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At least 163 records · Page 9

Inadequacies of conventional traffic forecasting in determining the demand for new aircraft

Decisions concerning the selection of new aircraft must take into account the expected volume and character of air traffic in particular future markets. An investigation is, therefore, conducted regarding the currently available approaches for obtaining estimates of air traffic growth. Essentially, air traffic forecasting consists in studying past air traffic growth patterns, attempting to determine what may cause them to change, relating them where possible to such determinants or to other series whose changes they follow in some predictable fashion. Attention is given to the short-shelf life of conventional air traffic forecasts, the observation that most forecasts reflect recent experience, factors which may partially offset the inadequacies of air traffic forecasting technology, the limitations of conventional forecasting, and research useful in identifying a range of future scenarios.

Gorham, J. E.↗

Weak soft X-ray excesses need not result from the high-frequency tail of the optical/ultraviolet bump in active galactic nuclei

The broad-band ROSAT/EXOSAT X-ray spectra of six Seyfert 1 galaxies are fitted by a model consisting of a direct power law and a component due to reflection/reprocessing from a partially ionized, optically thick medium. The reflected spectrum contains emission features from various elements in the soft X-ray range. In all objects but one (Mrk 335), the fit is satisfactory, and no additional soft X-ray excess is required by the data. This means that in most sources there is no need for the thermal 'big blue bumps' to extend into soft X-rays, and the soft X-ray excesses reported previously can be explained by reflection/reprocessing. Satisfactory fits are obtained for a medium ionized by a source radiating at less than or approximately 15% of the Eddington rate. The fits require that the reflection is enhanced relative to an isotropically emitting source above a flat disk. The necessary high effectiveness of reflection in the soft X-ray band requires strong soft thermal flux dominating over hard X-rays.

Czerny, Bozena↗

Local Conductance and Saturation Lengths of Atomic Wires Dipped in a Conducting Medium

We conclude that the conducting mode pi is the most likely responsible for conduction in experimental mercury-nanotube contacts. The total conductance approaches a saturation value as the dipping length is increased. There are two distinct regimes, strong and weak coupling, characterized by saturation conductances of 0 or 1G(sub o). We have calculated the partial conductance at each nanotube unit cell. The partial conductance exhibits oscillations due to reflection at the end of the tube.

OKeeffe, James↗

The X-Ray Warm Absorber in NGC 3516

The Seyfert 1 galaxy, NGC 3516 has been the subject of many absorption line studies at both ultra-violet and X-ray wavelengths. In the UV, strong, broad, variable associated metal line absorption with velocity width approximately 2000 km s(exp -1) is thought to originate in gas with N(sub H)greater than or approximately 10(exp 10)cm (exp -2) lying between 0.01 and 9 pc from the central active nucleus. The Ginga X-ray data are consistent with several possibilities: a warm absorber and a cold absorber combined either with partial covering or an unusually strong reflection spectrum. We present ROSAT observations of NGC 3516 which show a strong detection of a warm absorber dominated by a blend of 0 VII/O VIII edges at approximately 0.8 keV with N(sub H) approximately 7x10(exp 21)cm(exp -2), and U:8-12. We argue that NGC 3516 contains an outflowing 'XUV' absorber showing the presence of X-ray absorption edges which are consistent with the presence of broad absorption lines in the old IUE spectra and their disappearance in the new UV observations. Our dynamical model suggests that the O VII absorption edge will continue to weaken compared to the O VIII edge, an easily testable prediction with future missions like AXAF. Eventually the source would be transparent to the X-rays unless a new absorption system is produced.

Mathur, Smita↗

An Evolutionary System of Mineralogy. Part III: Primary Chondrule Mineralogy (4566 to 4561 Ma)

Information-rich attributes of minerals reveal their physical, chemical, and biological modes of origin in the context of planetary evolution, and thus they provide the basis for an evolutionary system of mineralogy. Part III of this system considers the formation of 43 different primary crystalline and amorphous phases in chondrules, which are diverse igneous droplets that formed in environments with high dust/gas ratios during an interval of planetesimal accretion and differentiation between 4566 and 4561 Ma. Chondrule mineralogy is complex, with several generations of initial droplet formation via various proposed heating mechanisms, followed in many instances by multiple episodes of reheating and partial melting. Primary chondrule mineralogy thus reflects a dynamic stage of mineral evolution, when the diversity and distribution of natural condensed solids expanded significantly.

