Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “quantification”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,657 records · Page 92
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2018

Remote Sensing, Uncertainty Quantification, and a Theory of Data Systems; Workshop Report

The purpose of the workshop was to invite statisticians, applied mathematicians, computer scientists, data system architects, experts in remote sensing technology, and Climate and Earth System scientists to review, discuss, and plan research on issues related to large-scale, efficient analysis of distributed data using spatial statistical methods. Our motivation in organizing this event was to catalyze interchange among experts on the fast-emerging problem of analysis of distributed data. As part of SAMSI's 2017-2018 Program on Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Climate and the Earth System, a Working Group on Remote Sensing was established to address statistical and mathematical research problems in the analysis of remote sensing data. The Working Group has five subgroups: 1) Spatial Retrieval Methodology (the so-called \Spatial-X" subgroup); 2) Spatial Analysis for Hyperspectral Data (the so-called \Spatial-Y" subgroup); 3) Emulators for Complex Forward Models; 4) Optimization for Remote Sensing Retrievals; and 5) Theory of Data Systems (ToDS). The ToDS subgroup spent the first half of this academic year formulating a framework in which to consider the joint problem of a) optimizing statistical methods for environments where data are distributed and too large to move to a central location, and b) the design of data system infrastructures within which to implement those statistical methods. To x ideas, the Workshop focused on spatial statistical methods. To date there are many new spatial statistical methods designed with massive data sets in mind, in the literature. However, very few have been implemented for remote sensing data, and none have been implemented in operational settings like those used by NASA and NOAA. A major impediment to their use in these cases is that the data are not only massive, but are stored in different physical locations. These data must be brought together in some way in order to estimate spatial covariance functions, but moving data to a central location for analysis is tedious at best and impossible at worst. Some remote data reduction is almost certainly necessary, but how much? What are the consequences for inference? The fundamental issue underlying these questions is how to navigate the trade-space between costs and uncertainty in the estimates or inferences that are ultimately produced.

Braverman, Amy↗
NASA NTRS2018

MRI-based Quantification of Optic Nerve Tortuosity and Subarachnoid Space 3D Geometry: Reliability Assessment

In some astronauts, long-duration space flight results in ophthalmic structure changes such as optic nerve (ON) kinking, ON distention, and globe flattening. Assessment of the ON and ON sheath (ONS) may provide insight into the mechanisms responsible for ophthalmic structure changes seen in a subset of astronauts. Automated and manual methods were developed to quantify 3D ON/ONS geometry and ON tortuosity.

Rohr, Jesse J.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Aircraft System Noise Prediction Uncertainty Quantification for a Hybrid Wing Body Subsonic Transport Concept

Aircraft system level noise prediction for advanced, unconventional concepts has undergone significant improvement over the past two decades. The prediction modeling uncertainty must be quantified so that potential benefits of unconventional configurations, which are outside of the range of empirical models, can be reliably assessed. This paper builds on previous work in an effort to improve estimates of element prediction uncertainties where the prediction methodology has been improved, or new experimental validation data are available, to provide an estimate of the system level uncertainty in the prediction process. In general, the uncertainty of the prediction will be strongly dependent on the aircraft configuration as well as which technologies are integrated. While the quantitative uncertainty values contained here are specific to the hybrid wing body design presented, the underlying process is the same regardless of configuration. A refined process for determining the uncertainty for each element of the noise prediction is detailed in this paper. The system level uncertainty in the prediction of the aircraft noise is determined at the three certification points, using a Monte Carlo method. Comparisons with previous work show a reduction of 1 EPNdB in the 95%coverage interval of the cumulative noise level. The largest impediment for continued reduction in uncertainty for the hybrid wing body concept is the need for improved modeling and validation experiments for fan noise, propulsion airframe aeroacoustic effects, and the Krueger flap, which comprise the bulk of the uncertainty in the cumulative certification noise level.

