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At least 163 records · Page 9

Model-based Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning for Improved Physical Security Design: A Prototype

Prior work in FY24 developed an adversarial AI agent aid in path analysis of physical protection systems. This agent, trained using a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm, was able to successfully learn the most vulnerable path in facilities. It was able to extend the current state of practice for physical protection design by exhibiting dynamic behavior based on current environmental conditions. Whereas PathTrace largely performs a static, graph-based analysis, the AI agent was able to make decisions based on relative position in the facility, current conditions (was the adversarial agnet discovered?), and proximity to secondary targets. The agent demonstrated some novel capabilities, but had limitations that need to be resolved before it can be used for production purposes. For example, the adversarial agent generalizes poorly and takes a relatively long time to train. Nonetheless, there is still considerable promise for developing the adversarial agent further in order to explore even richer, more dynamic behaviors (e.g., adversary motivations, environmental debris, and more). This work considers a complementary idea; development of a planning agent. The planning agent is envisioned as an auto-complete-like tool that can help accelerate security system design by human experts. The agent would respect existing barriers and sensors placed by a human expert while offering cost-effective suggestions (i.e., implicitly balancing effectiveness with cost) to improve the design. The goal is for this agent to be part of an expert’s toolbox, not to totally upend the current state-of-practice, or to displace human experts. The ultimate goal would be concurrent training of both the adversarial and planning agent together, to learn entirely through self-play. This would represent an entirely new way of performing system deign. We selected a hierarchical, model-based reinforcement learning algorithm to serve as the planning agent. This is an extension of concepts used in the prior FY24 adversarial agent work. There, we had a single agent acting an environment. Here, we have two different sub-agents (policies), working together, to form a complete agent. There is a manager policy, which can select abstract goals on slower time scales, and a worker, which performs primitive actions to reach goals selected by the manager. It is worth noting that this class of algorithm is challenging to work with. From our understanding, our work is one of the first successful uses of model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) in nuclear energy1 , and likely the first hierarchical model-based reinforcement learning application in nuclear energy. Further, this work is one of the first known attempts to apply AI to perform a design tasks in nuclear energy. Consequently, there were significant implementation challenges and the bulk of the work was focused on successful implementation and algorithm design. The results presented here are very low technology readiness level as a consequence of the lack of related literature, but still represent a significant step forward in the pursuit of applied AI for design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Investigating Mountain Watershed Headwater‐To‐Groundwater Connections, Water Sources, and Storage Selection Behavior With Dynamic‐Flux Particle Tracking

Abstract Climate change will impact mountain watershed streamflow both directly—with changing precipitation amounts and variability—and indirectly—through temperature shifts altering snowpack, melt, and evapotranspiration. To understand how these complex processes will affect ecosystem functioning and water resources, we need tools to distinguish connections between water sources (rain/snowmelt), groundwater storage, and exit fluxes (streamflow/evapotranspiration), and to determine how these connections change seasonally and as climate shifts. Here, we develop novel watershed‐scale approaches to understand water source, storage, and exit flux connections using a dynamic‐flux particle tracking model (EcoSLIM) applied in California's Cosumnes Watershed, which connects the Sierra Nevada and Central Valley. This work develops new visualizations and applications to provide mechanistic understanding that underpins the interpretation of isotopic field data at watershed scales to distinguish sources, flow paths, residence times, and storage selection. In our simulations, streamflow comes primarily from snow‐derived water while evapotranspiration generally comes from rain. Most streamflow starts above 1,000 m while evapotranspiration is sourced relatively evenly across the watershed and is generally younger than streamflow. Modeled streamflow consists primarily of water sourced from precipitation in the previous 5 years but before the current water year, while ET consists primarily of water from precipitation in the current water year. ET, and to a lesser extent streamflow, are both younger than water in groundwater storage. However, snowmelt‐derived streamflow preferentially discharges older water from snow‐derived storage. Dynamic‐flux particle tracking and new approaches presented here enable novel model‐tracer comparisons in large‐scale watersheds to better understand watershed behavior in a changing climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Emergence of String Monodromy in Effective Field Theory

