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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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155 records · Page 9

Variability in Wind Energy Generation across the Contiguous United States

ERA5 provides high-resolution, high-quality hourly wind speeds at 100 m and is a unique resource for quantifying temporal variability in likely wind-derived power production across the United States. Gross capacity factors (CF) in seven independent system operators (ISOs) are estimated using the location and rated power of each wind turbine, a simplified power curve, and ERA5 output from 1979 to 2018. Excluding the California ISO, the marginal probability of a calm (zero power production) is less than 0.1 in any ERA5 grid cell. When a calm occurs, the mean co-occurrence across wind-turbine-containing grid cells ranges from 0.38 to 0.39 for ISOs in the Midwest and central plains [Midcontinent (or Midwest) ISO (MISO), Southwest Power Pool (SPP), and the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region], increasing to 0.54–0.58 for ISOs in the eastern United States [Pennsylvania–New Jersey–Maryland interconnection (PJM), New York ISO (NYISO), and New England ISO (NEISO)]. Periods with low gross CF have a median duration of ≤6 h, except in California, and are most likely during summer. Additionally, gross CF exhibit highest variance at periods of 1 day in ERCOT and SPP; on synoptic scales in MISO, NEISO, and NYISO; and on interannual time scales in PJM. This implies differences in optimal strategies for ensuring resilience of supply. Theoretical scenarios show adding wind energy capacity near existing wind farms is advantageous even in areas with high existing installed capacity (IC), while expanding into areas with lower IC is more beneficial to reducing ramps and the probability of gross CF falling below 20%. These results emphasize the benefits of large balancing areas and aggregation in reducing wind power variability and the likelihood of wind droughts.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Development of an accelerator-based neutron source to prototype Mo-99 production, Part II: A liquid LBE loop under a high vacuum

To provide US domestic supply of Mo-99 without using high-enriched uranium (HEU), a subcritical uranium target assembly (UTA) is irradiated by an accelerator-based neutron source to create Mo-99 through fission. Part I of this work discusses the design of a liquid lead–bismuth eutectic (LBE) windowless target for an accelerator-based neutron source development. Part II discusses how to couple this windowless target to an accelerator operating at an ultra-high vacuum and the subcritical UTA cooled by water at room temperature. Due to the windowless design of the target, the liquid LBE flow shares an ultra-high vacuum (<1.3 × 10 -7 Pa or 10 -9 Torr) space with the accelerator. As a result of this shared vacuum space, the LBE system must operate at a high vacuum (10 -3 ~10 -6 Pa or 10 -5 ~10 -8 Torr). A magnetic rotary motion feedthrough unit utilizes magnetic fluid to allow rotation of the pump while maintaining a high vacuum environment. Prior to testing the LBE system under vacuum, a pump curve measurement is performed to estimate flowrate in the system. This measurement also generates data on orifice loss coefficients, which are compared to correlations in literature. The second experiment investigates vacuum level in the LBE system during operation. High vacuum is maintained (10 -3 ~10 -5 Pa or 10 -5 ~10 -7 Torr) during system operation, and a residual gas analyzer (RGA) scan shows that partial pressures of residual gases in the LBE system lower over the duration of LBE system operations. The third experiment investigates the gravity driven liquid LBE flowing out of the target chamber in the return line, which is partially full. If the liquid LBE is not drained quickly enough, flooding in the target chamber could occur. The coefficient n in the Manning equation is found to be around 0.008 s/m 1/3 . The last experiment performed is a demonstration that a vacuum jacket could provide sufficient thermal insulation to allow coupling between 300 °C LBE loop and a water tank at room temperature. In conclusion, the results from these experiments have influenced the development of the neutron source for the future commercial scale Mo-99 production system.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

The Cost of Offshore Wind Energy in the United States From 2025 to 2050

This study presents estimates of the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of offshore wind energy throughout major U.S. coastal regions between a time frame of 2025 - 2050. The LCOE modeling accounts for impacts of supply chain shocks, inflation, and rising interest rates on cost. Given the near-term uncertainty in these factors, we present three possible scenarios driven by how uncertainty in costs, technology, and deployment may evolve over time. The cost increases reported by industry in recent years will likely be felt over next several years, but we expect long-term cost reductions enabled by growing offshore wind deployment and industry learning. This study helps inform decision-makers about the potential role that offshore wind energy can play in future clean energy strategies.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

