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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment for intermodal freight transportation

Intermodal freight optimization models support cost-effective, low-emission, and timely goods movement by coordinating trucks, rail, and barges. These models determine optimal flows, routing, and modal switches while respecting infrastructure and operational constraints. However, their real-world utility is often undermined by pervasive uncertainties-such as fluctuating transportation costs and emissions, variable terminal capacities, and uncertain freight demand-that distort key performance outcomes, including total system cost, carbon footprint, and transit time reliability. This study presents a structured framework for quantifying uncertainty in intermodal freight transportation (IFT) optimization. The framework evaluates how input uncertainty affects system performance and reliability, a critical need for ensuring that model-based decisions remain robust under real-world variability, especially amid volatile fuel prices, shifting demand, and growing disruptions. It integrates three complementary methods: (1) Sobol-based global sensitivity analysis to identify influential parameters affecting cost, emissions, and transit time, (2) Monte Carlo-based capacity perturbation analysis to assess robustness under probabilistic facility disruptions, and (3) Monte Carlo filtering with Bayesian inference to detect threshold-based performance vulnerabilities. The results highlight diesel truck unit cost as the dominant driver of variability. To improve system resilience, planners should prioritize uncertainty in fuel-related parameters when designing intermodal strategies.

Intermodal freight transportation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Probing Terra Incognita of Ni–P Catalysts: Operando Explorations during Hydrogen Evolution Reaction

We have developed two Ni phosphide preparation methods allowing operando XAS surface-sensitive studies of well-defined bulk systems. For Ni K-edge XAS, a Ni 2 P phase-pure powder was sintered into a high-density pellet and polished for grazing incidence XAS. Ni sites were mildly affected by the acidic electrolyte prior to the HER, while the applied cathodic potential caused the reduction of Ni surface states beyond the states of as-prepared Ni 2 P. The computed fully H-covered Ni 2 P [0001] model describes the difference in the operando Ni K-edge GIXAS spectrum well. Upon turning the applied bias off, the Ni sites became immediately oxidized, forming NiO on the surface. Thus, the active phase during the HER is covalent Ni 0 close to that in the intermetallic phosphides, and Ni 2+ oxides formed after, and not during, the HER. For P K-edge XAS, Ni foam was phosphorized to form a thin Ni 3 P layer while preserving its high surface area. Upon immersion in the acidic electrolyte, the P sites underwent removal of P 5+ phosphates and formed new P coordination, possibly due to the adsorption of protons from the electrolyte. These new P surface states were not affected by turning the cathodic current on and off as soon as the sample was immersed in the acidic electrolyte. However, the removal of the sample from the electrochemical cell and drying in air resulted in substantial depletion and oxidation of surface P. Echoing the observed Ni site chemistry during HER, XAS and XPS suggest that the in situ active P sites are different from the oxidized P states observed under ex situ conditions.

Kong, Seongyoung [Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA (Unit↗
DOE OSTI2025

Towards Improving luminosity using optics tuning and data-driven methods

The results of Run 24 experiments at Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) for improving luminosity using optics tuning are presented in this study. In the first experiment, MADx matching was used to output magnet strengths corresponding to specific s star movements around Interaction Region 8 (IR8). The corresponding Zero Degree Calorimeter (ZDC) signal was measured in place of luminosity, and Bayesian Optimization aids search of optimal movements. It was found that values retrieved from matching were inaccurate, resulting in negative feedback loops. The second experiment focused on calculating accurate s star movements. The matching method was replaced with a linear sensitivity matrix, directly relating optics to power supply, and its null space was used to fit constraints such as hysteresis effects. At the experiment, beam losses were observed at collimators around boundary of IR8, which were fixed for the third experiment. Dynamic mode decomposition was also introduced to improve quality of turn-by-turn (TBT) data as well as accuracy and consistency of optics measurements at IR8. These improvements will be tested in the experiment of next RHIC run for luminosity optimization.

Accelerator Physics↗
DOE OSTI2026

Model-Based Investigation of Multi-Fault Interactions and Performance Degradation in Residential Heat Pump Systems

Faults in heat pump systems can significantly degrade performance, reduce efficiency, and accelerate component wear, leading to higher operating costs and maintenance demands. While numerous studies have investigated the impact of individual faults, the interactions between multiple concurrent faults remain insufficiently understood, despite their common occurrence in real-world operation. This study conducts a comprehensive simulation analysis of multiple simultaneous faults in a vapor compression heat pump using a validated heat pump design model (HPDM) tool. Detailed component-level modeling methods are implemented to examine performance sensitivity under combinations of refrigerant flow and heat exchanger faults. The results reveal complex fault interactions that can mask or amplify system deviations, challenging conventional diagnostic approaches. Findings from this work provide meaningful insights for the development of more robust fault detection and diagnosis algorithms, supporting improved reliability and energy efficiency in next-generation heat pump technologies.

