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At least 163 records · Page 9

The characteristics of evolving mesoscale systems over mountainous terrain as revealed by radar and PAM

The paper deals with measurements made within the South Park area (which is located near Denver, Colorado, and is a natural genesis area for cumulus clouds) in July and August 1977, using powered aircraft, sailplanes, rawinsondes, boundary layer profilers, acoustic sounders, micrometeorological towers, lidar, research radar, triple-Doppler radar, and a square grid of surface meteorological stations. Extensive analysis revealed a very complex picture of thunderstorm-scale, large-mesoscale, and synoptic-scale interactions.

George, R. L.↗

Improved Impact of Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) Radiance Assimilation in Numerical Weather Prediction

Improvements to global and regional numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been demonstrated through assimilation of data from NASA s Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS). Current operational data assimilation systems use AIRS radiances, but impact on regional forecasts has been much smaller than for global forecasts. Retrieved profiles from AIRS contain much of the information that is contained in the radiances and may be able to reveal reasons for this reduced impact. Assimilating AIRS retrieved profiles in an identical analysis configuration to the radiances, tracking the quantity and quality of the assimilated data in each technique, and examining analysis increments and forecast impact from each data type can yield clues as to the reasons for the reduced impact. By doing this with regional scale models individual synoptic features (and the impact of AIRS on these features) can be more easily tracked. This project examines the assimilation of hyperspectral sounder data used in operational numerical weather prediction by comparing operational techniques used for AIRS radiances and research techniques used for AIRS retrieved profiles. Parallel versions of a configuration of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) that mimics the analysis methodology, domain, and observational datasets for the regional North American Mesoscale (NAM) model run at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) are run to examine the impact of each type of AIRS data set. The first configuration will assimilate the AIRS radiance data along with other conventional and satellite data using techniques implemented within the operational system; the second configuration will assimilate AIRS retrieved profiles instead of AIRS radiances in the same manner. Preliminary results of this study will be presented and focus on the analysis impact of the radiances and profiles for selected cases.

Zavodsky, Bradley↗

Convective scale weather analysis and forecasting

How satellite data can be used to improve insight into the mesoscale behavior of the atmosphere is demonstrated with emphasis on the GOES-VAS sounding and image data. This geostationary satellite has the unique ability to observe frequently the atmosphere (sounders) and its cloud cover (visible and infrared) from the synoptic scale down to the cloud scale. These uniformly calibrated data sets can be combined with conventional data to reveal many of the features important in mesoscale weather development and evolution.

Purdom, J. F. W.↗

Recent progress in the application of satellite altimetry to observing the mesoscale variability and general circulation of the oceans

The application of GEOS-3 and Seasat altimeter data to the study of mesoscale variability and general circulation in the oceans is discussed in a survey of recent investigations. Seasat provided much more accurate measurements, but lasted only 3.5 months (compared to 3.5 years for GEOS-3). General-circulation studies are shown to be strongly dependent on an accurate geoid, which has not yet been developed; hence even large-wave-length (7000-km) mapping is of limited value. Geoid-independent methods allow the global mapping of mesoscale sea-surface height and geostrophic current and the analysis of their distribution in wavenumber space, at least to the limits allowed by the accuracy of the instruments. These studies demonstrate the feasibility of future satellite-altimeter measurements of variability over a wide range of periods and wavelengths, which if combined with improved mapping of the earth's gravity field) would permit the determination of the general circulation on scales as small as 200 km.

Fu, L.-L.↗

Evaluation of vegetation effects on the generation and modification of mesoscale circulations

The effects of the presence of vegetation cover on modifying sea breeze and thermally induced upslope flows during daytime were investigated, and the possibility of the generation of mesoscale circulations due to nonuniform vegetation cover was evaluated. Scale analysis and numerical model simulations were used to provide quantitative evaluations of the circulations involved in the two vagetation effects, using several illustrative cases. The cases considered demonstrate that the impact of vegetated surfaces is highly dependent on the environmental conditions as well as vegetation characteristics.

