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Concentrator designs for space photovoltaic arrays

The unique set of operating constraints determining key concentrating solar array design characteristics for low earth orbital, geosynchronous and interplanetary missions are considered. Minimum cost is crucial at low earth orbits, performance and design life are needed in geosynchronous orbit, and structural pointing accuracy and radiation resistance are essential in interplanetary designs. The impact of such emerging technologies as ultrathin cells, gallium arsenide cells and cold mirrors is discussed. Power-to-mass ratios as high as 200 W per kilogram at a distance of 1 astronomical unit from the sun are possible, using concentrators in conjunction with gallium arsenide arrays.

Rockey, D. E.↗

The Impact of Information Technology on the Design, Development, and Implementation of a Lunar Exploration Mission

From the beginning to the present expeditions to the Moon have involved a large investment of human labor. This has been true for all aspects of the process, from the initial design of the mission, whether scientific or technological, through the development of the instruments and the spacecraft, to the flight and operational phases. In addition to the time constraints that this situation imposes, there is also a significant cost associated with the large labor costs. As a result lunar expeditions have been limited to a few robotic missions and the manned Apollo program missions of the 1970s. With the rapid rise of the new information technologies, new paradigms are emerging that promise to greatly reduce both the time and cost of such missions. With the rapidly increasing capabilities of computer hardware and software systems, as well as networks and communication systems, a new balance of work is being developed between the human and the machine system. This new balance holds the promise of greatly increased exploration capability, along with dramatically reduced design, development, and operating costs. These new information technologies, utilizing knowledge-based software and very highspeed computer systems, will provide new design and development tools, scheduling mechanisms, and vehicle and system health monitoring capabilities that have hitherto been unavailable to the mission and spacecraft designer and the system operator. This paper will utilize typical lunar missions, both robotic and crewed, as a basis to describe and illustrate how these new information system technologies could be applied to all aspects such missions. In particular, new system design tradeoff tools will be described along with technologies that will allow a very much greater degree of autonomy of exploration vehicles than has heretofore been possible. In addition, new information technologies that will significantly reduce the human operational requirements will be discussed.

Gross, Anthony R.↗

Potential Mars Surveyor 2001 Landing Sites: Low-Elevation Cratered "Highlands" in Central and Eastern Sinus Meridiani and Near Amenthes Fossae

