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DOE OSTI2025

Techno-Economic Analysis of Compressed Air Energy Storage and Hydrogen Production from Variable Renewable Energy

This study presents the techno-economic analysis (TEA) results of integrating electrolysis hydrogen (H 2 ) production, compressed air energy storage (CAES), and H 2 -fired combustion turbines in a high variable renewable energy (VRE) market environment. The inconsistent nature of VRE creates challenges for power producers in maintaining a stable electrical grid as it is increasingly utilized. The mission of the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) is driving innovation and delivering energy solutions, and a multiangle approach involving H 2 production, energy storage, and next-level H 2 -fired combustion turbine generator (CTG) technologies could provide one solution for the nation’s growing electrical grid issues with increasing VRE sources. The H 2 production and CAES concept were investigated due to its ability to provide utility-scale H 2 -fueled power generation with large-scale energy storage capabilities. Two facilities with CAES and natural gas-fired CTGs (in McIntosh, Alabama, and Huntorf, Germany) have been operating for decades. In contrast, this study investigates the potential to replace the natural gas fuel with H 2 fuel. This concept has been publicly presented by both Siemens Energy and Bechtel Global Engineering, Construction & Project Management (Bechtel) at two different power generating levels. The CAES and air expansion/combustion turbine power generation in this study are primarily based on the Siemens Energy system (Bailie, Aug. 10-11, 2021) (Scheller, Feb. 21, 2023). The inclusion of a H 2 turboexpander generator is from Bechtel (Gülen, Sep. 6, 2022). A block flow diagram of the proposed process is illustrated in Exhibit ES-1.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Life Cycle Assessment and Techno-Economic Assessment of Lithium Recovery from Geothermal Brine

Lithium-ion batteries (LIB) play an essential role in the electrification of the transportation sector, and battery demand for lithium compounds will see a significant increase in the coming decades. This has raised concerns on the supply of lithium, and as a result, technologies are being developed to process unconventional lithium sources. One promising technology is to extract lithium from geothermal brine using lithium-aluminum-layered double hydroxide chloride (LDH) sorbent and forward osmosis. A combined life cycle assessment (LCA) and techno-economic assessment (TEA) is conducted to evaluate the environmental and economic performance of this technology. It is assumed that the lithium extraction unit is an add-on to a 50 MW geothermal power plant located in California. The analysis is based on lab-scale experimental data and stoichiometry while considering the economy of scale for an industrial system. LCA results suggest that, compared with conventional LiOH and Li 2 CO 3 production pathways, the new technology achieves 1–95% reduction in environmental impacts. Even higher reduction can be achieved for LiOH produced via electrolysis. This add-on unit for lithium extraction could achieve a payback period of less than 1 year and reach net present values of $454M and $315M and internal rates of return of 792 and 1130% for LiOH and Li 2 CO 3 production pathways, respectively. The favorable environmental and economic performance suggests that LDH sorption coupled with forward osmosis has great potential to enable the domestic production of battery lithium compounds and that further development should be carried out.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of Gaps in Techno-Economic Analysis to Advance Heliostat Technologies for Concentrating Solar-Thermal Power

The Heliostat Consortium (HelioCon) was launched in 2021 to advance heliostat technology. One of its first efforts was to do a detailed analysis of gaps in technology and capabilities in the heliostat industry and complete a roadmap study describing high-priority gaps. HelioCon gathered gaps through a series of outreach activities with representatives and experts from industries and research institutes. Here, this paper discusses the gap analysis for the techno-economic analysis (TEA) topic. One of the main objectives of the TEA topic is to relate the cost and performance of heliostats and heliostat components to the overall system performance. In this study, we limit the scope of this topic to the heliostat field, tower, and receiver and do not consider downstream applications or uses of thermal energy. We conducted a thorough review of existing models and compiled a list of the state of the art in open-source tools currently available to researchers. We collected an initial list of gaps for the TEA of heliostats from industry developers and experts. Each gap is briefly described, and the heliostat development cycle stages that the gap impacts are indicated. We ranked the initial list of TEA gaps into tiers depending on their potential impact. For TEA, most of the gaps identified are related to developing models or data. Strictly speaking, none of these gaps are essential for heliostat development, but all would aid in the heliostat development process.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Adapting Technology Learning Curves for Prospective Techno-Economic and Life Cycle Assessments of Emerging Carbon Capture and Utilization Pathways

