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DOE OSTI2025

Performance of wind assessment datasets in United States coastal areas

The atmospheric dynamics that occur near the intersection of land and water offer exciting and challenging opportunities for wind energy deployment in coastal locations. New models and tools are continually being developed in support of wind resource assessment, and three recent products are explored in this work for their performance in representing characteristics of the wind resource at coastal locations: the Global Wind Atlas 3 (GWA3), the 2023 National Offshore Wind dataset (NOW-23), and the wind climate simulations that are a component of the Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit Long-Term Ensemble Dataset (WTK-LED Climate). These relatively new products are freely available and user-friendly so that anyone – from a utility-scale developer to a resident or business owner – can evaluate the potential for wind energy generation at their location of interest. The validations in this work provide guidance on the accuracy of wind resource assessments for coastal customers interested in installing small or midsize wind turbines (≤ 1 MW in capacity) to support energy needs at the residential, business, or community scale, such as the island and remotely located participants of the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project. At 23 coastal locations across the United States, dataset performance varies according to different evaluation metrics. All three recent datasets tend to overestimate the observed coastal wind resource. GWA3 produces the smallest annual average wind speed relative errors, whereas WTK-LED Climate is in best agreement in terms of representing diurnal wind speed cycles. NOW-23 is the highest performing of the datasets for representing seasonal and interannual trends in the coastal wind resource. While GWA3 and WTK-LED Climate are relatively insensitive to the dataset output heights selected for wind resource assessment at small and midsize wind turbine hub heights (20–60 m), significant variation in the NOW-23 representation of wind shear across the wind profile in the lowest 100 m of the atmosphere leads to notable differences in wind speed estimates according to the dataset output heights selected for evaluation. GWA3 exhibits challenges in the representation of observed wind speed diurnal cycles at small and midsize turbine hub heights, likely due to the dataset's consistent treatment of hourly wind speed trends regardless of altitude.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data for Bistline, et al. (2025) "Policy Implications of Net-Zero Emissions: A Multi-Model Analysis of United States Emissions and Energy System Impacts"

These files contain input assumptions, results, and figures associated with the Bistline, et al. (2025) article "Policy Implications of Net-Zero Emissions: A Multi-Model Analysis of United States Emissions and Energy System Impacts" in Energy and Climate Change as part of the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study. Please refer to the original paper for details.

climate policy↗

DOE OSTI2025

Performance Evaluation of Low-Cost Condensers Immersed in the Water Tank of a Heat Pump Water Heater

This paper reports the effect of low-cost immersed condensers on the performance of a heat pump water heater (HPWH) that does not require a water-circulating pump. The proposed design is based on the immersion of an L-style condenser coil through an opening in the top of the water tank. The novel design aims to eliminate the need for the water-circulating pumps, thereby substantially improving efficiency and reducing costs and maintenance of the HPWH system. Comprehensive computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and experimental tests were performed, and the results showed that the CFD simulations were close to the experimental data. Further results confirm that the L-style condenser can introduce buoyancy-driven flow and eliminate temperature stratification in the studied HPWH water tank, thereby improving the heat transfer coefficient and coefficient of performance of the HPWH. The testing results further showed that the L-style condenser enabled more than 53% higher coefficient of performance and 400% higher heat transfer coefficient compared with the straight vertical condenser, and achieved much faster water heating. Furthermore, the effects of immersed condensers with different circuits on the HPWH performance were evaluated and compared. All results indicate that the current energy-saving and inexpensive HPWH technology is technically valid, and the benefits of performance improvement and low cost are attractive in future HPWH design.

Gao, Zhiming [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000271397995)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Axial Gas Communication Modeling in the BISON Fuel Performance Code

Presentation requested by our collaborators on the technology commercialization fund project. This presentation provides an overview of the axial gas communication capabilities in the BISON fuel performance code. A discussion on models that impact gas communication, the theory behind the implementation, verification, and validation cases are presented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Considerations for Thermal Annealing of Zr-Alloy Cladding During Dry Storage

In January 2025, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored a technical workshop with fuel vendors that provided a forum for increased collaboration on backend fuel cycle research. The workshop reviewed observations of thermal annealing of irradiated zirconium alloys in simulated dry storage conditions and discussed implications to the industry’s interest in reducing wet storage to optimize operational flexibility and the expected trend of increasing discharge burnup (and decay heats), which could lead to an increase in dry storage temperatures. One approach to accommodate increased decay heats in dry storage is to increase the regulatory temperature limit during dry storage, which is now 400°C. However, this could lead to thermal annealing of the cladding, which will tend to increase creep rates, creep strains, and ductility while decreasing yield strength. These considerations are compounded by bonding between the pellet and cladding at high burnup, which results in the pellet carrying more load during fuel rod deformations, especially in bending, which is the dominant deformation phenomenon in canister drop analyses. Because the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) recommends yield strength as a primary failure criterion for accident analyses in storage and transportation, particularly for canister drop scenarios, the purpose of the workshop was to develop options for alternative failure criterion that could replace yield strength in canister drop analyses. Topics discussed were (1) the regulatory framework, (2) the effect of thermal annealing on microhardness and tensile properties of cladding materials, (3) the effect of thermal annealing on fuel rod failure during bending, bending fatigue, and pinch loading, and (4) an alternative failure criterion for canister drop analyses. This paper provides a summary of the key discussions and outcomes of the workshop

