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NASA NTRS2012

Comparison of Predictive Modeling Methods of Aircraft Landing Speed

Expected increases in air traffic demand have stimulated the development of air traffic control tools intended to assist the air traffic controller in accurately and precisely spacing aircraft landing at congested airports. Such tools will require an accurate landing-speed prediction to increase throughput while decreasing necessary controller interventions for avoiding separation violations. There are many practical challenges to developing an accurate landing-speed model that has acceptable prediction errors. This paper discusses the development of a near-term implementation, using readily available information, to estimate/model final approach speed from the top of the descent phase of flight to the landing runway. As a first approach, all variables found to contribute directly to the landing-speed prediction model are used to build a multi-regression technique of the response surface equation (RSE). Data obtained from operations of a major airlines for a passenger transport aircraft type to the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport are used to predict the landing speed. The approach was promising because it decreased the standard deviation of the landing-speed error prediction by at least 18% from the standard deviation of the baseline error, depending on the gust condition at the airport. However, when the number of variables is reduced to the most likely obtainable at other major airports, the RSE model shows little improvement over the existing methods. Consequently, a neural network that relies on a nonlinear regression technique is utilized as an alternative modeling approach. For the reduced number of variables cases, the standard deviation of the neural network models errors represent over 5% reduction compared to the RSE model errors, and at least 10% reduction over the baseline predicted landing-speed error standard deviation. Overall, the constructed models predict the landing-speed more accurately and precisely than the current state-of-the-art.

Diallo, Ousmane H.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Elucidating the challenges in extracting ultra-slow flame speeds in a closed vessel - A CH 2 F 2 microgravity case study using optical and pressure-rise data

Refrigerants with a low global warming potential (GWP) possess mild flammability. Hence, a fundamental understanding of their combustion characteristics is required to assess their fire-hazardous potential. The laminar burning velocity is one fundamental property to describe these under safety evaluation aspects. However, measuring laminar burning velocities for slow-burning components, such as low-GWP alternatives, is challenging. This is due to influencing effects such as buoyant flame deformation, stretch, radiation, and confinement, especially at the flammability limits. Here, in the present study, we investigated near-limit flames of the representative refrigerant difluoromethane (CH 2 F 2 ) with nitrogen-enriched oxidizer mixtures to elucidate the potentials and limitations at ultra-slow flame speeds of two widely used flame speed measurement methods in the closed vessel configuration: the optical flame speed measurement in the early quasi-isobaric regime and the flame speed determination from the pressure-rise during the later phase of the isochoric combustion process. Experiments were performed under terrestrial- and microgravity, conducted in a specially designed setup suitable for drop tower applications, using both methods in parallel. Recommendations for the extraction of flame speed data are derived from the non-buoyant reference investigations under microgravity and transferred to ultra-slow flames at terrestrial gravity. Near-limit flames under microgravity were found to be significantly affected by stretch effects for the optical method so that flame speed extrapolations to unstretched conditions are prone to errors. Stretch also affects the pressure method’s lower evaluation limit, and errors can be estimated by combining flame speed data from the pressure method and Markstein lengths from optical experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling the effect of wind speed and direction shear on utility‐scale wind turbine power production

Abstract Wind speed and direction variations across the rotor affect power production. As utility‐scale turbines extend higher into the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with larger rotor diameters and hub heights, they increasingly encounter more complex wind speed and direction variations. We assess three models for power production that account for wind speed and direction shear. Two are based on actuator disc representations, and the third is a blade element representation. We also evaluate the predictions from a standard power curve model that has no knowledge of wind shear. The predictions from each model, driven by wind profile measurements from a profiling LiDAR, are compared to concurrent power measurements from an adjacent utility‐scale wind turbine. In the field measurements of the utility‐scale turbine, discrete combinations of speed and direction shear induce changes in power production of −19% to +34% relative to the turbine power curve for a given hub height wind speed. Positive speed shear generally corresponds to over‐performance and increasing magnitudes of direction shear to greater under‐performance, relative to the power curve. Overall, the blade element model produces both higher correlation and lower error relative to the other models, but its quantitative accuracy depends on induction and controller sub‐models. To further assess the influence of complex, non‐monotonic wind profiles, we also drive the models with best‐fit power law wind speed profiles and linear wind direction profiles. These idealized inputs produce qualitative and quantitative differences in power predictions from each model, demonstrating that time‐varying, non‐monotonic wind shear affects wind power production.

