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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9

WAMS-Based HVDC Damping Control for Cyber Attack Defense

Owing to the fast and large power regulating the capacity of the HVDC system, the wide-area measurement system (WAMS) based high voltage direct current (HVDC) system has been regarded as a prospective solution to deal with the low-frequency oscillation issue. However, due to the vulnerability of the WAMS communication, WAMS based HVDC system control can be a prime target of malicious penetrations that could lead to disastrous events. To remediate this adverse effect, an improved WAMS based HVDC damping control framework is proposed in this paper. First, a lightweight network named Attack Shuffle convolutional neural Networks (ASNet) is proposed to learn the characteristics of cyber attacks. Then, a model-free-based cyber attack defense framework is introduced to quickly identify the attack types based on the continuous wavelet transform and ASNet. Additionally, an improved control framework of the WAMS and HVDC-based wide-area power oscillation damping control (WH-PODC) is developed to provide different response control for mitigation of the impact of cyber attacks. Finally, the performance of the proposed WH-PODC control framework is evaluated with real PMU data in multiple scenarios in RTDS, where the results indicate that the response intensity can be kept under multiple types of cyber attacks while providing similar effectiveness in oscillation suppression to conventional controls.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Comparative Study of the Perceptual Sensitivity of Topological Visualizations to Feature Variations

Color maps are a commonly used visualization technique in which data are mapped to optical properties, e.g., color or opacity. Color maps, however, do not explicitly convey structures (e.g., positions and scale of features) within data. Topology-based visualizations reveal and explicitly communicate structures underlying data. Although our understanding of what types of features are captured by topological visualizations is good, our understanding of people's perception of those features is not. Further, this paper evaluates the sensitivity of topology-based isocontour, Reeb graph, and persistence diagram visualizations compared to a reference color map visualization for synthetically generated scalar fields on 2-manifold triangular meshes embedded in 3D. In particular, we built and ran a human-subject study that evaluated the perception of data features characterized by Gaussian signals and measured how effectively each visualization technique portrays variations of data features arising from the position and amplitude variation of a mixture of Gaussians. For positional feature variations, the results showed that only the Reeb graph visualization had high sensitivity. For amplitude feature variations, persistence diagrams and color maps demonstrated the highest sensitivity, whereas isocontours showed only weak sensitivity. These results take an important step toward understanding which topology-based tools are best for various data and task scenarios and their effectiveness in conveying topological variations as compared to conventional color mapping.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

TwinMe4AD: WGAN-based Digital Twins for Anomaly Detection

SAND2024-08373O TwinMe4AD is a Python-based software tool designed for anomaly detection using digital twins that closely mimic real, wearable healthcare datasets. The tool is invaluable for scenarios where collecting data is either expensive or impractical, serving as a privacy-preserving solution. Sensitive information is protected by training deep learning models on synthetic data derived from real datasets. One of TwinMe4AD's key features is its anomaly detection capability, which is based on fourth-order moments of parameters. This versatile approach can be applied across a range of datasets, from univariate to multivariate, making it compatible with various types of data. It also generates synthetic twins using Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks (WGANs), allowing users to create a small cohort of a population similar to that of a village population. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Poorey, Kunal↗

PyCMG-based Simulation of Volumetric Concrete Microstructure

Concrete is a complex, heterogeneous material with a microstructure composed of aggregates, cement paste, and pores spanning multiple length scales. Understanding this microstructure is critical for advancing the performance, durability, and modeling of concrete-based systems. While experimental imaging such as X-ray computed tomography (XCT) provides valuable insights, generating large datasets with detailed ground truth annotations is both costly and labor-intensive due to challenges in segmenting similar phases, such as aggregates and cement paste, that often share similar attenuation properties. To address this, we developed a pipeline to simulate realistic 3D concrete microstructures using the open-source Python package PyCMG. This simulation effort focuses on generating high-fidelity, annotated microstructures that can serve as training or benchmarking datasets for image analysis, segmentation algorithms, and machine learning models, particularly in scenarios where experimental data is scarce.

