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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Effect of Carboxylic Acids on Corrosion of Type 410 Stainless Steel in Pyrolysis Bio-Oil

Biomass-derived oils are renewable fuel sources and commodity products and are proposed to partially or entirely replace fossil fuels in sectors generally considered difficult to decarbonize such as aviation and maritime propulsion. Bio-oils contain a range of organic compounds with varying functional groups which can lead to polarity-driven phase separation and corrosion of containment materials during processing and storage. Polar compounds, such as organic acids and other oxygenates, are abundant in bio-oils and are considered corrosive to structural alloys, particularly to those with a low-Cr content. To study the corrosion effects of small carboxylic acids present in pyrolysis bio-oils, type 410 stainless steel (SS410) specimens were exposed in bio-oils with varying formic, acetic, propionic and hexanoic acid contents at 50 °C during 48 h exposures. The specific mass change data show a linear increase in mass loss with increasing formic acid concentration. Interestingly, a mild corrosion inhibition effect on the corrosion of SS410 specimens was observed with the addition of acetic, propionic and hexanoic acids in the bio-oil.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantitative Low-Field 19 F Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Analysis of Carbonyl Groups in Pyrolysis Oils

Pyrolysis bio-oils, one of the products of lignocellulosic biomass pyrolysis, have the potential to be widely used as fuels. The chemical composition of bio-oils is very complicated as they contain hundreds, if not thousands, of different, mostly oxygen-containing, compounds with a wide distribution of physical properties, chemical structures, and concentrations. Detailed knowledge of bio-oil composition is crucial for optimizing both the pyrolysis processes and for any subsequent upgrading into a more viable fuel resource. Here we report the successful use of low-field, or benchtop, nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectrometers in the analysis of pyrolysis oils. Pyrolysis oils from four different feedstocks were derivatized and analyzed using 19 F NMR techniques. The NMR results compare favorably with titrations for total carbonyl content. In addition, the benchtop NMR spectrometer proves able to reveal key spectral features, thus allowing the quantification of different carbonyl groups, such as aldehydes, ketones and quinones. Benchtop NMR spectrometers are typically compact, cheaper than their superconducting counterparts and do not require cryogens. Their use will make NMR analysis of pyrolysis oils easier and more accessible to a wide range of different potential users.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tropical intertidal microbiome response to the 2024 Marine Honour oil spill

Marine fuel oil (MFO) spills in tropical coastal environments are under-characterized despite increasing risk from maritime activities. Microbial and geochemical responses to the June 2024 Marine Honour MFO spill on Singapore's intertidal sediments were analyzed in real time over 185 days. Using metagenomics and hydrocarbon profiling, microbial community shifts and hydrocarbon degradation were quantified across visibly oiled (high-impact) and clean (low-impact) sites. Microbiomes at all sites adapted rapidly to the spill through increased diversity and abundance of genes encoding alkane and aromatic compound degradation, detoxification, and biosurfactant production. The dominant hydrocarbon-degrading bacteria differed markedly from those reported in other crude oil spills and in regions with different climates. Oil deposition intensity strongly influenced microbial succession and hydrocarbon-degrading gene profiles, and this reflected early toxicity constraints in heavily oiled areas. The persistence of hydrocarbon degradation genes beyond hydrocarbon detection in sediments suggested long-term functional priming may occur. The study provides novel genome-resolved insight into the microbial response to MFO pollution, advances understanding of marine environmental biodegradation, and provides urgently needed baseline data for oil spill response strategies in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Coastal pollution↗
DOE OSTI2024

Proof-of-concept chemometric approach for environmental forensic sourcing of crude oil samples using SPME-GC-MS

Environmental exposure to crude oil through seepage and spillage poses risks to the immediate environment and the broader ecosystem as areas along the oil distribution path are affected by the influx of crude petroleum as well as the environmental, economic, and civil unrest that accompanies it. There is a large financial burden associated with the lost resources, including the cost of rehabilitation, and the affected sources of revenue for communities affected by oil spills. As such, it is crucial to determine the responsible parties. This work outlines an environmental forensics approach to determining the source of an un-weathered crude oil sample. The researchers employed solid phase microextraction coupled with gas chromatography mass spectrometry (SPME-GC-MS) to capture and analyze the gaseous components emitted by crude oil samples sourced from five locations. Samples were analyzed using Spearman's rank correlation and 3D covariance analysis. Both chemometric approaches yielded optimal performance results with no misclassifications, true positive rate (TPR) = 100 % and false positive rate (FPR) = 0 %. The similarity metrics calculated by each test noted clear delineations between the values of same-source and differently sourced samples. The Spearman's rank correlation test and 3D covariance calculations both demonstrated the ability to correctly identify sample source origin in this dataset. Finally, the authors outline an approach to the future application of these tests and suggest their joint use in future crude oil sourcing endeavors.

