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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,675 records · Page 93
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

The Construction of Reduced Order Models for the HYBRID Repository

Reduced order models (ROMs) present an opportunity to reduce the computational burden of IES analysis using HYBRID models without significantly sacrificing data accuracy. Other applications of ROMs are digital twins, stochastic optimization studies, model exporting, and protection of proprietary information. In this paper the capability of creating ROMs of the models within the HYBRID repository will be demonstrated. Specifically, a linear regression ROM of a gas turbine and a dynamic mode decomposition with control (DMDc) ROM of a lithium-ion battery are constructed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2018

Efficient Surrogate Model Development: Impact of Sample Size and Underlying Model Dimensions

This study compares eight surrogate-model construction approaches using computational experiments. Here, the construction approaches considered include: Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Automated Learning of Algebraic Models using Optimization (ALAMO), Radial Basis Networks (RBNs), Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs), Gaussian Progress Regression (GPR), Random Forests (RFs), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines. Each approach is used to construct surrogate models for predicting the outputs of thirty-four test functions. The data used to construct surrogate models were generated using Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), Halton and Sobol sampling methods. We studied the impact of sampling method, sample size, and challenge function characteristics on the accuracy of surrogate model predictions. Our results revealed that for smaller sample sizes, on average, surrogate models trained using the data points generated by Sobol sequences provided the best estimation for all surrogate model construction approaches. As the sample size increased, the impact of sampling methods diminished. The comparison of surrogate-modeling construction approaches at large sample sizes revealed that surrogate models trained using ANN, ALAMO, and ELM yielded smaller root mean squared error and higher adjusted R-squared values than the models trained using the rest of the approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Climate and plant trait strategies determine tree carbon allocation to leaves and mediate future forest productivity

Abstract Forest leaf area has enormous leverage on the carbon cycle because it mediates both forest productivity and resilience to climate extremes. Despite widespread evidence that trees are capable of adjusting to changes in environment across both space and time through modifying carbon allocation to leaves, many vegetation models use fixed carbon allocation schemes independent of environment, which introduces large uncertainties into predictions of future forest responses to atmospheric CO 2 fertilization and anthropogenic climate change. Here, we develop an optimization‐based model, whereby tree carbon allocation to leaves is an emergent property of environment and plant hydraulic traits. Using a combination of meta‐analysis, observational datasets, and model predictions, we find strong evidence that optimal hydraulic–carbon coupling explains observed patterns in leaf allocation across large environmental and CO 2 concentration gradients. Furthermore, testing the sensitivity of leaf allocation strategy to a diversity in hydraulic and economic spectrum physiological traits, we show that plant hydraulic traits in particular have an enormous impact on the global change response of forest leaf area. Our results provide a rigorous theoretical underpinning for improving carbon cycle predictions through advancing model predictions of leaf area, and underscore that tree‐level carbon allocation to leaves should be derived from first principles using mechanistic plant hydraulic processes in the next generation of vegetation models.

Trugman, Anna T.↗
DOE OSTI2018

Product Portfolios within a Distributed Logistical System for Aviation Components

A structural model of a distributed logistical system based on fuzzy sets is proposed. This model permits the optimal organization of product portfolios. The model assumes a central organization that produces and distributes parts in the aviation industry; and peripheral organizations within the network of the central organization.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Advanced Tritium Process Analytics and Optimization via a Digital Twin, SRNL-TR-2023-00550

Improving the process knowledge and understanding of TCAP can be achieved by incorporating advanced tools. This project addresses “Advanced analytics for modeling, forecasting, & optimization of the tritium refinement process” and is being applied to the TCAP process. The value of digitization and advanced analytics for TCAP data are tracking of gas mixtures & inventories is presently a manual effort that is rather cumbersome. Incorporating some automation into the data capture will reduce errors and storing data in an accessible database that can be used for tracking as well as process improvements. In addition, the database approach will enable longer term history to be maintained rather than the current practice of deleting data after six months. The digitized and automated data will allow for models to be developed for the process and will enable the forecasting and optimization.