Energy & Fuels↗

DOE OSTI2023

Laminar flame speed measurements of a gasoline surrogate and its mixtures with ethanol at elevated pressure and temperature

Laminar Flame speed measurements of a gasoline surrogate and mixtures of it with ethanol were conducted using a heated, constant-volume vessel. A spherical propagating flame was observed using a high-speed camera, and laminar flame speed was determined therefrom. Here, the gasoline surrogate, which serves as the baseline for the current study, consisted of four components, namely, iso-octane, n-heptane, toluene, and 1-hexene. Different mixtures of the gasoline surrogate and ethanol were studied, governed by the ethanol percentage in the mixture. That is, E0, E30, E50, and E85 mixtures represent 0%, 30%, 50%, and 85% ethanol in the gasoline surrogate mixture by liquid volume, respectively. Initial temperatures of 335, 359, and 408 K and initial pressures of 1 and 3 bar were investigated. The findings of this study are compared to results in the literature, which show good agreement for E0 but some deviation for the E30 blend. In general, the study showed an increase in laminar flame speed as the ethanol percentage increases in the mixture. Similarly, increasing the initial temperature with fixed ethanol percentage resulted in an increase in laminar flame speed, as expected. In contrast, increasing the initial pressure with fixed Ethanol percentage showed a decrease in laminar flame speed. Finally, the results are compared to an existing chemical kinetics model designed for ethanol and gasoline. Although agreement between the model and data is reasonable and mostly within about 10%, some improvement to the kinetics model is needed to uniformly lower the calculated flame speeds.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparative Evaluation of the Ability of the MYNN‐EDMF PBL Scheme in WRF Model to Reproduce Near Surface Wind Speed Over Different Topographical Types

Abstract This study systematically evaluates the performance of the Mellor‐Yamada‐Nakanishi‐Niino‐Eddy‐Diffusion‐Mass‐Flux planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating near‐surface wind speeds across various topographies in New York State (NYS). Simulated wind speeds are compared with in‐situ measurements from 22 surface sites, grouped into six topographic categories: continental plain (CT), lakeside (LS), river valley (RV), Long Island (LI), Block Island (BI), and offshore ocean (OO). A quantitative evaluation based on Relative Euclidean Distance shows that wind speeds at the OO site are the most accurately reproduced, followed by those at LI sites, while the model performs less accurately for the remaining topographic groups. Wind speeds over CT sites tend to be overestimated by approximately 1 m/s, although their diurnal variability (DV) is well captured. In contrast, the model underestimates wind DV at LS, RV, LI, and BI sites, with the largest biases occurring at LI and BI, resulting in underestimated daytime wind speed and/or overestimated nighttime wind speed. The OO winds exhibit minimal diurnal variation, accurately captured by our WRF model. The surface wind diurnal variation is closely linked to PBL development. Among the indicators of PBL development, surface potential temperature biases most strongly correlate with wind speed biases. Our WRF model faces challenges in capturing the distinctions between winds influenced by local circulations and those over continental plains, and the significantly stronger winds at OO compared to BI. Potential causes for these biases are discussed, offering pathways for improving surface wind simulations in future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

In situ effective pumping speed measurements as a tool for non-evaporable getter activation and saturation monitoring