Hu, Yifeng [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000242875185)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Non-Nuclear Advanced Controls Testbed Reactor Mockup

The research presented in this report describes our progress in applying stochastic methods and uncertainty quantification, parametric study, and variance-based sensitivity analysis (also known as Sobol sensitivity analysis) to a full-core model of a nuclear thermal propulsion (NTP) system simulated with Griffin, with the goal of developing a reduced order (surrogate) model which can be rapidly sampled while perturbing multiple input parameters. In this NTP system, reactivity and power feedback affect the rotation of control drums, which are controlled by a hybrid proportional, integral and derivative (PID) controller, actuated by the power demand and reactivity feedback from the numerical model. This model uses reactor kinetic feedback (mean generation time and $\beta$ from a transient Griffin simulation executed with the improved quasi-static method to provide the kinetic parameters) as inputs to functions which control the CD rotation angle. Using a number of stochastic method approaches, we developed a dual purpose training-surrogate model of the NTP system using polynomial regression. The trained model can be rapidly sampled while simultaneously perturbing various input parameters of the model, such as coefficients on the PID control, or temperature (directly affect the neutron cross section). The surrogate model delivers accurate results orders-of-magnitude faster (minutes, not days) than the base model. Once the base model has been trained, distributions of the uncertain parameters can be changed at will to investigate the effects of perturbing multiple inputs and their effect on the output. For example, coefficients used in the PID control system may vary due to some physical interference, or there may be uncertainty in the temperature of the neutron cross sections in various regions of the reactor. A distribution can be placed on these parameters and operational boundaries can be determined. The goal of this work is to support development of an advanced control system to operate CDs in a functioning NTP system.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Resolving local structural motifs across the phase evolution of zinc titanates with computational x-ray absorption spectroscopy

Resolving the local structure motifs that characterize phase evolution as a function of composition is a key challenge in structure characterization of complex materials. Here, in this study, we combine first-principles simulations and x-ray absorption near-edge structures (XANES) analysis to gain insights into the structure evolution revealed by measurements across a combinatorial zinc titanate thin film, which was grown with smoothly varying composition over a wide range of the Ti:Zn ratio. Specifically, we propose a cluster blind-signal-separation (cBSS) method for XANES spectral analysis based on a library of the structures and spectra of representative local motifs. In addition to motifs from zinc titanate crystals, two types of Ti-defect models constructed in this study are key to the understanding of the structure characteristics in the Zn-rich region. The cBSS method makes use of both spectral clustering of the simulated site-XANES spectra library and the BSS procedure to construct high-fidelity spectral basis functions from an experimental spectral sequence. The method provides a rigorous measure of the spectral sensitivity and basis completeness. The results of the XANES analysis are corroborated with other experimental modalities, including x-ray diffraction and spectroscopic ellipsometry, to validate the cBSS method. The calculated motif weights resulting from fitting the XANES spectra with the cBSS basis probe the atomic structure characteristics of both crystalline and amorphous phases as a function of the Ti/Zn composition. The insights of the local structure motif evolution are pivotal to the understanding of the nonmonotonic trend in the optical gap, which may lead to potential applications through tuning the optical properties of zinc titanate. The workflow of the XANES spectral analysis developed in this work can be generalized to construct the structure-property relationship in a broad material space.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Methods for safely sharing dual-use genetic data

