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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Facilitating Large‐Scale Snow Shedding from In‐Field Solar Arrays using Icephobic Surfaces with Low‐Interfacial Toughness

Abstract Large‐scale accrual of snow and ice on solar arrays in northern latitudes can cause significant power generation losses during winter. Depending on environmental conditions, snow can encompass a wide range in physical characteristics from dry snow (modulus ≈100 kPa and density ≈0.1 g cm −3 ) to bulk ice (modulus ≈8 GPa and density ≈0.9 g cm −3 ). This variation in snow morphology has made the development of a passive, broad‐spectrum, snow and ice‐shedding surface challenging. Here, the authors develop one of the first surfaces that simultaneously possesses both low‐interfacial strength ( τ˄ ice < 50 kPa) and toughness (Γ ice < 0.5 J m −2 ) with ice. These surfaces, fabricated via the addition of mobile polymer chains/oils to a thin polymeric coating, require extremely low detachment forces for ice, enabling its passive shedding at virtually any accretion length scale. Preliminary evidence that the new surfaces can shed different forms of snow and ice from field‐deployed solar arrays, over a range of subzero temperatures for several weeks, leading to significant increases in power generation is provided. The optically transparent surfaces are easily scalable and can be widely deployed by the solar industry in areas that see persistent snow. Other applications include automotive windshields, LIDAR covers for autonomous vehicles, and cold climate optical sensors.

Dhyani, Abhishek↗
DOE OSTI2022

On the origin of red spirals: does assembly bias play a role?

The formation of the red spirals is a puzzling issue in the standard picture of galaxy formation and evolution. Most studies attribute the colour of the red spirals to different environmental effects. We analyze a volume limited sample from the SDSS to study the roles of small-scale and large-scale environments on the colour of spiral galaxies. We compare the star formation rate, stellar age and stellar mass distributions of the red and blue spirals and find statistically significant differences between them at 99.9% confidence level. The red spirals inhabit significantly denser regions than the blue spirals, explaining some of the observed differences in their physical properties. However, the differences persist in all types of environments, indicating that the local density alone is not sufficient to explain the origin of the red spirals. Using an information theoretic framework, we find a small but non-zero mutual information between the colour of spiral galaxies and their large-scale environment that are statistically significant (99.9% confidence level) throughout the entire length scale probed. Such correlations between the colour and the large-scale environment of spiral galaxies may result from the assembly bias. Thus both the local environment and the assembly bias may play essential roles in forming the red spirals. The spiral galaxies may have different assembly history across all types of environments. We propose a picture where the differences in the assembly history may produce spiral galaxies with different cold gas content. Such a difference would make some spirals more susceptible to quenching. Finally, in all environments, the spirals with high cold gas content could delay the quenching and maintain a blue colour, whereas the spirals with low cold gas fractions would be easily quenched and become red.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of the iodate sorption mechanism by CoAl LDH through experiments and ab initio molecular dynamics simulations

Radioiodine released during the nuclear-fuel cycle constitutes a persistent radiological hazard. In this study, the IO 3 – uptake mechanism of CoAl LDH was resolved by combining pH-controlled sorption experiments, synchrotron XAFS, and DFT-based AIMD simulations. At pH close to 6, approximately 90% of IO 3 – was removed, and the equilibrium distribution coefficient reached about 1.7 × 10 4 mL g –1 . EXAFS analysis indicated an average iodine–oxygen bond length of 1.81 Å and a coordination number near 3, with the fit R-factor equal to 0.002. The simulations faithfully reproduced the experimental spectrum and revealed transient proton hopping events that generated metastable I–O–H species inside the interlayer, thereby confirming nitrate-to-iodate exchange as the controlling capture pathway. Atomic density profiles and radial distribution functions further showed that IO 3 – adopt an end-on orientation perpendicular to the hydroxide sheets, while water molecules mediate proton migration without disturbing the host lattice. In conclusion, the integrated experimental–computational evidence demonstrates that CoAl LDH can rapidly and selectively sequester IO 3 – under near-neutral conditions, offering atomic scale guidance for the rational engineering of layered sorbents for advanced radioactive-waste treatment.