Cantonwine, Paul [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000522247033)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Axial Gas Communication Modeling

Overview presentation of axial gas communication development and validation from a TCF project. EPRI, our industry cost-share partners has asked that we present on this topic at the upcoming CRAFT meeting.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bioenergy pathways within United States net-zero CO 2 emissions scenarios in the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study

The Energy Modeling Forum 37 study is organized around carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) mitigation scenarios reaching net-zero CO 2 emissions by 2050 in the United States. Here, this paper summarizes the potential contribution of bioenergy use in the electric power, transportation, industrial, and buildings sectors toward meeting that target based on model results. Thirteen modeling teams reported bioenergy consumption in the Reference and Net Zero scenarios. Consumption of bioenergy increased over time in the Reference scenario, from an average across models of 3.2 exajoules (EJ) in 2020 to 3.8 EJ in 2050. Average bioenergy consumption in 2050 increased further to 7.3 EJ in the Net Zero scenario. All scenarios that reach net-zero emissions required some form of carbon dioxide removal to offset emissions that are difficult to reduce. Carbon dioxide removal using bioenergy with CO 2 capture and storage (BECCS) varies widely across models, up to 1000 Mt CO 2 in 2050. Some models rely instead on direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS), up to 2200 Mt CO 2 , and others use a combination of BECCS and DACCS. Model results show a strong inverse relationship between the amounts of BECCS and DACCS deployed. All modeling teams assumed a carbon sink from land use, land use change, and forestry, further offsetting a portion of emissions from fossil fuels and industry that are expensive to eliminate. Bioenergy consumption in 2050 decreased by an average of 1.5 EJ across eight models in a Net Zero+ scenario relative to the Net Zero scenario, due in part to a lower equilibrium carbon price resulting from optimistic cost assumptions for all energy technologies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2026

The 0E2 benchmarks for PWR UO 2 decay heat: an analysis from the NEA WPNCS

This paper presents the work performed in the subgroup 16 of the Working Party for Nuclear Criticality Safety (WPNCS) of the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency. The main goal was to define two decay heat benchmarks for Spent Nuclear Fuel (one pincell and one assembly), perform calculations and compare and analyze the results in light of existing calorimetric measurements. The selected case is the PWR UO2 assembly 0E2, irradiated at the Ringhals-3 reactor and measured at the Clab facility in Sweden. In total, 21 institutes worldwide participated to the exercise, leading to 55 calculated results (named C). It was found that the measured decay heat values (E) can be satisfactorily reproduced with two-dimensional assembly calculations, leading to an average C/E value of 0.99, with an uncertainty (or one standard deviation) of ±0.01.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Policy implications of net-zero emissions: A multi-model analysis of United States emissions and energy system impacts

Many countries, subnational jurisdictions, and companies are setting net-zero emissions goals; however, questions remain about strategies to reach these targets, policy measures, technology gaps, and economic impacts. Here, we investigate the potential policy implications of reaching economy-wide net-zero CO 2 emissions across the United States by 2050 using results from a multi-model comparison with 14 energy-economic models. Model results suggest that achieving net-zero CO 2 targets depends on policies that accelerate deployment of zero- and low-emitting technologies that have seen rapid cost reductions in recent years (including wind, solar, battery storage, and electric vehicles) as well as relatively nascent options (including carbon capture and storage, advanced biofuels, low-carbon hydrogen, advanced nuclear, and long-duration energy storage). While net-zero policies are likely to lower fossil fuel consumption, including considerable coal and petroleum reductions, achieving net-zero emissions does not necessarily mean phasing out all fossil fuels. Model results indicate that the Inflation Reduction Act’s energy and climate provisions amplify near-term decarbonization but that net-zero policies have larger impacts on long-run outcomes. Stringent climate policy can have large fiscal impacts on tax revenue and government spending—revenues from carbon pricing and subsidies for carbon removal range from 0.1 % to 3.7 % of GDP in 2050 across models. Each dollar per metric ton carbon price leads to a 0.06 % to 0.31 % reduction in economy-wide CO 2 emissions relative to a reference scenario with current policies. Spending on energy across the economy decreases relative to today for many models under reference and net-zero policies, especially as a share of GDP, due primarily to end-use electrification and energy efficiency.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Measurement of the Born cross section for 𝑒 +⁢ 𝑒 − → 𝜂⁢ℎ 𝑐 at center-of-mass energies between 4.1 and 4.6 GeV