Classification↗

Is There Ecological Information in Optical Polarization Data?

Optical linear polarization? In remote sensing it's due to specular reflection. The first surface that incident light encounters - a smooth water surface or the waxy first surface of a leaf's cuticle, if it's even somewhat smooth (i.e. shiny) - will specularly reflect and linearly polarize the incident light. We provide three examples of the types of ecological information contained in remotely sensed optical linear polarization measurements. Remove the surface reflection to better see the interior. The linearly polarized light reflected by leaf surfaces contains no information about cellular pigments, metabolites, or water contained in the leaf interiors of a plant canopy, because it never enters the leaf interior to interact with them. Thus, for purposes of remotely sensing the leaf interiors of a plant canopy, the linearly polarized light should be subtracted from the total reflected light, because including it would add noise to the measurement. In particular 'minus specular' vegetation indices should allow improved monitoring of a plant canopy's physiological processes. Estimate plant development stage and yield. Wheat and sorghum grain heads, following emergence, rapidly extend upward and very quickly tower over nearby leaves, partially blocking our view of the sunlight reflected by those leaf surfaces. The resulting decrease in the amount of surface reflected and polarized sunlight, if monitored over time, potentially allows per-field estimates of the dates of the heading and flowering development stages to be interleaved with weather data in models, which is key to better estimating per-field grain yield. Similar polarization changes may occur in other grasses, such as oats, barley, corn and rice, each a crop so widely grown that it potentially affects climate at the regional scale. Wetlands Mapping. The sunlight specularly reflected by surface waters is blindingly bright, spectrally flat and polarized - all of which telegraphs that the ground area is inundated. Inundated soils exchange methane with the atmosphere; non-inundated soils, carbon dioxide. Aquatic plants growing through the water surface pipe the soil-produced methane via the stomata to the atmosphere, enhancing exchanges rates by factors of 10-20 compared to ebullition (bubbling) or diffusion through the water column to the atmosphere. Thus, mapping wetland areas into three community types - inundated areas with emergent vegetation, open water and uplands - provides potentially key information to water, carbon and energy budgets at landscape to global scales.

Water↗

Marine sediment tolerances for remote sensing of atmospheric aerosols over water

In surveying the literature, it is pointed out that there is a need to quantify the turbidity below which reflectance from the water column is negligible in comparison with atmospheric effects to allow the monitoring of aerosol optical depth over water bodies. Data that partially satisfy this need are presented. Laboratory measurements of reflectance upwelled from the water column are given for mixtures with various types of sediment at wavelengths between 400 and 1600 nm. The results of the study described here are a quantitative endorsement of the recommendations of Morell and Gordon (1980).

Whitlock, C. H.↗

The albedo of snow for partially cloudy skies

The albedo of snow is defined as the ratio of reflected to incident solar energy, and it is an important parameter in the earth's radiation budget analysis and in the study of snowpack's thermal conditions. An approximate model for calculating the incident spectral flux for partially cloudy skies is presented. The input parameters for the calculation are atmospheric precipitable water, turbidity, ozone content, surface pressure, the optical thickness of clouds, and the grain size of snow crystals. The spectral snow reflectance model considers both specular surface reflection and volumetric multiple scattering. The surface reflection is calculated by using a crystal-shape-dependent bidirectional reflectance distribution function; the volumetric multiple scattering is calculated by using a crystal-size-dependent approximate solution in the radiative transfer equation. The model yields spectral and integrated solar flux and snow reflectance as a function of solar elevation and fractional cloud-cover. The illustrative insolation and albedo values were obtained from spectral reflectance and incident flux for representative parameters of Antarctic coastal regions. A simple relationship between grain size and the overcast albedo was obtained. For a set of grain size and shape, the albedo as a function of solar elevation and fractional cloud cover was tabulated.

