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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9

Solar activity prediction of sunspot numbers (verification). Predicted solar radio flux; predicted geomagnetic indices Ap and Kp

Efforts to further verify a previously reported technique for predicting monthly sunspot numbers over a period of years (1979 to 1989) involved the application of the technique over the period for the maximum epoch of solar cycle 19. Results obtained are presented. Methods and results for predicting solar flux (F10.7 cm) based on flux/sunspot number models, ascent and descent, and geomagnetic activity indices as a function of sunspot number and solar cycle phase classes are included.

Newman, S. R.↗

Enhanced Water Vapor Absorption within Tropospheric Clouds: A Partial Explanation for Anomalous Absorption

Comparisons between solar flux measurements and predictions obtained from theoretical radiative transfer models indicate that most of these models underestimate the globally averaged solar energy absorbed by cloudy atmospheres by up to 25Wm&sup-2;.The origin of this anomalous absorption has not yet been established, but it has been attributed to a variety of sources including oversimplified or missing physical processes in the existing models, uncertainties in the input data, and even measurement errors. We used a sophisticated atmospheric radiative transfer model to provide improved constraints on the physical processes that contribute to the absorption of solar radiation by Earth's atmosphere. The results are described herein.

solar flux measurement water vapor absorption atmo↗

Implementing Badhwar-O'Neill Galactic Cosmic Ray Model for the Analysis of Space Radiation Exposure

For the analysis of radiation risks to astronauts and planning exploratory space missions, accurate energy spectrum of galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) is necessary. Characterization of the ionizing radiation environment is challenging because the interplanetary plasma and radiation fields are modulated by solar disturbances and the radiation doses received by astronauts in interplanetary space are likewise influenced. A model of the Badhwar‐O'Neill 2011 (BO11) GCR environment, which is represented by GCR deceleration potential theta, has been derived by utilizing all of the GCR measurements from balloons, satellites, and the newer NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). In the BO11 model, the solar modulation level is derived from the mean international sunspot numbers with time‐delay, which has been calibrated with actual flight instrument measurements to produce better GCR flux data fit during solar minima. GCR fluxes provided by the BO11 model were compared with various spacecraft measurements at 1 AU, and further comparisons were made for the tissue equivalent proportional counters measurements at low Earth orbits using the high‐charge and energy transport (HZETRN) code and various GCR models. For the comparison of the absorbed dose and dose equivalent calculations with the measurements by Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) at Gale crater on Mars, the intensities and energies of GCR entering the heliosphere were calculated by using the BO11 model, which accounts for time‐dependent attenuation of the local interstellar spectrum of each element. The BO11 model, which has emphasized for the last 24 solar minima, showed in relatively good agreement with the RAD data for the first 200 sols, but it was resulted in to be less well during near the solar maximum of solar cycle 24 due to subtleties in the changing heliospheric conditions. By performing the error analysis of the BO11 model and the optimization in reducing overall uncertainty, the resultant BO13 model corrects the fit at solar maxima as well as being accurate at solar minima. The BO13 model is implemented to the NASA Space Cancer Risk model for the assessment of radiation risks. Overall cumulative probability distribution of solar modulation parameters represents the percentile rank of the average interplanetary GCR environment, and the probabilistic radiation risks can be assessed for various levels of GCR environment to support mission design and operational planning for future manned space exploration missions.

Kim, Myung-Hee Y.↗

Theoretical interpretation of the observed interplanetary magnetic field radial variation in the outer solar system

Observations of the azimuthal component of the IMF are evaluated through the use of an MHD model which shows the effect of magnetic flux tubes opening in the outer solar system. It is demonstrated that the inferred meridional transport of magnetic flux is consistent with predictions by the MHD model. The computed azimuthal and radial magnetic flux deficits are almost identical to the observations. It is suggested that the simplest interpretation of the observations is that meridional flows are created by a direct body force on the plasma. This is consistent with the analytic model of Nerney and Suess (1975), in which such flux deficits in the IMF arise naturally from the meridional gradient in the spiralling field.

Suess, S. T.↗

Some physical implications of recent solar wind measurements

The physical implications of the existence at about 1 AU of a quiet solar wind particle flux about 90 percent larger than that suggested in the past is investigated within the framework of the two-fluid solar wind model equations. During the spherically symmetric radial expansion of the quiet solar wind, the particle flux is conserved quantity. It is found that a pure collisional two-fluid model provides good particle density and streaming velocity at 1 AU, but predicts too large an electron temperature and too small a proton temperature. When noncollisional contributions to the transport coefficients are incorporated in the model equations, a complete satisfactory agreement with the available observations is obtained. Upper limits to the effective coupling between electrons and protons, as well as to the effective proton thermal conductivity, and both upper and lower limits to the effective electron thermal conductivity in the quiet solar wind, required to provide agreement with observations, are given.