The main scientific goal for the Mars Surveyor Program 2001 (MSP 01) landed mission is to collect and characterize 91 rock and 13 soil core samples using an integrated instrument suite onboard the Athena Rover. If possible, these samples will be retrieved and returned to Earth via a MSP 05 or MSP 07 mission. Preliminary engineering constraints for the MSP 01 landing site call for a location that lies between 15 S and 30 N, and below about 2 km elevation (based on Viking-era topography). Desirable landing sites for MSP 01 are to be located "in the ancient highlands where the environmental conditions may have been favorable to the preservation of evidence of possible prebiotic or biotic processes including the emergence (and, potentially, the persistence) of life". We interpret this to mean that the desirable sites include those that have evidence of aqueous sediments that might have been deposited during the Noachian and/or Hesperian Epochs of Mars' history. In addition to the search for subaqueous sedimentary deposits, we took into consideration the fact that the rover, Athena, will need to be able to access these materials. Thus, a site where aeolian deflation has occurred might be desirable because it might expose, in situ, layered sedimentary deposits. Deflated areas, of course, might include potential landing hazards in the form of meterscale buttes and mesas (e.g., Christmas Lake Valley, OR), thus careful study of such sites with high resolution images will be required before a decision is made to land. We have been examining three regions that have potential to be considered for MSP 01 landing sites. This work is based on Viking (VIS, IRTM) and Phobos 2 (Termoskan) observations and should be regarded as preliminary because we believe that the final site selection should also be based upon analysis of Mars Global Surveyor observations that help constrain mineralogy (TES) and local geomorphology (MOC, MOLA). (1) Eastern Sinus Meridiani Region (proposed by K. S. Edgett) Sinus Meridiani is a persistent low-albedo (< 0. 16) region on the martian equator that has been recognized for about 400 years. All of Sinus Meridiani is below the 2 km elevation constraint for MSP 01. The region includes cratered highlands, valley networks, aeolian dunes, and possible aqueous sedimentary deposits. The landing site study region is located in the eastern portion of Sinus Meridiani. It is bounded by latitudes 10 S to 2 N, longitudes 355 W to 345 W, and the elevations are mostly 1-2 km. The center of this area contains a medium-albedo (0.19-0.21), relatively smooth-surfaced deposit that was suggested by Rice to be a lacustrine deposit. Several potential landing areas can be suggested within this region. Based on Viking and Phobos 2 data, the favored sites so far are centered at 7.6 S, 346.9 W and 0.8 S, 349 W. Thermal inertias are 3.2-7.0 x 10(exp -3) cal /sq cm s(exp -0.5)/K; and rock abundances are around 2-6%. The site at 7.6 S, 346.9 W is at the southern end of the smooth, medium-albedo unit that might have a lacustrine origin. At this location, numerous channels appear to have drained toward the smooth unit. Viking images from orbit 747A show this area at about 15 m/pixel ground resolution. The images reveal that aeolian deflation has occurred along the deposit's margins. Bright (i.e., albedo >= 0.21) aeolian dunes are present on the channel floors and in some of the depressions on the smooth unit. The bright, apparently active dunes might consist of material (perhaps lakedeposited sands) that has been eroded from the smooth unit. The site at approximately 0.8 S, 349 W is selected because it offers an opportunity to solve a long-standing puzzle about Mars remote sensing. There are three main "color" units on Mars: "dark red, dark gray, and bright red". This landing site would allow the Athena rover an opportunity to investigate all three materials within close proximity (the best place on Mars to do so). There are no high resolution (better than 100 m/pixel) Viking or Mariner images of this site. (2) Central Sinus Meridiani Region (proposed by K. S. Edgett and T. J. Parker) Central Sinus Meridiani is characterized by two types of surfaces [4]. One is like typical martian cratered highlands elsewhere- there are old valley networks and old impact craters. The other is relatively smooth and flat. These two units are in contact around 3.1 S between 5 W and 4 E longitudes. Valley networks- including one at 6'S, 358 W that rivals the Grand Canyon of Arizona- once drained toward the smooth unit. Edgett and Parker [4] proposed that the smooth unit might consist of sediments laid down in a large Noachian-aged sea/ocean that would have covered much of the northern hemisphere. Schultz and Lutz [I I I suggested that it is a paleopolar layered deposit. Regardless, the smooth unit where it contacts the cratered terrain would make an excellent site for Athena rover to investigate. The site is best seen in Viking high resolution images from orbits 408B (about 30 m/pixel) and 746A (about 12 m/pixel). These images suggest that aeolian deflation has occurred along the margin of the smooth unit, and this deflation has exposed horizontal larrs of material. The elevation is about 0.5 km; thermal inertias are 6.5-8.0 x 10(exp -3) cal /sq cm s(exp -0.5) / K; rock abundances are 2-4%; and the surface is probably sandy with dark drifts and ripples but almost no actual dunes. We suggest a landing around 3.2 S, 3.0 W would test the aqueous sediment hypothesis and provide a potentially smooth surface on which to land. (3) Amenthes Fossae Region (proposed by S. N. Huntwork and K. S. Edgett) The Amenthes Fossae are a series of graben/fissures that are circumferential to the southeast side of Isidis Planitia. These fissures cross a variety of ancient, heavily cratered Noachian terrain and younger, Hesperian and Amazonian terrain. We focused our search on a region 0-15 N, 250 - 270 W. Elevations are -0.5 to 2 km. Depending upon whether Isidis Planitia was ever a water-rich environment, this region might have been influenced by aqueous sedimentation. Valley networks are common, and they drained toward the north and northwest. We focused our work on a set of Viking orbiter high-resolution images, 719A 1-48. These have resolutions 16-24 rri/pixel. We examined images 20-23, centered at 2 N, 258 W. This site, on the plains just southwest of a 42 km-diameter crater, includes a valley network channel, a relatively young crater ejecta deposit, a few buttes composed of presumably ancient, Noachian bedrock, and a "plains" unit. The plains might make an ideal landing surface, except for the presence of some fine-scale ridges (oriented approximately N-S). The ridges are probably yardangs, thus this site offers a place where aeolian deflation has probably exposed some of the layered rock units that comprise the "plains". Thermal inertias are 7.9-8.3 x 10(exp -3) cal/sq cm s(exp -0.5) /K and rock abundances are 10-15%. A rover traverse might include the opportunity to go down to the floor (and sample along the walls) of the valley network channel at 2 N 258.1 W.