Choudhury, B. J.↗

The LAGEOS system

The LAGEOS system is defined and its rationale is developed. Key features of the baseline system specified included a circular orbit at 5900 km altitude and an inclination of 110 deg, and a satellite 60 cm in diameter weighing some 385 kg and mounting 440 retroreflectors, each having a diameter of 3.8 cm, leaving 30% of the spherical surface available for reflecting sunlight diffusely to facilitate tracking by Baker-Nunn cameras. The satellite weight was increased to 411 kg in the actual design through the addition of a 4th-stage apogee-kick motor. The number and diameter of the retroreflectors are now 426 and 3.81 cm, respectively. The net effect of these partially compensating changes is not significant. The diffusely reflecting area was increased to 47% of the satellite surface.

Siry, J. W.↗

On an origin of numerical diffusion: Violation of invariance under space-time inversion

The invariant properties of the convection equation du/dt + adu/dx = 0 (where d is the partial differential operator) with respect to spatial reflection, time reversal, and space-time inversion are studied. Generally, a finite-difference analog of this equation may possess some or none of these properties. It is shown that, under certain conditions, the von Neumann amplification factor of an analog satisfies a special relation for each invariant property this analog possesses. Particularly, an analog is neutrally stable and thus free of numerical diffusion if it possesses the invariant property related to space-time inversion. It is also explained why generally (1) an upwind scheme possesses neither the invariant property related to spatial reflection nor that related to space-time inversion, and (2) an explicit scheme possesses neither the invariant property related to time reversal nor that related to space-time inversion. Extension to the viscous case and a remarkable connection between the current work and a new numerical framework for solving conservation laws are also discussed.

Chang, Sin-Chung↗

Assessing Dual-Polarization Radar Estimates of Extreme Rainfall During Hurricane Harvey

Hurricane Harvey hit the Texas Gulf Coast as a major hurricane on August 25, 2017 before exiting the state as a tropical storm on August 29, 2017. Left in its wake was historic flooding, with some locations measuring more than 60 inches of rain over a five-day period. The WSR-88D radar (KHGX) maintained operations for the entirety of the event. Rain gauge data from the Harris County Flood Warning System (HCFWS) was used for validation with the full radar data set to retrieve daily and event-total precipitation estimates for the period August 25-29, 2017. The KHGX precipitation estimates were then compared to the HCFWS gauges. Three different hybrid polarimetric rainfall retrievals were used, along with attenuation-based retrieval that employs the radar-observed differential propagation. An advantage of using a attenuation-based retrieval is its immunity to partial beam blockage and calibration errors in reflectivity and differential reflectivity. All of the retrievals are susceptible to changes in the observed Drop Size Distribution (DSD). No in situ DSD data were available over the study area, so changes in the DSD were interpreted by examining the observed radar data. We examined the parameter space of two key values in the attenuation retrieval to test the sensitivity of the rain retrieval. Selecting a value of α=0.015 and β=0.600 and β=0.625 provided the best overall results, relative to the gauges, but more work needs to be done to develop an automated technique to account for changes in the ambient DSD.

David B Wolff↗

Assessing Dual-Polarization Radar Estimates of Extreme Rainfall During Hurricane Harvey

Hurricane Harvey hit the Texas Gulf Coast as a major hurricane on 25 August 2017 before exiting the state as a tropical storm on 29 August 2017. Left in its wake was historic flooding, with some locations measuring more than 60 in. (150 cm) of rain over a 5-day period. The WSR-88D radar (KHGX) maintained operations for the entirety of the event. Rain gauge data from the Harris County Flood Warning System (HCFWS) was used for validation with the full radar dataset to retrieve daily and event-total precipitation estimates for the period 25–29 August2017. The KHGX precipitation estimates were then compared with the HCFWS gauges. Three different hybrid polarimetric rainfall retrievals were used, along with attenuation-based retrieval that employs the radar-observed differential propagation. An advantage of using a attenuation-based retrieval is its immunity to partial beam blockage and calibration errors in reflectivity and differential reflectivity. All of the retrievals are susceptible to changes in the observed drop size distribution (DSD). No in situ DSD data were available over the study area, so changes in the DSD were interpreted by examining the observed radar data. We examined the parameter space of two key values in the attenuation retrieval to test the sensitivity of the rain retrieval. Selecting a value ofa50.015 andb50.600 provided the best overall results, relative to the gauges, but more work needs to be done to develop an automated technique to account for changes in the ambient DSD.