Background: Some genetic data has dual-use potential. Sharing pathogen data has shown tremendous value. For example therapeutic development and lineage tracking during the COVID pandemic. This data sharing is complicated by the fact that these data have the potential to be used for harm. The genome sequence of a pathogen can be used to enable malicious genetic engineering approaches or to recreate the pathogen from synthetic DNA. Standard data security methods can be applied to genetic data, but when data is shared between institutions, ensuring appropriate security can be difficult. Sensitive data that is shared internationally among a wide array of institutions can be especially difficult to control. Methods for securely storing and sharing genetic data with potential for dual-use are needed to mitigate this potential harm.Results: Here we propose new methods that allow genetic data to be shared in a data format that prevents a nefarious actor from accessing sensitive aspects of the data. Our methods obfuscate raw sequence data by pooling reads from different samples. This approach can ensure that data is secure while stored and during electronic transfer. We demonstrate that by pooling raw sequence data from multiple samples of the same organism, the ability to fully reconstruct any individual sample is prevented. In the pooled data, most genomic information remains, but reads or mutations cannot be directly attributed to any individual sample. To further restrict access to information, regions of a genome can be removed from the reads.Conclusion: Our methods obscure genomic information within raw sequence reads. This method can allow genetic data to be stored and shared while preventing a nefarious actor from being able to perfectly reconstruct an organism. Broad-scale sequence information remains, while fine scale details about specific samples are difficult or impossible to reconstruct. Our software is available at https://github.com/Geneinfosec-Inc/ReadMixer.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Measurement-Based Adaptive Voltage Regulation Method Considering Topology Changes

This paper proposes an online adaptive data-driven distributed energy resource (DER) dispatch optimization method for voltage control considering topology changes. By using a local sensitivity factor (LSF)-enabled voltage control, traditional DER control can be reformulated into a linear programming (LP) problem, leading to faster computation speeds. Power injection alteration and topology changes are two common operational changes in the distribution network that can affect the LSF and voltage control performance. To address this issue, a robust estimation method is developed to adjust the sensitivity matrix at each time step for the time-varying power injection changes. When topology changes occur, only the allocated predominant LSF submatrices are updated based on measurement data, allowing for a fast adaptation to the system reconfiguration. Results obtained from a real distribution feeder in Southern California demonstrate its robustness as compared to traditional volt-var control and constant LSF matrix dispatch control methods.

DERs↗
DOE OSTI2026

Surface Terminations of LaAlO 3 Perovskite Nanoparticles as Viewed by Solid-State Nuclear Magnetic Resonance

Nanocrystal surfaces generally undergo reconstructions that differentiate them from the bulk structures, often in nontrivial ways. Understanding these terminations is critical across diverse fields, from heterogeneous catalysis to the formation of topological states and the synthesis of semiconductor nanomaterials. Determining surface structures is currently an interdisciplinary task, most often involving high-resolution electron microscopy and surface electron diffraction. These methods, however, do not provide a global view of the ensemble of structures present in a sample. Here, we show how surface-sensitive solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (SSNMR) spectroscopy methods can bridge this gap. In this context, we investigated the surface structure of lanthanum aluminate (LaAlO 3 ) perovskite nanoparticles. Four distinct surface terminations have previously been observed for this material, but their relative abundances were unknown. Using an array of double- and triple-resonance SSNMR methods probing the relative proximities of surface 1 H, 27 Al, 17 O, and 139 La nuclei, we conclude the surface to be majority terminated (80%) by AlO x with substantial (20%) LaO x terminated regions.

Materials↗
DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous Aerosol and Plasma Co‐Jet Printing of Metallic Devices at Ambient Temperature

Abstract Additive manufacturing of metallic materials holds the potential to revolutionize the fabrication of functional devices unattainable via traditional methods. Despite recent advancements, printing metallic materials typically requires thermal processing at elevated temperatures to form dense structures with desired properties, which presents a major challenge for direct printing and integration with temperature‐sensitive materials. Herein, a unique co‐jet printing (CJP) method is reported integrating an aerosol jet and a non‐thermal, atmospheric pressure plasma jet to enable concurrent aerosol deposition of metal nanoparticle inks and in situ sintering at ambient temperature. A machine learning algorithm is integrated with the CJP to perform real‐time defect detection and autonomous correction, enhancing the yield of printed films with high electrical conductivity from 44% to 94%. Concurrent printing and sintering eliminate the need for post‐printing processing, reducing the overall manufacturing time by multiple folds depending on product size. CJP enables direct printing of functional devices on a variety of temperature‐sensitive materials including biological materials. Direct printing of hydration sensors on living plant leaves is demonstrated for long‐duration monitoring of hydration level in the plant. The versatile CJP method opens tremendous opportunities to harmoniously integrate abiotic and biotic materials for emerging applications in wearable/implantable devices and biohybrid systems.