Kang, Jaehyuk [Jeju National Univ. (Korea, Republi↗
DOE OSTI2023

How fluctuation intensity flux drives SOL expansion

Abstract Predictions of heat load widths λ q based on particle orbits alone are very pessimistic. This paper shows that pedestal peeling-ballooning (P-B) magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence broadens the stable scrape-off layer (SOL) by the transport, or spreading, of fluctuation energy from the pedestal. λ q is seen to increase with Γ ε , the fluctuation energy density flux. We elucidate the fundamental physics of the spreading process. Γ ε increases with pressure fluctuation correlation length. P-B turbulence is seen to be especially effective at spreading, on account of its large effective mixing length. Spreading is shown to be a multiscale process, which is enhanced by the synergy of large and small-scale modes. Pressure fluctuation skewness correlates well with the spreading flux–with the zero crossing of skewness and Γ ε spatially coincident–suggesting the role of coherent fluctuation structures and the presence of intermittency in λ q broadening. λ q ∼ B p − 1 scaling persists for the broadened SOL. We show that the spreading flux increases for increasing pedestal pressure gradient ∇ P 0 and for decreasing pedestal collisionality υ ped ∗ . This trend is due to the dominance of peeling modes for large ∇ P 0 and low υ ped ∗ . Ultimately, we see that a state of weak MHD turbulence, as for small ELMs, is very attractive for heat load management. Our findings have transformative implications for future fusion reactor designs and call for experimental investigations to validate the observed trends.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Emergent topological quasiparticle kinetics in constricted nanomagnets

The ubiquitous domain wall kinetics under magnetic field or current application describes the dynamic properties in nanostructured magnets. However, when the geometrical size of a nanomagnetic system is constricted to the limiting domain wall length scale, the competing energetics between anisotropy, exchange, and dipolar interactions can cause emergent kinetics due to quasiparticle relaxation, similar to bulk magnets of atomic origin. This paper presents a joint experimental and theoretical study to support this argument: constricted nanomagnets, made of antiferromagnetic and paramagnetic neodymium thin film with honeycomb motif, reveal fast kinetic events at picosecond timescales due to the relaxation of topological quasiparticles that persist to low temperature in the absence of any external stimuli. This discovery is especially important considering the fact that paramagnets or antiferromagnets have no net magnetization. Yet, the kinetics in neodymium nanostructures is quantitatively similar to that found in ferromagnetic counterparts and only varies with the thickness of the specimen. This suggests that a universal, topological quasiparticle-mediated dynamical behavior can be prevalent in nanoscopic magnets, irrespective of the nature of the underlying magnetic material.

Guo, Jiasen↗
DOE OSTI2025

AUTOIGNITION DELAY TIMES FOR REFORMATE GAS MIXTURES FROM METHANE GAS ENGINES

Methane slip is a prominent issue in natural gas reciprocating engines that are used in transportation and marine applications. The incomplete combustion that results in methane slip can be resolved with the introduction of hydrogen within the combustion mixture to improve methane oxidation and further enable combustion within the engine crevices where methane has previously remained unreacted. Steam methane reforming (SMR) is a common method used to produce hydrogen and can be used to design an onboard device to reduce methane slip from reciprocating engines. The development of this reformer device requires the validation of high-fidelity chemical kinetic models at the low temperatures of the crevice volumes of these engines. In this work, auto-ignition data is obtained using a shock tube at lean (φ—0.714 or λ—1.4) and stoichiometric (φ, λ = 1) equivalence ratios spanning a temperature range of 1042–1234 K at the 80-bar operating pressure of the test engine. Blends of methane, hydrogen, and reformate products from the SMR reaction are shock-heated in synthetic air, with the ignition delay time measured using an OH* chemiluminescence detector at 310 nm and a CH* detector at 430 nm. The experimental results are compared to several state-of-the-art chemical kinetic mechanisms from the literature. In general, most of the mechanisms show very good agreement with experiments at higher temperatures, with simulation results showing little deviation from experiments at lower temperatures. A sensitivity analysis was conducted, and the results reveal that the reaction H2 + CH3O2 = H + CH3O2H has a very significant role in determining low-temperature ignition delay times (IDTs) of SMR mixtures. These findings provide valuable insights into the chemical kinetics governing methane reformate combustion and contribute to the optimization of onboard reformer designs aimed at mitigating methane slip in natural gas-fueled engines.

