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DOE OSTI2024

High-Fidelity Modeling of a Type-5 Wind Turbine Gearbox (Intern Technical Presentation) (Poster)

Type-5 wind turbines are unique in their use of a permanent magnet synchronous generator, as well as their use of a hydraulic torque converter. This architecture presents an opportunity to provide steady and grid-ready energy without the need for a power converter. With infrastructure continuity and reliability being an important topic amongst renewable energies, researchers have been prompted to further investigate the benefits of type-5 turbines’ unique electromechanical configuration on stable electricity generation. Researchers involved in the WindSG project, SG standing for synchronous generator, are aiming to model a type-5 turbine using Real Time Digital Simulation (RTDS) to evaluate its efficacy in the grid. RSCAD, the software run on the RTDS, comes pre-loaded with electrical and electromechanical components to help simulate electrical generation and grid conditions. However, within this repertoire there is a lack of a component to represent a gearbox with high-fidelity. Within RSCAD’s case studies, the gearbox is often represented simply by a gear ratio value. This presented the task of developing a high-fidelity gearbox model in RSCAD for use in the larger RTDS type-5 wind turbine model. This presentation describes a method of developing a lumped parameter mathematical model to represent a planetary-parallel-parallel gearbox in RSCAD for use in RTDS.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Iron-Chromium-Aluminum Accident Tolerant Fuel Concept Source Term Accident Sequence Analysis - High Burnup Fuel Source Term Accident Sequence Analysis Supplement

To extend NUREG-1465 and high burnup fuel source term (SAND2023-01313) recommendations, representative radiological releases to containment – patterned after NUREG-1465 – have been evaluated for LWRs utilizing iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloys in place of zirconium-based alloys in major core structures (cladding and fuel canisters) and high burnup fuel with enrichments of 8% and 10% for PWRs and BWRs, respectively. Representative radionuclide releases are generated for this accident tolerant fuel concept by applying non-parametric bootstrap methods to MELCOR simulation results. Accident scenarios considered in this analysis include principle contributors to historical core damage frequency estimates for a range of nuclear reactor technologies representative of the operating U.S.A. fleet of nuclear reactors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Cr-coated Accident Tolerant Fuel Concept Source Term Accident Sequence Analysis - High Burnup Fuel Source Term Accident Sequence Analysis Supplement

To extend NUREG-1465 and high burnup fuel source term (SAND2023-01313) recommendations, representative radiological releases to containment – patterned after NUREG-1465 – have been evaluated for LWRs utilizing the chromium-coating on major zircaloy structures (cladding and fuel canisters) and high burnup fuel with enrichments of 8% and 10% for PWRs and BWRs, respectively. Representative radionuclide releases are generated for this accident tolerant fuel concept by applying non-parametric bootstrap methods to MELCOR simulation results. Accident scenarios considered in this analysis include principle contributors to historical core damage frequency estimates for a range of nuclear reactor technologies representative of the operating U.S.A. fleet of nuclear reactors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Simulant Development of Potential 200 West Area Waste Feeds

Preliminary planning for retrieval, qualification, and pretreatment of waste in Hanford’s 200 West Area (200W) has begun as part of the West Area Risk Management project. Experimental studies to technically mature pretreatment process operations will likely be needed because of the uniqueness of 200W waste. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory formulated five simulants to represent 200W-qualified feed based on the preliminary flowsheet provided by Washington River Protection Solutions, LLC. The simulant recipes were devised using applicable historical information as a reference point to support the use of the flowsheet waste vectors, which were combined into five distinct groups. These five groups formed the basis for the liquid composition targets that were adapted into recipes using charged-balanced salt species. The liquid phase recipes were batched in 1-L quantities and analyzed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Once confirmed to be stable, the liquid solutions were tested for compatibility with candidate solid components. Specific solid components were recommended based on cross-examining the proposed solid phases in the flowsheet with relevant data from the literature. Mixtures of solid components were added to aliquots of the liquid batches and sub-sampled to measure particle size distribution. The measured distribution was compared to independently created benchmark distributions appropriate for each simulant. This process was iterated until a solid phase composition that resulted in a representative particle size distribution was found. After the final compositions were confirmed, a suite of chemical and physical characterization data was collected. This report describes the simulant basis, formulation methodology, laboratory measurements, and data collected for the recipes recommended to represent 200W waste feeds.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Application of Modified Meshgraphnets for Subsurface Prediction during CO2 Sequestration

