Forecasting Nodal Price Difference Between Day-Ahead and Real-Time Electricity Markets Using Long-Short Term Memory and Sequence-to-Sequence Networks
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Energy balancing in microgrids is a key enabler of resilience. Community microgrids located close to each other have the added benefit of networking and sharing surplus energy, if available. Such complex decision-making runs on optimization that requires reliable short-term (up to very-short-term) forecasts of energy generation and consumption for scheduling or trading. Each microgrid may also opt to not expose their sensitive data such as consumption patterns of individual businesses or residences. This paper investigates a federated approach to dayahead forecasting that trains naive long short-term memory (LSTM) at each business in a microgrid and aggregates weights at the microgrid controller using proximal regularization. This approach ensures that the controller has access only to energy surplus/deficit and not the actual generation or consumption values, avoiding unwanted exposure of sensitive data. A community microgrid in Adjuntas, Puerto Rico with 3 businesses is selected as a case study with a laboratory-scale computing setup. A central LSTM forecaster, where sensitive data from businesses are aggregated at the controller, is implemented as a baseline for qualifying the results. This work serves as a proof-of-concept for scaling the approach to networked and nested microgrids with more complex control options.
Flexible ramping products (FRPs) emerge as a promising instrument for addressing steep and uncertain ramping needs through market mechanisms. Initial implementations of FRPs in North American electricity markets, however, revealed several shortcomings in existing FRP designs. Here, in many instances, FRP prices failed to signal the true value of ramping capacity, most notably evident in zero FRP prices observed in a myriad of periods during which the system was in acute need for rampable capacity. These periods were marked by scheduled but undeliverable FRPs, often calling for operator out-of-market actions. On top of that, the methods used for procuring FRPs have been primarily rule-based, lacking explicit economic underpinnings. In this paper, we put forth an alternative framework for FRP procurement, which seeks to set FRP requirements and schedule FRP awards such that the expected system operation cost is minimized. Using real-world data from U.S. ISOs, we showcase the relative merits of the framework in (i) reducing the total system operation cost, (ii) improving price formation, (iii) enhancing the the deliverability of FRP awards, and (iv) reducing the need for out-of-market actions.
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With many favorable advantages including fast response ability in particular, utility-level energy storage systems (ESS) are being integrated into energy and reserve markets to help mitigate uncertain renewable resources and fluctuant demands. This paper discusses a stochastic unit commitment (UC) model to explore capabilities of ESSs in providing valuable grid services by simultaneously joining energy and reserve markets. The proposed reserve model of ESSs presents the following features: (i) two constraints are proposed to formulate ESS’s reserve provision ability in each hour via six operation modes, namely increasing/reducing the level of charge, switching to discharge, increasing/reducing the level of discharge, switching to charge; (ii) as an energy-limited asset, constraints on ESS’s reserve deliverability across multiple hours is introduced to hold enough state of charge (SOC) headroom and floor room, guaranteeing that reserves cleared in individual hours are continuously deliverable over multiple successive hours without violating operation limits. Furthermore, a scenario-based UC model, which addresses uncertainties of renewables and demands, is adopted to evaluate reserves provided by ESSs and generators. To effectively solve the stochastic UC problem, the progressive hedging algorithm with heuristic approaches is discussed. A 6-bus system and a modified IEEE 118-bus system are used to illustrate effectiveness of the proposed approaches.
In this work, we propose a three-stage resilient unit commitment model which considers uncertain typhoon paths and line outages to improve the power system resilience against typhoon events. The proposed solution coordinates resources in response to the worst-case scenario for each possible typhoon path. The optimal decision is based on the characterization of the power system schedule into three stages of preventive control, emergency control, and restoration. Preventive control is performed before the typhoon occurs by quickly adjusting the three-stage resilient unit commitment schedule; emergency control is conducted during the typhoon by shedding local loads to meet the power balance, while other control strategies are assumed to be unavailable due to possible interruptions in the communication system; restoration is realized after the typhoon, when resources are optimally dispatched to repair the outages of critical devices and recover the normal operation state of the power system quickly. Considering the typhoon path uncertainty, we have introduced a stochastic model for possible typhoon paths where all possible affected lines along each typhoon path are assumed to be on outage during the typhoon. Accordingly, we explore the strategy for co-optimizing the three stages in unit commitment. The proposed model is tested on the IEEE 118-bus system and the real-world provincial system to verify its effectiveness.
