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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Facile fabrication of 2D material multilayers and vdW heterostructures with multimodal microscopy and AFM characterization

Reliable transfer processes that enable manipulation of two-dimensional (2D) materials, e.g., transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDCs) and MXenes, from one substrate to another has been a necessity for successful device fabrication. Here, with both mechanical exfoliation and chemical vapor deposition (CVD) widely used, a versatile, clean, deterministic, and yet simple transfer technique is highly needed. To address such need, we developed a transfer method that takes advantage of wettability contrast between interfaces without the use of sacrificial layers or chemical processes. More importantly, a setup was developed to carry out this transfer method with high sample selectivity and fine control of the position and orientation of transferred TMDC crystals, a feature required for fabrication of the devices based on vertical 2D heterostructures. Using both exfoliated and CVD grown materials and subsequent atomic force microscopy (AFM), photoluminescence (PL), confocal Raman and tip enhanced Raman spectroscopy (TERS) characterization, we ascertained the quality of interfaces resulting from the transfer process while preserving excellent 2D material integrity. PL and TERS maps revealed nanometer-scale heterogeneities in the interfaces of fabricated heterostructures, which should enable further perfection of the transfer technique. TERS/TEPL information were employed to identify areas suitable for nanodevice fabrication, making the reported transfer and characterization methods ideal for making high quality assembly of 2D heterostructure more accessible, which should facilitate exploration of vertical 2D heterostructures for applications in electronics, batteries, solar cells, and twistronics.

2D material transfer↗
DOE OSTI2024

Co-orchestration of multiple instruments to uncover structure–property relationships in combinatorial libraries

The rapid growth of automated and autonomous instrumentation brings forth opportunities for the co-orchestration of multimodal tools that are equipped with multiple sequential detection methods or several characterization techniques to explore identical samples. This is exemplified by combinatorial libraries that can be explored in multiple locations via multiple tools simultaneously or downstream characterization in automated synthesis systems. In co-orchestration approaches, information gained in one modality should accelerate the discovery of other modalities. Correspondingly, an orchestrating agent should select the measurement modality based on the anticipated knowledge gain and measurement cost. Herein, we propose and implement a co-orchestration approach for conducting measurements with complex observables, such as spectra or images. The method relies on combining dimensionality reduction by variational autoencoders with representation learning for control over the latent space structure and integration into an iterative workflow via multi-task Gaussian Processes (GPs). This approach further allows for the native incorporation of the system's physics via a probabilistic model as a mean function of the GPs. We illustrate this method for different modes of piezoresponse force microscopy and micro-Raman spectroscopy on a combinatorial Sm-BiFeO3 library. However, the proposed framework is general and can be extended to multiple measurement modalities and arbitrary dimensionality of the measured signals.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

A large-scale, agent-based simulation of metropolitan freight movements with passenger and freight market interactions

This study summarizes the first stage in the implementation of an agent-based freight modeling system that has a global representation of agents and detailed modeling of a large-scale transportation network. The model is used to evaluate the transportation and energy impacts of goods movement across urban and national scales. The framework is implemented within POLARIS, a C++-based Planning and Operations Language for Agent-based Regional Integrated Simulation, which consists of an activity-based modeling (ABM) and dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) system that has robust features for passenger travel. This platform provides a tool to model interactions among consumers, producers, and the transportation system. The main objective of this initial implementation is to implement a freight model within POLARIS following an agent-based paradigm with behavioral and simulation methods. This paper presents the initial framework and illustrates the application of the model. Building upon earlier works, a parcel location assignment algorithm for business establishments in the population is documented, along with a method for estimating establishment production and consumption volumes. In addition to population generation, other features of the model include push-pull supply chains, multimodal path choice, choice of transportation logistics node, and dynamic traffic assignment. A module with e-commerce supply and demand was also developed to analyze the effects of e-commerce delivery on last-mile energy use and congestion.

agent-based freight↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulation and flow physics of a shocked and reshocked high-energy-density mixing layer