In the face of the increasingly dire consequences of anthropogenic climate change, capturing and storing carbon dioxide is paramount. However, several impediments exist to the safe and effective subsurface storage of CO2, such as cost of transport, identification of suitable sites for subsurface storage, and assessment of long-term risk from storage in subsurface aquifers. Accurate subsurface modeling is necessary to ensure that CO2 storage is both safe and effective. Still, such modeling has traditionally required either substantial time and computational power (numerical simulation) or a substantial amount of pre-existing data for training (machine learning models). Additionally, these models lack flexibility in dealing with both changes in discretization of the input data and generalizability beyond the data on which they are trained. In order to address these issues, this research applies graph neural networks (GNNs) to predict subsurface saturation and pressure during CO₂ injection in a model of the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP). GNNs provide a flexible, intuitive method for representing and manipulating complex unstructured data, which is often found in many practical domain problems such as fluid flow and subsurface characterization. These unstructured grids are easily represented in GNNs by representing spatially-localized features such as permeability, porosity, saturation, and pressure as nodes in a graph and relationships between these properties as edges connecting these nodes. This research applies a specific GNN model called MeshGraphNets (MGN) to model the change in CO2 saturation and pressure over a 50-month time period (36 months of injection, 14 months post-injection). The MGN model leverages a message passing process that allows the network to learn both the spatial and temporal dynamics of this system simultaneously. Additionally, training on a limited dataset (64 realizations, 20 time points each) resulted in a high degree of accuracy in saturation prediction both within the same timeframe as the training (20 months, 0.039 average RMSE) and when projecting out to the end of injection (36 months, 0.053 average RMSE). Temporal predictions such as those generated by MGNs and other similar models are prone to accumulated error over time; in order to address this, a multi-step rollout (MSR) training process was applied to calculate training loss. This method mimics the forward prediction during inference by “rolling out” multiple time points in a single training step using the previous prediction as input to the MGN model. By calculating the loss several time steps forward from the current prediction, the model is forced to find a more stable state over time. Application of MSR to the MGN model resulted in an average 15% reduction in inference error over time during forward prediction. This study showcases the immense potential of GNNs as a game-changing methodology for predicting pressure and saturation evolution in CCS projects, ultimately paving the way for more sustainable and effective carbon storage solutions. Presentation prepared for the 2024 AiChE Annual Meeting, October 27 to November 1 2024, San Diego, CA.

Holcomb, Paul↗

DOE OSTI2024

Geometric Measures of Trustworthiness for Machine Learning Predictions

his report details the findings from the research and investigation of Geometric Measures of Trustworthiness for Machine Learning Predictions. We explored the trustworthiness of machine learning (ML) models’ predictions using geometric measures to quantify the similarity of a query point with the training data. Predictive uncertainty in ML can originate from at least three sources: (1) Model uncertainty, which represents the uncertainty in model form (e.g. decision tree, vs neural network) and estimating the model parameters from the training data, (2) Data uncertainty, which represents the natural complexities of the data such as class overlap and inherent noise, and (3) Distributional uncertainty, which represents the mismatch between the training and operational distributions. The proposed measures focus on measuring and explaining the data and distributional uncertainties by measuring the relationships of operational data with the training data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

ComStock Measure Documentation: Ideal Thermal Air Loads

This study provides hypothetical thermal heating and cooling loads for ComStock models representing the U.S. commercial building stock. This measure scenario removes all HVAC models from the baseline ComStock building model and instead uses "ideal air" to meet loads. "Ideal air" can be thought of as an HVAC unit that mixes air at the zone exhaust condition with the specified amount of outdoor air, and then adds or removes heat and moisture at 100% efficiency to produce a supply air stream at the specified conditions. The resulting ideal thermal loads are represented under the "district" fuel type for both heating and cooling and can be found in both annual and timeseries results in the ComStock public dataset. This measure scenario does not represent any real technology or improvement, but rather, serves as a resource for thermal heating and cooling loads for buildings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Support for U.S. Participants at the 18 th International Congress on Catalysis