Fraze, Matthew↗
DOE OSTI2025

Efforts to stabilize composite localization elements

Localization finite elements seek to provide a robust framework for modeling ductile failure. They utilize the same constitutive model as the bulk material through the introduction of a length scale in a specialized deformation gradient that regularizes displacement discontinuity. Similar to many other elements, localization elements exhibit locking and associated pressure oscillations under incompressible plastic flow, which is a critical issue when attempting to model pressure-driven damage evolution. These issues can be drastically improved through what are essentially reduced integration techniques for the Jacobian and pressure, but there seem to be pressure-related instabilities that persist and are specific to localization elements. This memo summarizes recent efforts to mitigate and understand this problem, mostly for the 12-node composite wedge localization element in particular. At this point, it remains unclear whether the pressure fields within any localization element can be sufficiently stabilized in order to properly model failures that include softening or fracture.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Landau–Zener Transition Enhanced Quantum Sensing in Spin Defects of Hexagonal Boron Nitride

Negatively charged boron vacancies (V $^{–}_{B}$ ) in hexagonal boron nitride (hBN) comprise a promising quantum sensing platform, optically addressable at room temperature and transferable onto samples. However, broad hyperfine-split spin transitions of the ensemble pose challenges for quantum sensing with conventional resonant excitation due to limited spectral coverage. While V $^{–}_{B}$ in isotopically enriched hBN using 10 B and 15 N isotopes (h 10 B 15 N) exhibits sharper spectral features, significant inhomogeneous broadening persists. We show that, implemented via frequency modulation on an FPGA, a frequency-ramped microwave pulse achieves around 4-fold greater |0⟩→|−1⟩ spin-state population transfer and thus contrast than resonant microwave excitation and thus 16-fold shorter measurement time for spin relaxation-based quantum sensing. Quantum dynamics simulations reveal that an effective two-state Landau–Zener model captures the complex relationship between population inversion and pulse length with relaxations incorporated. Our approach is robust and valuable for quantum relaxometry with spin defects in hBN, especially in noisy environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Deciphering supramolecular and polymer-like behavior in metallogels: real-time insights into temperature-modulated gelation and rapid self-assembly dynamics

Bis(pyridyl) urea-based gelators, namely L2 and its isomeric mixture ( L1 + L2 ), are known to self-assemble into 1D architectures capable of inducing supramolecular gelation. Coordination with metal ions such as Ag( I ), Cu( II ), and Fe( III ) introduces structural reinforcement, enabling the formation of distinct 3D networks governed by metal-specific coordination geometries. Here, we present a comprehensive investigation into the temperature-responsive behavior (20–60 °C) of L2 and L1 + L2 , both in the absence and presence of Ag( I ), Dy( III ), Fe( III ), Cu( II ), and Ho( III ), using real-time small-angle neutron scattering (SANS). To probe long-term structural evolution/kinetics of self-assembly, real-time small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) was employed on L2 + Ag gels, complemented by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) to evaluate thermal transitions. Our results reveal strikingly divergent gelation behaviors: L2 forms a highly rigid, covalent polymer-like network, while L1 + L2 exhibits remarkable thermal adaptability. Upon metal coordination, the assemblies exhibit pronounced crystallinity and exceptional thermal stability, as evidenced by persistent Bragg reflections and invariant d-spacings. Intriguingly, L2 : Fe (2 : 1) and L1 : L2 : Fe (0.5 : 0.5 : 1) in acetonitrile-d 3 (ACN-d 3 ) deviate from this trend, forming thermally labile amorphous gels. These systems show a complete loss of crystalline order, reduced Porod exponents—indicative of collapsed or branched fiber morphologies—and prominent melting and glass transition events in DSC. Fitting SANS and SAXS data to the correlation length model unveiled insightful nanostructural features. While most systems displayed minimal temperature-induced variation in mesh size or surface morphology, L2 : Ag in dimethyl sulfoxide-d 6 (DMSO-d 6 )/D 2 O and L2 : Fe (1 : 1) in ACN-d 3 exhibited a rare combination of thermally stable correlation lengths and increasing high- q exponents—strongly suggesting progressive fiber densification or surface smoothing within a robust gel framework. These findings highlight the tunability and structural resilience of supramolecular gels through precise control of ligand architecture, metal coordination, and temperature, offering valuable design principles for functional soft materials.