Cuperman, S.↗

Solar wind latitudinal variations deduced from Mariner 10 interplanetary H /1216 A/ observations

The Mariner 10 H (1216-A) interplanetary observations are examined by using models that consider anisotropies in the solar fluxes. It is verified that the dominant contribution to asymmetric structure in the Mariner 10 H (1216-A) data is a latitudinal variation of the solar-wind flux and of the solar wind velocity, leading to a hydrogen atom lifetime that is latitude dependent. The average lifetime at 1 AU is found to increase from the solar equator to the solar poles by about 25%. This allows interstellar hydrogen to penetrate closer to the solar poles than to the equator. A general analytic model is constructed for evaluating the neutral hydrogen density distribution in interplanetary space. This model takes into account the latitude-dependent ionization rate. When this model is applied to the Mariner 10 H (1216-A) data, it is shown to be capable of matching the observations with a statistical accuracy of 5%. The effect of this latitudinal variation on H (1216-A) sky background maps is to produce a latitudinal shift in the maximum toward the north ecliptic pole.

Witt, N.↗

Effects of dynamical heat fluxes on model climate sensitivity

A coupled high and low latitude radiative-dynamical model of the annual mean northern hemisphere has been constructed in order to study the interactions of the vertical and meridional heat fluxes and their feedback effect on model climate sensitivity. The model's climate sensitivity to solar constant changes and CO2 increases is investigated, and the effect of feedback in the dynamical fluxes on model climate sensitivity is examined. Nonlinear interactions between heat fluxes and other feedbacks such as radiation-temperature, ice albedo, and humidity are also discussed.

Wang, W.-C.↗

1978-1988 Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) Variability Trends

Total solar irradiance (TSI), normalized to the mean earth-sun distance, is analyzed to assess long-term solar variability which may affect climate. TSI data sets are reviewed primarily from the 1984-1999 Earth Radiation Budgets Satellite (ERBS), 1978-1993 Nimbus7, 1980-1989 Solar Maximum Mission (SMM), 19911998 Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite (UARS), and 1996-1998 Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO)/ Variability of solar IRradiance and Gravity Oscillations (VIRGO) Spacecraft missions. The data sets indicate that 1365 W/sq m [Watts per meter square] is the most likely TSI amplitude at minimum solar magnetic activity as indicated by minimum sunspot numbers. The TSI long-term variability component was found to vary with a period of approximately 10 years and with an amplitude of 2 W/sq m. An empirical TSI fit model, based upon 10.7-cm solar radio fluxes and prompt photometric sunspot indices, was used to characterize TSI variability. Comparisons among TSI measurements and empirical fit trends are reviewed as well as inconsistencies among current spacecraft TSI data set trends. The 1996-1998, SOHO/VIRGO measurement indicate stronger TSI increasing trends than those suggested by the corresponding ERBS and UARS measurement and by the empirical model fit. 1978-1999 TSI data sets are analyzed to identify the probable existence of another long-term TSI variability component.

Lee, Robert B., III↗

Estimation of agronomic variables using spectral signatures

Techniques for the determination of leaf area index or leaf angle distribution from remote-sensing canopy-reflectance (CR) measurements are developed on the basis of empirical models relating CR to parameters such as soil and vegetation spectral properties, solar flux, and viewing angle. A general procedure for inverting CR models is presented and applied to the models of Suits (1972), Verhoef and Bunnik (1981), and Norman (1979) in the IR range. Numerical results for a soybean canopy are compared in a table, and the error sensitivity of the inverted models is shown to be relatively high, requiring the use of ancillary data such as soil reflectance, leaf reflectance, and leaf transmittance.

Goel, N. S.↗

Comparison of the USU ionospheric model with the UCL-Sheffield coupled thermospheric-ionospheric model

Several physical models of the high-latitude ionosphere have been developed that describe the time-dependent evolution of the E- and F-region plasma density. The models require a variety of inputs, including solar EUV fluxes, magnetospheric convection, auroral precipitation, and neutral atmosphere. Of specific relevance to this study is how the neutral atmosphere is incorporated into the ionospheric models. For the USU ionospheric model, the neutral atmosphere is the MSIS 1986 empirical model, while for the UCL-Sheffield coupled thermospheric-ionospheric model the neutral atmosphere is computed simultaneously with the ionosphere. Both models were run for similar solar and magnetospheric conditions (solar maximum, moderate geomagnetic activity, and winter solstice). Solar maximum conditions ensured a strong coupling between the ionosphere and thermosphere, which provided the possibility of a large ionospheric difference between the two physical models. This was further enhanced by choosing winter conditions so that the densities were not dominated by sunlight. The comparison of the two models indicated that both models predict the same morphological features with similar ionospheric densities, generally within about 30 percent.

Sojka, J. J.↗

A high precision Solar Ultraviolet Spectral Irradiance Monitor for the wavelength region 120-400 nm

There exists a growing need to improve the accuracy of measurement of the absolute solar flux within the wavelength range 120-400 nm. Although full-disk solar fluxes and variations thereof in the 120-400 nm region are required to model the solar atmosphere, current increased interest in the measurements arises from their importance in modeling the terrestrial atmosphere. The Solar Ultraviolet Spectral Irradiance Monitor (SUSIM) experiment under development for flight aboard the Space Shuttle and the Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite is described. SUSIM will monitor the solar flux in the 120-144 nm region with high precision, using an in-flight calibration system to reduce absolute error to less than 10%, and error relative to the 400 nm continuum to less than 1%.

