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DOE OSTI2025

Explaining word embeddings with perfect fidelity: a case study in predicting research impact

The best-performing approaches for scholarly document quality prediction are based on embedding models. In addition to their performance when used in classifiers, embedding models can also provide predictions even for words that were not contained in the labelled training data for the classification model, which is important in the context of the ever-evolving research terminology. Although model-agnostic explanation methods, such as Local interpretable model-agnostic explanations, can be applied to explain machine learning classifiers trained on embedding models, these produce results with questionable correspondence to the model. We introduce a new feature importance method, Self-Model Entities Rated (SMER), for logistic regression-based classification models trained on word embeddings. We show that SMER has theoretically perfect fidelity with the explained model, as the average of logits of SMER scores for individual words (SMER explanation) exactly corresponds to the logit of the prediction of the explained model. Quantitative and qualitative evaluation is performed through five diverse experiments conducted on 50,000 research articles (papers) from the CORD-19 corpus. In conclusion, through an AOPC curve analysis, we experimentally demonstrate that SMER produces better explanations than LIME, SHAP and global tree surrogates.

Coarse-grained models↗

DOE OSTI2022

Data used in “Enguehard et al. 2022, Machine-Learning Functional Zonation Approach for Characterizing Terrestrial–Aquatic Interfaces: Application to Lake Erie”

The package contains the data layers used in “Enguehard et al. 2022, Machine-Learning Functional Zonation Approach for Characterizing Terrestrial–Aquatic Interfaces: Application to Lake Erie”. Spatial data layers include: topography, wetland vegetation cover, time series of Landsat’s enhanced vegetation index (EVI) between 1990 and 2020. The study aims to characterize coastal wetlands with particular focus on the co-variability between plant dynamics, topography, soil, and other environmental factors. We proposed a functional zonation approach based on machine learning clustering to identify the spatial regions, i.e., zones that capture these co-varied properties. This approach was applied to publicly available datasets along Lake Erie, in the Great Lakes Region

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Using Filter Methods to Guide Convergence for ADMM, with Applications to Nonnegative Matrix Factorization Problems

Nonconvex, nonlinear optimization problems arise naturally in parameter fitting and machine learning. While augmented Lagrangian methods have demonstrated robust convergence for classes of these problems, their convergence for block updates has been relatively unexplored outside of the context of the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). ADMM has seen extensive use in these applications, but may exhibit uncertain convergence behavior in many practical nonconvex settings, and struggles with general nonlinear constraints. In contrast, filter methods have proved effective in enforcing convergence for sequential quadratic programming methods and interior point methods with feasibility criteria. We develop an ADMM-filter method for highly nonlinear and nonconvex problems. Here, we show convergence under mild assumptions for several types of coordinate descent schemes, and demonstrate our algorithm on nonnegative matrix factorization and completion problems in imaging and chemical spectrum analysis.

Nonconvex optimization↗

DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying wildfire drivers and predictability in boreal peatlands using a two-step error-correcting machine learning framework in TeFire v1.0

Abstract. Wildfires are becoming an increasing challenge to the sustainability of boreal peatland (BP) ecosystems and can alter the stability of boreal carbon storage. However, predicting the occurrence of rare and extreme BP fires proves to be challenging, and gaining a quantitative understanding of the factors, both natural and anthropogenic, inducing BP fires remains elusive. Here, we quantified the predictability of BP fires and their primary controlling factors from 1997 to 2015 using a two-step correcting machine learning (ML) framework that combines multiple ML classifiers, regression models, and an error-correcting technique. We found that (1) the adopted oversampling algorithm effectively addressed the unbalanced data and improved the recall rate by 26.88 %–48.62 % when using multiple datasets, and the error-correcting technique tackled the overestimation of fire sizes during fire seasons; (2) nonparametric models outperformed parametric models in predicting fire occurrences, and the random forest machine learning model performed the best, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 0.83 to 0.93 across multiple fire datasets; and (3) four sets of factor-control simulations consistently indicated the dominant role of temperature, air dryness, and climate extreme (i.e., frost) for boreal peatland fires, overriding the effects of precipitation, wind speed, and human activities. Our findings demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of ML techniques in predicting rare and extreme fire events and disentangle the primary factors determining BP fires, which are critical for predicting future fire risks under climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Model Evaluation and Intercomparison of Marine Warm Low Cloud Fractions With Neural Network Ensembles