We demonstrate that when the field theory Kleiss-Kuijf and Bern-Carrasco-Johansson relations are imposed on one color ordering of general local bi-adjoint scalar effective field theories, the string monodromy relations must be obeyed by the other color ordering. This is a surprising example of an open string world-sheet property appearing in a purely field theoretic context. As part of the derivation, we show that nonlinear relations among the four-point Wilson coefficients arise from imposing linear symmetries on the six-point amplitude via factorization. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Chen, Alan Shih-Kuan↗

Anti-Ultralocality and Plateau Models of Inflation

Anti-ultralocality refers to the growth of spatial gradient terms relative to velocity terms in the coupled Einstein--scalar field equations. It is a characteristic feature of decelerated expansion before the onset of inflation. Previous numerical relativity studies have shown that anti-ultralocality prevents the onset of inflation in models with power-law inflaton potentials. In this paper, we show that models with plateau-shaped inflaton potentials, which are considered to be the simplest way to generate a tensor-to-scalar ratio below current observational upper limits, are especially vulnerable to anti-ultralocality effects. The reasons are the flatness of the plateau and the energy density gap of $\sim 10$ orders of magnitude between the Planck density and the plateau potential energy. To study the problem, we develop a protocol for assessing the viability of inflationary models in general, and we apply it to a plateau potential using a previously validated numerical relativity code. We find that, starting from generic initial conditions, the growth of gradient terms in the Einstein equations relative to non-gradient terms either prevents inflation from lasting for enough $e$-folds or triggers a phase of quantum runaway. We show that the fine-tuning of initial conditions necessary to avoid these issues becomes more severe as the energy scale of inflation is made smaller, disfavoring common approaches for reducing the tensor-to-scalar ratio.

FOS: Physical sciences↗

Spectrum of Dirac eigenvalues across QCD chiral transition

Here, we show that the universal scaling properties of the chiral phase transition in quantum chromodynamics (QCD) at the macroscale are encoded in the microscopic energy levels of the quarks in the background of gluon fields, defined as eigenvalues of the Dirac operator. We introduce a novel relation between the cumulants of the chiral condensate, and the correlations among the energy levels of quarks, i.e., the eigenspectra of the massless QCD Dirac operator. This relation elucidates how the fluctuations of the chiral condensate arise from the correlations within the infrared part of the energy spectra of quarks, and naturally leads to a generalization of the Banks-Casher relation for the cumulants of the chiral condensate. Then, through (2+1)-flavor lattice QCD calculations using HISQ action with varying light quark masses around the chiral phase transition temperature, we demonstrate that the correlations among the infrared part of the Dirac eigenvalue spectra exhibit same universal scaling behaviors as expected of the cumulants of the chiral condensate. We find that these universal scaling behaviors extend up to the physical values of the up and down quark masses.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Energy Equity: From Sociological Concept to Engineering Perspective of Electric Power Systems

The implementation of energy equity has emerged as a pivotal goal of the global energy transition, driven by widespread recognition of energy inequities worldwide. Because energy equity is broadly regarded as a sociological concept rather than an engineering one, the current absence of technical engineering methods necessitates the development of a justified and sound approach to making energy equity an actionable practice in the broader realms of energy, environment, and sustainability. This Perspective discusses different terms related to energy equity and proposes a generalized definition of energy equity from the engineering perspective of electric power systems. To address these challenges related to energy equity, policies in Europe and the U.S. are introduced, although their effectiveness is limited. Further, current energy equity research is classified into four categories: quantifying energy equity, improving equity in the accessibility of electricity, improving equity in the affordability of electricity, and improving equity in the resilience of power systems. Then, we classify the ongoing research challenges in energy equity into two categories, technical challenges and application challenges, and provide corresponding insights. Finally, we discuss equity of resilience or reliability, income disparity, and environmental equity, followed by a summary of this Perspective.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Highly Responsive Polar Vortices in All‐Ferroelectric Heterostructures