Du, Yipu [Department of Aerospace and Mechanical E↗
DOE OSTI2024

Feature-agnostic metabolomics for determining effective subcytotoxic doses of common pesticides in human cells

Although classical molecular biology assays can provide a measure of cellular response to chemical challenges, they rely on a single biological phenomenon to infer a broader measure of cellular metabolic response. These methods do not always afford the necessary sensitivity to answer questions of subcytotoxic effects, nor do they work for all cell types. Likewise, boutique assays such as cardiomyocyte beat rate may indirectly measure cellular metabolic response, but they too, are limited to measuring a specific biological phenomenon and are often limited to a single cell type. For these reasons, toxicological researchers need new approaches to determine metabolic changes across various doses in differing cell types, especially within the low-dose regime. Here, the data collected herein demonstrate that LC-MS/MS-based untargeted metabolomics with a feature-agnostic view of the data, combined with a suite of statistical methods including an adapted environmental threshold analysis, provides a versatile, robust, and holistic approach to directly monitoring the overall cellular metabolomic response to pesticides. When employing this method in investigating two different cell types, human cardiomyocytes and neurons, this approach revealed separate subcytotoxic metabolomic responses at doses of 0.1 and 1 µM of chlorpyrifos and carbaryl. These findings suggest that this agnostic approach to untargeted metabolomics can provide a new tool for determining effective dose by metabolomics of chemical challenges, such as pesticides, in a direct measurement of metabolomic response that is not cell type-specific or observable using traditional assays.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning method for enforcing variable independence in background estimation with LHC data: ABCDisCoTEC

A novel solution is presented for the problem of estimating the backgrounds of a signal search using observed data while simultaneously maximizing the sensitivity of the search to the signal. The 'ABCD method' provides a reliable framework for background estimation by partitioning events into one signal-enhanced region (A) and three background-enhanced control regions (B, C, and D) via two smoothly varying, statistically independent variables. In practice, even slight correlations between the two variables can significantly undermine the method's performance. Thus, choosing appropriate variables by hand can present a formidable challenge, especially when background and signal differ only subtly. To address this issue, the ABCD with distance correlation (ABCDisCo) method was developed to construct two learned variables via a neural network trained to provide strong signal-background discrimination with small values of the distance correlation (DisCo) measure between the two learned variables. However, relying solely on minimizing the DisCo can result in learned variables that may not have distributions of background events that are smoothly varying and localized at extreme values, as necessary for the validity of the background estimation. The ABCDisCo training enhanced with closure (ABCDisCoTEC) method is introduced to solve this issue by directly minimizing the nonclosure, expressed as a dedicated differentiable loss term. This extended method is applied to a data set of proton-proton collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV recorded by the CMS detector at the CERN Large Hadron Collider. Additionally, given the complexity of the minimization problem with constraints on multiple loss terms, the modified differential method of multipliers is applied and shown to greatly improve the stability and robustness of the ABCDisCoTEC method, compared to grid search hyperparameter optimization procedures.

Hayrapetyan, Aram [Yerevan Phys. Inst.]↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Trapping-Micro-LC-FAIMS/dCV-MS Strategy for Ultrasensitive and Robust Targeted Quantification of Protein Drugs and Biomarkers

The sensitivity of LC-MS in quantifying target proteins in plasma/tissues is significantly hindered by co-eluted matrix interferences. While antibody-based immuno-enrichment effectively reduces interferences, developing and optimizing antibodies are often time-consuming and costly. Here, in this study, by leveraging the orthogonal separation capability of Field Asymmetric Ion Mobility Spectrometry (FAIMS), we developed a FAIMS/differential-compensation-voltage (FAIMS/dCV) method for antibody-free, robust, and ultra-sensitive quantification of target proteins directly from plasma/tissue digests. By comparing the intensity-CV profiles of the target vs. co-eluted endogenous interferences, the FAIMS/dCV approach identifies the optimal CV for quantification of each target protein, thus maximizing the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N). Compared to quantification without FAIMS, this technique dramatically reduces endogenous interferences, showing a median improvement of the S/N by 14.8-fold for the quantification of 17 representative protein drugs and biomarkers in plasma or tissues and a 5.2-fold median increase in S/N over conventional FAIMS approach, which uses the peak CV of each target. We also discovered that the established CV parameters remain consistent over months and are matrix-independent, affirming the robustness of the developed FAIMS/dCV method and the transferability of the method across matrices. The developed method was successfully demonstrated in three applications: the quantification of monoclonal antibodies with sub-ng/mL LOQ in plasma, an investigation of the time courses of evolocumab and its target PCSK9 in a preclinical setting, and a clinical investigation of low abundance obesity-related biomarkers. This innovative and easy-to-use method has extensive potential in clinical and pharmaceutical research, particularly where sensitive and high-throughput quantification of protein drugs and biomarkers is required.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Time-domain terahertz emission spectroscopy on van der Waals materials