Korinko, Paul S.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-Dependent Electric Bus and Charging Station Deployment Problem

Battery electric buses (BEBs) have gained popularity due to their emission-free and energy-efficient features. Many transit authorities worldwide have set goals to gradually replace their bus fleets with BEBs. Considering the potential decline in BEB battery and charger prices, this study proposes a time-dependent bus fleet transition model to determine the optimal bus fleet transition plan, which includes selecting the bus lines to be electrified, determining the timing and type of BEBs to be purchased, and deploying on-route fast chargers and depot chargers. The model is a bi-objective integer linear program that considers the trade-off between electrified transit mileages and bus electrification costs. A normalized normal constraint method is applied to solve the bi-objective optimization model. The effectiveness of the proposed model is tested using a real-world bus network. Additionally, sensitivity analyses are conducted to better understand the impact of different parameter values on the optimal solutions. Our proposed model can provide transit authorities with a powerful tool to make informed decisions about their BEB fleet replacement plans.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2012

Optimal Stopping with Information Constraint

We study the optimal stopping problem proposed by Dupuis and Wang (Adv. Appl. Probab. 34:141-157, 2002). In this maximization problem of the expected present value of the exercise payoff, the underlying dynamics follow a linear diffusion. The decision maker is not allowed to stop at any time she chooses but rather on the jump times of an independent Poisson process. Dupuis and Wang (Adv. Appl. Probab. 34:141-157, 2002), solve this problem in the case where the underlying is a geometric Brownian motion and the payoff function is of American call option type. In the current study, we propose a mild set of conditions (covering the setup of Dupuis and Wang in Adv. Appl. Probab. 34:141-157, 2002) on both the underlying and the payoff and build and use a Markovian apparatus based on the Bellman principle of optimality to solve the problem under these conditions. We also discuss the interpretation of this model as optimal timing of an irreversible investment decision under an exogenous information constraint.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Thermodynamic modeling of the U 3 O 8-x solid solution phase

It is important to accurately characterize the equilibrium behavior of U 3 O 8 during UO 2 nuclear fuel fabrication as the determination of the oxygen to uranium ratio in UO 2 powders and pellets is dependent on U 3 O 8 stoichiometry. Prior thermodynamic modeling efforts have treated U 3 O 8 as stoichiometric; however, it is experimentally known that the phase exhibits hypostoichiometric behavior at temperatures >850 K. The goal of this work was to model U 3 O 8 as a solid solution using the compound energy formalism and optimize the model to experimental data according to the CALPHAD methodology. Results of the U 3 O 8-x model assessment were visualized by recalculating the previously assessed U–O binary phase diagram replacing a stoichiometric representation of U 3 O 8 with a U 3 O 8-x solid solution model. Moreover, a recommendation is made to revise the U 3 O 8 to U conversion factor used in the ASTM C 1453 standard based on the literature and updated thermodynamic representation for U 3 O 8-x presented in this work.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Detecting low-mass perturbers in cluster lenses using curved arc bases

ABSTRACT Strong gravitationally lensed arcs produced by galaxy clusters have been observationally detected for several decades now. These strong lensing constraints provided high-fidelity mass models for cluster lenses that include substructure down to $10^{9{-}10}\, \mathrm{M}_\odot$. Optimizing lens models, where the cluster mass distribution is modelled by a smooth component and subhaloes associated with the locations of individual cluster galaxies, has enabled deriving the subhalo mass function, providing important constraints on the nature and granularity of dark matter. In this work, we explore and present a novel method to detect and measure individual perturbers (subhaloes, line-of-sight haloes, and wandering supermassive black holes) by exploiting their proximity to highly distorted lensed arcs in galaxy clusters, and by modelling the local lensing distortions with curved arc bases. This method offers the possibility of detecting individual low-mass perturber subhaloes in clusters and haloes along the line of sight down to a mass resolution of $10^8\, \mathrm{M}_\odot$. We quantify our sensitivity to low-mass perturbers ($M\sim 10^{7{-}9}\, \mathrm{M}_\odot$) in clusters (M ∼ 1014–15 M⊙), by creating realistic mock data. Using three lensed images of a background galaxy in the cluster SMACS J0723, taken by JWST, we study the retrieval of the properties of potential perturbers with masses $M=10^{7{-}9}\, \mathrm{M}_\odot$. From the derived posterior probability distributions for the perturber, we constrain its concentration, redshift, and ellipticity. By allowing us to probe lower mass substructures, the use of curved arc bases can lead to powerful constraints on the nature of dark matter as discrimination between dark matter models appears on smaller scales.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
NASA NTRS1981

Information and display requirements for aircraft terrain following

The display design procedure for manned vehicle systems, is applied and validated, for a particular scenario. The scenario chosen is that of zero visibility high speed terrain following (V = 466 ft/sec, H = 200 ft) with an A-10 aircraft. The longitudal (linearized) dynamics are considered. The variations in (command path over) terrain pi(t) are modeled as a third order random process. The display design methodology is based on the optimal control model of pilot response, and employs this model in various ways in different phases of the design process. The overall methodology indicates that the design process is intended as a precursor to manned simulation. It provides a rank ordering of candidate displays through a three level process.