We have developed method of in situ effective pumping speed measurements based on injecting finite gas pulse into a vacuum volume and subsequent recording of pressure response using a Residual Gas Analyzer (RGA). The pressure burst caused by injected gas pulse falls exponentially in time and the exponential coefficient of such pressure decay is proportional to total effective pumping speed of all vacuum pumps acting on vacuum chamber volume. The effective pumping speed can be extracted from the dependence of injected gas species pressure vs time recorded by an RGA. Non-Evaporable Getters (NEGs) are widely used in multiple ultra and extremely high vacuum devices and applications during the last several decades. Areas of NEG applications were recently expanded into vacuum devices with relatively high-pressure levels (up to 10 -7 Torr) by the invention of high capacity ZAO NEG which can be operated at elevated temperatures. The intrinsic property of all NEG-based vacuum pumps is the reduction of their pumping speed, called “NEG saturation”, after an extended period of operation. Typical time interval for such process can span from about a month and up to a few years depending on NEG type, vacuum level of NEG pump operation, and residual gas content. After that, the NEG pump will require a re-activation cycle to restore its pumping speed close to the initial value. For many applications it is difficult to realize what is the current pumping speed of NEG pump is and when the pump should be re-activated. A method for in situ effective pumping speed measurements developed in this study can be used as a tool for NEG-based pump activation and saturation monitoring. Application of such an approach to monitor pumping status of NEG pumps was utilized and will be continually used at Extended EBIS which was recently developed and commissioned for Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) and future Electron Ion Collider (EIC). The results obtained during commissioning are presented and discussed.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Optimal Power Sharing Speed Compensation in On-road Wireless EV Charging Systems

Dynamic wireless charging of electric vehicles (EV) is an emerging technology with the potential to address range anxiety and reduce the size of batteries or provide charge-sustaining operation. Charging demand for dynamic wireless charging systems (DWCS) varies greatly in response to location-specific traffic behaviors including the number and speed of vehicles. This paper highlights the potential reduction of load variation with speed compensation and simulates opportunities to maximize the number of cars charged concurrently through “power sharing” or altering power output to slower cars while maintaining a maximum delivered energy. An improved sub-minute model for synthetic traffic is proposed to effectively model DWCS load on high speed roadways and a power electronics model is created based on an existing prototype developed by ORNL to investigate the potential for power sharing. Reductions in the average speed of traffic can greatly increase instantaneous DWCS load by as much as 26%, complicating capacity sizing. Parametric studies with a LCC-S power electronics model shows feasible power reduction of more than 20%, while maintaining a maximum achievable efficiency greater than 90%. Speed compensation on a roadway with large speed variation can reduce average power expected by 21% and increase the maximum number of cars charged simultaneously by 30%. The application of power sharing may significantly reduce load variability due to speed, allow for increased car hosting capability, and guarantee a maximum energy delivered.

Lewis, Donovin D.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Postfault Operation of Three-Level Inverter Driven Six-Phase PMSM With Enhanced Torque–Speed Region

This article presents an open-switch postfault operational technique with enhanced torque–speed region for three-level (3L) active neutral point clamped (ANPC) inverter-driven symmetrical six-phase (SSP) permanent magnet synchronous machines (PMSMs). Maximum torque (MT), minimum loss (ML), and single three-phase (STP) operations are commonly used for the postfault operations of six-phase drives. The maximum possible torque and speed in these operations are generally limited by voltage, current ratings, and the neutral point configuration of the motor. To enhance the postfault torque and speed operating region, the torque and speed limits in different postfault operational techniques are determined based on the voltage, current constraints, and neutral point configuration of the SSP-PMSM. In this work, a unified postfault operation is proposed that increases the postfault operational limits by combining MT, ML, and STP operations and modifying the neutral point configuration of the SSP-PMSM. In addition, a technique is also presented that modifies the pulsewidth modulation technique to enable full torque operation below 0.5 p.u. speed. The proposed postfault operational technique enables full-speed (1 p.u.) operation by operating in STP mode and full torque operation (1 p.u.) below 0.5 p.u. speed. Furthermore, the postfault operational technique is experimentally validated using a Gallium Nitride (GaN) device-based3L-ANPC inverter-driven SSP-PMSM.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Effect of Approach Speed and Electrode Geometry on Electrostatic Discharges Off Floating Dielectrics