Comparisons of emerging carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies with equivalent incumbent technologies are necessary to support technology developers and to help policy-makers design appropriate long-term incentives to mitigate climate change through the deployment of CCU. In particular, early-stage CCU technologies must prove their economic viability and environmental reduction potential compared to already-deployed technologies. These comparisons can be misleading, as emerging technologies typically experience a drastic increase in performance and decrease in cost and greenhouse gas emissions as they develop from research to mass-market deployment due to various forms of learning. These changes complicate the interpretation of early techno-economic assessments (TEAs) and life cycle assessments (LCAs) of emerging CCU technologies. The effects of learning over time or cumulative production themselves can be quantitatively described using technology learning curves (TLCs). While learning curve approaches have been developed for various technologies, a harmonized methodology for using TLCs in TEA and LCA for CCU in particular is required. To address this, we describe a methodology that incorporates TLCs into TEA and LCA to forecast the environmental and economic performance of emerging CCU technologies. This methodology is based on both an evaluation of the state of the art of learning curve assessment and a literature review of TLC approaches developed in various manufacturing and energy generation sectors. Additionally, we demonstrate how to implement this methodology using a case study on a CO 2 mineralization pathway. Finally, commentary is provided on how researchers, technology developers, and LCA and TEA practitioners can advance the use of TLCs to allow for consistent, high-resolution modeling of technological learning for CCU going forward and enable holistic assessments and fairer comparisons with other climate technologies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Sustainable Recycling of Rare-Earth Elements from NdFeB Magnet Swarf: Techno-Economic and Environmental Perspectives

Rare-earth elements (REEs) are increasingly susceptible to supply risks due to their limited geographical availability and growing demand in clean energy applications such as neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets used in electric vehicles and wind turbines. When NdFeB magnets are produced, 6–73% of swarf is generated during the manufacturing steps. This paper presents an innovative technology that utilizes copper nitrate to dissolve REEs in NdFeB magnet swarf and subsequently recovers ~97% of them as mixed rare-earth oxides (REOs) of purity higher than 99.5%. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA) quantified the economic and environmental impacts of adopting the proposed acid-free dissolution technology, projecting a net profit margin of 12–43% and a global warming impact reduction by up to 73% compared to the prevailing REO production routes in China. As copper nitrate is the single largest contributor to the cost and environmental footprint, recycling of copper nitrate was investigated as well as using alternative copper salts (e.g., copper acetate), revealing significant improvements in TEA and LCA results. Dysprosium was a major revenue source, highlighting the importance of targeting electric vehicle magnets that are rich in dysprosium. As the REO market is volatile, sensitivity analysis was employed to evaluate the profitability of the proposed technology under different REO prices over the last 11 years. Overall, our results confirmed the economic and environmental viability of the proposed technology for sustainable recycling of REEs from the NdFeB magnet swarf.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Analysis of Geologically Connected Seawater Air Conditioning (GeoSWAC) Concept for District Cooling at the University of Puerto Rico at Rio Piedras

At the University of Puerto Rico at Rio Piedras, a central chilled water plant supplies cooling to several campus buildings, contributing significantly to electricity demand during daytime peak hours, particularly in the summer months. These operational challenges are exacerbated by Puerto Rico's tropical rainforest climate and a power grid vulnerable to frequent disruptions caused by hurricanes and tropical storms. This study presents a techno-economic analysis of the existing chilled water plant serving four representative campus buildings and introduces a conceptual alternative: the Geologically connected Seawater Air Conditioning (GeoSWAC) system. GeoSWAC leverages stable low temperatures of deep ocean water (~1 km depth), hydraulically connected to an inland well, to deliver cooling without the use of vapor-compression refrigeration. Using modeled annual cooling loads and chiller performance data, capital costs, energy consumption, and levelized cost of cooling (LCOC) were evaluated for both systems. While GeoSWAC showed higher capital costs than the chiller-based scenario, operational costs were significantly lower at $26k-$53k annually, resulting in a lower LCOC between $2.3/MWh and $8.2/MWh compared to $30.2/MWh-$33.6/MWh for the chiller scenario. These results suggest that the GeoSWAC system offers a promising, low-energy, and climate-resilient alternative for large-scale cooling in tropical coastal environments, with significant potential to reduce peak electricity demand and improve long-term system reliability.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comprehensive techno-economic and life cycle greenhouse gases analysis of green ammonia production utilizing PV and wind energy: Jordan as a case study