This work describes a computational investigation of multimode instability growth and multimaterial mixing induced by multiple shock waves in a high-energy-density (HED) environment, where pressures exceed 1 Mbar. The simulations are based on a series of experiments performed at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) and designed as an HED analogue of non-HED shock-tube studies of the Richtmyer–Meshkov instability and turbulent mixing. A three-dimensional computational modelling framework is presented. It treats many complications absent from canonical non-HED shock-tube flows, including distinct ion and free-electron internal energies, non-ideal equations of state, radiation transport and plasma-state mass diffusivities, viscosities and thermal conductivities. The simulations are tuned to the available NIF data, and traditional statistical quantities of turbulence are analysed. Integrated measures of turbulent kinetic energy and enstrophy both increase by over an order of magnitude due to reshock. Large contributions to enstrophy production during reshock are seen from both the baroclinic source and enstrophy–dilatation terms, highlighting the significance of fluid compressibility in the HED regime. Dimensional analysis reveals that Reynolds numbers and diffusive Péclet numbers in the HED flow are similar to those in a canonical non-HED analogue, but conductive Péclet numbers are much smaller in the HED flow due to efficient thermal conduction by free electrons. It is shown that the mechanism of electron thermal conduction significantly softens local spanwise gradients of both temperature and density, which causes a minor but non-negligible decrease in enstrophy production and small-scale mixing relative to a flow without this mechanism.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Learning the temporal evolution of multivariate densities via normalizing flows

In this work, we propose a method to learn multivariate probability distributions using sample path data from stochastic differential equations. Specifically, we consider temporally evolving probability distributions (e.g., those produced by integrating local or nonlocal Fokker–Planck equations). Here, we analyze this evolution through machine learning assisted construction of a time-dependent mapping that takes a reference distribution (say, a Gaussian) to each and every instance of our evolving distribution. If the reference distribution is the initial condition of a Fokker–Planck equation, what we learn is the time-T map of the corresponding solution. Specifically, the learned map is a multivariate normalizing flow that deforms the support of the reference density to the support of each and every density snapshot in time. We demonstrate that this approach can approximate probability density function evolutions in time from observed sampled data for systems driven by both Brownian and Lévy noise. We present examples with two- and three-dimensional, uni- and multimodal distributions to validate the method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Review of Existing Test Methods for Occupancy Sensors

One of the key new features of connected lighting systems (CLS) is their ability to collect data from various types of integral sensors and share that data with other lighting or building systems. Occupancy and vacancy sensors have been widely adopted as an energy-saving strategy in buildings, yet published test methods for reproducibly characterizing their performance remain few and limited in their sophistication. As a result, it has been difficult to predict the performance of such sensors in a specific application, and in practice, they frequently do not meet energy-savings expectations. Occupants at times remove or otherwise bypass occupancy sensors that hinder their work or otherwise do not perform as expected, thereby compromising the sensors’ potential to reduce energy consumption. Poor performance can result from multiple causes – ranging from fundamental limitations of the sensor technology, to misconfiguration, to poor placement in the room or space. Innovative occupancy sensors, some of them combining multiple sensing technologies (i.e., multimodal), have come on the market over the years, with claims of improved performance compared to their predecessors. However, in practice, their performance has neither differed enough from the performance of previous products to necessitate a test method that facilitated comparison between them, nor has it led to high deployment or high user satisfaction in human-occupied spaces with persistent presence. While the performance of both common and novel occupancy sensors has been the subject of many published research articles, the test methods that have been employed for them typically have been loosely described and have incorporated custom equipment or techniques that render them difficult to reproduce, or have been limited in their ability to fairly characterize devices that utilize varying sensor technology. The lack of a fully described, technology-agnostic test method that yields reproducible results across different implementations has been a barrier to the commercial success of new occupancy-sensor products, as users and specifiers who have been disappointed with previous products are often unwilling to take a chance with new ones. Motivated by a desire to fairly characterize new technologies that continue to enter the market and claim not only improved occupancy detection but, in some cases, additional capabilities (e.g., the ability to measure traffic or discern between different object types), this report presents the results of a literature review of recently published fully described test methods for characterizing occupancy-sensor performance, as well as research articles containing ad-hoc test methods. The review also identifies and consolidates test conditions for characterizing sensor performance in indoor spaces and identifies apparent test method gaps that need to be filled in order to evaluate emerging technologies and products. The identified test-method conditions are intended to enable the development of a future technology-agnostic test method that facilitates occupancy-sensor performance characterization more-accurately representing performance in buildings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nonlinear Topological Photonics: Capturing Nonlinear Dynamics and Optical Thermodynamics