EVs@Scale Next-Gen Profiles - EV Profile Capture 2023

As part of the U.S. DOE EVs@Scale consortium Next-Gen Profiles (NGP) project, the profile capture of production electric vehicles undergoing high power charging (HPC) is conducted over a wide range of conditions to explore variance and performance. Charge session parameters are collected from both the electric vehicle (EV) and electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) at a rate of 10Hz and entered into a time-series database for analysis. These charge profiles are captured under nominal and off-nominal conditions, exploring the impact of battery state of charge (SOC), battery temperature, vehicle condition, smart charge management (SCM), and EVSE limitations. Nominal conditions are defined to be ideal conditions that should transfer the maximum allowable energy in the minimum possible amount of time. Nominal condition profiles are compared across EVs to characterize state-of-the-art EV charging performance against one another. Off-nominal condition profiles are compared against its nominal condition profile counterpart to highlight the variance across less desirable starting conditions within a single EV. Under nominal conditions, most EVs can achieve the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) rated peak-power and charge times. Peak power across EVs has variance due to the vehicle design, battery topology, charging strategy, etc. These 10-100% nominal preconditioned charge profiles across 13 EVs (11 light-duty (LD), 2 heavy-duty (HD)) were used for analysis in power curve analysis, power distribution, SOC and range comparison, thermal impacts of current draw, battery pack size and energy charged, and ramp rates. Power curve analysis show the uniqueness in power vs time curves across all EVs, breaking down the features of a typical profile and where variation is typically seen. Power distribution results showed that over 50% of charge time is spent below 50kW and only 12.1% is spent above 200kW. SOC and range performance yielded different top performing EVs when exploring goals of performance from SOC and range gained after 10-min (EV2) and 20-min (EV8), and time-to-achieve 80% SOC (EV8) and 200 miles of range (EV1). Current draw from 400-volt EVs had a higher thermal impact to cable/connector temperatures when compared to 800-volt EVs, due to a higher current requirement to achieve similar power levels. There was high variance in C rating, a useful metric when comparing the relationship between peak/average charge session power and relative battery pack size, across EVs under test. Ramp rates during initial power transfer were examined, fastest and slowest speeds ranging from 192.5kW/second to 2.6kW/second respectively. A similar analysis of ramp rates was also conducted for OCPP curtailment testing, where EVs underwent a 2-minute 65A curtailment request before returning to full-power charge. Under off-nominal conditions, most EVs experienced variation from the nominal condition profiles. EVs that underwent the full set of NGP defined testing conditions were compared, analysis of which was categorized by 800-volt and 400-volt EVs. It should be noted that the 800-volt EVs had significantly higher peak power ratings than the 400-volt EVs, and thus were more prone to variance. Initial state of charge, battery temperature, and vehicle condition had a considerable impact on peak power levels and charge time for the 800-volt vehicles under test. EVSE limited tests lowered achievable power down to 200kW, greatly impacted 800-volt charging power, and had little to no effect on 400-volt charging power. Adapter testing was performed on a single 400-volt EV, where power and current limitations were found but overall charge time was not significantly impacted. Adapter and boost converter testing was performed on a single 800-volt EV, where both charge power and charge time were greatly impacted. Charge profiles are unique, and comparing such requires analysis that examines starting conditions, vehicle and battery topologies,

Charging↗

Core formation in high-z massive haloes: heating by post-compaction satellites and response to AGN outflows