David Billings Wolff↗

Specularly reflected ions, shock foot thicknesses, and shock velocity determinations in space

The magnetic foot of a quasi-perpendicular, supercritical collisionless shock is spatially coincident with and caused by gyrating ions nearly specularly reflected from the shock. The reflected ions are turned around by the upstream magnetic field and returned to the shock after completing a partial gyration. An expression is derived for the turnaround distance of specularly reflected ions for arbitrary orientations of the incident velocity vector and the upstream magnetic field. This expression is then used to derive a formula for calculating the shock speed in the spacecraft frame from a single point measurement of the time required for the magnetic foot to transit a spacecraft. The derived formulas for turnaround distance and shock speed differ from previously published equations for these parameters and in some geometries give quantitatively very different results.

Gosling, J. T.↗

Rift propagation

A model for rift propagation which treats the rift as a crack in an elastic plate which is filled from beneath by upwelling viscous asthenosphere as it lengthens and opens. Growth of the crack is driven by either remotely applied forces or the pressure of buoyant asthenosphere in the crack and is resisted by viscous stresses associated with filling the crack. The model predicts a time for a rift to form which depends primarily on the driving stress and asthenosphere viscosity. For a driving stress on the order of 10 MPa, as expected from the topography of rifted swells, the development of rifts over times of a few Myr requires an asthenosphere viscosity of 10 to the 16th Pa s (10 to the 17th poise). This viscosity, which is several orders of magnitude less than values determined by postglacial rebound and at least one order of magnitude less than that inferred for spreading center propagation, may reflect a high temperature or large amount of partial melting in the mantle beneath a rifted swell.

Parmentier, E. M.↗

Solar-Cell Cover Glass Would Reduce Reflectance Loss

Proposed faceted cover glass takes advantage of total internal reflection to increase efficiency of solar photovoltaic cell. Angled facets of cover glass refract light as it enters. Portion of light reflected at surface of solar cell undergoes total internal reflection at surface of cover glass, rather than partially escaping, and returns to surface of solar cell.

Landis, Geoffrey A.↗

Methanol ice in the protostar GL 2136

We present ground-based spectra in the 10 and 20 micron atmospheric windows of the deeply embedded protostar GL 2136. These reveal narrow absorption features at 9.7 and 8.9 microns, which we ascribe to the CO-stretch and CH3 rock (respectively) of solid methanol in grain mantles. The peak position of the 9.7 micron band implies that methanol is an important ice mantle component. However, the CH3OH/H2O abundance ratio derived from the observed column densities is only 0.1. This discrepancy suggests that the solid methanol and water ice are located in independent grain components. These independent components may reflect chemical differentiation during grain mantle formation and/or partial outgassing close to the protostar.

Skinner, C. J.↗

Detection of metal stress in boreal forest species using the 0.67-micron chlorophyll absorption band

Several recent studies have shown that a shift of the red-edge inflection near 0.70 micron in vegetation reflectance spectra is an indicator of metal stress, partially attributable to changes in chlorophyll concentration. This 'red-edge shift', however, is difficult to detect and has been reported both toward longer (red) and shorter (blue) wavelengths. Our work demonstrates that direct measurement of the depth and width of the chlorophyll absorption band at 0.67 micron using digital feature extraction and absorption band characterization procedures developed for the analysis of mineral spectra is a more consistent indicator of metal stress. Additionally, the magnitude of these parameters is generally greater than that of the red edge shift and thus should be more amenable to detection and mapping using field and aircraft spectrometers.

Singhroy, Vernon H.↗

Optical mass gauge sensor having an energy per unit area of illumination detection

An optical mass gauge sensor is disclosed comprising a vessel having an interior surface which reflects radiant energy at a wavelength at least partially absorbed by a fluid contained within the vessel, an illuminating device for introducing radiant energy at such wavelength into the vessel interior, and, a detector for measuring the energy per unit area of illumination within the vessel created by the radiant energy which is not absorbed by the fluid.

Justak, John F.↗