With the damaging effects of electrostatic discharges (ESDs), it is important to study them within various parameter regimes relevant to real-world scenarios. One such scenario studied here is a floating dielectric with no nearby ground plane with a grounded object approaching at a high rate of speed. One may encounter this scenario when moving objects by hand. Discharge current and radiated fields are captured for discharges drawn from polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) and poly methyl methacrylate (PMMA) with approach speeds ranging from 20 to 100 mm/s. Previous studies have shown that at lower speeds in metal-to-metal or metal-to-ground backed dielectric geometries, the peak current and discharge distance decrease with increasing speed. However, in the speed range studied here, an increase in distance and current are observed for increasing speed. Namely, the highest speeds coincide with the highest peak currents and discharge distances of approximately 800 mA and up to 24 mm. Further, with no grounded backing, as opposed to setups in other ESD studies, the electric field between the dielectric and an approaching electrode has a more uniform distribution with highest fields at the electrode, which is elucidated to be the driving factor in the differences revealed in this study. Two spheres of differing diameters and a conical electrode are used to draw discharges off the dielectric surfaces. Captured radiated fields via B-dot sensor, plasma imagery via intesified charge-coupled device (ICCD), and mapping of surface potential reveal that a majority of the energy lost during a discharge goes to gas losses and radiated fields.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Long-Term Vehicle Speed Prediction via Historical Traffic Data Analysis for Improved Energy Efficiency of Connected Electric Vehicles

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) are expected to provide enhanced safety, mobility, and energy efficiency. While abundant evidence has been accumulated showing substantial energy saving potentials of CAVs through eco-driving, traffic condition prediction has remained to be the main challenge in capitalizing the gains. The coupled power and thermal subsystems of CAVs necessitate the use of different speed preview windows for effective and integrated power and thermal management. Real-time vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communications can provide an accurate speed prediction over a short prediction horizon (e.g., 30 s to 60 s), but not for a long range (e.g., over 180 s). Therefore, advanced approaches are required to develop detailed speed prediction for robust optimization-based energy management of CAVs. This paper presents an integrated speed prediction framework based on historical traffic data classification and real-time V2I communications for efficient energy management of electrified CAVs. The proposed framework provides multi-range speed predictions with different fidelity over short and long horizons. The proposed multi-range speed prediction is integrated with an economic model predictive control (MPC) strategy for the battery thermal management (BTM) of connected and automated electric vehicles (EVs). The simulation results over real-world urban driving cycles confirm the enhanced prediction performance of the proposed data classification strategy over a long prediction horizon. Despite the uncertainty in long-range CAVs’ speed predictions, the vehicle-level simulation results show that 14% and 19% energy savings can be accumulated sequentially through eco-driving and BTM optimization (eco-cooling), respectively, when compared with normal driving (i.e., human driver) and conventional BTM strategy.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2024

Enhanced Safety of Heavy-Duty Vehicles on Highways through Automatic Speed Enforcement – A Simulation Study

Highway safety remains a significant concern, especially in mixed traffic scenarios involving heavy-duty vehicles (HDV) and smaller passenger cars. The vulnerability of HDVs following closely behind smaller cars is evident in incidents involving the lead vehicle, potentially leading to catastrophic rear-end collisions. Here, this paper explores how automatic speed enforcement systems, using speed cameras, can mitigate risks for HDVs in such critical situations. While historical crash data consistently demonstrates the reduction of accidents near speed cameras, this paper goes beyond the conventional notion of crash occurrence reduction. Instead, it investigates the profound impact of driver behavior changes within desired travel speed distribution, especially around speed cameras, and their contribution to the safety of trailing vehicles, with a specific focus on heavy-duty trucks in accident-prone scenarios. To conduct this analysis, we utilize SUMO, an open-source microscopic traffic simulator, enabling realistic simulations of real-world driving behaviors with and without speed cameras. The simulations also consider empirical distributions of desired headway gaps and reaction times exhibited by human drivers. This study offers a fresh perspective on highway safety by examining how the influence of automatic speed enforcement systems on driver behavior enhances the safety of HDV when faced with challenging situations. By shedding light on these dynamics, we contribute valuable insights to the ongoing research efforts on using technology to create safer roadways, ultimately promoting safer coexistence between heavy-duty and passenger vehicles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

