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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2003

A Dynamic Risk Model for Evaluation of Space Shuttle Abort Scenarios

The Space Shuttle is an advanced manned launch system with a respectable history of service and a demonstrated level of safety. Recent studies have shown that the Space Shuttle has a relatively low probability of having a failure that is instantaneously catastrophic during nominal flight as compared with many US and international launch systems. However, since the Space Shuttle is a manned. system, a number of mission abort contingencies exist to primarily ensure the safety of the crew during off-nominal situations and to attempt to maintain the integrity of the Orbiter. As the Space Shuttle ascends to orbit it transverses various intact abort regions evaluated and planned before the flight to ensure that the Space Shuttle Orbiter, along with its crew, may be returned intact either to the original launch site, a transoceanic landing site, or returned from a substandard orbit. An intact abort may be initiated due to a number of system failures but the highest likelihood and most challenging abort scenarios are initiated by a premature shutdown of a Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME). The potential consequences of such a shutdown vary as a function of a number of mission parameters but all of them may be related to mission time for a specific mission profile. This paper focuses on the Dynamic Abort Risk Evaluation (DARE) model process, applications, and its capability to evaluate the risk of Loss Of Vehicle (LOV) due to the complex systems interactions that occur during Space Shuttle intact abort scenarios. In addition, the paper will examine which of the Space Shuttle subsystems are critical to ensuring a successful return of the Space Shuttle Orbiter and crew from such a situation.

Henderson, Edward M.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Progress on the Development of a Simulation Environment for Optical Communications

Deep space laser communications require extremely accurate beam pointing to take advantage of the narrow beams achievable at optical wavelengths. This pointing accuracy must be achieved in the presence of spacecraft basebody motion which may exceed laser pointing requirements by orders of magnitude.In this paper a model of an optical band transceiver pointing control system is developed that can be used to predict performance under various operating scenarios. The transceiver model consists of an electro-mechanical model of the telescope platform and isolator. A novel photon counting detector array is used in the simulation as the focal plane detector. In the simulation we are able to inject various cases of spacecraft basebody motion based on both flight data and future mission spacecraft jitter requirements. Various models of uplink beacon flux levels and atmospheric scintillation are also available for analysis.Using these models, detector processing and control functions are implemented in the simulation. A complete acquisition sequence is demonstrated with blind acquisition and tracking of the modulated uplink beam and positioning of the downlink beam on the focal plane array. These simulations predict that pointing requirements will be met with representative disturbance models and uplink beam scintillation.

pointing control↗
NASA NTRS2010

CME Initiation and Reconnection

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the most massive explosions in the heliosphere, and the primary drivers of geoeffective space weather. This talk will be focused on fast CMEs, which travel at Alfvenic speeds as high as 2500 km/s. These ejections are associated with solar flares, prominence eruptions, and energetic particles accelerated near the Sun and in interplanetary space. CMEs require sufficient energy storage, in the form of magnetic stress, and rapid release of this energy. Although it is generally agreed that magnetic reconnection is the key to fast CME initiation, different models incorporate reconnection in different ways. One promising model --- the breakout scenario --- involves reconnection in two distinct yet interconnected locations: breakout reconnection ahead of the CME, and flare reconnect ion behind it. This model has been validated through 2D and 3D MHD simulations and favorable comparison with the observed properties of many fast CMEs. I will discuss what we have learned about the onset and evolution of breakout and flare reconnect ion from recent high-resolution 2D simulations of CME initiation with adaptive mesh refinement and numerical resistivity.

Karpen, Judy T.↗
NASA NTRS2018

The Unknown Hydrogen Exosphere: Space Weather Implications

Recent studies suggest that the hydrogen (H) density in the exosphere and geocorona might differ from previously assumed values by factors as large as 2. We use the SAMI3 (Sami3 is Also a Model of the Ionosphere) and Comprehensive Inner Magnetosphere-Ionosphere models to evaluate scenarios where the hydrogen density is reduced or enhanced, by a factor of 2, relative to values given by commonly used empirical models. We show that the rate of plasmasphere refilling following a geomagnetic storm varies nearly linearly with the hydrogen density. We also show that the ring current associated with a geomagnetic storm decays more rapidly when H is increased. With respect to these two space weather effects, increased exosphere hydrogen density is associated with reduced threats to space assets during and following a geomagnetic storm.