Pajoubpong, Jinnipha [Univ. of Cincinnati, OH (Uni↗
NASA NTRS1970

Spatial cyclotron damping

To examine spatial electron cyclotron damping in a uniform Vlasov plasma, it is noted that the plasma response to a steady-state transverse excitation consists of several terms (dielectric-pole, free-streaming, and branch-cut), but that the cyclotron-damped pole term is the dominant term for z l = c/w sub ce provided (w sub pe/w sub ce) squared (c/a) is much greater than 1. If the latter inequality does not hold, then the free-streaming and branch-cut terms persist well past z = c/w sub ce as w sub 1 approaches w sub ce, making experimental measurement of cyclotron damping essentially impossible. Considering only (w sub pe/w sub ce) squared (c/a) is much greater than 1, it is shown how collisional effects should be estimated and how a finite-width excitation usually has little effect on the cyclotron-damped part of the response. Criteria is established concerning collisional damping, measurable damping length sizes, and allowed uncertainty in the magnetic field Beta. Results of numerical calculations, showing the regions in the appropriate parameter spaces that meet these criteria, are presented. From these results, one can determine the feasibility of, or propose parameter values for, an experiment designed to measure spatial cyclotron damping. It is concluded that the electron temperature T sub e should be at least 1 ev., and preferably 10 ev. or higher, for a successful experiment.

Olson, C. L.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Wave and ion evolution downstream of quasi-perpendicular bow shocks

Distribution functions of ions heated in quasi-perpendicular bow shocks have a large perpendicular temperature anisotropy that provides free energy for the growth of Alfven ion cyclotron (AIC) waves and mirror waves. Both types of waves have been observed in the Earth's magnetosheath downstream of quasi-perpendicular shocks. We use a two-dimensional hybrid simulations to give a self-consistent description of the evolution of the wave spectra downstream of quasi-perpendicular shocks. Both mirror and AIC waves are identified in the simulated magnetosheath. They are generated at or near the shock front and convected away from it by the sheath plasma. Near the shock, the waves have a broad spectrum, but downstream of the shock, shorter-wavelength modes are heavily damped and only longer-wavelength modes persist. The characteristics of these surviving modes can be predicted with reasonable accuracy by linear kinetic theory appropriate for downstream conditions. We also follow the evolution of the ion distribution function. The shocked ions that provide the free energy for wave growth have a two-component distribution function. The halo is initially gyrophase-bunched and extremely anisotropic. Within a relatively short distance downstream of the shock (of the order of 10 ion inertial lengths), wave-particle interactions remove these features from the halo and reduce the anisotropy of the distribution to near-threshold levels for the mirror and AIC instabilities. A similar evolution has been observed for ions at the Earth's bow shock.

Mckean, M. E.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Interpretation of Variations in Modis-Measured Greenness Levels of Amazon Forests During 2000 to 2009

This work investigates variations in satellite-measured greenness of Amazon forests using ten years of NASA Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) enhanced vegetation index (EVI) data. Corruption of optical remote sensing data with clouds and aerosols is prevalent in this region; filtering corrupted data causes spatial sampling constraints, as well as reducing the record length, which introduces large biases in estimates of greenness anomalies. The EVI data, analyzed in multiple ways and taking into account EVI accuracy, consistently show a pattern of negligible changes in the greenness levels of forests both in the area affected by drought in 2005 and outside it. Small random patches of anomalous greening and browning-especially prominent in 2009-appear in all ten years, irrespective of contemporaneous variations in precipitation, but with no persistence over time. The fact that over 90% of the EVI anomalies are insignificantly small-within the envelope of error (95% confidence interval) in EVI-warrants cautious interpretation of these results: there were no changes in the greenness of these forests, or if there were changes, the EVI data failed to capture these either because the constituent reflectances were saturated or the moderate resolution precluded viewing small-scale variations. This suggests a need for more accurate and spatially resolved synoptic views from satellite data and corroborating comprehensive ground sampling to understand the greenness dynamics of these forests.

