver OVERFLOW-D. In this approach, the fan forces are evaluated from two-dimensional airfoil tables as a function of local Mach number and angle-of-attack and applied as source terms in the discretized Navier-Stokes equations. The model revisions include a new model for forces in the tip region and axial distribution of the source terms. The model revisions improve the results significantly. The Momentum Source Model agrees well with a discrete blade model for all computed collective pitch angles. The two models agree well with experimental data for thrust vs. torque. The Momentum Source Model is a good complement to Discrete Blade Models for ducted fan computations. The lower computational and labor costs make parametric studies, optimization studies and interactional aerodynamics studies feasible for cases beyond what is practical with a Discrete Blade Model today.

Nygaard, Tor A.

C3 System Performance Simulation and User Manual. Getting Started: Guidelines for Users

This document is a User's Manual describing the C3 Simulation capabilities. The subject work was designed to simulate the communications involved in the flight of a Remotely Operated Aircraft (ROA) using the Opnet software. Opnet provides a comprehensive development environment supporting the modeling of communication networks and distributed systems. It has tools for model design, simulation, data collection, and data analysis. Opnet models are hierarchical -- consisting of a project which contains node models which in turn contain process models. Nodes can be fixed, mobile, or satellite. Links between nodes can be physical or wireless. Communications are packet based. The model is very generic in its current form. Attributes such as frequency and bandwidth can easily be modified to better reflect a specific platform. The model is not fully developed at this stage -- there are still more enhancements to be added. Current issues are documented throughout this guide.

Source record

Supporting Space Weather Modelling at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC)

Space weather models are essential to our ability to understand and predict space weather events. Nonetheless, some of the most cutting-edge models may struggle to move past the initial research stage, remaining unknown and inaccessible to a wider research audience, thereby hindering validation, intercomparison and adoption of the models. The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC, https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov) closes this gap by providing a convenient platform for hosting space weather models and associated services. Using these services, researchers and other end-users may exercise, evaluate, and intercompare contributed models, as well as collaborate on a growing archive of model run results. In this presentation, we will discuss current and planned capabilities in some of the model services at CCMC, including Runs-on-Request, Instant Runs, and Real-Time Continuous Runs. We will also review new models added to the extensive collection of space weather models hosted at CCMC. Finally, we will talk about our efforts at streamlining model delivery to CCMC, including support for containerized models and establishment of an open collaborative environment based on Amazon Web Services (AWS).

space weather

Enabling Collaborative Space Weather Research at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC)

Space weather models have been actively developed by the international research community, covering extensive spatial and physical domains. Still, many of the ground-breaking models remain a granular effort, insulated from a wider research audience, particularly that in different domains, and possible end users. The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC, https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov) seeks to remove such barriers to collaboration and coordination by providing a convenient platform for hosting space weather models and associated services. Using these services, researchers and other end-users may exercise, evaluate, and intercompare contributed models, as well as collaborate on a continuously updated archive of model run results. Moreover, the multi-disciplinary science support team at CCMC facilitates and enables collaboration across domains. In our presentation, we will discuss the space weather model services at CCMC, including Runs-on-Request, Real-Time Continuous Runs, and Instant Runs. We will also review new and updated models added to the extensive collection of space weather models hosted at CCMC. We will focus on trends in model, service, and science support utilization at CCMC as a proxy to the most pressing needs of the collaborative modeling community.

space weather