3D covariance mapping↗
DOE OSTI2020

Isotopic Studies for Tracking Biogenic Carbon during Co-processing of Biomass and Vacuum Gas Oil

Co-processing bio-oils with petroleum-derived feeds in the existing multitrillion dollar refining and distribution infrastructure is an attractive option for introducing renewable energy into the fuels marketplace. Considerable research on co-processing bio-oils and vacuum gas oil (VGO) in fluid catalytic cracking units (FCC) using equilibrium catalysts (E-Cats) demonstrated that biomass-derived molecules decreased activity of and increased carbon laydown on E-Cat. In this work, 13 C-labeled biomass was co-processed with VGO using either an E-Cat or a proprietary zeolite Johnson Matthey catalyst (CP758), which is optimzed for upgrading biomass vapors in a riser reactor, to evaluate the fate of biogenic carbon in FCC products. The results from both catalysts indicate that biogenic carbon was incorporated into alkenes and aromatic hydrocarbons. While no biogenic carbon was found in linear alkanes, it was observed in cycloalkanes during experiments with E-Cat but not with CP758. All produced CO2 was biogenic as was most of the carbon laydown on the catalysts. Several partially deoxygenated biomass compounds, such as alkylphenols and benzofurans, unexpectedly contained small amounts of carbon from VGO. Although this study was conducted with labeled biomass and not bio-oil, it provides insights to reaction mechanisms for co-processing bio-oil and VGO in an FCC, which is required to develop catalysts that efficiently convert bio-oil components during FCC co-processing. This work also demonstrates that comprehensive catalyst development utilizing both biomass- and fossil-derived feeds is required to maximize the incorporation of biogenic carbon into transportation fuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Controlling Bacterial Contamination During Fuel Ethanol Fermentation Using Thermochemically Depolymerized Lignin Bio-Oils

Lactic acid bacteria (LAB) contamination during fuel ethanol fermentation can lead to significant economic loses. To circumvent this, fuel ethanol plants add antibiotics prophylactically, but their overuse has resulted in the emergence of antibiotic-resistant LAB strains. Lignin is a sustainable biopolymer that can be found as a waste product from lignocellulosic biorefineries. Technical lignins and their smaller phenolic subunits have been shown to exhibit broad-spectrum antimicrobial properties, but there is a lack of demonstrations of lignin derivatives with highly selective properties in the literature. Here, corn stover lignin from a biorefinery was oxidatively depolymerized using an environmentally benign organic oxidant, peracetic acid, into a bio-oil that has selective antimicrobial properties against LAB and not yeasts. The resulting bio-oil demonstrated up to 90% inhibition of commercially sampled LAB (including antibiotic-resistant strains) at 4 mg ml-1 with no inhibition against an industrial yeast strain. These antimicrobial properties of the bio-oil are attributed to larger unidentified lignin oligomers, compared to monolignols, that have a membrane damaging mode of action. Using the bio-oil (4 mg ml-1) during simultaneous saccharification and fermentation (SSF) of raw corn starch showed no inhibition of enzymatic activity, and in LAB contaminated fermentations the bio-oil treatments showed an 8% increase in ethanol yields at higher bacterial contamination ratios (l : 100 yeast to LAB, CFU per ml). This study illustrates the efficacy of using lignin bio-oil as an antibiotic replacement during fuel ethanol fermentation and demonstrates the highly selective antimicrobial properties of lignin oligomers, which creates a viable lignin valorization strategy for biorefineries.

bio-oil↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hydrogenation of Pyrolysis Oil from Loblolly Pine Residue

Loblolly pine residue prepared with and without zeolite ZSM-5 was pyrolyzed at 60°C and the pyrolysis oil was hydrogenated using formic acid as a hydrogen source, in the presence of a Ru/activated carbon catalyst. As indicated by the pyrolysis yield, addition of the zeolite ZSM-5 increased the yield of light oil but decreased the yield of heavy oil. The pyrolysis oils were analyzed by 13 C, 31 P, 19 F, and heteronuclear single quantum coherence or heteronuclear single quantum correlation nuclear magnetic resonance (HSQC-NMR), demonstrating that the zeolite ZSM-5 can efficiently induce decarboxylation reactions and decrease the content of aliphatic hydroxyl groups in the heavy oil by 57%. After hydrogenation of the pyrolysis oil, the aromatic carbon content decreased by 78%, with a significant increase in the aliphatic carbon content.