June, Jason C.↗
NASA NTRS2017

Novel Approach to Quantification of Telomere Length with Direct Nanopore Sequencing and PCR Amplification

The ends of human chromosomes contain telomeres, or tandem arrays of repeating DNA sequences capped by multiple associated proteins that protect chromosomal ends from degradation. Telomeres function to preserve genomic stability by preventing natural chromosomal ends from being recognized as broken DNA double-strand breaks and triggering inappropriate DNA damage responses. Mounting evidence shows telomere length is an inherited trait that decreases with cellular division and normal aging. In addition, telomere length also appears to be influenced by other factors such as cellular oxidative stress, radiation and mechanical unloading of tissues as in microgravity. To measure these potential effects of the space environment on telomere lengths and cellular aging and regenerative potential we developed a novel telomere measurement approach based on nanopore sequencing of PCR amplified bar-coded chromosome termini. Specifically, telomeres can be directly enriched using barcode sequences ligated to the end of a free end- repaired telomere using the WetLab-2 facility SmartCycler on ISS. Prior to the ligation and amplification protocol a proteinase K digestion of capping proteins followed by a single 95-degree C heat denaturation of the protease is included. After digestion and bar-code ligation, PCR amplification will initiate with the ligated barcoded sequence, suppressing amplification of intra-genomic fragments and resulting in long read barcoded telomere amplicons including the nanopore motor protein sequences. Purified PCR amplicons are then used for nanopore sequencing library generation by simple addition of motor proteins and sequencing library is loaded into the MinION nanopore DNA-sequencer. Amplicon sequence reads from the nanopore device can be base-called quickly on ISS due to barcoding ligation and subsequent PCR amplification enhancing the telomere sequence resolution. If successfully implemented on ISS this technique will provide a novel means of measuring regenerative ability of somatic stem cells in astronauts, and of determining whether spaceflight in microgravity alters their telomere lengths and causes premature cellular aging.

Ma, Kristin R.↗
NASA NTRS2017

Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification of a Mars Ascent Vehicle Concept

The design of a conceptual Mars ascent vehicle is a challenging problem. In order to aid the vehicle and mission concept design it is important to understand the driving design parameters and the expected performance in the presence of model errors and uncertainties. An existing six degree of freedom simulation model is analyzed on a statistical basis using the methods available in the Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications toolkit. The methods utilized include conventional Monte Carlo techniques, metamodeling via polynomial chaos expansions, and global variance-based sensitivity analyses. Two additional analysis methods referred to as “Monte Carlo filtering” and ”Classification trees” are used to determine which uncertain parameters are driving the performance of the vehicle. Monte Carlo filtering provides a methodology to determine which parameters cause qualitatively different behavior while the classification trees use heuristics to partition the input space and assign probabilities to each partition. These methods serve as qualitative descriptors of model sensitivity while variance-based global sensitivity analysis seeks a quantitative mapping from total output variance to the variance of individual inputs. Application of these techniques to several outputs of a Mars ascent vehicle concept simulation indicates that only a select few input factors dominate their variance.

Noyes, Connor↗
NASA NTRS2018

Automated Semantic Segmentation for Volumetric Cardiovascular Feature Quantification and Pathology Assessment

We present a pipeline method that curtails the expense and observer bias of manual cardiac evaluation by combining semantic segmentation and disease classification as a fully automatic processing pipeline. The initial element consists of a 2D U-Net convolutional neural network architecture for voxel-wise segmentation of the myocardium and ventricular cavities. The results of the segmentation were used to compute a comprehensive volumetric feature matrix that captured diagnostic clinical procedure data and that was used to model a cardiac pathology classifier.Our approach evaluated anonymized parasternal MRI cardiac images from a database of 100 patients (4 pathology groups, 1 healthy group, 20 patients per group) examined at the University Hospital of Dijon. We achieved top average Dice index scores of 0.939, 0.849, 0.886 for structure segmentation of the left ventricle (LV), right ventricle (RV) and myocardium respectively. A 5-ary pathology classification accuracy of 90% was recorded on an independent test set using our trained model.

Lindsey, Tony↗
NASA NTRS2018

Quantification of Error Associated with Using Misaligned Meshes in Continuum Damage Mechanics Material Models for Matrix Crack Growth Predictions in Composites

The ability of a material model to capture in-plane matrix mode I and mode II crack growth is an essential component for modeling ply level damage evolution in composite structures. Previous studies using a continuum damage mechanics (CDM) approach have shown success in satisfying benchmark solutions for mode I and II crack growth. However, success was shown using a fiber-aligned meshing strategy, which encourages matrix cracks to propagate in a single band of elements, along the fiber direction. Generating a fiber-aligned mesh becomes a highly involved process for laminates including off-axis (non 0° or 90°) plies. The objective of this study is to quantify the effect of non-fiber aligned mesh discretization on predictions of in-plane matrix crack propagation. The approach taken incrementally varies the mesh orientation angle relative to the fiber orientation; more specifically, misaligned meshes are used to quantify the effect of element angle orientation relative to the initial crack orientation on the energy released during matrix crack propagation simulations using a CDM method. CDM solutions obtained with the misaligned meshes are evaluated against known benchmarks for mode I and II matrix crack growth. The CDM solutions reveal a near-polynomial trend of increased predicted failure stress with increased mesh misalignment angle; hence implying a potential relationship between element orientation angle and apparent fracture toughness.