Combining multiple optical resonators or engineering dispersion of complex media has provided an effective method for demonstrating topological physics controlling photons in unprecedented ways such as unidirectional light propagation and spatially localized modes between an interface or on a corner. Further, adding nonlinear responses to those topological photonic systems has enabled achieving diverse phases of photons in both space and time, allowing for more functionalities in photonic devices that provide a new playground for studying dynamic features of nonlinear topological systems. However, most methods for describing nonlinear topological photonic systems rely on linear topological theories, making it challenging to accurately characterize the topology of nonlinear systems. Thus, substantial efforts have focused on rigorously describing nonlinear topological phases and developing effective tools to analyze nonlinear topological effects. Meanwhile, coupled multimode optical waveguides with nonlinear dynamic responses provide an excellent platform for the statistical description of photons, opening a new paradigm called “optical thermodynamics”. This review will introduce the basic concepts of nonlinear topological photonics and the recent development of theoretical approaches focusing on data-driven approaches for creating phase diagrams as well as the spectral localizer framework and the pseudospectrum method for understanding optical nonlinearities in topological systems. In addition, the new concept of optical thermodynamics will be introduced with some recent theoretical works.

Topological photonics↗
DOE OSTI2025

SANE: strategic autonomous non-smooth exploration for multiple optima discovery in multi-modal and non-differentiable black-box functions

Both computational and experimental material discovery bring forth the challenge of exploring multidimensional and multimodal parameter spaces, such as phase diagrams of Hamiltonians with multiple interactions, composition spaces of combinatorial libraries, material structure image spaces, and molecular embedding spaces. Often these systems are black-boxes and time-consuming to evaluate, which resulted in strong interest towards active learning methods such as Bayesian optimization (BO). However, these systems are often noisy which make the black box function severely multi-modal and non-differentiable, where a vanilla BO can get overly focused near a single or faux optimum, deviating from the broader goal of scientific discovery. To address these limitations, here we developed Strategic Autonomous Non-Smooth Exploration (SANE) to facilitate an intelligent Bayesian optimized navigation with a proposed cost-driven probabilistic acquisition function to find multiple global and local optimal regions, avoiding the tendency to becoming trapped in a single optimum. To distinguish between a true and false optimal region due to noisy experimental measurements, a human (domain) knowledge driven dynamic surrogate gate is integrated with SANE. We implemented the gate-SANE into pre-acquired piezoresponse spectroscopy data of a ferroelectric combinatorial library with high noise levels in specific regions, and piezoresponse force microscopy (PFM) hyperspectral data. SANE demonstrated better performance than classical BO to facilitate the exploration of multiple optimal regions and thereby prioritized learning with higher coverage of scientific values in autonomous experiments. Our work showcases the potential application of this method to real-world experiments, where such combined strategic and human intervening approaches can be critical to unlocking new discoveries in autonomous research.

Biswas, Arpan [University of Tennessee, Knoxville,↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Case Study of Multimodal, Multi-institutional Data Management for the Combinatorial Materials Science Community