Ziabari, Amir [Oak Ridge National Laboratory; ORNL↗

Synthetic method of analogues for emerging infectious disease forecasting

The Method of Analogues (MOA) has gained popularity in the past decade for infectious disease forecasting due to its non-parametric nature. In MOA, the local behavior observed in a time series is matched to the local behaviors of several historical time series. The known values that directly follow the historical time series that best match the observed time series are used to calculate a forecast. This non-parametric approach leverages historical trends to produce forecasts without extensive parameterization, making it highly adaptable. However, MOA is limited in scenarios where historical data is sparse. This limitation was particularly evident during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, where the emerging global epidemic had little-to-no historical data. In this work, we propose a new method inspired by MOA, called the Synthetic Method of Analogues (sMOA). sMOA replaces historical disease data with a library of synthetic data that describe a broad range of possible disease trends. This model circumvents the need to estimate explicit parameter values by instead matching segments of ongoing time series data to a comprehensive library of synthetically generated segments of time series data. We demonstrate that sMOA has competitive performance with state-of-the-art infectious disease forecasting models, out-performing 78% of models from the COVID-19 Forecasting Hub in terms of averaged Mean Absolute Error and 76% of models from the COVID-19 Forecasting Hub in terms of averaged Weighted Interval Score. Additionally, we introduce a novel uncertainty quantification methodology designed for the onset of emerging epidemics. Developing versatile approaches that do not rely on historical data and can maintain high accuracy in the face of novel pandemics is critical for enhancing public health decision-making and strengthening preparedness for future outbreaks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

GEDet: Detecting Erroneous Nodes with A Few Examples

Detecting nodes with erroneous values in real-world graphs re- mains challenging due to the lack of examples and various error scenarios. We demonstrate GEDet, an error detection engine that can detect erroneous nodes in graphs with a few examples. The GEDet framework tackles error detection as a few-shot node classification problem. We invite the attendees to experience the following unique features. (1) Few-shot detection. Users only need to provide a few examples of erroneous nodes to perform error detection with GEDet. GEDet achieves desirable accuracy with (a) a graph augmentation module, which automatically generates synthetic examples to learn the classifier, and (b) an adversarial detection module, which improves classifiers to better distinguish erroneous nodes from both cleaned nodes and synthetic examples. We show that GEDet significantly improves the state-of-the-art error detection methods. (2) Diverse error scenarios. GEDet profiles data errors with a built-in library of transformation functions from correct values to errors. Users can also easily “plug in” new error types or examples. (3) User-centric detection. GEDet supports (a) an active learning mode to engage users to verify detected results, and adapts the error detection process accordingly; and (b) visual interfaces to interpret and track detected errors.

Guan, Sheng↗

Renewable Energy Potential Model: Priority Geothermal Leasing Areas ReEDs Results

This dataset contains the results of a study conducted by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to identify potential future priority geothermal leasing areas on Bureau of Land Management (BLM) and United States Forest Service (USFS) lands. The analysis uses the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model to evaluate geothermal resource potential under different scenarios of resource depth and technology combinations through the year 2050. The study considers geothermal resource potential, natural resource conflicts, and transmission access to categorize areas into near, mid, and far deployment priorities. The dataset includes outputs from the ReEDS model, such as geothermal capacity, generation, system costs, and emissions under various economic and technical scenarios. Favorability site data with geographic coordinates and site-specific attributes (e.g., resource favorability, land type) are also provided. Supporting resources include a technical report detailing methodologies and assumptions, along with a link to the ReEDS model GitHub repository, which requires GAMS and Python software for execution.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

CA Special Studies: Updates to the Groundwater Pathway Radiological Dose

This environmental calculation file (ECF) summarizes the groundwater pathway exposure assumptions and methodologies used to revise radionuclide specific unit dose factors (UDFs) published in CP-64491, Hanford Site Composite Analysis Data Package – Exposure Scenarios and Radionuclide Specific Dose Conversion Factors. Specifically, this ECF describes the updated exposure-related parameters used to calculate radionuclide specific UDFs based on recommendations from the Low-Level Waste Disposal Facility Federal Review Group (LFRG) and updates to Adult External DCFs included in EPA 402-R-93-081, External Exposure to Radionuclides in Air, Water, and Soil hereinafter called Federal Guidance Report [FGR]).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