hydrogenation↗
DOE OSTI2022

Offshore Oil and Gas Infrastructure Reuse for CCS: Opportunities and Challenges in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico

The United States Gulf of Mexico has historically been a significant oil and gas producing region and continues to produce hydrocarbons today. As such, significant investments have been made to install oil and gas infrastructure such as pipelines, platforms, and wells. As these assets reach the end of their useful life or production associated with the assets is curtailed, the assets become a liability for both the owner/operators and the U.S. and state governments responsible for regulating the assets. There are costs and risks associated with safely decommissioning the assets, and in some cases, the assets may be abandoned (e.g., the owner is no longer a going concern). In parallel, carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology has developed in the United States and interest and incentives for CCS projects have accelerated in recent years, with many public announcements of CCS projects in development in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico region. The region is particularly well-suited to CCS due to the high density of industry on the coastline (i.e., CO 2 sources) and favorable geology in the near-offshore region. CCS also requires the use of many of the same assets required for oil and gas production (pipelines, platforms, wells) and the oil and gas industry has direct experience with CO 2 transport and injection (i.e., EOR). Therefore, the combination of existing infrastructure in close proximity to potential CCS project sites appears to provide a potential “win-win” solution for re-use of existing oil and gas assets. This paper presents a high-level evaluation of oil and gas infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico with the goals of identifying the scale of the opportunity (e.g., how much existing infrastructure is realistically re-usable), identifying gaps in knowledge/policy/information required to evaluate existing infrastructure for re-use, and proposing key actions that could be pursued to further the assessment of existing infrastructure re-use for CCS.

Infrastructure, reuse, re-purpose, oil and gas, pi↗
DOE OSTI2021

Determination of Water Content in Bio-Oils by Volumetric Karl Fischer Titration: Laboratory Analytical Procedure (LAP)

The water content of bio-oils is a key metric for several reasons. Water is typically the most concentrated single component of fast pyrolysis oils, though this will be much lower in catalytic fast pyrolysis and upgraded products. Reduced water content is preferable in bio-oil as water can contribute to phase separation, corrosivity, and instability. Additionally, lower water is beneficial for physical properties such as energy density. The percentage of water can also be used to correct the calculation for organic oxygen when determining total oxygen content of bio-oils via combustion-based ultimate analysis. The procedure described here is specifically written for the analysis of bio-oils, and is based on ASTM E203, Standard Test Method for Water Using Volumetric Karl Fischer Titration. This standard test method is specified for measuring the mass % water in pyrolysis liquid biofuels in ASTM D7544, Standard Specification for Pyrolysis Liquid Biofuel. Although the standard method is prescribed for the analysis of pyrolysis liquids for use in industrial and commercial burners, the method is not specifically written for this product. The method described with this Laboratory Analytical Procedure (LAP) provides specific guidance for the analysis of bio-oils. Both organic and aqueous phases can be measured with this technique.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Evaluating Production Implications of Pressure Maintenance in Unconventional Oil and Gas Wells using a Machine Learning Modeling Approach: Case Study in the Permian Basin

This study implements the proprietary machine learning-based model (model) developed under the 2022 study titled “Evaluating the Impact of Proprietary Oil & Gas Data on Machine Learning Model Performance Using a Quasi-Experimental Analytical Approach” for forecasting unconventional oil and gas production using well data from the Permian Basin. The model, developed using an exclusive dataset that includes time series production data from an operator in the Permian Basin, is designed to jointly predict daily oil, gas, and water production for horizontal wells as a function of bottomhole pressure drawdown, spatial placement across the study domain, and well-completion attributes. In this study, the model was explicitly applied to explore its utility to evaluate the impact of varying drawdown strategies on the production forecast of a well in the Permian Basin dataset. Managing pressure drawdown has been identified as a way to improve estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) from unconventional shale wells due to the stress-dependent nature of fractures in shale reservoirs. Research has shown that applying a lower pressure drawdown helps to maintain the reservoir conductivity, resulting in higher productivity over the life of a well. Historic bottomhole pressure data from the well over time was used as a benchmark from which to set more and less aggressive pressure decline rates as bounding modeling cases. All pressure decline rates/strategies were forecasted over 5 years, and the model was used to generate oil, water, and gas prediction over the same timeframe. This report presents the results from the production forecast and discusses potential operational and economic implications, with contrasting perspectives between well productivity and profitability given typical oil and gas economics and the volatility in the oil and gas market.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparing the response of the indigenous microbial community to crude oil amendment in oxic versus hypoxic conditions