Justusson, Brian↗
NASA NTRS2019

Deep Learning and Uncertainty Quantification for Climate Resilience

Modeling and monitoring of earth’s processes through physical models and satellite observations at high resolutions is crucial for ensuring society’s ability to adapt to climate change. Deep learning (DL) has been shown to be a valuable tool for generating high resolution data, emulating physical models, and detecting weather patterns which can then be used to inform stakeholders and decision makers. However, both the data and model parameters contain substantial uncertainties that may alter users’ decisions. In this work we present two DL applications on high-resolution climate and satellite datasets using Bayesian neural networks to generate well calibrated uncertainty estimates.

Vandal, Thomas↗
NASA NTRS2020

Observation and Quantification of Aerosol Outflow from Southern Africa Using Spaceborne Lidar

Biomass burning in Africa provides a prolific source of aerosols that are transported from the source region to distant areas, as far away as South America and Australia. Models have long predicted the primary outflow and transport routes. Over time, field studies have validated the basic production and dynamics that underlie these transport patterns. In more recent years, the advancement of spaceborne active remote sensing techniques has allowed for more detailed verification of the models and, importantly, verification of the vertical distribution of the aerosols in the transport regions, particularly with respect to westerly transport over the Atlantic Ocean. The Cloud-Aerosol Transport System (CATS) lidar on the International Space Station has detection sensitivity that provides observations that support long-held theories of aerosol transport from the African subcontinent over the remote Indian Ocean and as far downstream as Australia.

Lidar↗
NASA NTRS2019

Acoustic Phased Array Quantification of Quiet Technology Demonstrator 3 Advanced Inlet Liner Noise Component