Segal, M.↗

Results of a study on polarization mix selection for the NSCAT scatterometer

The NASA scatterometer (NSCAT) is an instrument designed to measure the radar backscatter of the ocean's surface for estimating the near-surface wind velocity. A given resolution element is observed from several different azimuth angles. From these measurements the near-surface vector wind over the ocean may be inferred using a geophysical model function relating the normalized radar backscatter coefficient (sigma0) to the near-surface wind. The results of a study to select a polarization mix for NSCAT using an end-to-end simulation of the NSCAT scatterometer and ground processing of the sigma0 measurements into unambiguous wind fields using a median-filter-based ambiguity-removal algorithm are presented. The system simulation was used to compare the wind measurement accuracy and ambiguity removal skill over a set of realistic mesoscale wind fields for various polarization mixes. Considerations in the analysis and simulation are discussed, and a recommended polarization mix is given.

Long, David G.↗

Global MHD Simulation of Mesoscale Structures at the Magnetospheric Boundary

We have continued our modeling of the solar wind/magnetosphere interaction for steady solar Wind conditions by carrying out a series of 3 D global magneto-hydrodynamics (MHD) simulations using a set of predetermined solar wind parameters as input to the code. With the results from the simulations that we ran last year for two other dipole tilts (0 and 35 deg), we have 36 data sets to study the dynamics of mesoscale structures at the magnetospheric boundary. We have started the analysis of these runs to investigate geometrical properties and the topology of the magnetic and electric fields for the different solar wind regimes and orientations considered. Preliminary results indicate that merging sites are consistent with patterns proposed for antiparallel merging at the dayside magnetopause. Another goal of this investigation is to establish the displacement of the cusp region as a function of the solar wind dynamic pressure, IMF direction and magnetic field dipole tilt. One of the difficulties of that study is to locate precisely the cusp in the simulation results. We have used several case studies to establish a series of criteria in to permit a routine identification of that location. We need now to process the rest of the simulation results using these criteria to obtain statistical results.

Berchem, Jean↗

Development and Implementation of Dynamic Scripts to Execute Cycled GSI/WRF Forecasts

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical weather prediction (NWP) model and Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation (DA) are the operational systems that make up the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model and the NAM Data Assimilation System (NDAS) analysis used by National Weather Service forecasters. The Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) manages and distributes the code for the WRF and GSI, but it is up to individual researchers to link the systems together and write scripts to run the systems, which can take considerable time for those not familiar with the code. The objective of this project is to develop and disseminate a set of dynamic scripts that mimic the unique cycling configuration of the operational NAM to enable researchers to develop new modeling and data assimilation techniques that can be easily transferred to operations. The current version of the SPoRT GSI/WRF Scripts (v3.0.1) is compatible with WRF v3.3 and GSI v3.0.

Zavodsky, Bradley↗

Development and Implementation of Dynamic Scripts to Execute Cycled GSI/WRF Forecasts

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical weather prediction (NWP) model and Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation (DA) are the operational systems that make up the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model and the NAM Data Assimilation System (NDAS) analysis used by National Weather Service forecasters. The Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) manages and distributes the code for the WRF and GSI, but it is up to individual researchers to link the systems together and write scripts to run the systems, which can take considerable time for those not familiar with the code. The objective of this project is to develop and disseminate a set of dynamic scripts that mimic the unique cycling configuration of the operational NAM to enable researchers to develop new modeling and data assimilation techniques that can be easily transferred to operations. The current version of the SPoRT GSI/WRF Scripts (v3.0.1) is compatible with WRF v3.3 and GSI v3.0.

Zavodsky, Bradley↗

Numerical prediction experiments simulating the impact of mesoscale satellite data

Recent developments in mesometeorology are summarized to place this research in perspective. Recent advances in computer analysis and forecast system development that provide the basis for the simulation tests are discussed. The impact of NIMBUS-6 humidity data on analyses off the West Coast are shown and incorporation of geopotential gradient data is discussed. Experiments to demonstrate the feasibility of incorporating satellite-derived wind fields in mesoscale severe storm models are mentioned briefly.