Edgett, K. S.↗

Impact Craters on Mars: Natural 3D Exploration Probes of Geological Evolution

Introduction: The population of impact craters preserved on the surface of Mars offers fundamental constraints on the three- dimensional mechanical characteristics of the martian crust, its volatile abundance, and on the styles of erosion that have operated during essentially all epochs of martian geological history. On the basis of the present- day wealth of morphologic and geometric observations of impact landforms on Mars [ 1-31, an emerging understanding of the three-dimensional physical properties of the martian uppermost crust in space and time is at hand. In this summary, the current basis of understanding of the relatively non- degraded population of impact landforms on Mars is reviewed, and new Mars Global Surveyor (MGS)-based (MOLA) measurements of global geometric properties are summarized in the context of upcoming observations by Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO).

Garvin, James B.↗

Defining Tolerance: Impacts of Delay and Disruption when Managing Challenged Networks

Challenged networks exhibit irregularities in their communication performance stemming from node mobility, power constraints, and impacts from the operating environment. These irregularities manifest as high signal propagation delay and frequent link disruption. Understanding those limits of link disruption and propagation delay beyond which core networking features fail is an ongoing area of research. Various wireless networking communities propose tools and techniques that address these phenomena. Emerging standardization activities within the Internet Research Task Force (IRTF) and the Consultative Committee for Space Data Systems (CCSDS) look to build upon both this experience and scalability analysis. Successful research in this area is predicated upon identifying enablers for common communication functions (notably node discovery, duplex communication, state caching, and link negotiation) and how increased disruptions and delays affect their feasibility within the network. Networks that make fewer assumptions relating to these enablers provide more universal service. Specifically, reliance on node discovery and link negotiation results in network-specific operational concepts rather than scalable technical solutions. Fundamental to this debate are the definitions, assumptions, operational concepts, and anticipated scaling of these networks. This paper presents the commonalities and differences between delay and disruption tolerance, including support protocols and critical enablers. We present where and how these tolerances differ. We propose a set of use cases that must be accommodated by any standardized delay-tolerant network and discuss the implication of these on existing tool development.

mobility drivers↗

Geometry Modeling and Grid Generation for Design and Optimization

Geometry modeling and grid generation (GMGG) have played and will continue to play an important role in computational aerosciences. During the past two decades, tremendous progress has occurred in GMGG; however, GMGG is still the biggest bottleneck to routine applications for complicated Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) and Computational Structures Mechanics (CSM) models for analysis, design, and optimization. We are still far from incorporating GMGG tools in a design and optimization environment for complicated configurations. It is still a challenging task to parameterize an existing model in today's Computer-Aided Design (CAD) systems, and the models created are not always good enough for automatic grid generation tools. Designers may believe their models are complete and accurate, but unseen imperfections (e.g., gaps, unwanted wiggles, free edges, slivers, and transition cracks) often cause problems in gridding for CSM and CFD. Despite many advances in grid generation, the process is still the most labor-intensive and time-consuming part of the computational aerosciences for analysis, design, and optimization. In an ideal design environment, a design engineer would use a parametric model to evaluate alternative designs effortlessly and optimize an existing design for a new set of design objectives and constraints. For this ideal environment to be realized, the GMGG tools must have the following characteristics: (1) be automated, (2) provide consistent geometry across all disciplines, (3) be parametric, and (4) provide sensitivity derivatives. This paper will review the status of GMGG for analysis, design, and optimization processes, and it will focus on some emerging ideas that will advance the GMGG toward the ideal design environment.