Kleinman, D. L.↗
DOE OSTI2018

Assessment of Model-Based Schemes for Accelerating Optimization by RAVEN

Nuclear-Renewable Hybrid Energy Systems (N-R HES) combine different energy technologies in a synergistic way with the objective of achieving a more economical energy production. In this report the particular hybrid system dealt with includes a PWR nuclear reactor, the associated Rankine-based energy conversion cycle (Balance of Plant, BOP), an Industrial Process (IP) for hydrogen production, a gas turbine (Second Energy Source, SES), and a battery (Energy Storage, ES). The RAVEN-based HYBRID framework is used to find the optimal installed capacity and the optimal economical dispatch of each component of the N-R HES. HYBRID solves the coupled capacity planning-economic and dispatch optimization problem with the objective of minimizing the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE). In the optimization of the power dispatch strategy, the HYBRID framework takes into account the time-dependent dynamics of each subsystem by including a Dymola object-oriented model of the process dynamics. To ease the computational burden of the optimization process, an initial guess for the dispatch optimization problem is provided by a preconditioner. The solution guess is calculated by means of a least-marginal cost approach which applies the same criterion behind the screening curve method. Though this algorithm allows evaluating an economically adapted generation mix for a target load duration curve within a few seconds, it neglects the constraints due to the single component dynamics, and it is not able to adequately represent the ES. An improved treatment of the pre-conditioner problem was addressed by introducing a Monte Carlo based optimization algorithm. The new approach takes into account limits on power rates for the system subcomponents, which was not previously done. Additionally, this new Monte-Carlo based preconditioner addresses the problem with the ES component through improved modeling of that component. The new algorithm has been implemented in the HYBRID framework and tested to assess its performance. The results obtained with the new Monte Carlobased preconditioner were benchmarked against those obtained through the reference deterministic approach. The comparison shows that the Monte-Carlo based approach provides improved solution accuracy to the power dispatch optimization problem. Also in this report, the treatment of the penalty function on LCOE is discussed, and an improved penalty function for missed demand is suggested and tested.

Maronati, Giovanni↗
DOE OSTI2024

FLOWERS AEP: An Analytical Model for Wind Farm Layout Optimization

Annual energy production (AEP) is commonly used in objective functions for wind farm layout optimization. AEP is proportional to wind farm power production integrated over an annual distribution of free-stream wind conditions. Physics-based estimates of wind farm power production typically rely on low-fidelity engineering wake models that approximate the steady-state wind farm flow field. AEP estimates are then obtained by performing independent simulations for discrete wind conditions and using rectangular quadrature to account for each condition's expected frequency of occurrence. Depending on the number of simulated discrete wind conditions, this numerical integral could be hampered by poor accuracy or high computational costs. The FLOWERS AEP model instead poses an analytical integral of the engineering wake model over the variable wind conditions, yielding a closed-form, analytical function for wind farm AEP. This paper derives the analytical functions for FLOWERS AEP and its derivatives with respect to turbine position, which are useful for gradient-based wind farm layout optimization, in nondimensional form. We then analyze the benefits of the FLOWERS AEP model over conventional reference models, focusing on its low cost, adequate wake loss predictions, and smooth design space. Although the FLOWERS approach is found to predict the exact value of AEP with some error relative to the reference model (within 14% on average), it dramatically reduces computation time by an order of magnitude, produces a qualitatively similar design space at relatively low resolution, and yields comparable optimal layouts. This significant speed improvement is critical in layout optimization applications, where determining an optimal layout in an efficient manner is more important than precise AEP prediction.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Gaussian process based surrogate approach for the optimization of cylindrical targets

Simulating direct-drive inertial confinement experiments presents significant computational challenges, both due to the complexity of the codes required for such simulations and the substantial computational expense associated with target design studies. Machine learning models, and in particular, surrogate models, offer a solution by replacing simulation results with a simplified approximation. In this study, we apply surrogate modeling and optimization techniques that are well established in the existing literature to one-dimensional simulation data of a new cylindrical target design containing deuterium–tritium fuel. These models predict yields without the need for expensive simulations. We find that Bayesian optimization with Gaussian process surrogates enhances sampling efficiency in low-dimensional design spaces but becomes less efficient as dimensionality increases. Nonetheless, optimization routines within two-dimensional and five-dimensional design spaces can identify designs that maximize yield, while also aligning with established physical intuition. Optimization routines, which ignore constraints on hydrodynamic instability growth, are shown to lead to unstable designs in 2D, resulting in yield loss. However, routines that utilize 1D simulations and impose constraints on the in-flight aspect ratio converge on novel cylindrical target designs that are stable against hydrodynamic instability growth in 2D and achieve high yield.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