Kreitzberg, C. W.↗

Impact of Assimilating Adaptively Thinned AIRS Cloud-Cleared Radiances on the Analysis of Polar Lows and Mediterranean Sea Tropical-Like Cyclone in a Global Modeling and Data Assimilation Framework

Polar lows, and mesoscale convective cyclones bearing resemblance to tropical cyclones but originating outside of the tropics, are storms that are challenging to represent accurately in global analyses and models because of their small size, rapid growth at subsynoptic scales, occurrence in data poor oceanic regions, and difficulties in objectively validating them in analysis. Building on previous positive results obtained with respect to the representation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in a global model, a set of observing system experiments (OSEs) performed using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS, version 5) are investigated, focusing on three case studies—a polar low in the Sea of Okhotsk, a polar low in the Southern Ocean, and a Mediterranean Sea tropical-like cyclone that occurred during the boreal fall season of 2014. Experiments assimilating adaptively thinned cloud-cleared hyperspectral infrared radiances from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on board the NASA Aqua satellite, with higher density in the vicinity of each storm and its pre-cyclogenesis environment, and lower density elsewhere, demonstrate a positive impact on the analyzed representation of each storm. The adaptive thinning experiments improve the storm intensity and structure, including vertical alignment, depth, symmetry, strength, and compactness of warm core compared to the reference experiments. The results suggest that jet-level processes associated with extremely strong horizontal velocity gradients as represented in the model analysis can be useful to locate dynamically active regions of the extratropical atmosphere where denser data coverage is likely to improve the analyzed representation of polar lows and other similar marine mesoscale convective cyclones.

global modeling↗

An evaluation of various forms of VAS retrievals in the analysis of a preconvective environment

VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) radiance data obtained over the continental United States on July 20, 1981 are used to evaluate a variety of VAS retrieval procedures and parameters in the qualitative analysis and forecasting of severe weather events. The particular case analyzed contains two significantly different mesoscale convective events in the central plains. Retrievals of temperature, dewpoint temperature, equivalent potential temperature, total column precipitable water, and lifted index are shown to be physically consistent in space and time and to compare well with available radiosonde data. The analysis of the VAS retrievals identified significant spatial gradients and temporal changes in the thermal and moisture fields, including times and locations between radiosonde observations.

Petersen, R. A.↗

Frontogenesis over a mountain ridge

The interaction of developing two-dimensional cold and warm frontal systems with a mesoscale mountain ridge is examined. The basic equations and a scale analysis which isolates the parameters that describe the flow are discussed, and the governing equations and techniques used to solve the problem are presented. Frontal development in the absence of topography and features of the steady mountain flow field are considered. Model results are presented on the interaction of cold and warm fronts with topography.

Zehnder, Joseph A.↗

Bivariate conditional sampling of buoyancy flux during an intense cold-air outbreak

The joint frequency distribution technique was used to analyze buoyancy fluxes in the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) for the cloud street regime noted during the Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment. It is found that for the lower half of the MABL, the buoyancy flux is mainly generated by the rising thermals and the sinking compensating ambient air, and is mainly consumed by the entrainment and detrainment of thermals, penetrative convection, and the entrainment from the MABL top. If the buoyancy flux is primarily driven by the temperature flux, these buoyancy-flux generating processes should be the same for the lower boundary layers over land and ocean. The results of the scale analysis of the buoyancy flux agree well with those obtained for mesoscale cellular convection during the Air-Mass Transformation Experiment.