The Caspian Sea is the world’s largest landlocked saline lake which lies between Europe and Asia. This region is particularly known for its large-scale oil reserves, pipelines, and drilling activities, which have contributed to the environmental decline of this lake. In addition to pollution from the petroleum industry, drainage from various river basins brings an influx of residential, industrial, and agricultural effluents that induce eutrophication and hypoxic conditions in deeper, colder waters, creating an oxygen gradient. The temperature and oxygen stratification in this environment has presented a unique opportunity to investigate the potential of the biodegradative processes carried out by the indigenous microbial community. We believe these indigenous microbes possess different metabolic capabilities to degrade oil as they adapted to declining oxygen concentrations and temperatures with increasing depths over a prolonged period. Hence, community structure and composition will vary with depth. Microcosms were set up to observe the indigenous microbial reaction after a 60 ppm native crude oil amendment over 115 days. Surface water microcosms were incubated at 28ºC and aerated while deep water microcosms were incubated at 8ºC under anaerobic conditions. These two environmental conditions represent the temperature and oxygen extremes along the gradient and were selected as we try to simulate the indigenous community’s response to this oil contamination. DNA was extracted and amplified from these microcosms and sequenced. Bioinformatic analysis was performed to track changes in the abundance of taxa present and biodiversity over different time points to show the progression of community structure. All microcosms showed the presence of hydrocarbon-degrading phyla, whose presence is consistent with other reports from oil-enriched environments. However, distinct communities were observed in oxic versus hypoxic microcosms. Orders of Bacteria related to sulfate and nitrogen cycling were found in hypoxic microcosms, indicating a possible mechanism for the anaerobic biodegradation of crude oil. GC-MS analysis of initial and final microcosms also provided evidence of degradation of hydrocarbon fractions in both warm, oxic and cold, hypoxic conditions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of Kariya ( Hildegardia barteri (Mast.) Kosterm) Seed Oil Fatty Acid Methyl Ester Prepared from Basic Catalytic Transesterification

The rising global energy demand, alongside concerns regarding environmental deterioration due to the use of fossil fuels, has spurred extensive investigation into renewable energy alternatives. Biomass-derived biodiesel, especially from lesser-known oil sources, emerges as a promising option. This research focuses on analyzing the fatty acid methyl esters (FAMEs) derived from Kariya (Hildegardia barteri (Mast.) Kosterm) seed oil through basic catalytic transesterification using gas chromatography–flame ionization detector (GC–FID) analysis, assessing its potential as a biodiesel feedstock. Oil extraction from Kariya seeds was carried out using three solvents (n-hexane, ethanol, and a 1:1 blend of hexane and ethanol), followed by transesterification with methanol. Gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS) and GC–FID analyses were utilized to identify and quantify FAMEs in the resulting biodiesel. The results revealed various FAMEs, including methyl myristate, methyl palmitate, methyl stearate, methyl oleate, methyl linoleate, and methyl linolenate. Significant differences in FAME composition were observed among the samples, with hexane–ethanol Kariya oil biodiesel (HE-KOB) showing the highest FAME content (76.1%). This combination of solvents exhibited synergistic effects on the composition of HE-KOB, suggesting potential optimization strategies for biodiesel production. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) provided additional insights into the molecular composition of the biodiesel samples, confirming their biodiesel nature through the identified functional groups such as methyl, methylene, hydrocarbon, ester, aldehyde, and alkene. Thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) for thermal decomposition also gave an insight into FAME composition and its contribution to the degree of conversion of biodiesel to energy. These findings highlight the feasibility of utilizing Kariya seed oil as a biodiesel feedstock, emphasizing the importance of solvent selection and transesterification conditions in optimizing FAME yield and composition. This research contributes to the exploration of underutilized oil sources for sustainable biodiesel production, aligning with the global shift towards cleaner and renewable energy sources.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Identification of potential CO 2 leakage pathways and mechanisms in oil reservoirs using fault tree analysis