MODIS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Persistent Friedel oscillations in graphene due to a weak magnetic field

Two opposite chiralities of Dirac electrons in a two-dimensional (2D) graphene sheet modify the Friedel oscillations strongly: electrostatic potential around an impurity in graphene decays much faster than in 2D electron gas. At distances $\textit{r}$ much larger than the de Broglie wavelength, it decays as 1/$r^3$. Here we show that a weak uniform magnetic field affects the Friedel oscillations in an anomalous way. It creates a field-dependent contribution which is dominant in a parametrically large spatial interval $p^{–1}_0 ≲ r ≲ k_Fl^2$, where $\textit{l}$ is the magnetic length, $k_F$ is Fermi momentum, and $p^{–1}_0 = (k_Fl)^{4/3} /k_F$. Moreover, in this interval, the field-dependent oscillations do not decay with distance. The effect originates from a spin-dependent magnetic phase accumulated by the electron propagator. Further, the obtained phase may give rise to novel interaction effects in transport and thermodynamic characteristics of graphene and graphene-based heterostructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Carbon budget of the Harvard Forest Long-Term Ecological Research site: pattern, process, and response to global change

How, where, and why carbon (C) moves into and out of an ecosystem through time are long-standing questions in biogeochemistry. Here, we bring together hundreds of thousands of C-cycle observations at the Harvard Forest in central Massachusetts, USA, a mid-latitude landscape dominated by 80–120-yr-old closed-canopy forests. These data answered four questions: (1) where and how much C is presently stored in dominant forest types; (2) what are current rates of C accrual and loss; (3) what biotic and abiotic factors contribute to variability in these rates; and (4) how has climate change affected the forest’s C cycle? Harvard Forest is an active C sink resulting from forest regrowth following land abandonment. Soil and tree biomass comprise nearly equal portions of existing C stocks. Net primary production (NPP) averaged 680–750 g C·m –2 ·yr –1 ; belowground NPP contributed 38–47% of the total, but with large uncertainty. Mineral soil C measured in the same inventory plots in 1992 and 2013 was too heterogeneous to detect change in soil-C pools; however, radiocarbon data suggest a small but persistent sink of 10–30 g C·m –2 ·yr –1 . Net ecosystem production (NEP) in hardwood stands averaged ~300 g C·m –2 ·yr –1 . NEP in hemlock-dominated forests averaged ~450 g C·m –2 ·yr –1 until infestation by the hemlock woolly adelgid turned these stands into a net C source. Since 2000, NPP has increased by 26%. For the period 1992–2015, NEP increased 93%. The increase in mean annual temperature and growing season length alone accounted for ~30% of the increase in productivity. Interannual variations in GPP and NEP were also correlated with increases in red oak biomass, forest leaf area, and canopy-scale light-use efficiency. Compared to long-term global change experiments at the Harvard Forest, the C sink in regrowing biomass equaled or exceeded C cycle modifications imposed by soil warming, N saturation, and hemlock removal. Furthermore, the results of this synthesis and comparison to simulation models suggest that forests across the region are likely to accrue C for decades to come but may be disrupted if the frequency or severity of biotic and abiotic disturbances increases.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1997

Climate Variability in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas

Satellite data reveal a 20% decline in sea ice extent in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas in the two decades following 1973. This change is negatively correlated with surface air temperatures on the west side of the Antarctic Peninsula, which have increased -0.5 C / decade- since the mid-1940s, The recession was strongest during summer, when monthly average minima in 1991-92 removed much of the incipient multiyear ice over the continental shelf. This would have lowered the regional-mean ice thickness, impacting snow ice formation, brine production, and vertical heat flux. The northern ice edge contracted by 1 deg of latitude in all seasons from 1973-79 to 1987-93, returning toward mean conditions in 1993-95. The decline included multiyear cycles of several years in length, superimposed on high interannual variability. A review of atmospheric forcing shows winds consistent with mean and extreme ice extents, and suggests links to larger-scale circulation changes in the South Pacific. Historical ocean measurements are sparse in this sector, but mixed-layer depths and upper pycnoclines beneath the sea ice resemble those in the Weddell Sea. Weaker surface currents or changes in the upwelling of Circumpolar Deep Water on the continental shelf could have contributed to the anomaly persistence.