Although the convergence of high-performance computing, automation, and machine learning has significantly altered the materials design timeline, transformative advances in functional materials and acceleration of their design will require addressing the deficiencies that currently exist in materials informatics, particularly a lack of standardized experimental data management. The challenges associated with experimental data management are especially true for combinatorial materials science, where advancements in automation of experimental workflows have produced datasets that are often too large and too complex for human reasoning. The data management challenge is further compounded by the multimodal and multi-institutional nature of these datasets, as they tend to be distributed across multiple institutions and can vary substantially in format, size, and content. Furthermore, modern materials engineering requires the tuning of not only composition but also of phase and microstructure to elucidate processing–structure–property–performance relationships. To adequately map a materials design space from such datasets, an ideal materials data infrastructure would contain data and metadata describing (i) synthesis and processing conditions, (ii) characterization results, and (iii) property and performance measurements. In this work, we present a case study for the low-barrier development of such a dashboard that enables standardized organization, analysis, and visualization of a large data lake consisting of combinatorial datasets of synthesis and processing conditions, X-ray diffraction patterns, and materials property measurements generated at several different institutions. While this dashboard was developed specifically for data-driven thermoelectric materials discovery, we envision the adaptation of this prototype to other materials applications, and, more ambitiously, future integration into an all-encompassing materials data management infrastructure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Structural determinants of protocadherin-15 mechanics and function in hearing and balance perception

The vertebrate inner ear, responsible for hearing and balance, is able to sense minute mechanical stimuli originating from an extraordinarily broad range of sound frequencies and intensities or from head movements. Integral to these processes is the tip-link protein complex, which conveys force to open the inner-ear transduction channels that mediate sensory perception. Protocadherin-15 and cadherin-23, two atypically large cadherins with 11 and 27 extracellular cadherin (EC) repeats, are involved in deafness and balance disorders and assemble as parallel homodimers that interact to form the tip link. Here we report the X-ray crystal structure of a protocadherin-15 + cadherin-23 heterotetrameric complex at 2.9-Å resolution, depicting a parallel homodimer of protocadherin-15 EC1-3 molecules forming an antiparallel complex with two cadherin-23 EC1-2 molecules. In addition, we report structures for 10 protocadherin-15 fragments used to build complete high-resolution models of the monomeric protocadherin-15 ectodomain. Molecular dynamics simulations and validated crystal contacts are used to propose models for the complete extracellular protocadherin-15 parallel homodimer and the tip-link bond. Steered molecular dynamics simulations of these models suggest conditions in which a structurally diverse and multimodal protocadherin-15 ectodomain can act as a stiff or soft gating spring. These results reveal the structural determinants of tip-link–mediated inner-ear sensory perception and elucidate protocadherin-15’s structural and adhesive properties relevant in disease.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multiscale operando X-ray investigations provide insights into electro-chemo-mechanical behavior of lithium intercalation cathodes

The electrochemical performance and cycle life of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) depend on the electrochemical, chemical, and mechanical behavior of electrodes and electrolytes. Despite extensive studies conducted previously, challenges exist to decouple these behaviors, capture the evolution of electro-chemo-mechanical behavior in realistic conditions, and correlate atomic-scale stress evolution to micro-scale bulk mechanical degradation. Here, we report multiscale operando techniques to investigate polydisperse battery electrodes by integrating volume-averaged quantitative synchrotron X-ray scattering with high-resolution transmission X-ray microscopy (TXM). The former provides us information spanning a wide spatial range, from Angstrom-level atomic structures to micrometer-level particle scales, while the latter provides time-resolved 2D images of the particles during cycling. The complementarity of the two operando techniques is demonstrated by an over-lithiation test of LiCoO 2 electrodes, where particles crack and eventually pulverize. Additionally, the techniques are applied to study LiCoO 2 cycling stability from 3.0 V to 4.5 V. Operando X-ray scattering result shows nanometer-scale features keep forming in LiCoO 2 electrodes during cycling, resulting in an increased projected area observed by the TXM experiment. The formation of such features is inhibited by a polymer coating on the electrode, leading to vastly improved cycling stability. The polymer coating alleviates LiCoO 2 surface deterioration, reduces side product generation, and inhibits LiCoO 2 particles volume expansion during the cycling test. These operando multimodal X-ray techniques presented herein thus offer a novel, multiscale diagnostic modality for studying existing and emerging battery materials, aiding the development of next-generation LIBs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