Abstract Low cloud fractions (LCFs) and meteorological factors (MFs) over an oceanic region containing multiple cloud regimes are examined for three data sets: one Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) simulation with the default 72‐layer vertical grid (E3SM72), another one with 8‐times vertical resolution via the Framework for Improvement by Vertical Enhancement (E3SM 8), and one with MFs from ERA5 reanalysis and LCFs from the CERES SSF product (ERA5‐SSF). Neural networks (NNs) are trained to capture the relationship between MFs and LCF and to select the best‐performing MF subsets for predicting LCF. NN ensembles are used to (a) confirm the performance of selected MF subsets, (b) to serve as proxy models for each data set to predict LCFs for MFs from all data sets, and (c) to classify MFs into those in shared and uniquely occupied MF subspaces. Overall, E3SM72 and E3SM 8 have large fractions of MFs in shared MF subspace, but less so near the Californian and Peruvian stratocumulus decks. E3SM 8 and ERA5 have small fractions of MFs in shared MF subspace but greater than E3SM72 and ERA5, especially in the Southeast Pacific. The differences in LCFs between three pairs of data sets are decomposed into those associated with the differences in the LCF‐MF relationship and those involving different MFs. Given the same MFs, LCFs produced by E3SM 8 are greater than those produced by E3SM72 but are still different from those in ERA5‐SSF. In general, the shift in MFs dominates the difference in the LCFs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Turbulence-driven flow dynamics in general axisymmetric toroidal geometry

The present work gives the equations governing the generation of toroidally axisymmetric flows by turbulent Reynolds and Maxwell stresses in finite aspect ratio, general cross section tokamak plasmas. Inclusion of the divergence-free flow constraint in lowest order changes the time scale for evolution of the poloidal flows driven by turbulence by substantial factors. In the pedestal region for present day machines, comparing to earlier cylindrical models, the time scale evaluated using a large aspect ratio circular cross section model can be two orders of magnitude longer while the present, general geometry result can be about one order of magnitude longer. Inclusion of gyroviscosity in the calculation shows that the only lowest order radial velocity fluctuations that enter the problem are those due to fluctuating E×B flows. Toroidal and poloidal flow effects on the toroidally axisymmetric flows are inextricably coupled due to the neoclassical poloidal viscosity. Accordingly, the physics is inherently three dimensional and measurements of all three velocity components are required to obtain the information needed to quantitatively test the theory. The parallel and angular momentum equations for the lowest order, toroidally axisymmetric flows look like radial transport equations when the turbulence is included. The turbulence terms provide the radial transport fluxes. In standard neoclassical theory, the parallel flow equation is local on each flux surface; there is no radial derivative term. However, adding turbulence gives a way, in principle, for radial transport to lead to poloidal flows that deviate from the neoclassical prediction. As a result, the inclusion of the Maxwell stress provides a mechanism for MHD fluctuations to alter the toroidally axisymmetric flows.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Moment extraction using an unfolding protocol without binning

Deconvolving (“unfolding”) detector distortions is a critical step in the comparison of cross-section measurements with theoretical predictions in particle and nuclear physics. However, most existing approaches require histogram binning while many theoretical predictions are at the level of statistical moments. We develop a new approach to directly unfold distribution moments as a function of another observable without having to first discretize the data. Our moment unfolding technique uses machine learning and is inspired by Boltzmann weight factors and generative adversarial networks (GANs). We demonstrate the performance of this approach using jet substructure measurements in collider physics. With this illustrative example, we find that our moment unfolding protocol is more precise than bin-based approaches and is as or more precise than completely unbinned methods.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Topology-Aware Performance Optimization and Modeling of Adaptive Mesh Refinement Codes for Exascale

Here, we introduce a topology-aware performance optimization and modeling workflow for AMR simulation that includes two new modeling tools, ProgrAMR and Mota Mapper, which interface with the BoxLib AMR framework and the SSTmacro network simulator. ProgrAMR allows us to generate and model the execution of task dependency graphs from high-level specifications of AMR-based applications, which we demonstrate by analyzing two example AMR-based multigrid solvers with varying degrees of asynchrony. Mota Mapper generates multiobjective, network topology-aware box mappings, which we apply to optimize the data layout for the example multigrid solvers. While the sensitivity of these solvers to layout and execution strategy appears to be modest for balanced scenarios, the impact of better mapping algorithms can be significant when performance is highly constrained by network hop latency. Furthermore, we show that network latency in the multigrid bottom solve is the main contributing factor preventing good scaling on exascale-class machines.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

A structured data model frame for human factors application - 175

Building a Human Factors analysis and Verification and Validation case for new control rooms and even for control room modifications is a highly labor intensive project. Any optimization that can be made in the process translates into savings in the overall control room project schedule and budget. Several support tools from word, to excel, mind maps and databases have been traditionally used by human factors practitioners to conduct the analysis and document its results. While the use of these tools has had satisfactory results, they don't provide in our experience strong enough means for configuration control management, to avoid duplicities, streamline the analysis processes and allow collaborative team efforts. This paper documents how the established practices (methods, processes and tools) were questioned, which were the sources for comparison and how the results were translated into requirements for the new tool constituting the data frame model for Human Factors Engineering applications. The exercise has allowed us to evaluate the efficiency of our current practices in comparison to previous ones while improving our compliance with the quality assurance standards. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Development of NUREG-0700, rev 3 - 229