Abstract The discovery of polar vortices and skyrmions in ferroelectric‐dielectric superlattices [such as (PbTiO 3 ) n /(SrTiO 3 ) n ] has ushered in an era of novel dipolar topologies and corresponding emergent phenomena. The key to creating such emergent features has generally been considered to be related to counterpoising strongly polar and non‐polar materials thus creating the appropriate boundary conditions. This limits the utility these materials can have, however, by rendering (effectively) half of the structure unresponsive to applied stimuli. Here, using advanced thin‐film deposition and an array of characterization and simulation approaches, polar vortices are realized in all‐ferroelectric trilayers, multilayers, and superlattices built from the fundamental building block of (PbTiO 3 ) n /(Pb x Sr 1− x TiO 3 ) n wherein in‐plane ferroelectric polarization in the Pb x Sr 1− x TiO 3 provides the appropriate boundary conditions. These superlattices exhibit substantially enhanced electromechanical and ferroelectric responses in the out‐of‐plane direction that arise from the ability of the polarization in both layers to rotate to the out‐of‐plane direction under field. In the in‐plane direction, the layers are found to be strongly coupled during switching and when heterostructured with ferroelectric‐dielectric building blocks, it is possible to produce multistate switching. This approach expands the realm of systems supporting emergent dipolar texture formation and does so with entirely ferroelectric materials thus greatly improving their responses.

Kavle, Pravin↗

Spinning black hole scattering at $ \mathcal{O} $(G 3 S 2 )(G 3 S 2 ): Casimir terms, radial action and hidden symmetry

We resolve subtleties in calculating the post-Minksowskian dynamics of binary systems, as a spin expansion, from massive scattering amplitudes of fixed finite spin. In particular, the apparently ambiguous spin Casimir terms can be fully determined from the gradient of the spin-diagonal part of the amplitudes with respect to S 2 = −s(s+1)ħ 2 , using an interpolation between massive amplitudes with different spin representations. From two-loop amplitudes of spin-0 and spin-1 particles minimally coupled to gravity, we extract the spin Casimir terms in the conservative scattering angle between a spinless and a spinning black hole at $ \mathcal{O} $(G 3 S 2 ), finding agreement with known results in the literature. This completes an earlier study [Phys. Rev. Lett. 130 (2023), 021601] that calculated the non-Casimir terms from amplitudes. We also illustrate our methods using a model of spinning bodies in electrodynamics, finding agreement between scattering amplitude predictions and classical predictions in a root-Kerr electromagnetic background up to $ \mathcal{O} $(α 3 S 2 ). For both gravity and electrodynamics, the finite part of the amplitude coincides with the two-body radial action in the aligned spin limit, generalizing the amplitude-action relation beyond the spinless case. Surprisingly, the two-loop amplitude displays a hidden spin-shift symmetry in the probe limit, which was previously observed at one loop. We conjecture that the symmetry holds to all orders in the coupling constant and is a consequence of integrability of Kerr orbits in the probe limit at the first few orders in spin.

Classical Theories of Gravity↗

Hypophosphite Is a Naturally Occurring Selective Inhibitor of Syntrophic Methanogenesis

Microbial methanogenesis is a major contributor to global warming, and methane fluxes represent a loss of energy and electrons from industrial ecosystems. The chemical space of methane control strategies is still underexplored. Most known methanogenesis inhibitors target methanogenic archaeal enzymes. However, interference with the exchange of syntrophic electron carriers (H 2 or formate) in methanogenic systems presents an additional target for methane control. Here, we show that hypophosphite (H 2 PO 2 − ), an inorganic formate analogue, is a potent and selective inhibitor of syntrophic methanogenesis versus primary fermentation in rice field sediments and cattle rumens. Hypophosphite is also generally recognized as safe and relatively nontoxic to plants and animals. Genetic screens and physiological assays in the model methanogen Methanococcus maripaludis S2 implicate formate metabolism as the target of hypophosphite inhibition. Currently, there is no known biological pathway for anaerobic hypophosphite oxidation, and hypophosphite is stable in anoxic sediments for weeks to months. Given its widespread natural occurrence, we propose that hypophosphite may modulate the carbon cycle in natural environments. Taken together, our results suggest that hypophosphite could be used as a safe, inexpensive strategy for methane control in syntrophic methanogenic ecosystems.