ABSTRACT Observed rotation curves in star-forming galaxies indicate a puzzling dearth of dark matter in extended flat cores within haloes of mass ≥1012M⊙ at z ∼ 2. This is not reproduced by current cosmological simulations, and supernova-driven outflows are not effective in such massive haloes. We address a hybrid scenario where post-compaction merging satellites heat up the dark-matter cusps by dynamical friction, allowing active galactic nucleus (AGN)-driven outflows to generate cores. Using analytic and semi-analytic models (SatGen), we estimate the dynamical friction heating as a function of satellite compactness for a cosmological sequence of mergers. Cosmological simulations (VELA) demonstrate that satellites of initial virial masses >1011.3M⊙, which undergo wet compactions, become sufficiently compact for significant heating. Constituting a major fraction of the accretion on to haloes ≥1012M⊙, these satellites heat up the cusps in half a virial time at z ∼ 2. Using a model for outflow-driven core formation (CuspCore), we demonstrate that the heated dark-matter cusps develop extended cores in response to removal of half the gas mass, while the more compact stellar systems remain intact. The mergers keep the dark matter hot, while the gas supply, fresh and recycled, is sufficient for the AGN outflows. AGNs indeed become effective in haloes ≥1012M⊙, where the black hole growth is no longer suppressed by supernovae and its compaction-driven rapid growth is maintained by a hot circumgalactic medium. For simulations to reproduce the dynamical friction effects, they should resolve the compaction of the massive satellites and avoid artificial tidal disruption. AGN feedback could be boosted by clumpy black hole accretion and clumpy response to AGN.

Dekel, Avishai↗

Technological evolution of large-scale blue hydrogen production toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot

Hydrogen potentially has a crucial role in the U.S. transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Learning from large-scale hydrogen projects will boost technological evolution and innovation toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot. We apply experience curves to estimate the evolving costs of blue hydrogen production and to further examine the economic effect on technological evolution of the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for carbon sequestration and clean hydrogen. Learning-by-doing alone can decrease the production cost of blue hydrogen. Without tax incentives, however, it is hard for blue hydrogen production to reach the cost target of $\$1$/kg H 2 . Here we show that the breakeven cumulative production capacity required for gas-based blue hydrogen to reach the $\$1$/kg H 2 target highly depends on tax credit, natural gas price, inflation rate, and learning rates. We make recommendations for hydrogen hub development and for accelerating technological progress toward the Hydrogen Energy Earthshot.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Quantifying streamflow regime behavior and its sensitivity to demand

This paper presents a new framework for quantitatively identifying, characterizing and analyzing systematic hydrological cycles resulting from streamflow variability in a way that integrates water supply and water demand. The hydrological cycles in question are measures of the most severe drought and pluvial events in a historical record of streamflow, along with their respective durations. The metrics developed here to quantify such episodes are based on an extended sequent peak algorithm that tracks the dynamic shifts in hydrological behavior of streamflow by accounting for water supply and demand with respect to streamflow. In the interest of being able to analyze the largest possible scope of hydrological cycles and behavior, we apply the quantitative methods developed in this paper to streamflow reconstructions in the Upper Missouri River Basin (UMRB) as a case study. We find that the duration of dry periods increase conspicuously as a function of increasing demand levels, the duration of pluvial events decrease as a function of increasing demand levels, and that the general tendency is for streamflow gauges on or near the main stem of the river to have shorter dry spell durations and typically lower drought severity. On the other hand, being on or near the main stem tends to result in longer-duration pluvial events, though these pluvials are typically less severe than those off the main stem. Persistence and spatial variability of streamflow reconstructions were also analyzed to shed further light on the spatial patterns identified earlier, and to see if this variability and persistence may have an influence on the behavior of the streamflow as quantified by the metrics defined in this paper. Finally, it was found that there is a stochastic dependence between the length of a drought and the time to recovery from that drought, and this dependence is used to create simple conditional probability curves to help water managers prepare for future extreme events.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

How a Formate Dehydrogenase Responds to Oxygen: Unexpected O 2 Insensitivity of an Enzyme Harboring Tungstopterin, Selenocysteine, and [4Fe–4S] Clusters