A Comprehensive Analysis of PINNs for Power System Transient Stability

The integration of machine learning in power systems, particularly in stability and dynamics, addresses the challenges brought by the integration of renewable energies and distributed energy resources (DERs). Traditional methods for power system transient stability, involving solving differential equations with computational techniques, face limitations due to their time-consuming and computationally demanding nature. This paper introduces physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) as a promising solution for these challenges, especially in scenarios with limited data availability and the need for high computational speed. PINNs offer a novel approach for complex power systems by incorporating additional equations and adapting to various system scales, from a single bus to multi-bus networks. Our study presents the first comprehensive evaluation of physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) in the context of power system transient stability, addressing various grid complexities. Additionally, we introduce a novel approach for adjusting loss weights to improve the adaptability of PINNs to diverse systems. Our experimental findings reveal that PINNs can be efficiently scaled while maintaining high accuracy. Furthermore, these results suggest that PINNs significantly outperform the traditional ode45 method in terms of efficiency, especially as the system size increases, showcasing a progressive speed advantage over ode45.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

ARPA-E Grid Optimization (GO) Competition Challenge 3

Synthetic Input Data and Team Results for the GO Competition Challenge 3 for Events 1 - 4 and the Sandbox, along with problem and format descriptions and code to validate data and solutions, are available here. Data for industry scenarios will not be made public. The Grid Optimization (GO) Competition Challenge 3 focused on the security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) problem. It is part of a continuing effort begun with Challenges 1 and 2, to successfully discover, develop, and test innovative and disruptive software solutions for critical energy challenges and to overcome existing barriers. The broader goal of the of the GO Competition is to accelerate the development of transformational and disruptive methods for solving problems related to the electric power grid and to provide a transparent, fair, and comprehensive evaluation of new solution methods. Challenge 3 used multiperiod dynamic markets, including advisory models for extreme weather events, day-ahead markets, and the real-time markets with an extended look-ahead. In Event 4, whose submission window was August 31-September 4, 2023, 14 teams solved for the objective values of 669 scenarios (39 scenarios required solutions both with and without line switching being allowed). The 591 synthetic scenarios from 9 network models (3.6 GB) are available here. Ten teams were funded to participate and 7 won prizes totaling $2,400,000. The largest prize ($550,000) went to Mississippi State University. An additional $600,000 was awarded in Event 3 (6/15-16/2023). No prizes were awarded in Events 1 (1/25-27/2023) or 2 (4/13-14/2023). For more information on the competition and challenge see the "GO Competition Challenge 3 Information" resource below.

ACOPF↗

A Comprehensive Analysis of PINNs for Power System Transient Stability

The integration of machine learning in power systems, particularly in stability and dynamics, addresses the challenges brought by the integration of renewable energies and distributed energy resources (DERs). Traditional methods for power system transient stability, involving solving differential equations with computational techniques, face limitations due to their time-consuming and computationally demanding nature. This paper introduces physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) as a promising solution for these challenges, especially in scenarios with limited data availability and the need for high computational speed. PINNs offer a novel approach for complex power systems by incorporating additional equations and adapting to various system scales, from a single bus to multi-bus networks. Our study presents the first comprehensive evaluation of physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) in the context of power system transient stability, addressing various grid complexities. Additionally, we introduce a novel approach for adjusting loss weights to improve the adaptability of PINNs to diverse systems. Our experimental findings reveal that PINNs can be efficiently scaled while maintaining high accuracy. Furthermore, these results suggest that PINNs significantly outperform the traditional ode45 method in terms of efficiency, especially as the system size increases, showcasing a progressive speed advantage over ode45.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An inconsistency in aviation emissions between CMIP5 and CMIP6 and the implications for short-lived species and their radiative forcing