Ammonia (NH 3 ) has emerged as a critical player in the global energy transition due to its potential as a low-carbon fuel. Conventional ammonia production methods, primarily through steam methane reforming, are significant contributors to global CO 2 emissions. This study investigates the potential of green ammonia production in Jordan by leveraging the country's abundant solar photovoltaic and wind energy resources. A comprehensive techno-economic and life cycle greenhouse gas analysis was conducted to compare green ammonia production with conventional grey and blue ammonia pathways. Here, the study utilized spatial mapping to assess renewable energy capacity factors across Jordan and optimized the integration of hybrid PV/wind systems with proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers. The results indicate that the levelized cost of green ammonia (LCOA) in Jordan varies between 900 USD/kg NH 3 and 2500 USD/kg NH 3 which is significantly higher than grey ammonia (similar to 360 USD/kg NH 3 ). Nevertheless, the carbon intensity of green ammonia production (between 0.1 kg CO 2eq /kg NH 3 and 0.5 kg CO 2eq /kg NH 3 ) is much lower than the grey ammonia (1.8 kg CO 2eq /kg NH 3 ). Finally, the results indicate that considering future reductions in capital costs and advancement in renewable energy systems and PEM electrolyzers as well as the ability to sell the co-product O 2 can reduce the LCOA by up to 92 % and make it competitive with grey ammonia.

Green Ammonia↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Analysis of Geologically Connected Seawater Air Conditioning (GeoSWAC) Concept for District Cooling at the University of Puerto Rico at Rio Piedras: Preprint

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Energy and Techno-Economic Analysis of Bio-Based and Low-Carbon Chemicals and Fuels Production Processes

This presentation will highlight that to decarbonize the fuel and chemicals industry, we must reduce energy usage and decarbonize process heating, which also extends to bio-based and low-carbon chemicals and fuel production processes. Two examples will be given. The first is to compare separation technologies to concentrate 2,3-butanediol (BDO), a biomass-derived intermediate for producing sustainable aviation fuel for commercial aviation decarbonization. The other example shows that decarbonizing methanol production offers numerous beneficial routes toward industrial decarbonization as it is a versatile compound, finding utility as both a fuel and a chemical intermediate. Techno-economic and life cycle analyses provide integrated analysis technical approaches to evaluate the R&D that enables industrial decarbonization.

BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparative techno-economic analysis of synthetic renewable natural gas production via reactive CO 2 capture and conversion

Reactive CO 2 capture and conversion (RCC) is an emerging carbon management strategy that integrates CO 2 capture and conversion and avoids intermediate CO 2 purification. In this study, we design an RCC process to capture atmospheric CO 2 and react it with renewable hydrogen to produce synthetic renewable natural gas (SRNG), which serves as a carbon-neutral energy source and a chemical form of long-duration renewable energy storage. We assess the technological potential of RCC through process modeling, techno-economic, carbon footprint, and sensitivity analyses. Our findings demonstrate that RCC offers energy savings and comparable cost to separated capture and conversion processes. The cost is dominated by renewable hydrogen and material replacement cost. SRNG produced via RCC is competitive with existing low-carbon natural gas technologies and presents a promising low-cost option for long-duration energy storage. This work highlights the potential for deploying RCC technologies within a circular carbon economy and the scientific and technical challenges that must be overcome for material and technology developers.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Techno-Economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of the Production of Biodegradable Polyaliphatic–Polyaromatic Polyesters

Poly(butylene-adipate terephthalate) (PBAT) is a polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyester that is biodegradable and has found application in several markets, making it a widely produced biodegradable polymer worldwide. However, the production of PBAT is carbon-intensive, as it relies on the use of petroleum-based monomers. There is, thus, significant interest in identifying polyesters that are biodegradable and less carbon-intensive (e.g., use of biomass- derived monomers). In this work, we develop a detailed process model (and an associated database) for the production of polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyesters including petroleum-based PBAT and biomass-derived alternatives including poly(pentylene- adipate terephthalate) and poly(pentylene-adipate furandicarboxy- late). Techno-economic analysis (TEA) reveals that the production costs of these polyesters strongly depend on monomer costs (accounting for over 90% of the total production cost) and identifies market conditions under which biomass-based polyesters can be cost-competitive to petroleum-based PBAT. Life cycle assessment (LCA) shows that biomass-derived polyesters can reduce the global warming impact of PBAT by half. Altogether, the proposed TEA/LCA model aims to provide guidance into polyesters that are most promising and help assess their overall economic and environmental performance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Plant-wide modeling and techno-economic analysis of a direct non-oxidative methane dehydroaromatization process via conventional and microwave-assisted catalysis