chemical inhibitor↗

Olefin Coupling Catalyzed by (Pybox)Os Complexes via Osmacyclopentane Intermediates: Comparison with Isoelectronic (Phebox)Ir

(Pybox)Os is found to catalyze alkene hydrovinylation, effecting the dimerization of ethylene, tail-to-tail coupling of propene and 1-butene, and cross-coupling of ethylene with higher α-olefins. This reactivity contrasts with the previously reported dehydrogenative coupling of ethylene to give butadiene catalyzed by the isoelectronic fragment (Phebox)Ir. The reaction mechanism was investigated through computational and experimental means. Both the Os- and Ir-catalyzed reactions proceed through a [2 + 2 + 1] cyclization of the corresponding bis-olefin complex to yield an experimentally observed metallacyclopentane intermediate. In both cases, the metallacyclopentane undergoes β- H elimination, via a dechelated κ 2 -pincer-ligated intermediate, to yield a σ−π-but-3-enyl hydride complex or derivative. Both the greater reactivity and the distinct chemoselectivity of the Os system relative to the Ir system are attributable to C−H reductive elimination by the σ−π-but-3-enyl hydride having a barrier for Os much lower than that for Ir. This lower barrier to C−H elimination for Os is unexpected given that the thermodynamic driving force for elimination is much less for Os than for Ir. Computational studies of model complexes were conducted, comparing (Pybox)Os(L)(CH 3 )(H) with the isoelectronic (Phebox)Ir(L)(CH 3 )(H). The results indicate that the more facile kinetics with Os relative to Ir may be general for C−H elimination from six-coordinate d 6 complexes of the two metals, as well as for the microscopic reverse, i.e., C−H addition to the corresponding four-coordinate d 8 species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Microscopic origin of criticality at macroscale in QCD chiral phase transition

We reveal that the criticality of the chiral phase transition in QCD at the macroscale arises from the microscopic energy levels of its fundamental constituents, the quarks. We establish a novel relation between cumulants of the chiral order parameter (i.e., chiral condensate) and correlations among the energy levels of quarks (i.e., eigenspectra of the massless Dirac operator), which naturally leads to a generalization of the Banks-Casher relation. Based on this novel relation and through (2+1)-flavor lattice QCD calculations using the HISQ action with varying light quark masses in the vicinity of the chiral phase transition, we demonstrate that the correlations among the infrared part of the Dirac eigenspectra exhibit same universal scaling behaviors as expected of the cumulants of the chiral condensate. We find that these universal scaling behaviors extend up to the physical values of the up and down quark masses.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Out-of-Distribution Generalization for Learning Quantum Channels with Low-Energy Coherent States

When experimentally learning the action of a continuous-variable quantum process by probing it with inputs, there will often be some restriction on the input states used. One experimentally simple way to probe a quantum channel is to use low-energy coherent states. Learning a quantum channel in this way presents difficulties, due to the fact that two channels may act similarly on low-energy inputs but very differently for high-energy inputs. They may also act similarly on coherent-state inputs but differently on nonclassical inputs. Extrapolating the behavior of a channel for more general input states from its action on the far more limited set of low-energy coherent states is a case of out-of-distribution generalization. To be sure that such generalization gives meaningful results, one needs to relate error bounds for the training set to bounds that are valid for all inputs. We show that for any pair of channels that act sufficiently similarly on low-energy coherent-state inputs, one can bound how different the input-output relations are for any (high-energy or highly nonclassical) input. This proves that out-of-distribution generalization is always possible for learning quantum channels using low-energy coherent states, as long as enough samples are used.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Comparing field and lab quantitative stable isotope probing for nitrogen assimilation in soil microbes