NASA NTRS1964

Trends in high-speed atmospheric flight

Some of the current problems and future trends for three types of flight within the Earth's atmosphere are considered. The three areas examined are atmosphere entry at very high speeds, atmosphere exit of launch vehicles, and sustained cruise within the atmosphere. The high-speed entry problems described are those encountered by vehicles returning to Earth after a manned mission to Mars. Such vehicles will experience atmosphere entry speeds up to 50,000 and perhaps as high as 70,000 feet per second. For these vehicles to execute a successful entry, accurate guidance at Earth approach must be provided and very precise control during the flight within the atmosphere will be a necessity. At the high entry speeds radiative heating-is greater than convective and thus it tends to exert a dominant influence on entry-vehicle configuration. The study and development of relatively slender vehicles is indicated in order to minimize the large radiative heating loads and associated heat-shield weights. Manned interplanetary missions in the future may also involve a need for very large launch vehicles. These large vehicles will have aerodynamic problems which differ somewhat from current problems. For example, drag losses decrease with increasing size and large vehicles may thus be of lower fineness ratio than present-day vehicles. With lower fineness ratio some of the difficult current problems produced by ground-wind loads and by buffet of hammerhead payload mountings will be avoided. In the case of high-speed cruise within the Earth's atmosphere, the use of hydrogen-fueled, airbreathing engines may permit attractive payload capabilities for long-range high-speed transports. For such vehicles aerodynamic problems arise because of the numerous constraints placed upon their flight paths as well as from the large volumes required for the hydrogen fuel. From payload considerations alone, attractive cruise speeds for such vehicles currently appear to be about twice that of the conventionally fueled supersonic transports now being intensively studied.

Atmospheric entry↗

NASA NTRS1973

Monthly and annual percentage levels of wind speed differences computed by using FPS-16 radar/Jimsphere wind profile data from Cape Kennedy, Florida

The percentage levels of wind speed differences are presented computed from sequential FPS-16 radar/Jimsphere wind profiles. The results are based on monthly profiles obtained from December 1964 to July 1970 at Cape Kennedy, Florida. The profile sequences contain a series of three to ten Jimspheres released at approximately 1.5-hour intervals. The results given are the persistence analysis of wind speed difference at 1.5-hour intervals to a maximum time interval of 12 hours. The monthly percentage of wind speed differences and the annual percentage of wind speed differences are tabulated. The percentage levels are based on the scalar wind speed changes calculated over an altitude interval of approximately 50 meters and printed out every 25 meters as a function of initial wind speed within each five-kilometer layer from near sea level to 20 km. In addition, analyses were made of the wind speed difference for the 0.2 to 1 km layer as an aid for studies associated with take-off and landing of the space shuttle.

Susko, M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Comparison of sea surface wind speed fields by SEASAT radar altimeter, scatterometer and scanning multichannel microwave radiometer with an emphasis on the Southern Ocean

The SEASAT altimeter (ALT), scatterometer (SASS), and scanning microwave multichannel radiometer (SMMR) measured sea surface wind speed. During the satellite lifetime from June to October 1978, the Austral winter, the highest wind speeds were recorded in the Southern Ocean. Three-month, monthly, and three-day surface wind speed fields deduced from the three Seasat wind speed sensors are compared. The monthly and three-day fields show a pronounced mesoscale (1000 km) variability in wind speed. At all space and time scales analyzed, differences of 40% are found in the magnitude of the wind speed features, with the ALT consistently yielding the lowest wind speed and the SMMR the highest.