The reversible two-electron interconversion of formate and CO 2 is catalyzed by both nonmetallo- and metallo-formate dehydrogenases (FDHs). The latter group comprises molybdenum- or tungsten-containing enzymes with the metal coordinated by two equivalents of a pyranopterin cofactor, a cysteinyl or selenocysteinyl (Sec) ligand supplied by the polypeptide, and a catalytically essential terminal sulfido ligand. In addition, these biocatalysts incorporate one or more [4Fe–4S] clusters for facilitating long-distance electron transfer. However, an interesting dichotomy arises when attempting to understand how the metallo-FDHs react with O 2 . Whereas existing scholarship portrays these enzymes as being unable to perform in air due to extreme O 2 lability of their metal centers, studies dating as far back as the 1930s emphasize that some of these systems exhibit formate oxidase (FOX) activity, coupling formate oxidation to O 2 reduction. Therefore, to reconcile these conflicting views, we explored context-dependent functional linkages between metallo-FDHs and their cognate electron acceptors within the same organism vis-à-vis catalysis under atmospheric O 2 . Here, we report the discovery and characterization of an O 2 -insensitive FDH2 from the sulfate-reducing bacterium Desulfovibrio vulgaris Hildenborough (DvH) that ligates tungsten, Sec, and four [4Fe–4S] clusters. By advancing a robust expression platform for its recombinant production, we eliminate both the requirement of nitrate or azide during purification and reductive activation with thiols and/or formate prior to catalysis. Because the distinctive spectral signatures of formate-reduced DvH-FDH2 remain invariant under anaerobic and aerobic conditions, we benchmarked the enzyme activity in air, identifying CO 2 as the catalytic product. Full reaction progress curve analysis discloses a high catalytic efficiency when probed with a high-potential artificial electron acceptor. Furthermore, we show that DvH-FDH2 enables near-stoichiometric hydrogen peroxide production without superoxide release to achieve O 2 insensitivity. Notably, simultaneous electron transfer to cytochrome c and O 2 reveals that metal-based electron bifurcation is operational in this system. Taken together, our work proves the co-occurrence of redox bifurcated FDH and FOX activities within a metalloenzyme scaffold. These findings set the stage for uncovering previously unknown O 2 -insensitive flavin-based electron bifurcation mechanisms, as well as for developing authentic formate/air biofuel cells, engineering O 2 -stable FDHs and biohybrid metallocatalysts, and discerning formate bioenergetics of gut microbiota.

13C NMR↗

Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions and carbon intensity of U.S. fuel use and projection for the next 10 years-based on built capacity and expansion plans

The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 supports biofuel production expansion through the 45Z clean fuel production tax credit, replacing previous 40A and 40B credits. This follows on the Renewable Fuel Standard from the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and its expansion in 2007. States like California, Oregon, and Washington also offer clean fuel credits. Meanwhile, federal agencies, including the U.S. Department of Energy, have advanced alternative fuel technologies through research and development funding. The surging interest in the biofuel industry has spurred the demand for biofuel supplies in the markets, although achieving profitability for advanced biofuels and low-carbon e-fuels remains challenging. This study aims to track U.S. alternative fuel production capacity expansion plans over the next 10 years and estimate impacts on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. By tracking built capacity and industry announcements of planned expansion, this study complements other studies which use models to predict changes in energy technologies and the associated GHG implications. Modeled projections of future technologies are often criticized for over or underestimating the cost and potential role of new technologies. The study focuses on sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable natural gas. Using facility-level data, we conducted a bottom-up analysis linking biofuel production pathways with corresponding pathways and parameterizations in the Argonne R&D GREET model. Results indicate that biofuel capacity could reach 3.8 exajoules in 2035, potentially reducing U.S. GHG emissions by 179 million tonnes, including the full life cycle. This corresponds to a 20% reduction in transportation and 5% in industry sector emissions by 2035, or a 3.6% reduction in economy-wide emissions. Overall, this study shows that while biofuel production capacity in the U.S. is expanding, the capacities remain limited compared to fuel demand. Uncertainty regarding the durability and extension of incentives may be dampening the pace of growth. Meanwhile, demonstrating the commercial potential for alternative fuels and climbing the learning curve for new technologies could lead to an increased pace of expansion in later years. This study offers insights for bioenergy stakeholders, highlighting biofuel technologies' contribution to U.S. energy system and emissions reduction over time based on producers' plans.