The 18 th International Congress on Catalysis (ICC) was held Lyon, France on July 14-19, 2024. It provided a premier technical gathering in surface and organometallic catalysis, industrial homogeneous and heterogeneous catalysis, electrocatalysis, photocatalysis, and catalysis in condensed media. This meeting brough together participants from academia, industry, and national laboratories. The organization that overseed this meeting was the Council of the International Congress on Catalysis. This international committee has over 27 signature countries. The United States is represented in the Council of the International Congress on Catalysis through two permanent representatives. These representatives are elected by the Board of Directors of the North American Catalysis Society (NACS), an organization which coordinates and overseas the activities of 12 largely autonomous clubs within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The critical importance of catalysis is reflected by the fact that 25-30% of all manufactured goods in the United States involve at least one catalytic step. Because advances in a large number of catalytic processes, which are crucial to U.S. interests, were presented at this meeting, it was important to ensure participation from both the U.S. academic and the industrial sectors.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2025

Initial Mobility Analysis for ORNL VA-EDH Synthetic Populations

Travel burdens are a major barrier to healthcare access among US Veteran patient populations, particularly those residing in rural areas. Spatial accessibility to points of care for US Veteran populations is commonly assessed in two ways. The first approach uses open data from the US Census to represent collective travel burdens, for example the distance between population-weighted census tract centroids and VHA points of care. The second approach uses restricted-access VHA patient data to measure travel costs (e.g., distance, time) for accessing points of care with respect to geolocated patient addresses and real or approximated transportation networks. While the advantage of the open data approach lies in its reproducibility, it has notable limitations in its tendency to infer individual travel behavior from aggregate population characteristics, a problem known as ecological fallacy. Conversely, while the patient data approach is able to account for individual travel behavior, its ability to account for localized access disparities (e.g., a neighborhood with exceptionally high transportation costs) and patient demographics is limited as protecting individual patient data requires their storage in closed systems with limited capacity for adequately modeling real-world travel patterns or for supplementing patient attributes. Additionally, the patient data approach cannot account for veterans who are not enrolled in the VHA system but who may be eligible for care. These challenges limit the ability to perform “what if” analyses on the effects of place-specific interventions on veteran populations with high access barriers to healthcare. To address these challenges, we explore the application of realistic synthetic populations to examine travel burdens and spatial accessibility issues among veteran patient populations. Synthetic populations provide a virtual, individually-resolved and cross-sectional representation of the veteran patient population that enables investigation of spatial access to points of care in ways in which aggregate data and patient data do not. First, synthetic populations allow one to directly assess how individuals access points of care, from synthesized residential locations to outpatient facilities on real-world transportation networks. Modeling access to points of care at the individual scale addresses the ecological fallacy problem associated with using aggregated census data to represent veteran populations and patterns of movement. Second, synthetic populations provide a means of completely representing an area’s veteran population using only publicly available, anonymized census microdata from the American Community Survey (ACS) to ensure the privacy of real-world individuals. Generating synthetic populations from the ACS also expands descriptive characteristics beyond what patient data typically offers to include socio-demographic, economic, housing, and mobility attributes. More detailed profiles of both VHA patient populations and veterans not enrolled in the VA system will provide a comprehensive picture of groups that may benefit from interventions or outreach. As an initial exercise for using synthetic populations to measure veteran travel burdens to VA care, we apply Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL) UrbanPop capability to generate a series of synthetic VHA patient populations for 9 Veterans Integrated Services Networks (VISN) market areas in 9 Census Divisions across the continental United States, which are listed in Table 1. We use UrbanPop to produce synthetic populations for the VISN markets selected for each US Census Division, then assign VA outpatient clinic destinations to synthetic VHA patients based on travel about each VISN market’s road network. To demonstrate using the synthetic populations to evaluate healthcare travel burdens, we compare the time-based impedance between simulated home locations and VA outpatient clinics in each VISN market. We then perform validation exercises on the synthetic populations with respect to neighborhood (block group) demographic composition as well as patient mobility, comparing aggregate origin-destination statistics for the synthetic population to outpatient visits available in restricted patient data from the VA’s Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW) database.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Alaska's Rural Building Stock: a Validation Study Using ResStock and Field Data