Acoustic phased array flyover noise measurements were acquired as part of the Boeing 737 MAX-7 NASA Advanced Inlet Liner segment of the Quiet Technology Demonstrator 3 (QTD3) flight test program. This paper reports on the processes used for separating and quantifying the engine inlet, exhaust and airframe noise source components and provides sample phased array-based comparisons of the component noise source levels associated with the inlet liner treatment configurations. Full scale flyover noise testing of NASA advanced inlet liners was conducted as part of the Quiet Technology Demonstrator 3 flight test program in July and August of 2018. Details on the inlet designs and testing are provided in the companion paper of Reference 1. The present paper provides supplemental details relating to the acoustic phased array portion of the analyses provided in Ref. 1. In brief, the test article was a Boeing 737MAX-7 aircraft with a modified right hand (starboard side) engine inlet, which consisted of either a production inlet liner, a NASA designed inlet liner or a simulated hard wall configuration (accomplished by applying speed tape over the inlet acoustic treatment areas). In all three configurations, the engine forward fan case acoustic panel was replaced with a unperforated (hardwall) panel. No other modifications to any other acoustic treatment areas were made. The left hand (port side) engine was a production engine and was flown at idle thrust for all measurements in order to isolate the effects of the inlet liners to the right hand engine. As described in Ref. 1, the NASA inlet treatment consists of laterally cut slots (cut perpendicular to the flow direction) which are designed to reduce excrescence drag while maintaining or exceeding the liner acoustic noise reduction capabilities. The NASA inlet liner consists of a Multi-Degree of Freedom (MDOF) design with two breathable septum layers inserted into each honeycomb cell [1]. The aircraft noise measurements were acquired for both takeoff (flaps 1 setting, gear up) and approach (flaps 30 gear up and gear down) configurations. The inlet and flight test configurations are summarized in Table 1. Table 1: Inlet Treatment and Flight Configurations Inlet Forward Fan Case Aircraft Production Hardwall Flaps 1, gear up; flaps 30 gear up; flaps 30 gear down NASA Hardwall Flaps 1, gear up; flaps 30 gear up; flaps 30 gear down Hardwall Hardwall Flaps 1, gear up; flaps 30 gear up; flaps 30 gear down III.Test Description and Hardware The flight testing was conducted at the Grant County airport in Moses Lake, WA, between 27 July and 6 August 2018. The noise measurement instrumentation included 8 flush dish microphones arranged in a noise certification configuration as well as an 840 microphone phased array. The flush dish microphones were used to quantify the levels and differences in levels between the various inlet treatments. The phased array was used to separate and quantify the narrowband (tonal) and broadband noise component levels from the engine inlet/exhaust and from the airframe. Phased array extraction of the broadband component was critical to this study because it allowed for the separation of the inlet component from the total airplane level noise even when it was significantly below the total level. Figure 1 provides an overview of the phased array microphone layout as well as a detailed image of an individual phased array microphone mounted in a plate holder (the microphone sensor is the dot in the center of the plate). The ground plane ensemble array microphones (referred to as “ensemble array” in this paper) were mounted in plates with “flower petal” edges designed to minimize edge scattering effects. Fig. 1 Flyover test microphone layout. The phased array configuration was the result of a progressive development of concepts originally implemented in Ref. 2 and refined over the following years, consisting namely of multiple multi-arm logarithmic spiral subarrays designed to cover overlapping frequency ranges and optimized for various aircraft emission angles. For the present case, the signals from all 840 microphones were acquired on a single system. The 840 microphones were parsed into 11 primary subarray sets spanning from smallest to largest aperture size and labeled accordingly as “a, b, …, k”, where “a” corresponds to the smallest fielded subarray and “k” corresponds to the largest aperture subarray. The apertures ranged from approximately 10 ft to 427 ft in size (in the flight direction) with the subarrays consisting of between 215 and 312 microphones. Figure 2 shows three such subarrays, k, h and a. As done in Ref. 2, microphones were shared between subarrays in order to reduce total channel count. Fig. 2 Sample subarray sizes (20° from overhead – refer to Figure 3a discussion). In addition to the above, each of the 11 primary subarray sets consisted of four subarrays optimized to provide near equivalent array spatial resolution in both the flight and lateral directions within 30 degrees of overhead (i.e., airplane directly above the center of the array), namely, at angles  of 0, ±10, ±20 and ±30 degrees relative to overhead where angle  is defined as shown in Figure 3a. This allowed for optimized aircraft noise measurements from 60 to 120 degree emission angle.6 An example of this pletharray design is shown in Figure 3b for the k subarray. When the aircraft is at overhead, the microphones indicated by the blue markers are used for beamforming. When the aircraft is at angles ±10 degrees from overhead, both the blue and red colored microphones are used, and so on for the ±20 and ±30 degree aircraft locations. See Ref. 3 for extensive details on pletharray design for aeroacoustic phased array testing. 6 In the discussions that follow, emission angle values are used. These are the angles at the time sound is emitted relative to the engine axis and are calculated based on flight path angle, body aircraft body angle with respect to the relative wind direction, and engine axis angle relative to aircraft body angle.

Brusniak, Leon↗
NASA NTRS2019

Quantification of CO2 and CH4 emissions over Sacramento, California, based on divergence theorem using aircraft measurements

Emission estimates of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) and the meteorological factors affecting them are investigated over Sacramento, California, using an aircraft equipped with a cavity ring-down greenhouse gas sensor as part of the Alpha Jet Atmospheric eXperiment (AJAX) project. To better constrain the emission fluxes, we designed flights in a cylindrical pattern and computed the emission fluxes from two flights using a kriging method and Gauss’s divergence theorem. Differences in wind treatment and assumptions about background concentrations affect the emission estimates by a factor of 1.5 to 7. The uncertainty is also impacted by meteorological conditions and distance from the emission sources. The vertical layer averaging affects the flux estimate, but the choice of raw wind or mass-balanced wind is more important than the thickness of the vertical averaging for massbalanced wind for both urban and local scales. The importance of vertical mass transfer for flux estimates is examined, and the difference in the total emission estimate with and without vertical mass transfer is found to be small, especially at the local scale. The total flux estimates accounting for the entire circumference are larger than those based solely on measurements made in the downwind region. This indicates that a closed-shape flight profile can better contain total emissions relative to a one-sided curtain flight because most cities have more than one point source and wind direction can change with time and altitude. To reduce the uncertainty of the emission estimate, it is important that the sampling strategy account not only for known source locations but also possible unidentified sources around the city. Our results highlight that aircraft-based measurements using a closed-shape flight pattern are an efficient and useful strategy for identifying emission sources and estimating local- and city-scale greenhouse gas emission fluxes.