We have developed the first transient metabolic model for diurnal growth of algae based on experimental data and capable of predicting phenotype from genotype. This model enables us to evaluate the impact of genetic and environmental changes on the growth, biomass composition and intracellular fluxes of the model green alga, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii . The availability of this model will enable faster and more efficient design of cells for production of fuels, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals.
The presentation provides an overview of what Nuclear Critical Safety is and what is involved on a daily basis, illustrating the field as a possible career.
What was the name of the largest and heaviest LANL weapon?
Ferroelectric phenomenon in materials was identified for the first time about 100 years ago in 1920 (paper presented at the American Physical Society (APS) Meeting in Washington, DC, April 1920), at the University of Minnesota, MN, USA; by then a graduate student Joseph Valasek working under the supervision of Prof. W. F. G. Swann. Before this announcement, some prominent physicists had envisaged and even predicted the possibility of an analogous electrical behavior in some materials to that of the well-established hysteresis behavior of magnetic materials. Debye’s work tried to put the concept of Curie temperature in some solids in 1912 but it Schrodinger in the same year who formalized the term ferroelectricity. The names ferroelectrics, ferroelectricity, etc. are fully symbolic of the hysteresis loop-like behavior originally displayed by the magnetic materials. Later on when the physics of ferroelectrics was formalized, most of the terminology, e.g. Curie constant, Curie temperature, etc. that characterized the hysteresis loop or its related characteristics, was inherited from the magnetic materials. Over the years basic ferroelectricity concepts were significantly developed. The observed ferroelectric hysteresis loop between electric polarization vs applied electric field in the then well-known material, Rochelle salt, was presented at the April meeting of the APS, held at, then known as, the National Bureau of Standards or NBS (currently known as the National Institute for Standards and Technology or NIST). Interestingly, even though Valasek submitted the abstract but it was presented by Swann (and Valasek was not present). It happened to be a unique case of the earlier predictions but it did not catch the attention of many researchers working in the field of electronics. Whatever the reason, there was a little attention paid to this newly identified effect in Rochelle salt in 1920s. In late 1920, Valasek’s paper was submitted to Physical Review and that appeared in April 1921. Both ferroelectricity and ferromagnetism are the observational or experimental characteristics of a special class of materials which were not predicted by any basic theoretical approaches to start with at that time.
For Elizabeth “Diz” Graves, the summer months of 1945 were a symbolic intersection of her personal and professional lives. As a physicist with the then-secret lab in Los Alamos, Elizabeth participated in the Trinity test - the successful detonation of the world’s first nuclear weapon, which took place in the remote New Mexico desert on July 16, 1945. Her role was to observe the explosion that advanced science into the Atomic Age, according to records in the National Security Research Center (NSRC). This is the Lab’s classified library, which also houses unclassified legacy materials. And, Elizabeth was seven months pregnant.
Partners in physics during the World War II years, father and son Niels and Aage Bohr worked side by side on the Lab’s top-secret effort to create the first atomic bombs. Arriving in Los Alamos in late 1943, Aage was just 21 years old. He had been studying physics to follow in the footsteps of his father, who had won a Nobel Prize in 1922. Aage’s higher education, however, had been interrupted by the rapid spread of Nazism in Europe. The Bohrs, who had Jewish heritage, fled their native Denmark to escape persecution, eventually arriving in Los Alamos to aid in the creation of weapons that would help end the war. Their story is part of the collections at the National Security Research Center, which is the Lab’s classified library and also houses unclassified historic materials. While at Los Alamos, Niels and Aage were accorded VIP status because of the family’s scientific renown and given new names to protect their identities: Aage was James Baker, while his father was Nicholas Baker, but the scientific community called him Uncle Nick. Whether called Niels and Aage or Nick and Jim, father and son were inseparable.
Working at the Lab during World War II was serious business, but even these world-changing scientists and staff found time to play during the summer months. The National Security Research Center (NSRC), which is the Lab’s classified library and also houses unclassified artifacts from Los Alamos history, recently rescanned candid footage from two of contributors to the Manhattan Project.
The article addresses social aspects of living and working at Los Alamos during the Manhattan project. The focus area of this piece talks about food and morale building.
This article discusses actor Charlton Heston's involvement with the laboratory. Heston narrated several films for the Laboratory in the 1980s. Charlton Heston was one of the greats of American film, appearing in nearly 100 movies beginning in the 1950s. He was most well-known for his roles as Moses in Cecil DeMille’s The Ten Commandments and as the title character in Ben-Hur, for which he won an Academy Award.