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) evaluates the human factors engineering (HFE) of nuclear power plant design and operations to protect public health and safety. The HFE safety reviews encompass both the design process and its products. Detailed guidance for these reviews is provided in two key documents: the HFE Program Review Model (NUREG-0711) and the Human-System Interface Design Review Guidelines (NUREG-0700). The NRC is committed to the periodic update and improvement of the guidance to ensure that they remain state-of-the-art design evaluation tools. In this paper, we will describe the updates made to NUREG-0700 that resulted in Revision 3 of the guidance. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Human Factors Principles in Information Dashboard Design - 278

Refueling outages remain one of the largest opportunities for improving capacity factor and reducing costs available to commercial nuclear power plants. Although the nuclear industry has made steady improvement in outage optimization, each day of a refueling outage still represents an opportunity to save millions of dollars and each day an outage extends past its planned end date represents millions of dollars that may have been spent unnecessarily. Reducing planned outage duration or preventing outage extensions requires careful management of the outage schedule as well as constant oversight and monitoring of work completion during the outage execution. During a typical outage, there are typically more than 10,000 activities on the schedule that, if not managed efficiently, may cause expensive outage delays. Management of outages currently relies largely on paper-based resources and general-purpose office software. A typical method currently used to monitor work performance is a burn-down curve, where total remaining activities are plotted against the baseline schedule to track bulk work completion progress. While methods like this are useful, there is still considerable uncertainty during a typical outage whether bulk work progress is adequate and therefore a lot of management time is spent analyzing the situation on a daily basis. This paper is a case study of how new technology, in combination with established human-factors and user-centered design knowledge, can be used to support Outage Control Center (OCC) personnel decision making. In particular, we describe recent advances made in developing a framework for the design of visual outage information presentation, as well as an overview of the human factors principles that informed the development of the visualizations. To test the utility of advanced visual outage information presentation, an outage management dashboard software application was created as part of the Department of Energy's Advanced Outage Control Center project (AOCC). This dashboard is intended to present all the critical information an outage manager would need to understand the current status of a refueling outage. The dashboard presents the critical path, bulk work performance, key performance indicators, outage milestones and metrics relating current performance to historical performance. Additionally, the dashboard includes data analysis tools to allow outage managers to drill down into the underlying data to understand the drivers of the indicators. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Instrumentation, control, and human system interface contributions to historical severe accidents - 301

In 2015 EPRI completed a study of historical severe accidents. This study was intended to identify the lessons that these events had for instrumentation and control (I and C), and human systems interfaces (HSI) for nuclear power plants. The project studied 19 severe accidents that were identified by a parallel study that was underway for the International Atomic Energy Agency. I and C or HSI issues made significant contributions to 18 of the 19 events studied. This paper will summarize the I and C and HSI deficiencies that contributed to the propagation of the accidents, discuss the likely causes of these deficiencies and describe the role of I and C and HSI in finally terminating the events. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

A review of human-system interface design issues observed during analog-to-digital and digital-to-digital migrations in U.S. nuclear power plants - 312

The United States (U.S.) Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program is developing a scientific basis through targeted research and development (R and D) to support the U.S. nuclear power plant (NPP) fleet in extending their existing licensing period and ensuring their long-term reliability, productivity, safety, and security. Over the last several years, human factors engineering (HFE) professionals at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) have supported the LWRS Advanced Instrumentation, Information, and Control (II and C) System Technologies pathway across several U.S. commercial NPPs in analog-to-digital migrations (i.e., turbine control systems) and digital-to-digital migrations (i.e., Safety Parameter Display System). These efforts have included in-depth human factors evaluation of proposed human-system interface (HSI) design concepts against established U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) design guidelines from NUREG-0700, Rev 2 to inform subsequent HSI design prior to transitioning into Verification and Validation. This paper discusses some of the overarching design issues observed from these past HFE evaluations. In addition, this work presents some observed challenges such as common tradeoffs utilities are likely to face when introducing new HSI technologies into NPP hybrid control rooms. The primary purpose of this work is to distill these observed design issues into general HSI design guidance that industry can use in early stages of HSI design. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Study on main control room and human-system interface of generation III in China - 313