Ju-Mee Ryoo↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Probing Sensitivity of Discharge Characteristics to Model Selection using Uncertainty Quantification in an aprotic Li-Oxygen Battery

Currently, there are several models in the literature, such as kinetic models, microstructural models, and mass transport models that describe a Li-air battery's discharge behavior. Many of these models are calibrated and tested at low current densities and cannot be easily transferred to high current densities. Even at low current densities, there is no quantitative method for a researcher to choose a reaction kinetic model such as classical Butler-Volmer and its derivatives, and modified Marcus-Hush-Chidsey, a resistance model for lithium peroxide such as electron transport via tunneling or linear resistivity, a surface coverage model (lithium peroxide growth) such as partial coverage or full coverage, and mass transport model (discussed in Ref. [1]). Also, it is time-consuming to test different models at high current density (1C) due to a lack of well-tested models and well-calibrated model parameters. For this presentation, we will develop an analytical model, which acts as a surrogate model for a sophisticated finite element model to predict discharge time and discharge voltage. Next, we use an uncertainty quantifying technique called reduced-order stochastic optimization [2, 3] to determine the uncertainty in model parameters for rate kinetics, lithium peroxide resistivity, and parasitic resistance. Finally, a finite element simulation is performed to determine the error introduced by the surrogate model and its influence on the uncertainty in the model parameters.

M Mehta↗
NASA NTRS2020

Quantification of the Land Surface and Brown Ocean Influence on Tropical Cyclone Intensification Over Land

An investigation of TC Kelvin in February 2018 over northeast Australia was conducted to understand the mechanisms of the Brown Ocean effect (BOE), and to develop a comprehensive analysis framework for land falling tropical cyclones (TCs) in the process. NASA’s Land Information System (LIS) coupled to the NASA Unified WRF (NU-WRF) system was employed as the numerical model framework for 12 land/soil moisture perturbation experiments. Impacts of soil moisture and surface enthalpy flux conditions on TC Kelvin were investigated by closely evaluating simulated track and intensity, midlevel atmospheric thermodynamic properties, vertical wind shear, total precipitable water (TPW), and surface moisture flux. The results suggest that there were recognized differentiations among the sensitivity simulations as a result of land surface (e.g., soil moisture and texture) conditions. However, the intensification of TC Kelvin over land was more strongly related to atmospheric moisture advection and the diurnal cycle of solar radiation (i.e., radiative cooling) than to overall soil moisture conditions or surface fluxes. The analysis framework employed here for TC Kelvin can serve as a foundation to specifically quantify the factors governing the BOE. It also demonstrates that the BOE is not a binary influence (i.e. all or nothing), but instead operates in a continuum from largely to minimally influential such that it could be utilized to help improve prediction of inland effects for all land falling TCs.

Jinwoong Yoo↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluation of CFD as a Surrogate for Wind Tunnel Testing - Experimental Uncertainty Quantification

A series of wind tunnel tests is being performed at the Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel at Langley Research Center to assess the validity of using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) as a surrogate for wind tunnel testing. In order to make proper comparisons, uncertainties in CFD results and experimental data must be well understood. The material presented will highlight the methods, assumptions, and elemental inputs used to achieve experimental uncertainty estimates for several variables of interest.The work performed to date has focused on gaining insight into random uncertainty via statistical analysis of repeat data and systematic uncertainty via Monte Carlo propagation analysis. These methods were combined using a second-order Monte Carlo propagation, resulting in a probability box (P-box) for each variable and at all conditions of interest. Figure 1 provides an example of one such P-box, showing the experimental uncertainty in a locally determined dynamic pressure (QC10) for one of many tunnel conditions evaluated during the Flow Survey experiment. This particular condition (Condition 27) has nominal set points of Mach number = 3.85, Reynolds number = 3x10(exp 6) ft(exp -1), total pressure = 5160 psfa, and total temperature = 150°F. The uncertainty in dynamic pressure at this condition is now well defined by this plot. Armed with this experimental data uncertainty, meaningful comparisons can be made with computational results, when their associated uncertainties are also considered.

Heather P Houlden↗