Biofuel Producers↗

Optimizing Hydronic Heating for Comfort and Performance in Multifamily Housing

Inefficient control settings in multifamily boilers often lead to substantial energy and cost penalties. To address this, a Fault Detection and Diagnostic (FDD) tool was developed to automate data analysis and identify operational faults such as suboptimal outdoor temperature sensor placement, misconfigured outdoor air reset (OAR) curves, excess boiler cycling, and domestic hot water (DHW) setpoint errors. By comparing pre- and post-implementation periods and applying engineering models, the tool quantifies energy savings and reduces manual analysis time by over 90%. Testing on over 100 monitored sites and a targeted subset of 12 buildings showed an average 11% energy savings from remote optimization; further validation across 19 OAR curve changes confirmed the tool’s accuracy, predicting actual savings within ±5% for most cases. Simple payback can be under three years for many multifamily buildings, though rising hardware, labor, and fuel costs create uncertainties, and decarbonization goals increasingly shift focus to electrification. The FDD tool remains invaluable for optimizing existing boilers, enhancing future electrification measures, and adapting to new technologies by refining building load estimates. In doing so, it supports both near-term efficiency and long-term transitions to low-carbon alternatives, ensuring buildings achieve substantial cost and energy benefits throughout their system lifecycles.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Application of Raman Spectroscopy to Determine Uranium Content in ADUN Solution

The work presented in this report is part of the ongoing efforts to address the nuclear material control and accounting needs for advanced reactor fuel fabrication facilities. This work was supported by the Materials Protection, Accounting, and Control Technologies (MPACT) program under the US Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy‘s Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Supply Chain program. The activities and engagements under the MPACT program are designed to support a robust US civilian nuclear energy enterprise. In the work described in this report, we supported MPACT objectives by developing measurement techniques that could be used for material accounting and process monitoring and by working with industry partners to identify existing gaps and areas for improvement. Oak Ridge National Laboratory has been working with commercial tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel fabricators such as Standard Nuclear to develop technology for rapid and cost-effective uranium content assessment. This work has focused on demonstrating advanced measurement techniques (e.g., Raman spectroscopy) that can be used for rapid, reliable, and cost-effective routine measurements of uranium content in feed solutions and liquid waste streams as well as for monitoring in-line process measurements and product streams. Specifically, this report explores techniques for accurately determining uranium content in acid-deficient uranyl nitrate (ADUN) solutions and detecting low uranium concentrations in ammonia solutions. Developing such measurement techniques will benefit TRISO fuel fabrication facilities, facilities involved in other parts of the fuel cycle that require online monitoring of aqueous solutions, and potentially molten salt fuel reactors. This work supports developing Raman spectroscopy procedures to determine uranium concentrations in ADUN solutions, which are used as feedstock in the sol–gel process for creating TRISO fuel. Some additional benefits of using Raman spectroscopy for uranium quantification in fabrication facilities include enabling online monitoring of the chemical process, which would provide near real-time feedback; eliminating the need for sample transfers, preparation, or dilution; providing nondestructive measurements; and user friendliness. In this fiscal year, FY25, we determined the identity of the unknown Raman band at approximately 853 cm−1 that was discovered in ADUN Raman spectra in FY24, created calibration curves and determined uranium concentrations of two ADUN solutions, and compared the Raman results to results obtained from inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry and Davies–Gray titration. Furthermore, we have identified focus areas for experimentation in future fiscal years. A key result is that the accuracy of using Raman can provide accuracy comparable to destructive analysist techniques, With a well-developed calibration curve, using standards and a large number of samples (more than five samples), uncertainty on the order of 1%–3% is achievable. Given that the uncertainties achieved by Raman spectroscopy were on the order of the uncertainties achieved using ICP-MS, we conclude that with a well-developed procedure Raman spectroscopy can be used to determine uranium concentrations in ADUN solutions for NMC&A applications. The benefits of such an approach are that the time and effort will be less than that of comparable destructive analysis techniques, with approximately the same level of technical expertise. This will be attractive to operators of fuel fabrication facilities as it will lower costs and improve efficiencies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