This paper focuses on the study on Main Control Room (MCR) and Human-System Interface (HSI) of Generation III in China. An intelligent HSI has been developed to enhance the safety and availability of Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) by improving operational reliability. The key elements of the proposed HSI such as Advanced Alarm System, State Oriented Procedures (SOP), Large Display Panel (LDP), Computerized-base procedures..., that affects what information the operator sees or the system's response to a control input must be empirically evaluated to ensure that the new design does not compromise HSI effectiveness. Based on CPR1000's experience in China, this paper presents the approach used as well as the most relevant aspects of this kind of project for the next generation. This approach will be used in new Generation III nuclear power plant, and also used in modernizing I and C system in currently operative nuclear power plants, in addition to meeting safety requirements and the plant's operational requirements, to improve cost-effective plant and human performance and to reduce likelihood of human errors, to gain maximum benefit of the implemented technology and to increase the performance, resulting in improved plant safety, availability, reliability, and cost-effective operation. The proposed HSI has been validated and demonstrated using the CPR1000 simulator of National Key Laboratory. After sufficient validation, the characteristic design features of the proposed HSI will be reflected in the design of the main control room of the next generation reactors in China. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Training and certification of human organizational factors designers in nuclear plant engineering - 344

Performing an increasing number of small and large-scope nuclear Human Factors Programs, AREVA NP is facing the challenging situation that (1) well-trained experts in Human Factors or Usability Engineering are currently hard to find and (2) newly hired ones need at least two years 'on the job' to become familiar with the nuclear field and the complexity of engineering Human Factors in this field. To innovatively meet this challenge we focus instead on company-internal engineers. Demonstrated nuclear engineering knowledge and skills and pronounced interest to extend both renders them optimal applicants to the AREVA NP two years Human Organizational Factors Training and Certification program. The AREVA NP training shall convey Human Factors knowledge and skills within the limited time of two years. We also stress the need to change participants' mindset from a technically-biased to a human-centered approach, committed to involve end-users throughout design. Next to psychology principles, user testing, user-centered design, plant operation principles, and the acquisition and documentation of users' requirements, design constraints, and inherent tradeoffs, participants will be trained to apply learned methods in a real environment and meet the challenges of real projects. The following sections provide insights in the training conception and preparation phase, the identification of appropriate candidates, the development of course syllabuses, and the schedule of lectures and tests. The promising experiences made thus far are reported as well. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrated Operations for Nuclear: Work Reduction Opportunity Demonstration

Integrated Operations for Nuclear: Work Reduction Opportunity Demonstration The DI BCA document also identifies specific, digitally enabled WRO categories for further study. These were selected as most relevant by Reference Plant personnel from a larger list of WRO areas identified across the nuclear industry as captured INL/RPT-21-64134, “Process for Significant Nuclear Work Function Innovation Based on Integrated Operations Concepts.” This ION WRO demonstration report was developed to provide illustrative, specific, and actionable direction for intertwined PTPG changes associated with digital modernization efforts. The coordinated changes in these areas are intended to maximize safe plant operational and economic performance. This includes enabling WROs associated with detailed configuration, implementation, and use of digital systems and how they are supported over their lifecycle. Illustrating this direction through a minimum set of advanced technology examples establishes a model PTPG framework that can be leveraged across the spectrum of nuclear plant digital modernization efforts going forward. This document addresses many related concepts. To promote an integrated understanding of the topics that make up this work, this document contains an extensive set of internal hyperlinks. This set includes hyperlinks to page numbers in the table of contents, section numbers, items in lists, figures, tables, and references to other documents within the report. When hovering the cursor above hyperlinked text in Adobe, the cursor will change from “ ” to “ .” When the “ ” appears, a left mouse click will take the reader to the referenced location in the document. To return to the original location in the document, the reader need only press and hold the “alt” button on the keyboard and then simultaneously press the “<” directional key on the keyboard.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2016

HPSim, Version 1.0

HPSim is a GPU-accelerated online multi-particle beam dynamics simulation tool for ion linacs. It was originally developed for use on the Los Alamos 800-MeV proton linac. It is a “z-code” that contains typical linac beam transport elements. The linac RF-gap transformation utilizes transit-time-factors to calculate the beam acceleration therein. The space-charge effects are computed using the 2D SCHEFF (Space CHarge EFFect) algorithm, which calculates the radial and longitudinal space charge forces for cylindrically symmetric beam distributions. Other space- charge routines to be incorporated include the 3D PICNIC and a 3D Poisson solver. HPSim can simulate beam dynamics in drift tube linacs (DTLs) and coupled cavity linacs (CCLs). Elliptical superconducting cavity (SC) structures will also be incorporated into the code. The computational core of the code is written in C++ and accelerated using the NVIDIA CUDA technology. Users access the core code, which is wrapped in Python/C APIs, via Pythons scripts that enable ease-of-use and automation of the simulations. The overall linac description including the EPICS PV machine control parameters is kept in an SQLite database that also contains calibration and conversion factors required to transform the machine set points into model values used in the simulation.

Pang, Xiaoying↗

DOE OSTI2016

HPSim, Version 1.0

Pang, Xiaoying↗