The availability of accurate national data on demographics, building stock, and energy use is vital for modeling residential buildings and evaluating decarbonization strategies. However, rural and Indigenous populations, including those in rural Alaska, are typically underrepresented in these datasets. These communities face unique challenges due to their remote locations, severe weather conditions, and limited access to resources, resulting in high energy burden. This report examines how rural Alaskan communities are underrepresented in the ResStock housing model and highlights the need for improved data to address their unique housing and energy challenges. Thus, this report examines the representation of rural Alaskan communities within the national housing stock model, ResStock. A validation study was conducted, considering ResStock, Field Data and Aerial and 3D-view data collection (A3DDC) datasets. The validation process started by using the down selecting approach on the ResStock building stock dataset. For the purpose of this study, only the rural Alaska Boroughs and Census areas located in ASHRAE IECC Climate Zone 8 were considered to ensure a more accurate and fair comparison with the field data, which was collected in rural areas located in climate zone 8, specifically within the Nome Census area. While ResStock may accurately represent several characteristics of the building stock for rural Alaska, some differences between modeled, field data, and aerial and 3D-view data collection datasets were identified. The following building characteristics have a high impact on modeled energy consumption and demonstrated large differences: Revisit heating setpoints and consider a substantially higher setpoint distribution, it could potentially address "missing loads" if this is the case. Develop and include Toyo heating in future modeling for ResStock and EnergyPlus. Remove natural gas as a water heater fuel type outside of North Slope County. Foundation type updated to have more crawlspaces rather than basements. Infiltration rates need reexamination for a larger distribution toward higher infiltration rates. Include more vinyl and less brick in exterior wall type and revise wall color for greater proportion of light rather than dark color. Roof material revised from majority shingles to majority metal. Update number of occupants to higher number of occupant count. Building orientation represents a higher proportion of south facing buildings rather than relatively equal. The findings suggest that updating ResStock's probability logic could better represent rural Alaskan buildings. ResStock can be utilized to identify the best upgrades or energy efficiency and energy efficiency improvements, helping community leaders in making more informed decisions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Root genetics in the field to understand drought adaptation and carbon sequestration (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

For all crop plants, roots play a critical role in growth. Roots anchor the plants, and are the primary site of nutrient and water uptake. Roots are also the main source of C to soil in the form of root tissues and exudates, and thus greatly influence SOM stocks. To perform these functions, primary roots extend into soil, producing a network of branching roots of characteristic form, known as its root system architecture (RSA). RSA varies among species, and among varieties within a species that are adapted to different environments. Root traits are major targets for the second green revolution because of their potential to improve crop productivity, increase drought tolerance and nutrient acquisition, and increase C capture of soil. Improving the quality of roots in maize will be particularly valuable, since this crop is planted on over 92 million acres annually in the US. The future sustainability of agricultural systems relies on their ability to enhance soil organic matter (SOM) storage and reduce GHG emissions, while maintaining or enhancing productivity. This program had two components, Sensors and Models. For the first component, we designed and built a high-throughput phenotyping platform for root pulling of maize plants. This eliminated the physical labor of manually pulling up plants and reduced the number of personnel required down to one. The standardized pulling mechanism allowed recording force curves during the pulling process, providing additional information. We validated that the maximum force for pulling the root system was well-correlated with the root system mass and provided root crowns for further RSA analysis. These root crowns identified significant correlations with 2D root area and root depth, along with 3D root volume, total root length and number of root tips. We then used this system for field-based studies in maize on the genetics of root system architecture and its relation to nitrogen-use efficiency (NUE), including using lines relevant to the Corteva breeding program. Varieties were also evaluated at Corteva sites in the cornbelt and Danforth farm in Missouri, to establish responses across sites. From these studies we have identified genetic loci associated with root traits and created mutant lines for these loci and correlations of root traits with NUE. For the Models component, we worked to incorporate root and soil characteristics into the MEMS 2.0 soil and ecosystem biogeochemical model. Existing soil C models, such as Century, are unable to represent specific root trait interactions with the soil environment and therefore to accurately forecast the potential C sequestration benefits of root breeding under different climatic and soil type conditions. We have developed the MEMS 2.0 ecosystem biogeochemical model to improve quantification of farm-scale soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions. The new knowledge and large datasets produced by this project will be used to develop and drive an innovative model capable of forecasting the impacts on soil C stocks and nutrient dynamics. An innovation was to use the empirical data from the field studies (in 1, above) to model genetic variation in nitrogen use efficiencies and soil C input. Our work demonstrated that maize root-derived C rapidly replaces existing soil C and after 3 years of continuous maize, up to 20% of soil organic C in the topsoil (0-15cm) and 3% in the subsoil (15-30cm) was contributed by maize. However, this contribution did not entirely represent a net increase. Root C contribution to soil was affected by maize genetics. We have analyzed soils derived from the CSU field trials for C and N stocks, in the different soil physical fractions represented by the MEMS model, using both physical fractionation with elemental analyses, and Fourier transformed infrared spectroscopy. Data will be used to link crop nitrogen use efficiencies with soil C sequestration and provide data to bridge the field trials with the model development, for verification of model predictions. The project had a number of successful outcomes: we have used the new phenotyping platform to identify new genetic loci that can enhance root phenotypes; we have partnered with multiple maize seed companies phenotype varieties in their breeding programs; we have developed the MEMS model that can help inform industry on the potential for carbon sequestration in the agricultural sector, and which is now available at the CSU Soil Carbon Solutions Center for use.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Effects of Internal and External Heat Sources on Cladding Microstructure and Rupture Performance