CO 2 in Ionene–Ionic Liquid Composite Membranes

Abstract Ionene – ionic liquid (IL) composites are promising materials for CO 2 separation, yet a molecular‐level understanding of their structure and its impact on CO 2 speciation, solubility, rotation, and diffusivity remains unclear. Herein, using multimodal nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), time‐of‐flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF‐SIMS), atomic force microscopy (AFM), and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, we reveal that the composites contain IL‐rich domains extending across hundreds of nanometres within the ionene matrix, and these bicontinuous domains span the entire membrane depth. CO 2 also absorbs into the ionene matrix, with the distribution between two CO 2 species varying with temperature and time. The rotational correlation times of these two species are on the timescale of 0.1 and 1 ns, respectively. As IL content increases, the ionic domains expand, resulting in higher CO 2 solubility due to enhanced molecular dynamics and increased free volume in both ionene backbones and IL‐rich regions. Although CO 2 diffusion in the membranes is an order of magnitude slower than in bulk IL, the activation energy for CO 2 diffusion remains comparable. Ionene‐IL composites represent a promising platform for designing CO 2 separation membranes, offering enhanced CO 2 diffusion and selectivity through IL‐rich domains, and increased CO 2 solubility and mechanical integrity from the ionene matrix.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Use of Multi-Site Radiation Therapy for Systemic Disease Control

Metastatic cancer is a heterogeneous entity, some of which could benefit from local consolidative radiation therapy (RT). Although randomized evidence is growing in support of using RT for oligometastatic disease, a highly active area of investigation relates to whether RT could benefit patients with polymetastatic disease. This article highlights the preclinical and clinical rationale for using RT for polymetastatic disease, proposes an exploratory framework for selecting patients best suited for these types of treatments, and briefly reviews potential challenges. The goal of this hypothesis-generating review is to address personalized multimodality systemic treatment for patients with metastatic cancer. The rationale for using high-dose RT is primarily for local control and immune activation in either oligometastatic or polymetastatic disease. However, the primary application of low-dose RT is to activate distinct antitumor immune pathways and modulate the tumor stroma in efforts to better facilitate T cell infiltration. We explore clinical cases involving high- and low-dose RT to demonstrate the potential efficacy of such treatment. We then group patients by extent of disease burden to implement high- and/or low-dose RT. Patients with low-volume disease may receive high-dose RT to all sites as part of an oligometastatic paradigm. Subjects with high-volume disease (for whom standard of care remains palliative RT only) could be treated with a combination of high-dose RT to a few sites for immune activation, while receiving low-dose RT to several remaining lesions to enhance systemic responses from high-dose RT and immunotherapy. We further discuss how emerging but speculative concepts such as immune function may be integrated into this approach and examine therapies currently under investigation that may help address immune deficiencies. The review concludes by addressing challenges in using RT for polymetastatic disease, such as concerns about treatment planning workflows, treatment times, dose constraints for multiple-isocenter treatments, and economic considerations.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Deciphering electrocatalysts with multimodal operando approaches

Here, the electrocatalytic processes of a copper catalyst during nitrate electroreduction are unveiled by correlated operando microscopy and spectroscopy. Catalysts are vital to the modern chemical industry, yet their development has largely relied on trial-and-error approaches. Optimizing catalysts requires a fundamental understanding of their structure–chemical property behaviour under operational conditions. However, operando characterization remains challenging, especially for reactions occurring in the complex and dynamic liquid environments of electrochemical systems. Over the past decade, the rapid development of in situ and operando environmental transmission electron microscopy (ETEM) and microelectromechanical system (MEMS)-based closed-cell holders, enabling environmental studies within the vacuum environment of transmission electron microscopy (TEM), has substantively advanced understanding of heterogeneous catalysis, notably for gas-phase reactions. In situ ETEM enables the direct observation of the catalyst evolution in terms of structure, morphology and chemical state at the nano-to-atomic scale, providing insights into their correlation with catalytic performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multimodal Analysis of Reaction Pathways of Cathode Materials for Lithium Ion Batteries