Krall, J.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sensitivity Study of Impact Risk Model Results to Thermal Radiation Damage Model for Large Objects

NASA’s Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessment model assesses the likelihood of potential damage for asteroid impact scenarios. Fast-running models are used to capture the effects of different hazards. This paper looks specifically at local ground damage hazards, including blast overpressure and thermal radiation damage, for large object impact scenarios. A sensitivity study is conducted to determine which parameters, and over what ranges, cause impact risks to become sensitive to thermal damage. Two additional thermal models with different approaches are used for comparison. The study determined the current thermal model is most sensitive to the luminous efficiency parameter that reflects the model’s uncertainty in the amount of energy contributing to the thermal radiation damage. This sensitivity was most apparent for the highest severity damage levels. Comparisons of the three models showed that in addition to sensitivities within the models, the impact risks are also sensitive to the choice of thermal model. The study results were applied to the 2023 PDC hypothetical asteroid impact scenario and parameter ranges of interest determined. At the serious damage level, luminous efficiencies above 0.006 showed a small chance of thermal playing an important role, while luminous efficiencies above 0.0008 led to thermal playing a significant role at the unsurvivable damage severity level. Study results are used to identify key areas where additional model refinement and better knowledge of asteroid properties may be important for improving damage estimates.

SMD↗
NASA NTRS2024

Sensitivity Study of Impact Risk Model Results to Thermal Radiation Damage Model for Large Objects

NASA’s Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessment model assesses the likelihood of potential damage for asteroid impact scenarios. Fast-running models are used to capture the effects of different hazards. This paper looks specifically at local ground damage hazards, including blast overpressure and thermal radiation damage, for large object impact scenarios. A sensitivity study is conducted to determine which parameters, and over what ranges, cause impact risks to become sensitive to thermal damage. Two additional thermal models with different approaches are used for comparison. The study determined the current thermal model is most sensitive to the luminous efficiency parameter that reflects the model’s uncertainty in the amount of energy contributing to the thermal radiation damage. This sensitivity was most apparent for the highest severity damage levels. Comparisons of the three models showed that in addition to sensitivities within the models, the impact risks are also sensitive to the choice of thermal model. The study results were applied to the 2023 Planetary Defense Conference hypothetical asteroid impact scenario and parameter ranges of interest determined. At the serious damage level, luminous efficiencies above 0.006 showed a small chance of thermal playing an important role, while luminous efficiencies above 0.0008 led to thermal playing a significant role at the unsurvivable damage severity level. Study results are used to identify key areas where additional model refinement and better knowledge of asteroid properties may be important for improving damage estimates.

SMD↗
NASA NTRS2012

Constraints on the Nature of CID-42: Recoil Kick or Supermassive Black Hole Pair?

The galaxy CXOC J100043.1+020637, also known as CID-42, is a highly unusual object. An apparent galaxy merger remnant, it displays signatures of both an inspiraling, kiloparsecscale active galactic nucleus (AGN) pair and of a recoiling AGN with a kick velocity approximately greater than 1300 km s(exp -1). Among recoiling AGN candidates, CID-42 alone has both spatial offsets (in optical and X-ray bands) and spectroscopic offsets. In order to constrain the relative likelihood of both scenarios, we develop models using hydrodynamic galaxy merger simulations coupled with radiative transfer calculations. Our gas-rich, major merger models are generally well matched to the galactic morphology and to the inferred stellar mass and star formation rate. We show that a recoiling supermassive black hole (SMBH) in CID-42 should be observable as an AGN at the time of observation. However, in order for the recoiling AGN to produce narrow-line emission, it must be observed shortly after the kick while it still inhabits a dense gaseous region, implying a large total kick velocity (vk approximately greater than 2000 km s(exp -1)). For the dual AGN scenario, an unusually large broad-line offset is required, and the best match to the observed morphology requires a galaxy that is less luminous than CID-42. Further, the lack of X-ray emission from one of the two optical nuclei is not easily attributed to an intrinsically quiescent SMBH or to a Compton-thick galactic environment. While the current data do not allow either the recoiling or the dual AGN scenario for CID-42 to be excluded, our models highlight the most relevant parameters for distinguishing these possibilities with future observations. In particular, high-quality, spatially-resolved spectra that can pinpoint the origin of the broad and narrow line features will be critical for determining the nature of this unique source.