Samareh, Jamshid A.↗

Concept of Operations for Management by Trajectory

This document describes Management by Trajectory (MBT), a concept for future air traffic management (ATM) in which every flight operates in accordance with a four-dimensional trajectory (4DT) that is negotiated between the airspace user and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to respect the airspace user's goals while complying with National Airspace System (NAS) constraints. In the present-day NAS, the ATM system attempts to predict the trajectory for each flight based on the approved flight plan and scheduled or controlled departure time. However, once the aircraft starts to move, controllers tactically manage the aircraft to implement traffic management restrictions, separate otherwise conflicting aircraft, and address arising NAS constraints. Tactical controller actions are not directly communicated to the automation systems or other stakeholders. Furthermore, the initial trajectory prediction does not anticipate these disruptions or how they will impact the flight. Consequently, and compounded by gaps in required data and models, trajectory predictions are less accurate than possible, which affects Traffic Flow Management (TFM) performance. A cornerstone of the MBT concept is that all air vehicles have, at all times, an assigned 4DT from their current state to their destination. These assigned trajectories consist of trajectory constraints and descriptions. Pilots and air traffic controllers, with the aid of automation, operate the aircraft to comply with the assigned trajectory, unless first negotiating a revision. Equipped aircraft have substantial responsibility for complying with the assigned trajectory without controller intervention. To maximize the operational flexibility available to the airspace user, the assigned trajectory only imposes trajectory constraints as required to achieve the ATM goals of NAS constraint compliance and aircraft separation. Trajectory descriptions are added to the assigned trajectory to ensure sufficient predictability. To further improve trajectory prediction accuracy, airspace users supplement the assigned trajectory by broadcasting intent information and updating it as necessary. Air vehicle intent is a more detailed description of the airspace user's plan for how the flight will fly the assigned trajectory. Air vehicle intent can change freely, without negotiation, as long as it remains in compliance with the assigned trajectory. Aircraft assigned trajectories, air vehicle intent, and predicted trajectories are shared, creating a common view among stakeholders. A NAS Constraint Service gathers and publishes information about all known NAS constraints, enabling airspace users to be informed participants in trajectory negotiation. Trajectory constraints in the assigned trajectory are mapped to NAS constraints to facilitate identifying which aircraft are affected when NAS constraints change. To support efficient trajectory negotiation, all aircraft provide current information about air vehicle capabilities. Assigned trajectories are constructed to satisfy all known NAS constraints, improving trajectory stability and predictability. Uncertainty and disruptions are handled by modifying the assigned trajectory as far in advance as possible. By proactively negotiating changes to the assigned trajectory, rather than relying on controller-selected tactical actions such as vectors to resolve traffic conflicts or implement miles-in-trail restrictions, MBT keeps aircraft on closed trajectories that are fully known to all stakeholders. Since reactive air traffic control actions cannot be predicted in advance, the downstream trajectory cannot be accurately predicted until they happen. Reliable trajectory predictions allow the system to identify needed modifications to trajectories further in advance, where they can be negotiated and communicated as amendments (i.e., additional or altered trajectory constraints) to the assigned trajectory. Decision Support Tools (DSTs) aid controllers in rapidly defining and communicating closed trajectories to the aircraft and support all stakeholders in trajectory negotiation. Anticipated MBT benefit mechanisms include more accurate trajectory predictions, improved ATM performance and robustness to off-nominal conditions, increased flexibility and operational efficiency, reduced impediments to emerging classes of airspace users accessing NAS resources, reduced environmental impacts, and enhanced safety.

ConOps↗

Stationkeeping of Lissajous Trajectories in the Earth-Moon System with Applications to ARTEMIS

In the last few decades, several missions have successfully exploited trajectories near the.Sun-Earth L1 and L2 libration points. Recently, the collinear libration points in the Earth-Moon system have emerged as locations with immediate application. Most libration point orbits, in any system, are inherently unstable. and must be controlled. To this end, several stationkeeping strategies are considered for application to ARTEMIS. Two approaches are examined to investigate the stationkeeping problem in this regime and the specific options. available for ARTEMIS given the mission and vehicle constraints. (I) A baseline orbit-targeting approach controls the vehicle to remain near a nominal trajectory; a related global optimum search method searches all possible maneuver angles to determine an optimal angle and magnitude; and (2) an orbit continuation method, with various formulations determines maneuver locations and minimizes costs. Initial results indicate that consistent stationkeeping costs can be achieved with both approaches and the costs are reasonable. These methods are then applied to Lissajous trajectories representing a baseline ARTEMIS libration orbit trajectory.