Direct non-oxidative methane dehydroaromatization (DHA) process via conventional and microwave (MW)-assisted thermo-catalytic catalysis is studied. Rate models for methane DHA reactions, including the effect of catalyst deactivation, are developed by using the in-house experimental data. Model results for gas concentration profile and catalyst deactivation are in good agreement with the experimental data. This rate model is then used for the development of dynamic multi-scale, multi-physics commercial-scale reactor models. Total number of fixed bed reactors desired for a cyclic steady state process is estimated. Plant-wide models are then developed for conventional and MW-assisted processes for producing products of desired specifications. Techno-economic analysis of the methane DHA process is undertaken. Economics of these methane DHA processes are compared with the typical multi-step natural gas to aromatics production process via methanol synthesis. Sensitivity of internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV) to various economic and process parameters such as plant scale, desired rate of return, reactor cost, feedstock and utility cost, catalyst variable cost, and MW reactor cost is studied. Here, electric equivalent efficiency of the conventional methane DHA process is found to be 69.2 % and 67.3 % at 750 °C and 800 °C, respectively, while the MW-assisted methane DHA process has the electric equivalent efficiency of 48.9 % at 800 °C. IRRs of the conventional methane DHA process at 750 °C and 800 °C, and MW-assisted process are 15.2 %, 17.5 %, and 18.8 %, respectively for a methane feed flowrate of 19,782 kg/h, while the IRR of the multi-step natural gas to aromatics production process is estimated to be 0 % for the same plant scale. Impact of change in the methane price, electricity price, and catalyst cost is found to be considerable on the process economics, while the cost of the MW reactor is found to have negligible impact.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Techno-economic assessment and life cycle assessment of three potential pathways for biomass liquefaction

Biomass liquefaction can enhance corn-stover slurry transportation by reducing yield stress and overall viscosity, easing biomass handling, especially for slurries at high solids loading (≥30 % (w/v). Implementing a liquefaction process at the front-end of the biorefinery could reduce downtime caused by equipment fouling. Furthermore, liquefaction reduces process complexity by transforming high fiber mass into a pumpable slurry. Three scenarios for liquefaction of corn stover pellets: enzyme process, enzyme mimetic process, and a combined process of enzyme and enzyme mimetic were assessed. The ideal process will have the best performance-to-cost ratio, with minimal impact on the environment. Techno-economic and life-cycle analyses were used to understand the economic and environmental effects of the three liquefaction scenarios and to determine if one or more can achieve cost parity. Here, results show that the enzyme process had the best performance in terms of cost and emissions (gCO 2 -equivalent/kg slurry)compared to the other scenarios.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Development of a Chemistry-Based Isotherm Model and Techno-Economic Optimization of a Moving Bed Process for CO2 Capture Using a Functionalized Metal-Organic Framework

Amine-appended metal-organic frameworks of the class Mg2(dobpdc) are promising candidates for efficient carbon capture in part due to their step-shaped CO2 adsorption behavior. However, the existing isotherm models are lacking as they are unable to capture the complicated chemisorption mechanisms which are still not well known for these materials. Here, a chemistry-based isotherm model is developed and fit to experimental CO2 adsorption data for dmpn-Mg2(dobpdc). Reactions for a cooperative adsorption mechanism are proposed, and the reaction pathway is optimally selected. The chemistry-based model shows an improvement in prediction by a factor of 6 when compared to a recent isotherm model in literature. A plant-wide model is developed for a moving bed based adsorber/desorber and techno-economic optimization is performed. For likely values of price and lifespan, the moving bed process gives a significant improvement in economics when compared to a fixed bed contactor process and a traditional MEA capture system.

carbon capture↗

DOE OSTI2022

Techno-Economic Analysis of Dynamic Building Envelopes Comprising Phase Change Materials and Switchable Insulations

Integrating phase change materials (PCMs) in building envelopes is a recognized technique to reduce the space heating/cooling loads and provide load shedding and shifting capacity. However, PCM benefits have been found to reduce dramatically with increase in the insulation requirements. Dynamic building envelopes that can alter their thermal resistance based on the indoor and outdoor conditions can effectively harness free ambient heating/cooling, thereby greatly enhancing the benefits of the PCM-integrated envelope in managing thermal loads. In this study, we examine various combinations of PCMs and switchable insulations and compare their combined impact on heat flow through the building envelope. Using numerical analysis, we investigate the PCM- and switchable insulation-integrated building walls, calculate the potential energy saving benefits compared to the conventional static walls, and finally perform techno-economic analysis to estimate the acceptable cost of the technology under various payback period scenarios.