Time-domain terahertz (THz) emission spectroscopy provides a direct method to probe transient photo-currents by recording the emitted terahertz electric field. Although the basic principles of THz surface emission have been understood for more than 30 years, the constant progress in ultrafast laser science to ever shorter pulses, the development of new materials and enhanced sensitivity promote THz emission spectroscopy as a reliable method to gain insights into charge carrier dynamics with unprecedented precision. It provides a versatile tool to study ultrafast processes, such as plasmon-driven hot carriers, dynamics of Dirac fermions, interfacial charge transfer, coherent phonon emission and quantum beating, to name only a few. However, despite the rapidly growing body of research on van der Waals materials, especially in their low-dimensional limit, THz emission spectroscopy has only been applied to a limited extent in these material systems. In this prospective, we review time-domain THz emission spectroscopy as a complementary approach to probe ultrafast charge carrier dynamics and the material’s nonlinear response. After a description of the experimental method, we report on THz emission spectroscopy of bulk and 2D van der Waals materials with special focus on graphene and transition metal dichalcogenide layers.

2D materials↗
DOE OSTI2025

HFBTHO-AD: Differentiation of a nuclear energy density functional code

The HFBTHO code implements a nuclear energy density functional solver to model the structure of atomic nuclei. HFBTHO has previously been used to calibrate energy functionals and perform sensitivity analysis by using derivative-free methods. To enable derivative-based optimization and uncertainty quantification approaches, we must compute the derivatives of HFBTHO outputs with respect to the parameters of the energy functional, which are a subset of all input parameters of the code. Here, we use the algorithmic/automatic differentiation (AD) tool Tapenade to differentiate HFBTHO. We compare the derivatives obtained using AD against finite-difference approximation and examine the performance of the derivative computation.

Algorithmic differentiation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian Optimized Deep Ensemble for Uncertainty Quantification of Deep Neural Networks: a System Safety Case Study on Sodium Fast Reactor Thermal Stratification Modeling

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly important to scientific computing and engineering system simulations. Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) for DNNs is critical in safety-sensitive engineering domains. Traditional Deep Ensemble (DE) methods, while easy to implement, frequently suffer from poorly calibrated uncertainty estimates and limited predictive accuracy due to reliance on fixed architectures with varied weight initializations. To address these issues, we introduce a workflow that combines Bayesian Optimization (BO) and DE. The workflow is modular, scalable, and integrates parallel BO initialized with Sobol sequences to individually optimize the hyperparameters of each ensemble member. This method enhances ensemble diversity, improves predictive accuracy, and provides reliable uncertainty estimates. We evaluate the proposed BODE approach in a sodium fast reactor thermal stratification modeling case study, where we used a densely connected convolutional neural network to predict turbulent viscosity during the reactor transient with consideration of data noise. We benchmark its performance against several optimization approaches, including baseline deep ensemble, evolutionary algorithm-optimized ensemble, ensemble formed via random search combined with greedy selection, and a BO ensemble using random initialization. Here, our results demonstrate superior performance of the developed BODE approach. In noise-free scenarios, BODE notably reduces incorrect aleatoric uncertainty and significantly enhances predictive accuracy. Under conditions of 5% and 10% Gaussian noise, BODE adaptively quantifies uncertainty proportional to data noise, achieving up to an 80% reduction in root mean square error compared to baseline methods and producing well-calibrated prediction intervals.

Bayesian optimization↗
DOE OSTI2025

Formation trajectories of solution-processed perovskite thin films from mixed solvents

The engineering of mixed-solvent formulations and their evaporation conditions are key to reproducible perovskite coatings for high-performance photovoltaics. Here, we report a lumped-parameter evaporation model to predict the evolution of a perovskite ink liquid film over time (solvent ratio, solute concentration, and film thickness). The drying-rate model is validated via in situ film-thickness measurements, and the predicted transient liquid film state is mapped as a process path. These methods allow for the prediction of process sensitivity to local environmental factors and the understanding and visualization of a broader processing parameter space enabled through the coupling of process and ink engineering. Process maps are applied to create a new framework for scalable perovskite coating development with a goal of improving the reproducibility and transferability of perovskite fabrication. This approach is demonstrated with blade-coated FA 0.83 Cs 0.17 PbI 3 photovoltaic devices, improving the photovoltaic conversion efficiency from 17.5% ± 1.7% to 20.3% ± 0.6%.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