Folta, D. C.↗

The Interplay Between Radiation Pressure and the Photoelectric Instability in Optically Thin Disks of Gas and Dust

In optically thin disks, dust grains are photoelectrically stripped of electrons by starlight, heating nearby gas and possibly creating a dust clumping instability-the photoelectric instability (PeI)-that significantly alters global disk structure. In the current work, we use the Pencil Code to perform the first numerical models of the PeI that include stellar radiation pressure on dust grains in order to explore the parameter regime in which the instability operates. In some models with low gas and dust surface densities, we see a variety of dust structures, including sharp concentric rings. In the most gas- and dust-rich models, nonaxisymmetric clumps, arcs, and spiral arms emerge that represent dust surface density enhancements of factors of ∼5-20. In one high gas surface density model, we include a large, low-order gas viscosity and find that it observably smooths the structures that form in the gas and dust, suggesting that resolved images of a given disk may be useful for deriving constraints on the effective viscosity of its gas. Our models show that radiation pressure does not preclude the formation of complex structure from the PeI, but the qualitative manifestation of the PeI depends strongly on the parameters of the system. The PeI may provide an explanation for unusual disk morphologies, such as the moving blobs of the AU Mic disk, the asymmetric dust distribution of the 49Ceti disk, and the rings and arcs found in the HD 141569A disk.

photoelectric instability (PeI)↗

A Preliminary Evaluation of Supersonic Transport Category Vehicle Operations in the National Airspace System

Several public sector businesses and government agencies, including the National Aeronautics and Space Administration are currently working on solving key technological barriers that must be overcome in order to realize the vision of low-boom supersonic flights conducted over land. However, once these challenges are met, the manner in which this class of aircraft is integrated in the National Airspace System may become a potential constraint due to the significant environmental, efficiency, and economic repercussions that their integration may cause. Background research was performed on historic supersonic operations in the National Airspace System, including both flight deck procedures and air traffic controller procedures. Using this information, an experiment was created to test some of these historic procedures in a current-day, emerging Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) environment and observe the interactions between commercial supersonic transport aircraft and modern-day air traffic. Data was gathered through batch simulations of supersonic commercial transport category aircraft operating in present-day traffic scenarios as a base-lining study to identify the magnitude of the integration problems and begin the exploration of new air traffic management technologies and architectures which will be needed to seamlessly integrate subsonic and supersonic transport aircraft operations. The data gathered include information about encounters between subsonic and supersonic aircraft that may occur when supersonic commercial transport aircraft are integrated into the National Airspace System, as well as flight time data. This initial investigation is being used to inform the creation and refinement of a preliminary Concept of Operations and for the subsequent development of technologies that will enable overland supersonic flight.

Underwood, Matthew C.↗

Automated Finite Element Modeling of Wing Structures for Shape Optimization

The displacement formulation of the finite element method is the most general and most widely used technique for structural analysis of airplane configurations. Modem structural synthesis techniques based on the finite element method have reached a certain maturity in recent years, and large airplane structures can now be optimized with respect to sizing type design variables for many load cases subject to a rich variety of constraints including stress, buckling, frequency, stiffness and aeroelastic constraints (Refs. 1-3). These structural synthesis capabilities use gradient based nonlinear programming techniques to search for improved designs. For these techniques to be practical a major improvement was required in computational cost of finite element analyses (needed repeatedly in the optimization process). Thus, associated with the progress in structural optimization, a new perspective of structural analysis has emerged, namely, structural analysis specialized for design optimization application, or.what is known as "design oriented structural analysis" (Ref. 4). This discipline includes approximation concepts and methods for obtaining behavior sensitivity information (Ref. 1), all needed to make the optimization of large structural systems (modeled by thousands of degrees of freedom and thousands of design variables) practical and cost effective.