Blecha, Laura↗
NASA NTRS2020

ROMAN CGI Testbed WFSC Modeling and Validation

Optical diffraction and wavefront sensing and control (WFSC) models validated against the high-fidelity Roman Space Telescope Coronagraph Instrument (CGI) testbed play a key role in mask design selection and the verification of many requirements that cannot be accomplished until the observatory is in orbit. We have been steadily improving our model fidelity for the as-built CGI testbed system, demonstrating recently good agreement between measurements and model predictions while validating the Hybrid Lyot Coronagraph’s (HLC) performance using the in-orbit high order wavefront sensing and control (HOWFSC) operational scenario. We present modeling and testbed validation results that explain the reason many testbed WFSC iterations were needed for HLC in the past. A new, direct application of model-generated deformable mirror (DM) solutions has since been successfully demonstrated on the testbed with significant speed and performance improvement. The benefit of using such a solution opens up new model-based WFSC approaches for CGI. This can greatly reduce flight risk from potentially insufficient ground solution generation due to schedule or cost constraints or from unexpected post-delivery changes.

Poberezhskiy, Ilya↗
NASA NTRS2015

An Empirical State Error Covariance Matrix Orbit Determination Example

State estimation techniques serve effectively to provide mean state estimates. However, the state error covariance matrices provided as part of these techniques suffer from some degree of lack of confidence in their ability to adequately describe the uncertainty in the estimated states. A specific problem with the traditional form of state error covariance matrices is that they represent only a mapping of the assumed observation error characteristics into the state space. Any errors that arise from other sources (environment modeling, precision, etc.) are not directly represented in a traditional, theoretical state error covariance matrix. First, consider that an actual observation contains only measurement error and that an estimated observation contains all other errors, known and unknown. Then it follows that a measurement residual (the difference between expected and observed measurements) contains all errors for that measurement. Therefore, a direct and appropriate inclusion of the actual measurement residuals in the state error covariance matrix of the estimate will result in an empirical state error covariance matrix. This empirical state error covariance matrix will fully include all of the errors in the state estimate. The empirical error covariance matrix is determined from a literal reinterpretation of the equations involved in the weighted least squares estimation algorithm. It is a formally correct, empirical state error covariance matrix obtained through use of the average form of the weighted measurement residual variance performance index rather than the usual total weighted residual form. Based on its formulation, this matrix will contain the total uncertainty in the state estimate, regardless as to the source of the uncertainty and whether the source is anticipated or not. It is expected that the empirical error covariance matrix will give a better, statistical representation of the state error in poorly modeled systems or when sensor performance is suspect. In its most straight forward form, the technique only requires supplemental calculations to be added to existing batch estimation algorithms. In the current problem being studied a truth model making use of gravity with spherical, J2 and J4 terms plus a standard exponential type atmosphere with simple diurnal and random walk components is used. The ability of the empirical state error covariance matrix to account for errors is investigated under four scenarios during orbit estimation. These scenarios are: exact modeling under known measurement errors, exact modeling under corrupted measurement errors, inexact modeling under known measurement errors, and inexact modeling under corrupted measurement errors. For this problem a simple analog of a distributed space surveillance network is used. The sensors in this network make only range measurements and with simple normally distributed measurement errors. The sensors are assumed to have full horizon to horizon viewing at any azimuth. For definiteness, an orbit at the approximate altitude and inclination of the International Space Station is used for the study. The comparison analyses of the data involve only total vectors. No investigation of specific orbital elements is undertaken. The total vector analyses will look at the chisquare values of the error in the difference between the estimated state and the true modeled state using both the empirical and theoretical error covariance matrices for each of scenario.

Frisbee, Joseph H., Jr.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Assistive Detect and Avoid for Pilots in the Cockpit

Aircraft not receiving radar services rely on see and avoid and radio coordination via Common Traffic Advisory Frequencies to remain well clear of each other and avoid mid-air collisions. Radio coordination is usually performed in the vicinity of non-towered airports whereas non-radar services en-route operations rely solely on see and avoid. This paper presents the results of a simulation study of the effectiveness of assistive detect and avoid technologies when used to enhance pilots’ ability to see and avoid nearby traffic. Three different experimental conditions are modeled, representing “unaided see and avoid”, “see and avoid with traffic advisories”, and “see and avoid with assistive detect and avoid technology”. The effectiveness of see and avoid is evaluated using a set of head-on, crossing, and overtaking encounter scenarios and a model of visual acquisition embedded in a Monte Carlo simulation. The effectiveness of assistive detect and avoid is estimated for the same encounter scenarios. A prototype system for detect and avoid and a summary of results are presented. Preliminary results strongly suggest that assistive detect and avoid could greatly enhance the capabilities of flight crews to avoid traffic and remain well clear.

collision, detect and avoid, resolution, well clea↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Assistive Detect and Avoid for Pilots in the Cockpit