In the event of a Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA), the primary supply of cooling water for a nuclear reactor is lost, leading to a significant pressure differential across the cladding wall. Without adequate cooling, the fuel rods continue to heat as a result of fission reactions. Research at Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL’s) Severe Accident Test Station (SATS) is currently focused on evaluating fuel cladding performance using an external infrared lamp as a heat source, whereas legacy testing primarily utilized an internal heating approach. While external heating may better simulate the effect of neighboring fuel rods heating a central rod, it may not accurately represent the internal heat absorption from the fuel during accident transients. The heating dynamics depend greatly on the fuel rod's position within the bundle and the reactor. To fully understand the implications of a LOCA event and assess the influence of internal heating on cladding performance, combined internal heating and pressurization capability was developed at ORNL. Tests were conducted to compare cladding segments heated internally (representing heat from the fuel within the rod) and externally (representing heat from adjacent fuel rods). The findings indicate that both internal and external heating result in comparable rupture temperatures during 5°C/s laboratory LOCA tests and also agree with legacy test data. Axial temperature gradients and internal heat source dispersal were found to significantly impact cladding deformation and rupture geometry. Clear modifications were outlined to further improve the capability with heating rates above 5°C/s.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Progress towards a fully 3D, thermodynamically-consistent, constitutive model for volume changes during crystallization and melting of semicrystalline polymers

A thermodynamically-consistent constitutive model for semicrystalline polymers has been developed that is capable of representing volume strains from crystallization and melting. The new model is targeted at representing the thermal strain behavior of polymeric photo-voltaic module polymer encapsulation which may undergo crystallization and melting in their service environments. In the model, a homogenized material point is represented by a Gibbs free energy incorporating contributions from the crystalline phase, the amorphous phase, and mixing terms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Effects of Internal and External Heat Sources on Cladding Microstructure and Rupture Performance

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Transactive Energy Network Template Metamodel