We report on an inconsistency in the latitudinal distribution of aviation emissions between the data products of phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Emissions in the CMIP6 data occur at higher latitudes than in the CMIP5 data for all scenarios, years, and emitted species. A comparative simulation with the chemistry–climate model ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) reveals that the difference in nitrogen oxide emission distribution leads to reduced overall ozone changes due to aviation in the CMIP6 scenarios because in those scenarios the distribution of emissions is partly shifted towards the chemically less active higher latitudes. The radiative forcing associated with aviation ozone is 7.6 % higher, and the decrease in methane lifetime is 5.7 % larger for the year 2015 when using the CMIP5 latitudinal distribution of emissions compared to when using the CMIP6 distribution. We do not find a statistically significant difference in the radiative forcing associated with aviation aerosol emissions. In total, future studies investigating the effects of aviation emissions on ozone and climate should consider the inconsistency reported here.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On the Formalization of Development and Assessment Process for Digital Twins in the Nearly Autonomous Management and Control System

In recent years, the autonomous control system has been encouraged in advanced reactors for restoring economic viability, simplifying the operation and maintenance, and enabling remote-site power generations [1]. Since the reactor is expected to be operated for a long period of time with a limited number of individuals onsite, it is recommended that the autonomous control system should have access to very realistic models of the state of processes in the whole lifecycle, together with these process behaviors in interaction with their environment in the real world. As a result, digital twin (DT) technology is suggested in autonomous control systems. DT is defined as a digital representation of a physical object or system, which contains a record for the histories of loads, operation and maintenance status, predictions for the near-term transient of important state variables, and decision-making process [2]. Since machine learning (ML) can recognize patterns within a complex system in real-time applications, it has been used to build DTs in the autonomous control systems for advanced reactors. Meanwhile, due to the rareness of operation data in accident scenarios, the development and assessment of DTs is expected to be mainly driven by simulations. Although the capability and feasibility of ML-based DTs are recognized in improving the safety and efficiency of reactor control, a major concern from the regulatory commission and the nuclear industry is whether the information from a DT is developed and assessed in accordance with expectation and requirements by the target decision. Such concerns not only affect the acceptance criteria for DTs, but also values that can be extracted from DTs and autonomous control system during operations. Inspired by the success of formal methods in improving the reliability and robustness of computer programming and software development, it is suggested that the development and assessment process (DAP) for both separate DTs and integral control system should be formalized in a transparent, consistent, and improvable manner. In this study, a digital-twin development and assessment process (DT-DAP) is proposed by adapting the evaluation model development and assessment process (EMDAP) [3] to requirements by the autonomous control system, ML algorithms, and DT technology. To demonstrate the framework, a baseline nearly autonomous management and control (NAMAC) system with ML-based DTs for diagnosis and prognosis is developed and assessed based on the framework. It is found that with selected testing methods and techniques, the DT-DAP can help identify errors in DTs and NAMAC which would otherwise be left unverified. Meanwhile, it is found that the DT-DAP can improve the DTs and NAMAC by continuously learning and iterating through different elements.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Pre-Transient Characterization of MLOF-1 Test Pin

This study focuses on the pre-transient characterization of U-10Zr test and sibling fuel pins for the THOR-M-LOF test series. Using neutron radiography, element contact profilometry (ECP), precise gamma scan (PGS), and gas assay, sampling, and recharge (GASR) analysis, it was confirmed that the fuel pins were intact and suitable for testing. Key fuel behaviors quantified include axial elongation, diametral strain, fluff structure geometry, axial isotope distribution, and fission gas release. Any deviations from historically expected behaviors were investigated and attributed to factors other than the irradiation behavior of the fuel pin. These pre-transient measurements establish a baseline for future post-transient analysis, which will be used to inform fuel performance models and safety criteria for sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs). The results will enhance understanding of transient fuel behavior and expand limited data on LOF scenarios.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Updates to Relevance Vector Machine: Multiclass Classification, Variable Selection, and Proof-of-Concept Application to Safeguards Fresh Fuel Verification using List-Mode Neutron Collar Data