ABSTRACT Soil microbial communities play crucial roles in nutrient cycling and can help retain nitrogen in agricultural soils. Quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP) is a useful method for investigating taxon-specific microbial growth and utilization of specific nutrients, such as nitrogen (N). Typically, qSIP is performed in a highly controlled lab setting, so the field relevance of lab qSIP studies remains unknown. We conducted and compared tandem lab and field qSIP to quantify the assimilation of 15 N by maize-associated soil prokaryotic communities at two agricultural sites. Here, we show that field qSIP with 15 N can be used to measure taxon-specific microbial N assimilation. Relative 15 N assimilation rates were generally lower in the field, and the magnitude of this difference varied by site. Rates differed by method (lab vs field) for 19% of the top N assimilating genera. The field and lab measures were more comparable when relative assimilation rates were weighted by relative abundance to estimate the proportion of N assimilated by each genus with only ~10% of taxa differing by method. Of those that differed, the taxa consistently higher in the lab were inclined to have opportunistic lifestyle strategies, whereas those higher in the field had niches reliant on plant roots or in-tact soil structure (biofilms, mycelia). This study demonstrates that 15 N-qSIP can be successfully performed using field-incubated soils to identify microbial allies in N retention and highlights the strengths and limitations of field and lab qSIP approaches. IMPORTANCE Soil microbes are responsible for critical biogeochemical processes in natural and agricultural ecosystems. Despite their importance, the functional traits of most soil organisms remain woefully under-characterized, limiting our ability to understand how microbial populations influence the transformation of elements such as nitrogen (N) in soil. Quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP) is a powerful tool to measure the traits of individual taxa. This method has rarely been applied in the field or with 15 N to measure nitrogen assimilation. In this study, we measured genus-specific microbial nitrogen assimilation in two agricultural soils and compared field and lab 15 N qSIP methods. Our results identify taxa important for nitrogen assimilation in agricultural soils, shed light on the field relevance of lab qSIP studies, and provide guidance for the future application of qSIP to measure microbial traits in the field.

Reed, Kinsey (ORCID:0000000155178664)↗

Univariate Prediction of Hammett Parameters and Select Relative Reaction Rates Using Loewdin Atomic Charges

Loewdin charges from density functional theory calculations were used here to obtain general, univariate linear correlations for the prediction of experimental Hammett parameters and relative reaction rates. While previous studies have established that Hirshfeld and CM5 charges perform strongly as univariate predictors, the near-ubiquitous Loewdin charges have not yet been evaluated. To this end, we assess the predictive capability of Loewdin charges for three chemical systems. First, we show that Loewdin charges outperform Hirshfeld and CM5 charges for Hammett parameter prediction. Second, we see that Loewdin charges generally perform comparably to Hirshfeld charges for predicting the relative rates of olefin cleavage by photoexcited nitroarenes. The single case of poor correlation, between relative rates and the Loewdin charges on nitrogen sites, is ameliorated when considering the net charge on the NO 2 group. Third, we show that Loewdin, Hirshfeld, and CM5 charges all perform very well for generating correlations for relative reaction rates for C–H activation of 9-(4-X-phenyl)-9H-fluorene substrates by a transition metal catalyst. The equations generated throughout the study enable the prediction of Hammett parameters and relative reaction rates. Finally, these tools can accelerate synthetic and experimental studies by enabling the in silico prediction of uncharacterized chemical properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and government entities led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub ( https://covid19forecasthub.org ). We evaluated approximately 9.7 million forecasts of weekly state-level COVID-19 cases for predictions 1–4 weeks into the future submitted by 24 teams from August 2020 to December 2021. We assessed coverage of central prediction intervals and weighted interval scores (WIS), adjusting for missing forecasts relative to a baseline forecast, and used a Gaussian generalized estimating equation (GEE) model to evaluate differences in skill across epidemic phases that were defined by the effective reproduction number. Overall, we found high variation in skill across individual models, with ensemble-based forecasts outperforming other approaches. Forecast skill relative to the baseline was generally higher for larger jurisdictions (e.g., states compared to counties). Over time, forecasts generally performed worst in periods of rapid changes in reported cases (either in increasing or decreasing epidemic phases) with 95% prediction interval coverage dropping below 50% during the growth phases of the winter 2020, Delta, and Omicron waves. Ideally, case forecasts could serve as a leading indicator of changes in transmission dynamics. However, while most COVID-19 case forecasts outperformed a naïve baseline model, even the most accurate case forecasts were unreliable in key phases. Further research could improve forecasts of leading indicators, like COVID-19 cases, by leveraging additional real-time data, addressing performance across phases, improving the characterization of forecast confidence, and ensuring that forecasts were coherent across spatial scales. In the meantime, it is critical for forecast users to appreciate current limitations and use a broad set of indicators to inform pandemic-related decision making.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Flax–Reinforced Vitrimer Epoxy Composites Produced via RTM