While transactive energy, which is defined as an allocation of electricity based on dynamically discovered values or prices, has been extensively studied, its uptake and use has been slow. This report describes a tool, the transactive network template, which should hasten the creation and uptake of transactive energy networks. Some basic principles of transactive energy are familiar from existing wholesale electricity markets. Locational prices are calculated today for zones within bulk electric transmission systems. Locational prices differ while accounting for the locational costs of electricity generation and the losses and constraints incurred when electricity is transmitted from generators and distributed to consumers. A transactive energy network might include these transmission zones. However, current research strives to apply transactive energy also in electricity distribution circuits, buildings, and even for individual generating and consuming devices. At the same time, researchers explore how to apply transactive energy in real time during increasingly shorter time intervals. Automated computational agents become necessary as transactive energy becomes applied to smaller circuit zones and at faster dynamic timescales. A transactive energy network is an example of a multi-agent system. Each zone in the network is represented by its transactive agent, which makes decisions for and acts on behalf of a business entity that is responsible for and manages one of the circuit regions. A transactive energy network is also an example of a decentralized, distributed control system. Control decisions and responsibilities are distributed among the network’s transactive agents. The transactive agents are independent; that is, there typically is no centralized authority or oversight function. Instead, transactive agents exchange transactive signals and thereby negotiate the prices and quantities of electricity that they will exchange. Initially, the circuit regions and responsibilities of transactive agents appear to be very dissimilar. Each circuit region may comprise transmission, distribution, or building-level circuits. Each has a unique position and electrical connectivity within the transactive energy network. Each possesses unique assets that either generate or consume electricity, and these (e.g., renewable energy generator, diesel generator, aggregate utility load, building load, space conditioning, refrigerator, etc.) may further differ in their price flexibility and in their strategies for responding to dynamic electricity prices. Given such diversity, an implementer’s first inclination might be to start from scratch to define all these devices and to engineer their seemingly unique interactions. Given that each implementer’s perspective may be narrow within a transactive energy network, it is unlikely that uniquely engineered systems would interact well. This is where the transactive network template is applicable. The transactive network template is a metamodel that has been developed to guide implementers as they configure their own transactive agent within a network of such agents. The object-oriented design of the transactive network template provides basic code object types that may be used and extended by implementers to represent each of the assets in their circuit region. These objects further facilitate the transactive agent’s necessary computations, which are divided among responsibilities to schedule power usage, balance electric supply and demand, and coordinate the exchange of electricity with the other transactive agents. This report addresses the conceptual transactive network template design. Implementers are directed to more formal design documents and reference implementations. A Python™-based1 reference implementation of the transactive network template has been coded, and three implementations have been configured to represent a national laboratory and two university campuses. Version 2 of the transactive node template generalizes the market class and its methods to facilitate multiple, and more diverse market coordination mechanisms than were facilitated by and demonstrated using Version 1. Version 3 includes new Appendix B, which addresses the designs of methods that would make dynamic prices track approved electricity rates. In the future, the author wishes to make the transactive network template more generally applicable to networks that require more accurate power flow. Development of the transactive network template is jointly funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy and the DOE Office of Electricity. In late 2015, one of the first projects to be funded by the DOE Grid Laboratory Modernization Laboratory Consortium was the Clean Energy and Transactive Campus project, led by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. DOE funds were matched by an investment by the Washington Department of Commerce through its Clean Energy Fund. The transactive network template was developed to guide the implementation of transactive energy networks within this project’s scope.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Correct Interpretations of ENDF-102 Definitions for Resonance Effects

My Uncle Willie circa 1600 wrote “What’s in a name; a rose by any other name would smell as sweet.” I fear in this case we have a somewhat similar problem in that we may be using the same word but are not using the same definition; specifically, the word Unresolved. The simplest physics definition as it applies to neutron resonances, is the energy point where we can no longer see/measure ALL – let me repeat that – ALL - of the individual resonances. That seems simple and clear, but the question is: how to represent resonances beyond this point in order to accurately reproduce the effects we have seen in measurements and expect/need to reproduce in our applications. We know there are more, unseen resonances, otherwise we wouldn’t say Unresolved. The ENDF approach is well defined in ENDF-102 and simple: for ENDF data the only way to represent Unresolved data is by using a theoretical model to define the distribution of resonances, including those that are too narrow to measure (i.e., are unresolved). It is important to note that in ENDF this is the one and only Unresolved model, e.g., there is no provision in ENDF to accurately define individually ALL resonances above the Resolved energy range – by ALL here I mean both those that we can measure and those that we cannot individually measure, but that theory and integral measurements tells us are present. An alternative approach, which would appear to be equally valid, would be to include the latest measured data as tabulated energy expendent data extending upwards in energy above the Resolved energy range. In this approach the evaluation would not include an ENDF style Unresolved energy range; it would only include a Resolved resonance region, followed by tabulated higher energy points, representing the resonances that could be measured beyond the Resolved range. But an important point to note: By listing these resonances above the resolved energy one admits that at least some resonances in this energy range are missing as Unresolved; i.e., they are too narrow or overlapping to measure. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate that the later approach, while done with good intentions, and appearing to be valid/adequate in plots, does not meet the need of our engineering applications. Why? As we will see below, of these two possible approaches, only the ENDF use of a model to statistically include the missing, i.e., unresolved, resonances, can meet our engineering needs to reproduce the integral effects we have measured and understand. Only with this statistical model can we predict and include in our calculated results the important effects of temperature (Doppler broadening), and energy integrals (self-shielding). Below I will first present results using two ENDF/B-VIII.1 evaluations, U235 and U238, that use the correct ENDF-102 definition of an Unresolved resonance region, using a statistical model to include the effects of resonances that theory predicts are present, but are too narrow to measure. These two evaluations reproduce the expected temperature (Doppler) and energy integral (self-shielding) effects that we expect. Next I will present results using one ENDF/B-VIII.1 evaluation, 26-Fe-56, that does not use an ENDF-102 Unresolved resonance region; instead above its Resolved energy range it lists many tabulated energy points, that look like measured data, but by definition, since they are included above the ENDF Resolved energy range there are missing Unresolved resonances, i.e., there are missing the resonances that are too narrow to resolve, i.e., are unresolved. My conclusion, and I hope yours, is that the below figures illustrate that this approach does not reproduce the temperature and energy integrals that we expect and need to accurately calculate results for our fission reactor calculations. As such this approach should not be used in ENDF formatted evaluations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Life Cycle Inventories and Data Gap Analysis for Rare Earth Elements: Neodymium and Dysprosium from Mining to Magnets