We measure the Born cross section for the reaction 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜂⁢ℎ 𝑐 from $\sqrt{𝑠}$ = 4.129 to 4.600 GeV using datasets collected by the BESIII detector running at the BEPCII collider. A resonant structure in the cross-section line shape near 4.200 GeV is observed with a statistical significance of 7⁢𝜎. The parameters of this resonance are measured to be 𝑀 = 4188.8 ± 4.7 ± 8.0 MeV/𝑐 2 and Γ = 49 ± 16 ± 19 MeV, where the first uncertainties are statistical and the second systematic.

exotic mesons↗

DOE OSTI2025

Partial wave analysis of 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ⁢𝐽/𝜓 and cross section measurement of 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜋 ± ⁢𝑍 𝑐 ⁢(3900) ∓ from 4.1271 to 4.3583 GeV

Based on 12.0 fb −1 of 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − collision data samples collected by the BESIII detector at center-of-mass energies from 4.1271 to 4.3583 GeV, a partial wave analysis is performed for the process 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ⁢𝐽/𝜓. The cross sections for the subprocesses 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜋 + ⁢𝑍 𝑐 ⁢(3900) − + c.c. → 𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ⁢𝐽/𝜓, 𝑓 0 ⁡(980)⁢(→ 𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − )⁢𝐽/𝜓, and (𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ) S−wave⁢ 𝐽/𝜓 are measured for the first time. The mass and width of the 𝑍 𝑐 ⁢(3900) ± are determined to be 3884.6 ± 0.7 ± 3.3 MeV/𝑐 2 and 37.2 ± 1.3 ± 6.6 MeV, respectively. The first errors are statistical and the second systematic. The final state (𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ) S−wave ⁢𝐽/𝜓 dominates the process 𝑒 + ⁢𝑒 − → 𝜋 + ⁢𝜋 − ⁢𝐽/𝜓. By analyzing the cross sections of 𝜋 ±⁢ 𝑍 𝑐 ⁢(3900) ∓ and 𝑓 0 ⁡(980)⁢𝐽/𝜓, 𝑌⁡(4220) has been observed. Its mass and width are determined to be 4225.7 ± 4.1 ± 3.4 MeV/𝑐 2 and 57.5 ± 9.4 ± 12.1 MeV, respectively.

lepton colliders↗

DOE OSTI2025

Energy-resolved neutron imaging and diffraction including grain orientation mapping using event camera technology

Time-of-flight neutron diffraction and energy-resolved imaging each provide unique perspectives into material properties. Neutron diffraction is useful for assessing microstructural parameters such as phase composition, texture, and dislocation densities, though it typically provides averaged data over the sampled volume. Energy-resolved imaging, on the other hand, offers both spatial and spectral information by detecting Bragg edges and neutron absorption resonances, which enables detailed mapping of microstructure and isotopic composition. When combined, these techniques have the potential to enrich our understanding of material behavior across different scales, enhancing our understanding of complex materials. Traditionally, these modalities are conducted on separate instruments, which is time-consuming and poses challenges for data integration. Here, we report the integration of the LumaCam, an event-mode energy-resolved neutron imaging camera with the HIPPO time-of-flight diffractometer at LANSCE. This integration enables simultaneous diffraction and imaging across the full spectrum, with analysis optimized for diffraction and Bragg-edge imaging in the thermal range (0.45–10 Å) and resonance imaging in the epithermal range (0.5–3000 eV), facilitating comprehensive multi-modal analysis. We demonstrate its capabilities through case studies, including spatial mapping of grain orientations in a steel sample and accurate thickness estimations for irregular samples including a depleted uranium cylinder and a natural silver-containing mineral specimen. The combined setup enhances real-time sample alignment and provides comprehensive data for crystal structure, texture, and isotopic composition analysis. This approach opens new possibilities for advanced applications in nuclear engineering, archaeology, and materials science.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Search for the isospin-violating decays 𝜒 𝑐⁢𝐽 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c. and 𝜂 𝑐 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.

Using a sample of (2712.4 ± 14.3) × 10 6 𝜓⁡(3686) events collected with the BESIII detector, we perform a search for the isospin-violating decays 𝜒 𝑐⁢𝐽 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.(𝐽 = 0,1,2) and 𝜂 𝑐 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c. No significant signal for 𝜒 𝑐⁢𝐽 or 𝜂 𝑐 is observed in the $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ invariant mass distribution. The upper limits on the branching fractions at the 90% confidence level are set to be ℬ⁡(𝜒 𝑐⁢0 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.) < 1.5 × 10 −6 , ℬ⁡(𝜒 𝑐⁢1 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.) < 1.6 × 10 −6 , ℬ⁡(𝜒 𝑐⁢2 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.) < 1.7 × 10 −6 , and ℬ⁡(𝜂 𝑐 → $Λ\bar{⁢Σ}^0$ + c.c.) < 6.2 × 10 −5 for the first time.