Composite laminates were produced by RTM using similar glass and flax fabrics and both vitrimer epoxy and aerospace-grade epoxy, both formulated for liquid molding. Tensile and flexural properties were measured and compared, revealing that the vitrimer composites exhibited equivalent performance in flexural strength and tensile modulus, but slightly lower performance in tensile strength relative to reference epoxy composites. In general, glass–fiber composites outperformed flax–fiber composites in tension. However, both glass and flax–fiber composites yielded roughly equivalent flexural strength and tensile modulus-to-weight ratios. Flax fabrics were recovered from composites by matrix dissolution, and a second-life laminate showed full retention of the mechanical properties relative to those produced from fresh flax. Finally, a demonstration of re-forming was undertaken, showing that simple press-forming can be used to modify the composite shape. However, re-forming to a flat configuration resulted in local fiber damage and a decrease in mechanical properties. An alternative forming method was demonstrated that resulted in less fiber damage, indicating that further refinements might lead to a viable forming and re-forming process.

Martinez, Patricio (ORCID:0000000225884389)↗

Revealing Defect-Seeded and Interfacial Generation Mechanisms of Photoinduced Coherent Phonons with 4D Ultrafast Electron Microscopy

Ultrafast photoexcitation of coherent phonons is driven by an impulsive, collective displacement of constituent atoms from their average equilibrium lattice positions [1]. Models describing the generation of coherent acoustic modes typically invoke the creation of an anisotropic strain profile arising from the relatively instantaneous absorption of an ultrafast laser pulse [2]. If the skin depth is shallow relative to the specimen thickness, a steep tensile strain gradient perpendicular to the surface ($\frac{∂ε}{∂z}$) results. Initial relaxation occurs via rapid contraction of the surface layers followed by subsequent coherent oscillations of the lattice and launch of a train of coherent elastic strain waves [i.e., coherent acoustic phonons (CAPs)]. Macroscopically, responses are generally well-described by constitutive relations as gleaned from data gathered using ultrasonic methods or ultrafast spectroscopies. Furthermore, at the atomic to nanoscale level, individual lattice discontinuities and their impact on CAP behaviors can be modeled using multiscale methods [3,4]. Further, average unit-cell level responses on ultrafast timescales can be probed using femtosecond electron and X-ray scattering [5,6].

Flannigan, David J. [University of Minnesota, Minn↗

Firewalls from General Covariance

I define “horizon normalcy” as the approximate validity of semiclassical gravity and effective field theory for the description of observers that approach or cross a black hole horizon. If black holes return information, then horizon normalcy must fail substantially, at least in some global states. It has been proposed that horizon normalcy persists, so long as the Hawking radiation remains in a computationally simple state. Here I argue that state-dependent horizon normalcy—independent of the underlying mechanism and independent of the class of radiation states asserted to guarantee normalcy—requires a breakdown of general covariance far from the black hole, or else horizon normalcy will depend on the infinite future of the exterior. This is because the radiation can be in different states at different events, all spacelike to the horizon crossing event whose normalcy is at stake. I discuss a related effect in AdS/CFT, and I argue that its resolution by timefolds is of no help here.

General relativity↗