The United States demand for Neodymium-Iron-Boron (NdFeB) magnets, produced from rare earth elements (REEs) such as (Nd) and Dysprosium (Dy), far exceeds its nascent domestic production capacity, rendering it reliant on vulnerable global supply chains dominated by China. To guide research and development investments in securing U.S. REE supply, defensible benchmark metrics across environmental, economic, and social dimensions are needed. In this study, we built globally-representative, process-based cradle-to-cradle life cycle inventories for Nd and Dy in NdFeB magnets lifecycles, encompassing primary material acquisition, beneficiation, smelting and refining, metal processing, specialty alloy and chemical transformation, subcomponent manufacturing, consumer application (use phase) and end-of-life management. We carried out detailed literature review, and applied process engineering principles to build industry-representative upscaled life cycle inventories for both metals. We used these models to conduct bottom-up literature review and gap analysis on existing literature, compilation of data sources for each life cycle stage (and transformations where necessary), and a preliminary technoeconomic analysis (TEA)/life cycle costing analysis (LCCA). Findings from this work emphasize the need for metal specific, representative REE LCIs to establish robust benchmarks for advancing sustainable REE technologies and guiding R&D in REE supply chains.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mechanical Characterization of the NIF Ignition Target TMPSA Bonding Flexure

The Thermo-Mechanical Package Sub-Assembly (TMPSA) provides a critical mechanical, thermal, and electrical interface between a silicon arm and a TMP aluminum can in a NIF ignition target. During assembly, sixteen silicon pads are bonded to the aluminum using a fixture that positions the components and applies a repeatable prescribed displacement through a compliant flexure. The flexure converts fixture interference into displacement and reaction force. Because bondline thickness variation must be maintained within +/-4 µm, consistent flexure behavior is important to the assembly process. With a recent string of TMPSAs exhibiting low bond strength, the flexures were inspected. Despite being manufactured to the same specifications, flexures were found to exhibit variation in measured stiffness. Additionally, the measured stiffness values did not always follow the presumed beam mechanics model. This work addresses two questions: whether the bonding fixture is working as intended, and whether the previously made stiffness measurements are accurate representations of the use case. The flexures are analyzed using Euler-Bernoulli beam theory, measured beam dimensions, finite element analysis, and tolerance stack-up calculations. The analysis shows that the fixed-guided beam mechanics model appropriately represents the flexure during TMPSA bonding, but the chisel-tip stiffness measurement method introduces a deformation to the inner ring of the flexure that is not represented during use. The measured stiffness values should therefore be interpreted as test-condition stiffness values rather than direct measurements of operational flexure stiffness. The discrepancy is therefore attributed primarily to the measurement boundary condition rather than to failure of the fixed-guided beam model. Recommendations are provided for GD&T, dimensional inspection, and a representative stiffness testing method to better control bondline variation.

42 ENGINEERING↗