Conversion mechanism in lithium ion batteries provides higher capacity than intercalation mechanism since multiple numbers of electrons and lithium ions are associated. However, poor cycling stability, large voltage hysteresis, and low energy efficiency have been great challenges of conversion reaction. To address those issues, conversion-type electrode materials have been reformed via doping or substituting other elements. For example, iron fluorides (FeF 2 , FeF 3 ) have modified as iron oxyfluorides (FeF 1-x O x ), showing enhanced long-term stability. Furthermore, co-substituted (both anion and cation substituted) Fe 0.9 Co 0.1 OF (FeCoOF) was demonstrated excellent cycling stability. (capacity of 350 mAh g -1 at a current of 500 mA g -1 for 1000 cycles). Substituting anion and cation in iron fluoride has been suggested as an effective method to achieve better reversibility but understanding of lithiation reactions in co-substituted FeCoOF is not clear. This work takes advantage of ex-situ/ in-situ synchrotron X-ray based techniques and transmission electron microscopy to elucidate structural changes with lithium ion, which may provide fundamental insights into modifying conversion-type materials. Figure 1 presents discharge-charge curves and pair distribution function patterns acquired at each potential. As lithium ions were inserted, structural changes were noticed both at short-range and long-range. However, long-range ordering was nearly maintained even at 1 V, indicating absence of conversion reaction. Figure 2 shows lithiation induced structural evolution of a single FeCoOF nanorod observed in real time. As lithiation proceeds, the width of nanorods shows a stepwise increase, particularly A in figure 2d, which may indicate multiple steps of lithiation occur. Considering that conversion reaction takes place around 2 V in FeF 3 , co-substitution Co and O into iron fluoride may change thermodynamic features of lithiation reactions by lowering the initiation potential for conversion reaction. Instead, phase transformations occur at long-range order, which may help maintaining structural integrity during operation, eventually, achieving cycling stability.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Optimizing Transportation Networks for E-Waste Reverse Logistics: A Multi-Modal Cost Allocation and Pricing Strategy

The exponential growth of electronic waste (e-waste) poses critical challenges for sustainable reverse logistics and transportation network optimization. This study develops a dual-channel transportation framework for e-waste logistics that integrates dynamic freight pricing, cost allocation mechanisms, and game-theoretic coordination. The model captures interactions between centralized hubs and distributed processing networks, accounting for freight rate elasticity, volume allocation, and capacity constraints. Using Stackelberg game theory and cost-sharing strategies, the framework optimizes transportation efficiency and profit distribution across logistics channels. Numerical simulations show that the dual-channel structure increases centralized hub profit by 226.8% compared to baseline single-channel operations, while boosting total transported volume by 1.2% and nearly doubling freight collector profit under cost-sharing. Scenario analyses across regional infrastructures reveal that network density, policy incentives, and logistics costs shape routing efficiency and profit allocation. These findings suggest that coordinated strategies combining dynamic pricing, targeted infrastructure investment, and strategic cost allocation are needed to design efficient, resilient, and regionally adaptable e-waste transportation systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Navigating the Noise: Bringing Clarity to ML Parameterization Design With O $\boldsymbol{\mathcal{O}}$(100) Ensembles

Abstract Machine‐learning (ML) parameterizations of subgrid processes (here of turbulence, convection, and radiation) may one day replace conventional parameterizations by emulating high‐resolution physics without the cost of explicit simulation. However, uncertainty about the relationship between offline and online performance (i.e., when integrated with a large‐scale general circulation model) hinders their development. Much of this uncertainty stems from limited sampling of the noisy, emergent effects of upstream ML design decisions on downstream online hybrid simulation. Our work rectifies the sampling issue via the construction of a semi‐automated, end‐to‐end pipeline for size ensembles of hybrid simulations, revealing important nuances in how systematic reductions in offline error manifest in changes to online error and online stability. For example, removing dropout and switching from a Mean Squared Error to a Mean Absolute Error loss both reduce offline error, but they have opposite effects on online error and online stability. Other design decisions, like incorporating memory, converting moisture input from specific humidity to relative humidity, using batch normalization, and training on multiple climates do not come with any such compromises. Finally, we show that ensemble sizes of may be necessary to reliably detect causally relevant differences online. By enabling rapid online experimentation at scale, we can empirically settle debates regarding subgrid ML parameterization design that would have otherwise remained unresolved in the noise.

Lin, Jerry [Department of Earth System Sciences Un↗