Aircraft not receiving radar services rely on see and avoid and radio coordination via Common Traffic Advisory Frequencies to remain well clear of each other and avoid mid-air collisions. Radio coordination is usually performed in the vicinity of non-towered airports whereas non-radar services en-route operations rely solely on see and avoid. This paper presents the results of a simulation study of the effectiveness of assistive detect and avoid technologies when used to enhance pilots’ ability to see and avoid nearby traffic. Three different experimental conditions are modeled, representing “unaided see and avoid”, “see and avoid with traffic advisories”, and “see and avoid with assistive detect and avoid technology”. The effectiveness of see and avoid is evaluated using a set of head-on, crossing, and overtaking encounter scenarios and a model of visual acquisition embedded in a Monte Carlo simulation. The effectiveness of assistive detect and avoid is estimated for the same encounter scenarios. A prototype system for detect and avoid and a summary of results are presented. Preliminary results strongly suggest that assistive detect and avoid could greatly enhance the capabilities of flight crews to avoid traffic and remain well clear.

collision↗
NASA NTRS2023

Spacesuit Fit and Mobility Assessments by Digital Human Modeling

Spacesuit Fit and Mobility Assessments by Digital Human Modeling K. Han Kim (Leidos, Inc.) Elizabeth A. Benson (KBR, Inc.) Sudhakar L. Rajulu (NASA Johnson Space Center) Spacesuits are required to accommodate safe operations for astronauts across gender and a wide variety of body shapes and sizes. This goal has been of particular importance given the increasing diversity of NASA crewmembers for upcoming Missions. While testing with design prototypes is a critical step for spacesuit development, iterative mockup design, fabrication, and human subject tests can be extremely costly and time consuming. Moreover, testing with a limited subject pool has often raised questions for validity, as test subjects need to represent the entire astronaut population, not only of the past or current, but also the future. This study is aimed at demonstrating how digital human modeling (DHM) tools have been built and directly supported NASA spacesuit developments. With DHM, the computer aided design (CAD) model of a spacesuit was integrated with human body models. Two use scenarios are presented in this paper, namely fit and mobility. For fit assessments, the suit-to-body contact and compression patterns were estimated using 3D human body scan models virtually wearing a spacesuit model. A statistical fit classifier was made from the contact patterns and applied against a large database of body scans (N=2,500). With this technique, the NASA reference design spacesuit Exploration EVA Mobility Unit (xEMU)was verified to accommodate 90% of the astronaut-like population, with the critical dimensions covering 1stto 99thpercentiles of the target body measurements. A similar technique assessed XEMU mobility. The maximum reach envelopes were considered, within which the work objects and critical hardware interfaces should be located for safe and ergonomic operations. While the reach envelope geometry varies significantly with the suit wearer’s body size and strength, the existing test data did not include the subjects critically required to define suit mobility requirements, such as very small females or large males. Using the xEMU virtual model kinematically simulated and permuted for a hypothetical wearer, however, the existing data were statistically transformed and scaled. This method enabled for a parametric estimation of the reach envelopes from the 1stpercentile female or 99thpercentile male. The outcome was successfully incorporated for requirement developments. With the new DHM tools, human integration of the spacesuit was structurally simulated and predictively assessed, which would have been otherwise impossible. Also, the needs for iterative mockup and subject tests were significantly reduced, which resulted in time and cost saving. Additional work is in progress to integrate additional vehicles, tools, and hardware with DHM framework.

K Han Kim↗
NASA NTRS2011

Modeling Acute Health Effects of Astronauts from Exposure to Large Solar Particle Events

In space exploration outside the Earth s geomagnetic field, radiation exposure from solar particle events (SPE) presents a health concern for astronauts, that could impair their performance and result in possible failure of the mission. Acute risks are of special concern during extra-vehicular activities because of the rapid onset of SPE. However, most SPEs will not lead to acute risks but can lead to mission disruption if accurate projection methods are not available. Acute Radiation Sickness (ARS) is a group of clinical syndromes developing acutely (within several seconds to 3 days) after high dose whole-body or significant partial-body ionizing radiation exposures. The manifestation of these syndromes reflects the disturbance of physiological processes of various cellular groups damaged by radiation. Hematopoietic cells, skin, epithelium, intestine, and vascular endothelium are among the most sensitive tissues of human body to ionizing radiation. Most ARS symptoms are directly related to these tissues and other systems (nervous, endocrine, and cardiovascular, etc.) with coupled regulations. Here we report the progress in bio-mathematical models to describe the dose and time-dependent early human responses to ionizing radiation. The responses include lymphocyte depression, granulocyte modulation, fatigue and weakness syndrome, and upper gastrointestinal distress. The modest dose and dose-rates of SPEs are predicted to lead to large sparing of ARS, however detailed experimental data on a range of proton dose-rates for organ doses from 0.5 to 2 Gy is needed to validate the models. We also report on the ARRBOD code that integrates the BRYNTRN and SUMDOSE codes, which are used to estimate the SPE organ doses for astronauts under various space travel scenarios, with our models of ARS. The more recent effort is to provide easy web access to space radiation risk assessment using the ARRBOD code.