Jacobs, Stanley S.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Structural uniformity and compositional homogeneity of solid-phase alloyed rod

Solid-phase processes have emerged as an alternative to fusion-based alloying to avoid coarse microstructures, undesirable phase formation, and high energy consumption. However, achieving uniform distribution of alloying elements during friction-based processing remains challenging due to highly heterogeneous thermomechanical conditions. This work evaluates the structural uniformity and compositional homogeneity of Al–Cu–Zn alloyed rods produced by friction extrusion (FE) and establishes the role of the rotational speed to feed rate ratio (N/V) on alloying effectiveness. A systematic matrix of FE experiments was conducted at constant extrusion ratio with N/V values ranging from 3.7 to 300. Compositional uniformity was assessed along the rod length (ICP-OES), in three dimensions (X-ray computed tomography), and at the microscale (SEM–EDS), supported by a gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM)–based homogeneity metric. Smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) simulations were used to reveal material flow and thermomechanical fields. Results show that N/V = 100 produces a high-shear mixing zone that eliminates the unmixed core and enables near-full dissolution and dispersion of Cu and Zn. At lower N/V, a laminar flow region persists at the rod center, causing segregation and large composition gradients. The combined experimental–computational analysis provides mechanistic insight into the transition from fragmented particle dispersion to thermomechanically assisted metallurgical mixing. This study establishes processing–structure relationships for solid-phase alloying and provides guidance for achieving homogenized compositions comparable to wrought alloys via rapid, scalable FE processing.

Aluminum↗
NASA NTRS1990

A 190 second periodicity in the optical emission of the enigmatic X-ray source GX 339-4

The results are reported of submillisecond white-light optical photometry of the X-ray source GX 339-4 obtained over the years 1985-1988 at the Las Campanas Observatory and Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory. A coherent, df/f less than 0.025, 5.25 mHz feature with pulsed amplitude up to 50 percent is found which persisted for about 20-30 cycles. The feature only appeared in data taken in July 5, 1986 UT. The 885 Hz feature proposed by Imamura et al. (1990) was not detected at 90-percent-confidence upper limits of 2 percent pulsed emission. The 885 Hz feature was reported by Imamura et al. to have a pulsed amplitude of 2.3-2.4 percent. The proposed 0.2 mag, 0.618 day orbital variation proposed by Honey et al. (1988) could not be verified due to the length of the data strings.

Steiman-Cameron, T.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine Learning for Daily Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice Motion: An Attribution Assessment of Model Predictive Skill

Physics-based simulations of Arctic sea ice are highly complex, involving transport between different phases, length scales, and time scales. Resultantly, numerical simulations of sea ice dynamics have a high computational cost and model uncertainty. We employ data-driven machine learning (ML) to make predictions of sea ice motion. The ML models are built to predict present-day sea ice velocity given present-day wind velocity and previous-day sea ice concentration and velocity. Models are trained using reanalysis winds and satellite-derived sea ice properties. We compare the predictions of three different models: persistence (PS), linear regression (LR), and a convolutional neural network (CNN). We quantify the spatiotemporal variability of the correlation between observations and the statistical model predictions. Additionally, we analyze model performance in comparison to variability in properties related to ice motion (wind velocity, ice velocity, ice concentration, distance from coast, bathymetric depth) to understand the processes related to decreases in model performance. Results indicate that a CNN makes skillful predictions of daily sea ice velocity with a correlation up to 0.81 between predicted and observed sea ice velocity, while the LR and PS implementations exhibit correlations of 0.78 and 0.69, respectively. The correlation varies spatially and seasonally: lower values occur in shallow coastal regions and during times of minimum sea ice extent. LR parameter analysis indicates that wind velocity plays the largest role in predicting sea ice velocity on 1-day time scales, particularly in the central Arctic. Regions where wind velocity has the largest LR parameter are regions where the CNN has higher predictive skill than the LR.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