To expand the capabilities of safeguards authorities to verify the integrity of fresh fuel assemblies, Oak Ridge National Laboratory has retrofit the existing electronics of the JCC-71 uranium neutron coincidence collar, which contains 18 3 He neutron detectors and an external 241 AmLi(α, n) neutron interrogation source arranged to surround a fresh nuclear fuel assembly. The new electronics system allows analysts to record list-mode neutron multiplicity data in addition to the singles and doubles rates that are currently measured. Based on previous proof-of-concept research, analysis of these new data will identify off-normal fuel configurations in an assembly and characterize or localize the specific partial fuel defects. The purpose of this report it to document the analysis algorithm development and then to demonstrate its capability for the safeguards verification of fresh fuel assemblies using list mode neutron collar data. To analyze the complex list-mode data collected with the upgraded uranium neutron collar, multivariate classification algorithms are being developed using a novel classification method, the relevance vector machine. This approach may be applied to multiclass problems to estimate the probability that test data belongs to one of many possible classes of data. In addition, our method identifies the most useful variables/channels for making predictions, which illuminates the basis for the model’s predictions, and this interpretability is largely unique among data analytics methods. Variable selection occurs during model training and parameter tuning and does not need any external hyperparameter tuning routines. Finally, we apply the modified relevance vector machine to a simulated dataset of list-mode neutron collar data generated with the radiation transport code MCNP. The method can correctly identify off-normal fuel configurations, categorize the data according to four fuel defect scenarios, and rank the channels in the data according to prediction utility. For nuclear safeguards applications, it is concluded that this method has the potential to increase the sensitivity and reliability to detect missing fuel rods from a standard 17 x 17 Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) fresh fuel assembly. Within this analysis, “off-normal” (i.e., missing fuel rods) were correctly classified in 17 simulated test scenarios with one quarter (25%) of the fresh fuel rods missing using a training data set of 58 simulated measurements.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Inferring transmission heterogeneity using virus genealogies: estimation and targeted prevention

Spread of HIV typically involves uneven transmission patterns where some individuals spread to a large number of individuals while others to only a few or none. Such transmission heterogeneity can impact how fast and how much an epidemic spreads. Further, more efficient interventions may be achieved by taking such transmission heterogeneity into account. To address these issues, we developed two phylogenetic methods based on virus sequence data: 1) to generally detect if significant transmission heterogeneity is present, and 2) to pinpoint where in a phylogeny high-level spread is occurring. We derive inference procedures to estimate model parameters, including the amount of transmission heterogeneity, in a sampled epidemic. We show that it is possible to detect transmission heterogeneity under a wide range of simulated situations, including incomplete sampling, varying levels of heterogeneity, and including within-host genetic diversity. When evaluating real HIV-1 data from different epidemic scenarios, we found a lower level of transmission heterogeneity in slowly spreading situations and a higher level of heterogeneity in data that included a rapid outbreak, while R0 and Sackin’s index (overall tree shape statistic) were similar in the two scenarios, suggesting that our new method is able to detect transmission heterogeneity in real data. We then show by simulations that targeted prevention, where we pinpoint high-level spread using a coalescence measurement, is efficient when sequence data are collected in an ongoing surveillance system. Such phylogeny-guided prevention is efficient under both single-step contact tracing as well as iterative contact tracing as compared to random intervention.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Oak Ridge Spoofing and Interference Test Battery (OAKBAT) - GPS

This dataset contains the RF data recordings for the GPS L1C/A only OAKBAT scenarios. The files are binary data in the format described in the paper: Albright, A., Powers, S. Bonior, J., and Combs, F., 'A Tool for Furthering GNSS Security Research: The Oak Ridge Spoofing and Interference Test Battery (OAKBAT),' in Proceedings of ION GNSS+ 2020, 2020. The metadata, equipment documentation and configuration files, collection procedures and more materials that allow the independent reproduction of the OAKBAT data are https://github.com/oakbat/. Additionally, this site includes a complete listing of all the RF data files, not just this series, available as part of OAKBAT.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Oak Ridge Spoofing and Interference Test Battery (OAKBAT) - Galileo

This dataset contains the RF data recordings for the Galileo E1 only OAKBAT scenarios. The files are binary data in the format described in the paper: Albright, A., Powers, S. Bonior, J., and Combs, F., 'A Tool for Furthering GNSS Security Research: The Oak Ridge Spoofing and Interference Test Battery (OAKBAT),' in Proceedings of ION GNSS+ 2020, 2020. The metadata, equipment documentation and configuration files, collection procedures and more materials that allow the independent reproduction of the OAKBAT data are https://github.com/oakbat/. Additionally, this site includes a complete listing of all the RF data files, not just this series, available as part of OAKBAT.

42 ENGINEERING↗