Hu, Shaowen↗
NASA NTRS2008

Controlling the Growth of Future LEO Debris Populations with Active Debris Removal

Active debris removal (ADR) was suggested as a potential means to remediate the low Earth orbit (LEO) debris environment as early as the 1980s. The reasons ADR has not become practical are due to its technical difficulties and the high cost associated with the approach. However, as the LEO debris populations continue to increase, ADR may be the only option to preserve the near-Earth environment for future generations. An initial study was completed in 2007 to demonstrate that a simple ADR target selection criterion could be developed to reduce the future debris population growth. The present paper summarizes a comprehensive study based on more realistic simulation scenarios, including fragments generated from the 2007 Fengyun-1C event, mitigation measures, and other target selection options. The simulations were based on the NASA long-term orbital debris projection model, LEGEND. A scenario, where at the end of mission lifetimes, spacecraft and upper stages were moved to 25-year decay orbits, was adopted as the baseline environment for comparison. Different annual removal rates and different ADR target selection criteria were tested, and the resulting 200-year future environment projections were compared with the baseline scenario. Results of this parametric study indicate that (1) an effective removal strategy can be developed based on the mass and collision probability of each object as the selection criterion, and (2) the LEO environment can be stabilized in the next 200 years with an ADR removal rate of five objects per year.

Liou, J.-C.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Automation life-cycle cost model

The problem domain being addressed by this contractual effort can be summarized by the following list: Automation and Robotics (A&R) technologies appear to be viable alternatives to current, manual operations; Life-cycle cost models are typically judged with suspicion due to implicit assumptions and little associated documentation; and Uncertainty is a reality for increasingly complex problems and few models explicitly account for its affect on the solution space. The objectives for this effort range from the near-term (1-2 years) to far-term (3-5 years). In the near-term, the envisioned capabilities of the modeling tool are annotated. In addition, a framework is defined and developed in the Decision Modelling System (DEMOS) environment. Our approach is summarized as follows: Assess desirable capabilities (structure into near- and far-term); Identify useful existing models/data; Identify parameters for utility analysis; Define tool framework; Encode scenario thread for model validation; and Provide transition path for tool development. This report contains all relevant, technical progress made on this contractual effort.

Gathmann, Thomas P.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Equatorial spacecraft-plasma interaction phenomenon observed with DE 2

Data from the retarding potential analyzer and ion drift meter on Dynamics Explorer 2 indicate that an unusual spacecraft-plasma interaction phenomemon occurs at times when the spacecraft velocity vector becomes nearly aligned with the local geomagnetic field lines. The primary signature of the interaction is a transient increase in the ion collection currents obtained with these instruments, up to approximately 15% in magnitude and typically a few tens of seconds duration. This signature is indicative of an increase in the net ion and electron currents to the satellite and is accompanied by a small positive increase in the spacecraft potential relative to the plasma. We present here a case study covering six of the strongest such events observed with DE 2 and discuss a possible physical mechanism. We suggest in particular that what might be called a collisional electron 'snowplow' effect may be occurring, and we derive a simple numerical model based on this scenario. Least squares fitting is employed to test the model and to derive new estimates of the ambient ion concentration at times when the measurements are being perturbed by the interaction.

Cragin, B. L.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Equatorial Spacecraft-Plasma Interaction Phenomenon Observed With DE 2

Data from the retarding potential analyzer and ion drift meter on Dynamics Explorer 2 indicate that an unusual spacecraft-plasma interaction phenomenon occurs at times when the spacecraft velocity vector becomes nearly aligned with the local geomagnetic field lines. The primary signature of the interaction is a transient increase in the ion collection currents obtained with these instruments, up to approximately 15% in magnitude and typically a few tens of seconds duration. This signature is indicative of an increase in the net ion and electron currents to the satellite and is accompanied by a small positive increase in the spacecraft potential relative to the plasma. We present here a case study covering six of the strongest such events observed with DE 2 and discuss a possible physical mechanism. We suggest in particular that what might be called a collisional electron snowplow effect may be occurring, and we derive a simple numerical model based on this scenario. Least squares fitting is employed to test the model and to derive new estimates of the ambient ion concentration at times when the measurements are being perturbed by the interaction.

Cragin, B. L.↗