Vanhoosier, M. E.↗

Variability of the solar flux in the far ultraviolet 1175-2100 A

An attempt is made to correlate available observations within the framework of a simple two-component model of the full-disk flux which divides the solar surface into quiet and active areas with a constant average contrast factor for the intensity at a particular wavelength. The expected range of variability over the solar cycle of the far UV flux is examined within the 1175-2100 A wavelength range. Two possible indices of solar variability, the calcium plage index and the Zurich sunspot number, are investigated as guides to the fraction of disk covered by active regions and the possible resulting flux variability. In addition, contrast factors I(plage)/I(quiet region) are determined for various lines and continua, and the fraction of the disk covered by plages at various times is estimated. Results are in good agreement with the L-alpha fluxes of Vidal-Madjar (1975) and the broadband observations by Hinteregger (1979), but disagree with the flux variability reported by Heath and Thekaekara (1977) over the 1700-3000 A range.

Cook, J. W.↗

Development Status of a 3-D Electron Fluid Model for Hall Thruster Plume Simulations

A 3-D electron fluid model has been developed as a steping stone to fully describe the electron current flow across magnetic fields inside a vacuum chamber and to provide electron flux to solar arrays for spacecraft surface charging model. A detailed description of the numerical treatment of the electric potential solver, including finite-volume formulation, implementation, and the treatment of boundary conditions, are presented in this paper. Verification tests of the model are presented.

Choi, Maria↗

Development Status of a Three-Dimensional Electron Fluid Model for Hall Thruster Plume Simulations

A 3-D electron fluid model has been developed as a stepping stone to fully describe the electron current flow across magnetic fields inside a vacuum chamber and to provide electron flux to solar arrays for spacecraft surface charging model. A detailed description of the numerical treatment of the electric potential solver, including finite-volume formulation, implementation, and the treatment of boundary conditions, are presented in this paper. Verification tests of the model are presented.

Choi, Maria↗

Development Status of a 3-D Electron Fluid Model for Hall Thruster Plume Simulations

A 3-D electron fluid model has been developed as a steping stone to fully describe the electron current flow across magnetic fields inside a vacuum chamber and to provide electron flux to solar arrays for spacecraft surface charging model. A detailed description of the numerical treatment of the electric potential solver, including finite-volume formulation, implementation, and the treatment of boundary conditions, are presented in this paper. Verification tests of the model are presented.

Choi, Maria↗

Surface roughness effects on equilibrium temperature.

An analysis is presented for evaluation of equilibrium temperature distribution on radiatively adiabatic, adjoint planes which are uniformly irradiated by a collimated solar flux. The analysis employs a semigrey spectral model. Radiation properties for surface emitted radiation are obtained from the expressions of electromagnetic theory for smooth surfaces. Rough surface properties for solar radiation are given by the Beckmann bidirectional reflectance model. Numerical solutions to the governing equations yield equilibrium temperature distributions for a range of the influencing parameters. Surface roughness has little influence on equilibrium temperature for materials with high values for solar absorptance. However, for low or intermediate values of solar absorptance, roughness effects on the spatial distribution of reflected solar radiation can significantly alter equilibrium temperature particularly at surface elements where radiant interaction is small.

Houchens, A. F.↗

Solar Flare Heating with Turbulent Suppression of Thermal Conduction

During solar flares plasma is typically heated to very high temperatures, and the resulting redistribution of energy via thermal conduction is a primary mechanism transporting energy throughout the flaring solar atmosphere. The thermal flux is usually modeled using Spitzer’s theory, which is based on local Coulomb collisions between the electrons carrying the thermal flux and those in the background. However, often during flares, temperature gradients become sufficiently steep that the collisional mean free path exceeds the temperature gradient scale size, so that thermal conduction becomes inherently non-local. Further, turbulent angular scattering, which is detectable in nonthermal widths of atomic emission lines, can also act to increase the collision frequency and so suppress the heat flux. Recent work by Emslie & Bian (2018) extended Spitzer’s theory of thermal conduction to account for both non-locality and turbulent suppression. We have implemented their theoretical expression for the heat flux (which is a convolution of the Spitzer flux with a kernel function) into the RADYN flare-modeling code and performed a parameter study to understand how the resulting changes in thermal conduction affect flare dynamics and hence the radiation produced. We find that models with reduced heat fluxes predict slower bulk flows, less intense line emission, and longer cooling times. By comparing features of atomic emission lines predicted by the models with Doppler velocities and nonthermal line widths deduced from a particular flare observation, we find that models with suppression factors between 0.3 to 0.5 relative to the Spitzer value best reproduce observed Doppler velocities across emission lines forming over a wide range of temperatures. Interestingly, the model that best matches observed nonthermal line widths has a kappa-type velocity distribution function

Solar flares↗