Chou, Shu-Hsien↗

An Operational Configuration of the ARPS Data Analysis System to Initialize WRF in the NM'S Environmental Modeling System

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is the next generation community mesoscale model designed to enhance collaboration between the research and operational sectors. The NM'S as a whole has begun a transition toward WRF as the mesoscale model of choice to use as a tool in making local forecasts. Currently, both the National Weather Service in Melbourne, FL (NWS MLB) and the Spaceflight Meteorology Group (SMG) are running the Advanced Regional Prediction System (AIRPS) Data Analysis System (ADAS) every 15 minutes over the Florida peninsula to produce high-resolution diagnostics supporting their daily operations. In addition, the NWS MLB and SMG have used ADAS to provide initial conditions for short-range forecasts from the ARPS numerical weather prediction (NWP) model. Both NM'S MLB and SMG have derived great benefit from the maturity of ADAS, and would like to use ADAS for providing initial conditions to WRF. In order to assist in this WRF transition effort, the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) was tasked to configure and implement an operational version of WRF that uses output from ADAS for the model initial conditions. Both agencies asked the AMU to develop a framework that allows the ADAS initial conditions to be incorporated into the WRF Environmental Modeling System (EMS) software. Developed by the NM'S Science Operations Officer (S00) Science and Training Resource Center (STRC), the EMS is a complete, full physics, NWP package that incorporates dynamical cores from both the National Center for Atmospheric Research's Advanced Research WRF (ARW) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction's Non-Hydrostatic Mesoscale Model (NMM) into a single end-to-end forecasting system. The EMS performs nearly all pre- and postprocessing and can be run automatically to obtain external grid data for WRF boundary conditions, run the model, and convert the data into a format that can be readily viewed within the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System. The EMS has also incorporated the WRF Standard Initialization (SI) graphical user interface (GUT), which allows the user to set up the domain, dynamical core, resolution, etc., with ease. In addition to the SI GUT, the EMS contains a number of configuration files with extensive documentation to help the user select the appropriate input parameters for model physics schemes, integration timesteps, etc. Therefore, because of its streamlined capability, it is quite advantageous to configure ADAS to provide initial condition data to the EMS software. One of the biggest potential benefits of configuring ADAS for ingest into the EMS is that the analyses could be used to initialize either the ARW or NMM. Currently, the ARPS/ADAS software has a conversion routine only for the ARW dynamical core. However, since the NIvIM runs about 2.5 times faster than the ARW, it is quite advantageous to be able to run an ADAS/NMM configuration operationally due to the increased efficiency.

Case, Jonathan↗

The Severe Storms Observation Satellite /SSOS/

The objective of the Severe Storms Observation Satellite (SSOS) is to continuously observe meteorological phenomena from geosynchronous altitude and to acquire data whose analysis will lead to a better understanding, early detection, and prediction of severe storms and other significant mesoscale events such as dust storms. Details are discussed as to the Advanced Atmospheric Sounding and Imaging Radiometer designed for SSOS, the use of a special spacecraft for an R&D mission, data acquisition, and data processing and analysis. The required accurate vertical temperature and moisture profiles as well as high temporal and spatial resolution images can best be obtained by a three-axis stabilized system, which offers approximately an order of magnitude sensing improvement over a comparable spinning system due to its capability to continuously view the earth. A block diagram of the severe storm analysis system is included.

Shenk, W. E.↗

Regional eddy vorticity transport and the equilibrium vorticity budgets of a numerical model ocean circulation

A mean vorticity budget analysis is presented of Holland's (1978) numerical ocean general circulation experiment. The stable budgets are compared with classical circulation theory to emphasize the ways in which the mesoscale motions of the model alter (or leave unaltered) classical vorticity balances. The basinwide meridional transports of vorticity by the mean flow and by the mesoscale flow in the mean are evaluated to establish the role(s) of the mesoscale in the larger scale equilibrium vorticity transports. The vorticity equation for this model fluid system is presented and the budget analysis method is described. Vorticity budgets over the selected regions and on a larger scale are given, and a summary of budget results is provided along with remarks about the utility of this type of analysis.

Harrison, D. E.↗