Ablikim, M. [Institute of High Energy Physics] (OR↗

DOE OSTI2026

Alaska Observed Hydropower Generation

This dataset contains compiled observed hydropower generation for hydropower plants in Alaska. Data have been compiled from data provided to the Energy Information Administration by asset owners, data contained in annual reports produced by the Institute of Social and Economic Research at the University of Alaska Anchorage (Alaska Electric Power Statistics and Alaska Energy Statistics) and data provided to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission by asset owners. This dataset provides available generation data from all sources in monthly and annual files, with quality flags, and generation data identifying the highest quality source in monthly and annual files.

hydropower datasets↗

DOE OSTI2026

Alaska Observed Hydropower Generation

Broman, Daniel [Pacific Northwest National Laborat↗

DOE OSTI2025

Transportation in net-zero emissions futures: Insights from the EMF-37 model intercomparison study

Transportation is currently the largest source of U.S. anthropogenic CO 2 emissions, at about a third of the total. Achieving net-zero emissions by mid-century will require substantial reductions in transportation emissions across passenger and freight travel. Here we leverage a model intercomparison study to explore the role of transportation in scenarios achieving net-zero economy-wide CO 2 emissions by 2050. We find the transport sector is poised to play the most significant role in reducing demand-side emissions, mostly driven by technology substitution, as modeling results suggest a limited role for mode shifting and for reduced use of personal car travel in the U.S. Among various technology solutions, models show agreement that passenger on-road vehicles will largely transition to electric vehicles (EVs), while solutions to decarbonize heavier travel modes are more diverse and include greater use of liquid biofuels and hydrogen. Research should continue to investigate the evolution of on-road electrification, the role of biofuels and hydrogen across heavier travel modes, and the role of mode shifting and travel behavior change to support personal transportation decarbonization at national and regional scales to temper the rapid growth in clean fuel and electricity demand.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Heat Loss Effects on Emissions in an NH 3 RRQL Combustor

Ammonia (NH 3 ) is a carbon-free energy carrier with an infrastructure for production, storage, and distribution. There is interest in direct NH 3 combustion, but managing pollutant emissions is a key challenge, particularly nitric oxides (NO x ) due to the fuel-bound nitrogen atom, nitrous oxide (N 2 O), which is a potent greenhouse gas, and unburned NH 3 , which is harmful to humans and the environment. Rich staged combustor concepts with extended primary residence times (τ res,primary ), like Rich-Relax- Quick-mix-Lean (RRQL), offer a viable pathway for direct NH 3 combustion with low levels of NO x formation. However, minimizing secondary emissions such as N 2 O and unburned NH 3 and hydrogen (H 2 ) remains a critical challenge. Prior atmospheric-pressure studies have demonstrated that RRQL operation with sufficiently long τ res,primary enables substantial NO x relaxation and promotes NH 3 cracking to H 2 , if heat losses from the relaxation stage are limited. However, the combined influence of elevated pressure and long residence time on RRQL performance has not been explored. The present work examines RRQL operation at pressures up to 5 bar and elevated τ res,primary . Exhaust measurements of NO x , NH 3 , and N 2 O are used to quantify the extent of NO x relaxation and NH 3 cracking under nonadiabatic conditions. To contextualize and quantify the effects of heat losses in the experimental data, chemical reactor networks (CRNs) incorporating prescribed heat loss rates are employed to assess the sensitivity of emissions to thermal losses in the relaxation stage. Collectively, the results demonstrate that management and quantification of heat losses are essential to preserve NO x relaxation and limit NH 3 and N 2 O emissions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design, Optimization, and Control of a 100 kW Electric Traction Motor Meeting or Exceeding DOE 2025 Targets

The overall objective of the electric motor portion of the Electric Drives Technology consortium is to research, develop, and test electric motors for use in electric vehicle applications capable of a peak power greater than 100 kW, power density greater than or equal to 50 kW/l, and a cost less than 3.3 $/kW. To meet the electric traction motor power density and cost targets a number of approaches were pursued simultaneously throughout the course of this project which address all of the major volumetric power density variables. The specific research thrusts at the Illinois Institute of Technology (IIT) are the following: multiphysics design for increased power density through maximum utilization of active materials, synthesis of electric machine windings and PM flux barriers with controlled space harmonics, high slot fill windings for increased current loadings or efficiency, aggressive cooling strategies, and design studies and prototype construction of candidate electric machines.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