"Reducing Detailed Vehicle Energy Dynamics to Physics-Like Models"

The energy demand of vehicles, particularly in unsteady drive cycles, is affected by complex dynamics internal to the engine and other powertrain components. Yet, in many applications, particularly macroscopic traffic flow modeling and optimization, structurally simple approximations to the complex vehicle dynamics are needed that nevertheless reproduce the correct effective energy behavior. This work presents a systematic model reduction pipeline that starts from complex vehicle models based on the Autonomie software and derives a hierarchy of simplified models that are fast to evaluate, easy to disseminate in open-source frameworks, and compatible with optimization frameworks. The pipeline, based on a virtual chassis dynamometer and subsequent approximation strategies, is reproducible and is applied to six different vehicle classes to produce concrete explicit energy models that represent an average vehicle in each class and leverage the accuracy and validation work of the Autonomie software.

Khoudari, Nour↗
DOE OSTI2022

Techno-Economic Analysis and Optimization of Integrated NGCC-MEA System at High CO2 Capture Levels

This poster contains preliminary results for an ongoing analysis of modeling and optimization of an NGCC plant with a solvent-based CO2 capture system with high levels of CO2 capture – up to and beyond net-zero emissions. The work was performed to understand the incremental cost of high capture in order to compare with direct-air capture and other net-negative technologies, as well as to understand optimal operation and design of the CCS unit to achieve high capture with minimal increase in cost.

Deshpande, Anuja↗
DOE OSTI2019

A Parallel-in-Time Multigrid Approach to Constrained Optimization

Valuable computer simulations such as weather prediction, traffic flow, and resource allocation are time dependent problems. One such example is the viscous Burgers’ equation which can model various systems such as fluids and traffic flow. Further, many of these models require optimization routines to meet the needs of many businesses. Unfortunately, traditional sequential-in-time algorithms have become bottlenecks in solution model generation. This is because computer architectures have begun to rely more and more on concurrency (parallel processing) as opposed to processor power to provide greater performance. To avoid this bottleneck, many researchers use parallelization methods to take advantage of the increasing number of processors in computers. This approach allows for variables in a problem to be solved for simultaneously. As such, parallelization is a crucial requirement to achieve high-performance computing.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2015

Modeling Microinverters and DC Power Optimizers in PVWatts

Module-level distributed power electronics including microinverters and DC power optimizers are increasingly popular in residential and commercial PV systems. Consumers are realizing their potential to increase design flexibility, monitor system performance, and improve energy capture. It is becoming increasingly important to accurately model PV systems employing these devices. This document summarizes existing published documents to provide uniform, impartial recommendations for how the performance of distributed power electronics can be reflected in NREL's PVWatts calculator (http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
NASA NTRS1989

Computer simulation of a pilot in V/STOL aircraft control loops

The objective was to develop a computerized adaptive pilot model for the computer model of the research aircraft, the Harrier II AV-8B V/STOL with special emphasis on propulsion control. In fact, two versions of the adaptive pilot are given. The first, simply called the Adaptive Control Model (ACM) of a pilot includes a parameter estimation algorithm for the parameters of the aircraft and an adaption scheme based on the root locus of the poles of the pilot controlled aircraft. The second, called the Optimal Control Model of the pilot (OCM), includes an adaption algorithm and an optimal control algorithm. These computer simulations were developed as a part of the ongoing research program in pilot model simulation supported by NASA Lewis from April 1, 1985 to August 30, 1986 under NASA Grant NAG 3-606 and from September 1, 1986 through November 30, 1988 under NASA Grant NAG 3-729. Once installed, these pilot models permitted the computer simulation of the pilot model to close all of the control loops normally closed by a pilot actually manipulating the control variables. The current version of this has permitted a baseline comparison of various qualitative and quantitative performance indices for propulsion control, the control loops and the work load on the pilot. Actual data for an aircraft flown by a human pilot furnished by NASA was compared to the outputs furnished by the computerized pilot and found to be favorable.

Vogt, William G.↗