Geological storage of CO 2 technologies has become an important and effective way to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions, especially when it is combined with CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR), which can not only trap CO 2 but also enhance oil recovery. However, the risk of CO 2 leakage has always been a prominent issue. In this paper, the mechanisms and pathways of CO 2 leakage during geological storage in oil reservoirs were analyzed using fault tree analysis (FTR). Besides, monitoring technologies were discussed and deployed in a CO 2 EOR demonstration project. The analysis results showed that the sealing failures of oil producer and CO2 injector wells, like well cement failure and casing failure, are the main reasons for the CO 2 leakage, which has been observed in the oil field monitoring project. The monitoring results indicated that there is no large-scale CO 2 leakage, while relatively high and abnormal CO 2 concentration in soil gas near some wellbores are observed, which indicates there is some leakage of CO 2 through incomplete cement ring and well casing string. FTR results provide guidelines for monitoring and preventing of CO 2 leakage during geological storage in oil reservoirs. Finally, the near-surface monitoring methods, especially the soil gas monitoring technologies, can effectively detect the leakage of CO 2 , and are a proper method for CO 2 leakage monitoring.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Approaches to investigate the role of chelation in the corrosivity of biomass-derived oils

The need to provide the U.S. market with a renewable liquid fuel energy source from a non-food feedstock stream has gained considerable traction due to benefits such as improved energy efficiency, reduced environmental impacts, and enhanced national security. Practical achievement of these goals via biomass and bio-waste utilization involves production of liquid intermediates containing corrosive, reactive species like carboxylic acids, ketones, aldehydes, and hydroxyaldehydes. Such mixtures challenge materials of containment, processing, and transport. It is widely recognized that the smaller organic acids, such as acetic and formic, are corrosive and can remove protective surface oxides on alloys used in bio-oil processing infrastructure, and ketones can swell sealing polymers. However, literature shows, and findings herein confirm, larger carboxylic acids and bidentate alcohols are present. This highlights the potential for synergistic, detrimental effects of constituents in bio-oil corrosion, including direct reactivity of small acids compounded with the possibility of mobilization of protective metal oxide layers via chelation by larger acids and oxygenates. The question of whether species beyond small acids can significantly contribute to corrosion requires analytical approaches previously not applied to bio-oil corrosion studies and certainly not previously applied corroboratively. As such, this work introduces a combination of optical, mass spectral, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopies with an incubation approach to study metal mobilization, to facilitate elucidating chelation's role in bio-oil corrosive pathways. To enable systematic study of these oxygenates' material compatibility individually and in combination, a model matrix of bio-oil constituents was also developed based on identification of key components of real bio-oils.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Renewable diesel and bio-aromatics production from waste cooking oil using ethanol as a hydrogen donor in deoxygenation reaction

Biofuels offer a promising solution in the fight against climate change. With a global increase in waste cooking oil, this research investigated the production of bio-hydrogenated diesel (BHD) from waste cooking oil, using ethanol as a hydrogen donor in the deoxygenation process. A hydrolyzed waste cooking oil model compound served as the feedstock, and the deoxygenation was performed at 300–400 °C. The catalysts used in the experiments were 2.6 wt% Ni and 7.8 wt% Mo (2.6Ni-7.8Mo) and 10 wt% Ni and 5 wt% Mo (10Ni-5Mo) on γ-Al 2 O 3 . The results showed that ethanol is an effective hydrogen donor for biofuel production without the need for external hydrogen at an elevated pressure. The increasing temperature enhanced the free fatty acid (FFA) conversion and n-alkane selectivity in the oil product, with the highest FFA conversion and alkane selectivity of 100 % and 46 %, respectively, observed at 400 °C for the sulfided 10Ni-5Mo catalyst. On the other hand, 2.6Ni-7.8Mo offers 100 % FFA conversion with a lower n-alkane selectivity of 35 % at identical temperatures. The total acid number (TAN) of the oil products decreased from 174.03 mg KOH/g of feedstock to 9.43 and 8.67 mg KOH/g with the sulfided 2.6Ni-7.8Mo and 10Ni-5Mo catalysts, respectively. Both the catalysts achieved similar heating values (~43 MJ/kg) at 400 °C. This is a significant improvement to the HHV of the feedstock, which was 36.02 MJ/kg. Additionally, aromatic compounds, mainly BTXE (benzene, toluene, xylene, and ethylbenzene), were also produced. Compared to glycerol as a hydrogen donor, ethanol more effectively increased n-alkane selectivity due to its higher effective hydrogen-to-carbon ratio (H/C eff ). Conversely, glycerol was more advantageous for achieving greater selectivity towards BTXE compounds due to its lower H/C eff , which potentially leads to coke formation. Since aromatic compounds are intermediates in coke production, glycerol provides higher aromatic selectivity than ethanol. Finally, this study presents an alternative pathway for producing diesel fuel from waste cooking oil using ethanol as a hydrogen donor.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO 2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow

Carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 -EOR) projects not only extract residual oil but also sequestrate CO 2 in the depleted reservoirs. Here, this study develops a machine-learning-based workflow to co-optimize the hydrocarbon recovery, CO 2 sequestration volume and project net present value (NPV) simultaneously. Considering the trade-off relationships among the objective functions, support vector regression with Gaussian kernel (Gaussian- SVR) proxies are coupled with multi-objective particle swarm optimization (PSO) protocol and generate Pareto optimal solutions. Taking advantage of the high computational efficacy of the proxy model, economic uncertainties introduced by tax credits, capital costs and oil price are investigated by this study. The results indicate that the tax incentive policy (Section 45Q) plays a vital role in enhancing the economic returns of CO 2 -EOR projects, especially under the depression of crude oil market. The proposed workflow has been successfully implemented to optimize a water alternative CO 2 (CO 2 -WAG) injection project in a depleted oil sand in the US. The optimization results yield an incremental oil production of 15.8 MM STB and 1.37 MM metric tons of CO 2 storage in a 20-year development strategy, with the highest project NPV to be 205.6 MM US dollars.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Oil price states and drivers: An analysis of the second-month spot-futures price differential

Oil remains a dominant component of global energy use, and its price, characterized by frequent changes and an ever-present potential for large swings, continues to be a focus of industry participants, policymakers and analysts attention. Here, this study examines the behavior of future spot oil prices using a continuous-time hidden Markov model (HMM) and daily price data spanning years 2007 to 2024. We identify six states in the second-month WTI spot-futures price differential and assess the roles of eleven futures price, quantity, financial market, and geopolitical/volatility variables in each state. The model yields several insights into the workings of the oil market and the relative roles of these drivers. We find support for several theoretical and empirical findings in the oil market literature, including the role of inventory, volatility/risk, and market responses to contango/backwardation in futures markets. A novel finding is that “normal contango” conditions represent a significant portion of next-day states in our in-sample data. Under the most volatile normal contango state, many of the oil market drivers differ markedly in coefficient signs and magnitudes from those in other states. The resulting model also performed well out-of-sample and would, in addition to understanding the impact of market drivers, be useful for short-term forecasting. Overall, the findings highlight the highly non-linear, regime-dependent interactions of the oil price and its drivers, emphasizing the importance of detailed information to market stakeholders.

Oladosu, Gbadebo A. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory↗
DOE OSTI2025

Water structure and electric fields at the interface of oil droplets

Interfacial water exhibits rich and complex behaviour, playing an important part in chemistry, biology, geology and engineering. However, there is still much debate on the fundamental properties of water at hydrophobic interfaces, such as orientational ordering, the concentration of hydronium and hydroxide, improper hydrogen bonds and the presence of large electric fields. This controversy arises from the challenges in measuring interfacial systems, even with the most advanced experimental techniques and theoretical approaches available. Here we report on an in-solution, interface-selective Raman spectroscopy method using multivariate curve resolution to probe hexadecane-in-water emulsions, aided by a monomer-field theoretical model for Raman spectroscopy. Our results indicate that oil-water emulsion interfaces can exhibit reduced tetrahedral order and weaker hydrogen bonding, along with a substantial population of free hydroxyl groups that experience about 95 cm -1 redshift in their stretching mode compared with planar oil-water interfaces. Given the known electrostatic zeta potential characteristic of oil droplets, we propose the existence of a strong electric field (about 50-90 MV cm -1 ) emanating from the oil phase. This field is inferred indirectly but supported by control experiments and theoretical estimates. These observations are either absent or opposite in the molecular hydrophobic interface formed by small solutes or at planar oil-water interfaces. Instead, water structural disorder and enhanced electric fields emerge as unique features of the mesoscale interface in oil-water emulsions, potentially contributing to the accelerated chemical reactivity observed at hydrophobic-water interfaces.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