Mognard, N. M.↗

NASA NTRS1985

A review of satellite altimeter measurement of sea surface wind speed - With a proposed new algorithm

The scheduled February 1985 launch of a radar altimeter aboard the U.S. Navy satellite Geosat has motivated an in-depth investigation of wind speed retrieval from satellite altimeters. The accuracy of sea surface wind speed estimated by the Seasat altimeter is examined by comparison with wind speed estimated by the Seasat scatterometer. The intercomparison is based on globally distributed spatial and temporal averages of the estimated wind speed. It is shown that there are systematic differences between altimeter and scatterometer wind speed estimates. These differences are traced to errors in the Seasat altimeter geophysical data record wind speed algorithm. A new algorithm is proposed which yields consistent estimates from the two satellite sensors. Using this new algorithm, the rms difference between spatial and temporal averages of the two wind speed estimates is less than 1 m/s, and their correlation is greater than 0.9.

Chelton, D. B.↗

NASA NTRS1989

High Speed Balancing Applied to the T700 Engine

The work performed under Contracts NAS3-23929 and NAS3-24633 is presented. MTI evaluated the feasibility of high-speed balancing for both the T700 power turbine rotor and the compressor rotor. Modifications were designed for the existing Corpus Christi Army Depot (CCAD) T53/T55 high-speed balancing system for balancing T700 power turbine rotors. Tests conducted under these contracts included a high-speed balancing evaluation for T700 power turbines in the Army/NASA drivetrain facility at MTI. The high-speed balancing tests demonstrated the reduction of vibration amplitudes at operating speed for both low-speed balanced and non-low-speed balanced T700 power turbines. In addition, vibration data from acceptance tests of T53, T55, and T700 engines were analyzed and a vibration diagnostic procedure developed.

Walton, J.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Estimated wave speeds in coronal holes and streamers

In this paper, characteristic wave speeds in the solar corona are made based on published models of a coronal hole and streamer. It is found that the Alfven speed varies from over 4000 km/s at the center of the coronal hole at 2.0 solar radii down to about 100 km/s in the center of the streamer at 5.0 solar radii. Taking into account the bias in the streamer model, a more realistic estimate of the minimum Alfven speed is 800 km/s at the same location. The sound speed lies between 100 and 200 km/s everywhere between 2.0 and 5.0 solar radii while the flow speed is generally less than the sound speed at 2.0 solar radii and greater than the sound speed at 5.0 solar radii.

Suess, S. T.↗

NASA NTRS1989

High speed commercial transport fuels considerations and research needs

NASA is currently evaluating the potential of incorporating High Speed Civil Transport (HSCT) aircraft in the commercial fleet in the beginning of the 21st century. NASA sponsored HSCT enabling studies currently underway with airframers and engine manufacturers, are addressing a broad range of technical, environmental, economic, and related issues. Supersonic cruise speeds for these aircraft were originally focused in the Mach 2 to 5 range. At these flight speeds, both jet fuels and liquid methane were considered potential fuel candidates. For the year 2000 to 2010, cruise Mach numbers of 2 to 3+ are projected for aircraft fuel with thermally stable liquid jet fuels. For 2015 and beyond, liquid methane fueled aircraft cruising at Mach numbers of 4+ may be viable candidates. Operation at supersonic speeds will be much more severe than those encountered at subsonic flight. One of the most critical problems is the potential deterioration of the fuel due to the high temperature environment. HSCT fuels will not only be required to provide the energy necessary for flight, but will also be subject to aerodynamic heating and, will be required to serve as the primary heat sink for cooling the engine and airframe. To define fuel problems for high speed flight, a fuels workshop was conducted at NASA Lewis Research Center. The purpose of the workshop was to gather experts on aviation fuels, airframe fuel systems, airport infrastructure, and combustion systems to discuss high speed fuel alternatives, fuel supply scenarios, increased thermal stability approaches and measurements, safety considerations, and to provide directional guidance for future R and D efforts. Subsequent follow-up studies defined airport infrastructure impacts of high speed fuel candidates. The results of these activities are summarized. In addition, an initial case study using modified in-house refinery simulation model Gordian code (1) is briefly discussed. This code can be used to simulate different types of refineries, emphasizing jet fuel production and relative cost factors.

Lee, C. M.↗