Harvey, Michael Stephen↗

Uncrewed Aerial Systems for Emergency Medical First Response: A Market Research Report

This report presents the findings from market research conducted for NASA’s Aerial Aid Convergent Aeronautics Solutions (CAS) exploration project, which aims to assess the current state of the market and technological readiness for Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) for medical emergency first response. The research reveals a robust and rapidly growing market for UAS, with a notable emerging sector for Drones as First Responders (DFR). Despite this growth, DFR applications are currently limited by regulatory, technical, and other challenges, which restrict their use primarily to manned remote video surveillance, and therefore are primarily employed by police units. To our knowledge, there is no evidence of UAS being utilized by medical first responders for scene assessment. Limited evidence exists for closely related applications; however, these are mostly confined to pilot programs for the delivery of medical supplies or equipment. Although there has been discussion around fully autonomous DFR applications for medical purposes such as UAS ambulances or patient transport drones, these applications are generally not yet operational in practice. The technology for full autonomy, especially in guidance and control, has seen significant advancements, and recent Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)regulations are likely to accelerate adoption. Computer vision algorithms for fully autonomous medical emergency response scene surveillance are primed for advancement and deployment. A notable gap likely exists between advancements in computer vision research and what is being integrated in the commercial DFR sector. This gap is primarily due to challenges such as quality assurance for autonomous systems, the availability of application-specific training datasets for computer vision algorithms, regulatory constraints, and public perception and privacy concerns.

Joshua M Fody↗

Chapter 6: Sulfur on Mars from the Atmosphere to the Core

Observations of the martian surface from orbiting spacecraft and in situ landers and rovers, as well as analyses of martian meteorites in terrestrial laboratories, have consistently indicated that Mars is a sulfur-rich planet. The global inventory of sulfur, from the atmosphere to the core, carries widespread implications of potential geophysical, geochemical, climatological, and astrobiological significance. For example, the sulfur content of the core carries implications for core density; the speciation of igneous sulfur minerals reflects the oxidation state of the magma from which they formed; sulfur-bearing gases may have exerted control on the temperatures at the surface of early Mars; and the widespread availability of sulfur on Mars would have provided an abundant source for energy and nutrients to fuel sulfur-metabolizing microbes, such as those that arose during the emergence of primitive life on Earth. Here we provide an overview of martian sulfur and its relevance to these areas of interest, including a discussion of analytical techniques and results acquired by space missions and meteorite analyses to date. We review current studies modeling the potential effects of sulfur-bearing gases on the past martian climate and possible constraints on atmospheric composition implied by sulfur isotopic data. We also explore the importance of sulfur to the search for extinct or extant life on Mars. Finally, we summarize a few areas of interest to future work, including advances in space exploration technology and preparation for Mars sample return.

Climate↗

Mission Profiles for the SUSAN Electrofan Concept

The SUbsonic Single Aft eNgine (SUSAN) Electrofan is a novel aircraft concept which utilizes a single aft-mounted engine, electrified aircraft propulsion, an emergency backup battery, as well as state-of-the-art aerodynamic design and thermal management systems to reduce the overall environmental impact of the aircraft. Mission profiles, which define the aircraft state and flight characteristics throughout various phases of flight, are an important component of aircraft conceptual design. These defined characteristics can serve as sizing cases or design constraints. By defining the mission profiles to be within airworthiness certification standards and regulations, aircraft designers can ensure the conceptual design is predicted to be within compliance of these regulations throughout the design process. This paper will present mission profiles for the SUSAN Electrofan aircraft, including the basis for defining the characteristics required during each phase of flight.

Conceptual Design↗

Mission Profiles for the SUSAN Electrofan Concept

The Subsonic Single Aft engine (SUSAN) Electrofan is a novel aircraft concept which utilizes a single aft-mounted engine, electrified aircraft propulsion, an emergency backup battery, as well as state-of-the-art aerodynamic design and thermal management systems to reduce the overall environmental impact of the aircraft. Mission profiles, which define the aircraft state and flight characteristics throughout various phases of flight, are an important component of aircraft conceptual design. These defined characteristics can serve as sizing cases or design constraints. By defining the mission profiles to be within airworthiness certification standards and regulations, aircraft designers can ensure the conceptual design is predicted to be within compliance of these regulations throughout the design process. This paper will present mission profiles for the SUSAN Electrofan aircraft, including the basis for defining the characteristics required during each phase of flight.