dynamic building envelopes↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Comparison of Molten-Salt Electrolysis and Carbothermic Reduction for the Production of Metallurgical-Grade Silicon

Metallurgical-grade silicon (MG-Si) is an important source material for many industrial applications, including the manufacture of alloys, solar photovoltaics, and electronics. The process to refine raw materials into MG-Si is energy-intensive, with the predominant method of submerged-arc furnaces requiring energy consumption of approximately 11–13 kWh/kg Si. Recent research has discussed promising methods for reducing the energy required for the silicon production process, including the use of molten-salt electrolysis (MSE), a technique that offers potential savings in energy consumption without requiring carbon inputs for the process. This paper presents a techno-economic study of a potential industrial-scale MSE plant for MG-Si production to evaluate the trade-offs between capital and operating costs of the system. Capital costs are sourced from recent MG-Si plants and an existing cost model developed for MSE processes that includes the size of the plant and the operating temperature among its inputs. The results show that MSE technology has the potential to be an economically cost-competitive option for MG-Si production if the technology successfully scales to industrial production and matures enough to allow for financing costs similar to that of a comparably sized submerged-arc furnace plant.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Assessment of Data Center Load Demand Powered by Small Modular Reactors and Distributed Energy Resources

The rapid increase in data center energy demand, driven by AI and large-scale data processing, poses significant challenges to global energy infrastructure. Data centers require substantial and reliable energy for continuous operations and high-performance computing. Current electrical grids face issues such as transmission bottlenecks and aging infrastructure, making it difficult to meet these demands. Integrating inverter-based-resources (IBRs) like solar and wind presents both opportunities and challenges due to their intermittent nature. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) offer a promising solution with their enhanced safety, modularity, reliability, and scalability, providing consistent base load power ideal for data center operations. This study presents a comprehensive techno-economic assessment of powering data center load demand using a combination of SMRs and IBRs with grid-connected and islanded mode. This study utilized Idaho National Laboratory’s (INL) HPC data center hourly load profiles and Xendee microgrid optimization platform to conduct the analysis. In this configuration, SMRs serves as the primary base load power source, consistently providing a steady supply of electricity necessary to meet the minimum load demand of the data center with support from the IBRs. Key performance indicators such as Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE), Net Present Value (NPV) has been calculated to assess the economic feasibility. The findings from this research will underscore the strategic benefits of integrating SMR plant with DERs – particularly for critical infrastructure load such as data centers.

14 - SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Analysis of Repurposing Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline Networks to Accommodate Hydrogen Blends

Blending hydrogen into natural gas infrastructure could supplement natural gas supply and increase resilience for applications such as ammonia production, peaking and load-following power plants, and heating. The United States has an extensive network of natural gas pipelines, but the feasibility of employing this infrastructure to transport hydrogen is unclear. We analyze the costs associated with repurposing three distinct natural gas transmission pipelines in different locations within the United States to carry blends of hydrogen up to 100% via three different pipeline network modification methods and compare against the cost of building a new dedicated hydrogen pipeline. We conduct a sensitivity analysis on the hoop stress limit of the existing pipe, techno-economic parameters, emissions, and relative capacity. The results show that the capital costs required to upgrade a pipeline can vary from tens of millions to billions of dollars depending on the length and capacity of the existing pipeline section, whether the existing pipeline already operates at or below its maximum allowable operating pressure, whether future demand is expected to increase or decrease, the network modification method selected, and pipe material costs. The delivered cost of energy to end users is impacted less by the levelized cost of transporting hydrogen blends than by the cost of the natural gas and hydrogen fuels being transported. The emissions impact of blending hydrogen into natural gas transmission networks scales proportionally with the amount of energy displaced with low-emission hydrogen (such as from natural gas with carbon capture and sequestration or electrolysis powered by nuclear, renewable, or geothermal electricity), therefore low blend ratios (e.g., < 20% vol. hydrogen) will result in low emissions impacts. Factors such as permitting and right-of-way costs, the proximity of the pipeline to hydrogen demand and production, and the compatibility of and/or retrofitting costs of end-use gas-fueled technologies will likely be greater drivers in determining whether converting a particular natural gas pipeline to carry hydrogen makes economic sense.

08 HYDROGEN↗