Conceptual Design↗

Next Generation Civil Transport Aircraft Design Considerations for Improving Vehicle and System-Level Efficiency

The future of aviation will benefit from research in aircraft design and air transportation management aimed at improving efficiency and reducing environmental impacts. This paper presents civil transport aircraft design trends and opportunities for improving vehicle and system-level efficiency. Aircraft design concepts and the emerging technologies critical to reducing thrust specific fuel consumption, reducing weight, and increasing lift to drag ratio currently being developed by NASA are discussed. Advancements in the air transportation system aimed towards system-level efficiency are discussed as well. Finally, the paper describes the relationship between the air transportation system, aircraft, and efficiency. This relationship is characterized by operational constraints imposed by the air transportation system that influence aircraft design, and operational capabilities inherent to an aircraft design that impact the air transportation system.

aircraft design↗

Multiple Pathways of Commodity Crop Expansion in Tropical Forest Landscapes

Commodity crop expansion, for both global and domestic urban markets, follows multiple land change pathways entailing direct and indirect deforestation, and results in various social and environmental impacts. Here we compare six published case studies of rapid commodity crop expansion within forested tropical regions. Across cases, between 1.7 percent and 89.5 percent of new commodity cropland was sourced from forestlands. Four main factors controlled pathways of commodity crop expansion: (i) the availability of suitable forestland, which is determined by forest area, agroecological or accessibility constraints, and land use policies, (ii) economic and technical characteristics of agricultural systems, (iii) differences in constraints and strategies between small-scale and large-scale actors, and (iv) variable costs and benefits of forest clearing. When remaining forests were unsuitable for agriculture and/or policies restricted forest encroachment, a larger share of commodity crop expansion occurred by conversion of existing agricultural lands, and land use displacement was smaller. Expansion strategies of large-scale actors emerge from context-specific balances between the search for suitable lands; transaction costs or conflicts associated with expanding into forests or other state-owned lands versus smallholder lands; net benefits of forest clearing; and greater access to infrastructure in already cleared lands. We propose five hypotheses to be tested in further studies: (i) land availability mediates expansion pathways and the likelihood that land use is displaced to distant, rather than to local places; (ii) use of already-cleared lands is favored when commodity crops require access to infrastructure; (iii) in proportion to total agricultural expansion, large-scale actors generate more clearing of mature forests than smallholders; (iv) property rights and land tenure security influence the actors participating in commodity crop expansion, the form of land use displacement, and livelihood outcomes; (v) intensive commodity crops may fail to spare land when inducing displacement. We conclude that understanding pathways of commodity crop expansion is essential to improve land use governance.

Forest↗

Performance Basis for Airborne Separation

Emerging applications of Airborne Separation Assistance System (ASAS) technologies make possible new and powerful methods in Air Traffic Management (ATM) that may significantly improve the system-level performance of operations in the future ATM system. These applications typically involve the aircraft managing certain components of its Four Dimensional (4D) trajectory within the degrees of freedom defined by a set of operational constraints negotiated with the Air Navigation Service Provider. It is hypothesized that reliable individual performance by many aircraft will translate into higher total system-level performance. To actually realize this improvement, the new capabilities must be attracted to high demand and complexity regions where high ATM performance is critical. Operational approval for use in such environments will require participating aircraft to be certified to rigorous and appropriate performance standards. Currently, no formal basis exists for defining these standards. This paper provides a context for defining the performance basis for 4D-ASAS operations. The trajectory constraints to be met by the aircraft are defined, categorized, and assessed for performance requirements. A proposed extension of the existing Required Navigation Performance (RNP) construct into a dynamic standard (Dynamic RNP) is outlined. Sample data is presented from an ongoing high-fidelity batch simulation series that is characterizing the performance of an advanced 4D-ASAS application. Data of this type will contribute to the evaluation and validation of the proposed performance basis.

Wing, David J.↗